tv The Day Deutsche Welle May 19, 2023 4:02am-4:30am CEST
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use on our website to be found at the w dot com, the at the g 7 summit in japan, leaders have their work cut out for them and securing more weapons to help you. crane pushed back russia, making the best of a love, hate relationship with china. and for the 1st time, how to best control artificial intelligence. before a i controls us for the next 3 days, they'll sit together and they'll try to come to grips with forces that if left unchecked, could worse than our shared humanity or ended altogether. i've heard golf in berlin . this is the day the one of the themes of the g 7 summit will be the units e between the g 7 countries and supporting ukraine,
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dealing with the full scope of challenges that the p r c presents in the, in the pacific region will absolutely be on the agenda for the jews to train our capability to this or depends capability is one of the most important means of maintaining peace and security on the internet stuff. and of course, the title industry. i'm aware of criticism that russia as a bathing and 2nd banking functions in various ways should take what it is action to make, sanctions more effective. and you'll see concrete action to further isolate russian weekend it's ability to wage. it's also coming up, a wars kidnapped kids research and say that thousands of ukrainian children may have been forcibly deported to russia. it is a child. the child's brain is so flexible if you every day feeds via a brain of your poison from your propaganda poison. and
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during one month to month, this child will say, oh, rush raise, maybe no bad the when to our viewers watching on cbs in the united states and to all of you around the world. welcome. we begin to day at the table where some of the world's most powerful leaders are bound to come together with some of the world's most powerful problems. for the next 3 days, president's prime ministers and the chancellor from the g subbing group of nations will work their way through one of the toughest agendas ever. and one of the topics making a debut this time around for the 1st time ever, g. 7 leaders will discuss the promises and the risks of artificial intelligence. and you can add a, i do several other all to familiar subjects, rushes invasion of ukraine as well as containing the chinese threat how to end the war and how to prevent another from beginning. the answer is include closer ties
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between the us and japan. take unless the jump on us alliance is the cornerstone of peace and stability in the in the pacific region. the jeff on us relationship is not limited to security for these multi lads and strong in all areas. i welcome the rapid progress in japan, us cooperation. as you said, warehouse is most complex tomorrow is the reason is security much more proud of fish. so i'm joined now by bradley bowman. he's the senior director of the center on military and political power at the foundation for the defense of democracies in washington, dc. but it's good to have you back on the program, the prime minister of japan. he's instigated
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a radical shift in japanese defense policy in defense spending. how key is his role in what he is calling one of the most complex security environments that we've seen in recent history? i think japan is playing a critical role here for a number of reasons. one is because there are democracy to the size of their economy. 3 that they're such an important ally for the united states and for they speak with great authority on issues related to nuclear weapons. so for those and more reasons, they're a pivotal player here not to mention their geography in the 1st island chain, which is where a lot of the potential aggression from beijing might occur in the coming years. prime minister is she to, is talking to president biden, about further strengthening of deterrence and response capability for, or in the face of chinese assertiveness or aggressiveness. what developments can we expect there to?
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well, you know, they've made announcements about and dramatically increase defense spending. it looks to be a very significant historic departure from their land longstanding policies following world war 2. and i'd say it's a, it's a couldn't come uh, it's coming just in time because if the united states is going to deter aggression in the taiwan straightened elsewhere from the people's republic of china, i think we're going to need all the help we can get in japan as darn near the top of the list for me. and so i think united states and japan see the global environment in a very similar way, whether it's a hooton's unprovoked invasion of ukraine. whether it's the aggression from china and the need to build a more unified and capable military to turn with a sound economic foundation, where we pull out key parts of our supply chains out of china and put them in places where we can be more confident that we'll have access to those resources and supplies and that they will not be compromised in some way into the the g. subbing group of nations. it, it's not a defensive alliance, but i'm wondering,
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do you detect a unity of purpose among these countries as well as the european union when it comes to rushes war on ukraine when it comes to north korean nuclear threats and when it comes to china? so it's a great question. you're right, you know, the g 7 has no nato, it has no, no pretense to be that. but it is 7 of, of the world's leading economy 7 democracies. and, and each of them, in their own way, has been a victim of what we've seen from china. certainly a lot of the countries. but you and i, last time we talked, we were talking about mac kron visit to china. and i, i wasn't much of a happy camper on that because i really felt like he was kind of dividing the unity and really putting french parochial at business interest over more important principles. and sure enough, according to reports, one of the advisors from a crown was saying the g 7 is not an anti chinese alliance will. of course not, it's not, it's not an alliance. and this isn't about the chinese people. it's about the
