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416, all we in fact, every day, the world wide web feel free to leave the, the timeline because we can take the different w to call the world unpack pulse of your info is and all the input the w story. now on to the, the, is turkey finally putting the brakes on its own orthodox interest rate policy. the central bank there raises rates for the 1st time in more than 2 years. a period in which inflation has rocked its currency inmate everyday life on affordable for many turks. also when our show us rolls out the red carpet for indian prime minister,

no bridge remotely, but we'll daily be the business partners of many see egos in very so i'm thinking there's an implant. welcome to our program for the 1st time and almost 2 and a half years turkey central bank has raised interest rates to 15 percent from just under non. it's a shift away from the an orthodox policies or present rest of type air. the one who has championed low rates despite the turkish layers, rapids about the valuation. the country's currency was, have had serious consequences for normal turks. as their correspondent, julia hun reports. there is almost nothing you can find here in the immuno. the neighborhood is one of the symbols oldest and busy a small cuz the area and it's seen as a bell with us for the child cuz she called to me. right now it seems me the shop luminous, new customers happy thought the smaller sales have dropped by 50 percent. the price

increases every day and the exchange rate fluctuates. the, this is giving us a hard time, custom us, we used to buy a keel, only know buying house, aquino, or even less. is it a good one? what do you face to activate? my expectation is that the economy will improve that inflation lives up here. but i don't think it will the other trip, i just hope it won't get even worse to accept that we have been struggling with this crisis for a long time and we've been very patient. it's time for things to get better. since president ridge of telling you about 11 re election in may, the value of the talk is really robust, tumbled to news. and inflation is officially me a 40 percent leading many unable to afford even basic food stuff. analysts say president ad ones and also talks economic policies have made things worse, especially his insistence on low interest rates when inflation is running high. now

he's appointed a new economic team to overcome the crisis. has he's a guy. yeah. our con, a former wall street executive is talk, he's new central bank governor. the new finance minister may have met him check, and internationally renowned economist has pledged to return to rational policies, use it to find information that the security expert like olds on chicago. however, remain cautious. even if the new team were to convince ardon of a policy shift, he says, talk, he's economy wouldn't just switch, play, recover, lost. it's been, goes to camps. the problem is that all right, cool. now it has been through radio so much in the last few years that are not easy or quick fix this 3. it will take many years to fix and whatever you do, it will be very painful. if you have to increase interest rates to lower inflation . we will be faced with a huge risk of very high unemployment survey. there's the public and the president

will actually have the patients to see through this thrust formation. yep. and remain so you have to be see here at the mall kitchen and the new no one wants to hear about more economic pains. people want prices to go down and the economy to heal. so things might get more difficult before they can get better. and then use now confirming that monetary policy shift to countess sky high inflation here into a key that has left so many people struggling to get by the key interest rate was heights to 15 percent. maybe not to the degree. some analysts had expected, but it seems more increases all on the horizon, and that is why many economists here in the country see this as a 1st step in the right direction. finally, signaling

a return towards more conventional conventional economic policies. timothy ash is an economist at blue bay asset management in london, and he's an associate fellow, a chatham house. 10, thanks for joining us. race looked at the 15 percent. i think you were expecting a lot more, weren't you at? how do you look at this? what, what's happened? well, he places 40 percent, so 15 percent policy rates means negative 25 percent real rates hop. see coupling flows with, with such large negative real rates taking has a balance of payments. problem, lots content that's it needs to close the hours to close it. you know, if it's not that high rates, it's got to let the count see a just an attrition check is just that's the finance minister. just come out just now saying that he thinks the ethics regime will attract ethics in flows. all capital inflows i should say, up suggests they're going to let the exchange rate relative of interest rates do the heavy lifting in terms of closing the trade and current account deficit. do you

consider this a turnaround for turkey? is monetary policy in any degree, or is this sort of a slow difference of the water as well? i mean it on to be in the route to elections. they manage the exchange rate. they try to keep is the number line um, at least in a couple of months or 6 months or so leading up selection price of up have lots of the valuation because of ad one's crazy interest rate policies. i think we get now gonna say a bit to both, right? we're going to see the currency allowed to adjust and we're going to see some rate hikes to kind of money is being placed on the effects of, of thoughts. so we could cover this in the past through 2 inflation from an exchange rate week. this combination of both market probably wants much more pre from loading of, of rate hikes. remember, here is the memory, the publish stream checking the new governor a come have is the market. remember as a previous orthodox governor, noisy act ball, who high rates and was removed kind of 6 months into, into the jump. so that i know of us about the novice, the basically you actually i'm checking that can, may, will also dr. policy, a noble ization rates, but actually they won't be the jump very long. so that's the real difficulty. if

