tv To the Point Deutsche Welle September 16, 2022 9:30am-10:01am CEST
9:30 am
ah, how did she become adult hitler's favorite director? and how did he become a forgotten film? pioneer, lini, leaf and stuff, and the old funding 132. they set out into the icy wilderness of greenland to create a life threatening film project that became a major milestone in their life. ice cold passion storage october 8th on d. w. it's nothing short of a route. ukraine's 2 pronged counter offensive has expelled russian troops from a large wave of territory in the northeastern part of the country at lightning speed. in under a week, the ukrainian forces regained more territory than russia captured in over 5 months . blindsided and on the defensive,
9:31 am
russia has responded by striking power plants plunging much of the north east of the country, into darkness. we're asking ukraine's battlefield gates put in under pressure with hello and welcome to to the point. it is a pleasure to greet our guests vendor lena fund brideau is european that business and finance correspondent for the economist magazine. your glow is foreign affairs correspondent at the german weekly deep fight. and it's very great pleasure to welcome my colleagues that amy as the puff back, he works with d w. his russian language desk and vladimir, the ukrainian offensive seems to have caught the russian forces and the ship
9:32 am
entirely off guard is that is, that should be that the case. it, these russians the doctor of guard indeed, but i would not talk about it like a turning point of disorder goes through it to say, but it's a huge success. we're ukrainian army. huge, very, very important signal for your brain and politics and for the current population mentoring. and what is the lightning speed of this campaign? tell us about the state of russian forces. there was a lot about the state of the graham for as a source for graham force i able to do for him intelligence office near the, for him, for him weapon systems to push back russians from, from huge territories. and in there were completely surprised, took by surprised by the, by this possibility of the green army, linda, linda, lina. this has been one of the biggest,
9:33 am
if not the biggest counter offensive since world war 2 in europe. the russian retreat has been chaotic. the russians have left ample supplies of both ammunition and military kit behind to the delight of ukrainian forces, of course, but expelling, occupying forces is one thing actually, retaining. newly one territory is another. do you think ukraine can do it? yeah, i'm not sure. and i'd be also careful not to make too much of to say it's a turning point. i don't think it is yet. i think it's comparable to, you know, at the very beginning brush i thought they could take here within days and then the whole thing will be over within a week. and there was a big defeat. now this is the 2nd big defeat off of this whole campaign. but russia still occupies about 20 percent of your current territory. so you know, we still have a long way to go and i think it will, you know, it'll become a war of attrition. sadly, i don't think that's changed. let me ask her to comment on exactly that president.
9:34 am
so lensky ukrainian president made a surprise visit to the city of him this week and said that his troops, quote, unquote, a will press on, is the m, is viewed as a gateway to the industrial part of the east to the industrial region of don bass, which of course has been the main focus of russia's ambitions. would you say that the ukrainians have a good chance of building on the momentum to actually make real in roads there? i think so, jim is a very important logistical hub for defenders and used to be one for the aggressors . and this is, this is a major step for, for them, but also the appearance of sa lensky, on seen contrast that with fulton bass sitting in a bunker all the time. and that's, that's such
9:35 am
a different way of know, presenting your case to the world public. that i think this also makes, makes a huge difference also for ukrainians and for, for the spirit of the defenders they're letting me do you think put into aims for the dumbass are doomed i'm i would hope yes, but i'm afraid not. not yet because it's just one step or i'm, it was out on this very long corps, and we would not expect that the war is over in the next weeks. so the russian government and the russian stablish mint and president graham himself communicating on george express spar berson and moscow communicating even for that of their russian real russia. you follow the goal set for the specially military operations? are the russians, doesn't that or didn't give up the goals, which is the removing of the ukrainian government and then it's vacation, so called in if the vacation of the ukraine, the destruction of their civil and military infrastructure is going on. as we see
9:36 am
after the counter emphasis in height, if origin, russia struck the power lines, russell struck them pretty work. so it's the horror is going on. and the goals are the same. still the same. and let's say drill a bit deeper on that and take a closer look at a counter offensive. it stunned, not only russian forces and politicians, but also western military experts, shattered russian tanks and positions. they testify to the force of the ukrainian attack, but also to the element of surprise in the rapid advances with this who keeps troops recaptured huge sections of territory in east in ukraine, within a short period of time. the ukrainian president current. the speaks of more than 6000 square kilometers, according to military experts,
9:37 am