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chinese communist party and that's a very important distinction. so you had another sloppy remark coming out of paris . what would you say that those, those comments that were made by macro and the way they reported it has, was that a flash independent that been forgotten? i mean, they're certainly not talking about that in japan right now. yeah, no, i helped, you know, i, i don't mean to bring up old issues, but you know, i just, some of the recent comments and the lead up to this, the 7 seem to suggest, and this is a bit of a more of an enduring approach repairs and that's unfortunate, i think it's short sighted, and we're going to need all the unity we can get among democracy doesn't argue last time because of the formidable nature of the challenge from china. i'm glad to see the you and i'm glad to see our european g 7 partners really taking the china thrust seriously. but you know, i do see some continuing squishing us if you will from paris, artificial intelligence. brad is a last minute addition to this g 7 agend. i mean the explosion of a i is captured,
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the world's imagination, and you're just this year alone. it's also called a lot of people off guard. i'm wondering, what do you hear there in washington in terms of a i visa, the defense policies, national security, just maintaining the global order. it's a great question. you know, we've had a, at least a couple of periods in the last week or so on. capitol hill focused on a i one, the judiciary committee, another committee, there's real concern it's, it's press taking how quickly these technologies are being developed and some people are comparing them to the printing process in terms of their global, they're the regional and global implications. i've been tracking the military connotations for a long time, but there's also a real specific ramifications for democracies when you consider way. i might white mean in the context of campaigns and elections and misinformation and how our adversaries of democracies and freedom might use a against us. and we can talk about standard operating procedures and good
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practices. but one has to ask themselves as beijing and mazda are going to follow them, of course not. so you know that risk a race in the bottom. yeah, we have to maintain the essence of who we are as democratic and free people. let me go back before we run out of time in the back to the situation in the ukraine president bite. and he says that he's looking for, you know, from his g 7 allies. he's looking for what he's cause a strategic the feet of russia in ukraine. what does that actually mean? i can't read his mind. i would assume a means a defeat of the russian invasion, which would mean the departure of russian forces from a country in which they are not welcome and that would include crimea, the problem. and that's probably the only thing the people ukraine will accept at this point, but the problem is, i don't see clear path to making that happen. and so there's actually planning underway here in the pen and gone for what could be a years or decades long frozen more, which of course is
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a kremlin specialty. so you know, this, we all like this to in, sooner rather than later putting can ended tomorrow. but i'm not seeing indications that that's going to happen. yeah, i've shades of afghanistan and late seventies, early eighties, all over again. it sounds like brad bowman from the foundation for the defense of democracies. brands always good to get your insights. thank you. thank you. the. the, the us treasury says it rushes oil revenue have separate a significant decline since the g 7 introduce a price cap on russian crude oil. the g sylvan, along with the european union and australia introduced a price cap of $60.00 a barrel last year. now as a result, the us treasury department says that russian oil revenues have fallen 40 percent year on year. we're revenues used to make up for about a 3rd of the entire russian budget. they now make up about a quarter of the but i want to bring, you know,
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uninstalled via fedex. she's in assisted professor of finance at the hospice school of business at the university of california berkeley. she's also a founding member of the n g o economists for ukraine. it's good to see you again. good to have you back on the program. i know we've talked before about these price caps and there was a lot of skepticism about this and tested oil price cap scheme last year. i mean, has it worked as well as the byte administration claims that have yes, i would definitely say it's bringing results and let's look at the data. right. the price cap on oil was instituted in december, the price gap, i will products follow it in february. and if we take a look at rushes, revenues from energy. those have fallen by 47 percent from the last quarter of 2022 to the 1st quarter of 2023. so on that front, the price cap is definitely achieving the goal because the goal of the price capital was to follow it was to reduce rushes revenue. well also to keep the oil
