in silence, we need to break out of a. i want to tell you something. how to tell a secret starts november 29th on d w. the business day that we near as long from berlin ukraine fires us made attack them into russia. for the 1st time, the longer range missiles target, a military facility in the re on screech in moscow says the strikes mark a new phase in the war and warns it will respond accordingly. also on the program, germany suspect sabotage after unexplained damage to communications cables and the politics. the defense minister boris victorious says it's aimed at disrupting ukraine's european allies the

welcome to the program of nicole for at least we start tonight with a 1st on tuesday. ukraine fired us made attack comes into russia. strikes came after washington, authorize their use on russian territory. and the aim is to limit moscow's ability to launch attacks and supply the front. russia has described the attack as an escalation, marking a new phase in the war of the ukraine's, the use of attack comes longer range. missiles is being seen as a milestone in its defense against russia's invasion. it came off to us president joe biden finally gave keith the green light to use the us, made weapons against targets. deeper inside russia must go, says the 6 ballistic missiles lute would tell, getting a military facility in rushes west and brians region. the kremlin says it's a defensive sort down 5. the attacks coincide with the passage of

1000 days since russia's invasion of ukraine began, often mocking the occasion in his own complement. your claims president, low to me is a lensky told e. u low make is not to be fearful of doing more to end the conflict. every today is the best moment to push trash out hot up. that is clear with our southern dfcs because it actually will elect real but it easy to engage in meaningful negotiations. arriving for a defense meeting also in brussels, nato secretary general miles route test said ukraine would need more support to prevail over russia. today. marks a 1000 days off to russian on slopes, on the profile to original installed on your freight. so today we will discuss how we can help you frame to prevail. that means more age, more money,

and we have to make it available to them, particularly now to the north korea's have come on boards. were to is not the only leader to re god most goes addition of thousands of north korean troops to come back to operations against ukraine as a major publication. it may also an influence washington's decision to allow key to the pro, a attack comes. now, washington's move has prompted russia to update its u. p. a weapons policy, the newly released don't tween permit. so potential new, clear response even to a conventional attack on russia by any nation that supported by a nuclear power, even if nothing, new power itself. long range missiles are going to be applied from ukraine into russian territory. it will also mean that they are, or if you're ready to buy a new rican experts,

military experts. and we will be taking these as a quantity attributed new face over the rest of the war against the russian. and the bill will be if the forwarding no to west and lead as are on board with supplying long the range weapons. despite please from chief gym. and these chancellor off sholtes has refused. now the world must wait to see whether washington's decision will hasten the resolution, or the escalation of the $1000.00 day old who was bringing nuclear expert marianna, which aaron chase with a project on managing the adam at harvard university and joins us tonight from cambridge, massachusetts mariano, welcome to the w. now we heard of their flooding our food and has considerably lower the threshold for russia's use of nuclear weapons. why? as well the changes to the on nuclear doctrine of the russian federation have

been in the works now for years. so it's not exactly a need drug reaction to the decision of the bite, an administration to, to give permission to create just drink inside russia. in fact, president couldn't have preview these changes in september this year. but the actual release of the document, we haven't seen it yet. that was timed with as a response, i suppose to buy those decision. i also don't regard these changes as drastic. they're actually upon close reading. they don't constitute a really great departure from the previous doctrine. some of the formulations have been realized, relaxed it is true, the overall nuclear threshold has been lowered, but not, and in such a significant way as to cause, you know, panic or great concern. could you elaborate on that? what makes you think that this is not a major escalation?

so for instance, a nuclear response to a large scale conventional of aggression against the russian federation. that wasn't the previous doctrine to uh, the, the thing that change was that, um, in the old doctrine, it was of the kind of a large scale conventional and brushing the, put the very survival of the state in peril. now in the change doctrine, it's a critical threat to the sovereignty and turturro integrity of the russian federation . but also it's a live bella ruse. so yes, it's gives a bit more interpreted to room for a decision maker a specifically president putting himself as to what exactly constitutes the situation where there is a critical threat to a sovereignty entered moral integrity. one more thing that was added in terms of situations that, that sort of permit the use of nuclear weapons is

a mass of combined of air space attack by all sorts of projectiles and aircraft, both strategic and tactical aircraft, but also drones, cruise missiles and so forth. so that part is new, but again, the doctor and the level rates. these are a situation of, you know, stream emergencies. the not every attack would, would come, would require such a nuclear response and also to add, you know, nuclear doctrines are important documents. very important in communicating your resolve and deter, and threats to your adversary, but also to your domestic audience as yeah, they're not going to jump in there. what is, what is the phone trying to, to communicate here. then if you're saying that, that he's really not willing to risk a nuclear escalation,

