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tv   DW News  Deutsche Welle  November 6, 2024 1:00am-1:30am CET

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and strongly, alas, services be our guest at frankfurt and bought cd managed by from bought the w do is live from berlin election day in the united states. the will be the next us president. leaders are choosing between vice president cala harris and former us president donald trump. trump voted in florida today is he 6 a return to the white house 4 years after being voted out. and the focus is on southern key battleground states that could decide this selection. if it's harris and she will be the 1st woman president in american history, the
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library golf is good to have you with is it is election day in the united states. voters are choosing a new president, posing stations are beginning to close, including and one of the battle ground states, georgia, another key state, north carolina closes in less than 30 minutes from now. results will start coming in over the next few hours in an election. the pollsters say is too close to call as americans decide between democratic candidate, vice president, cumberland harris and the republican candidate. former us president, donald trump, as your problem has to be a historic evening and then talking about where we're headed. i've got 2 people here at the big table who have something to say about that to my immediate right is my colleague. i mean, assets, and to my far right is political analysts. mike cooper and gentlemen get that, have you with this? i should let our viewers know they're going to be with us for several hours tonight . yeah. and so i hope people have the coffee brewing. what do you expect that what
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can we expect to not know? well, i was in the us in 2020. it took a road trip across the country and talked to literally hundreds of voters and i had the feeling that trump was gonna win that election just because of the kind of passion that a lot of the supporters have for him. but it still have that passion, but trump didn't win last time. and i was wrong about that. so i, it's really anybody's guess who's going to win this election. trump really is up in step by some standards at the peak of his power, at least for his supporters, that he has the highest favorability index since he's been on the political scene. so he has that going for him, but again, by them beat them last time and it's a lot of people say the us wants to move on from, from mike, what do you say? i think the way the most likely going to say a very close election and, but what i do hope is the unlike 2020. i think the, given that we're not in the same pandemic circumstances, hopefully we should see a result and we should be able to know in the next few hours, probably kind of
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a mid morning european time who the next present is likely to be. we may not be able to confirm that completely, but i think we're going to have a strong idea in the coming hours who that's going to be i'm as i'm in. so this this could go either way. and this is likely to be a very close to lecture. that's right. the state of georgia, north carolina, could give us the or 1st early science we will see. want you to take a listen. now this is the final message from kimberly, here is that the voters took with them to the ballad box today. take a look. most times the republicans have shown up in force. if i lose that election, if it gets your election, i've got it, i'd be the 1st one to acknowledge it. and i think it's not so far. i think it's been chair. i don't have to tell them that they've been involved sufficiently. no violence by supporters are not violent. people don't have to tell them that. and then i certainly don't want any violence,
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but i certainly don't have to tell these are great people. are you going to go now to our chief international editor richard walker? he joins us now from the southern florida. i think miami richard, good evening. hi, brian. yeah. so we are in miami. we drove down here actually from palm beach where we were just outside that posting station where trump voted earlier today. now we come to miami, we come to little have, i know this is the hot lands of the cuban emigrate community in florida. and you'll see that people are having quite a party here by the roadside. i'm flying the flag for trump and attracting a lot of home taking horns as people drive through out this part of miami. i do definitely get the feeling it selection night here bring it really is the election night here. interestingly, just a moment ago we saw also 2 trucks from the highway as well as campaign come, pause. they slow down, they also homestead loans and there was no kind of shouting,
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there was no booting or anything like that. and there was actually a kind of sense of okay, where the 2 to 2 teams in this fight. so if that happened across the country, that of course would dissuade some of those concerns that we just, um, had you guys referring to? um, but yeah, we're going to be here for the night. so we're going to be talking to you friday night from here, and i'll have back to you at this point, greg magine, little havana could be the capital of a very simple united states. we will see which is awesome. richard will be talking with you throughout the easy thing. all right, i'm going to go now to my colleague janelle do alone. she is near howard university of washington, dc. we're cumberland here. it is about to hold her election party. we should say that howard university is also the alma mater of the vice president. so how are things like you where you are janell as well brand, you can definitely feel that it's election died here too. i am standing close to howard university. the doors don't open to here for
