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tv   DW News  Deutsche Welle  November 6, 2024 12:00am-12:31am CET

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the airplane muscles are important for both candidates, especially in swing, states like michigan to how we would affect the outcome because additional election to as presidential election 2024 watts. the whole coverage on the this is dw news life and from berlin election day in the united states who will be the next us president peters are choosing between vice president, cumberland harris and former us president donald trump. trump is voted in florida and as he thinks a return to the white house, 4 years after being voted out, the focus is on 17 battle ground states that could decide this election committed terrorist. and she'll be the 1st woman president in american history. absolutely. most important election in my lifetime. you know, donald trump,
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obviously the fortune ray says, i'm really the main issue. i'd be glad in this over, and i actually did go for trump. i voted for our commer harris. i think she's the right choice to continue our democracy. and, and purchase until a v, but with the firing of this really defense minister europe deluxe prime minister benjamin netanyahu saying that he no longer has confidence in the man who has led israel's military operations in gaza. and living on the brink off is good to have you with this. it is election day in the united states. voters are choosing a new president, burning and still ongoing and most of the country, but polling stations that just closed in parts of the state of indiana. in kentucky,
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multiple started coming in over the coming hour or so in an election. the polls say is simply too close to call. the main contenders are the current democratic vice president couple of harris and the republican, former president, donald trump. johnson it's, i have, you know, we went in with a very big lead today and it looks like the republicans have shown up in source. so shell turns out, but it seems that they have really shown up in force. all right, let's go to our washington bureau chief, his bowl. she is watching events for us on what the problem is is to be storing the evening is going to see you. we just heard right there. donald trump saying that is feeling confident in the support that he is getting. does he have a reason real reason to be confident to not it's good to see you as well. brandon, good to start this evening was here with this really historic evening, which met us not only to this country. here's the united states,
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but i think to the rest of the world, especially germany and europe, does trump has reason to be confident? yes, of course. i mean, all polls say that it's, it is super close and fall too close to kind of i got any like really serious prediction. but what should worry him brand is the latest outcome of iowa. this is where many independent women seem to attend really towards harris and that should kind of worried him. and that was also the latest reactions we saw fit. and so he's of course, fretting confidence. but that has, might have another reason as might, the reason might be that he just also prepares his kind of space for the case that he loses. and the, then the ones of course to say, hey, i wanted to selection and it was rick again. so this is probably more technical than anything else. and with that is, do you think we could possibly expect donald trump to declare himself the winner of
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this election even before we, we have a significant number of results in yes, uh he did that last time and it is very likely that he does its uh, tonight as well, maybe even in 2 or 3 hours of to be get the 1st results from pennsylvania in or i a while i was just talking about this red leaning states, which states which might be turned tonight. and why would you do that? he would do that uh so that you can say later, look, i won the selection, i told you a one of the selection. and that was the moment when this uh, when was taken away from us. so this is all a preparation for the scenario that he's not winning in his selection. that's what he has been doing throughout the last years. and that's a, that's what he has been doing for the last days and even hours. so yes, we have to expect him to call the election, but definitely fall to early,
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or like on the really uh, realistic base. okay, is stand by, we're gonna come back to you in just a moment, said with fairly, a percentage point between donald trump and cumberland harris in some key states. this election is simply too close to call in for both campaigns. the job has been to plot a course to victory along a difficult path or for comma harris and donald trump. there are only a handful of states that really matter in this race were either candidate can build their path to the presidency, to win the white house, they need 270 electoral college votes. and for campaign strategist on both sides working out their winning combination, starts by mapping out the safe bets and likely wins the states that because of demographics are candidate affiliations. among other things, historically tend to always vote the same way. and that is, most of them. it leaves us with 7 so called swing states, still in play,
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also known as purple states because they swing between republican red and democratic blue. and it's in these places where this selection will be decided. those are the states of nevada, arizona, georgia, north carolina, pennsylvania, michigan, and wisconsin. and here's the thing. neither candidate needs to take all of them for victory. so what winning combinations could work for them? let's look 1st at donald trump, to reclaim the white house. one of his easiest roots would be to take back the states. he lost to joe biden, by the narrowest of margins in 2020 places like georgia and arizona at that north carolina, which trump one in both 20162020. and he's almost there. it then comes down to just one. when for him and any of these 3 states to get him over the line,
