tv The Day Deutsche Welle April 21, 2022 12:02am-12:31am CEST
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to day in the ukrainian ford city of mario poll, another deadline to surrender came and went no surrender. a group of ukrainian soldiers remained inside the city's giant steel plant, refusing to lay down their weapons, refusing to hand over what's left of the city to the russians. defiance that is now truly against all odds. to night, even the ukrainian commander in mario poll says for his forces, these could very well be the final hours. i'm brig off in berlin. this is the day ah, the, the intensity of fire by bush and troops in the hockey direction, in dunbar. and in the dimly per region has increased significantly. is that i have now are awesome. and we are
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facing that crisis upon a crisis. and millions of lives have been chatted and to and their lives have been tone of hot, tight, lightest walk in this wall. the russian army without ever inscribe itself in both history as perhaps the most barbaric and inhuman and the world in the leash law. but also coming up afghanistan's devastated economy is addicted to opium. the country's only cash crop for the telly, bon, it's a mine field of heresy, heroin, money, and morals. but a chance i would if this plant is banned from cultivation, my friend, we will be forced to steal. i like it doesn't make any sense. the harvest of the crops, like mays, all pomegranates, that they don't yielding of profit to live off. and that's why demanded ah, to our viewers watching on b, beatrice in the united states, into all of you around the world. we begin the day with
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a military campaign. the russians may be rushing to wind. the invasion of ukraine began 56 days ago and it's been punctuated by military missteps in the north, followed by last week's humiliating seeking of russia's main warship in the black sea. military strategist say that russian forces spent the past 2 months struggling to get their act together. but now windermere potent has ordered a change, of course, to make up for lost time and to ensure a speedy victory since monday, ukraine's industrial heartland. the don't boss has been the target of thousands of russian air strikes. we have more in this report on ukraine's eastern front soldiers begin for the fight ahead. that x. russia has relaunched its offensive, hoping to take full control of the dumbass region. in the besieged port city of
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mario pl. the fight may be almost over let the voting of a few good bases are appeal to the world. when this could be our last appeal of our lives. we may be facing a last days if not hours, the enemy out numbers as $10.00 to $1.00. while a sense of normal life returns to the capital, keep in cities to the east, the wall rage is on in then seen if the intensity of fire by russian troops in the hockey direction, in dumb bar on in the dimly per region has increased significantly. only basically consider ordinary housing infrastructure, normal targets for them. thank him as a chain in this wall, the russian army will for ever inscribe itself in world history as perhaps the most barbaric and inhuman on the world. can they be a shovel or school
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e mailed school address at these hospital in chrome a task? the injured continue to arrive wounded. one of them by the 2nd russian offensive. yeah. as you should, ashley. now it seems. yesterday, russia started a large scale advance in the area. they use artillery systems, heavy artillery drones and g r a d systems. or are they in ha, keith, family say they're las go by to those who we killed in the fight. rushes invasion may have entered a so called new phase, but the pain of loss is a constant in a wall, but far from over when i want to bring in justin krump, he's the ceo of the global risk analysis company,
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sybil line. he's also a veteran of the british armed forces with experience in the balkans, afghanistan, and iraq, and he joins us tonight from the u. k. mr. crump, it's good to have you on the program. let me get your take on what, what we're seeing here. why do you think russia is attacking now? i mean, you could argue that the weather isn't good and that it would be better if they waited 2 weeks. yeah, that's a great question. the russia army has suffered throughout from the weather. in fact, the thought came early, i think they planned the invasion timing. we've been tracking the date for long period of time around the time they did on the hope that they would be able to operate across country before the fields became muddy. that happened soon, and they thought, and now when they've launched this offensive in the dumbass, we got 10 days of rain, low cloud, it'll make their artillery less effective. it'll make that power less effective.