you're a normal tourist, what does this decision mean for you and these, these several decisions that we've seen so far? well, credit is going to be still hard to get. so i think with, with such negative rates, the count see it will, will adjust weak shots and probably means inflation, which is from a high base come as come down a bit. remember it is 80 percent 6 months or so down the line. it's come down to around 40. i think the problem really is probably stick around this level. maybe go a bit higher until we see some re balancing on the current account helping. i'm because the exchange rate and then maybe we'll see some better news on the inflation from the probably like 6 to 12 months down the line. but also way i wanna make sure that understanding you do not really see this as a complete turnaround by add one, he's also with one calling the shots. as you mentioned, the markets have a memory of what's happening to previous governors. is this much of a, is this sort of a trial balloon? and it could always be into way as well. we'll have to see if this is different. as i mentioned, the previous experience was, was not shak bell. he went to all for the oxy height, right?

single fired 6 on the thing to the jump. a guy i tend to think the different crew would advise is around ad one and they pushing them all off adults agenda and drove the appointments of sheep check on. subject is fine as mr. and kinda as governor abrupt, you know, i'm hopeful that we'll see this, this move back to some kind of all for the oxy sustaining longer than last time. so, you know, i'm a bit more hopeful, but, you know, unfortunately the track record of ad one is in is intervening and monetary policy. that's the, comes to timothy ash with blue bay asset management in london. thank you. oh, my pleasure. was that interview recorded earlier in the day? let's move on out of some of the other little business stories making headlines. the bank of england has raised it's key interest rate from 4 and a half to 5 percent in an effort to battle. the countries stubbornly high inflation is the 13th consecutive break high bringing borrowing costs of a new 15 year high inflation, u. k. so the 8.7 percent in may,

which is among the highest levels of g 7 nations. german exports, the countries outside of european union increased by one percent in may fall in 2 months of declines. your largest economy exporting goods worth more than $59000000000.00. the most important export markets for the us and china will trade with russia continue to decline sharply. panama worst route on record threatens to strain global water supplies as water levels in the panama canal, or at their lowest level of tories, imposed travel restrictions to prevent larger container ships running a ground meeting. many of them will have to carry less cargo indian prime minister and arrange remote is in washington for state visit, where he's been inking new industry and defense deals, including one for g, e to build jet engines for the indian military. also on the agenda is a major deal for semi conductor trips and a joint mission with nasa scheduled for next year. the u. s. as in india, as an economic and political counter way to china,

bodies and do nationalism remains the concern. however, for many us part politicians, what he was once banned from entering the us on allegations he supported religious ban rights. while he was head of the state, of course, you're right. and we go to actually touch upon day for more on this actually, tosh. this is modi's 1st state visit to the us. he's meeting with c o is he's addressing congress. how important is india right now for the us, not just politically, but also economically. it is extremely important stephen and, and that's because the india has a much as a key or tentative to china as companies look to diversify away from china as part of the china plus ex, tied to g, a 8 for them. india is a political, a stable country, it's offering believes and incentives who come on making india also the fastest growing media economies. so there's a lot for them to be really excited about as far as india is concerned just this week. i must said that that's what i was looking to invest a, make a significant investment in india as soon as possible. just today, the hard,

the agenda electric has agreed to join to the manufacturer of fi to jet engines in india and all the despite the despite bodies around democratic backsliding in india and to move these watch the challenges firms investing in india as opposed to say in china were often said to be infrastructure, lack of educated workers, too much bureaucracy, even to what extent are those still the challenges that are facing for an investment? but that's an interesting question, steven. so if we look at the investments that have come or that have been announced in recent times, they've been mostly restricted to the computer and electronic sector. so the likes of apple, folks go on to the high tech industry and this is not the main job creator in india and other industrial manufacturing. it seems like fix di food in the food and beverages. these companies haven't really been getting as much attention and that's because of the many of the reasons that you've just mentioned. it's

a lack of interest structure, lack of skin, low workforce and, and also the fact that there is high titus in india and, and that's the reason why they haven't really seen that much of a interest. having said that, the more the government is investing big time into uh, an infrastructure building, the roads, an apple it's, i mean bids as a caught pace. uh, that could be taken care of. the problem is creating skill level for us because the problem is at primary education level and that needs to be type in as quickly as possible. all right, i should contact. thank you. bye. it is a reminder for top business stories. 30 central bank is high interest rates significantly to 15 percent in an effort to rain in the country. scott high inflation to move represents a policy shift for turkish president present type air to one west long resisted higher rates against the judgment of economists. as our show for more find as online, the w dot com slash business were also on youtube under the deed of the news

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