point is that the russians don't know where this cancer offensive the main blow of it is going to fall. and in order to have a successful offensive like that, you need a surprise, creativity, and perception. and, and those 3 things, the kinds of demonstrate to us over the previous year that, that very good, those things actually, and they need to because they're fighting for their territory. on the other hand, the russian forces are quite high rock who quite slow to make decisions and often they continue pursuing lines of activity the on, on very successful for them. so just looking at the 2 forces, i think we can say ukrainians stand a good chance. the final point i would make is the ukraine has to be successful this year. the west has significantly equipped ukraine for this council offensive. and if they aren't successful this year, then it's very unlikely that the west is going to equip them again for another country. so, i was just going to ask about that because of course they're asking for more supplies. and some analysts that ukraine's in current capabilities,

basically give it one chance for a major counter that yeah, well, i think if you, if you talk to some of what's been donated, ukraine's got maybe to ahmed divisions or maybe a for the to a mechanized or live all divisions, that's enough for a good showing this summer. i think it's not correct to say that they've only got one attack in that use of the word offensive. but they they have a series of options this summer. and that, that size a force really is going to be successful or used up by the end of the summer. so those analysts are right in the sense that ukraine has one chance this summer to try and psychologically break the russian forces in ukraine. yeah, just a quick question about russia saying it's advanced and back now. well ukraine and says it's holding the front line and can we expect any sort of particular breakthrough there? no, i mean,

i mean what's happening in back move is what's been happening for the last few months, which is that ukraine is deploying the minimum number of forces that it needs to hold on. the city was inflicting a maximum damage on the russian forces and keeping the russian leadership concentrating on backward, while ukraine prepared as elsewhere. i would expect that once the, the main thrust of this substantial part of the training offensive gets on the way that the pressure will be relieved on by because the russians will have to pull their forces away from it. mike, thanks so much as always as mike martin, a senior fellow at kings college london. thank you. ok, let's take a look now. some of the other stories making news around the world today. global military spending rose to a record high last year, driven by the war and ukraine. a 2 for $2.00 trillion dollars. it was the 8 consecutive record rise, not for according to the annual report on defense spending by the stock on

international peace research institute in europe. growth reached its highest level since the end of the cold war. around 60 civilians have been killed and a village in northern but keen of fafsa, according to a local prosecutor residence told b a f p. news agency. the attackers were dressed in ami uniforms and arrived on a motorbike and pickup trucks. the attack took place in. com, a village near the border with molly an area overrun by islamist millicent groups. i'm actually trying to bring traffic to a home here in germany's capital berlin by gluing themselves streets. it's the latest protest by the campaign group known as the last generation in its attempt to pressure the government into taking more drastic measures against climate change. now billions of people have been vaccinated against climate. 19 the rapid development of vaccines to fight the corona virus is a major scientific success story in us as the well health organization. marx,

world immunization week, lose the jobs. don't stop the spread of coven 19. they do help prevent serious illness. but despite a life saving potential, the availability and uptake of coven 19 vaccines has varied hugely around the world . many studies have determined that vaccines developed to fight covered 19 saved a huge number of lives worldwide. as the number of approved vaccines as multiplied and recommendations from health care authorities have evolved, it's grown increasingly difficult to determine who is protected when a booster is necessary. and which one makes most sense. interest in vaccines has also fallen throughout much of 2021 over 30000000 doses were being administered every single day at peak times over 40000000. but recently that's dropped to just a few 100000 injections daily. according to the world health organization,

around 70 percent of the world's population has received at least one dose of coven 19 vaccine. many people have had multiple shots, and over 13000000000 doses have been administered globally. but distribution remains unequal, while most of the world now averages to administer doses or more per inhabitant. india and russia are still reporting lower rates around 1.6 and 1.3 respectively. a few countries in africa have similar numbers, but rates overall on the continent and a few other places remain stubbornly low. in low income countries in general says the w h o, only around 3 out of 10 people on average have received even a single dose of coven 19 vaccine. now,

india is currently experiencing a spike and cove. at 19 cases the surge is being driven by a new on the chrome sub variant of the virus, which effectively dodge is immunity, gained from vaccination and previous infections. but public health experts do say that previous immunity is preventing severe infections. he w, manero, chowdhury reports now from delhi in the us clinics and hospitals are crowded again . people are once more queuing up to see a doctor about pulse, breathlessness and fever. this mall community clinic in delhi is seeing between 30 to 40 patients with corporate like symptoms every day. at present, the sample positivity rate in the city is hovering between 25 to 32 percent. find this point to a sub burden of the only chronicle, vivian called x b, b $1.00. as the culprit behind the new speed of infections layer was others. again,

this is not a very severe variant yet that are just not causing the kind of infection in which the patient may face respiratory distress. why she needs intensive care with oxygen support. this is, i would rather, it's mostly mild to your milder, despite the number of rise in cases most probably faces after thing, large crowds with no safety protocols being followed. the rising corbett infections have caught the attention of the authorities as well. the deli government says that it's on high alert to deal with this, but in cases and that it is fully prepared to handle any kind of emergency doctor than the boil. a public health expert says that the latest myriad is highly infectious and people should follow basic precautions and accept that the virus is here to stay. the lawless, although extensive, is again limited by the mutations are very hard to predict. we go by the historical data historical in this is which we have seen for the past 100150 days of level.

