i see you miss. nothing about is on the w travel. i hope you enjoy the trip here as much as i did about you. what's your opinion? feel free to write your thoughts and the comments the with the holidays. now, after the way jasmine, as a licensed agent has begun in this with a snap polls, the little move in a month away. major pauses around the campaigns this week and the gloves are coming off. sparks already flying as a life show, some freak maps of face. so for the role of chancellor, i to the mix, the warden, ukraine, divisive debates over immigration and the struggling job and economy. and it could be tough politics. i had, i'm feel, go invalid. and this is the, by the,

you know, by companies of the election campaign has begun. it's this rent this time on people, we need more growth in germany. we needed new growth. toys sparks, let's this recession, depression, inflation. often we need a strong, green positive. and i'm going to body that with all my strength and all my passion for the future. you're not just germany years, it must finally roll out. and above all, europe must find me grow up in terms of security policy. for you. yes, we need to set the right course now. also on the day friends out staves. it's welcome in west africa, as friends, troops leave the region. present macro says they should be sorry to see them go. but i say this for all the african governments who not have the courage in the face of public opinion to barris, but none of them would be in a southern country today if the french army had not been deployed in this region.

welcome to the day we started here in germany where this week political parties are loading that campaigns for the election on the 21st of february is not poles cold after the collapse of the governing coalition have shown that this is not the business as usual for gem and politics. for the 1st time, full confidence have put the hands up to the chancellor. the greens have chosen the current economy minister robot holl back us that top. com to this. on the far right alternative for germany has typed the co chair was viable for chance, a low other pottery site. they will not work with the most pundits. typically, the conservative frederick mat solely uncomfort off schultz and the social democrats to lead the next government. and both man, i'm making that difference is clear. as one of these 2 men set to become germany's next tom slept. all i've sold is trying to defend his job against police mats,

the man whose posse conduct leads in the polls. the only thing they have in common . they cannot stand each other. as you are embarrassing gemini, the way you acted your, these creams were puts and that's, that's it for the match. likes to talk rubbish well done. it's not the 1st time because i provide was i so if i had to losing to match would likely end off schultz, his political career. and along with it, germany's resistance to supplying ukraine with what he wants most from. brandon towers, cruise missiles, just one week after salts headed to keys for those mats, made the same trip and the sold ukraine's president said lensky, you're going you, we must do everything to enable you crying to make use of it right? to defend itself without any limitations, the stones, full assaults condemns as an unnecessary provocation of lesser need, always play russian roulette with germany secuity. the bustle is also about many

a thing economy. well, salts plans to take on new debt for investment politic mats wants to stimulate growth through tax breaks and less bureaucracy. when map sees the need for migration you ton including turning people away at the border salts and says his government has already implemented stricter migration rules and points to folding numbers. the to top contenders for chance, like class and personality. and on the key issues of this, the next in next month selections will fundamentally decide which direction europe's largest economy will take. that's what it's doing as an assistant professor and political science at trinity college. dublin, those a co container of the gym and politics specialist group of the u. k. political studies association, just the mound, meaning welcome to the w, and we just heard in our report, there's no love lost between alas, shelves,

and frederick, i'm met. can we expect the gloves to come off? now the campaigns have begun. in honest it is exactly what we like you to see it's, um, it's obviously you've addressed incentive to the receipt to contain and that the, the, that's what we've seen so far as the address already got the debate at the end of last year when a good the winners talk about it on the board of confidence. and we saw quite some intense exchanges between the different candidates and business continued into the new year. and indeed, i mean it's, it's, it's an extra time that it seems to be a very kind of frequentist election for drug and standards. and so i wouldn't be surprised if such attacks continue in the, in the weeks to come into the election of the posters for a release. the light is so like today we're going to take a look at the numbers back. come back to you. we have the conservative block away. i was in front of 32 percent fall right after the polling. second strongest jolts

