tv Conflict Zone Deutsche Welle October 7, 2023 11:30pm-12:01am CEST
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it will then progress as top costs for everyone who wants to know more about this topic. that concerned about this story is beyond the headline world in progress. the w talk cost i worry about the will of the west to continue to do what needs to be done. strong words from my guess is weak base, those full the deputy supreme commander of your so richard sheriff, there is still in your, among european countries a lingering feel that somehow we can go back to some sort of states as quote and to with russia side is not going to happen. so what does he think will happen? so the lobbying prospect soon focus the loud wake up, cool for york, the american general associates at sheriff welcome to come pick. so
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thank you very much and just bear with me here. you're kind of jumps out some successes on the battlefield in recent weeks, i've actually taken back control of drilling platforms. now in the black sea. i've been on it if you could give us an idea of some of the, of the scale of the challenges k of now faces in order to make further advances. and i think it would be really difficult to overestimate the challenge. i mean, the brand is, uh, uh, ranged against what a stablish russian defenses other options have, have time to begin. they know, by digging in they've got in probably by the book. and the credit is going to break it into that very, very well accepted, defensive design breakthrough. it's going to take don, mine feels like go to us. they've gotta keep with the significance. i'll talk to the risk incoming file. they've got to break through and then they got to break out and they got to do all of this without proper eye cover. uh, without
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a superiority which no nature allow me, would consider that insight about that during his well, no, no. so i'm a full stop has done a prize. i'm just to go crossing in really difficult circumstances, you know of the day. so i'll be with the exception of the u. s. codes because even take this long coded and it's cutting in the account and fold. oh, i think i think it is, i think any nice i well, i mean, but, but the, so as far as to high intensity, come back on pricing would be, would be prepared to take this on, but not with our an extraordinary amount of time preparation, training of building up the equipment building are kind of national during it's i'm in a sense it is is this as well? um, i mean the, the, the college and did in 91 was to break for the rocky defensive position, but it was on a past. so it was pretty easy, guy never has done this since the 2nd world war in your marriage. i was on a service by j is on counter insurgency in places like iraq, as you mentioned,
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that kind of stuff. so they're not exactly used to defending against a huge invasion, but your emphasis and the last few months has been on telling them that they should is that which i think is going to happen. i think it's nice to have is digital russia, long term nature is going to be printed prepared for the worst case, which is to be prepared to fight russia. we have major armies of golf. i've got to put the conference agency mindset behind them. and we can talk about, so there is an understanding of time constituted combat operations. how much was the underpinning of national armies during the cold war? now that's going back a very long time. i've started a new generation, have got to find ways to do as the exact same of sleet of foot to resubmit as if we've seen the it's members zombies and spend a few days in latvia training where someone just realized that level of data
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personnel speak the same language with the same degree of proficiency, nevermind type job. so the 3 out of 24, but it's big military vehicles broke down on the boat to way it's not impressive is at the moment as well. they say, i mean i remain a sign of nice i, but you have to recognize it was nice that it takes time that it's a consensus organization i added it's got to be able to is it has to move at the speed of a flight ship in the convoy, i mean, coming back to your fast, they're all tempted and that's the strategic point, your tactical points that you're talking about. well, that's what exercises are for the test to get it right until during this time where things are going wrong. and so you can put them, right, they say fleets of thoughts made so multinational operations, at least it's black, but it needs to hurt and it's capability and it's still higher and its capabilities by training. and if it can do that, i'm really pursue the, the to see, right? so i'm spend, it can, it can build, begin to build up that to turn capability that is needed. but outside of that,
