to the german economy, the situation is been compounded by the collapse of the governing coalition in berlin. and european governments were quick to congratulate trump on his return to the white house. but when dealing with the future president on search and t is the key word, i'm clear, richardson in berlin, you were watching the day. the guy did, he was elected by the american people and he's going to defend their interests. even a couple people say there's no doubt that this new political landscape is a serious challenge for every one. the question is, are we ready to defend the interest of europeans, all of the leaders, the one to send the invitation to the united states? it don't, we shouldn't be not even our transatlantic as a member of what we should not expect the americans to protect us. you dance with those who are in the room. that also applies to the us president of the

legs. also coming up on the day. well trumps chemistry with turkish president wretched up type air to one help improve ties between the 2 countries. finds a i think trump will have closer relations with ad one because biden's door was closed with trump. they will these be able to talk. and the subsequent service let's take a closer look at what a new trump presidency could mean elsewhere in the world 1st at east asia. and then the situation here in germany or for years the united states has been trying to bolster ties with democracies in east asia. as a way of countering rising chinese influence. but can these partnerships would stand for more years of donald trump? and how will us allies respond? or another tons of donald trump and governments across the in the pacific expects him to take an america 1st approach to the reach, then now contradicting how it responds to jew eclipse contentions of shopping since

his last time and office suite competing, showing the threats to tie one maritime disputes in the south china sea under rest, if north korea trump could to mind us partners pay more for their own defense as well to what proceeds to closer together. and i think that's one thing to watch whether or not, how trump gubbins drives us allies in age of 10 sales. where in the world to take more responsibility for the security which, you know, both might be a good thing in some sense. this book was as a potential, it's kind of escalate the arms race that we've seen and aids in the last few decades, largely driven by china. but not explicitly. trump is also likely to double down on economic competition with badging instructions to impose terrace of up to 60 percent on us imports from china. although many asian nations count the us is that she's security guarantor,

aging is for many the biggest economic partners. but that's going to inject a lot of economic uncertainty for the region, particularly for a region like asia that is incredibly dependent on trade. and kind of this though, is workings of supply chains. overall, analysts say china could capitalize on trumps ton inwards and the vacuum he could be imagined. ready to ship it? i think. yeah, that does erode this idea of a kind of us that existed in the us that well, but the u. k. in all the european powers, maybe japan, korea, australia, new, seem to be part of an offering kind of the best solutions to the well, i think china will selectively look for certain areas where he can offer a better solution. and we'll just make the case. i think quietly and sometimes more loudly that you had to show you. there isn't only one way of doing things as the, as the trunk, the 2nd time, the common refrain, the only predictable things is that it will be unpredictable. now that unpredictability also has governments in europe concerned, especially berlin,

as the united states is germany's largest trade partner. let's talk economy and future u. s. german relations with professor york russell. he is an economist and presidents of the european school of management and technology here in berlin. welcome to the w. thank you very much. so what would, on american 1st america 1st policy and then probably more trade terrorists mean for germany's exporters and who would be hit the hardest here. germany is. uh, you would say the wrong model of an open economy. it's very open to exports and imports. it's open to basic trade relationships to all parts of the world. but in particular, the united states, a very important to germany, as the biggest export market, also has a major destination for german investments. and so in particular, those industries at a heavily dependent on exports to the united states, the common your factors that will be hit. this is what we could already see by the stock market reactions to these come into effect rest following the election. and will be a big question of whether they actually may even increase the investments in the

united states to get behind the protection. so they basically do to get out of the tariff game. oh, that's so interesting what, what do you mean by that? exactly. what do you expect? like car manufacturers, for example, would do so the german coming in effect was already very much present in the united states. they also produce a lot they also they employ a lot of people there, but still the ex spots are needed in order to satisfy the demand in the us market. so therefore, what is what, what actually happened is if indeed terrace go up, that production by german coming manufacturers in the united states will go up in order to assess even more of the domestic market in the united states. let's take a look at donald trump as a figure. how different do you think his upcoming administration will be the one that we've seen from joe biden, or what could have been accomplished harris administration or our america's national interest really radically different, depending on who is actually sitting in the white house. yeah, let's say they have 2 pots. one certainly is to expect a little bit of unpredictability when it comes to the trump administration to see

that it's not so clear what exactly is going to happen. at the same time, we shouldn't, on the estimated also the binding administration have certain policies in place, which also meant america to be put at the 1st place. it's also that's, for example, of the orientation to focus on china was strong, was a bite, and it ministration would become maybe even stronger as trump. so these are maybe raw that radio shift. now some had said that regardless of who won this us election, this would be the end of trans atlanta system. as we know what to do, you agree with that statement? there's certainly a risk to it, but at the same time, we should also remind everyone on both sides of the atlantic, how much this transatlantic partnership has benefited both parts of the atlantic. and this is what we should keep in mind in terms of peace and freedom prosperity in particular because a tariff, as much as it may help in default run to some us industries. it would also have the united states, for example, by making things more expensive and stationary. precious to go up. so,