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all one by trump in 2016, but re taken by bite in in 2020 pennsylvania is arguably his main focus. the place where joe biden captured the presidency in 2020 with it's 19 electoral college, both a when here would promise victory, or it could open up other routes for the former president if he doesn't win and say georgia or north carolina. okay, so what about com la harris? how, mike, she build her way to the white house through these 7 battleground states. well, her best path to victory is probably through what are called the blue wall states of wisconsin, michigan and pennsylvania. capture those and she'd hit exactly 274 the when but say the democrats fell in the big state of pennsylvania. harris might look towards the swing states in the south. although this would be much harder for
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her, for example, georgia, a state that turned to blue for the 1st time since 1992 in the last election could be instrumental again, potentially offering an alternative path to victory. if harris wins here, she just need 3 more electoral college votes. and even if arizona in north carolina turn read for trump, harris could take nevada, where the races even tighter. although by this point, you'll notice the swing states are all tied to claim a narrow victory. so there you have it, it's messy and complicated. whatever happens, we are guaranteed a very close race for the white house and with the margins and these crucial swing states to close to call. it could take days before we know who will be the 47th president of the united states of america. us. all right, thanks and melissa there for explaining that, going through the numbers. i mean, you really do almost have to be
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a mathematician to really comprehend how this election is going to be put together . you need something to put you back in. um, you and i, we have we spoken on many us selection evenings at least to what stood out to you about this campaign leading up to tonight when you think about how it was in 20202016. uh huh. i mean, you know, i mean, i think the really, the, the most decisive moment really was when joe biden announced that he's not running again. and we all so many of all of us, i'm sure, saw the debate between joe biden and donald trump. and it was clear off to a couple of seconds at the job, i didn't really, really have a very hard time beating donald trump. so he took the credit to consequences and step down. and then there were like these couple of days. so what will democratic party be? will they just may kind of let harris the presidential candidate without any
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primaries or will they open up the conventions so that other candidates would have had the chance to jump in? and they decided was in less than a week that kind of actually was in tool to days that come with harris will be the candidate. and then a brendan be talked about that then she gave for 1st performance in atlanta and it was just amazing. i was there like 20000 people being so relieved to every young, fresh, a candidate. and that was something. but that's very unusual in a campaign that you have so late in the game, a change on the, on the top level. so that definitely something that stood out. you know, there's been a lot of volatility leading up to this point in this campaign. and the question of course, has to come, will there be volatility after election day and, you know, we remember what happened last year. the january, 6 storm on the us capital, i mean, could we see something similar to that kind of violence?
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moving towards january of 2025. this i'm afraid so, and i'm in the last. riley is from donald trump, give all kinds of the site. and so, you know, when he says we should show its former representative, this cheney and drawn by quote him here as well side. i would not mind if a reporter's got killed. he's literally like asking his supports of full violence reaction. so we don't have to be prepared, especially of course if a kind of the hair is written, stacy lexan to see violence. and donald trump do not accept the outcome and actually really hear friends in washington. many, many uh windows are already barricaded up. so washington and other places as well are getting ready for possible riots. yeah, the pictures looks like there's a hurricane approaching is what we're used to seeing. it is stand by our us or
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colleague or us corresponding janelle to malone. she has put together a list of 5 things that we should be watching for to night, as the boats are cast and the counting begins. here are the 5 things to watch out for on election night. and number one, trump tactics expect donald trump to claim victory at some point during the night. even if he's losing, the former president is almost certain not to concede in such a tight race way to get a pause, but we have to do it to big direct. he's already made repeated warnings about voter fraud, claiming he'll prosecute anyone found cheating if elected says they are good at one thing. you know that one thing that goes to the, that's the professional saves some say, tons that rhetoric is, is way of preemptively questioning, accommodate harris victory if it happens. laying the groundwork for
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a legal challenge. and lawyers from both campaigns have been gearing up for months, actually years in anticipation, the election results could very possibly get mired and litigation for on that later . number 2, the jill stein effect. now obviously the green party candidate has no path to the presidency, which he is on the ballot. and to swing states like pennsylvania, michigan, and wisconsin. and in such a tight race, a tiny votes here we're going to sign, could tilt the balance more likely away from harris and towards trump. check out this attack ad from the democrats. you'll stein green party candidate for president to wire close allies, helping her stein with keith. it's on 2016. wins in battle. ground. she's not sorry. she helps counseling, backed by a vote for stein. it's really a vote for trump signed stance against us. support of israel's warren garza has
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also helped her gain traction among arab americans. this is a very dire situation that will be continued under both democrats and republicans. so we say there is no lesser evil in this race. number 3, abortion rights. the issue is also on the ballot in 10 states, and in most cases, voters are deciding whether to add constitutional protections on the state level to abortion. and some of the places involved like arizona and nevada or battleground states. now for his part, donald trump has struggled to find consistent messaging on the issue well, campbell, a harris has put the fight for restoring reproductive rights at the forefront of her campaign. and i probably to see when i am president of the united states and congress passes the bill to restore the protections of roe v wade. i will roundly sign it into law, the number for the senate and house,