is s p d. is it? 17 percent, but the green's a 12. so it's, it's dealing it's, it's looking like maps as chancellor, but with no majority as the way in german government. who, while these conservators try and form a coalition with this is very a, it's, i think easier to say with whom they might not form a would not formal condition given the numbers. it's the kind of all the kinds of little deformed condition. but the a, d, i also cannot see the collision between the christian democrats, independents of august, and with regard to the remaining price. it really depends on the composition of the blended stock. at the moment we have a 3 parties, f t p. but as of august and the left that our was the re entry into the stock is very, i'm certainly reporting around the fresh hold. um, if they, if all 3 of them do not enter the window,

then we would like you to very like look at the option of either seduce you through green government on the one hand or as did you see is us government, assuming that the impression democrats maintain the lead, if of course, some of one of the, of these are 3 smaller players ended up going to talk a, we are, i would expect a very challenging a government formation process that might actually take quite some time. right now you're trying the economy immigration, which is not as big issues, do you think is likely to be decisive in february? i mean, the post at the moment such as like a massive change compared with the 2021 election, has been the increase in c and c of the economy on this. so from, according to polls, it's really good. it's the topics that the largest chair of and voters hip identified as the most relevant topic that is um kind of it, the country is facing. and so on the uh,

on the electronic side of seems the vehicle are you going to like structures are particularly relevant when it comes to decisive in terms of the pie talks between the, between the different parties of to the election. i would expect the integration to be a particularly contested issue. we've seen that since recent suggestions around the world to a national and criminal convictions, we've seen to see us use proposals, robbins and kind of connecting internal security and migration. and of course, these opposition, that's the positions that a good is quite deeply opposed by the social democrats. it also with the greens and so when it comes to government formation, i would actually expect integration to be quite the size of human. the one of the pulls that suggest that for voters, it's really the economy, but not us. accept votes, we have the f d lucky in the background rate we, we saw in those figures that just now they are polling 2nd out the one with the found right a half day. how much momentum do you think they have? especially when you consider um what else is going on in europe and of course with

big names. supporters like 8 on musk is certainly doing quite good at the moment. and the poor story is also kind of way of saying that this has been fairly stable. um and for the last for the last month, so it's a a day is it for the ac that doesn't seem to day, there is not a key, a positive power at all. now the positive kind of cute, erode autocorrelation with the, with the ac. and so on that and it's also we're obviously kind of rough um, kind of staring in mind that yes and pulling close to 20 percent. but, but that also means that 80 percent of respondents of faith favor different parties . and so yes, at the moment that you mentioned um, but obviously as the, as you mentioned, quite a prominent support is that this that supports unlikely is i'm not going to change much in terms of focus on. so i think has to be with the spots that we've seen to eat unless it's a good kind of a darth middle support for the if he has been that it has been well received by

those sympathetic to the 80 and having a criticized. but though with whatnot, and so it's like you to contribute to what further effective for reservations that might help mobilize the base. but it's unlikely to change any minds in terms of the full choice. okay, good. talking to thank you so much for joining us. i meant to have stealing from tennessee college dublin. thank well joe and it goes out for a potentially devices in action. friends has seen the passing of one of its most polarizing politicians. so marie, lupins found at the far right national front policy has died at the age of $96.00. and he was a fire brand popular this to vials against immigration and multi culturalism issue . the french political establishment in 2002 by unexpectedly, reach the presidential run of against jack's year. but it was succeeded as potty chief by his daughter burying the pen. who was since run for the presidency 3 times

. face time, the policy now re branded as the national robbie into one of the countries made political pauses. i will send him to mac, his professor emeritus of political communication uh the funds in the institute of political studies in paris. we asked him to describe joan murray depends legacy. well, i would say i'm joking this. he's probably gonna lose he's. he's still throwing away because i would say that he's made that even was a to a to a run of the election. but afterwards he gets, uh, i would say having such an extreme low speed kind of speech that he couldn't get probably elected any at any time. and he's done to completely understood it. and she even expense him from his own thought to you 10 years ago. exactly. in august the 2015 and uh because he even the good thing that may be the

