this is really a sold following a we can barrel as of hezbollah rockets the violent because the, to a long awaited see. so i do tonight's israel is on the way to approving a us box plan to hold the slicing a new window of opportunity for stability and security. but is israel or has the law ready for peace of mind you gives mckinnon? this is the day the dies into got into the conflict between israel and it wrong buys has the law is that's a critical moment. it's deep, only white to in the suffering of people on all sides is of the permanent and the media to cease by. that's the single most important thing to, to make an immediate difference. to stop the, the rockets and missiles from flying is what has spell. it violates the agreements

and tries to re, um, we will strike to make a big difference in saving lives and livelihoods. 11 on and it is. if i tried to renew tire activities, we will strike also coming up us president elect. donald trump outlines sweeping new terrace on mexico and canada, and he's also threatening tougher penalties on chinese inputs. diesel. ultimately the terrace will be paid by consumers in the important country, which inevitably means that the consumers will be paying more for the goods. one say well, can we begin with news that is riled. security cabinet has agreed to a ceasefire with hezbollah and 11 on prime minister benjamin netanyahu made the announcements off to discussing a plan drawn out by the united states. i'm fronts and backs by the you. in his statement in espanol who maintained a tough tone,

insisting israel will retaliate. if hezbollah violates the truce. the visuals evening of the cabinets will approve a framework for a ceasefire in 11 on the duration of a ceasefire. depends on what's in phones and they've been on in full coordination with united states. we are maintaining complete submitted to the freedom of action . that is a festival if i like the agreements and tries to be um we will strike if i tried to renew tire activities near the boulder. we will strike if i launch a rocket digger turnover or bringing a truck with me. so i was, we will strike cool. yes, and you know, who said he was agreeing to the say fine, now, to replenish weapons. busy supplies interest is riley troops. he also said it gave israel time to intensify pressure on a mass and quote, focus on the a rainy and for us. the don't use jerusalem correspondent, tanya exclaim, i has some initial reactions to tonight's developments. well,

i think people here are trying, know, to understand, you know, all the details of what this uh and towed. so we, the reactions are still coming in. we had a 1st reaction here from the opposition. the to, you'll appear to basically a said a, you know, that's a promise to been, you mean that to now i brought the greatest disaster on israel, but a no agreement with his beloved, with a change said. and he also told me that there's a need now to look to bring the hostages that remain in garza home. but i think in general this some cautious optimism on the one hand. but we also heard in the lead up to this a some criticism also from some of the community leaders and may as from the northern communities, they're very much concerned that his bullet could use, you know, this time of 60 days or the coming weeks and months to re um and, and regroup as well, they're going to have and they want to see more guarantees

a to ensure that this, these 5 of hold and hezbollah will not come back to the border area and was the w as tanya, lima and 11 on the prime minister nat geo, because he is demanding an immediate implementation of the ceasefire. earlier today, these really military launched a barrel issue strikes against what it said. what hezbollah targets in southern bay roots? israel's military, it says it struck 20 targets in just 120 seconds. at least 7 people were reported killed. thousands were wounded to the 1st time as well, also issued as actuation warnings to the center of a root. latasha hole is a senior fellow with the middle east program at the center for strategic and international studies, and she's joining us now from washington dc. welcome c w. thank you for your time. benjamin netanyahu just gave a defiant speech. do you think the israel is truly interested in ending this for

i think few words truly and these days, including potentially this one. um, this is obviously a 60 day pause and hostilities and the hopes that it will lead to a lasting cease fire. and no, no, no information on a piece agreement between the warring parties at all. but the other thing to note here is that 60 days takes us into the new us administration, the president trump administration. um, so one could see a potential for a whitening or when that comes. but for now, the hope is that at least this gives a break in hostilities. speaking of the us, what has washington had to do to get this deal on the table? that's a great question. we've seen a flurry of diplomacy for weeks of not months now i am talk seen recently in the

region and the hopes that he could secure actually a cease fire deal during his trip. but we're seeing that play out right now. i'm guessing there was a lot of promises to israel in terms of defense, as has always been the case um and continued sort of protection of israel uh, arms deliveries, etc. um, in order for israel to uh to be able to, to a stand any kind of attacks in the next 60 days. if not more. the, the other aspect of the ceasefire that had been an issue was whether or not is real . we'd be able to attack once again, if it felt like the ceasefire had been broken. and it wasn't entirely clear what the terms of that would be. but it seems like the us is on board for, for anything that it needs to deliver. at least in the next 60 days, israel assess out to disrupt, to we can, has the law as

