me, the young people clearly have the solution. the future is 77 percent. every weekend on dw, the, the desperate they have little choice, the escaping from wall persecution, not even the effects of climate change. and so, so for better life, they are taking up dangers to and use that whole is to find a more promising future. however, this hope often leads to crowded refugee comes, as we've recently seen, a non producer of their increasing number of refugees and bill harsh and in human conditions. assembly the situation unfolds of the us mexico border of many face the grim reality of not being recognized as asylum seekers. the whole country is appear

over valued and increasingly showing a heart of stance in the approach. even the most expensive deals, i'm not able to stop that type of illegal immigration. so i'm to the point. we are asking global migration crisis. what solutions to politicians have the hello and welcome to to the point that each of how do you have sign in here in berlin to understand how governments around the world are trying to tackle the issue of a legal migration. i have 3 spectacular guests with me today. we have got a lee now be good or she is politically at the off go to to live, but out in the bowlens leading on line political and cultural re click next on the final is john scott. it's not, he is a british auto broad, costa,

an executive director at chatham house. i think dogs headquartered in london. and joining us from london is john doug here. and he is a senior fellow there you're up in the stability again this year. if, if, if i was working on a migration policy, a very well on the computer. well, thank you for joining catalina law. producer has been in use all week, but also new york not more than a 100000 migrants. how about i best since the spring of 2000? 22. what's going on? why is there this influx into your on us? is that an explanation to this? i think we are right in the midst of a migration of polk. this is certainly the heart of our challenges that we are facing right now. now the, the, the reasons for this are, oh, of course, complicated as with every great phenomenon. this also has a lot of various reasons, but i would name a couple of them. so 1st of course the climate change,

this is the 1st thing. the 2nd thing is how the politics in africa in the asian countries look like and the situation, that's the city that the societies are in. this is the 2nd. the 1st one is that it seems that the international mafioso are also very much interested into smuggling goals people. so they are so to say making money an enormous amounts of money on this. and last but not least, the social media, because no on each and every one smartphone we can see what's the life looks like in australia, in europe, in the united states and canada. and this is what those people see on. they are smells phones. so if the life looks so well in those countries, why not? why not to go and change everything? so i'm confident going by so many reasons. is it time to reconsider the refuse the policy is that exist? and the question is, who does that? and how is it done right here in, in berlin, in the heart of europe?

is this done at national level? is this done at europe and level and what we have is, and less month on month, tactical shifts crisis management by governments here and, and elsewhere. but we do not have is a strategy for migration know alongside it components in to it? do we have a strategy for demography either. so we have the power adults that in europe, in order to sustain our public services with in most countries, aging populations who are no longer working or soon will no longer be working, paying into the system and being able to afford the relatively good life. but most citizens had, i'm have assumed as a given for so long, we need people to come in what we haven't got is a differentiation. so we have political asylum seekers who have a,

a certain amount of sympathy, all those boxes whitening. we thing that with your brain injury long ago, seen that with syrians, enough guns and an iraq uses elsewhere. and then we have people who want, as you said, in your introduction, a back to life. now you could construct and you should construct a system difficult though, that may be all back to navigating that. so people don't come on on dangerous boats . they come on scheduled airlines in order to become doctors to become shifts to become nurses, accountants. all the things that we need to fill out drugs and also to, to rejuvenate our societies, because we will say most places have, have fully both rates. so there's no differentiation and there's no structure. what there is is almost overwhelming panic. so let's go to john, dot hughes, and john john consummate just said that the have to be strategy is to make sure

that people don't come via these votes. now the fact remains are the central and mediterranean volt that is considered the most dangerous migrate trade. hold on yet the number of people taking that route has gone meaningful. we heard a few reasons what, why are people ready to fix that to address? what are the reasons for that? i, i think you've had a number of them the outlined already. i think it's also what i mean breaking down a little bit who is currently taking, taking that route. so in the last few years, a very large number of people, the significant reason for the spice is being an increase in june. izzy owns bangladesh, cheese and, and injections these old countries that are not producing large volumes of, of refugees. so it's one category. and these are overwhelmingly economic migrants in the last year. yeah. and responsible for that, the southern spies that we've seen in the last few months and weeks on producer is