messic of jews and just genocide of jews in germany had been the incident of the 2nd good. well, he wouldn't commit to say that it was a genocide, so he's not the warranty to be an extra drug. and she understood that. she had to expend him somehow and to get treat. this is the duration. emanuel macro is phasing criticism, phase. reason comments defending the presence of french troops in africa. francis, in the process of withdrawing troops from chas and several other countries. the french president sparked a backlash from several african leaders after he accused of failing to say thank you. to french troops. baffling is list insurgencies to use as what assume. so we had a secure relationship edited in truth. it was in 2 parts. in the one part was our commitment of fighting terrorism since 2013. we were right. i think some of

forgotten to say thank you, but that's okay. it will come in time. i think i'm in a good position to know that in gratitude is a disease that cannot be transmitted to humans. but i say this for all the african governments who not have the courage and the face of public opinion to verify that none of them would be in a southern country today if the french army had not been deployed in this region or vice president's remarks for mattress accusations of neo colonialism from last african lee. this is chevy and president. my how much interest debbie at 8 know? 0. excuse me. i'd like to express my our range of regarding recent remarks by president my call. which border on contempt for africa and africa deals with low feet is a feature. i think he's in the wrong era. francis in the process of withdrawing troops in chad semi go on the ivory coast and has recently left molly media and became a fast so is

a closer look at how it is coping with its waiting influence in the region. moved in 60 years after chad gained independence from from french troops, a finally packing up to leave for good as a growing number of african nations full, a full mcculla, nicer to withdraw its military last month, ivory coast joined chad and synagogue in causing military ties. following announcements from molly, the keen of fossil and media in the mood dumped breaks. it comes amid growing local resentment towards from the french troops stayed on and we stand for current after it ended its colonial rule in the sixty's and french soldiers have been fighting alongside local forces for the tang. but critics say they've had

little effect in detouring security threats and militant groups in recent years. like we've moved in us through non military cues and molly, the keen of fossil and media heavily so speed up the withdrawal. the french forces true numbers, uh estimated to have dropped by around 70 percent since 2021 from still maintains a large military base and get booty east africa with president emanuel. my chrome visited last month. but it's exit l suite a has seen countries look for of the international support with russian this i'm right now operating in the region. strange forces and likely to be almost entirely out of west africa. and by the end of the year, signaling a significant shift in its influence over its former colonies.

neither willing is direct to the optic of program at the aggregate ag bump royal institute for international relations. she joins us from brussels. welcome to the w . what do you think showed african countries manufacturing funds for its military assistance? and no i, i think that this was another one of those comments from micro on that was said perhaps with his advisors pairing their, her and their hair behind the screens. and mature on has this habit of throwing out and comments that will have consequences that are perhaps not thought through at the moment when he system, there is one thing to think that in private, then there is another thing to say in public. and of course, even if this was supposed to be an event for, and french ambassadors, there was media there. so there's for search and he knew that this is going to get out and beyond a french circle. so i think this was

a strategic error on his part and you've got it as an era and it's difficult with my from to know what is an error and what is actually something that he says on purpose. we've known that b as in, with regards to africa. this has happened quite a few times that he has authored a comment that it has had and quite big consequences for the french african relations. of course, i forget the continent but with the country that he ever had to call for. and we know that during visits to africa, he has also am given comments that have not been appreciated by the african leaders . sometimes joking when it wasn't really appropriate to do so. and, and, and it's hard to know whether, whether these are thoughts through comments or, or whether it's something that he just has to and that he wants to get out there because he feels that it's, it's the correct thing to do. but for sure this i'm,

i mean there is quite a few french officials and military officers. we're working hard to and chat the, the image that friends have in africa as an arrogant for him or colonial power. and comments like this. my by my crone, is really undermining their records and in doing the french military forces went in to the saw how to try and help stabilize the region by fighting implementing surgeons. why is it felt by those countries in the reason that both french troops are no longer necessary as well? i think we have to remember that. and friends has been boosted by this the hill in states after military close. and that started this newest and cool wave started in 2020 molly. and then it has continued with another queen molly in 2021. and we had to close in burkina faso in 2022. and then one in the year in 2023. and then we had,

