coming off, sparks already flying as a life show sunset. dick matt's face off for the role of chancellor. i to the mix, the warden, ukraine, divisive debates over immigration and the struggling job and economy. and it could be tough politics. i had, i'm feel, go invalid. and this is by the go back up is that the election campaign has begun. it's this rent this time on the ball. we need a little growth in germany. we need new growth, toys, parts, store bits, this recession to depression, inflation, often we need a strong, green positive. and i'm going to buddy that with all my strengths and all my passion for the future. you're not just germany years. it must finally roll out and above all, europe must find me grow up in terms of security policy. for you,

i guess we need to set the right course now. also on the day friends out staves. it's welcome in west africa, as friends troops leave the region. present macro says they should be sorry to see them go. but i say this for all the african governments who not have the courage in the face of public opinion to barris, but none of them would be in a southern country today if the french army had not been deployed in this region. welcome to today we stopped here in germany where this week political parties are loading that campaigns for the election on the 21st of february is not polls cold after the collapse of the governing coalition have shown that this is not the business as usual for gem and politics for the 1st time, full confidence have put the hands up to the chancellor. the greens have chosen the current economy minutes, the robot holl, back as that top. com to this. on the far right alternative for geometry has tapped

. the co chair is vital for chancellor low other pottery site. they will not work with the most pundits typically conservative friedrich matt, so the incumbent off schultz and the social democrats to lead the next government. and both man, i'm making that difference is clear. one of these 2 men set to become germany's next tom slept. all i've sold is trying to defend his job against swedish mats, the man whose party currently leads in the poles. the only thing they have in common. they cannot stand each other as if you are embarrassing gemini, the way you acted, your ease creams with puts and that's, that's a friday max likes to talk. rubbish well done. it's not the 1st time because of a vine, boise. so if i had to, using to maps would likely end off schultz, his political career. and along with it, germany's resistance to supplying ukraine with water once most from brandon towers,

cruise missiles, just one week after salts headed to keys for the mats, made the same trip, and the sold ukraine's precedence of lensky. you're going, you must do everything to enable ukraine to make use of its right to defend itself without any limitations. the stones, full, a sold condemns as an unnecessary provocation of lesser need, always play russian roulette with germany. security. the bustle is also about many a thing economy, while salts plans to take on new debt for investment politic mats wants to stimulate growth through tax breaks, less bureaucracy. when map sees the need for a migration you ton including turning people away at the border. so since this, his government has already implemented strict on migration rules and points to folding numbers. the 2 top contenders for top, select class and personality,

and on e, key issues of this. the next in next month selections will fundamentally decide which direction europe's largest economy will take. that's what it's doing as an assistant professor and political science at trinity college tablets. those are co conveying that are of the gym and politics specialist group. but the u. k. political studies association, just the modeling. welcome to the w. and we just heard in our report, there's no love lost between shelves and frederick. and that's uh, can we expect the gloves to come off? now the campaigns have begun it. honest. it's, it is exactly what we like. you to see it's um, it's obviously driven sent. it's a very heated campaign and the, the, the, that's what we've seen so far as the address already got up the debate at the end of last year and a good when it's talk, bought it on the board of confidence. and we saw quite some intense exchanges

between the different candidates and business continued into the new year. and indeed, i mean it's, it's, it's an extreme time. it, it seems to be a very kind of feeling contested election for drug and standards. and so i wouldn't be surprised at such a text. i'll continue in the, in the weeks to come into the election of the post as full. so i released that late the survey. today we're going to take a look at the numbers back. come back to you, we have the conservative block away. i was in front of the 32 percent fall right at the polling. second strongest jolts is s p d. is it? 17 percent. but the greens of 12 so much as billing it's, it's looking like maps as chancellor, but with no majority as, as the way in german government. who will these conservators try and form a coalition with this is very a, it's i think easier to say with whom they might not form or would not form inclusion given the numbers. um, it's the kind of all the parties of it all to follow the conditions of the

a d. i also cannot see the equation between the christian democrats, independents of august and with regard to the remaining parties. it really depends on the composition of the window stock. at the moment. we have a 3 parties, f t p, but as of august and the left that our was the re entry into the stock is very uncertain. we're putting around the fresh hold. um, if they, if all 3 of them do not enter the window, then we would likely to very likely look at the option of either as it used to use the green government on the one hand or as it used to use us government. assuming that the impression democrats maintain the lead, if of course, some, one of the, of these 3 smaller players ended up going to talk, we are, i would expect a very challenging a government formation process that might actually take quite some time. right now you're trying the economy immigration, which is always big issues. do you think is likely to be decisive and february?

