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tv   The Day  Deutsche Welle  February 22, 2024 3:02am-3:31am CET

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we maybe one said most this conflict is about to begin year 3 and more and more people are reckoning. the time is running out for ukraine. a new survey among europeans, it shows most still want ukraine to win the war. most say it won't happen tonight. the high hopes and low expectations, i bridge off in berlin. this is the day the lemme just in terms of support for you cream. we are working with our european partners to adopt or sanction packages, and keep up the pressure on the russian, your machine. we are considering going on since the whole structure of peers into account, and this morning we sanctioned those running the prison, slower lexi, and around the 40 still like i told you, we will have a major package on friday. also it coming up
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a rush is invasion of ukraine has brought more back to europe. a conflict too close for comfort you would think cool. it's not as a cooling thing, but the war. now my message to our partners, please don't call that support a few cri, because this is not support to please call it investments in your role as acute which of our viewers watching on tv as in the united states into all of you around the world. welcome. we begin today with sanctions against russia. yet again, today the european union agreed to impose a 13th round of sanctions against russia. it comes as the criminal war against ukraine nears. it's the 2nd anniversary, and they comes as ukrainian forces are suffering losses like never before on the battlefield. after months of heavy fighting against russian forces,
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ukraine's military recently withdrew from the eastern town of a be a major los for keith. this and verified russian video reports to show russian soldiers they are replacing the ukrainian flag with their own. your latest round of sanctions also come, i mean public outrage over the death of kremlin critical lexington of all ne, inside a siberian prison. just last week. when europe is decided on more sanctions against russia, the right response at the right time, i put that to professor jeffrey zoning failed. he's associated dean at the yellow school of business management as it is needed. we've had various warning shots over the bell of increasingly steps sanctions, and yet there's still more that it has to be done. we alone had a lot to do with catalyzing, the historic exit of 1200 major multi nationals to leave russia. that's 6
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times the retreat from south africa and protests of the apartheid regime. and there are all kinds of sanctions. of course we as we know and financial sector in some other sectors. but there is not enough. and this is going to be very effective. the price covers were, we're pretty strong, but this will do even far more represent, you know, you will certainly understand that there is a level of cynicism double among the public. this is the 13th round of sanctions that the european union has swept against the russia. how many rounds and sanctions will it take it to get the desired outcome as well? it'll take a lot more and it isn't like giving one weapon system either is going to do it. so please hope are any cynical viewers keep in mind that the, the leverage tanks from you folks are the abrams things from here aren't going to do it alone. behind me, our systems weren't going to do it alone. the,
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the f sixteens weren't going to do it. alone of the, the various kinds of a, of a patriot missiles, systems and things of provide protection and defense. but just like we need multiple weapon systems and other shorter and artillery. we also need a lot tighter sanctions, essentially been very effective. what your viewers have to understand is putting is concealing as economic statistics from the international monetary from the am of their own. economists have told us of the i m f, and we haven't recorded that. they don't know how i'll put in how the russian economy is doing. they're only taking his made up propaganda has to test x and re packaging it and put a white stuff in the morning comes, that was effect g, d, p. the russian economy is hemorrhaging. every sector is down from 60 percent and to more than 90 percent, they have 0 foreign investment going into that over a $100000000.00 a year or foreign direct investment going in there. we know that by 3rd there
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1000000 years of floods because the economy is in, is in distress. but he's surviving exactly cannibalizing industry and in and now this economy used to be 25 percent state and state control. it's now 70 percent. stay controlled and use of he uses at his cookie as a cookie jar, there's no fees mortgaging rushes future. that may be the case professor, but it doesn't change the fact that these and sanctions have not brought this more to an end. and that is what everyone is waiting to happen as well. they, they need even more. there are chips that get through their military grade. sure. it trips chips that even in a bassinger from just between we've prizes becca, stand admitted to it. it's a gets basically taped onto a refrigerator. it was in a microwave oven is household appliances is get imported into russia that are actually harvested and used for military grade uses. there. there are chips coming
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through russia, chips coming through china, and those have to be tight and wait. they are the oil sanctions. russia is not making money on oil. you hear about a volume of, well, their, their profits are plunged. in fact, they're producing a breakeven levels now the, to today's financial times, reports are we said what happened 2 years ago, which is that gas problem is basically uh, as i'm virtually out of business. nobody can buy their gas. you guys don't empty either needs. none of it and they can't pivot and sell it to asia, but there is still some slip as we have. aluminum is being bought. we have billions of dollars of aluminum, $10000000.00 as of aluminum being bought by the u. that should stop $2000000000.00 of, of a, of titanium and things that can be brought to a halt. and that's what these new sanctions will tighten. i think the sanctions it even more than a and better enforcement on, on. i think some of the oil price gaps, which would help. well, i'm sure a lot of people are going to be watching to see if this round will will do the