ginny and cook div. wow. now that is a different category and much higher category of, of migrants who do go on to, to acquire refugee status. so there are definitely very different groups moving for, for very different, for different reasons. right? very different groups about the central mediterranean road ends up lump into is up, and it's had an island that only has a capacity to accommodate 500 microns according to they died in red cross. but more than 5 pals and refugees. and i have that and just one be as they are exhausted and worn out, many waited for months in north africa to cross the mediterranean to reach your up and then came dissolution that the caps on line produced are completely overcrowded . the situation in the center is not too good because it's too crowded for to gets fluids. yukon fights if you don't, 5 to go have food into the zip show is

a problem. even close problem because the population is too much. there are no more migrants then locals on land producer. many residents are angry, they fear that their islands could become a permanent refugee hotspots to our message is that europe must wake up because the european union has been absent for 20 years. yeah, so today we're giving this signal land producer says enough of which doesn't know that the people here have suffered long enough to solve it. we're a psychologically destroyed gamble the single don't you come in. this is land producer being used by the maloney government to put pressure on the you john cons. now what do you think? is it really trying to pressure those for you? well, georgia, maloney is a curious kinds of coming into government on

a sort of fall ride to or old right now to this populist platform. she like most mainstream leaders, is struggling just as much as anybody else. not just to deal with number is and of course actually increase of the to sort of most obvious points of arrival or at least they have been up until now she's struggling with the immediate arrivals and she like whole other european leaders is, is struggling for a strategy and, and knowing how to do it. so yeah, i mean, it was important and i think a short term success of has to get us live on the line to come to the producer. and a few days ago to see that there is, there is more focus on that. there was an internal european debate parts of the original dublin treaty, that sort of sets out mechanisms which delineates whether the responsibility of the country of entry versus a disposal of asylum. see cuz i'm migrant across your. the problem is

that a lot of central and eastern european countries have not been playing bold, particularly if i missed in 2015 with hungry and, and australia. so germany took in more than a 1000000 people. famously then in some countries are picking up more of the button others. and if countries like germany where, where we are here now getting increasingly hot boat and getting increasingly frustrated because by looking at the shoulders and that seeing the sd and, and, and the other dangerous forces, then we've got a real problem. i will come to the distribution of uh, mike vincent, a bit. but catalina, we've heard, who are the people coming? they've heard the reasons why they are coming. i'd like to understand how does this happen to 100 votes this week and number 2. so how was this even possible? isn't to ask the very good question also to john as well, how is it possible that those people are actually capable of, of risking their own lives? but i, i, uh, i felt momentarily about those people who are trying to cross the burning world

before 1989. i mean, they were also risking their lives and yet no, nothing could, could, could stop them from, from doing that. so i believe that this is fairly much connected with the, the, the organized crime which is behind all those boats coming, coming to your, of, to come to your other question. i think that what we are dealing here is a problem which is connected with people smugglers and this is x 3 me extremely important. on the other hand, we also have very little time. so don't have started to talk about it. this is also a, something that can vendor our democracy simply in the way that people are genuinely afraid of their societies, some of their environments changing and such a prompt pace. so what do they do?

they often believe the populace and then the populace are completely not the solution. there is the new book by then, you know, to bluffton. stephen levinsky a, the time on the of minority. and they describe a very interesting part of books, namely, never in history. in many countries, like you repeat in countries, but also the united states, we have been so close to an ideal of a multi cultural democracy functioning. and yet, in 2016 we have the 1st victory. oh spelling of the term. and yet in 2016, we have breaks it and do it in 2015. we have the victory of law and justice in full . and then every thing, every in each of those campaigns was connected with exactly this argument. no more a migration. and of course, yet they are not able to do anything about it. jonathan, you wanted to pretend. well, i mean, it's just, you're absolutely right and,

and what is fascinating here, bring it back to germany just for a 2nd. is that the social democrats and particularly the greens, are starting to talk in slightly different language because we're all looking ahead with some trepidation to european elections a. the summer next year. germany has 3 regional elections in the full, the communist east in the boston. all of them look like being democratic called crushes and we've got this way back collections very shortly. we have the polish elections, 3 weeks and 3 weeks. it looks like a very dangerous weld in which the easy rhetoric of populace is exploiting. what in football terminology you would call an open go? the ground has been completely seated by the main stream, democratic policies to a frightened just of stepping onto this tough catalina just mentioned. you said what are the solutions now, what up on the line has announced