a political and military force. does a sci fi deal mean that they have succeeded in that's, i mean, what spaces hezbollah and right now as well. i think the biggest wind for or for israel was actually just attaching the, the cease fire and level and on with the cease fire in gaza. we've seen a ramp up in the offensive on, on, because a while we've seen that cease fire with lebanon, and undoubtedly, we've seen as a compensation of leadership and the rank and file within has been low mass in other like minded groups in, in recent months. so undoubtedly this is a, this is a group that has been terribly weekend. that said, i think with all of these sort of asymmetric groups, they tend to not want to, to engage in more with israel or the united states head on. but they would like to do it through through

a symmetric warfare. so it's entirely possible that has the hunkers down and re groups and recuperates for, for the next conflict. you and resolution 171 end of the last major will between israel and hezbollah in 2006, nearly 20 years later. is it still the right framework to build a new ceasefire around? because it didn't work out last time to? i know it and it certainly does not. um, what we seeing in the ceasefire arrangement is that uh has the little draw south of what's on the river and that hundreds, if not thousands of lebanese armed forces will essentially take their place alongside una filled forces in the cell. um to ensure the, the that that mandate is actually fulfilled. the issue is that has bola, while weekend is a much, much stronger component of the looking at these political landscape today. then it

was and, and so what kind of remains to be seen of lebanese politicians would be able to really seriously detach themselves from hezbollah. there is a danger in that we've seen a lot of political assassinations in the past of links to syria and has the law. so i think that it would be very challenging to completely eliminate has the influence from the country altogether. there is supposed to be an international committee overseeing the ceasefire, who's going to be on that committee, and could that be a sticking point? and all of this as well, that has been a sticking point. israel has disagreed with france being on that committee. the palestinians have disagree with britain being on that committee, but it also seems like they dropped their disagreements. so it's unclear if the if that will continue to be a sticking point. but i'm sure that that will be an avenue for any kind of issues

that come up that will inevitably come up in the next few months. so to, to, to at least have some kind of multi lateral effort to resolve those issues. and amongst those issues is the billions of dollars worth of damage that's been done and loved and on. um, francis gonna have to be a part of that solution and many others as well. nothing yahoo is saying that israel will now focus on the reigning threats. what do you think he has in mind when he says, well, i think that this leaves the door open for israel to continue to pursue it's, it's war um by any means necessary. so whether that's through hezbollah, i'm as other proxies in iraq and syria, or directly with iran. i think that his, his rhetoric essentially just leaves the door open for his political opponents and his allies like benny gans,

who have opposed the cease fire in the past to be able to continue to, to sort of knock out any kind of iranian assets for the foreseeable future. natasha . hold from the center for strategic and international studies in washington dc. natasha, thanks so much for your time. thank you. i the us president elect donald trump has announced plans to impose 25 percent terrace on all inputs from mexico and canada. when he returns to the white house in january, trump claims america's near neighbors for doing too little to prevent the flow of migrants and drugs into the us. trump has threatened to hit the chinese goods with a 10 percent tariff on top of the existing level. he's he campaigned on the use of terrorist to boost us industries, but on the economist of wounds that american consumers would end up paying the

price. now trade is just one of the issues donald trump has with china. the double use chase international editor, richard will, could, takes a wider look. now, what a trump 2 point. oh, presidency could mean for proto us china relations. donald trump is back and she's promising a return to an american 1st foreign policy. and that means taking on china, he's chosen to hold for the big jump, sundays. marco rubio for 6th street state. and mike wolf's is national security advisor. both see china as the historic threat to us power. so what can we expect? well, let's take a look at the 2 biggest issues, the military situation, and the prospect of a trade military fence. she, jim ping is now well into his 2nd decade in power. china is getting stronger and more aggressive. in the south china sea, it's coast guards, direst vessel from the philippines,