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so i was now, i went all the way more than 18 months into the largest live boy you have since the 2nd world war. shouldn't things be going a little better these days? why didn't might just saying things going wrong. the battle from the start brought from us, but i mean, we need to recognize this more. didn't begin in february 20 uh, february 2022. it began in, in, in, in march 2014 mazda brought when ross, or i've talked to brian. all you play february 2014 when it's a nice kind that i just made. so how it works or not, but i'm really puts in place the measures required to build up. it's high intensity capability a we might not be where we are, be your brain might pop by re, by, well, anyway, factors, we all where we all so what so showed us to the grind started make it happen, drive home and you can't afford not to do that sort of thing. so i'm with you completely last year, a study as primary as the kind of callous of all the data is previous plans for defending the voltage stays. a country with basic therapy wiped out of the map by
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a russian, a box, tomatoes, extensive planning stuff over the years of the cold war as increased, missed stock posts ability. well, that's exactly why i write my book. yeah, russia, i, high's, it highlights the french to the baltic states written as a wake up cool to get and they started thinking about what it would do because car tell us was absolutely right. that if the russians attacked, it would have presented and they, so with the 2 options, one right? by accept number 2 months, a massive invasion of the voltage states to reach out to them. and so it is absolutely right now, i'm not privy to the planning, but nature is putting in place extensive plans to defend nay to entire truth, which is exactly what it should be doing. but at the same time, it's one thing to put a plans in place. it means the means to protect and that comes brings us back to
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building up data is the tire and capability of that means focusing on high intensity conflict on the capability is required for high intensity conflict. it also means um, providing the cash to do that stuff. that is, i mean, you've got the 3 largest economies in nature. you've got from germany and it's all they still don't paying 2 percent of g d p to most defense. so what kind of signal does that send to the cabinet, like a wireless? it's under say, it's a pretty full signal out of a. let's look at the positives last. i'm in the positives of countries like highland absolutely building up. it's kind of going to say that the voltage sides started a lot the see right now. likewise, of course that guys were not saying not. i was in the czech republic recently, project republic, already putting the money while they're in boxes and building up that capabilities is that you're absolutely right. countries like germany easily, frogs not yet beginning to spend 2 percent of g d p. indeed, the german defense budget for trying to trying to treat is not that it was for 2022
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. what sort of signal does lots and what does that tell you about the cycles i can vendor this cycle. moments of great change when johnny was going to guarantee 2 percent of g d p. yeah, on yeah, in defense, i would also not just like i wouldn't let buttoned off the whole kinds of, i mean bridges. so not cosette. brittany will spend 2 percent 2.5 percent of g d p . when the economy allows that. all right, isn't good enough and that's where a long way short in this country side of western european countries, frankly need to wake up and he will walk gaming this conflict and you cry with all the stop logistical military political uncertainties thrown into the mix. how are it, would you be? well, i'm an optimist. i made sure, but i'm also rest rid of this. i think the ukraine will achieve its military objectives. ukraine is not going to stop slicing. you've tried the determination, but will, in ukraine is absolutely extraordinary. ukrainians,
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and that as i stop fighting, ukraine will stop existing as a country, so they won't go on fighting until they've defeated russia with always on the west . what does want to me though, is the west support for your crime? american support for your grand? we're coming up to the election. yeah. free of or leading republican the content? those upside, but i would pull out pull americans support from ukraine. i don't know. election. yeah. means potential in decision and stuff is i worry about the level of capability of support in, for example, whether your time continue to dig deep and provide the ammunition and all of our capabilities that your crime needs. so i want to back provide rotation. i worry about prevarication, for example, jonathan is still hasn't made up his mind whether to send taurus the long range precision or so seriously capable and exactly what your training needs to complement it's high miles on the british storm shadow as well. so those of the,
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i worry about the will of a west to continue to do what needs to be done. and there's a simple equation. yeah. if the west does, what needs been done, the west is going to be more secure because it will mean ukraine can defeat russia quickly. if this thing runs old on, on, on the west as your, as a whole, will be less secure and in jeopardy storage. and we don't talk much about on the, in was these days. but it's an honorable stops in your view for the west to say to you, okay. okay, you go ahead and cite di for our values, and we'll give you some of what you need to do that. but we're not going to risk upsetting your. it'd be too much so that he turns off is that on mobile? well i think it's difficult to, i think regard for gonna try that was honorable, i'm on the floor for example, the nation that somehow the west and they tire shouldn't be. and in such thing, but your credit and find some more a that,