a 10 point action plan. john done his and the action plan does look a solution oriented. it also looks ambitious at the surface, but do you think it's realistic? so it is a combination of the tried and failed and, and empty slogans. i'm to refer back to, to, to watch. i was saying just now the question in forthcoming elections, whenever it comes to migration is who gets to present themselves as having a solution that that is credible. i'm the works and the, the central problem at the moment is that the main street political establishment, the use doesn't appear to have any solutions that work at all. i mean, if, if you refer to this, this 10 point time, what's the price to do anything? reform of, of the european assign him system will change nothing increased. you can print some authority mechanism, but no one wants to take part in that. in any case,

if it was implemented, it leave it up to st more people than it does now because it is under represented in terms of design sequence of them are more from tech support. it costs to say that board is where the structure doesn't want them to be. all they have to turn that, but the eyes away from the prospects that are recurring, they're going to do. they going to change nothing. uh, deals with changes. yeah, for instance, small deals with no concrete goal set out for the country that supposed to, to implement the result in more people coming and more human rights violations, a car, more assistance to countries in africa. the 3 countries, not particularly the most assistance from that. you use 5 video and then the last 5 years, they've been 3 grids in those countries and i share here working across so i'm not, can you share nebraska on a month? that's not going to do anything. none of the elements of this 10 point time will fundamentally change anything. in contrast, with the latest you get to look as if they have had solutions that work on the far

right. uh, pretty close to the far right further. that's pissed in 3rd and say we've closed the border on a shame at least push people back and look for a few people in writing order. but i guess to say i go fences. i see a lot from our country from anyone applying for side. how many people arrive 9? it works out that. so be nice. as i got rid of rusty rough rescue bucks in the mediterranean numbers felt it appears to what she thought was funded. mental causes induction to numbers, but none the less they get to present the solutions of solutions that were present . d, push, that's con, do well, the challenge for a mainstream political establishment and parties is what do you present as a little tentative to violence, cruelty and brutality? of your borders and in terms of the countries that have the syndic well known of

contemporary electoral politics open for live borders and they see what everyone's focus needs to, to, to be on. nope, nope, fantasies of the kind that the you and from the line is, is, is pending. so, so no somebody solutions in a, in a minute. so no concrete solutions from the politicians. but a lot of the v have indeed heard some strong words from both on the line. i'm gonna need this week. let's take a quick listen to what they've said. so we will decide who comes to the european union, and i'm the what circumstances and not the smart, less traffic. cuz i don't know more about the filing day. my div, we're dealing with such a large number of migrant flow edi. i mean that we can only take action against legal immigration together, you know, but it was still phenomenal. otherwise the phenomenon will not only overwhelm countries with external borders. you proclaim it, but all the countries of the man, the queen, bullshit to kid, the 2 d. catalina and john doug susan has raised a lot of points. now,

would you say that the europe and distribution plan has completely failed? i would say that the public opinion is changing and it is changing profoundly throughout the european member states. look here in germany in 2015, medium of people has been welcomed. now after the start of the full scale war in ukraine, this country has also accepted hundreds of thousands of people from ukraine, refugees from ukraine. however, after those 2 last migrants crisis, the german politicians say more and more often listen, the shopping destination. now we will notice and we cannot do it anymore. even if we have very goodwill. they'll look at the poland phone on support of the go seen a lot is being said about the current government and it's a policy of not opening borders and northwell coming. even those quotes us. that's

where in 2015 and decided to buy. i think it appear on union, but listen to the position, listen to the position. actually, they would not change the policy so much. perhaps this is very probable. they would oppose the situation in which on the polish killer wilson border, we have people in the forest who actually stars to this. and 1st of this, this is what they oppose very strongly. they believe that if someone has crossed the funds, they should be helped in a legal and a human way. somebody thought of going away. but as for whether they will a welcome more uh, more microns, more refugees, i think. what, what is to be heard from the rest of the week of the, for this, the position is always, or ever more in the direction of, of denmark. so, so either a rational solution is, is, is found,