and it's being threatening taiwan with air and navy trends. either of these flash points could start a war. the drags in the us. there is a risk and a growing risk of a use of force by china, either in the south privacy or in the taiwan strait. as we know front of the us intelligence community, that senior tech has told his military that it must have the capabilities to type type one by force in 2027. trump does not want that to happen while he's in charge . he has said time and again that he's going to prevent for us from happening and that was wouldn't happen under his watch he's. that's where he criticized joe biden . i think that resonated with the american public. so the us military will need to did tough. she, tim ping from making moves on taiwan or the philippines and help us has

a problem. a really big problem. to explain that, let's take a look at a map on china is east coast. there's a little island just off shanghai. this is where you find that young man shipyard, which is a jewel use civilian and military sites. it recently launched china is us to across carry. so what's the problem for the us? well, this single shipyard has more capacity than all of the shipyards in the united states put together. that's according to the csr. yes. think tank here in washington. and of course, jenna is not. china is only shipyard. the csr, yes, reference is a leak from the u. s navy briefing saying that china is over roll ship, building capacity is 200 and such e times greater than americans. yes, you heard that right. $230.00 times the west can build 100000 tons

of ships, naval and civilian every year. china can build 23000000 us may have the edge in terms of quality in some areas, but on that front too, there's little doubt that china can catch up. this is now trump's problem, and he won't be able to fix it on his own to. oh, it's a very, very serious problem and united states in order to get this right is going to have to also rely on japanese and korean allies who are ahead and ship building it's, it's going to be multi off alliance effort to get to get allied ship building up to anywhere close to our china is okay. hold that thought for a moment. let's move on to that other big issue. trace trump made imposing terrace on chinese imports cents a piece of his election campaign that are upstairs upstairs. so he did this before

unleashing a war of what he saw as unfair trade with china, that he never got to finish this time, there's a danger they, he'll have to reckon with. i'm coming from china. but from your from also clashed with european leaders over trade in his 1st term, and he's threatening to hit them with terrorist again. the risk here we said from could start trade was with china and europe at the same time. and that combination could back fine. it would open the door for badging to further divide the united states and europe. this could end up in a situation where your p in the country seek to benefit from greater trade with china. ok, let's pull the pieces together. and on both the military and terrace, some could use some help from allies. as we are catching up with china is navy could be impulsive. that says korea and japan and taking on china of the trade

would be much easier with europe on so. so can from go from america 1st to america plus friends that could be a stretch for a man who's been such a skeptic of alliances for so long will soon find out whether with challenges this big. he decides, there are deals to be done this time around and some will we can speak to our a wine. he's a senior research and advocacy advisor on the us and china ops, the international crisis group. and he's joining us now from washington. welcome to d, w. now, china has said that no one will win a trade war. is that true? does anyone stand to gain here? well, thank you for having me on your program. the president elect seems to think that the united states will and he both during his 1st administration since he's been out of office and actually dating all the way back to the 1980s. donald trump believes the terrorists are

a means of regressing economic imbalances. he believes that the benefits accrue to american consumers, but as he just said in your opening remarks, and the overwhelming evidence suggests that when a country and poses terrorist and it's for him is firms are importing those goods that actually bear the costs. and those costs are very often pass american consumers. we have any, we haven't miracle evidence from his 1st administration demonstrating that this trade war and that the care didn't work. the costs are borne by companies and consumers. and i think it stands to reason that if the president elect goes ahead with this place, then once again, american companies and consumers would bear the brunt of the cos he's saying from saying that he will impose a 25 percent tower from goods coming from mexico. and canada, as well as an extra 10 percent on chinese goods. what could the full out, the, from these kinds of, of terrace, of the very significant and again, this turning to american companies and consumers, the 3 countries you mention, these are americans, 3 largest trading partners. so the disruptions to continental supply chains and

north american supply chains, global supply chains of the ramifications could be huge. and i think it's also notable that so in keeping with the present alexa, america 1st world view, what's notable is china as a competitor. but if you look at canada and mexico, these are very significant, you know, allies and partners. and so i think that part of his america 1st world view, he very often doesn't seem to make a distinction between us allies and partners on the one hand and us competitors and adversaries on the other. so i think that even though these are the 3 countries are america's largest, 3 and largest trading partners, ramifications could potentially be very significant. and again, a failure to make a distinction between allies and partners on the one hand and competitors and adversaries on the other is i think a hallmark of the present in the next world view. he said, that's one reason he's introducing new tariffs on china is to force across down on the flow of drugs into the us in particular offense. and they'll, do you think that this will work?

