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tv   The Day  Deutsche Welle  November 12, 2024 6:02am-6:30am CET

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nations and for industry, a trump administration could be a major blow to the german economy. the situation is been compounded by the collapse of the governing coalition in berlin. and european governments were quick to congratulate trump on his return to the white house. but when dealing with the future president on search and t is the key word, i'm clear, richardson in berlin, you were watching the day. the guy did, he was elected by the american people and he's going to defend their interests. even a couple of people excited. there's no doubt that this new political landscape is a serious challenge for everyone. the question is, are we ready to defend the interest of europeans or of the year to lead as the one to send the invitation to the united states? it won't, we shouldn't be now, even our trans atlanta system still in the laboratory should not expect the americans to protect us. you dance with those who are in the room. that also
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applies to the us president of the legs. also coming up on the day. well, trump's chemistry with turkish president, rush up type of air to one help improve ties between the 2 countries. funds a i think trump will have closer relations with ad one because i biden's door was closed with trump. they will, these be able to talk in the subsequent se ridiculous. let's take a closer look at what a new trump presidency could mean elsewhere in the world 1st at east asia. and then the situation here in germany or for years the united states has been trying to bolster ties with democracies in east asia as a way of countering rising chinese influence. but can these partnerships with stand for more years of donald from and how will us allies respond another time? so donald, trump and governments across the in the pacific expects him to take an america 1st
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approach to the region. then now calculating how who responds to j eclipse contentions of shopping since his last time and office suite competing, showing his threats to taiwan, maritime disputes in the south china sea under rest. if north korea trump could demand us partners pay more for their own defense as well to what proceeds to close together. and i think that's one thing to watch whether or not how trump gubbins drives us allies in age of 10 sales. where in the world to take more responsibility for the security which, you know, both might be a good thing in some senses, but was as the potential to kind of escalate the arms race that we've seen and age . and the last few decades, largely driven by china and they'll make specific, trump is also likely to double down on economic competition with aging. you've threatens to impose terrace of up to 60 percent on us imports from china. although
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many asian nations count the us is that she security guarantor, aging is for many the biggest economic partners. but that's gonna inject a lot of economic uncertainty for the region, particularly for a region like asia that is incredibly dependent on trade. and kind of this though, is workings of supply chains. overall, let's say china could capitalize on trumps ton inwards and the bank policy and then probably more trade terrorists mean for germany's exporters and, and who would be hit the hardest here. germany is, you would say the wrong model of an open economy. it's very open to exports and imports. it's open to basic trade relationships to all parts of the world. but in particular, the united states are very important to germany, as the biggest export market also has a major destination for german investments. and so in particular, those industries that are heavily dependent on exports to the united states, the common you factor us so will be hit. this is what they could already see by the stock market directions to these common effect rest following the election. and
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will be a big question of whether they actually may even increase the investments in the united states to get behind the protection. so they basically to get out of the tariff game. oh, that's so interesting. what, what do you mean by that? exactly what you expect, like car manufacturers, for example, would do. so the german come into effect was already very much present in the united states. they also produce a lot there. so they employ a lot of people there. but still, the ex spots are needed in order to satisfy the demand in the us market. so therefore, what is, what could actually happen is if indeed terrace go up that production by drum and coming to manufacturers in the united states will go up in order to assess even more of the domestic market in the united states. let's take a look at donald trump as a figure. how different do you think his upcoming administration will be then the one that we've seen from joe biden, or what could have been accomplished harris administration? or are america's national interest billy radically different, depending on who is actually sitting in the white house. yeah, let's say they have 2 pots. the one certainly is to expect