and many other aspects to really come in. now, we should say that germany isn't a particularly vulnerable spot right now. on the same day, the race was called for donald trump. you also saw the collapse of the governing coalition here. what does, how does that play into a new trump administration? this is certainly a variable around the modem at the moment in that we don't have a real government at this place. so therefore, it would be more important to come up with a new government a very early on that because it not only has impact on the national spence, it also has an impact on if there should be trade negotiations on the european level for germany to play a role there and actually to put an impetus in what is needed for a drug and industry. plus to also think about on the european level, which other types of trade agreements would be necessary. for example, when it comes to americans, what other parts of the one that and what else does europe and germany need to do in order to, to bolster itself against an incoming trump administration and that uncertainty if that you've described so suddenly it is important to think about traits agreements,

also differentiation will diversification of other parts of the world, which are many and your could ex, spot, maybe more importantly though, is of the perfect ending of the internal market. so europe is benefiting a lot from its internal markets. the best of so many barriers in the us. so for example, when it comes to investments, capital markets. so for example, this capital markets union is maybe more important than ever before. really to false the investment in capital locations across europe. and why do you think that has not happened to date? is it going to take of donald trump presidency to push these kinds of changes through the maybe this is the only if you will, positive side to it. uh, once the various mulford say of a crisis coming up, that's the risk of, of prices. it has always benefited europe in the sense of getting together coming together and making decisions that otherwise wouldn't be possible. and that might be actually really the point at which such an impulse, such a momentum should be used to get into internal capital markets and in other

perfection of the intel and market. i'd be interested if you could speak a little bit more about the greater moments that we find ourselves in here. you've, you've written that. trump is more of a symptom of a trends than actually being the person behind that trend. who is driving change himself? what, what did you mean by that? exactly. so the main point is that even was the on by administration, the interest in the united states as shifted from the atlantic to the pacific ocean . so that means in particular, the rivalry was china has become more and more important. it's something that will also keep uh, the new administration busy. and these are the aspects that are very relevant to consider. so this means this actually would have been a shift no matter which administration would take over. so therefore, this is, you could say it more secular trent, we'll see over the reason they say yes or yes. well, thank you so much for joining us with your expertise today. it was a real pleasure to speak with you all things us german relations and beyond that is professor you are russell, an economist and

a president of yes empty. thank you so much. donald trump selection, when has been welcomed and see was he asked equally in talking, president wretched tire of erewhon calls from a friend and says he hopes the trumpet ministration can help and the conflicts in ukraine and the middle east relations between air to one and president joe biden has been cool and everyone may be hoping for a return of that personal chemistry which marks the 1st trump presidency. as julia han reports from turkey, things might not go as smoothly as ever to one hopes. donald trump wants to glad that he was a big fan of turkeys ridge of ty of ad on the president and i have been we've been very good friends. we've been friends for a long time, almost from day one. the last time he was an office. trump also friend to destroy the tech economy, and are you concerned?

they are the one we'll try to wipe out the kurtz, i will wipe out his economy. if that happens, i've already done it once. how is he able to maintain cordial ties with ad on the side, comments like these? and what does trumps return to the white house mean for talking us ties for president avalon? this is a big victory as well. the chemistry between the 2 man is pretty much based on being fellow strong man, a shared world view based on power based on the demonization of their enemies. add on congratulate to his friend trump and said he hoped for new periods interpret for american relations. some people here in east campbell were not quite as excited while i did anything. john proponents do anything for techie, but it would good if he at least stops the board, especially in the middle east. dropped from the trunk. he's a savage, a barbarian. yeah, i mean he's

a funny so you give it we really don't need people like the yoke ya barely. so a lot of the items you'll find a i think trump will have closer relations with ad one because i buy it and still was closed with trump. they will, these be able to talk, and the subsequent se ridiculous president of the republic after 12, the outgoing biden administration, has seemingly kept the tech as president at arms length. trump had fairly frequent meetings and phone calls would add one during his 2017 to 2021 presidency. but a close personal relationship might not be enough to smooth over longstanding disagreements between the 2 nato allies. that are structural problems in the by that's really the relationship that won't just go away because of a change of leadership in the united states. we're about to enter a turbulent period in turkish american relations. make no mistake. this will not be an easy time interpretation. american relations here are some of the main sticking

