tv To the Point Deutsche Welle February 3, 2023 1:30am-2:01am CET
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t v highlight freshly rebuttal every week, snuck him up. what our sport all about in winning fighting, scoring we say they were about never giving up the most exciting sport stories about people passion and their dr. sports life every weekend on dw ah. as soon as the west agreed to supply ukraine with heavy batter tanks, your grain started to demand formal presidents, zalinski saved his country all gently, needs by the japs and somebody. now this has fogged the heated debate and international politics. u. s. and germany have refused to agree to this new and
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among others, wonder if that a dawning thought diplomacy could be the way to end the world. so today on to the point, we are new weapons for ukraine. read us the why to aid leave with hello and welcome to do the point. it's good to have you with us. now before we start, let me introduce our guests. we have make connolly. nick walks as foreign correspondent with doctor weller. he has been reporting extensively out of ukraine for the last few months. welcome back. next on the panel is professor of gong massacre. he is skeptical about sending more arms to ukraine. and last but not least, we have bus island motley. she is security expert at the german council on relation
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. she's also based on button, but she's joining us remotely today. let me start with you. you've been on the ground. you've seen the situation there. now russia has been attacking residential areas and ukraine claims now that russia is preparing for an offensive for the 24th of february. can ukraine really hold its ground quite literally? well, i think that's definitely the conviction in care of i think they are positively surprised at least what in terms of the kind of homes that are being supplied in the last couple of weeks after long period frustration and kind of cools on the west to send more we've had to kind of flurry of announcements of new equipment of to the question mark hangs over when this stuff is actually going to arrive in front lines. i think there is a sense and there isn't really fear that threatens are going to make a lot of new gains. but the question is, how fast will you grain, or will you kind of tool be able to reclaim turkey that's been lost to russian since 24th february 22. so i think it's more about, can ukraine make significant gains before some kind of negotiations restock
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negotiations? we say island, i'll come to you now. now you creams and it needs heavy tanks. it needs a long range missile systems and is going to get that as well. germany has agreed us has agreed other countries are going to provide things. but now when we talk of a fighter planes, germany and america, they're both extremely, very of that. what's the reason for that? i can't tell you exactly what the reason for that is, but my assumption has been the source, the reason and motivations were on the war so far, especially in germany, but also the united states and their leaders are afraid of escalating or contributing to an escalation of the war by way of sending new systems, including fighter jets professor matter. do you think that by delivering more and
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more weapons to ukraine, the west is in a way, pushing potent to escalate the war? put in doesn't really need to be pushed to get t deeper into the war. he is a caress or there is no doubt about it. nevertheless, we are dealing with a crash or, and we are dealing with an dictator and he can decide without all these checks and balances, we haven't democratic systems, he can decide more or less on his own or in this very small in a search. what he wants to to, and what we have seen in the war is that he begins to a initiate and you turn in the escalation. and this is quite obviously what the americans and part of the term and government are
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afraid off. and this is what i expect and at the end and war has to be ended by negotiations. the sooner the better. you said, negotiation, you also mentioned negotiations. now nato allies had barely settled a week's long stand off over the supply of battle. thanks to ukraine. and now a new confrontation appears to be viewing after tongues will there be negotiations for fighter jets and submarines. berlin wants to supply ukraine with 14 that the 2 tanks. other countries are also taking part about volt hold. and no way the usa wants to send abrams tanks, but that's not enough for ukrainian president zalinski who says his country needs much more to defeat the russian army. just williams, my son, call those around the world politicians, journalists, and ordinary people who insist with us that there can be no taboo on supplying
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weapons to protect against russian terror. keith, once f. 16 fighter jets, but u. s. president joe biden draws a line. they're great with the partner, chancellor, all i've showed secretes for fear of further escalation, ukraine is also demanding a stop marine from germany, arms deliveries to ukraine, really the only way to force russia to negotiate all the critics right. and fearing that the delivery of potential offensive weapons could end in a 3rd world war, must the west give ukraine everything it needs to win showed the wealth go on delivering everything that ukraine asked for island. i'd like to ask that question to you. where does this really and should the west go on delivering things? i cannot predict where any of this will end. and i think there's nobody in fact can . however, if the goal of the west is to,
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to continue supporting ukraine in its writers who claim to reclaim territory, to fend off rushes aggression to sort of, to, to hold on to it is the ran a teacher at surcharge integrity. then i think it is necessary for the west to continue supplying ukraine with weapons by the way, not only new weapon systems, but also and initially for systems that have been delivered already artillery systems. for example. there are numerous reports of some of those systems running out of ammunition and the west are scrambling for um, for further supplying those of munitions. so it's a question of a new weapon systems, but also the question of, i'm continuing to sort of to supply an ammunition for systems that have already been delivered and are still necessary on the bath fields to to and to be amused.