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a little bit of unpredictability when it comes to the trump administration to see that it's not so clear what exactly is going to happen. at the same time, we shouldn't on the estimate of the also the bite and administration had certain policies in place, which also meant america to be put at the 1st place. it's also that's, for example, the orientation to focus on china was strong, was abiding, that ministration would become maybe even strong. it was trump, so these are maybe rather regular shift. now some had said that regardless of who won this us election, this would be the end of trans atlanta system. as we know what to do, agree with that statement. that's certainly a risk to it. but at the same time, we should also remind everyone on both sides of the atlantic, how much the strengths of the energy partition it has benefited both parts of the atlantic. and this is what we should keep in mind in terms of a peace and freedom prosperity in particular, because a terrace, as much as it may help him to flutter on to some us industries. it would also have
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the united states, for example, by making things more expensive and stationary pressure has to go up. so, and many other aspects to really come in. now we should say that germany isn't particularly vulnerable spot right now. on the same day the race was called for donald trump. you also saw the collapse of the governing coalition here. what does, how does that play into a new trump administration? this is certainly a variable around the modem at the moment in that we don't have a real government at this place. so therefore, it would be more important to come up with a new government very early on. because it not only has impact on the national stance, it also has an impact on if there should be trade negotiations on the european level for germany to play a role there. and actually to put an impetus in what is needed for a drug and industry plus to also think about on the european level, which other types of trade agreements would be necessary. for example, when it comes to nicholas or other parts of the world. and what else does europe and germany need to do in order to, to bolster itself against an incoming trump administration,
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and that uncertainty if that you've described so suddenly it is important to think about trade agreements. also differentiation with diversification of other parts of the world, which are many and your could ex, spot. maybe more importantly though, is the, the perfect ending of the internal market. so your is benefiting a lot from its internal markets, but best of so many barriers in the us. so for example, when it comes to investments, capital markets. so for example, this capital markets union is maybe more important than ever before. really to false. the investment in capital locations across europe. and why do you think that has not happened to date? is it going to take of donald trump presidency to push these kinds of changes through the maybe this is the only if you will, the positive side to it. uh, once the various mall for let's say of a crisis coming up of this, the risk of, of prices. it is always benefited. europe in the sense of getting together come in together and making decisions that otherwise wouldn't be possible. and that might be actually really the point at which such an impulse, such
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a momentum should be used to get into the internal capital markets and, and other perfection of the internal market. i'd be interested if you could speak a little bit more about the greater moment that we find ourselves in here. you've, you've written that. trump is more of a symptom of a trends than actually being the person behind that trend. who is driving change himself? what, what did you mean by that? exactly. so the main point is that even was the obama administration, the interest in the united states has shifted from the atlantic to the pacific ocean. so that means in particular, the rivalry was china has become more and more important. it's something that will also keep the new administration busy. and these are the aspects that are very relevant to consider. so this means this actually would have been a shift no matter which administration would take over. so therefore this is, you could say it more secular trend we have seen, or the reason they say yes or yes. well, thank you so much for joining us with your expertise today. it was
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a real pleasure to speak with you all things us german relations and beyond that is professor you are russia, an economist, and a president of us empty. thank you so much. donald trump selection wind has been welcomed and see was he asked equally in talking president richard, tie up arrow on calls from a friend and says he hopes the trumpet ministration can help and the conflicts and ukraine and the middle east relations between air to one and president joe biden has been cool and everyone maybe hoping for a return of that personal chemistry which marks the 1st trump presidency. as julia han reports from turkey, things might not go as smoothly as ever to one hopes. donald trump wants to glad that he was a big fan of talking threat of ty of ad on the president and i have been we've been very good and we've been friends for a long time almost from day one. the last time he was an officer. trump also
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threatened to destroy the attackers economy, and are you concerned they for the one? we'll try to wipe out the curves, i will wipe out his economy. if that happens, i've already done it once. how is he able to maintain cordial ties with ad on the side, comments like things? and what does trumps return to the white house to mean for talking us ties for president avalon? this is a big victory as well. the chemistry between the 2 man is pretty much based off being fellow strong man, shared world view based on power based on the demonization of their enemies ad one congratulate to his friend trump and said he hoped for new periods into official american relations. some people here in a stumble or not quite as excited to. well, i don't think john proponents do anything for techie, but it would be good if he at least stops the board, especially in the middle east. drama. chombo. he's a savage, a barbarian. yeah,
