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tv   The Day  Deutsche Welle  July 4, 2024 12:02am-12:31am CEST

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kind of consistent 20 point lead in the opinion polls tonight. we'll look at why britain's tories are facing such a dropping and why labor line slide? well, necessarily making the country as full enough with the left. i'm feel go invalid, and this is the day the now the question to choose it. i think the can, so if i don't a lot of things wrong, we now for change is a payoff of the patient payoff would in such a mess. but then which one would be the restaurant? so we'd love to send it to him. it's a matter of using the best amongst a bad spot which way driven in the ground. we call a full electric, become a full gas calling full. i've got to get the damn thing have been done with so we
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can start having something else to watch on television. read it back in the newspapers and talk about in pubs. also on the day that calling it the ghost fleet, the ships, i believe, to be transporting sanctions of russian oil under the regulatory radar. i say we're close to denmark, a country that's looking for international backup and its efforts to control the you have these some vessels that don't exist on paper, but they're right here in front of my eyes that show which fleet of oil tankers just working in denmark every day, but nobody knows with control. welcome to the day candidates in britain's general election of wrapped up campaigning and after 14 days of conservative government, 1st day's notice is expected to deliver a landslide victory to the centre left opposition labor party, prime minister officially. so next st. resigned to the idea of losing power.
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visiting a school in the final day have become paid uh, just bosis to prevent what it called a labor super majority of poll after poll predicts one of the biggest and excellence lives in bottom business history. so i'm working very hard until the last minute of this campaign for every vote and you've been out with me across the country saying that yesterday was a long day because i really believe lots of people have not made up deadlines. and that's why i'm keeps told as many people as possible before the polls close tomorrow to make sure everyone understands that choice are headed. and it's a very simple choice. if you want your taxes costs, you'll pension, protect it up or to secure, or you want to prevent not labor, super majority vote conservative your vote will make a difference. lots of people want to cite this of the fulls on conclusion. analysis shows that most true. your vote can make a difference in preventing that majority and having a texas tell you a bunch of factors. so get out there. very conservative labor latest, sexiest. um it has been criss crossing britain as he wrapped up. he's kind of tight
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. he supposedly in scotland to choose a new government this election is a about change, the charles to turn the page and start to rebuild. that is what tomorrow is all about. it's a stock choice. as we thought for 2 years of chaos of division and failure in westminster will despite neighbors lead in the polls, polls of holes are found. the public trust in politics is low and dissatisfaction high and one. so if i just 10 percent of people said they trust cabinet ministers to tell the truth. i've left half people wondering whether voting will change anything. i don't think anyone's got any real face, that whichever policy comes in next is gonna make a massive impact. it's a matter of pleasing the best amongst a bad bunch. i'm afraid politics, i'm new guy has been pretty badly served ever since we made the bad decision for
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breaks it. i think look. and so if i don't a lot of things wrong. andrew blake here is professor of politics and contemporary history at king's college in london. he also headsets political economy department, joins us from london. a welcome to the w. y is a selection, expect it to be such a land slide for the center left of labor party. we're currently in a position well simply because of labor going to be the look of a mass city in the, the number of votes they need in the right seats. that's the way it was under the system. we don't have a proportional system. we have what's called a 1st post the post system, and if you can get the right seats in the right places, the right votes in the right places you can win big. and that looks like what it's going to happen. some on britain's last general election in 2019 we turned a conservative a government with a significant majority led by bodies johnson. what has happened to turn that into
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a vase a power disaster? well, that's the, that's the, the important question because it's not any the scale of the victory which the projection suggest labor is going to cheap but the sky and that the turn around when they were in 2019. i think the answer to this is the unpopularity, the conservative policy mold in the popularity of labor. and they've achieved this unpopularity by a series of political dis aust, as the ongoing scandals of the boys jumps and government the eventually led to him being removed by his own side. then the very short lived leaves truss permits. ship during 2020. to destroy the budget into these bo charles, these jack of the goals of qualifying, and then followed by that which he synnex fading. really able to deal with the problems that using the hesitate. and any many ways making things was not least by the way in which he's handled. the selection campaign, coupled with that,
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we've got severe economic problems in the country. we've had a cost of living crises, energy crises, and what i think the highest highest button since the 2nd level. so there's, there's a, there's a variety of political and economic factors going on that between them conspired to just destroy the popularity, the concert of the policy and governments. okay, so this is about an unpopular conservative party involved with a particularly popular labor policy. what is the labor of promising to do in government? one of our priorities, the labor of a deliberately, as they would put it on the problem of a thing with the hope of over delivering. but they also keen about achieve being growth. they all talking about some areas of political reforms such as the pollution such as f as to eliminate corruption. but on the other hand, a lot of what they doing is talking about what they're rolling out. for instance,