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market stable and we see both of those goals being met. so the oil prices on the global markets are going down, the discount on russian oil in particular, is also increasing. so russia's revenues are following from 3 ways because of reduce volumes of oil. so because of reduced global low prices and also because of a steep or discount on russian. i mean, it all sounds good. is the price kept though? is it being enforced as rigorously as it could be? there is definitely room for improvement, especially on the enforcement font. so if we take a look at more granular data, which some of my colleagues have done, i'm kind of looking forward by port when we see some of the ports of special reports in russia's far east, like a midwife, a stuck region. those pores are still shipping out well above the price gap, and of course, those are further away. so it's harder to monitor on the for, um,
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for governments like in europe. but we still see western firms. we do european firms ensuring as well as providing shipping services for those shipments. so there's definitely scope for more enforcement of european companies and other g 7 companies to verify that what they are shipping and insurance is well below the price. right? sure, we know has re routed shipments of oil, natural gas and cold places such as brazil and india. so we know that there are attempts to de dollar rise oil sales on the global market. i mean, is this an issue that the g 7 group can address? so the rerouting itself is not an issue. it's actually a feature rather than a bug at the price caps, right. as i mentioned, the objective here is, do we want to reduce robin reference revenues from um, energy, but we also don't want to destabilize the energy market. so the price gap is meant to keep the oil flowing, but at a lower rate,
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i'm so reducing the revenue that actually gets from it. and so it's kind of by design that, that is going to flow to other places. and as long as it's going on rates below the price gap and also a lot of the infrastructure and brochure of historically has been geared towards the west, especially europe. so having to now ship things as far as for sale, definitely more difficult and more costly for them so that also organically reduces the revenues that restaurant of getting. and what about this dollarization? a trend? i mean, i guess we can call the trend, but there is this movement to the dollar rise oil sales and does that help russia? i'm honestly, i don't think, i don't think it will. um, if anything actually with some of the movement that we're seeing right with well flowing to those other countries, um, within the brits, especially um and also trying to kind of find it to move away from the dollar. if anything, the beneficiaries here is going to be those 3rd countries where it's india, china, which are getting busted with a cheaper price isn't that are also getting bargaining power. these are these
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russia and possibly with these other partners as well. so i don't think it's going to benefit russell that we, we may want to consider how much of a benefit those other countries are good. you know, it's a good point. the union, it's still in ports that some natural gas from russia, but nowhere near the 40 percent that used to import the g 7 now wants to consider permanently shutting down rushing gas pipelines to europe. how likely is that to? yeah, so this year it depends on what kind of pricing we're looking at in the very short for, to be honest, i would say pretty unlikely. of course, we still see disagreement within the you because different countries have different exposure to russian energy historically and have done differently well in terms of how well does we conduct so far on. so i think in the very immediate terms, those kinds of proposals are going to get a lot of push back. but if you look at the longer term, i wouldn't pull it out,
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right. i'm the kind of push back that, that this is getting now is still coming from the same place as the kind of push back we've gotten for the existing measures. and if we look at those measures, the embargo in the you on the partial embargo and the price gap they've done pretty well. and some of those catastrophic projections that some of the policy makers of were kind of afraid of. they didn't come to pass. the predictions that academic economists have made a, especially for example, in germany, a minor when in fact this leaning off of russian energy will actually have those seem to be holding true thing in the longer term we're moving that way. but of course there's going to get with us. yeah. as always, anastasia headache, the high school of finance and berkeley. good talk with you. we appreciate your analysis. thank you. thank you. well, wow. the g 7 nations address further steps and sanctioning rusher for the war in ukraine that more it continues to claim casualties. russian forces watch and other series of aerial attacks on ukraine in the early hours of thursday,
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at least one person was killed and the southern port city of odessa explosions also rocked the capital cheese smoke rises over cuba again in a co escalation, prussian girl could start to get to the captains for the 9th time this month, co teacher was messiahs, were aimed at cities across ukraine overnight. but in a show fits improve to defense capabilities. you cream says it shut down all, but one of them, of this damage near the kindergarten and the garage was done by falling debris removal. there was a very powerful explosion. then i saw the smoke, which i find out that the debris fell when the guy just with mine is nearby. i can see the rocket to be nice. yeah. that's the one messiah that got to hit the southern fort city before that. so a thought of dc,
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one person was killed and 2 of those injured the latest escalation comes as western allies supply increasingly sophisticated weapons to cubes. ahead of it's highly anticipated spring offensive for residents here are designed to life and of war. it is just another the under the option of tax but it's just because it's, we cleaned it up. now the sand will be removed because there cinders and there are small children here. everything will be clean and fine. so what you think despite the damage ukraine's improved ad defenses may just be providing a very address, but for residents here, researchers say that thousands of ukrainian children may have been forcibly deported to russia. w's marks it's under,
