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tv   The 77 Percent  Deutsche Welle  April 9, 2022 7:30pm-8:01pm CEST

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d, w. o live and on demand content, language courses, video and audio. any time, anywhere. the d w media center ah, abandoning nearly everything a fate that millions of ukrainians have had to encounter so far. on the show, we meet a filmmaker who managed to flee the war and is now worked not only about his business, but about the lives of his employees. to 70 percent are still in the crate or against south. some of them are in territorial, found. some of them are volunteering,
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keith were in western ukraine, helping his new booth and to monitor and health and with ukraine. and it's vital agricultural areas under attack. we take a look at what the war means for farmers exporters and those in the world that rely on the city. welcome to this special edition of d, w, a business, ukraine, and economy under attack. i'm chris kolber and roland. we thought the show and brussels, where it has been a decisive week in the european union's stands towards russia. so far the u has been united and using far reaching economic sanctions to try to stop the kremlin killings in ukraine. the block has shied away from targeting rushes energy sector as europe is heavily dependent on it, that has changed now. these pipelines,
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or rushes lifeline, delivering gas and oil from siberia to europe. russia has earned a 1000000000 euros a day by supplying energy to the e. u. since the start of the war, ukraine's president has called for a stop to all energy payments to russia, to drain putin's war chest, a message under consideration at the european parliament in strasbourg. any of the u. s. provides us with at least additional 15000000000 cubic meters of ellen g gas this year. this gives us the opportunity to replace the russian elegy this year. second, for the coming years, we're aiming for at least an additional 50000000000 cubic meters annually. this will give us the opportunity to replace at least one 3rd of the russian pipeline gas arriving in europe. spawn tuesday was in a funder lion proposed an import ban on coal worth 4000000000 euros a year. cement, wood and vodka from russia are also on the new sanctions list. half of the use
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imports of lig night and hard coal stem from russia, which it needs for steel and electricity production. those supplies would need to come from elsewhere, such as the usa, columbia, and south africa. the dependence on russian gas is similarly high. 45 percent of the use gas comes from russian. it's far harder to replace than coal. so far, germany has stood in the way of a complete gas shut off, claiming the economic impact on europe would be too high. let's get more this from the w's ashtosh pan day. he is our expert for commodities. ashley tossed, the e. o is russia's biggest oil buyer. what would it mean for the block if it were to ban these oil imports like chris? that's right. and to be clear, it's going to be extremely painful. this band is going to remove straight away $3.00 to $4000000.00 barrels of oil per day buy some estimates. so that's going to be huge. prices are going to go up. people would have to break for higher prices at
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the pump station gas stations. and then they would actually have to break for the fact that there would be more inflation because you know, how much of that oil is used for transportation. so good. the good price is also going to go up. companies in the chemical industry are going to suffer a lot. they would be forced to shut down because they are one of the biggest uses of oil here in european union. so it is going to be painful. but having said that, it is still going to be much more manageable than cutting off gas applies for the very reason that oil is much more flexible to move around your a good look at other countries to buy oil from. it is easier to move around and you don't really need a huge network of pipelines actually as you new need. in the case of guess, a speaking of flexibility, how difficult would it be trying to find alternatives to russian oil like chris, any alternative to the problem would be to force actually one on the supply side
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and the other on the demand side though. so now let's on the demand side, you will have to encourage people calling people to cut down their usage. that's actually very important because even if you go spouting from oil for oil, from elsewhere, it will be very difficult to bridge such a huge gap. so yes, encourage people to use public transport, tell them to use or less than what they were already using. now, as i supplies concern, yes, they'll have to 1st dive into their strategic reserves. you know that we see the has a strategic is over 1500000 barrels of oil. that is something they could use it industrial could actually look at their own reserve that they have been over the years. so that's one of the things. then they could actually good starting from or for oil elsewhere to middle east. look for partners, maybe encourage the diplomatic talk that is going want to bring it on back to the market. it on in oil would be a big savior in, in a situation where there is going to be much lesser oil and to the market. so still
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major issues to navigate there as a touch. of course the sanctions are mentor, increase pressure on the kremlin. how much financial pain would such a boycott inflict on russia's state budget is, is going to be huge for russia. it is like now europe is finally saying, the mean business as far as the sanctions are concerned. they're not going the whole distance by also by banning se gas. but all is going to be huge. we always talk about how oil and gas industry or oil and gas revenue is the cash call for moscow. but in that, oil plays a much larger role. oil revenues last year, what? 3 times, what must go on from selling gas? so clearly you can understand how important oil is this year, it is projected that moscow could earn somewhere around 310000000000 dollars. but if it keeps supplying oil and gas, if the buyers continue to keep buying,
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it's oil and gas. so you can actually understand if there is an embargo oil is going to be a huge setback for moscow or certain, of course, any business transaction involves at least 2 parties. so who would rush and turn to trying to sell the oil that you might not want anymore? yeah, this is interesting aspect because here what is going to do for moscow is that it is going to actually nullify some of the damage that would be done by this embargo by the european unit because russia would try and i would that oil, which is already doing, selling it on the cheap to the countries like india. china is going to be a major destination market for russia, because understand that russia is the, the 2nd biggest supply of oil. do china after saudi arabia. and there are all the expectation that moscow would try to actually up seat of saudi arabia from the top sport becoming the biggest seller of oil to china as well as india is concerned.