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i mean he's a funny so you give it a we really don't need people like the yoke ya barely some other business judgments . you'll find a i think trump will have closer relations with ad one because biden's door was closed with trump. they will, these be able to talk, and the subsequent service ex president of the republic after 12, the outgoing biden administration, has seemingly kept the tech as president at arms length. trump had fairly frequent meetings and phone calls would add one during his 2017 to 2021 presidency. but a close personal relationship might not be enough to smooth over a long standing disagreements between the 2 nato allies. data structural problems into by that's really the relationship that won't just go away because of a change of leadership in the united states. we're about to enter a turbulent period in turkish american relations. make no mistake. this will not be
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an easy time interpret jamiracle relations. here are some of the main sticking points that he's removal from the ex 35 fighter jet program due to its patches of the russian made air defense system. us military support to cut a scopes in syria, which conqueror considers an extension of the p k. k. a designated terrorist ad once continued friendly relations with russia following the kremlin invasion of the crane and his refusal to join weston sanctions have also ended to by an administration. trump is very likely to push you upgrade to a ceasefire on most coast tons. of course, the springs that lots of questions and the risks of 481 i see ukraine and russia is actually something that can improve turkish american relations. under a trump administration, there will have to be negotiations between ukraine and russia as well. and there is a strong chance or the one would be willing to play the mediator in the middle east,
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washington and encore i have backed opposing sides. and because i want to jump is very likely to introduce support to israel and particularly to the, to the side of the be a is try the axis. again, i see it on that. my goal is to, to great asian of wide conflict ritual. the very significant skill over the facts on turkey service and others disagreements between tuffy and the west so likely to endure no matter how much presidential chemistry there might be. looking across it as dumble and bringing our correspondent dorian jones for more on this dory, an u. s turkish relations. they've been relatively strange under the bite and presidency. is there a sense there that this is about to change? i think that the on car is expected because of the victory of president trump part it doesn't. todd one was very quick to congratulate trump describing him as a friend. speaking to
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a foreign policy advisor to one they said the magic word is chemistry. they believe that these 2 men trump nod long shed much and comment that both carrots practically does. and they both have man that the believe that they can make deals. and on top of that, they both have a sense of unpredictability. so i think that there's a sense that we have a trump, they will be a new chapter, interpret us relations on why they also optimistic he's in the, under the previous trump administration. good woman met trump 9 times, face to face, including a state visit to washington. and they were regular communications, particularly on a sunday between the 2 liters. compare that to the present by the ministration. the one is only met by them twice on the sidelines of intellectual summits and the relation for very much confined to a foreign policy level that didn't suited one load. one very much like face time between a lead is protect, particularly will power as a node one police we've faced on cannot line out. they need difficulties, although it has to be said speaking to circles within the one. there is also
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a sense of concern to because they are aware under the previous trump administration from pressure the to teach economy of plunging the currency later into rec, hold fools of a different susan in a tori, it's tweet about once threatened to begin to destroy the touch economy if he's to mom's one minute. so there is a sense of a risk with the trumpet ministration, but very much the encore, it's focusing on the positive. they see this is a major opportunity, but there's also when it comes big risks as well. so as i say beyond to the optics and the chemistry, there are areas where they may not be as aligned or perhaps they are. tell us a little bit more. i'm curious specifically what a trump administration will mean for american backend, for curbs in syria, as we heard something that turkey opposes are. absolutely. this is an issue that has plays into us to increase relations occur. accuse this is curtis group at the us would be supporting it as warranties. he's not mich state of being affiliated with the p k. k, which is
