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tv   The Day  Deutsche Welle  July 30, 2024 2:02am-2:31am CEST

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see of families re united of an end to economic mismanagement and rampant corruption, but it looks like they might be in for a rude awakening. the incumbents, nicholas montero, has been declared the winner of sunday's presidential vote by electoral authority, controlled by his government opposition, leaders or crime foul and demand, or a view as both sides. now claim victory. we ask what's next for venezuela? on the call for lucian, berlin, and this is the day the i am nicholas my daughter. more of the re elected president of the body and republic of venezuela. missouri was not going to see anyone with this number of votes. no one will defend no democracy outlaw and our people
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we wanted freedom to go back to our venezuela to be with our families. we have the guarantee of peace in this country, tranquillity and stability. missouri was the dictator, a drug trust. and today, there was a luxury fraud enough also on the day tensions in the middle east mound over a strike on the is really occupied, go on heights of the weekend that killed 12 young people. israel says it will not allow the attack to go unanswered. as well as bola, with a rainy and backing launch dinner rainy and miss out here. she can find that to leave on sunday nights. so the stage of israel will not solely and cannot take notice of missed the response will come with it and it will be severe. read the go shop. welcome to the show. it was the biggest challenge to venezuela's left wing populace, the chevy stuffs, in 25 years,
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the countries and the torres, the fractured opposition, join forces, defined attempts of intimidation and so on to bring down nicholas montero, the man who presided over a crippling economic downfall. and one of the world's biggest displacement crises, the opposition was predicted to win by a double digit margin. and yet incumbent has been declared the winner democratic leaders and organizations from around the world or calling the results into question. as is the opposition, they claim the vote was raked by an electoral counsel run by madura loyalists. so we meet the nicholas madura, the re elected president of the boulevard and republic of venezuela. nicholas my doodle was quick to claim victory in front of children and supporters. off to the like. daughters council announced he has secured a tut them with the majority of the vote counted
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the claim. the opposition was also quick to counter. didn't want to leave onto the telephone, open equilla, and the word that been equilla has a new president elect needs. it wound up gonzalez who wrote down the opposition a coalition of bodies which united to spend against my doodle claims that scanned to be 170 percent of the vote. and that the electronics council numbers are fraudulent. the stand off corner is a tense, might accounting with opposition supportive, demanding to witness the account. i'm evaluations of rigging. my daughter was 10 years of time on the hughes of his mentor. who go chavez all together to solve these thoughts have used when it's reapplied for the quarter century election
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authorities and the judiciary off from the under my daughter was tom and a mentoring economy has pretty good over 7000000 people to sleep. venezuelans abroad in columbia federal argentina, mexico have reacted with grief and anger the wedding day. today, the defeat of the miserable dictates the nicholas my doodle was obvious enough. today we're going to finish whether to be free at people's decision should be respectful guy. i want to be in my home, i want to be in my country. this is not fair. it's not fair. i want to the free venezuela, which is our last hope. we will decide we will decide for the freedom of venezuela, either we lose or we, we are going to fight. many international leaders have also reacted with concern
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calling on election authorities to release more avoiding data. my doodle, meanwhile, has vowed to hold onto power and prevent violence. take a closer look with jeff ramsey. he's a senior fellow for him, and his will and columbia at the atlanta counseling in washington, dc. jessica, to see you that 1st of your reaction to how the selection ended up on folding. but thanks for helping me, you know, i, as in the fact that it's been over 12 hours since polls closed and authorities still haven't released a detailed precinct level. the accounts tells you everything you need to know about the election. it really seems like missouri has decided to condemn men as well as to another 6 years, a isolation and political conflict. where are those who start nicholas montero would allow a democratic process to now you or you know,