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india would continue to buy oil if it's been given at a discount as much as $35.00. but in the long run, i don't think it's going to be a very reliable way of selling russian oil. because the book of china and india have actually graduated this relationship with the middle east and suppliers for decades now. and they would like to jeopardize that of by buying cheap oil, which is only temporarily cheap in the market. so that's one point to look at and they will also be very of inviting the io of the united states to w's ashtosh pounding ashtosh. as always, thank you. more than 4000000 people have so far fled the war in ukraine. the unit knighted nation says after that, the scores of people that are displaced within the country and people forced to leave behind family, friends and homes, are also abandoning their jobs and what they have worked hard for to achieve. our
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next report shows you one man who managed to flee with his family to berlin and is now across many borders, trying to build back what he lost. it's hard to understand what feelings are connected to arriving to berlin and what feelings are just connected with all the situation with the word in general. so yeah, that's why i'm happy my family's safe. i'm safe. my parents are safe, so yeah, i'm happy at the same time, the lot of my friends and again, my brother's in law and my close friends, my colleagues in the ukraine. and so my country actually is good and bad at the same time and moved is going like this. alexi, it's going to cause a film producer from keith. now living in berlin, her own the filmmaking business, which has been decimated by the war to the business. it is dead for, for,
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for this month. i mean, there is no business. all commercial filming is on hold, and the city employees and freed answers have seen that day to day lives totally appendages to get the queue. most of them like the, like 60 to 70 percent, are still in the ukraine against some of them who are in territorial phones. and some of them are volunteering in cave or in western ukraine, helping to move goose and humanitarian help. but some i still out filming sometimes teaming out with other filmmakers to get footage out to the world in general film community of ukraine, of cave and all the people who are there,
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the like group somehow and trying to do this all types of volunteer projects. what they can do, they can feel they can ducky mount all what's happening on the streets of cave. since arriving in berlin alexi, it's gone. it has been trying to rebuild the business. the 36 year old has to ames for support colleagues still in ukraine and provide employment opportunities the ukrainians, who had to flee today he's having a team meeting with the project managers of the firm. one is also in berlin, one still in keith. they're figuring out how to hire directors, the new projects in germany, and the you it's hard starting from scratch at took him years to establish his network of contacts in ukraine. now he need the new one and berlin. that's why he's meeting today with local producers to try to organize a collaboration. finding new partners is going to be vital, the fem survival and retaining the stuff. good discussion,
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but we just had some some money left to no account. so we were able to pay at least last last month, and we are able to pay this month. and that's why i'm here. this. why part to forward teams here to do our, our best to, to be able to support our team. it is urgent. we where we are like we are hoping to to get some job like the next couple of weeks at least to get peaches and to to be involved and don't see alexys gone. x was allowed to leave ukraine because he has 3 children to take care of a friend of his award winning film, make him mantas clutter. ivy cheers was killed by a russian rocket this week. but sucks more with all exec scott. i actually just saw the board. welcome to the studio, and you, you have to flee ukraine, and as we saw the reports, you could take your children, your wife,
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with you. give us an idea of what you had to leave behind. like everything, breath, everything else, all my life. my rest of my family. my some of my brothers and sisters, my friends, my colleagues, my business. all my life is there in my house, my car. everything. you mentioned your business, you are a film producer. what does this business look like? human now or in general general, it looks like shooting fillings, music videos, to make commercials, feature films, documentaries, short films. everything you can seen movies and on tv. so and now that you're here in berlin, you'd try to keep this business alive as good as it gets. how do you do that?