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a camel. i harris's election watch party for another few hours, but i don't know if you can see behind be brent. you have quite a few people here already gather campbell, that our supporters definitely also a strong police presence. i've also seen my share of really creative science. i saw why not that said, do you want that president or do you want a madman? president, i also saw a teacher at that said this is kind of a law which i thought was quite clever. so definitely some very creative campbell, i our supporters, i here in this crowd, but you know, i've spent about today talking to voters as well because this is washington dc. it's reliably, democrat, reliably liberal. a lot of people are voting for a campbell. i, harrison, their new does very upbeat, so they're very optimistic, very confident. i think that really is something about the voting process that makes people feel like they have power over the outcome. and i think it's also helped their feelings of anxiety that are there have been very little reports of disruption to the voting process. so they voted safely. most people,
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they know and love voted safely and now they're all gathered here to see if the candidates they chose or whether she made it or not. but they are hopeful, of course, that she did. you know, this has been a very short campaign season for american, you know, terms, is that been good or bad for a couple of harris. i mean has she had enough time to present to her platform her case to the american people? i mean that will know that it's good or bad if she won but you are right. so um does she this was a historically short campaign time for her. what was it a $1506.00 days, including today and uh, one of the dangers in the very beginning of the campaign was that if she made any really big errors, then she wouldn't have the time to correct all those areas because of how short the campaign season is, but i think for all intents and purposes, she really made the most of the time that she had. she did multiple interviews that
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she debated. donald trump, she went on several podcast um she went to the she went to the 7 battle ground state several times. i think her drowned game was also very well organized. i read one estimate. it's about the campbell of harris campaign, knocked on something like 800000 doors in pennsylvania on a single saturday the saturday before the election. now if she doesn't end up planning, there will be questions as to what she could have done. boards shoji have gone on jo logan's podcasts, still rogue and of course be that podcast that is famous. so all bogged young man, that is all groups such as a problem with it and he has 14000000 listeners. so we're going to force indorse donald trump. but whether it will come down to that, we don't know in the end, but of course, so whether or not this was good for her will depend very much on whether it ends up working in her favor. okay. janelle jamil out there on the campus at howard
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university in washington, d. c with the harris here tonight. janelle, thank you a, i'm back here at the big table. now i want to think about this, this topic of how long this campaign has been. i mean, this is, if you look at time wise, it has felt more like a european campaign on the market. they have a right to. is that good or bad for a country that you know what we hear people always think. god, i mean, i'm tired of this campaign already. yeah, i think it's great for comment here is actually, i mean that's the, the feeling i've gotten a lot of analyst have said the same thing. that if you had longer to campaign, it might get into the details and, and she hasn't had that much time to prepare and put together a package where she can say, look, i might be the sitting vice president. i might have campaign with joe by and i might have been sitting with him in the white house for most of the time that he's been president, but i'm a totally different person. you should vote for me if you want change. a lot of americans want their voting for change, the selection they see her as change because of what she represents for. she is
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person her personality, her energy, her ability to form coherent phrases or is very different from jo biden's. yeah. um . but at the same time, she has put her name on a lot of his bills. so i think it's in her favor that she hasn't had too much time to really get into how very different she is going. yeah, yeah. mike is a short amount of time that means not enough time to make a lot of mistakes, right? when it also affects how trump has run in this year. so trump spent most of this year thinking that he was going to be running against joe biden. and even some of the specific decisions that trump makes my specific most obviously the nomination of j. d vance as his, as his running my i think it's very unlikely that he picks violence. if he knows he's running against harris. but it was reported that it was done junior, who convinced his father to go with me. that's right. i think the detail as well here's, here's a, here's obviously called a lot of money and a lot of influence in these spaces. i'm but i think the violence pick looks well once the candidate is switched and what, and when we see here, we know that women are going to,