ukrainian territorial gains thus exceed those of the russians. for 5 months in less than a week. on the one hand, the counter offensive testifies to the military competence of the ukrainians and the effectiveness of western weapon systems. but it also highlights the desert it state of the russian military. moscow, on the other hand, speaks only of regrouping its troops to reinforce its units in that region. but observe is now even no longer rule out a rapid collapse of the russian war machine of the recent successes of the ukrainian military. the long for turning point in this wow. yeah, let me put that question straight away to you because we've heard both the other guest say it's not a turning point. how do you say? well, it's militarily, it might not be the turning point of the war, but it's very important because it's the 1st time we've had good news from the battlefield in very many months. and it's very important for the ukrainians going
9:38 am
into that winter. that will be very hard for them all for europeans, but for the ukraine's it will be very hard and to, to make sure that western support will not dry up. it's very important for them to present these successes now. so i think in that sense it might be not a turning point, but a very important point in the campaign. i want to talk a little bit about before we come to the west, i want to talk a little bit about what all this means for letting me put in. and interestingly enough, since this counter offensive vladimir, there has been no word. the criticism of protein at home, as well as a broad of course, but tell us a little bit about the voices you're hearing at home in russia was remarkable. i mean, the news of the dozens of small dip, which is very small, russian opposition, politicians and muslim centers before demanding the resentment of button. it's not
9:39 am
really new, it's very gross because people, but this is not new, but really new. is that voice from the hotline? or from the, from the really me that the hard line are from around on color, if the president of just now who is demanding the rethinking of the us military strategy in the ukraine and who are still even talking about visiting moscow and talking to the leadership over to russian military by himself. this is very important signs of the, of the parts of the russian military establishment of the part of russian hotline and not being happy with the grand total. and it's very strong signals on the, on the right side and russian. what would you expect it to mean for vladimir putin? how would you expect him to react? i would be surprised to mourn, but if she is not escalating the situation for you to, i'm not sure in which form it will be happening, but it will be the next step of escalation. divorce i would expect. and alina,
9:40 am
would you agree with that assessment? sadly, yes, and we've already seen that, you know, he's, the russians have bombarded critical infrastructure and power stations, a damn, you know, this is very painful for the civilian population. so in some ways the escalations already started. we'll come back to that as well in a, in a moment, but your, let me ask you about your assessment of the political situation in russia. your paper, this week published an opinion piece by the russian historian, historian vladimir current whizzer, who reminds us that in the past political upheaval in russia often came with stunning speed. and he predicts that could happen again. should the west start preparing for a rush when it put in? well, how do you prepare for that situation? i mean it's, it's unforeseeable because this person has been in charge for such a long time for,
9:41 am
for 20 years, no more than 20 years. but it's true that a military defeat has brought sweeping change in russia many times. i mean, we seen it after the defeat in afghanistan. it opened you possibilities for the opposition, but also for opposition within the systems to come up and try something else. if it's going to be the hard liners the nationalist that 30 minute just mentioned, we don't know. it doesn't have to be a turn of the header. yes, absolutely. i have grown up in the soviet union in the were and i'm going to stand with elephant in the room. no one was talking about this openly about this kind of people not being happy with the government. and different levels was supported by the war enough to understand it was a lot of one of the key factors in the soft destruction of the soviet union. so,
9:42 am
as to the risks of the war in the claim to be, to inflict this kind of self destruction in the russian. but it's, it's in the russian society because people at some point, this feeling of the people not being happy with what's going on in the country. and they cannot fix it on, on the war on politics and so in. but this general feeling of not being keeping is increasing the historian that i mentioned, vladimir current was a, it says in this article at the collapse of proteins regime is a question, not as if, but when can you wager any kind of estimate of what a post protein russian might look like what direction it can be. don't know what it is, the so much unknowns and long if you look back at the russian history, every previous russian leader was followed by someone by
9:43 am
a very surprise. so no one was expecting gorbachev appearing. no one was expecting you to the brink and no one was expecting putting that fitting. so the next one state leader would be someone i would expect who is not expected right now. we know the name of the person. it will be someone from the actual establishment i would expect. that would be not someone from the marson from foreign country, but it's the name no surprise vendor lena, coming back to the the, the effects on the war. there's been some rising concern here in germany and elsewhere in the west that a put in with his back to the wall might be more likely to escalate, as you have indicated, possibly including with tactical nuclear weapons. is that a serious risk? you think? i do think it's a risk, you know, we cannot excluded. we cannot say it won't happen. but put in his own way of thinking has so far been very rational in his, you know,
