tv The Day Deutsche Welle November 11, 2024 9:30pm-10:00pm CET
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on your journey been given by the a donald trump's election victory has europe wondering what another 4 years of america 1st will mean for transatlantic relations. and for industry, a trump administration could be a major blow to the german economy. but situations been compounded by the collapse of the governing coalition in berlin. and european governments were quick to congratulate trump on his return to the white house. but when dealing with the future president on search and t is the key word, i'm clear, richardson in berlin, you were watching the day the
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he was elected by the american people and he's going to defend their interests. even a couple people say there's no doubt that this new political landscape is a serious challenge for everyone. the question is, are we ready to defend the interest of europeans, all of the leaders, the one to students in the dies united states? it don't, we shouldn't be not even our transatlantic system. so that by what we should not expect the americans to protect us. you dance with those who are in the room. that also applies to the us president of the legs. also coming up on the day will trump chemistry with turkish president wretched up type air to one help improve ties between the 2 countries? finds a i think trump will have closer relations with ad one because biden's door was closed with trump. they will these be able to talk in a subsequent service what's like a close look at what
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a new trump presidency could mean elsewhere in the world 1st at east asia. and then the situation here in germany or for years the united states has been trying to bolster ties with democracies in east asia as a way of countering rising chinese influence. but can these partnerships with stand for more years of donald from and how will us allies respond another time? so donald, trump and governments across the in the pacific expects him to take an america 1st approach to the region. then now calculating how it responds to jump, let's contentions that have shopping since is last time and office suite competing, showing the threats to taiwan maritime disputes in the south china sea under rest. if north korea trump kicked him on us partners, pay more for their own defense as we'll talk, receives to closer together. and i think that's one thing to watch whether or not how trump gubbins drives us allies in age of 10 sales. where in the world to take
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more responsibility for the security which, you know, both might be a good thing in some sense. this book was as a potential, it's kind of escalating the arms race that we've seen and age. and the last few decades, largely driven by china, but not explicitly, trump is also likely to double down on economic competition with aging. you've threatened to impose terrace of up to 60 percent on us imports from china. although many asian nations count the us is that she security guarantor, aging is for many the biggest economic partners. but that's gonna inject a lot of economic uncertainty for the region, particularly for our region like asia that is incredibly dependent on trade. and kind of this though is workings of supply chains. overall, let's say china could capitalize on trump's ton inwards and the vacuum he could be imagined. ready to ship it? i think yeah, that does erode this idea of what kind of us that system in the us that well, but the okay, and i'll be your opinion powers, maybe japan, korea,
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australia. you seem to be part of an offering kind of the best solutions to the well. so i think china will selectively look to certain areas where he can offer a better solution. and i will just make the case, i think, by the end sometimes more loudly that you had to show you. there isn't only one way of doing things. as for trump, the 2nd time, the common refrain, the only predictable things is that it will be unpredictable. now that unpredictability also has governments in europe concerned, especially berlin, as the united states is germany's largest trade partner. let's talk economy and future us. german relations with professor york russell. he is an economist and presidents of the european school of management and technology here in berlin. welcome to the w. thank you very much. so what would, on american 1st america 1st policy and then probably more trade, terrorist mean for germany's exporters and, and who would be hit the hardest here. germany is you would say the wrong model of
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an open economy. it's very open to exports and imports. it's open to basic trade relationships to all parts of the world. but in particular, the united states, a very important to germany, as the biggest export market, also has a major destination for german investments. and so in particular, those industries that are heavily dependent on exports to the united states, the common effects that will be hit. this is what we could already see by the stock market directions to these common effect rest following the election. and will be a big question of whether they actually may even increase the investments in the united states to get behind the protection. so they basically to get out of the tariff game. oh, that's so interesting. what, what do you mean by that? exactly what you expect, like car manufacturers, for example, would do. so the german coming in effect was already very much present in the united states. they also produce a lot. they also, they employ a lot of people there, but still the ex spots are needed in order to satisfy the demand in the us market. so therefore, what is, what could actually happen is if indeed, tears go up that production by drum and coming to manufacturers in the united