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a terrorist organization has been fighting the tuck the state for decades. and these on career said that that support from a may twilight, simply unacceptable. and the reason they will teach more positively with trump, but on the previous trump administration. 3rd one managed to succeed in persuading from to withdrawal those u. s. policies. but so subsequently, a trump step by can only reduced the number of the us forces. now on crypt believes that the stalls are aligning for a full pullout. given the fact that the washington has a recent agreement with iraq to withdrawal orders forces from iraq and the rockies, some major supply room for us forces into syria. and the us pull out those forces all seem to be very much isolated to load. one sees this opportunity now with a trump administration of reaching some kind of deal for the pull out all those us forces. now it has to be set. they will be expect to be some push back in washington. any us pull out from that region would leave a vac too many people walk and that would open the adult if possible. a rainy impact miller should seize in control of that area. so that will be
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a controversial decision. but hood one very much believe that he can reach a deal over this over many point tell the trump will be looking for something and exchange. what that will be. i won't talk, you can also remains to be see another foreign policy issue that will be watched incredibly closely is ukraine war. of course. what do you think on current is going to be looking for in that conflict? again here. i mean, the other one is looking very positively towards the trump administration. they're very pleased about the signs, and in the case of the trump said he really wants to em this conflict of one of the many is being pressing to some sort of solution. he has good ties with the russian president vladimir putin and these ukranian counterpart blowing validated zalinski and the other one has been trying to break resolution. he believes that we've trumpet possibly our solution can be reached. the ukraine, russian war has very much we come to touch the economy and the fear with a flow for escalation. all that content would bring more instability for talk you so they have very key, but some kinds of solutions they also see are the one of the possible piece different than any piece solution that would open the door on chris hope you've
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a major reconstruction contracts for tuckers companies and also i think, would very much then to pay some kind of role in any brokering of bees. given his coach ties with both sides. he'll be looking to work with trump, possibly having a position with a high table facilitating some kinds of thoughts on that much very much what play very well with i don't support is very keen to see the ones sitting again at the high table with world leaders and broke some kind of of p solution was certainly boy, his, so a ratings in the country as well as the other one is looking very positively to some kind of solution to the ukraine. russia will thank you so much for that. that is our correspondent, dorian jones, reporting from is tumble. it's courtney and authorities are warning that russia is warming up for a mass of attack that after deadly air raids on several cities. 5 people died in the southern city of because life after the attack struck a residential area. another person was killed in sat for risha in the southeast. a
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missile also hit the central city of can review the ukraine issued an air raid warning across the country and cuts out power supplies after the air force warrants the russian bombers had taken off from their basis. the w corresponding economy is in cube for us as he has been since the beginning of russia's full scale invasion. i asked him about this latest wave of a tax. this is possible, replace the scene for the last 2 months. we've seen rush the dining up the, the pressure, especially with the drone attacks. and yes, ukraine has received it all the way in terms of western defense systems, but it is not enough to cover country of this size. and as such, people are constantly very close to the fact that their lives might be at risk. and it is just very difficult to go down to the pump shelter every night. this is some of these, these arabs can last for 34567 hours. and if people want to go about the business ones that have a job one to go to school the next day,
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it is always that question that people ask themselves, is it worth interrupting nicely? is it worth going for safety? and potentially being unable to function next day, or is the danger real enough for me to take that old in into account. so it is a very difficult situation here. for now, the power supplies all working. they had being cut off in certain places as a preventative measure to protect against commerce energy system. but people are expecting worse as the weeks go ahead and the temperatures go down as winter resets and difficult times. i had indeed next, let's talk about donald trump. the election victory in the united states has it emboldened vladimir putin as some fear. i think we basically seen pretend pushing results is towards, basically you're intensifying the war and you crying for the last 2 months or so. i think it's part of a big point. the who's trying to make, even during the election campaign, respective of who won that, this is a will that is unwinnable for the west to, for ukraine. that's the position he's trying to kind of opinion. he's trying to get across the rushes, taking choose your offices in the process. the see if the study will recently