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i think the reality is this isn't over yet. material has to convince the ruling the lead. he has to convince his inner circle that he can keep things under control. but the problem for him is that this doesn't really seem credible. he's needs to give the impression to these in our circle that he's going to be able to continue the country down the road of sanctions release and normalization and global reintegration. and he's just not going to be able to do that, preferably without engaging in some kind of complicated negotiations with the opposition and really opening up to power sharing. i just don't see a way for montero just carrying out a bleeding power of i just don't really think people in his television or standing up for it. do you see him sharing the power so far? we haven't so farm bureau has absolutely refused to engage in meaningful concessions and negotiations with the opposition. but you know, i think you have to remember that material doesn't govern alone. see relies on the
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military. the security forces, key members in his own ruling party to be able to maintain power. and you know, i think he's effectively inviting, the biggest loyalty test that he's based in the years. i really doubt that as well . and the leads are here for 6 more years. of refreshing sanctions and economic catastrophe under him. i want to get into the role of the military now that you mentioned it in a 2nd. but 1st let's look at the economy. of course, it's been a downward spiral for basically the 10 years that he's been in power. the us precisely ease sanctions on the receiving caracas in exchange for a commitment to conduct free and fair elections. now that it looks like that did not materialize. how do you expect washington to react? you know, i think the ministration is weighing as options. do you know, i do believe that if the white house that doesn't announce new sanctions on minutes while it will be criticized as being weak on the 0. but i also think that the
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ministration is looking to avoid fuel, in at least in part, continued waves of migration from it as well. so, you know, i think the ministration is between a rock and a hard place here. economic hardship, not only are result of course of these sanctions, but and that combined with the lack of perspective is what led some 8000000 venezuelans to leave the country. putting pressure on the entire region, the us as well up to a 3rd of the population. now say they want to go abroad rather than live through another 6 years under montero. what would the effect of another mass exodus be for the region? well, i think it would be absolutely devastating. and i do think that as well as today, i don't believe that material is capable of turning the economy around. you know, the reality is we've seen that as well and economy lose at least 75 percent of its
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value since manero took office. and i think been able to see that and they, they recognize that another 6 years of drove and power will mean 6 more years of economic chaos and political persecution. and those are exactly the reasons why venezuelans are fleeing the country by the millions that now the, the countries bearing the brunt of the, the exodus coming out of venezuela or countries like columbia, brazil, the neighboring countries. what role do you see them play in this current scenario where we have 2 political forces, again, claiming that they are the legitimate leadership of the country. you know, so far we've seen statements from the military command that have been very limited . um, you know, the, the, the major defense for the election saying that they would respect the results. and
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so far they've really kept a low profile. i think the focus in the next couple of hours and day is really going to be all on the armed forces all on these key figures inside materials coalition that he relies upon in order to maintain power. and you know, i think it is true, it has to be said that the opposition under and one of those out as is leadership, as maintained unity and message discipline. and you know, they do have the evidence in hand documents fraud and mobilize the public against monroe's power up here. so, you know, i don't think this is over. i think there is some situation that still in flux and i really wouldn't bet on things thing exactly. as they are the next week, i think the situation is volatile and i don't think it's over just yeah. all right . you don't think it's over just yet. our chat is almost over. we have about 50 seconds left. i want you to, you know, consult the crystal ball. what is going to happen in the next weeks, months, years?