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states will go up in order to assess even more of the domestic market in the united states. let's take a look at donald trump as a figure. how different do you think his upcoming administration will be then the one that we've seen from joe biden, or what could have been accomplished. harris administration or our america's national interest really radically different, depending on who is actually sitting in the white house. yeah, let's say they have 2 pots. one certainly is to expect a little bit of unpredictability when it comes to the trump administration to see that it's not so clear what exactly is going to happen at the same time we shouldn't on the estimate of the also the binding administration have certain policies in place which also meant america to be put at the 1st place. it's also that's, for example, the orientation to focus on china was strong, was the bottom, that ministration would become maybe even stronger with trump. so these are maybe rather regular shift. now some have said that regardless of who won the us election,
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this would be the end of trans atlanta system. as we know what to do, you agree with that statement? that's certainly a risk to it, but at the same time, we should also remind everyone on both sides of the atlantic, how much this transatlantic partnership has benefited both parts of the atlantic. and this is what we should keep in mind in terms of peace and freedom prosperity in particular because a tariff, as much as it may help in default run to some us industries. it would also have the united states, for example, by making things more expensive and stationary. precious to go up. so, and many other aspects to really come in. now, we should say that germany isn't a particularly vulnerable spot right now. on the same day, the race was called for donald trump. you also saw the collapse of the governing coalition here. what does, how does that play into a new trump administration? this is certainly a variable around the modem at the moment, and that's why we don't have a real government at this place. so therefore, it would be more important to come up with a new government very early on it because it not only has impact on the national
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stance. it also has an impact on if there should be trade negotiations on the european level for germany to play a role there. and actually to put an impetus in what is needed for a drug and industry. plus to also think about on the european level, which other types of trade agreements would be necessary. for example, when it comes to americans. what other parts of the, what, and what else does europe and germany need to do in order to, to bolster itself against an incoming trump administration and that uncertainty that you've described. so suddenly it is important to think about traits agreements . also differentiation will diversification of other parts of the world, which are many and your quick ex spot. maybe more importantly though, is the, the perfect ending of the internal market. so europe is benefiting a lot from its internal markets, but best of so many barriers in the us. so for example, when it comes to investments, capital markets. so for example, this capital markets union is maybe more important than ever before, really to false. the investment in capital locations across europe. and why do you
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think that has not happened to date? is it going to take a donald trump presidency to push these kinds of changes through? maybe this is the only if you will, positive side to it. uh, once the various, more for say of a crisis coming up of this, the risk of a crisis. it has always benefited europe in the sense of getting together coming together and making decisions that otherwise wouldn't be possible. and that might be actually really the point at which such an impulse, such a momentum should be used to get into the internal capital markets and, and other perfection of the intel and market. i'd be interested if you could speak a little bit more about the greater moments that we find ourselves in here. you've, you've written that. trump is more of a symptom of a trends than actually being the person behind that transitive driving change himself. what, what did you mean by that? exactly. so the main point is that even was the on by administration, the interest in the united states has shifted from the atlantic to the pacific
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ocean. so that means in particular, the rivalry was china has become more and more important. it's something that will also keep the you administration busy and these are the aspects that are very relevant to consider. so this means this actually would have been a shift no matter which administration would take over. so therefore, this is, you could say it more secular trend with, you know, the reason they say yes or yes. well, thank you so much for joining us with your expertise today. it was a real pleasure to speak with you all things us german relations and beyond that is professor you are rational, an economist, and a president of us empty. thank you so much. donald trump selection wind has been welcomed and sees the stickly in turkey, president wretched, tie up arrow on calls from a friend and says he hopes the trump administration can help and the conflicts and ukraine and the middle east relations between air to one and president joe biden has been cool and error was maybe hoping for a return of that personal chemistry which marks the 1st trump presidency. as julia