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but ukraine adults asking for gentlemen, submarines, do you think that's realistic? i think it said i wouldn't want to preclude that. the german government, at some point will rule in favor of that seeing the sort of the history of especially a germany in supplying m ukraine with weapons. it's been really a history of, of, of the, of wavering. i'm essentially. and then in the end of germany has almost all the time given into and his demands, this am ukraine made in concert with its allies on so i wouldn't now go on records . precluding germany might change its mind on that matter. traverse america. we do see a delight, there are some countries that are more than willing to supply the other countries
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that do not want to supply the extremely hesitant. how do you really see this? how do you interpret this? do you think within has managed to create raft in the west allies or would that be a strategy of the west? i don't, i don't see any risk with among the western countries put in was quite an sex unsuccessful to create such and cleavage between the different countries. of course, the countries have and different shields strategic position. we have the baltic countries, we have poland. it's not the same as we are looking to port your goal or to it to lead. so there is a very different situation if it comes to geo politics. and the other thing is, ah, there are different historical memories. and of course, poland and the ball, the countries have different ones,
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and they want to see russia defeated. but my hunch is, the more russia has to be afraid to slipping on the slippery slope into a defeat, it will escalate because protein cannot imagine any can even not support that russia will lose. it is his fate as well. it as his fit as well. nick, you've been on the ground as i said in the beginning. now, how do people in ukraine see this? is there a sentiment that we have to win the war? there should be victory only then that's the end. or what did i prefer? a solution to dialogue and diplomacy? i think there's very little support in ukraine for some kind of negotiation sooner on russian terms. i think there's definitely kind of fairly broad consensus in ukraine cited that. russia is not going to stop that. they tried this in 2014, they tried to freeze the conflict,
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they basically tolerated russian control premier. the left front lines didn't ask where they were, and the russia just came back for another bite of the apple and that russia, this time might use the time to kind of breather, to improve its army, to stuck up on spare parts and to re than try again, more successfully, 2nd times is a real sense. our home to grabs which unity, wild west sports in ukraine, while you have joe biden to white house, willing to really provide a lot of my finance and also weapons in case for instance, there's a 2nd trump presidency. the real fear that if you crane doesn't really regain control that search and i'll get some really kind of hard and fast security guarantees that this is going to get a lot worse, a lot more dangerous, few cranes richer. and m. orlando had recently said the ex or french president that it's actually both in strategy that the western allies, they should get dire and they should just run out of ideas. and that's what they're doing and fighting amongst each other, they'd be, have to deliver thing, then they go on delivering. and that's the part of the strategy. and only ben wouldn't is going to win. how do you do that?