points to these removal from the f 35 fighter jet program. due to its patches of, of russian made a defense system. us military support to cut his scopes and syria, which encore considers an extension of the p. k. k. a designated terrorist edwin's continued friendly relations with russia following the crumbson's invasion of the crane. and his refusal to join weston sanctions have also ended to by an administration shop is very likely to push you upgrade to a ceasefire on most coast tons. of course this brings that lots of questions and risks of 481. i see ukraine and russia is actually something that can improve turkish american relations. under a trump administration, there will have to be negotiations between ukraine and russia as well else. and there is a strong chance or the one would be willing to play the mediator in the middle east, washington and encore i have backed opposing sides. and because i want to jump is

very likely to introduce support these video and particularly to us the, to the side of the be a is dry. the axis. again, i see it on that much also to great asian of wide conflict ritual. the very significant skill over the facts on turkey service and others disagreements between turkey and the west. a likely to endure no matter how much presidential chemistry there might be. let's get across it as dumble and bringing our corresponding dorian jones for more on this dory and u. s. turkish relations. they've been relatively strange under the biden presidency . is there a sense there that this is about to change? i think that the encore is ecstatic over the victory of president trump. uh, president dwan was very quick to congratulate trump describing him as a friend. speaking to a foreign policy advisor to add one. they said the magic word is chemistry. they believe that these 2 men trump on the lawn,

chair marching comment that both carrots practically does. then they both have man that the believe that they can make deals. and on top of that, they are both happy, a sense of unpredictability. so i think that there's a sense that we have a trump, they will be a new chapter, interpret us relations on why they are so optimistic use it in the, under the previous trump administration. good, one man met trump 9 times face to face, including a state visit to washington. and they were regular communications, particularly on a sunday between the 2 liters. compare that to the present by the administration of the one is only met by them twice on the sidelines of intellectual summits and the relation for very much confined to a foreign policy level that didn't suited one. load one very much like face time between latest protect, particularly will power as a node one police we've faced on seats in the line. i'll tell you the difficulties . although it has to be said, speaking to circles within the one, there is also a sense of concern to because they are aware of the previous trump administration

from pressure the teacher economy, plunging the currency lever into rec, hold fold of differences. and then in a tory is tweet road once threatened to gain, to destroy the touch economy if he's to months, was met. so there is a sense of a risk with the trump administration, but very much the encore, it's focusing on the positive. i see this is a major opportunity, but it's also when it comes big risks as well. so as i say the onto the optics and the chemistry, there are areas where they may not be as a lines or perhaps they are. tell us a little bit more. i'm curious specifically what a trump administration will mean for american backend, for curbs in syria, as we heard something that turkey opposes are absolutely. this is an issue that has plays into us to increase relations occur, accuses these cottage group at the us would be supporting this mortgage. c slamming state of being affiliated with the p k. k which is a terrorist organization that's been fighting the tuck, the state for decades. and those on career said that that support from i may to,

i like simply unacceptable. and the reason they looking more positively with trump, but on the previous top administration. 3rd one managed to succeed in the sweeping trump withdrawal those us policies. but so subsequently, trump step by can only reduce the number of the us forces. now unk replaced that the stalls are aligning for a full pullout given the fact that the washington has recently agreement with a rock to withdrawal orders forces from iraq and the rockies. some major supply room for us forces into syria, and the us pull out those forces all seem to be very much isolated to ode one sees this opportunity now with a trump administration of reaching some kind of deal for the pull out all those us forces. now it has to be set, they will be expect to be some push back in washington. any us pull out from that region would leave a back to many people walk and that would open the adult a possible. a rainy impact melisha sees in control of that area, so that will be a controversial decision. but heard one very much police that he can reach a deal over this. all the many point tell the trump will be looking for something

and exchange what that will be and won't talk. you can also remains to be see another foreign policy issue that will be watched incredibly closely is ukraine war? of course. what do you think on current is going to be looking for in that conflict? again here, i mean, the other one is looking very positively towards the trump administration. they're very pleased about the signs, and in the case of the trump said he really wants to em this conflict of one of the many is being pressing to some sort of solution. he has good ties with the russian president vladimir putin and the ukranian counterpart belong voter, david zalinski, and the other one has been trying to broker a solution. he believes that we've trumpet possibly our solution can be reached. the ukraine russian war has very much we can the touch economy and the fear with a flow for escalation. all that content will bring more instability for tuck you today for a key for some kinds of solutions. they also see are the one of the possible piece different than any piece solution that would open the door on chris hoping from major reconstruction contracts the tech has companies. and also i think,

would very much then to pay some kind of role in any brokering of bees. given his coach ties with both sides, he'll be looking to work with trump, possibly having a position with a high table facilitating some kinds of thoughts on that much very much what play very well without doing support is very keen to see this one sitting again at the high table with world leaders and broke some kind of piece solution was certainly boy, his so a ratings in the country as well as the other one is looking very positively to some kind of solution to the ukraine. russia will thank you so much for that. that is our correspondent, dorian jones, reporting from his tumble. the ukranian authorities are warning that russia is warming up for a mass of attack that after deadly air raids on several cities. 5 people died in the southern city of because life after the attack struck a residential area. another person was killed in sat for risha in the southeast. a