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and most importantly, prevent them really from moving easily off the roads, which gives me a lot of disadvantages for the weather going. so it does suggest, as you said, the start of the program that they are under time pressure to deliver results. rather than waiting. now, i think that time pressure comes into things specially for the supply of equipment coming to ukraine, as preparedness. and secondly, i think the russian armies ability to keep fighting over a long period of time, given the sanctions on russia. and i think the political imperative of the victory prayed on the 9th of may in moscow and the need to have done something by then. yeah, that's a good point. i mean, to do that the calendar, you can't change the fact that time is running out. if that is their deadline, let me ask you about what we've seen in just the past. 2 months. russia spent months before that building up its forces ahead of what was a failed assault on keep. and since then they've had just
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a couple of weeks to really focus on the don boss is. is there any reason reason to believe that they will be better prepared this time than they were before they tried to take the capitol? yeah, i think when they went to the whole country at the start, they had the wrong mission in the wrong mindset. they, they thought they were going to walk in and be welcomed that ukraine would crumble . and some of that was based on very faulty intelligence assessments. and it's notable how many russian thousands officers of most jobs since the invasion and i think been discredited by that very over assessment. they've had time to learn. they've had time to improve their communications. that command control, they have less force, isn't ukraine overall? now they have around $78.00, assigning tactical groups and ukraine. now, when they started with a $120.00 plus, however, they are all in the south in the us. so they've increased the amount of troops they have in that area and they put it under one command. was that most successful
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commander? now i don't think that's enough to overcome all of the obstacles and problems they've had, but they've certainly improved that chance is compared to when they, when, what they're now cooling. phase one, that's a retrospective way. but again, you know, we've heard talk of a huge russian operation to encircle a large portion of the ukranian army in the east basically to defeat them in one big knockout blow. are you seeing anything that could back up that prediction that's been a part of the russian plan from the start. if you look at where they are, all these attacks and they're passing the operations and they're war aims, one of which the demilitarization of ukraine focused on destroying ukrainian regular army in the northern part of the dumbass. and so i think the plan to close these been says maybe towards ne pro and the center of the country. and the south of caucus has been there from the start. they just failed to get very far with it
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on their 1st go. this is a 2nd go out. what we're seeing so far is more that they're trying to do smaller advances in circumvents. now that might be a precursor to a big move once they can break through the ukrainian lines and get out into more open country. and they certainly have a lot of forces gathered south and khaki to do that. but we're not seeing that move yet. and it might be, they go for lots of small pushes and try and take away little groups of ukrainian troops, one at a time. isolate the cities rather than going for a really big, sweeping advance that would look spectacular on a map, but on the ground leaves that trips very strong out and exposed counter attack. so that's one of the things we're looking for is to quite how deep there and supplement goes. and how essential then, are the weapons that are being provided by the west to ukraine's ability to, to basically repel the russians. that critical as particularly in the field of artillery ammunition, i think at this point the rates of consumption about 2 rounds that you're seeing in
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this sort of warfare are a huge russia is obviously suffering from that. they can bring up more more easily . ukraine is out, it's infrastructure, badly damaged and obviously has less ability to replace its losses to replace submission. and that's why it's been such a focus not in the last few days, with the supply of artillery pieces, probably mostly towed pieces going to ukraine itself. one of the problems they have though is shelter re ammunition of the wrong caliber. so nato tends to use 155 mates rounds. the soviet rounds a similar but slightly smaller one by 2. and ukraine will end up using both systems not going to compensate the artillery supplied. but nonetheless, they really need these things to be able to carry on fighting the longer. and maybe we've made a mistake because we equipped them to fight what we thought would be an insurgency by this stage. and actually, they're still fighting a conventional pitched battle, a huge battle in the dumbass. and maybe we've been saying that wrong equipment
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previously, we helped in defense be having to help them counter attack. and they need to be able to do that and, and hands are asking for the sort of weapons they're asking for, like ahmed vehicles where your tanks, in particular, like more artillery. and of course, underneath out the miss also is still very useful for them. but missiles on their own didn't allow you to go on the offensive. they only allow you to, to defend rich. and they want to attack me. just ask before you another time is to have the ukrainian so the whole time had they been asking exactly for the weapons that they need? yes, they've actually been asking for this for quite long period of time. i think since quite early on in the conflict, if you look back, he's been asking for help to close this guy's name. moved support for the air force, which is now starting to happen. it's been asking for more ahmed vehicles, but again, i think the assumption was that they wouldn't be able to use those. we couldn't get them there in time. we've now decided that we can send those things,