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han reports from turkey, things might not go as smoothly as ever to one hopes. donald trump wants to class that he was a big fan of talking to the rest of try of add on the president and i have been we've been very good friends. we've been friends for a long time, almost from day one of the last time he was an officer. trump also threatened to destroy the attackers economy. and are you concerned? they are the one we'll try to wipe out the kurtz. i will wipe out his economy if that happens. i've already done it once. how is he able to maintain cordial ties with ad on the side, comments like these? and what does trumps return to the white house to mean for talking us ties for president avalon? this is a big victory as well. the chemistry between the 2 man is pretty much based off being fellow strong man is shared world view uh,
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based on power based on uh, the demonization of their enemies ad one congratulate to his friend trump. and said he hoped for new periods until official american relations. some people here in a stumble or not quite as excited. well, i don't think john proponents do anything for techie, but it would be good if he at least stops the board, especially in the middle east. optima. chombo. he's a savage barbarian. yeah, i mean he's a funny so you give it a we really don't need people like the yoke ya barely. so a lot of the items you'll find a i think trump will have closer relations with ad one because biden's door was closed with trump. they will, these be able to talk, and the subsequent se ridiculous president of the republic after 12, the outgoing biden administration, has seemingly kept the tech as president at arms length. trump had fairly frequent meetings and phone calls would add one during his 2017 to 2021 presidency. but
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a close personal relationship might not be enough to smooth over a long standing disagreements between the 2 nato allies. that a structural problems into by that's really the relationship that won't just go away because of a change of leadership in the united states. we're about to enter a turbulent period in turkish american relations. make no mistake. this will not be an easy time interpretation. american relations here are some of the main sticking points to these removal from the search fi fighter jet program. due to its patches of, of russian made a defense system. us military support to cut a scopes in syria, which uncle considers an extension of the p k. k. a designated terrorist ad one's continued friendly relations with russia following the kremlin invasion of the crane. and his refusal to join west and sanctions have also ended to by an administration. trump is very likely to push you upgrade to
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a ceasefire on most coast tons. of course this brings up to questions on the risks of 481. i see ukraine and russia is actually something that can improve turkish american relations. under a trump administration, there will have to be negotiations between ukraine and russia as well else. and if there is a strong chance or the one would be willing to play the mediator in the middle east, washington and encore i have backed opposing sides. and because i want to jump is very likely to introduce support to israel and particularly to us the, to the side of the be a is drive the axis. again, i see it on that much also to great asian, the wide conflict reach for the very significant spill over the facts on turkey. so this and others disagreements between tough, he has a wessel likely to endure no matter how much presidential chemistry there might be
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looking across it is dumble and bringing are for responding. dorian jones for more on this dory, an u. s. turkish relations. they've been relatively strange under the bite and presidency. is there a sense there that this is about to change? as i think that's the encores expected cause of the victory of president trump for president dwan was very quick to congratulate from describing him as a friend. speaking to a foreign policy adviser to one, they said the magic word is chemistry. they believe that these 2 men trump nod long, shed much and comment that both carrots, practically those. then they both have man that the believe that they can make deals. and on top of that, they both have a sense of unpredictability. so i think that there's a sense that we have a trump, they will be a new chapter, interpret us relation some why they are so optimistic. he said in the, under the previous trump administration, good woman met trump 9 times, face to face, including a state visit to washington. and they were regular communications, particularly on
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a sunday between the 2 leaders. compare that to the present by the administration of the one is only met by them twice on the sidelines of intellectual summits and the relation for very much confined to a foreign policy level that didn't so to, to once load one very much like face time between lead is protect, particularly will power, has a node one police we've faced on see can on now they need difficulties. although it has to be said, speaking to circles within the one, there is also a sense of concern to because they are aware under the previous trump administration from pressure the to teach economy plunging the currency lever into rec, hold fold over the differences and then in a tory, it's tweet about once threatened to gain, to destroy the touch economy if he's to mom's want met. so there is a sense of risk with the trumpet ministration. but very much the encore, it's focusing on the positive. i see this is a major opportunity, but it's also when it comes big risks as well. so as i say the onto the optics and the chemistry, there are areas where they may not be as aligned or perhaps they are. tell us