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that meets and the way that nature would do it might be very simple, gives you your credit into the means to do the job unless some dental with it provides the samples in terms of intelligence and cyber and an e w, of course. but don't try, i'm 2nd guest, ukrainian generals and say, you know what works. they have been fighting the russians not for over 18 months as they have, they have watched it, the russians, they have demonstrated that that's all about what they still like is real capability. and equally, your point about putting the time the constraints on your brand, it is absolutely right for you grind development, defend itself to practice in a level right of self defense. and if i mean, striking out into a rush, i won't so be it's, i'm afraid this self deterrence is it well by the west has only resulted in, in the prolonged action of the war. if you crane and have the means to really follow up the river, the liberation of cas on in november last year. i think it might be different as it
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was, they didn't have that capability because of west i have not given them one rule. they really needed and in a timely memo of that, a lot of the russians to reestablish the front line. so robot can to solve building the cycle so rover can line of defense making it much, much more difficult for the credit. and so that's a simple equation, it was if you plugged, if you concentrate off of, if you, if you, if you really go for it, then you're going to change. all right? and so if you're in trouble, if you're prevaricates, you're going to make things much less because it kind of take much longer. you're talking about ukraine striking into russian territory with costa bones. have you no qualms about that? 100 countries about little of them. a mazda i the problem, is there a, a file on file? i don't expect to walk across rail, and absolutely to close the use of lots of bombs spots. if you, if trust, if you cry and needs possible items to clear a russian friend of systems on your credit, entire tree, that is
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a completely different packages you that as a model for the pregnancy. but what your crime does need is long range because there's new types abilities, so that it can target russian logistic installations, headquarters on the light and, and make it very difficult for the russians. you've got a wide, influential circle of ukrainian contacts, government, call them and military intelligence. it may you even spend the nights in a and a bump. sheltered care? is that right on the front part of the nice of the bomb shelter along with many of the people who visited the train, what was the mood like the inspirational, the time? and absolutely, this is wrong. i mean, the crime is, as i said out there, i'll click that determines uh, to find to protect the literacy. they recognize that this is a will not just against ukraine, but it's a good that's a war against the west and the prime. joining the west, the determination, the inspiration of the engineer would see the um, the,
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the relative view for the leadership. uh, this is a dynamic country determined to build its to protect itself and to build itself up onto the account and follow the west. that people are afraid about what the west might do or might not do to help them of a losing face and the west of my things known as the grateful to the west for what the west has given them. i think on the sands of the virus frustration, but the west is trying to 2nd guess them and tell them how to use it, where a number and the number of recent articles which, which, which, which i think i've made the point in the west. we're trying to, as i can guess, the requirements, but fundamentally, i think you companies are absolutely absolutely grateful, but let them get all and as i said to them that some get on and do what they need to do without interfering with them. and the comments like, uh, will be with you all the way for as long as it takes
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a listen to those coming out of brussels. this coming out of washington. does i believe of? do you believe them? well, i checked them at the 1st one here, but i do. why is that the that will continue unless the positive actually let's, let's make that for example. yes, the nice. i saw me, it was very clear in terms of the support, but i would like to see also actually a statement of a nice i summit, but ukraine will join nature when the conditions allow when the fighting has stopped. and i would imagine we all day to give you without any less or hindrance everything, you need to make that pricing start as quickly as possible. in other words, to defeat the russians. i the chief joke and bring back to our tr. your grand entire tray on the you credit on this offering to control several how, how finely balanced is this more in your view? how could things go badly wrong for you credit? what are the possible infection points that you cried, needs to watch for,