i mean, the post at the moment such as did like a massive change compared with the 2021 election has been the increase in cmc of the economy on this. so from, according to polls is really good. it's the topics that the large chair of and voters have identified as the most relevant topic that is um, kind of it, the country is facing. and so on the, on the electoral side it seems that people are going to make sections and particularly relevant when it comes to decisive in terms of the pie talks between the, between the different parties of to the election. so i would expect the integration to be a particularly contested issue. we've seen that since recent suggestions around the world to a national and criminal convictions, we've seen to see us use proposals, robbins and kind of connecting internal security and migration. and of course, these are position that positions that a good is quite deeply opposed by the social democrats,

but also with the greens. and so when it comes to government formation, i would actually expect integration to be quite decides if you're the one of the pull, some suggest that for voters, it's really the economy that matters. accept that we have the f d lucky in the background rate we, we saw in those figures that just now they are polling 2nd at the moment the far right half day. how much momentum do you think they have? especially when you consider um what else is going on in europe. and of course my big name supports us like a lot. musk is certainly doing quite good at the moment. and the poor story is also kind of way of saying that this has been fairly stable um and for the last, for the last month. so it's a, the day is the, for the, if the, the doesn't seem to pay the, is not a key of cost to power on at all. now the price is kind of cute, erode autocorrelation with the, with the a if d and so, and that, and it's also,

we're obviously kind of rough um, kind of starting in mind that yes and pulling close to 20 percent. but, but that also means that 80 percent of respondents of favor of different parties. and so yes, at the moment that you just mentioned, um, but obviously as the, as you mentioned, quite a prominent support is that this, the support unlikely is i make a change much sometimes unfortunately. so i think has to be with the spots that we've seen to eat unless it's a good kind of a darth middle support for the if the has been that it has been well received. but those sympathetic to the 80 and having a criticized. but those were not, and so it's like you to contribute to what further effective for relations with might help mobilize the base. but it's unlikely to change any minds in terms of the full choice. okay, good. talking to thank you so much for joining us. i'm a to stealing from tennessee college dublin. thank well joe and it goes out for a potentially devices election friends has seen the passing of one of its most

polarizing politicians. so mary lou found at the far right national front policy has died at the age of $96.00. and he was a fire brand populates to violence against immigration and multiculturalism issue. the french political establishment in 2002 by unexpectedly reaching the presidential run of against jacques chirac. but he was succeeded as potty chief by his daughter burying the pen who was since run for the presidency. 3 times, chase turned the policy and i re branded as the national valley into one of the country's main political pauses. i will sleep malik. here's a professor emeritus as a political communication, the funds in the institute of political studies in paris. we asked him to describe joan really depends legacy whether the i would say you have joking that he's probably gonna lose he's, he's still throwing away because i would say that he's made that even was it to,

to uh or enough election. but afterwards he gets, uh, i would say having such an extreme most be kind of speech that he couldn't get, probably elected any at any time. and he's done to completely understood it. and she even expense him from his own thought to you 10 years ago. exactly. in august the 2015 and uh because he even the good thing that may be the messic of jews and just genocide of jews in germany. it had been the incident of the 2nd good. well, he wouldn't commit to say that it was a genocide, so he's not the warranty to be elected drug. and she understood that she had to expend him somehow and to get treat. this is the duration. emanuel macro is phasing criticism,