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a little bit more. i'm curious specifically what a trump administration will mean for american backend, for curbs in syria, as we heard something that turkey opposes are. absolutely. this is an issue that has plays into us to increase relations occur. accuse this is curtis group at the us would be supporting it as long as he's not mich state of being affiliated with the p k. k which is a terrorist organization that's been fighting the tuck, the state for decades. and these on career said that that support from a may twilight, simply unacceptable. and the reason they're looking more positively with trump, but on the previous trump administration. 3rd one managed to succeed in persuading trump withdrawal those us policies. but so subsequently a trump step by can only reduce the number of the us forces. now, on crypt believes that the stalls are aligning for a full pullout. given the fact that the washington has a recent agreement with iraq to withdrawal orders forces from iraq and the rockies,
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the maitre supply route for us forces into syria. and the us pull out those forces all seem to be very much isolated to ode one. sees this opportunity now with a trump administration of reaching some kind of deal for the pull out all those us forces. now it has to be set. they will be expect to be some push back in washington. any us pull out from that region would leave a back to many people vote, and that would open the adult a possible a rating impact militias, season control of that area. so that will be a controversial decision, but heard one very much believe that he can reach a deal over this over many point tell the trump will be looking for something and exchange. what that will be. i won't talk, you can also remains to be see another foreign policy issue that will be watched incredibly closely is ukraine war. of course. what do you think on current is going to be looking for in that conflict? again here. i mean, the other one is looking very positively towards the trumpet ministration. they are very pleased about the signs and in the case of the trump said he really wants to end this conflict of one of the many as being pressing to some sort of solution. he
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has good ties with the russian president vladimir putin and these ukranian counterpart belong voter, david zalinski, and the other one has been trying to break resolution. he believes that we've trumpet possibly as soon as you can can be reached. the ukraine russian war has very much we can the touch economy and the fear with a flow for escalation. all that content will bring more instability for talking, so they have very key, but some kinds of solutions. they also see the one as a possible piece, different than any piece solution that would open the door on chris hoping for major reconstruction contracts. so tuckers companies and also i think, would very much then to pay some kind of role in any brokering of bees. given his coach ties with both sides, he'll be looking to work with trump, possibly having a position with a high table facilitating some kinds of thoughts on that much very much with play very well without doing support. it's very keen to see once a sitting again at the high table with world leaders and broke some kind of piece solution was certainly boy his so a ratings in the country as well as the other one is looking very positively to some kind of solution to the ukraine,
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russia will. thank you so much for that. that is our correspondent, dorian jones, reporting from his tumble. the ukranian authorities are warning that russia is warming up for a mass of attack that after deadly air raids on several cities. 5 people died in the southern city of because life after the attack struck a residential area. another person was killed in south for reset in the southeast. a missile also hit the central city of can review the ukraine issued an air raid warning across the country and cuts out power supplies after the air force warrants . the russian bombers had taken off from their basis the w corresponding economy is in queue for us as he has been since the beginning of russia's full scale invasion . i asked him about this latest wave of attacks. this is possible, replace the scene for the last 2 months. we've seen russian starting up the,
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the pressure, especially with those drone attacks. and yes, ukraine has received all the way in terms of western defense systems, but it is not enough to cover country of this size. and as such, people are constantly very close to the fact that their lives might be at risk. and it is just very difficult to go down to the bombshell to every night. this is sometimes these, these adverbs can last for 34567 hours. and if people want to go about the business ones that have a job one to go to school the next day, it is always that question that people ask themselves, is it what? interrupting my sleep? is it worth going for safety? and potentially being unable to function next day, or is the danger real enough for me to take that all in into account. so it is a very difficult situation here. for now, the power supplies all working. they had been cut off in certain places as a preventative measure to protect against understanding the system. but people are expecting worse as the weeks go ahead and the temperatures go down as winter resets in. difficult times ahead indeed, next, let's talk about donald trump. the election victory in the united states has it in bold and vladimir putin as some fear. i think
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we basically seen pretend pushing resources towards, basically you're intensifying the war him ukraine for the last 2 months or so. i think it's part of a bigger point to who's trying to make even during the election campaign, respective of who won that. this is a war that is on winnable for the west of for ukraine. that's the position he's trying to kind of opinion. he's trying to get across the rushes, taking huge losses in the process. the 6th to study will recently calculated that russia has sustained more losses about 80000 losses. that's injured and dead in the east of ukraine in september, october model system, the us sustained in basically 2 decades in iraq. and i've got this done. so a real willingness to, to invest a huge number of lives and resources and drops out of the say that preaching. but we couldn't carry this on for too much longer. but he's really trying to create this impression in the hope that then eventually they'll track steve. somebody wants forces ukraine to capitulated basically, except his terms. but for now,