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they've been very clear on the storm leadership to complete the rollout ever rejoining the opinion. and then i need to rule that out. but to rule out, ever joining these rejoining the single market where they even offer or indeed the customs you need. however, with funding to freedom of movement. so it's a lot of it is about things they preclude it, but they do have some offers including areas such as energy where they're proposing to create a kind of nationally owned energy company. great. but to ship energy. so they have some offices in that, but it's also about what they're not going to do. and the other thing they've tried to be clear of them is they're not going to be a tax raising caulsey, centralizing to, to, to look at the predicted turnaround in voting on the predicted for tunes, if the conservative policy, which is rule for 14 years, this was a policy, this is a policy that's internationally had a reputation as just i mean, election winning machine now it looks like it's going to not just be elect, totally humbled, but potentially, subjects to
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a takeover. tell us about nigel fire raj, and his attempts to destroy or even takeover. a potties whose world view is the 1000000 miles away from his own a barrel. and she is a very influential figuring bridge policies. and these achieve the influence without ever having being elect to, to the k paul them and he's been in the european paul lives have been tied up much, but he was a member never been in the u. k. paul. and now that might be a bounce exchange, but more important use and managed for the 3rd time, really to lead the policy does have a huge impact. and one of the big impacts has been to pressurize the conservative policy from the right to threaten them. and it totally without necessarily a winning and the thing, but to pressure them into moving into the policy of as the found your dental as as impulse. and now certainly it could be the case that post the general election, which is coming on the states, the console just went ahead such should dissolves, to be inflicted on them. and possibly found knowledge might find himself
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empowerment as m p for plants. and we will see that there will be some kind of problem back to the control of the conservative policy. and perhaps playing into that battle will be the potential of a takeover by a group on what you might call the populace drawn to the concert of the policy, which will some might reach out. we'll be working with 5 origin, whatever is good around here. so yes, they will be so they will be various bids to take over that conservative policy, some of which might even involve reaching out to and incorporating fire ologist. but that will probably depend on what happens to him. more homes just how bad is the conservatives to more annoyed so many of the people that we had in our reports . disillusioned with the state of british politics is a different policy. a running things after 14 years, likely to change that, or a decent policy if it comes to power, what she looks like will,
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will be inheriting all the problems that, that have been all can be created by the conservatives, or at least been faced by the conservatives none of those problems go away that they have off the general election and it doesn't matter how logical majority is. they will get what we call the honeymoon period. when they've given a bit more jobs been been a bit more optimism amongst the public perhaps. and they perhaps have the opportunity for a while to blame problems on the previous governments, but that will not last for ever. it never does. and back to our previous discussion, all the evidence suggests that there's a small case of a huge the unpopular government winning a general that we're losing a general election as opposed to a hugely popular position, winning a generalization as was the case, perhaps the 1997 wouldn't label it, but certainly black. now, the fact that they know huge, the popular may mean that they become very unpopular very quickly or could,
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on the other hand, work in the phase when these i think what stone was attempting to put off is a dampening down of expectations. so that when things all retrieve, it is that she noticed and, and, and lights by the publics. but certainly, none of these problems are going to go away. and in some areas, arguably, particularly if it was back to the you, stallman may have books himself in a bit, with the rides you see these made. so to me, before the election, that makes it difficult for him to achieve progress. okay, so i can for to have through that. so clearly professor andrew blake from king's college funded. thank you so much despite a raft of sanctions and russia is still shipping on selling it's crude oil to the world. the danish trades and i much use transit point for the commodity which is helping funding to moscow's war efforts in ukraine. stopping the flow of money also depends on stopping the ships. now the danish government is facing pressure to take
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more aggressive action. a shadow, sweet, dark fleet, ghost fleets, sinister. synonyms, for decrepit, vessels with questionable ownership and an adequate accident insurance, which environmental is say or carrying sanctioned russian oil way too close for comfort in the danish straits. it is extremely serious and it is extremely risky. the sort of thing gets a caring over a 100000 tons of crude oil, that is toxic to humans, into the environment. and we'll put waste 2 of coastlines for that case. if a, if a big accident happens, a small accident did happen here in march. when the 15 year old then panama flag, andromeda star collided with another ship. luckily it was empty, but the crew reported late could not prove the vessel had proper insurance. typical of shadow flew ships. so we're left for the bill. we left with the clean upright since the dean or streets are international waters. russia is allowed to use them even though most of its crude oil cannot be sold directly to european buyers