phase. reason comments defending the presence of french troops in africa. francis in the process of withdrawing troops from chad and several other countries. the french president sparked a backlash from several african leaders after he accused them of failing to say thank you. to french troops, baffling is list insurgencies to use as no one would assume. so we have a secure relationship edited in truth. it was in 2 parts. in one part was our commitment to fighting terrorism since 2013 we were right. i think some of forgotten to say thank you, but that's okay. it will come in time. so i'm in a good position to know that in gratitude is a disease that cannot be transmitted to humans. but i say this for all the african governments who not have the courage and the face of public opinion to barris, but none of them would be in a southern country today if the french army had not been deployed in this region. or vice president's remarks with mattress accusations of neo colonialism from last african lee. this is chevy and president a how much interest debbie 8, now you did,

if i'd like to express my outrage of regarding recent remarks by president my call, which order on contempt for africa and african deals with low feet. it is. i think i think he's in the wrong era, the process and the process of withdrawing shapes in chad semi go on the ivory coast and his recently left molly nature became a fast so is a closer look at how it is coping with its waiting influence in the region moved in 60 years after chad gained independence from france. french troops of finally packing up to leave for good as a growing number of african nations full stay, form a colonizer to withdraw its military. last month, ivory coast joined chad and synagogue in causing military ties. following the

announcements from molly, the king of fossil n, naija in the mood dumped brick set comes amid growing local resentment towards from the french troops stayed on. and we stand for camp after it ended, it's colonial rule in the sixty's. and french soldiers have been fighting alongside local forces for decaying. but critics say they've had little effect in detouring security threats and militant groups in recent years that couldn't do enough through non military cues. and molly, the keen of fossil and major heavily speed up the withdrawal. the french forces true numbers, uh estimated to have dropped by around 70 percent since 2021 from still maintains a large military base in gibb booty,

east africa with president emmanuel. my chrome visited last month. but it's, it's, it elsewhere has seen countries look for other international support with russian. this rate is now operating in the region. strange forces and likely to be almost entirely out of west africa. and by the end of the year, signaling a significant shift in its influence over its former colonies. neither will it is direct to the optic of program at the aggregate ag bump royal institute for international relations. she joins us from brussels. welcome to the w . what do you think showed african countries manufacturing funds for its military assistance? and no i, i think that this was another one of those comments from material on that was said perhaps with his advisors pairing. there her and their hair behind the screens and

mature on has this habit of throwing out and comments that will have consequences that are perhaps not thought through. at the moment when the system, there is one thing to think that in private, then there is another thing to say in public. and of course, even if this was supposed to be an event for an french ambassadors, there was media there. so there's for search and he knew that this is going to get out and beyond the french circle. so i think this was a strategic error on his part. and you've got it as an era and it's difficult with my from to know what is an error and what is actually something that he says on purpose. we've known that he is in, with regards to africa. this has happened quite a few times that he has authored a comment that it has had and quite big consequences for the french african relations. of course, africa is

a continent but with the country that he ever had to call for. and we know that during visits to africa and he has also am given comments that have not been appreciated by the african leaders. sometimes joking when it wasn't really appropriate to do so. and, and, and it's hard to know whether, whether these are thoughts through comments or, or whether it's something that he just has to and that he wants to get out there because he feels that it's, it's the correct thing to do. but for sure this i'm, i mean there is quite a few french officials and military officers. we're working hard to, and chad, the um, the image that france has in africa as an arrogant for him or colonial power and comments like this. my by my crone, is really undermining their records and in doing the french military forces went into the saw how to try and help stabilize the region by fighting implementing

surgeons. why is it felt by those countries in the region that both french troops are no longer necessary as well? i think we have to remember that. and friends has been boosted by this the hill in states after military close. and that started this newest and cool wave started in 2020 molly. and then it has continued with another queen molly in 2021. and we had to close in burkina faso in 2022. and then one in the here in 2023. and then we had, of course, the constitutional cou, in charge in 2021. and it's only after the cool leaders have taken power that france has been boosted. so whether these decisions by the cou leaders to loose, the french military forces have been taken because they didn't think they needed them. or because they thought that there would be a better strategic decision for them to stay in power by relying on other external actors like russia, for example. and that's the question that i think is,