if i'm understanding you correctly as a thing that would really possibly risk a nuclear escalation and extreme circumstances for sure. but you know, you grade new striking if you target some russian territory, it would probably not constitute that what he's communicating is, uh, you know, the latest instance in the long line of his nuclear signaling. which is trying to weigh the west to convince the west do to influence its support for ukraine to break it up. especially now in this very vulnerable moment when ukraine is in a tough spot. but also western political, you know, domestic situations in many countries. i'm not conducive to long term ukrainian support. i'm sitting here in the united states. so uh, so we know what exactly what i'm talking about. it says this is part of the program

that the in the game he's been playing since the very beginning of the war. yeah, we're really long time i'd like to know from you. to what extent do you think that russia, as nuclear saber rattling up to this point, has shaped the response of ukraine's allies that you're saying they're trying to influence by this? you know, looking back at these past 1000 days as it has been successful, not entirely but partly successful for shore. just think of how careful and cautiously, western capitals have considered and review their policy towards ukraine. they in terms of arm supplies and renew mit. a weapon system was analyzed very thoroughly for its escal atory potential. it took more time. sometimes these weapons did not arrive when they were actually needed the front. so the timing and the kinds of weapons and the pace in which they were released was

certainly influenced by a few years of nuclear escalation. but this, the west, so it was sort of slowly. so allow me sliced into the so called russian lines. but really, it's into this russian sense of impunity. right? so in a sense, russian nuclear threats are not working because russia uses them in the situations in which they're not meant to work. nuclear threats are not meant to, to, to be effective in the, in these situations. entirely their match to prevent a nuclear strike, right? deterrence, nuclear deterrence, is there more credible purpose? and unfortunately, because of russia's a sense of possibly conventional inferiority it's, it's conventional military has not performed well and put in some work of ames have not been achieved in the way he envisioned them. he is making up that in security

by, by applying to clear threats in, into the realm where they can not be entirely effective. yeah, i don't want to let you go without asking you because you've of course, how to close a close eye on, on russia, and it's nuclear capabilities. what do we know at this point in time about the state of rushes nuclear arsenal as well? we don't know of a ton simply because this is a secret to um, enterprise with nuclear weapons programs. we know, you know, their number, we know the, the delivery systems. we know that tactical nuclear weapons of which there are almost a 2000 have been considered as non deployed. so they're stored separately from their delivery vehicles in central storage facilities. we don't know how well they have been made maintain, but i would not discount the fact that, you know, russia does put an effort in maintaining a credible,

and reliable newburgh determined. especially given how important it is in russia is sort of self perception. how often they, they rely on this self definition as a, as a major nuclear power in the world. so, russia's nuclear weapons are a serious threat and they have been investing in some nobel system. and just say some of these, um, most, some of these delivery systems that are all very capable, have been extensively used in ukraine. they hypersonic light vehicle uh, the congest. all of the calibers crews of cruise missiles was younger people. so, and so we'll have to leave with their fascinating stuff, their nuclear experts mariana was there. and thank you so much for those insights and your time during the defense minister board as the story it says,

describe the unexplained severing of to fiber optic cables under the baltic sea as an act of sabotage. the cables connect jeremy, finland, sweden and lithuania. the swedish and finish media are reporting that the danish navy was shadowing, and showing his cargo ship considered to be of interest in the investigation into the case. the story is the damage appeared, deliberate, and could represent an act of hybrid warfare. the under see cables like this one are critical for carrying communications between countries. the apparent sabotaged on monday morning hit the sea line and one cable that runs under the baltic between the german port city of roll stock and the finish capital of helsinki. officials from finland and germany have said the incident was very unlikely to be accidental . guns class of size, and this yet nobody believes that these cables were cooked by mistake. for xander, i don't believe the series that it was anchors that accidentally caused damage to these cables. with ease and so we have to conclude on without knowing exactly who

to this was that it was a hyper action that to you in order come on. we must also assume without knowing this, of course, that is sabotaged off on all skin when as soon sufficient for states is does is it goes advertised under the foreign ministers of germany, france, poland, italy, spain, and the u. k said, most goes escalating hybrid activities against nato and e. u. countries are unprecedented in their variety and scale, creating a significant security risk. this comes just one day after a similar under seas cable between sweet unless when it was damaged. that cut lithuania is internet capacity by one 3rd. similar incidents in africa have caused internet blackouts in the past. there are many more such cables in the seas around europe. authorities in the region are on high alert. it was on your up to date, but stay with us. the, the way of business is next. looking at the lobbying that keeps the oil, industry narratives and world leaders that years. i'll be back at the top of the

next hour, and i hope you can join. thanks for watching. the amount is increasing every so many gone up watching on black silver stars. the only work that is holiday destination is a drowning cost. at the cost every year of the exports of $1000000.00 tons of plastic. why is there another way officer rolls, the environment is not responsible make up your own mind dw.