missile also hit the central city of can review the ukraine issued an air raid warning across the country and cuts out power supplies after the air force warrants the russian bombers had taken off from their basis. the w corresponding economy is in cube for us as he has been since the beginning of russia's full scale invasion. i asked him about this latest wave of a tax. this is part some of your basically seen for the last 2 months. we've seen rush of dining up the, the pressure, especially with those drone attacks. and yes, ukraine has received it all the way in terms of western defense systems, but it is not enough to cover country of this size. and as such, people are constantly very close to the fact that that lives might be at risk. and it is just very difficult to go down to the pump shelter every night. this is some of these, these arabs can last for 34567 hours. and if people want to go about the business ones that have a job one to go to school the next day, it is always that question that people ask themselves, is it worth interrupting my faith? is it worth going for safety?

and potentially being unable to function next day, or is the danger real enough for me to take that old in into account. so it is a very difficult situation here. for now, the power supplies all working. they had being cut off in certain places as a preventative measure to protect against commerce energy system. but people are expecting worse as the weeks go ahead and the temperatures go down as winter resets and difficult times. i had indeed next, let's talk about donald trump. the election victory in the united states has it in bold and vladimir putin as some fear. i think we basically seen pretend pushing resources towards, basically you're intensifying the war him ukraine for the last 2 months or so. i think it's part of a big point to who's trying to make even during election campaign respective of who won that. this is a will that is unwinnable for the west to for ukraine. that's the position he's trying to kind of opinion. he's trying to get across the rushes, taking choose your offices in the process. the see if the study will recently calculated that russia has sustained more losses about 80000 losses. that's injured

and dead in the east of ukraine in september, october model system, the us sustained in basically 2 decades in iraq. and i've got this done. so a real willingness to, to invest a huge number of lives and resources and lots of the say that preaching probably couldn't carry this on for too much longer. but he's really trying to create this impression in the hopes and then eventually they'll track steve. somebody wants forces ukraine to capitulated basically, except his terms, but for now, it still seems that, you know, pitching, thinks he can get more from trump than just kind of for you in the conflict where it is. we've had very kind of kind of mixed messages in terms of the kind of a criminal speaks proposed search. people know kind of 2 of us desire to get to talking on on jumps terms. a real sense that most of the things is winning and that it can get more and not just, you know, hold onto what it currently controls, but also get more ukrainian directory. so it is really unclear when you kind section where this is going to go. if trumpeting office is gonna actually realize

that giving up, you know, ukraine and giving into fruits and will be damaging to his reputation, to american strength and how people see american the world. but it is a very, very scary moment. people here in ukraine, that's definitely the case. so when you speak to people that when you speak to ukrainians, when they're hearing these plans coming out of the united states and what we might see from a trump presidency. and he said he could end the war in 24 hours. for example. what are they telling you of the i think you have very different messages and most people hope that jump it off is going to be a bit different from trump on the campaign trail. that he will be convinced by people who have known for experience who are connected to the us minute tree. that this isn't in america's interest to have, you know, kind of ukraine that is under russian control on the board. as nato in poland. say, there is a hope that you can, can make a case to trump that supporting your grant is also in america's interest. that there are financial, potentially economic payoffs for, uh, you know, having a strong ukrainian friend. and i think there is also

a sense here of kind of trying to work out what actually is true, what it's jumped through. intention was just noise just in the last kind of legal. so we've had a huge number of stories from this alleged cool that happened between trump and tutoring. with recently then we had the crime and coming out saying that is not true that this call never happened. we've had people who relate to a basically written offices, contract as to the public and policy coming out and saying that ukraine should give up on crimea and basically, you know, move on and can you accept it? that's last. so i think there is a lot of noise right now, a lot of speculation, lots of people who aren't necessary, particularly informed, coming out and claiming to speak for the trump camp. and people here in ukraine, just desperate to find out if they can actually get through to the man and find out what he really thinks and what he really will do for ukraine when he gets into white house. next, thank you so much for your recording. as always, that's our correspondence, nick connelly and q us just before we go with some news from here in the german capital on elephant here at the

berlin zoo has been delighting researchers with her bathing routine. mary, the elephant. she's been keeping clean and taking a shower without any help from humans. her keepers say she's figured out how to use a hose to spray water onto her back. and while she hasn't quite yet mastered using soap or a shower cap, anything like that, she has really impressed scientists with her skills and that is our show for you today. you can follow our team on social media at data . be news if it's latest headlines or after there's always our website dw, dock. com. i'm claire richardson in berlin for me and the whole team. thank you for watching the

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