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whichever party controls the house and senate will determine how much the newly elected president actually gets done. currently, the democrats have the slimmest of majorities, 51 to 49 in the senate. the upper chamber of the united states congress, while the republicans just about control the lower chamber known as the house. 34 seats are up for grabs in the senate, and the democrats can ill afford to lose any seats, especially since west virginia. senator jo, mansion retiring means for already down one. as for the house. well, that's widely considered a coin toss with both analysts giving the democrats a slight edge all $400.00. 35 seats are up for election with a few dozen races, considered competitive. and finally, a number 5 expect to wait for a winner. each state has its own set of rules governing elections. for instance, the swing state of pennsylvania can't start counting absentee and mailing balance until election day. it's a big state, so that could take
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a while. suffice to say it is possible, we will not know the election result on the night of november 5 or 6 or 7. and with so much uncertainty that brings us back to the issue of legal challenges and litigation with exports warning that the longer the wait for a winter to be announced. so more opportunity for conspiracy theories to take hold and create doubts over the process. there's lots of reasons to be concerned when it's so much of the rhetoric and misinformation and um, uh, sort of anti democratic campaign talking points are so prevalent and getting repeated so much out of mainstream party candidates. and that's not what you want to see. so there you have it 5 things to watch out for as low as 2020 for presidential election unfolds, setting you what for the hours and probably long days ahead. was janelle do below reporting there is there is a lot of uncertainty to night. and if we believe the polls, and we have to say we,
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we, we relied on the polls 4 years ago, 8 years ago. and both times the polls were not correct. they certainly were not exact. if they have improved this time, then we have to say that trumping here is our neck and neck on this election day. what does that tell us then about american society in 2024 it tells us how it divides as a size. it isn't that part. so half of those americans who goble with these 160000000 americans who are eligible to vote the top of it or so it doesn't really care about the fact that donald trump is the conflict the convicted felon. that you played a huge role in general 6, the storming off the capital in that they don't care the to spreading lies and hate. but having that said, a friend, i think we also really have to talk about the facts that many american also trump,
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supporters are still wonderful people and some are just like hoping that donald trump bring spec, a better economy, safety to jobs and health care, which is a kind of didn't experience during the bite and administration, they are hoping for a better change then not bad people. and i think we have to be careful, you know, when we judge the outcome and keep that in mind. but yes, this country is when it comes to political stance. very, very divided. yeah. and it is about 20 minutes past 6 pm on the east coast where you are in is it so how soon can we expect some? yeah, some significant results. it's rather real here in less than an hour, kind of the 1st kind of 1st ideas. then i think around 8 o'clock or so we will get a little bit of a better information at 8 o'clock here, east coast eastern time,
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about the important state of georgia and then it goes onto pennsylvania. what we really should look out for in my humble opinion, is i a why, because this could really throw all the maps we did earlier on. also what we heard in, in this report over if it's coming to her is, will be able to been iowa. that would give her a totally different kind of pos to the white houses than anybody has expected. uh, so we definitely will watch for that at around 9 o'clock. okay. well we will be talking with you through the night as our coverage of america decides 2024 continues in this for now. thank you. all right, here's a quick look now at some of the other stories that are making headlines around the world. all minors detained during protests against the rising cost of living in nigeria and back in august had been released that following an order from president
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abolla to new book, at least 76 people, including 30 miners, were charged with trees and inciting a military coup after they took part in anti government protests $22.00 people were killed during those protests. a volcano on the in the nation island of florence has wrapped it again a day after blasting ash and lava. across nearby towns, mondays of russian destroyed buildings and buried residents under debris. at least 9 people have died. dallas and things have been evacuated to safety. a pollution in the indian capital jelly has had severe levels reaching 18 times above the maximum . recommended by the world health organization. air monitor is rank daily as the world's 2nd most polluted city. after law for in pakistan, doctors and pollution clinics have seen a surge of patients with breathing difficult. funerals have been held in gaza for victims of the latest is really year strides l. a city of media say at least 30
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people died on monday and tuesday, including women and children, is really military says that it was targeting a militant weapons storage facility. hundreds of died. israel's increased attacks on northern garza in recent weeks is staying with israel v as really prime minister's office. it says that benjamin netanyahu has fired his defense minister. good a lot. the prime minister is reported to have said that there are too many gabby's between him and go launch over. management of israel's mores launch will be replaced by the current for administer israel. because just because of our database, emily gordon, she's in jerusalem covering this story for us. emily, nothing. yahoo says there, i'm quoting here too many gaps between him and his former defense minister. what does he mean with those gaps as well?