which will somehow pose this position between the constellation of factors. so european values, hold on and sorry, and think of, of new coming refugees international law. but also the fear to collect the field of people who are afraid of their world changing so either reasonable, but also pragmatic solution is phone or the populace will be winning in and in the european countries one after another. so it fall, additions, i'm not able to change policy as of now and smoking those other one, deciding who will enter you has your loss control completely, states losing control and it's not just control of migration. but as we've already been discussing, it's losing control of the politics as well. and that is incredibly dangerous. and as i said before, that's, that's big picture stuff about we need to break growing up debate about migration and demographics, and what kind of society we will want to live in,

in each of our different countries with all the disagreements of that debate that i wouldn't tell, but there's also some very practical things and just a couple of quick steps and uh, just to add at this point. so in germany alone, according to official steps. but currently 280000 migrants have had the applications rejected. and they've gone through the process and they have been told they have to leave in the 1st 6 months of 2023, few with an 8000. well, a extradited was sent out of the country. now the problem is, but there, there is the wider question, but when systems are not working, i mean in the u. k. design, it's another example where there's a very right wing shrill interior administer, who's always huffing and puffing about migration. but the system is broke and they

can't even process applications. they called me and remove people when their application broke. so when systems, when the basic practicalities don't work, that as a further dimension into these why the questions as well? you mentioned the okay, so i'd like to hold in john dallas isn't now you okay. is talking about um, present ships. you guys talking about sending people to alonda. that's not the most humane way to deal with the humanitarian crisis of it. to i'm looking at every aspect of, of this policies. as you may know, there are many who disagree with every single aspect of it. but i think it's what we're going to consider some of the elements that the u. k is throwing into the debate and the others in europe. i will say comes in. so if you take a step, there are 2 ways in which you can seek to reduce irregular arrivals. one we've seen and we've seen that it,

it can work if you have the stomach for it is coating. the other is agreements with other countries of origin, transit and perhaps 3rd countries altogether. but you can legally send people back to including asylum seats because i want to pretty applies for a site. and then what does legally mean it means this has to be a country in which it is safe for them and they have access to a procedure code. the country be ronda as well. possibly. possibly, in a very revealing court of appeal judgment in the u. k. a few months ago you guys said, well, there's nothing in principle wrong with sending an asylum seekers to us that come through. but in practice does around to deliver what is necessary. and it concluded no. but okay, that's the start of something that you could possibly work on. yeah. in around, possibly in, in other countries, as it happens for the u. k, it is

a much better solution and much easier solution to implement which would be, were to, to, from very quick, very immediately or to or people are writing too fast. this requires a quick protocol agreement with bronze peps of the e. u countries, probably not with the with the year itself. um, but the idea that this comes back to, to, to drones concerned about returns you called transfer individuals to countries that don't want to cooperate with that return in any number. and this is why serve the people over to and to, to, to ask ok if you want the effective are tons of return policies. you need agreements with these countries that are in the interest that offer them something they want quite possibly large amounts of legal mobility. this is what you need with many rest of the concepts of our country. if you want to be able to return to reduce the spike and arrivals that we haven't discussed, but on the greek items,

what do you need to look back at the, what is the one thing that has worked in the last 6 years. it was an agreement with turkey in 2016. how does the recessive take that in the way that encourages therapy to take people back to greece, including asylum seekers, but in a way that they are looked off to women? so can you have access to an asylum procedure that i'm gonna talk? you have an interest in, in, in respect. that's the only way. okay? we don't have time for mol, calling. i will give you the last word very quickly. um, now migration practice is going to increase especially because of climate change. can that be a humane way to deal with that? at all? seems like this, the cannot be a human way. are we still europeans? john? it's the guys. absolutely. it comes down to what kind of societies do you want, what's kind of, as i've seen your book and what kind of societies can you sustain without that being social instability. thank you. read along producer o'neill,

europe or the us. will there be a solution to this global migration crisis in the near future? what do you think about it? if you're watching us on youtube, do let us know your thoughts. thanks for watching. good by the, the, the

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the . this is the, the news coming to live from berlin, ukraine's president visits washington to show up us support. president biden promises a new weapons package, but all of them is a landscape facing as resistance from us lawmakers as congress debates future funding. also in the program, germany's football association names, it's new men's national coach, william nod rosemont takes over the reins in troubled times per german song. the .