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a disproportionately breaks the harris and potentially there was something that the trump could have done about that if he'd have known in advance, the harvest was going to be his opinion, but of course, because he thinks he's running against biden. and from from trump's perspective, he's been very unhappy about that. and because he's kind of feels like you spend all of this time and energy and after complaining against drive by and then he has to kind of start all over. so i think the, the short campaign from the higher side. um no, i really effects the higher that infects the democrats, but it also really affects trump and how trump runs his campaigns right month. thank you very much. stand by with barely a percentage point between donald trump and cumberland, harrison some key states. this even selection is, as we've been saying, to close the call for both campaigns. the job has been to plot a course to victory along very difficult tactical pat database. melissa gen looks now at some of those like toral pathways that lead to the white house for comma
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harris. and donald trump, there are only a handful of states that really matter in this race were either candidate can build their path to the presidency, to win the white house. they need 270 electoral college votes. and for campaign strategist on both sides working out their winning combination, starts by mapping out the safe bets and likely wins the states that because of demographics or candidate affiliations, among other things, historically tend to always vote the same way. and that is, most of them. it leaves us with 7 so called swing states, still in play, also known as purple states because they swing between republican red and democratic blue. and it's in these places where this election will be decided. those are the state of nevada, arizona, georgia, north carolina, pennsylvania, michigan,
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and wisconsin. and here's the thing. neither candidate needs to take all of them for victory. so what winning combinations could work for them? let's look 1st at donald trump, to claim the white house. one of his easiest roots would be to take back the states . he lost to joe biden, by the narrowest of margins in 2020 places like georgia and arizona. add to that north carolina, which trump one in both 20162020. and he's almost there. it then comes down to just one. when for him, in any of these 3 states, to get him over the line, all one by trump in 2016. but re taken by bite in in 2020 pennsylvania is arguably his main focus. the place where joe biden captured the presidency in 2020 with it's 19 electoral college, both a when here would promise victory or could open up other routes for the former
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president. if he doesn't win and say georgia or north carolina. okay, so what about comma harris? how might she build her way to the white house through these 7 battleground states? well, her best path to victory is probably through what are called the blue wall states of wisconsin. michigan and pennsylvania capture those and she'd hit exactly 270 for the when but say the democrats fell in the big state of pennsylvania. harris might look towards the swing states in the south. although this would be much harder for her, for example, georgia, a state that turned to blue for the 1st time since 1992 in the last election could be instrumental again, potentially offering an alternative path to victory. if harris wins here, she just need 3 more electoral college votes. and even if arizona in north carolina
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turn read for trump, harris could take nevada, where the race is even tighter. although by this point, you'll notice the swing states are all tied to claim a narrow victory. so there you have it, it's messy and complicated. whatever happens, we are guaranteed a very close race for the white house and with the margins and these crucial swing states to close to call. it could take days before we know who will be the $47.00 president of the united states of america, or right it's melissa. thank you. let's go now to our washington bureau chief in his po, easiest. we've got some numbers coming out. we want to let our viewers know of the polling places in georgia have closed, but we don't have any numbers from that. we do have the associated press calling the votes in kentucky in indiana for donald trump and in vermont for come over harris. none of this unexpected. let me get your reaction to the,
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to the so this is no surprise yet. no, not at all. that's really what it was to be expected here. and, you know, george already of course, really watching that very closely. also because there are several bumps bomb threats, so some of these voting, upholding stations for a close for some time, especially in the areas which are crucial for the democrats to win. and i talked to some people working in the hotlines in emergency hotlines, and they told me that they also got calls from, from the numbers, from china and from russia. so this is definitely something we always have a closer look. so of ordering and georgia will be a little bit extended because of these bomb threats. that's at least what we are just learning right now. okay. yeah, that's a good point because the that is a key battleground state that we're looking for. tonight's that in north carolina, which it's probably places close in