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well, you know, i think the us and particularly our allies in europe and that america is going to be absolutely crucial. i think unless we see greater multilateral coordination in order to push the government to respect the results and restore of as well as fundamental right to elect their own leaders. that i do think we risk further and stagnation and continuation of the crisis. but i'm confident that the us and our closest allies are going to get their act together in orchestra, in response to a frenzy of the atlanta council. many things, great speaking to you. thank you. the, the ukraine anticipation is growing over the imminent delivery of western rate of 16 fighter jets. they're expected to arrive in the coming weeks. and keith says they will be a game changer in their efforts to repel russia's invasion. but speculation is rife
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over where they will be based many ukrainians are concerned that having the jets in their neighborhood could lead to intensified russian attacks. the long wait is almost over. after months of intense training and preparations at 165 digits are about to touch down and ukraine. and they can't come soon enough for ukrainian presidents allow them is the lensky. he says the plains are a game changer and no give, keep the chance to break rushes dominance of ukraine's aerospace. but keeping the jet safe will now be a priority in speculation. is rife with that will be stationed ukraine is not confirmed with the going to park the aircraft, but many experts say one air force base in west and ukraine is an ideal candidates . the startled cost in tina face is located roughly half way between keys and the beef. it's home to ukraine, 7th, tactical aviation brigade,
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and with it. so if you are an underground shelters, it's a logical option. but in the town of thought, across the emptiness, just across the river, people concerned many local sites. i appreciate all the support ukraine gets from abroad. but the increasingly fear of being caught in most cases cross is in the center. concentrating such high powered weapons in one place means that the enemy will seek to destroy these weapons. so for us, as residents of the town, this is a higher risk factor. we are very worried to the in the moment that the finish line stano coffee and tina has often felt rushes rather than this conflict. in august 2023 ukrainian authority. say moscow bombed a corn storage facility in the region. and as recently as mid july keeps, as it shut down, 5 russian cruise missiles and 11 drones targeting style row close the and t net at
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defense forces in the region say that russia has been stepping up its attacks over the past month. trying to find weaknesses and experimenting with new techniques. the tools use the increasing the explosive charge on the right and then use the model. nice thing that cruise myself with fragmentation, munitions, the damage lights on the vehicles were political just left the new one on destiny. not everyone believes the f sixteens will be able to turn the tide in this war, but at least they would also give you kind of drugs to try something new. israel's prime minister benjamin netanyahu is warning of what he calls a severe response to a rocket strike that killed 12 young people. and he is really occupied go on heights on saturday. and then, you know, visited the sites of the deadly attack in the drew's era. village of my style shelves today is real blames the around back. lebanese militant group has beloved
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for the strike on the sports field was killed, teenagers, and children is really security cabinet, has authorized that in the end of the defense minister to decide how and when to respond, some residents of the village came out to protest against them. yeah, i was visit, accusing him of exploiting their tragedy for political purposes. the rocket strike has renewed fears of an all out war between israel and has the law. in a moment i'll be talking to a former head of israel's intelligence agency. the most sought to gauge how likely an open conflict is. but 1st, a look at the military capabilities. both sides could draw up. as buller rockets fired from southern lebanon, intercepted by is really air defense is a common occurrence in recent weeks. but some of those rockets make it through, and israel has retaliated with devastating airstrikes. it has,
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the law was founded as an anti american and anti israel militia in the 1980s when it carried out deadly car bombings on american forces in lebanon. the group has 5 several wars with israel's, and span and has become a major political force, backed by hundreds of millions of dollars and funding from around the militia price of secrecy and typically doesn't reveal information on its capabilities. so any estimates of its forces are just that. but in recent years, us intelligence has quoted strength of $45000.00 soldiers, including full time and reserve as fighters. the groups leader referred to having 100000 fighters in 2021. if that were true, they would have more soldiers than the lebanese army. last year, the us estimated that hezbollah also has a 150000 rockets and missiles, more than enough to overwhelm is really air defenses and caused significant damage to infrastructure. in a more israel has one of the world's most modern militaries,
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in addition to a 170000 active duty soldiers, there are about 465000 reservists. it also has about 1400 tanks, as well as significant artillery and multiple rocket launch and capabilities. it also has an air force with over 200 jet fighters and almost 150 helicopters. and that's why they considered to have nuclear weapons. so it's unlikely to use them right across its own border as there is also the iron dome, an advanced anti missile system that is intercepted thousands of rockets from hezbollah and a mouse. something has belie itself, blacks, and all out war would likely cause significant damage to is rarely and lebanese cities, with high civilian casualties. after months and finding a mazda and gaza, israel's army is also in danger of being overstretched. and there worries that intense fighting could bring in iran and the u. s. and