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yeah, exactly. i am trying to, to establish new contacts. here we do have some, we used to work with the european and german producers, but still i'm trying to build up new network, new connections to be able to get some of the project. at least commercial wants to be able to support our team. a lot of people are here in germany or around, you know, ukrainians from this business and they just have no job and we don't want them to don't she don't grade because they're super qualified to credible like one of the top markets for service production for you for the last 5 to 7 years, so we just one tried to give them the job to do what they can do the best here at the same time, the film industry in ukraine is not really operational now is at the moment. so
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what, what is there to support for an industry that depends on people having time and money to spend and, and you know, the mind for creativity, the environment now is very different. absolutely. we're not talking about showing fields to the audience now in ukraine. i'm talking about supporting people from the industry who just lost their jobs and they all volunteering every day. they spend all their money for support. thing like him and terry and medic medical help and are me everything. so they are now just exhausted. they are out of money, they just need jumps, and some of them are relegated to western part of ukraine and they are able to, should they're able to do the pulse production. so does, that's actually what we're trying to do. we're trying to, to support them with
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a job for the money in a job, in their industry, or any type of job job in their industry. that's, that's dead you. russia doesn't appear to be willing to end this war anytime soon. when you look at the weeks ahead, what is, what are your thoughts? i'm, i'm just stand shocked and, and, and speechless. but i think it's like hen aside and what's happening. my goal is now they're shooting documentaries in boucher or been now couple of yesterday they were great down for sis. moved to bar dunker, which is the i don't think you already heard about it, but it's even worth the butcher. and yesterday night we had a cold with my colleagues, the commentaries who were there was criminal medical experts spend the day with
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them. and i'm in, i'm just speechless. it's, it's crazy. do you have an idea of how to restart in ukraine or does that not cross your mind as a, as a business person, restarting you cray in ukraine in ukraine? of course, i mean as soon as it's gonna be done, i, i have like a dozen. so, requests from here and all around the world to, to support producers and filmmakers and directors to come to crane to get, to, should the material even even now a lot of major companies are sending their people there already to shoot it. and we have couple of projects on the table that i've been developed now. a soon as we will be ready to, to finish even now. people are working there and shooting. alex, a scottish from producer from ukraine. thank you for your visit. thank you so much . ukraine is the 5th largest,
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which producer in the world in peace times. that is of course, but now, grenades are destroying fields and farmers that should be out. sowing seeds are busy fighting since russia started its invasion of ukraine. the price for wheat has increased by 70 percent continuing a rise that started before the war. now that has dramatic consequences, not only for those who rely on the staple, but for farmers and explorers as well. the only thing that should be firmly lodged in these fields are weak plants. but sprouting from the soil is part of a russian missile. in michel, i have farmers already trying to manage a shortage of seeds and fuel, were forced to contend with the presence of russian soldiers. where can you imagine there are still loaded missiles or side with the soldiers had camped out next door for 2 weeks. farmers couldn't access their crops with them,
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but they kept shooting incessantly. it was terrible that because under these conditions, wheat is becoming harder and harder to produce. it's also a challenge getting the staple out of the country. and because of the war, we have no access to the black z, russian army ships are blocking the port or something with operations at ports have come to a near complete standstill and back at the farm. wheat fields are looking more like battlefields, so producing food for the world has become a serious problem for ukraine. that's why exporting the grains and produce that can, is even more important not only for the people around the globe who depend on it, but also to ukrainians themselves. global business can work as an act of defiance. that is one of the main takeaways from the annual fresh produce trade show
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currently underway here in berlin. since the russian invasion, ukraine's fruit and vegetable exports are important nourishment for the flailing economy. we try to push ourselves as hard as possible, even in this hard times to work. and many people are ready to do it. many people want to support to rain. we want to keep our economic going. going, as men have to remain in the ukraine to fight in the war. women and children are holding the fort at this year's fruit fair in berlin. most are currently refugees. the ukranian stall is smaller than in past years. but international trade is more important than ever, says the rena cortina. the organizer of the booth, a local, this is in power of people, is very low and we'll be very low during gland to yes, at least a while. the really cover our cost is sold for us. export is source