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has been investigating. the disappearance is and reports. now, on how some children are being re united with their families. this is victoria chrome city of her son was occupied by russian forces for 8 months. during that time, for doctor katya was taken to training, katya was 12 when the war started. a sensitive and creative little girl. she would drawn write poems in fairy tales. and yet she knew what was going on. her mother tells you who will stall. i just wanted for her to have a break from it only. for most people from the military men and the military vehicles for you on the bus down to see, you know, in the evening you go to bed and you hear russian military machines passing by, by size difficult the fashionable companion. and it was especially scared even the shot at the windows system up on the salem. no criminal justice. i thought you
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would get a rest from all this of the camp in the some of the new york post of civil that's the holiday camp. she said katya to thinking it would be safe. she accepted an invitation from teachers who were under pressure by occupation authorities to move the children. so what can be done to get back here to have disappeared into the russian system? in most cases, there is little hope. there is no system in place and no official cooperation between the ukrainian and russian side. finding the children is the 1st big challenge. victoria had to go from harrison to crimea. usually they would take 4, maybe 5 hours of driving with going directly is no longer a safe option. she had to travel through ukraine. avery in poland, crossed into russia, a line bela roost, them through enemy territory,
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about 3000 kilometers in total. each way. back home victoria arrived on this bus with her daughter katya. there too, of a group who's done the journey together. thought you did not know her mother was coming for her. i was very happy to have no words to describe it. victoria and other mothers could only do this with the aid of the n g o. save ukraine. they help with the logistics passports, buses, and navigating the borders. it's ross and a strategy for children and through sci fi, ukrainian children. that's why they know need to be them and torture them. it is a child. the child's brain is so flexible. if you every day feeds via a brain of your poison truck,
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your propaganda poison. and during one months, 2 months, this child will say, oh, russia is maybe not bad. it's via strategy. to date save ukraine has managed to facilitate 96 returns, but they're getting increasingly difficult. each time western countries took another step to help you plan against russia. the questionnaire rose, how to avoid provoking protein, how to prevent him from doing something, even worse than what he already started. for thousands of ukrainian families, the russians have already made their worst nightmares come true. as they took the kids, at least 13 people have died and many more are missing in funding in northern italy and forecast was a warning that more heavy rains may be on the way. it's the worst floating in italy, in a 100 years huffy as rainfall, felling just
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a few days in the amelia ramana region in the north of the country. thousands of people have been evacuated as rescue work has bottled through the night to save those traps by the floods. locals race to clear the mud laden streets before it drives. doing what they come with, what little they have been. we've been cleaning all day. i can take it any more residents in one town pick through the damage we need to fix everything. we need to do everything from the beginning. the, the books on the documents,
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all the clothes are all gosh, this the because you have to get out. you have to leave the house, you can see why. the heavy rains caused over 20 rivers to bus the bunks and almost $300.00 land slides. stephano bona cheney the regional president, said the cost of the damage totals billions of euros. with the rain fall cost, low coals remain were rate. that is the case. our biggest sphere is that if it starts reading again with a home today, if it were to start reading again, we fear that the water could again rise. that's our biggest fear. these make ship roadside battery is the only defense of many against the flooding.
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and finally, the bear that came a call with a homeowner in colorado picked up an unwelcome visitor attempting and almost succeeding in getting into her house. yep, that's what you do when there's at the door. a few things on the windows scare the brown bear away. the animal is known for its keen sense of smell. we figured that there was probably no porridge or maybe there was porridge on the tape of his clothes. the goldilocks answered yet to the day is almost done. the conversation continues on line. you'll find this on twitter, either a dw news, you can follow me on twitter at brent dot tv. and remember, whatever happens between now and then tomorrow is another day and we'll see you then everybody the,
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of voting, as the face of her mother could depend on the window focus on europe. on w. it's warp speed ahead for venerable, oldest trace then which might soon be the location for micro chips in your thanks to silicon maker. hi tech, from sacks. any competition is fierce the investments gargantuan because these days the tiny circuits are at the heart of every thing made in germany. in 16, dw mine, dw. com highlights the
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