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but we are over 55 days into the complex and of course then supplies have to get across the country to the dumbass as well. so it really is a race against time. we come back to the point that this is why russia's moving now they've calculated that this is the best chance to meet that timelines. and they know ukrainians a still waiting for more support, but it is coming in. there's been produce this effort to do that. and i'm sure that will continue as we see this 5 developed in the next couple of weeks just in crop mr. crop. we appreciate your time and excellent analysis tonight. thank you. ah, i turning now to lithuania, where fears had been rising, that they could be moscow next target a particular concern as a narrow stretch of land between lithuanian and the russian enclave of colony grot . many lithuanians fear that moscow could some day attempt to cut this land bridge to its western nato partners. and that's why it's some are trying to ensure that
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they are prepared. now loosely, scalouse gus is training for the worst case scenario. is a member of the lithuanian rifleman union, a state backed paramilitary group that has been growing ever since russia annexed. grant mia in 2014 i o sales propaganda old on russian state propaganda targeted lithuania for us. it meant we could be the next ones with especially if you live here in the saw called swanky gap, lethal any us only length connection with its western natal pod mouse. this stretch of land is crucial for the transport of goods and military equipment. these to walter gap is just 65 kilometers wide. it's located exactly here between the russian exclaim of callian grat on the one site and thrush us l. a bela rows on the,
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on the site. in lithuania, man, if he has that russia might try to cut this land breached of the west. tensions with moscow has been rising. lithuania has been a member of nato since 2004. but since the start of the void, ukraine, politicians and normal citizens have grown more determined, i would say we owe you more, but drugs which should defend your freedom and so on. it's like understanding before for the fundamental things we have to few here have to prepare ourselves. that's why we need, ah, more natal presence in our region as a very credible that that of deterrence against russia. this is also the aim of an unusual art exhibition in the capital videos. this strain from moscow stops twice a day here on its way to the russian exclaim of calling and grat. russian
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passengers are not allowed to get off, but they are confronted with photos of war outside of their windows. when polio was leash, kolscott is not training for battle. he takes off his rifle man uniform to work as a lawyer. he believes that the kremlin and not ordinary russian citizens are responsible for the war in the ukraine. 3rd logo. so i have russian clients that i keep in touch with. i don't feel any personal hatred towards them, but rather towards the russian state and russian state propaganda vandals the lincoln many heel which had re with him lithuanians have been called to between a constant state of vigilance and resilience. but with the onset of the going ukraine, people living in the swanky gap,
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i looking to the future with even more concern kremlin spokesperson. dmitri pet scott says russia has handed ukraine a written list of its demands as part of peace talks. as god told reporters that moscow is waiting for a response from keith rushes earlier to her, she she demands have included you, crane becoming a neutral country seating the don't ask and the hans regents to pro russia separatist and recognizing the 2014 annexation of crimea. ukraine president zalinski says he has not seen or heard about this doc. and this week, zalinski also said that giving away any territory is out of the question for you. great, let's bring you thomas graham. now. he's a distinguished fellow at the council on foreign relations. he joins us from new york city, mr. graham, it's good to have you on the program with this,
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russia says that it handed over its proposals to ukraine on a path to peace. obviously, we don't know what's inside, but what can we read into the fact that this path still seems to be open? well, i don't think it's a serious fact. at this point in the previous negotiations, demands that russia were russia was making on ukraine's were basically that a capitulate that had agreed to the independence of the, the separatist regions, to russia's annexation of crimea. and that ukraine become neutral. clearly, all these things together aren't acceptable to your crime. i don't think that moscow is engaged in serious negotiations at this point. so what do you think they're up to right now? well i think part of this is that they want to try to put pressure on your brain. obviously they are launching a, a new offensive in east. i hope dave to take over the full glass,
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but not in the near future. something that would allow them to claim something, but minor victory really withdrawal from around here earlier in this month. and they want to indicate ukrainians that they're still plan to please plan that's open in, in an effort to demoralize the brand new population. and all of this comes on top of the, the very heavy and bombardment of ukraine in the past few days, continuing tax and civilian infrastructure and civilians. so i think this is all part of a plan to try to break the, the will of the branding people. last weekend. mr. pascall said that president putin is hoping for an end to this entire operation within a matter of days that they got our attention. a matter of date is russia maybe here seeking a way out a chance to be able to declare victory bell. i may, 9th,