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and what are you guys going to continue to defend? ah, the russians will continue to months offensive operations where they see opportunities as they are indeed mounting some reform all offensive in the northern public warehouse. it appears with the effective results. so you can go to continue to protect itself protected center of gravity. it's also strength and it's also strength visits people, and it will add its determination. the lots may so a lot. so it's also going to protect its source of strength, which is, it's a lot cation. i think ukraine will prevail. i think your credit is prevailing at the moment, but it can, it will only achieve final victory when it has broken through a pool of the russian defenses. and in my view from the crime there. and from those lines of communication done to crime, they are making it very impossible for the russians to hold all that is going to
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require a huge amount more. and let's be on site jeff. it's not going to be over with one offensive. i think we have to be ready to support the pregnancy in a series of counter offensive or which are going to require the same level of training equipment. i mention that the launching of the fast defensive across it. this could run on for time. so the west nature needs the strategic patients to continue to support your grand till the end of like the end of the day. you how about the possibility? i think it was a, in an article may that if the west of the supply all the hardware you pay needs now, victory may not be possible. and they sent troops might have to intervene, directed to assure that k f wins. um, do you think that's a real possibility? is that something that nato would have seriously contemplate that they saw never seriously come to places before the 2014, or even up to 2014, an invasion of ukraine by russian nation. i never seriously contemplated the baltic
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states would be for us and you can never say not a set up for the subject as well. now i it, but it never. you read it. if it really services don't nice i would. and at the rock that would you invite you crane. i think you'd have seen a completely different approach to turns back up a called if nation i saw this in 2014 for example. so never roll anything out. um does what is nice? okay. do i have to get involved? i pray not. but if the alternative is a decade of stay on mates a decade, all, you know, most casualties a running so in eastern europe, who knows nature, paul might need to get involved in order to swing the balance because that sort of style made a running. so in eastern europe along the borders of ukraine, is going to be a threat to, to europe in security. and if at the end of the day your pan security is, is threatened. nationwide security is trusting,
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nighttime may have to take action to support your credit. but the way to avoid is that the way to avoid nature engagement is to double don now and next. yeah. on what the crating needs to achieve victory. but just to follow up on, on how you think this might go. do you think the base or whenever chief consensus on applying to move in directly assisting credit in forces with members like congress? i'll step back yet. so i can open assessing a veto using the get its act together to do that. well, it goes all straighter, is, is no longer made to a number, but no point is absolutely fine. the coast consensus would be incredibly difficult to get concepts that consensus. but as a sort of nature moves at the speed of a flyer to ship in the convoy. and if, if the threats is the, is the circumstances of i'm not clear and not the moment, but who knows antonio's time? things may well have changed and, and if it needs to nice or we'll get that,
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you've told him some of your interviews about a war last thing 2 to 3 years. no quick fixes. is that a danger that over such a long period that's it will result as though belies, it drops from the headlines. people get bored, they lose the fighting spirit. money dries up, other priorities begin to dominate. is that a possibility in this instance to think? absolutely, absolutely. and that's exactly what i'm worried about, the west losing interest, the west losing momentum, the west losing 5 cross nights. i may say, oh i'm is they tied defense forces not building themselves up. suffice without being built up to face those right? absolutely. that's my concern. but the with, as i said, i that with an election. yeah. next year in america. will america continue to provide that enormous capability? and that's something we've got to watch. and it comes back to my point about the
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way to make sure that ukraine achieves its picture as quickly as the double dawn of what it needs. now, in order to avoid that long running loan running and settlement due for say, what kind of your do you foresee coming out of this or it's, it's not going to be the same. is it? nothing is ever going to be the same again after this, what changes? everything changes doctrine. it changes a whole perception of security in your doesn't it, i'd say very still saw it very still in your, among european countries a lingering feel that somehow we can go back to some sort of states of the quote to with russia. that is not going to happen. what ever happens? yeah, let's assume your credit achieves expanded trajectory. let's assume the guns, full silent veterans. some, as a result of 5 of the russians was running a white flag old as an honest as or something and the ukrainians able are able to, to deliberate as much of the country as will allow them. the security of,