is up for debate, right? so, as the, the french troops withdrawal, i'm who keeps the peace i, i'm going to presume the is always to insurgency is known as over as well. if we look at this, a health countries, it's definitely not over. we've seen that. and is this as to how the, the is the how, which was the main enemy, let's say, are the main targets of operation bar con, the french comp, attorneys operation. that was, and that was deployed to the region since 2014, it doubled its territorial control in the year after bar khan, left. so between 20222023. we doubled. it's kind of its territorial control. in, in molly and in new share and, and working a fast. so we've also seen that there has been quite an exponential increase of ads . the hottest and control, especially in breaking a foster. we're friends only had

a small special forces operation, a blessing sab. and that was also, of course injected when the military collaboration were with burkina. faso ended in january in 2023. so it's, it's hard to make the correlation between burkina faso and who's thing french and troops and the increase in your hobbies and groups. but for sure that it's not going well in the region right now. and regina foster has about 60 percent of his territory and that the military is not and controlling. we have jane in which is the largest outside affiliated. do you have is grouped in the region that is present in 11 out of 13 communities in and working up also? so the situation is not good, right at the moment. i'm so you mentioned that russia being one of the, of the players to try and so that gap is the situation that is

deteriorating. do we presume that the russian forces are bad to keep these military dictatorships impala robert van, secure. the reason that gaines being surgeons it's difficult to say um for sure that there is an russia has this deal that they are offering a lot of african alteri, terry and leaders of, of regime and maintenance, which is of course very attractive. and for these leaders, especially if they see that their positions are fragile, which is the case in many of the states that have the hobbies, insurgencies. and for example, right now, what we've seen is that in molly and the former wagner troops, we, we call them still wagner troops in molly, because they have not been recognized by the malia and authorities at to be in place. the, they're not the official of russian troops. they suffered a major setback this summer,

and in at 10. so watson as city in the north of molly, where we know that over 7500 troops were killed by a to a reg separatist. so molly and rebels, let's say, and you have his groups, and that's the 1st major set 5 that we've seen of the russian forces in this region of africa. and we also know that there have been 2 major attacks by jane, and so by the major at the heidi's organization in molly, in bond nicole in september of in 2024, which is the 1st attacks inbound the code since 2015. so clearly, russian troops are not able to secure the country from these attacks. so fascinating analysis and we thank you for it to need a village and need a willing from the ag months royal institute for international relations. thank. thank you. the us president

elect donald trump said that he would not rule out using military or economic force to gain control of greenland since winning the election. mr. trump has repeatedly expressed are designed for the us to take control of greenland from denmark and the governments of greenland. the denmark of repeatedly told him the island is not for sale. trump has once again set his eyes on greenland posting on his side to the social on monday. he said, greenland is an incredible place and the people will benefit you tremendously if and when it becomes part of our nation. we would protect it and cherish it from a very vicious outside world. make green and great again, your position and on tuesday, the future president double down on his claims or even refusing to roll out military voice military. what we need when for national security purposes. i've been told that for a long time, long before i even ran,

i mean people have been talking about it for a long time. you have approximately 45000 people there. people really don't even know if denmark has any legal rights to it, but if they do, they should give it up because we need it for national security. that's for the free world. i'm talking about protecting the very well from may beach we maxwell. his son donna junior, was on a brief visit to greenland officially as a tourist and not holding talks with officials. and the officials in denmark has made it very clear several times. the greenland is not for sale. confederate, it has in fact chosen a new danesh coat of arms, was a prominent pulled up at depicting greenland. many see it as a statement of solidarity greenland as a self governing territory, but belongs to the kingdom of denmark. the on each step, somebody is definitely a correlation between the new coat of arms and the politics in denmark about

stronger recognition of greenland and the federal islands yang can indicate it's credible the royals do admin. the king, frederick has a close connection to green man, not much love for internet. i'm store, store cabinets, even from pet already expressed his desires to own religion. during his 1st presidency, the island nation has a strategic location and the optic for trade and defense. and the bounty of natural resources. and that is that you can follow the same on social media at cdw and use the latest headlines of coast dw dot com, so that the w good day, great week by the

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