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of income for the con. the source of income for the company is for salaries in the pony cuffs company. sem eco pack relocated from the war torn east of the country to the polish border and the west to stay in business. keeping up the production means keeping up food and money supplies for ukrainians. feel weak in say that it's safe to work to continue production. we will do this because it's very important for the nation, for ukrainian producers at this year's fruit fair. the booth carries more than economic value. it is an act of defiance. oh, we are helpful. we will not give up. and we know that we have over 6 look now and some of the questions you sent us about the war in ukraine and for that my colleague, cassandra johnson, a studio, cassandra, we got
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a question from one user on youtube calling themselves john kelly. and he pointed out the germany has been talking about building l and g terminals with form, which has legal america bringing up the issue back in 2018. he posted specifically, specifically on a youtube channel. i'm not hearing of any discussion about these terminals. therefore, i'm assuming that the l and g ports where not built what happened. so long story short, there have been some road bumps. some of the men clear just how slow these things tend to go in germany. the pandemic and the temptation of cheap rush and gas. so yes, back in 2018. following criticism from former president donald trump, former chancellor, england merkel did commit to building more alan g terminals. if a german government even committed to co financing a 500000000 euro, ellen g terminal port. but since then, a lot of these projects have kind of sputtered one example in 2020 and l n g port and l n g porch just said that they were going to shelf the plan,
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the utility trying to build this port that they're going to show the plan because of a lack of interest from quote, market players. so things have kind of sputtered out. and part of this is the financial incentives. why would you invest hundreds of millions of euro's into l. n g terminal ports and you've already invested hundreds of millions of euros in other projects including are extreme to. so if you're just looking at the bottom line here at that time, the incentives were clear, fast forward to 2022 though. the high of cheap brushing class gas has firmly worn off and we are now very clearly in the hangover period because of the warrant crane and the subsequent sanctions were to much, much different place. so after the invasion directly after the invasion of ukraine, chancellor, olaf schultz said that they were going to resume some of these projects. in total, there are 3 german cities that could be the home for potential n g ports and they're all in the kind of the northwestern part of the country,
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i think in the neighborhood of homburg. and one that was moving along, the permitting process was in shorter and analysts say that that project could get the green light could get a building permit in the next few weeks. but best case situation that would be completed in 2026. still far way off, cassandra, we see on the topic of energy. there is a 2nd question of came in. the big problem at the moment is the reliance of the, especially germany on russian gas. as you pointed out, another youtube commodore richie asked us, how is europe becoming dependent on the united states? a good thing. i don't think anyone wants us to switch from getting nearly half of our liquefied natural gas from one volatile, arguably volatile superpower to another, arguably volatile superpower. when you look at the foreign policy coming out of the u. s. between the 3 different administrations, there have been big swings in how they've approached the e. u and germany. so no saying, oh yes, let's put all of germany's energy eggs into another country's basket. even though this port has been pushed by the americans, that doesn't mean it would be used exclusively for american liquefied natural gas.
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it could be used by any of the top ex borders from around the world. that includes guitar, australia, militia, nigeria, and maybe even one day in a different world, russia and cassandra, a 3rd question, other concern that popped up in our common section is the idea of using this crisis assigned to invest in renewable energy. so you to, or matthew bane m asked what has been done to massively ramp up renewables. there is a lot of pressure right now to have diversified, not just gas sources, but all energy sources not includes renewables. just on wednesday, the german government unveiled the plan called the renewable energy sources act, and there were some highlights, some really interesting factors. so one of the things was raise the amount to the goal amount for green energy in germany right now for reference in our power mix, there's about 40 percent renewable energy. by the end of the decade, the previous goal was 65 percent. the new goal under that act is 80 percent. a
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pretty big change to center cent of the debris business. thank you. you've been watching a special edition of d. w. a business ukraine, an economy under attack. thanks for watching. ah ah, with
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east this is wes, give ahead with the w business beyond again that i want. that's hard and in the end it's a me, you are not allowed to see you anymore. we will send you back. are you familiar with this reliance of the what's your story? i was women, especially victims of violence in take part and send us your story. yeah. chain always to understand this new culture. so you are not a visitor now the guests. you want to become a citizen info, migrants your platform for reliable information.
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ah, [000:00:00;00] ah, this is, do you have any news live from berlin? a show of solidarity for the ukrainian people. british prime minister boris johnson goes to keith and meet with the loaded mirrors the lensky, ukrainian president. praise it's the u. k. for taking a leading role in aiding ukraine's defense and fears, grow in the ukrainian port city of odessa, that it could be russia's next target. it's strategically important to both sides

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