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i'm sure that the president would like to have something positive to say by may 9th, this is a big event, right for the victory over not to germany. but it's hard to see what he could accomplish in the next couple of weeks. ukraine is being supplied very rapidly by the by western countries. the amber will to fight the heck boom, quite effective in dealing with the russian military so far. so i think the russians are facing the top salons in the east, and i would doubt that good will have a major victory report. and you are aware that the west, particularly the u. s. in the u. k. they have delivered more and more heavy weapons to ukraine. they are committed to that. there's also reporting that the weapons being delivered continue to become even more potent. how worried should we be
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or, or is there a danger of some sort of mission creep, taking place here? now, i don't think it's so much mission creep on the western side at this point. but it does create a paradoxical situation. and is that the worst the russians do militarily in the east, like the greater that some have on the russian part escalate the conflict i so far the russians have not far with any rate, a bigger the the concord that are fur and these weapons in you your brain, as you're playing, receive much more effective weapons, weapons that you can use to read off this latest reference russian. back to act. i think we're actually going to go after that. that does raise the question of where they would pack these on board any planning territory or where i grant shipping points are located in a concrete. if it's a ladder, then that raises the question of article 5. 99 could lead to
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a larger conflict. and just briefly, do you think that the chances are very good that we'll see an attack by russian forces on those convoys within ukraine? i think the, the, the risk of that is growing particularly as see military conflict because we're bitter in the east. so i would expect something like this to happen within the next few weeks. mr. thomas gram with the council on foreign relations. mr. graham, as always, we appreciate your time and your insights tonight. thank you. you're welcome. the the taliban recently, band farmers from growing poppy. it's a plant that is used to produce heroin, but one senior member of the taliban admits that the band is not being enforced. why would, if ghana stands ultraconservative leaders look the other way? because they can't overlook reality. afghanistan is broke and foreign aid is not
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coming back anytime soon. one of the only ways to fund the state is by exporting opi. the brown mass oozing out of this, pompey plant is extremely valuable. and right now its harvest time in afghanistan. farmers are collecting the raw material necessary for opium, morphine and heroine production. but in early april the taliban forbade poppy cultivation, but to choose i would if this plant is bound from cultivation, my friend we will be forced to steal. i like it doesn't make any sense the harvest of the crops, like mays, all pomegranates, they don't do yielding of profit to live off and that's why the man under your machine we visited these farmers just as this year's crop was being harvested for 28 years mohammed tanya's family has been cultivating opium. the extremely dry climate in south afghanistan is ideal for the plants whose tide our credit. but we
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started planting opium because we don't have enough water. all the necessary equipment for the crops show that the people are poor and opium is profitable. the . this farmer tells us he has 25 family members to care for. he has many children. he also grows grapes, but that's not enough to make ends meet. these bags contain his valuable product, and this is the market where the raw opium will be sold. and it's the place where local drug lords meet, they smuggle the opium to pakistan or iran. from there, it is refined to heroin and shipped around the world, including to europe. the dealers are not happy with the ban on opium cultivation. di ward doc, we told the taliban, they had to do something 1st. first. if they want us to stop selling opium was actually one moment by the 2 numbers. in early april the taliban announced they were immediately banning the cultivation of opium. but the deputy minister for
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taliban drug policy tells us this law is not being enforced. those who would refer as you can see from our announcement, we said that for the moment we will not be taking action against pharmacy planted opium this year. if we do this with many farmers will suffer great problems. lismore was good on bill, which gladly in 2020 afghanistan was the world's largest opium producer, responsible for 85 percent of global production according to the he, when the taliban taxed the cultivation and trade of the crump. earning millions of u. s. dollars and helping finance their wor, something they have never officially admitted. a shy sunny explains to us why the taliban are trying to been opium production. his institute collects data and research has drug cultivation in afghanistan. the objective is certainly to get the approval 1st of the international community hopefully move closer and closer to the
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recognition of the regime, which is very important for them because it would been allow many other revenues to fluid. oh, so when the taliban minister confirmed this in the interview, he said the world has to help us. we asked them to take notice and stand by our side. we didn't know how to move. michelle wondered what the day's almost done. the conversation continues online. you'll find us on twitter, either at dw, she can follow me on twitter at brent golf tv every month. whatever happens between now and then tomorrow is another day. we'll see that everyone's
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