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trick. professor jeffrey, it is only that we appreciate your time and your valuable analysis tonight. thank you. thank you so much. i as well since february of 2022, the european union has banned goods worth about 44000000000 bureaus that would have been exported to russian. now these include advanced technologies such as radar systems, drones, camouflage, gear or weapons. and luxury items loved by rushes, elite on the import side, the sanctions may hit even harder. brushing commodities worth 91200000000, europe's are now banned across europe, and that includes coal, iron, gold, and steel, as well as russia's most eye clinic and coveted products vodka and caviar. here's. we'll look now at how it rushes economy is doing. under the penalties already inflicts the defense industry is currently the most important pillar of the russian
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economy. thanks to significantly increased government spending. the defense industry accounts with 10 percent of g. d. p. all the sectors such as the steel industry, also benefiting off to the slump in 2022. the russian economy is now growing according to data, for most got growth is also a full cost for 2024. just cut as you get this message i exist. what's that? what's happening is the brochure is actually what i'm running late, becoming more like the soviet union in that it has high spending on the military and in some cases heavy industry. and at the same time, the level of consumption is holding for the population. people say that the cycle spots industrial production is also doing surprising. the well, for example, in the automotive sector, components are increasingly coming from china, off to the europeans, withdrew from russia, thanks to chinese impulse,
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the russian economy is being kept afloat. she never takes that tradition is china or is of course not officially participating in the sanctions. so it is not a partner, so to speak of western states when it comes to sanctions and sometimes when good. so finance impulse, russia needs export income from guest sales. these are folded dramatically times the use extensive input by and seems to have had an effect chopping into a new customers with new pipelines is only a partial substitute volume ever simple. the read the 5 lines on. busy a very different that when you compare them full, wanted to finalize, come for support, uh to, to the you or come from support to, to china and even the new infrastructure of projects. like all else, i give you a to australian day, you fund state. however, the oil sales rush is 2nd most important source of export revenue almost as good as
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before the war and ukraine. this is despite you sanctions. i am just enforcing a price cap of $60.00 us dollars a barrel transportation of oil. um probably are violating the cops so days a week. i'm for as many to on the side of it is there is also a shadow. ready meeting uh where you know, uh all. ready the is uh uh, discharged, uh and the charge of the on another bus or the. ready sees a, the more and more oil is ending up in india. its most important oil supplier is now russia. nevertheless, russia's growth is partly financed on credits, including ministry spending. how long can puts in actually afford to do this? this come in the concepts, i can write that for quite a while. well, so i'd have to brush, i had a very low deb level at the beginning of football. it still has a low debt level even now,
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actually send russia does not look set to run out of money to finance the boy in ukraine. any time soon for 2 years into russia is more on ukraine and public opinion regarding the conflict here in europe. does not translate into a message of optimism. in fact, the majority of europeans are pessimistic about the ukrainian victory survey by the european council on foreign relations says only one in 10 thinks ukraine can win. 20 percent believe russia, but when the berlin bass think tank says that 41 percent of respondents want your up to pressure ukraine to negotiate with russia. 17000 people and 12 european countries took part in this survey. for more now i want to bring in raphael laws from the european council on foreign relations over here. it's good to see you
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again. you know, one year ago it looked like ukraine might be able to turn this more around with its counter offensive. that didn't happen. so i'm wondering how does this new survey, how does it differ from numbers we may have seen one year ago, or i, organization to europe, economy operations, port again, twice here in countries and populations about their attitudes and views of rush, i suppose, candid vision and the war ukraine going now into the 3rd year? i think your peers on not feeling particularly harrowing about the war, neither are they particularly enthusiastic about ukraine's prospect, but also they doubt your opinions, the ability to backfill the us leadership role and retreat to ukraine in case donald trump is the let the to the white house this november. yeah, there's a lot of the impact there. let me start with this notion of