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it still seems that you know, pitching, thinks you can get more from trump than just kind of for you, the conflict where it is. we've had very kind of kind of strips mixed messages in terms of the kind of a criminal speaks post search people know kind of 2 of us desire to get to talking on on jumps times a real sense that most of the things is winning, that it can get more and not just, you know, hold onto what it currently controls, but also get more ukrainian directory. so it is really unclear when you find the section where this is going to go, if trumpeting office is gonna actually realize that giving up, you know, ukraine and giving into fruits and will be damaging to his reputation, to american strength and how people see american the world, but it is a very, very scary moment. people here ukraine, that's definitely the case. so when you speak to people there, when you speak to ukrainians, when they're hearing these plans coming out of the united states and what we might see from a trump presidency. he said he could end the war in 24 hours. for example. what are they telling you of the i think you have very different races and most people hope
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that trump it offers. it's going to be a bit different from trump on the campaign trail. that he will be convinced by people who have much experience who are connected to in the us. some of that tree that this isn't in america's interest to have, you know, kind of ukraine that is under russian control on the board as nato inputted and say, there is a hope that you can, can make a case to trump that supports in ukraine is also in america's interest of their financial, potentially economic payoffs for uh, you know, having a strong ukrainian friend and i think there is also a sense here of kind of trying to work out what actually is true. what is the jump through the intention was just noise just in the last kind of week or so we've had a huge number of stories from this. let's cool that happened between trump and coaching. where recently then we had the company come out saying that is not true that this call never happened. we've had people who relate to it, basically written offices contract as to the republican party coming out and saying that ukraine should give up on crimea. and basically, you know, move on and doing it except for that slow. so i think there is
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a lot of noise right now, a lot of speculation. most people who aren't necessary, particularly informed, coming out and claiming to speak for the trump camp. and people here and ukraine, just desperate to find out if they can actually get through to the man and find out what he really thinks and what he really will do for ukraine when he gets into white house. next, thank you so much for your recording. as always, that's our correspondents, nick connelly and kim. it's the just before we go with some news from here in the german capital, an elephant here at the berlin zoo has been delighting researchers with her bathing routine. mary, the elephant. she's been keeping clean and taking a shower without any help from humans. her keepers say she's figured out how to use a hose to spray water onto her back. and while she hasn't quite yet mastered using soap or a shower cap, anything like that, she has really impressed scientists with her skills
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food and rule or for decades, etc. if the city, the people change clothes even destroyed, then folders as far as it was built. it was to find, keeps changing. the whole of the bed and count down to 9. in 15 minutes on the w, david's 1st responders on the front line, we joined risky. lucas, in the sense the conflict between israel and the hezbollah. melisha is claiming
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more and more victims in the seventy's covers. the 1st responders assignments, as long as they meet cemetery and 11 and 19 minutes on d w, the this shadows these costs and video shed lights on the dog is devastating. colonial har is infected by germany across up, and he employed to score those farms and destroy lives. what is the legacy of this wide spread race as depression today? history? we need to talk about here, the stories, shadows of german colonialism. hello guys. this
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is a 77 percent the platform for these issues and share ideas. you know, on this channel, we're not afraid to pass and then it gets to talk to young people clearly have the solution. good future off a this 77 percent every weekend on d w. in many countries, education is still a privilege. property is one of the main causes some young children walk in minecraft. instead of going to class others can attend classes. the minions of children will call and we also why because education makes the world
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the make up your own mind made for mines the isn't dw news, and these are our top stories. russian era tax and southern ukraine has killed at least 6 people and injured more than 30 others. 5 people died in nikolai, as in the early hours in a residential area where strikes damaged apartments and cause fires. another person was killed in south ridge of both ukraine and rochelle launch record waves of drone attacks against each other on sunday. the un annual climate conference comp 29 has kicked off. and as or by john with a focus on climate finance.
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