9:44 am
considering his worldview. and i think in that sense, if we could think he's, he's acting rationally it's, it's unlikely that he will go as far as that and certainly just run point put in order in politics, political system, us completely thinking outside of the box. so what me expect, and the rest is not always what's happening in russia and put in is a man of the big surprise. a source is open and often make things to which no one expects from him. and we have so brace from orn surprises when surprise he did not deliver in this week. there was a chance or sholtes in request that put in withdraw the troops from ukraine in a telephone call put in, made it very clear that he has no regard to regrets whatsoever about the invasion
9:45 am
and would do it all over again. would you say the chance of schultz was right to give diplomacy a chance at this moment in time? and where do you think things could go from here? i think so, it's right to make these calls. i mean, no surprises in the answer put in gave, obviously, but it's important for also a domestic reason for shorts. he has to make clear to the german public that he's trying everything, especially if we expect. and i do expect that we will have to send more heavy weapons at some point. and then being able to say, look, i tried everything, i talked to him, i presented my case and he wouldn't, he wouldn't answer. so it is a very is it is a better position to escalate on in terms of weapons
9:46 am
those repeated attacks on ukrainian infrastructure. that blend event. alina mentioned earlier, including most recently on ukraine's water supply, indicate that putin is hardly ready to call it quits. we have this report in khaki than of the ukrainian cities in the east of the country. the russians caused a black house. according to our witness reports, the result widespread power outages, plunging and taya areas and millions of civilians into darkness. without lights, without heat, without internet, and even without water, as pumps run on electricity. and in europe to like here and leal france, people are trying to prepare for a possible blackout as a result of the russian energy war with energy saving measures and further safety precautions ahead of the upcoming winter. but energy prices climbing to ever new dizzying heights. for many consumers and businesses,
9:47 am
the situation is becoming increasingly threatening, even without a black house. how well is europe prepared for this winter? and i'll put that question straight away to a vendor lina, but i'm going to broaden it out a bit and ask you how well prepared you think europe is to stay the course also in terms of support for ukraine. if the russian energy war on the west does turn things dark and cold, here as wells in ukraine, i think europe is relatively well prepared and we will get to this winter. let me just start with saying that in germany, gas storage facilities are pretty much full. i mean, much fuller than we expected them to be at this point. in industry for instance, in germany. other companies shown that they can save quite a lot of energy, much more than they thought individuals. we're all, you know, we're all supposed to save energy and we can do, we can do even more. it'll be tough. it will for sure. be tough, but i don't,
9:48 am
i don't think debbie gas fashioning it depends of course, how cold winter will be and that's something we don't know. but let's assume it's a, it's a normal winter, you know, normal temperatures. we will be ok, it wouldn't be easy, but we'll be ok that a central question that has arisen also due to this counter offensive is whether germany will sustain its military support for ukraine. germany is now under increasing pressure once again to deliver more and heavier weapons to ukraine. but russia's ambassador to germany said this week that if anything germany has done way too much. and in fact, he used the term red line to saying that germany's support to date has already crossed a red line. what is he trying to say with that? is that simply a rhetorical device? or could it mean that russia is aiming to punish germany with some additional regard north? yeah, because we don't know if it be any blackouts in germany inflicted from outside. i
9:49 am
could not exclude this possibility of such errands and on a german soil, which is the russian ember. so. so using the word for a loan, it's germany is now in from a russian part of you is a part of the conflict part of this war on the side of the ukraine as a whole vest on board the whole night in the united states because made in the united states, in germany, delivering grievance to the ukraine, make him able to crane to push russia back. so it's not the best on war outside of this conflict. and it's like war between russia middle crane from the russian point of view. it's a war between russia and the rest of the worth of the rest liberal democratic board, united and then a thought, you know, european union on your course. in fact, the u. s. military advisors are said to have played a key strategic role working with ukraine to design this counter offensive. your let me ask you about something that as a shots said this week,
9:50 am
he said he again rejected requests that germany send its martyr and leopard battle tanks and said, in fact, germany's for high performance weapons that it has already sent has been very, very helpful. on the battle field is his defensiveness on this point. is it really justified or do you think that germany could and should do more right now? i think we could do more and i think chancellor schools could build on what he stated that the weapons we sent really make a difference on the battlefield. so it, they are even more lethal than the ones that are asked for now. the martyrs said, basically, infantry fighting vehicles with small canons mounted on top. they're not as little