i mean, will, fewer drugs now into the us it's, it's unclear and i think it's, i think it's difficult, especially unilaterally when you impose these kinds of measures unilaterally. i think it's very difficult to, to, to secure the kinds of concessions that you're looking to obtain in one rational or at least one hypothesis that some of the others have posited is that you're, the president elect is looking to to use this pledge. essentially is an opening game, but he's looking to impose pressure to put pressure on china to put pressure on the others so that he doesn't actually have to go through with the, the full credit of 40 and a full credit. but he is a pledge a but again, what we've seen with these kinds of economic measures is when they impose unilaterally, they tend to be quite effective. so the more multi lateral support you can engender recommend list, the more effective they're likely to be. just one other point that i would make is that, you know, when donald trump was 1st elected president, he was a novelty, not only for child, but for the entire world of china. now he studied him and his world view of his

tactics. now for, for a year, so this time i think donald trump is going to confront a very different china, the china is and is prepared for this kind of tactic. coming from the present in the left, china's economy is in quite some vulnerable position right now though, isn't it? so how will that factor in, i mean, how, how will china be able to react to all of this? of the other 2 interesting dynamics under there's somewhat intensive with one another. the 1st dynamics of the 1st, the reality, which is the one that you mentioned is the chinese economy is indeed a vulnerable, right. know china is managing mounting roadside winds on the one hand. so i think trying to certainly is more vulnerable to tariff this time around it. it was in, in say, 20172018. 2019. on the other hand, as i said earlier, you know, trying, it hasn't been sitting idly by when the trump them and it the 1st company ministration initiated is terror campaign. in 2018. it really set off. alarm bells inside china and china said they're becoming less aligned from the dollar becoming less exposed to us economic pressure. it's not just an economic imperative. is an

existential, a whole society, a national security imperative. so even though chinese economy is more vulnerable now, i think relative to what it was several years ago, china has been, i think, taking several steps to insulate itself from economic pressure. so i think that in the aggregate is probably less vulnerable to economic pressure now than it was when the trump administration initiated its 1st crush of tears back in 201891 from the international crisis group. thank you so much for your time today. we appreciate it . thank you for having me on. as the an economic downturn, a dysfunctional government, and a surge and political extremism, germany was long held up as a symbol of stability and progress. now it seems to be in crisis and some say it's paying the price of mistakes made by full by chancellor angela medical, who retired in 2021 often leaving the country for 16 years. detractors accused of

being too soft on rush or of becoming dangerously reliant on russian gas and opening the door to the far right down the coal has defended her records in her new book entitled by heights or freedom in the english version. it also has a personal account of her life and career and politics. she explained. so thinking on some of the biggest questions and crises of her career, including a policies on russia, a response to the migration crisis of 2015 until you turn on nuclear energy. and during a 16 years in office medical supp alongside for us presidents for french presidents and 5 british prime ministers, leica. another consent was in the kremlin, in the form of russian president vladimir pollution and muscle describes one moment in searching in 2007 when person let his lab renewal into the room. despite his guests reported fear of dogs, the former chancellor writes that she came to no person as someone who was always

on guard against being treated badly, ready to push back at any time with a power games using adult will making other people ways around him. the w as chief political, as somebody said, look, us and it has of course, already read the book i oft, if she discovered any surprises or any do see go sit and it's 700 pages. let's look, i'd love to tell you that there was some kind of a tele detail in that through all of us here. but there wasn't, and it was a remarkable how she stuck a by her policies. and clearly this is an attempt to explain. it's not an attempt of someone to straighten out the record and the most, the new elements who are really learning about her childhood and upbringing in the ged in the former. call me this is john many and how she also was grateful for that historic experience. but also the room full of intellect to maneuver that her

parents enabled her to have so and no huge surprises in the is the mac. well, you know, but she comes across as a human being as a person, rather than this historic figure feels a bit like you can listen to her internal voice as she was taking some of those historic decisions. like on what became known as the rest of the crisis in 2015. that was the w as chief political edison mckayla cuz know that that is the so for today from the entire team here. thanks so much for watching and have a great day the

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