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benjamin as on yahoo and your walk along too. we must remember 1st on the case of committing wilkins and gone by the international criminal quotes, a chief prosecute to the 2 of them have not been seeing eye to eye on the cost of israel's multi funds for in gauze. or for example, the launch has been in favor of reaching a phase 5 deal of ending the will. i'm getting the hosted, i'm getting the hostages out. benjamin this now has been against that's not least because he knows that the alternation of ultra nationalists members of his coalition government would uh, threaten to break up. so the government, if you find such as these 5 deal, and more recently we've seen deep divisions and is really government over a bill that would exclude to the ultra orthodox and his role from military service . marco longed has been opposed to this exemption. she says that he is really on a crime scene needs all the recruits have come, gets brought to the ultra orthodox policies that are members of this government,
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of course, in favor of this exemption. and they have also threatened to leave the government if they don't get their way. that puts depends a benjamin. that's another under enormous pressure. and that's also, it seems why she also finds his defense minister. you'll go on now and you have to ask about the timing, why fi or him now? as well as close as comes in the shadow of really water is the heights of the american elections. so it would appear about benjamin to turn you off the roof hoping for of trump when that he believes would potentially give him only way in the way he conducts this will. but, but i think that would be a very hard gamble on, i think this decision now to fire. you'll have to go long to really comes down to the internal political pressure than israel right now. and um,
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but at the same time, you also have to remember that this is coming at a time when israel could potentially face an attack from the wrong scene. given the statements, given the very serious threats that we've been hearing from the iranian government . so fostering, you'll have to go along to the defense minister who have you decades of military experience under rules that has very strong ties to the americans and has seen of, you know, the trustworthy points of contact or contact is quite a dangerous moment. but that's a criticism, that's also the criticism that we're hearing from is really from other is really politicians. i'm from civil society really? yeah. what did ask you about that? i mean, how are people reacting to the, to the sacking of a popular defense minister? well frankly, a flat top floor in israel and several problem politicians of come out cooling from must demonstrations. we're seeing of thousands of demonstrates of taken to the streets in tel aviv in hi fine jerusalem. and even in other parts of moving israel
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. but we haven't really seen any protest in the last couple of months and hosted families of also come out. but using the time, you know, who of prioritizing, the survival of this governmental to. fortunately, blanche has their own political survival over the actual needs and interests and the security of the country des, emily, guarding with the latest in jerusalem to 9th. emily, thank you to all right, here's a reminder now of our top story. millions of americans are casting their votes in the tightest election. many years democrats, vice president campbell of harris and the republican, former presidential donald trump, neck and neck. they were neck and neck into run up to election, day pulling stations and mail flows in parts of indiana and kentucky and israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu has fired his defense minister. you'll have good luck, siding. 20 says it is a crisis,
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a trust to launch and it's and you all who have clashed for months over the objectives of israel's 13 month old war in garza. don't forget, you can always get your news on the go. just download our app from google play or from the app store that will give you access to all of the latest news from around the world as well as push notifications for any breaking news. there's lots of sports, business and entertainment news as well. plus lots of analysis and background from our poor respondents around the globe. and this live feed that you're watching right now. it's also there just one click away. this is the w dues, from berlin. our coverage of the us selection continues at the top of the hour. i hope to see you then the,
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