putin to ukraine, well, listen, er, if putin meant a little, er, he would have a different sense of reality , this would not have happened, because it is absolutely obvious that it was a lose-lose decision for putin himself and for russia itself, but it happened and here we can already analyze why it happened and to talk about the progressiveness of russia and about the existence of putin in the world of soviet images and soviet and soviet propaganda and about the dictator's isolation from the world, and this is precisely where we can mention the coronavirus epidemic because he turned out to be isolated even from his own environment and it is clear that in such a situation a person has a distorted idea of ​​what is happening in the world and of course we can talk about the fact that i work a dictatorial model when the dictator is put on what he wants to hear and

see and here i explain all this why putin, why did putin go for this, but putin, well, in principle , again, if you think rationally, then there is nothing to do. well, even if he really took it would have limited himself donbass would have looked different but putin decided to change the regime in kyiv himself, and thereby he exposed himself to the whole world, he showed the whole world that it is not about the pro-russian- speaking population of donbas, but really about the struggle of two civilizations now if we talk about china, it is obvious that for china it was such a test

stone, that is, it will work in russia, it will not work. yes, if it works in russia, china can start an operation on taiwan, so it did not work out in russia, so i think that this indicates that well, and taiwan will also be a little bit it’s easier to breathe and they will be able to build an appropriate security system and enlist the support of their other partners so that this doesn’t happen. well, now you’re showing putin and sizenpining. it’s absolutely clear to me that china knew that putin would attack ukraine. putin told china that he deal with ukraine in a few days , but it didn't work out, it didn't work out, that's why it's a big lesson for china itself, and not right now, the ministry of foreign affairs of china is making a statement that no one is interested in the start of the third world war. i understand that

everyone calculated how much it could cost how much it could cost moreover, what kind of china is enough, what role, what role can china play here, china can really, that is, i would say that the main danger now is that putin is such a maniac that he can really go for the use of nuclear tactical weapons and here the role of china is very important, because china can say to putin no, but if china even does it, it will be good, because i think that china really also understands that it will be a loss for china and for the whole world, because it can launch uncontrolled reactions well, by the way, we talked about transnistria, i will from time to time add some news related to our topic of conversation with mr. oleksiy to our conversation. and who is the director of the kucherev initiative fund and we will talk for almost

half an hour on youtube on facebook like subscribe comment spread that more people knew uh little more comment in well here is the management in quotation marks, of course, the leadership of the unrecognized transnistria will soon make a decision to protect the interests of the republic. we were just talking about the explosion that happened today in transnistria, at the information point there or at the airport. well, the relay tower that provided radio communications was destroyed connection e there, russian radio was broadcast in transnistria , they destroyed, well, what else happened there, in a word, an explosion took place, and now, by the way, at the entrance to the exit from the territory under the control of moldova from transnistria, it formed long -distance car queues, people, i understand, are beginning to understand how this can end and are thinking of leaving there in the near future. this is the statement of the leadership of the unrecognized transnistria. well, i understand that now they will be waiting for nats from moscow, because it is

clear that with the forces they have, it is not the recognized leadership of the unrecognized transnistria despite the fact that our two brigades are there. as far as i understand, it is from the territory of ukraine. by the way, they will not achieve any significant results. how long do you think we can wait and what will it depend on, because here do you already know how they like to talk about mega-hodovochki with putin's people? yes, putin's is added to them every day, more and more components. i think that sooner or later... no russian, yes, no moldovan, yes, that is, it is difficult for me to interrupt with this information to assert yes , we do not know what happened in moldova, did it happen, or could it be uh, hmm, how is it, how should i phrase it more pedally are we or are we the wind from

to bring matches into the territory of ukraine to mean that there was an explosion well, i don't know that, but uh, hmm, once again, in principle, there is a small contingent of russian troops on the territory of transnistria, and uh, if the russians were really successful in the plan uh of their primary goals that they set for the war , that is, they will go to odessa to capture odessa. then it was possible to expect that there would be an attack from the transnistrian side. also, at the moment, it seems to me that it is unlikely. so, what will happen next? well, moldova will not pull this now conflict i think so the conflict with transnistria a-a hm well, but i think that russia just the same, and not even a little bit, uh,

this conflict will not drag on, so it seems to me that most likely they will shout something there about threats and other things, and the situation can take it easy on this well, it seems so to me, although uh, you know, when all these scenarios are launched, all these scenarios begin, they uh, in fact, have different alternative options for development, again , putin was counting on one thing in ukraine, on a lightning victory and on what he will be dictate his will and others, including running a corridor to transnistria to crimea to transnistria, and it turned out differently, it turned out that uh, that russia will lose , so once again in politics, you can predict one thing, but it will turn out to be completely different, especially when they are not