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a war fatigue. you say that this fatigue is crucial to vladimir prudence, calculations for winning, and you create a how i'm wondering how war weary is europe. is the west right now? i think certainly we see a rise. and while we're in s despite inflation and you're going back to pre war levels, despite energy prices going back to people, levels, a european populations see anxious about your credit prospect. and i think that has an effect on how likely date you will ukrainian victory and how promising they see a continued us and are paid to what the crane. they don't think that you claim in victories, particularly likely. but on the other hand, they also don't want to piece nations automatically wooten. i'm, they don't think that a piece on, on russian terms is any sustainable. yeah, it took. so it seems the message here is in europe. we don't want russia to win,
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but we think it probably will considering depth. what should your p and leaders? what should they, they do with this knowledge? i mean, how should this new survey, how should it shape? how us the most europeans believe that this war will end in some kind of negotiated settlement. and this is certainly true from a analytical perspective, most was to end in negotiated settlements. but the fact also is that those negotiated settlements usually reflect a military balance of power on the balance here. um and so in order to sustain european countries, this ministry state financial aid to you claim to keep your plane on the side to avoid a russian victory in this for you. because you just need to rephrase the support and effort and they have to strengthen the message of peace of peace on international law in terms of providing a piece on russian terms that would equate to, to a surrender of the printer. you say in your survey that leaders need to define the
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meaning of a durable piece. they say that should be, that may be the goal here. what do you mean by that? a durable piece, a durable piece in our view, is one that, that builds on international law and it's actually human, terry. and all of this with government, for example, is engaged in an effort to bring together large correlation of countries as supporting ukraine's piece form. you know, which recognizes the territorial integrity of the countries which recognizes its political sovereignty. i did call on the global community to also stand behind international law in order to sustain future peace agreement. and to not get frustrated, not opening, such as the minister, one and 2 agreements that we saw in 2014, 2015 to the amenities, the national politics, also crane and to undermine ukraine's western trajectory. what the europe is. i
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think it should happen if us support for ukraine flags in the event of donald trump, for example, winning another presidency they think should happen. european seems that they are able by themselves to backfill um what the us is providing in material support to ukraine, but also the political leadership to bring together this not international question all support us that we've seen emerge. for example, in the context of the roxanne content, but they're also not willing to let you create a goal of clarity of europeans. think that they should have a maintain or even increased support in case a future us government decides to step out of this international quite to see me see. but in this new survey, but you know, pockets of in increased support for ukraine and pockets. we're,
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the support is, is waning pet, possibly even more pro pruitt's in probably russia you certainly dislike between countries, but they also disarm within countries. sometimes the differences between political parties is larger than those between european countries. but you're right to find out that that certainly some countries, common sense populations take a more relatively pro russian view, including for example, hungry greece is also more thoughtful than other countries. on the other side, we have sweden traditionally also opponent, as a very strong support. dr. cringe defense, a struggle, but interesting the, some lingering doubt in eastern european countries about what the large populations of creating refugees might mean for national role. here last with the european council on foreign relations here in berlin. ralphio is always is good to have you on. we appreciate you walking you through these new numbers. thank. thank you very
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much for holding. sorry to the middle east now where the devastating war between israel and tomas in gaza means or can mean life and death for journalist trying to cover the conflict. their recent figures from the committee to protect the journalist, shape palestinian journalist and made up the majority of all journalists killed world wide in the past year. since a mazda is october 7th air attacks, it is real $83.00 pills to be a journalist, and 2 is really journalists have been till now within god's uh, its male, almost exclusively palestinians reporting on the war on the ground. israel has refused to let foreign journalists in to report independently, they're all of those reporting from within guys that are doing so under extremely difficult conditions or more. now, i'm joined by jody ginsburg. she's the ceo of the committee to protect journalist
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and joins me from new york journeys. could they have you with this? let's talk about this conflict. this conflict is just about 3 months old. and in terms of being dangerous to journalist, how does it compare to other conflicts, where journalists and try to get to the truth a this is the ws conflict for done this. the committee to project on this has ever documented. we've been doing this work for more than 2 years. mojdeh unless died in the 1st 10 weeks of israel goza will then have evidence. i certainly says we've been doing this walk in a single country over an entire yes, the intensity, the numbers is up to the unprecedented. your organization we know investigates the depths of journalists in gaza. but i don't have to tell you it's very difficult to,