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a major regional conflict. and for him, however, he is the former director of israel's intelligence agency mall side and he enjoys me now from television. mr. hillary, welcome to d w. i want to start with the question everybody is asking today, how close are is real and has the law to an all out war? i think we will know the ones israel will take action as a is as stated that you would be the last will depend on the scope of the step we are taking, which is on the one hand to be a very from one and then clear one and on the other hand, to allow the other side not to respond to the survey you have been involved in this kind of decision making in the past. what
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would be your advice to prime minister netanyahu in terms of responding to this attack? now that the ball is very much and israel's court, i think it is impossible for israel to refrain from responding to the tech, the tech we want to turn out to, you know, and the ignoring. and that's, act like this would probably have a very, very bad infect on these rows deterrent capabilities. and therefore, their response is absolutely essential. but it has to be a response which on the one hand, as i said, is very clear. and also property thing filled up to a point, but it also is allows the other side to refrain from the reset of the aging and amanda, which will bring the entire region into
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a regional that is not in the interest of it's not in the interest of use but out today. and what is more important is, i believe, is not in the interest that we're on. what, what, another full fledged military operation mean for the war in god. because from, from what i've been gathering, it's also not very much in the interest of israel. right. have another war on their hands. no, i don't think, you know, interested have another warning on our hands. but at the same time, we try not to accept a situation in which we have a large section of the country, which is under fire, all of us daily. and we're a, all of us over 80000 people have left the homes. we cannot live with this situation indefinitely. see me and i want to bring up a,
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a detail that might not be so minor. what do you make of the fact that has blood denies being involved in this? when at 1st they did not respond to the various items, it took them a long time to take the responsibility. i suppose that they also consider what was in their interest. but in any way, everybody understood it was that they took this action. i'm not sure if they clearly was targeting this particular to the football or sensor because that is very possible that they had another type of us in mind and that they the target. we say it was not the target use they originally intended to. it's incessantly operation
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has a lot and how much of course are both backed by a run, but throughout your time it must side. how did you experience the 2 groups to differ from each other? you know, it has the less superior military might decide i think the one has to remember that when it comes to guys of a, uh, the uh, so the elements which makes decisions on what kind of action they should take in the case of cause, but then also, they have others that they have to take into accounts have to take into account the governments of 11 on after taking into account the government of syria. and what is more important to have to take into account your know today of all days. do you present the around as assume the office of president of the you run the
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election there and it's clear that he is not intending to embroil the environment least in the war. his interests are totally opposed to this. and therefore, if there isn't the radian influence here, which is quite possible this to be the 1st test in which the uranium is recipient. and also have a something to say as to what kind of the of the retaliation or response the is. but uh, we'll take off the israel, carries out the operations and the dentist. okay. yeah. how do you expect tear on to, to position itself in this? you say this is the war. they do not want it as a war. hezbollah doesn't want it is a war that israel doesn't want,
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couldn't this be a, an off ramp to diplomacy in the region? i think this is, there is such a possibility. i think one has to be patients. i don't think this will be done over night. but i think that's where you have now this you uh, uh, rang in government and you presidents and the president who has a different policy on international affairs and who has an interest in opening up a diet. another one kind of another was united states. and i think this is a new, a very important track to which we will see possibly in play in this particular case as well. this is the 1st test. there is of the evidence the iran can exempt on this is by the,
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in the situation like this as israel's former spices, airframe. however, thank you so much for your fascinating insights in your time. thank you. and that's so for the best. so that's our time. but make sure to stay informed, stay engaged and stay in touch. you can follow our team on social media. our handle there is at c w e news. if it is the latest headlines you're looking for, there is always our website that it's b, w dot com for now though, the entire team here on the day and roll them. thank you so much for spending part of your day with us. the,
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the co africa coming in, donna, in summer, most escalated to a very high end of the problem resources, i'll be coming guess because of time to change the initiative. now office guided mediation to find the nico africa next on d. w to make is the dream of in house come through.
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