of course, the constitutional include in charge in 2021, and it was only after the cool leaders have taken power that france has been boosted. so whether these decisions by the coup leaders to loose, the french military forces have been taken because they didn't think they needed them. or because they thought that there would be a better strategic decision for them to stay in power by relying on other external actors like russia, for example. and that's the question that i think is, is up for debate, right? so, as the, the french troops withdrawal, i'm who keeps the piece i, i'm going to presume the islamist insurgency is known as over as well. if we look at this, a health countries, it's definitely not over. we've seen that ice this as the hell the, the is the how, which was the main enemy, let's say, are the main targets of operation bar con,

the french comp, attorneys operation. that was, and that was deployed to the region since 2014, it doubled its territorial control in the year after bar khan, left. so between 20222023. we doubled. it's kind of its territorial control. in, in molly and in new share and in working a foster, we've also seen that there has been quite an exponential increase of ads. the hottest and control, especially in burkina faso, where a friends only had a small, special forces operation, a blessing sab. and that was also, of course injected when the military collaboration with which burkina faso ended in january in 2023. so it's, it's hard to make the correlation between burkina faso and boosting french and troops and the increasing jihadist and groups. but for sure that it's not going

well in the region right now. and regina foster has about 60 percent of his territory and that the military is not and controlling. we have jane in which is the largest and outside affiliated. do you have is grouped in the region that is present in 11 out of 13 communities in amber cleanup also. so the situation is not good right at the moment. i'm so you mentioned that russia being one of the players to try and so that gap is the situation that is deteriorating. do we presume that the russian forces are bad to keep these military dictatorships impala robert van, secure. the reason that gaines being surgeons it's difficult to say um for sure that there is an russia has this deal that they are offering a lot of african alteri, terry and leaders of, of regime and maintenance,

which is of course very attractive. and for these leaders, especially if they see that their positions are fragile, which is the case in many of the states that have the hobbies and insurgencies. and for example, right now, what we've seen is that in molly, at the form or wagner troops, we, we call them still wagner troops in molly, because they have not been recognized by the malia and authorities at to be in place. the, they're not the official of russian troops. they suffered a major setback this summer, and in at 10. so watson, a city in the north of molly, where we know that over 7500 troops were killed by a to a reg separatist. so malia and rebels, let's say, and you have is groups. and that's the 1st major setback that we've seen of the russian forces in this region of africa. and we also know that there have been 2 major attacks by jane, and so by the major a jihad is organization in molly,

in bond nicole in september um in 2024, which is the 1st attacks inbound the code since 2015. so clearly, russian troops are not able to secure the country from these attacks. so fascinating analysis and we thank you for it to need a village and need a willing from the ag month royal institute for international relations. thank. thank you. of the us president elect, donald trump said that he would not rule out using military or economic force to gain control of greenland since winning the election. mr. trump has repeatedly express it's designed for the us to take control of greenland from denmark and the governments of greenland. the denmark of repeatedly told him the island is not for sale. trump has once again set his eyes on greenland posting on his side truth social on monday. he said,

greenland is an incredible place and the people will benefit you tremendously if and when it becomes part of our nation. we will protect it and cherish it from a very vicious outside world. make green and great again, your position. and on tuesday, the future presidents doubled down on his claims or even refusing to roll out minute to remote military where we need one for national security purposes. i've been told that for a long time, long before i even ran, i mean people have been talking about it for a long time. you have approximately 45000 people there. people really don't even know if denmark has any legal rights to it. but if they do, they should give it up because we need it for national security. that's for the free world. i'm talking about protecting the very well from may beach we maxwell. his son donna junior was on a brief visit to greenland officially as a tourist and not holding talks with officials. and officials in denmark has made

it very clear several times. the greenland is not for sale, confederate because in fact chosen and new danesh coat of arms was a prominent pulled up at depicting greenland. many see it as a statement of solidarity. greenland is a self governing territory, but belongs to the kingdom of denmark. on each step, some is definitely a correlation between the new coat of arms and the politics in denmark about stronger recognition of greenland and the federal islands yang can indicate it's credible the royals do it meant the king, frederic holmes as a close connections agreement on a much love forage that i'm store for candidates either from pet already expressed his desires, to own reading. and during his 1st presidency, the island nation has a strategic location and the optic for trade and defense and the bounty of natural resources. and that is that you can follow the same on social media at

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