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because of sanctions. but that free passage is coming under scrutiny. so this country is relatively narrow. waterways are a strategic gateway between russia's ports and it's major markets. but the growing number of these completely unregulated ships and growing public awareness about the dangers they posed are putting pressure on the danish government to do something about them. investigative journalist y'all can kicks for has been exposing the fleets, merging business practices. they have flags, states in countries like the bon, which is a military dictatorship, but recently had a cool, some experts say the shadow fleet. now kerry's 4th 5th of all russians exports of crude oil under the regulatory radar. you have these some vessels that don't exist on paper, but they're right here in front of my eyes that show which fleet of oil tankers just working in denmark every day. but nobody knows was controlling him thing
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that's very interesting and i think i, we need to get to the bottom of who is controlling him. now, the danish government pleasures an international coalition will try to force better practices on the fleet. but how sanctions experts at the keeps school of economics institute believe the key is to more aggressively target ships known to be flooding their obligation to have credible oil spill insurance. the vessel would be identified as a property of a sanctioned entity. but most importantly, anyone, anyone interacting with a special for the cargo that it carries a could face enforcement action themselves. that recommendation goes further than the european union's new sanctions on some shadow fleet vessels, banning them for the 1st time from european ports and services. but that doesn't block the ships from sailing through international waters like the danish straits weather and how to do that is highly controversial. we willing to go out and intercept and stop the ship because if we uh, then we uh, in the,
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in the cross hairs of moscow saying, okay, then i'll just stop the ship. so well, just like the next ship going through, make sure that it has an accident so that they have insurance pollution and dana's waters. and then denmark can do that a bag teen off. and good luck with that. moscow has already threatened to denmark with retaliation. just for considering a response to the dark fleet, but without one billions of dollars in the legal oil, revenue will continue flowing through european waterways to the kremlin war chest. a lot report from the w correspondent, terry schultz, who joins us now. welcome to terry. what do you think is the most concerning aspects of base ghost fleets, the, the fact that the undermining sanctions against russia, setting its oil, defendant's war against ukraine, all the potential for an environmental catastrophe, positively no accountability. you have very little accountability
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because as i mentioned, the so called insurance companies sometimes can't even be found in i heard stories about owners of the ships, you know, try trying to be tracked and there, there would be addresses like in supermarkets, in india and, and things like that, so there really is very little accountability, but it really seems to be the environmental angle that's raising concern right now . and that's due to some near misses of accidents that have happened in the danish straits just in recent months and really showed just how likely it is that there will be an accident. one of these days, the environmental experts i spoke with said, is absolutely not a matter of, of, if it's just a matter of when. so let's look at that because when i, the environmental disaster happens, is that for denmark, pa to deal with a load or should the a you be doing more to how as a bose, i mean it, it would probably wash up most quickly on danish tours. but let's think about all
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the other countries around the baltic sea as well. none of them would be immune from the results of a disaster, like that. you know, if a $100000.00 tons of oil is on a ship is going to contaminate a huge amount of waterways and know what country is going to be able to deal with it by itself. the you of course, would be affected as well and perhaps it, it will put more of the ships on it, sanctions list, but it doesn't have some of the toughest sanctions that experts believe would really make a difference. and that is a banding, any kind of transactions with this oil that's carried on the ship, and that would affect a lot more companies, banks making transfers. anybody buying these oil products. and the u doesn't really have this kind of means the united states does like one of the, the, the particularly striking things about your pool is the fact that the ships are actually allowed to sail without proper insurance. this is
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true. and until now their habits, there hasn't been a way to stop them. you can't just board the ships out of suspicion that they don't have insurance. and that's why concerns about their potential for environmental destruction is becoming really important. now, because there may be a way to stop ships from sailing if they don't carry insurance, and that's something that taking it from the environmental aspect has not been tried yet. and that's really what people who want to stop this shipment. so looking at now, there may be a way to use their environmental risk as a way to stop the ships from sailing. and what about the customer who is buying this sanctioned oil as probably you and me sometimes though, and that's because once this oil, this is on these a russian shadow fleet ships is transported to another country. in this case, most likely india. that's where a lot of it is,
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is being processed. it is delivered to india, it is reprocessed there and it is actually sold back to the european union. i was even told that there were danish ships that went to india and carried it back after it had passed through the danish streets with all of these risk. so that's where uh, another place where things can get a lot tougher. there could be a band on using the oil once it's processed in another location, and that would really take a lot of it off the market. good talking to you as of a terry, thanks so much. that's a ton of shoulds in brussels. when he's ready, john strike is killed. a senior has belong combined into southern lab, and on these pictures, posted on social media a set to show the aftermath of the attack. this is the 2nd time an x ray. the strike is killed that has block amanda. in recent weeks, since a warning guys have begun that have been near daily across the board of fighting