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to verify any information that's coming out of the gaza strip. how did you make sure that the data you were collecting that? that is accurate? it is extremely difficult. the so that we would normally rely on being able to speak to families being able to speak to call. it is extremely challenging because families are being kept kind of colleagues to being killed. nevertheless, we take the same approach that we would with any other situation. we make sure that we have at least 2 sources of information for any of the done this that we document, we speak to friends, we speak to families, we do a search online that looks up the outputs to make sure that out information is accurate as possible. and of course, it's a more information comes to lights over time, and we update our information as we get it. what do you say to the allegations that are coming from is real, that some of these journalists are, are,
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are military. so mean, do you believe that, do you believe that they've actually been targeted by israeli forces or? well, we have yet to see any credible evidence that the journalist that these really subsides are actually militant. so actually, terrorist search last year before this was started, the committee to project done this report rep, produce report court that'd be passed in which looked at the killings of laws. you palestinians on this bias ready forces over the past 22 years. and we found that 20 janice had been killed and, and not a single case that anyone been held accountable. and what we saw, in fact was a path and then which quite often is where i was accuse john and this of being a terrorist of being militants, but never produce any evidence. and that remains the case. and this war to israel says that its army cannot guarantee the safety of journalists and how kendral is then, how can they,
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they do their job without risking their lot done anything, because i cannot do that jobs without risking their lives. nowhere and goals are as safe done and as the doing absolutely what we would expect, john is to do covering the will that looking at the off them off of bombings by going to hospitals and then we see hospitals, phone, the going to refugee comes to look at the effects of displacements, those of also have been bomb. there isn't a place for dentist to be safe in the current environment, but it's absolutely imperative that we recognize that john nestle civilians and must be treated as such. so it must never be targeted to ginsburg. well, with the community to protect journalists, surely we appreciate your time and your inputs and not thank you. thank you. and the, the shelves of the gaza strip over a 1000000 displays, palestinians are struggling every day to survive in the city of ruffled. there is
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not enough drinking boy 8 agencies that say that they are concerned that this could lead to yet another catastrophe. a frantic daily routine in rough uh fetching the water by somebody because my son is small and needs walter. i bring him see was there, but he refuses, it were unable to wash. we don't have clean clothes. there's no water, there's no food. the rest of the world has food for this situation here is dire. we need water to live with that water. there is no life the long line forms every day on this beach around one and a half 1000000 people are now believe to be crammed into the southern gas and the safety of rafa. residents say the lack of clean water and food is causing disease
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to spread this uh but. 2 also not gonna be sending you a for an ard to click what those interest you have on the all these people are reading that on the way on it, but not all of them will get more off of them. we miss, i don't know. i know, i don't know if like this, every day of the world food program has signed it. the alarm once again by the gravity of conditions in god's depending on where you are, it ranges from emergency levels, but it goes all the way up to catastrophic levels. you find that there are people who have missed meals for a day or 2 days or 3 days. they have severe hunger. um, but you also have people who have acute hunger. that is the 18 for a week agency site. they're concerned about the possibility of famine and gaza. a
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dream warning that comes as fighting continues. well, the day it continues online. you'll find this on ex and youtube at the w news. you can follow me at brent golf tv. and remember whatever happens between now and then tomorrow is another day. we'll see you then everybody, the,
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the, the bleak, germany's economy is shrinking. the mood some mid sized businesses are struggling to survive. germany is stuck and losing ground in the international competition. are politicians to blame, made in germany, into the complex zones with sarah kelly's welcome to peace in cases the
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future of israel in palestinian relations town hall. this is a special edition of conflict. stone coming to you from the munich security conference with the palestinian prime minister. thank you for having me. and then we will open up to a high level panel. joining us here on this page conflict in 45 minutes. on d w the we did a urgent slice saving boxes week if i ever seem to reach those who need us the most . every folks seating their boxes for the hope of life saving
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we fearlessly deliver. not just next day that every day. thousands of children are still waiting for that. the sponsor of books today. so together we can deliver, teaches the for decades, germany was regarded as the mobile country in europe. it's still the largest economy, but the economy has suffered a massive downturn. how did this happen? and is germany, once again, the sick man of europe has some international news headlines, have all ready for flames. we'll take a look at the sectors where things are not running so smoothly in germany. how spain is trying to get a handle on illegal irrigation. what a new type of under see state.

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