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of it was not looking for that is not going to stop russia. the russian dissolved under what a leader is in the kremlin. russia will continue to want to eliminate ukraine from a map. it's built into russian dna that ukraine cannot exist as a, as a country. there is no such thing as a separate nation or culture of ukraine. and that means that ukraine has got to become part of no time. and that means, but in order to protect and they try to protect your protect the laws, protect the crane nights i was going to establish a bond of the tyrants, deal around around eastern europe to include ukraine mall drive of georgia, maybe even one day by the rest to protect against a russian because what we're witnessing is a decline of the russian. and this is going to play out over the decades to comments, not innovative and over and done with the quickly. it's yours of my grandchildren,
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100 revising his challenge. and so the only way to maintain peace in your loan is through an effective nature to turn so that instead of change the change, but dynamic and economically, financially, the way your positives business, i think the public is completely dropped out. but that's my view of the way things are going to happen. do you think the doctrine of new care to tone subscribes to survive this conflict? now the russians being waving gets nukes and all faces. and how are we going to see it when they have a new param, states doing the same thing, whatever they want, something that we want to give them is. yeah, i mean, i think you're going to be ready to cancel it, but as, as assuming, but somehow because we've got, you're right in this country we've, we've got driving to an end to come dropped into continental ballistic massage. that is going to credible it. russian aggression to the tire effectively. you need to be able to deter at every level of symmetric conventional types, only plan on all the way up the scale. i think for the foreseeable future,
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russia of course, will post a new friend. the way to, to the chart is to have effective new clips and turns as well as conventional attendance. but the way to and showed up a new class in the nucleus, sabre rattling, uh, is, is, in a sense rendered um, meaningless is through effective conventional to tire detox because of rational things that it can get away with nuclear black mile 'vette. it won't try that. and if you have effective the terms on every level, it wouldn't be able to provide briefly, you have the big a problem, the west to show that it listens to new, to blackmail. it's been listening to what the crime in the sentence it's, it's turned down, it's rhetoric, it hasn't given you credit. the weapons that need it listens to nuclear back ma'am . and that makes it valuable to basically like north korea, doesn't it? well, this goes back to my point about self determines and
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a not cooling person's blog. i mean, let's be clear and the sort of new saber rattling is really, really dangerous. but yeah, the west needs to be absolutely unequivocal. and i'm shoulders the top of, i mean, i think we have to know upset and of course is that there is communication between america and rush it up. there is communication between certain, all the native capitals and russia. i'm absolute this out and the message has been played out very powerfully. but if there is in the fall of nuclear new to release time to come over otherwise rush, i can expect to suffer a massive pain conventionally as a result. but the wesley spit cleared the time and about that. so richard sheriff, we run out of time unfortunately. thank you very much for being on complex. so thank you for having me. thankful for your time. thank you. the
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is the country supply of key minerals at risk. geologists are looking for new sources of these raw materials and our offering council to industry and government . the biggest concern, the valuable metals are difficult to obtain and are becoming increasingly expensive to laura today. in 90 minutes on d w, the we are all set and we'll walk seeing closely we all seem to bring you the story behind the news. we rolled about unbiased information. all 3 months. done the how many
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and how these beliefs can be changed. the start filming us, a plea for new perspectives starts october 20th us dw, the . this is data view news, and this is our top story. more than $200.00 people were killed in israel after the palestinian militant, as long as the organization from us launched an unprecedented multi pronged attack by land sea and air is rarely prime minister benjamin netanyahu says a month will pay a heavy price for the attack. a most fire thousands of rockets from the guns, a strip into southern israel. those were intercepted by israel's iron. don't defend system tell us any.
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