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calculated that russia has sustained more losses about 80000 losses. that's injured and dead in the east of ukraine in september, october model system, the us sustained in basically 2 decades in iraq and afghanistan. so a real willingness to, to invest a huge number of lives and resources and drops out to say that, for example, we couldn't carry this on for too much longer. but he's really trying to create this impression in the hope that then eventually they'll track steve. somebody wants forces ukraine to capitulated basically, except his terms, but for now, it still seems that, you know, putting things he can get more from trump than just kind of for you in the conflict where it is. we've had very kind of kind of mixed messages in terms of the kind of a criminal speaks post search people know kind of 2 of us desire to get to talking on on jumps terms. a real sense that most of the things is winning and that it can get more and not just hold onto what it currently controls, but also get more ukrainian directory. so it is really unclear when you kind of the
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section where this is going to go. if trumpeting office is gonna actually realize that giving up, you know, ukraine and getting into fruits and will be damaging to his reputation, to american strength and how people see american the world. but it is a very, very scary moment. people here ukraine, that's definitely the case. so when you speak to people that when you speak to ukrainians, when they're hearing these plans coming out of the united states and what we might see from a trump presidency. he said he could end the war in 24 hours. for example. what are they telling you of the i think you have very different messages and most people hope that jumping off is going to be a bit different from trump on the campaign trail. that he will be convinced by people who have metrics, parents who are connected to in the us minute tree. that this isn't in america's interest to have, you know, kind of ukraine that is under russian control on the board as nato and poland say that there is a hope that you can, can make a case to trump that supports in ukraine is also in america's interest. of their financial potentially can all make payoffs for uh, you know, having
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a strong ukrainian friend. and i think there is also a sense here of kind of trying to work out what actually is true. what is the jump through the intention was just noise just in the last kind of week or so we've had a huge number of stories from this alleged cool that happened between trump and tutoring. where recently then we had the company coming out saying that is not true that this will never happen. we've had people who relate to a basically written offices contract as to the public and policy coming out and saying that ukraine should give up on crimea. and basically, you know, move on and doing it except for that floor. so i think there is a lot of noise right now, a lot of speculation. most people who are necessary, particularly informed, coming out and claiming to speak for the trump camp. and people here and ukraine, just desperate to find out if they can actually get through to the man and find out what he really thinks and what he really will do for you. crane when he gets into white house next. thank you so much for your recording as always, that's our correspondents, nick connelly and q as the
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just before we go with some news from here and the german capital on elephant here at the berlin zoo has been delighting researchers with her bathing routine. mary, the elephant. she's been keeping clean and taking a shower without any help from humans. her keepers say she's figured out how to use a hose to spray water onto her back. and while she hasn't quite yet mastered using soap or a shower cap, anything like that, she has really impressed scientists with her skills and that is our show for you today. you can follow our team on social media at data . be news. if it's latest headlines we're after, there's always our website, dw, dock. com. i'm claire richardson in berlin for me and the whole team. thank you for watching the
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go. india. cleaning on henry's, i'm central to our protests are turning towards more environmentally friendly production methods. for far too long, the leather industry jeopardize the health of its workers and the local populations . water recycling in natural tenants could be the key to a new chapter. eco, india. next, on d w. e. the closest to the
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homeless living heroes with the big round eyes are driving tanks and shooting live ammunition. why are militaristic comics so popular in japan? and what does german history have to do with it? in 60 minutes on d w. the if you like, history with the side of culture, travel and control the sea. and i'm based in a book us that will put the wow factor back into your everyday, not every day we encounter so many things that we don't even notice. and i just kind of fade into the background, but it is stuff i'm trying to spot my own them. what you say might just surprise. we're going to dig up the, the,
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on the everyday things around us when they come from when, why did they have all the time? i should, we can just search, but they increase the amount for the clean up. sure. but watch everything from our food consumption to our power sources to our transport, all of this causes waste and for you should. so we could definitely do with somebody locating up. hello and welcome. i'm sorry, we've got the body and you all watching eco into an alignment is becoming increasingly unbelievable. i'm for you did. so we need to fix that short. but we
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also need to take steps to prevent.

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