it's likely to be less and less with time at least birds and in some lineage is a song that can keep on coming. the country so far has seen 3 big be of corona virus, according to the government, into 1020 to 90 percent of india. adult population had been fully vaccinated against it. but the numbers are still lagging when it comes to to short, healthy 1st one that india cannot afford to let it go down. a dramatic consequences of an unchecked find to make are still fresh. earlier we spoke to dr. launcelot pinto. he's a consultant pulmonologist based in and then by in india, and we asked him why vaccines of still an important tool in fighting code 19. i think it's important to constantly reiterate the value of back the nation and build on successes. i think it's easy to let your guard down once you noticed that

a particular disease, meaning you, us, your people getting infected off your people having severe disease and you automatically assume that it has gone away. and i think this is trooper on diseases . i think the world immunization because a good opportunity for scientific communication to remind people of success stories and remind people of how once upon a time. in fact, the diseases used to be a leading cause. the thickness of hospitalized nations and life expectancy used to be locked no longer because of infectious diseases and how not as overcoming these challenges has happened through vaccination. i think it's important to be in today, but it's hard immunity through which immunization works and nobody is really safe until everybody is. so i think it's important ashley, for individuals who haven't received the booster shots, individuals, we're at high risk having severe disease. to be reminded that it's extremely important to not less than the successes that we have achieved so hard. but to be constantly vigilant. dr. launcelot, anticipating to

a $30000.00 foot snooze and in the bundis league, and with the battle for champions league qualification tighter than at the i'll be like say she knew a when at that direct rivals labor cousin could prove vital as the campaign. knee is it's and that they are red hot hosts, ensured things may well go down to the wire, an opportunity to strike a major blow in the race for champions. league qualification, made labor cousins clash with leipzig, a classic 6 pointer. and it was lave accusing who landed the 1st job after 40 minutes. adam close shake with the finish to make it one mill to the hosts. ah! mussa dear bees, 8 desist of the campaign, getting his side off to a dream start. while hoshiko celebrated a 5th boulden as league a strike of an impressive debut season in germany. ah, hey,

sloppy challenge from dominic supposed lie and labor cruise in a penalty in the 85th minute. the referee handed the hungarian a 2nd yellow for the fowl. before the d. m. a mirror put the game to bed with a composed finish. lay recuz's ferns celebrated a massive 3 points in the european chase, while shabby alonzo t make it 13 games without defeat in all competitions. leipzig, meanwhile, route a missed opportunity to go forth. labor cruising close the gap on their rivals to 4 points. it's all still to play for on sundays early been this week action so champions li, chase's fryeburg romped to the foreign l. victory over struggling shalaka, who are running out of time to avoid relegation make i like a go are set fry but on the road to victory with cynical finish in the 7th minute of the 1st health. so the strikes from the austrian as well as lucas luna and matea getting to help feel the home slides when i can meanwhile,

remain 3 points from 60 and his quick reminder of the top story with following for you at this hour. the 1st of 3 evacuation flight has arrived in germany from saddam several 1004 and has been lifted out of the capital to western battles, arranging for a 2nd week without you're up to date coming up next. our environmental magazine, eco africa. i'll be back in the top of the hour. thanks so much for what you did with, with

our eco africa. push me. it's the traditional hulu. so us in liberia that the sale and consumption of it has been forbidden for several years. the goal is to preserve the biodiversity and prevent the spread of diseases

our liberian hunting, with the change. the co africa. on d. w. using high tech to combat water shortage. california has one of the world's largest wastewater treatment plants near los angeles. a stinking sludge is turned into clean drinking water in less than 2 days . the state of the art system is designed to secure fresh water supplies in times of accelerating climate change. global 3000. in 60 minutes on d. w. perfect. ah. in guardians of truth. i had paid almost every price of being a jew in that country like to

a key taking on the powers that be they risk everything, gender, dark meats, activists, journalists, and politicians living in exile. they live to which are they live for their mission? what drives them? people need to know what is happening there are series guardians of truth watch now on youtube. d. w documentary ah, a welcome to this new edition of aiko, africa brought to you by germany's dw nigeria channels television. and you get this and tv.