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i don't believe that the western country will get tired. they are already deeply involved into this war. and the reputation of the military and the defense, reputation of the countries, especially of the united states depends to some extent what will be the outcome of this war. and they cannot simply forget what they have done so far. they cannot forget that there isn't a caress or which wireless international law flake or entry and so they will not get tired. i'm completely sure. and if you look into the discourses of our country, what are we debating about? we are discussing the situation of the war we are discussing to vicki cheeks, then we can and should get involved. and if we are looking to the
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little sequence we have seen now in television, it seems to be that the president of the united states sees it more clear than many european countries, which are the risks involved in an intensification escalation of this war. you said negotiation is the only way out. how do they reach a negotiation? and this is a $1000000.00 question. i don't have for prepared. so you for that, what i'm asking for is we should explore it more intensively. we should start and we should, the countries should talk with her to her war party is russia and ukraine and the united states of america should put more. ah, of course,
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the dean will not do it on his own, but probably, and this is very difficult to say, and it's even not easy for me. might be that the dictator must be offered some thing. and we cannot start with maxima list positions and saying only we negotiate, only then when the russian troops have left completely ukraine. this will simply not happen. the negotiations are important, but as you said, the ukrainians did on one negotiations under russian town. and also there's a real sense in ukraine that there's a lack of imagination in the west about russia after bruton that, you know, there is not necessarily a given that putin has survived this politically in any scenario. and that if the losses start adding up, if people from oscars in pittsburgh or who are called up lose their lives, not just people from distant provinces that actually the kind of discontent russian
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side could put them on a lot of pressure. and maybe in a year or 2, the west, my fun sells negotiating with totally new people in the covenant. what people do on the end of what they want the end of the war. but i think there's definitely a sense that russia has not given up its aim of destroying ukraine is foreign country. and that conflict is inevitable. and that they want to know if negotiation happens, do that for a position of strength and for a position where they can defend themselves. it's important to remember here ukraine gave up, it's nuclear weapons in the ninety's and return security guarantees. circle budapest, memorandum u. k. the russian signed the americans and we saw that paper was totally worthless . those guarantees proved, you know, totally unable to defend ukraine. so i think your grand range is going to have a hard and fast facts on the ground and for real guarantees they can then call on should russia try again? people in ukraine want to see the end of the war. what do people in russia want? and how do the german see this? let's take a listen. according to polls, a slight majority of germans are in favor of supplying offensive weapons to ukraine
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. distinct mood, i think with western technology, you can show the russians that it's not going to work. and there's no victory for them, which is what they're counting on over. that's been pat sophisticated, i'm a pacifist, and i want to see ukraine being supported in route on that i think battle tanks to the wrong way had said that there should be more of an attempt to enter into negotiations. i'd still be in the middle console after all, re santana to ukraine, but russia will soon attack us. isn't that right? if psy reynolds go off in our country, then it's really going to kick off it's losers. job in moscow many played the west for the war and ukraine, the hostile looters, like these only escalate the conflicts. but those who are interested in ending the conflict. and what reason? ukraine are counting on negotiation use when you were unfortunately, we see that our west and partners have an interest in the conflict lasting as long as possible. but when i wanted to brought my compass,
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the western countries say they are not directly involved in the conflict between africa isn't interfering with latin america, isn't they don't supply anything according. but if you supply tanks, then you're directly taking part. so i thank you. so a lot of germs, they believe that by directly by sending tags and by sending weapons, germany's data key part of the war. whereas german chancellor left charles, he has that addicted, that interpretation completely. ellen, let me come to you are talking of the legal concept. if you said your foot on the back of the ground, you're directly about of the war. if you train people or if you provide intelligence that's kind of agrees on. but if you only provide veterans, then it's not a problem at all. why is that? so what's the legality around this? well i, i'm not a elizabeth, i'm an expert on, on international law, but as far as i can read them international law,
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it is pretty clear on them as you just pointed out, you know, providing a weapons and to them to ukraine. doesn't equal or doesn't mean that's on the west is actually a part of the conflict and sometimes actually actively participating in the conflict and actually are in northern speaking of international law. we're talking also us, you know, i'm holding the un harder. i'm here where it is enshrined, says a country, it's hey, by another i'm sovereign country as a case in ukraine that other countries are allowed legally allowed to come to, to the countries 8. so if there's really no slippery slope, no room for interpretation whatsoever. and in terms of whether or not the west is a, a, as a party to am, to the conflict. however, i'd just like to point out one thing. obviously the west is not neutral either. we
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have been or at west has been sort of standing by ukraine side from the get go. so we're not in so we're not neutral of eater, especially in political terms. professor michael, if there's no slippery slope. why are so many countries hesitant on sending weapons and especially now we're talking about fighter jets from us in germany because of course there is a slippery slope. nobody knows how the escalation continues. and if you assume, and this is my hypothesis, if you assume they're put in, cannot afford to lose this war because is political and physical existence is challenged by then, dictators know perfectly if they lose for us, they quite often get executed as well. so he will do everything every thing, not to lose the war. and this is what countries know and even