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a balance. but 1213 minutes from now. i want to pick up the on this, this notion of, you know, these threats of violence that had, unfortunately been associated with us elections in the recent past. uh, what about this election and been post election you know, i mean uh, not only washington is getting ready for some of the riots. i mean the many stores are very catered, and streets are close to no. uh, brands. i mean, just uh listen to the remarks from donald trump touring his last riley is he just said, you know, he wouldn't mind if reporters would get killed. he wouldn't, he actually, a talked accidentally how he would like if people would shoot at this. jamie, a former member of the house of representatives, so he's really spreading violence kind of award attacks in preparation for the possibility that she might lose. and then he might ask his supporters to fight the
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outcome of the election. so yes indeed, not only washington, but other places as well in this country are getting ready for possible riots. we were saying, vermont of kentucky in indiana. no surprise, in terms of the elections being called there for republicans where the democrats, let's talk about an, an a very unexpected polling number that came out this week. and that is for the state of iowa. i've talked to me about why that has people inside the trunk campaign, reportedly nervous you know, this comes down to the cos, rachel, so done. donald trump, campaign and diesel women this year in the last 2 elections, many suburban especially wise women, voted for donald trump. this has changed because of the, a supreme court decision to take away abortion, the protection of nation wide abortion rights. so this isn't the core for many,
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many women. and of course, also men who support to kind of the hers because she promised to bring back these nationwide abortion protections in case have been supplied. housing gets the majority in the senate for this change. so by the end of the day, a voice in rights reproduction writes, might cause a donald trump, or might cost a donor, trump is losing the y $1000.00. that's kind of some irony in there because he is known as such a such a macho and also a man who is very kind of from his thoughts in this, in the way he talks about women. and that he might lose the white house just because of that. well, that might be some, especially history in the making. okay. our washington bureau chief in his poll, it is. thank you very much. we'll be checking in with you later this evening. as more numbers come in, let's come back into the studio here. i want to pick up on this topic of the difference between men and women, the gender gap. and it's a huge gap. the selection we're looking at 2 different americas. if we break it
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down by a gender, by gender, and especially gender and education, so non college educated men are voting for trump or said they wrote in for trump in this election by 16 points. and for a comma harris, $27.00 points advantage among college educated women. so this has bearing in iowa, we were talking about that split. there is like a 43 right point spread. and this is college educated women who identifies republican or democrat. but this is 30 points, so it really includes a lot of, of republican women that have switched to the democrats, the selection i knew is that because of the over overturning of rugby way. yeah. we can say for certain exactly why it's happening. um, but we thought we already saw that as soon as trump came onto the scene that he appealed more to then then to women. what we have seen recently in this election, especially is even black men without college degrees, are going for trump and higher numbers than they ever have before. do we know,
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mike, why they have to be that seems counter intuitive. if you look at the past that you would have minorities, particularly male minorities in the united states, you know, moving to the truck cap. so well, you need to be careful cuz most minorities will still overwhelmingly support um, kind of the harris and the selection and especially black americans. um, but it does seem to be um, some kind of slow shifting um, particularly among younger men and how, how do we explain that? so as a one potential explanation for this, among among latinos in particular, is this feeling of white identity? this i did, and i've actually done some research on this. and this i did actually that many members of, of the tino hispanic community and particularly men on now identifying as white. and so when trump talks about kind of whiteness and want it done, steve, they're kind of identifying with that and, and, and feeling as if you have that stuff. he's talking about me, he's talking to me. and so this, this kind of and including themselves in this kind of white and just in groups they
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to is, that's ironic, isn't it? because when you look at the sense is the last is that was taken, you know, there were many choices when you're asked about your that's necessary 20 years ago 30 years ago. that wasn't the case. and yet, as the choice or the ability to reflect reality has been put on paper, you've seen more of this merging when it comes to the notion of it was a white american, isn't it? i suppose if it's 60 percent of latino americans don't think trump is talking about him when he attacks latino groups in the united states. they think of immigrants who are the bad guys, the trump is talking about. and this is obviously a trump would probably say that this is a good thing that what he's doing is he's appealing to people as americans. and he, anybody who comes across the board or legally he would say, is in his sites. but if you're in the us and you're in america and then it's, it's kind of the big 10 politics. that's the way he would pitch it anyway. so it's not necessarily a bad thing that latino is, are identifying as just every, as the majority has the majority. yeah. so what about the error of americans?