9:51 am
as the punter ho, bits of 2000 we already delivered. so i don't see why saying we already sent weapons and, and now we're going to go slow. makes really sense and the, the argument that we, we are not going to go alone is valid, but it doesn't have to be us going alone. we can take the initiative and bring along nato partners. so, and i think that's what the us also wants and us in this phase of the war. that's how i understand the american ambassador saying it's a sovereign decision by germany. just don't wait for us to make a decision. if you look at per capita contributions to ukraine, germany of course, is more populous than many other european countries. it's also an industrial power house. and yet its contributions for significantly short of what
9:52 am
a number of other countries have done vend alina. that's right. i mean, for instance, poland has done much more than germany and, and other countries to the baltic states. but germany sort of in the middle, you know, even considering its size, its strength, it's, its population. america, of course, has done and much, much more. so i don't think germany's done so badly and, and one thing to emily sent, which is enormously useful and doesn't really get a lot of that isn't not mentioned a lot as iris t. it's basically like the israeli dome. it's that it's, it's, it's very radical. doesn't show missile defense here, and it's something the bonus there kind of because it's so pricey, but we sent it to germany, sent it to ukraine. so i think germany sometimes also under playing a little bit how much of it is doing in germany has a huge transformation and the public opinion in the last 6 months, in terms of re, from delivery to the growing to the conflict on. and i would not compared to spending spoke with baltic states by poland, number of years. they have completely different story of relationships.
9:53 am
historically, poland and baltic states to russia as germany. but population of baltic states are not the kind of but sophistic, like in germany, moves in the whole massage, brought concerns in the society like in germany about partition. and this is a huge factor in domestic and foreign politics in germany. nonetheless, there is a lot of concern in this country. i mentioned germany being an industrial power house. well after world war 2, the u. s. secretary of treasury, who was a hard line anti german proposed to plan that would have seen the complete de industrialization of jeremy, so that it could never wage war again. and that word is now being used here by citizens and media who say that perhaps putin will achieve was what morgan thought didn't. is that are true risks. and alina, i've just written about this for the economist and it's, it's warmed, cause revenge. and it's, it's not a risk that mr. morgan towns plan and still really completely industrialized
9:54 am
germany. and he wrote a book german is our problem in 1945 that that will not happen. but some companies will go under and some companies will go abroad. so certain in a small scale, the industrialization is a real risk and that's why people are so worried about it. yoga the government doing enough toward that off? well, they're trying, i think we haven't seen the end of it. ok. so the measures that have been taken are mostly directed at consumers at the moment, and individual households to shield them from the consequences of this economic warfare. much more will have to be done for companies and what but, but germany is still in a good position to do this. so i'm not defeatist. let me come back to our title or before we are we and the show. as you remember, you cranes, battlefield gains put in under pressure is,
9:55 am
are tight. let me ask all of you very briefly. as you look ahead now after this counter offensive, are you more hopeful that the end of this war is in sight? vladimir? no, not at all. the voices you have to come send to lena. sadly, i'm, i'm with vladimir that, that i think there will be escalation, but i am more hopeful about the strengths of the ukrainian military. it's, it's totally impressive what they've shown us here and more helpful. i think you're crank, can sure up more support that way and i'm very hopeful that something will change that also on russia in the debate about the war. thank you very much to all of you for being with us today. and thanks to all of you in our audience for tune again, see you soon. back with
9:57 am
9:58 am
even 3030 minutes on d. w. taiwan on guard. growing calls for independence. r ruffling the fathers of big brother china. can this small country take the pressure he and how did it come to this? facing the threat from china in 75 minutes on d. w o. a has no limits. love is for everybody. love is life.
9:59 am
i love matters and that's my new podcast. i'm evelyn sharma and i really think we need to talk about all the topics the north devise and denied that this of invited many a year and well, i guess and i would like to invite you to and then hello guys. this is the 77 percent the platform for africa. you beat issues and share ideas. you know, on these channels, we are not afraid to talk to young people clearly have the solution for future loans. 277 percent every weekend on d w ah
10:00 am
ah ah, this is dina news line from berlin, ukrainian authors you say that found mass graves outside the city is you which was liberated from russian forces 6 days ago. president salons, he says, rush up must be held responsible for leaving behind the trail of death. also on the program, germany takes control.
13 Views
Uploaded by TV Archive on