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obviously the united states of america, they are afraid that the escalation goes to something where nobody can steer any more, what is going on on the crown. and this is certainly an important point. the 2nd point is the people and the political elite in latin america do not have that much trust in to the west. the same is true for india. the same is true for indonesia, because they have seen even the democratic country, the united states of america, violating international law and attacking iraq. so they are talking about the west to speaking with to tongue, so to say, and therefore they are skeptical. they don't want to be part of it and to some
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extent for them, it's an european war. it's not a war going on in latin america or in asia. a lot of people are skeptical, they don't want to be part of it. so while the western countries are busy figuring out which weapons to send and which not the newly elected brazilian president lola, the silver has emphasized the creation off. and i caught up the love of countries that want to build these on the planet. and he seems to have found a leader for this club to oh, brazil. brazil has no interest in supplying ukraine with munitions. waive your fee for this is now a time for china to get involved and help make peace between russia and ukraine. professor michael door lula, the silver mentioned chinese. he said our friends, the chinese. but what i found interesting was his choice of countries that he wants
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to make the glove. but he mentioned apart from china, he mentioned india and indonesia. now brazil, on the one hand, is in bricks where china and india on the other hand it is, are in g 20 troika, with indian indonesia. how do you see this? the is the, the power shifting to the global south is the global south. really, really going to play a very big role in solving this western conflict. i would like to hope it, but i don't have too much trust into it. then let's recap you late, who are the major players? the major players players are on the one side. certainly russia and ukraine, but above all, the united states of america with out a u. s. will to end this war, the war may not. and very soon, and i'm anyway skeptical that the war will end very soon. and i expect
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if you listen to political decision makers, it will loom in to the 2000, then 24. and this becomes a war of attrition. and it means each day, $1000.00 people die on the crown. so the global 1000 can play a role as a new troll actor, but he will not be that decisive. one. nick, russia say that will not done that and extend it to me and salience. he says that he wants everything back even time. yeah. so what could be the solution? if you're talking about negotiations, how did you come to the negotiation table that love head start? now? i think we're not there. i think negotiations are a long way off. maybe if, you know, 6 months, a year, years down the line, one of the sides is exhausted in terms of financial resources, human resources, then maybe they'll be willingness to kind of compromise. but, you know, russia claims kind of song as its territory and that was,
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it was re taken by the koreans last year. and it's even questionable where the russian knows what it borders. it's claiming. all right, now we had the kind of situation where the americans press person was asked where does russia end? and he couldn't give an answer one question, but going back to the global self. interestingly, there been some credible reports come out of ukraine recently. that pakistani major shells have been found in the ukranian army that ukraine is offering services to help boxed on. it's so it made helicopters in return, getting munitions. so i think if you look beyond that political more open support, there is definitely the sense that it is proving possible to find resources and military equipment from countries who aren't necessarily publicly getting involved in this conflict. i didn't last towards coming back to again coming back to the role of media. if china does stick up the role of mediator with the rest accepted annoying um china stands. do you think jane? i would be a partial mediator. you've said that west as or not, but do you think that's possible?
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well, it's not. i think it's a question of whether the west excess and china as a, as a possible broker. it's ukraine and russia, 1st of all, 1st and foremost from having to accept a mediator. and i'm pretty sure that russia would be more than happy to accept china as a mediator. but i don't think that ukraine would, would agree to that seeing as, as anything but a neutral player i'm in this war. and so it's politically and has been politically supporting russia from, from the very beginning. and i just, i choose to point out that i find the wording. it is european or western unfortunate because it is not. we're talking about russia's war of aggression against crane and not a conflict between russia and the west. i have to stop you there. island. sorry, running out of time. and one of our viewers on youtube asking quads, pardon me?
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country despite an embargo background of a civil war. libya destruction of a nation in 15 minutes on d. w. analia is in the throes of a real estate, french. the turkish metropolis is running out of affordable housing as more and more russian is far buying and renting their prices are exploding. those with average in house can no longer afford to live in their city and are being displayed focused on europe. 90 minutes, d w. o m a getting ahead
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with documentary series is valley. hey, it's africa ah meek, the founders empowering their continent through digital innovation and transforming work health and living conditions in their country. and finally the world with their id. founders valley africa started february 3rd on dw people in trucks injured one, trying to flee the city center. more and more refugees are being turned away at the border. families, please. all the reason for the credit on that is we learned demonstrate people seeing extreme demand. ross, getting 200 people around the world, more than 300000000 people are seeking refuge. yes.
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why? because no one should have to flee. make up your own mind. d. w. made for mines. ah ah, this is dw news live from berlin. ukraine deserves e u. membership talks this year, a declaration from ukraine's president as european commission chief was left on the line and a team of talk you officials are visiting cuba, where they will hold a summit with president.
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