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and this is very interesting in this selection, and i'm sure you have something to say about this. what i was thinking it took to learn in michigan, this could be really important. so obviously harris has done something made some statements to try and create some daylight, some space between her and president biden on the issue of, of gaza. and she's not really done for it from the perspective of the art american community. she has not done anything kind of concrete. there are no specific policies. she has made kind of rhetoric with statements about wanting to end the war and gaza. but the, the, there is a problem here potentially in michigan, michigan has the largest hour of our, our american population. and of course is going to be really close swing states. so if on mass they are americans side to stay home and to, to, in michigan, north vite for her. and she loses michigan by a couple of 1000 votes. then, then this would certainly be something that will come up a couple months in, in a,
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in a 2 party system though as the united states is not voting for someone. you're automatically, you know, giving votes to the opponent. i mean, do you think that error of america's particularly in michigan, are they aware of the opportunity cost of their decisions? i think many of them will vote for my feelings. many of them will vote for harris. we had this, this movement during the primaries against bite, and i'm but, but i think most of them wells are, but we're talking here about really spend much it, you know, so, so, so we're not talking about the entire community staying home, but what we to, it's nice to have the margins if, if michigan is really not close, then then what happens is, yep, yeah, cuz you have the numbers. so then the latest pulls that we have. uh, we have the numbers. okay. but trump would get 43 percent of the air of american votes, and nationwide harris will get 41 percent. so he is leading in those polls. but that's probably also because joe stein, the green party 3rd party candidate,
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is looking to pick up 4 percent. again, these people are answering polls and a lot of people when they're protest building, they exaggerate their claims in the polls. so people who say they're going to vote 3rd party when they finally get in the booth, don't do it, but they want to send a message that they're not happy with the democratic party. yeah, because of the weren't going to, i mean either we're also relying on poles. right. and we're going to be talking to themselves later in the basically that's just how we live or pose our gentlemen. thank you very much. we'll be back with you at the top of the hour. you're watching the w news on this election night in america polling stations are now beginning to close in the united states as americans vote in the tightest presidential election in years. the battle ground swing st. georgia has closed, but the numbers we understand right now too close to call the associated press. and the us networks have already given kentucky in indiana to trump. if given the state of vermont to come over here is those forces no surprise. you want you to use our special coverage of the us election starts in just 30 minutes. we will be here on your television as well as streaming on social media and on our
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app and, and dot com wherever you can be watching. we'll see you in about 30 minutes. the, the the
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35 years of to the full of the fun in the mood, november 9th, dw, the, somewhere in the desert between tanisha is to have a whole list stick approach to migration policy, rooted in the respect for human rights. our investigative research shows the reality is behind the use refugee to the desert guns would not take place. and without funding, even from the use, it's determined by this is happening to migrate on the african
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policy starts november 9th dw, what is one of the most closely contrasted us selections, in member a couple of hours could become the 1st woman of color to be elected us president donald trump is trying to make a come back and serve a 2nd time, but which is in the us that he's having who will leave the country for the next full? yes. opinion polls indicate no clear frontrunner. so who is it going to me? i'm feel go in the lane and this is the day the where you load tomorrow. we can fix every single problem our country faces and.

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