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between is right on the level based mills and group dw is mohammed straight to invite roots. explain to me the significance of this strike to what the situation is, escalating again on the the news is right in the front as his beloved lunged at vitalia to the attacks on its way of following the coming off. it's senior military figure mohammed at na sit, also known as a, bu, now me and this is the, this was quite expected, this a retaliation. and this intensity given the significance and importance and higher rank of the killed military commander. and also it is the 3rd military figure senior military figure killed by his royal since the beginning of this confrontation 1st, we saw most to lean back in january and then toddler, abdullah in mid june. and now mohammed and also didn't every assess the nation was followed by
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a big and violent escalation that lasted for weeks and seemed to reach the point of an all out war between the adversities. this has been from think diplomatic efforts, particularly from the us friends and germany. i've been so far successful in pressuring all parties to avoid the large scale war. so now we are anticipating the large and a in the intensity. and the a skate of this round of escalation between has bland. this was so i'm gonna try to in by roads or recent weeks have brought near daily exchanges of rocket 5 between israel and has blah blah has 5 and unprecedented number of ms file. setting off while files that have consumed factors of northern israel, enforced tens of thousands to flee. the w correspondent, tonya craven has been talking to firefighters, protecting people who have chosen to stay caesar as area defense system,
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shoot stone rockets in southern living on the ground in northern israel firefighters. the busy extinguishing fires caused by cross border strikes between israel and nobody submitted to him. group has one guy the as early as managing a bigger team than usually the addition of my size to the wi fi is season means he needs all the help. he can get somebody to go far as of the by minute before the stuff i was in the last month. yeah. yeah, but i'm assuming you told me it has been much a very good the somewhat accurate shooting. familiar with him and as a result of this rocket sidney deceptions, the sandy fires gun star, the guys, and because of the dryness and strong we in the name on the to look into. you'll see a large burned area here. 5 option a. i thought, i me,
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you would the infinity lamb. some of this is the often most of a fire sparkman is as area of defense system shut down incoming ms of the last few days have been quieter than usual. says i was a lie, but his team is preparing for all scenarios, including a full scale war. the who this is the come, we know it will be much more severe. this is why we're getting ready to hold receiving forces in the can. we put on an impression in awful stuff, and we're now at a stage when we're waiting for the next wave. but i hope it doesn't come a few kilometers away. another fire has spread in recent weeks to the outskirts of keyboards, showing you. we've had a few, a 10 of your round short across the board area here and the boss of drones overhead . this border area is relatively calm today. but people here have been living on the side for more than a month now. and they feel can get much worse,
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is about it and test blah will end to a full scale war the allowance you who died just suddenly, a worried about the fires as well as the potential more the places he says, fee is like an additional weapon used against them here in the upper got any and all around the border of the bottom. there is an extra war. okay, there. and there was a real war and missiles, jones fires, alarms all the times, a lot of noise. it's also from the ease rally side. um, epic airplane is in the sky all the time. and it's been changed from 3 alarms a day to 3 days without any allow. basically we know that sees but i have the ability to hurt. that's the interest in any given moment. and we are just, you know, hoping that we would, that you know, that idea of who would be able to defensive that home is just outside the
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officially recreation zone, which stretches 5 kilometers, inter is route from the border. that means they are like tens of thousands of others have not been told to leave, but fearing war and fire. he and just how many if left twice since october 7, last year, each time they came back. but the suitcases are packed to and that's the day you can follow the team on social media at cdw news light. these headlines always available on t w dot com or on with the companies have a good day. the
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to many visitors is screening communities and the environment, the c o 2 emissions by cruise ships are a major problem. can tourism be curb the house economic losses made in germany on dw championships. change the way the germany is desperate for an experience
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overall the international center. the focus on here in 16 minutes on d. w. the oh, the january 2021. the attack on the united states capital, you come in idea of what you said. we had power, we should have power. power is being taken away from us. and by any means necessary, we can get a thousands of people to talk among them. some of these manipulative voices are formal, high ranking military leaders. why did us base trends tended backs on democracy?
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and what does this mean for the upcoming next? the enemy within the us to lie 12 on the the well speeches on 2 restraints or subbing increasingly overwhelmed with visited a situation that needs locals running out of space and set up with the crowds authorities up to strike a balance between the social impact of, of of terrorism on the revenues that helped to keep the local economy suff liked also on this edition of made a huge cruise line is bringing thousands of terrace to already over crowded destinations. could ammonia via clean alternative to the death, the engine fuels polluting the world's oceans and around the world there was.

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