taken into account, but especially when you have distorted information about what is happening, you know, as a sociologist, hmm, you are also, of course, engaged in studying the moods of ukrainians, but it is very interesting in russia. i often watch such programs and bloggers there, pro-russian gulfs, well, our bloggers you don't drive because i of course, i watch some russian bloggers who at least left russia, i won't say that they are good russians, but they at least left russia and position themselves as opponents of putin and opponents of the war, that's why they filmed there, so this means that there means khakassia, all these regions are burning there, where at all let's say at that age, where does e come from, and by the way, there are also 15 percent of people who communicate in russian or are russian at all, there are huge problems with this, national movements are quite strong, and with the fact that in russia itself a lot of problems i lead to the fact that we in ukraine very often do not know what are the real problems of

movements in russia itself, what is happening there, we have only now seen this deep russia here in buch, in irpen near kyiv, there near chernihiv and near kharkiv and so on. and that's why i'm leading 40 statements that said that the empire must expand because if it doesn't expand, it's doomed. was this war and is it now putin's last chance to somehow save russia in the form it is now because we we don't know, it may already fall apart parts may not disintegrate, may simply exist as such an isolated community. perhaps even without nuclear weapons or with nuclear weapons, but without money , it may be broken. this militaristic backbone was broken in germany after 1945. but was this war , in your opinion, because of putin ? well, obviously, not so much, i will try to save this russia in this form, give it a victory, a new territory, new industrial capacities, new opportunities to negotiate with the west, set its conditions, and if he is like that, well, he is like that

already lost, but if he ultimately loses in all directions, what will happen next with this russia, well, look, first of all, i think that one of putin's earliest mistakes was actually in 2014, when putin began aggression against ukraine , because let's remember what happened before that until that time, russia was a member of the g8. so, in principle, even in spite of the aggression in transnistria itself in georgia, it had the status of a member of the g8. by the way, democratic countries are therefore not a member of this structures, and after 2014, russia found itself and began to slide into isolation and now it has stopped in complete isolation, that is, did putin have to do this for the sake of the greatness of russia in 2014. well,

it is absolutely obvious to me that no, it was a losing decision for russia itself, and then did, that is, in his head there was a completely different construction of what will happen next in a-and what will happen in russia, well, look, we talk a lot about this multinational composition, about these autonomous republics, about these problems that are there, that's all that's right, it's all true a-a by the way, it was interesting to analyze the geography of the russians who died in ukraine, well, from the available sources, the majority are in depressed regions. i.e. depressed regions where these same ones come from. we say buryats in the russian army

and they leave because there is no other option but to get a job and earn some money, that is, in fact, definitely all these hinterlands. they have big problems and these problems now will be deepened, but how will all this be transformed in the political future of russia ? well, i would be careful to approach this, yes, because a large part of these uh, hmm ethnic groups, they are russified, they are russified, there are of course centrifugal tendencies. but if we take the same tuva, that there buryaktsia, these are very russified regions of the caucasus - this is a little different from the northern caucasus , because there are very strong muslim sentiments, it can lead to an islamic mood, and they can lead to the growth of the islamic

radicalism, what is it, again, others, which you are very russified, but what, you have unlimited deposits of diamonds, and they get very little from those diamonds, that is, and that is why they have a question. well , actually, why is this happening, that is why the situation for russia and its regions is will get worse , but when it's finished, so to speak, well, we don't know , it's always difficult, it's difficult to predict, there must be some kind of a-ah push that starts to lead to what this house of cards means it starts to collapse i think for russia just like that the impetus was february 24, although we can see that the majority of russians still support putin, so at the moment, but the economic situation in russia

will definitely worsen, and sooner or later it will lead to political changes. the question is when and the question is in which direction. we're talking about that, you're leaving putin, the realization of russia may happen, or it may not happen, it may come to power, which means that some putin-2 will actually come to power, it's also possible, as before ivan the terrible, there was also a tsar, there was ivan iii, and then there was also vasyl will be forgotten by now, he is there on the account, because the yars were afraid, which means i was afraid to inspire in his presence, but the tsar died and ivan the terrible was still small, because i breathed a sigh of relief, they already began to rule there, eh. they are quarreling among themselves, who is more important, who is more important, they felt such a liberalization, so to speak, in the 16th century. hmm, in russia, and then when ivan the terrible was 13 years old, did he execute

one of the boyars in the fourth ? you will the tsar listened to me for 13 years, they realized that the autocrat and the hand of the tsar are returning, that they are all serfs. you know, it is the same in russia, as if you can get rid of one person and somehow breathe a little. called the last russian tsar. well, he was not like that. so we look at the siberian, but in the same way, some other person can come to russia and be worse than putin, that is, the inoculation is to isolate , and let them have whatever they want. they let them gnaw at each other. this is what is important to understand. by the way, i think, yes, i am here , it won't get worse, because putin is just a word, it's not a political word, it's over, yes, er, putin is really alive in which in which in some world of

illusions so actually created eh, that is, i think that it will not be worse, but it is difficult to count on the fact that liberalization will take place there, that is, it is clear that there are some people around putin who are thinking about how to get out of of this situation because they are just thinking about their lives. so, i still have enough for that some kind of calculation that they will have enough of a rivet in their heads in order not to press the nuclear button, by the way, this leads to this movie, don't look up, which was just released on netflix not long before the start of the war, and everyone said that it was such an allusion to ukraine, so what? there they are sitting at the end in this house. i think you watched this movie, they are sitting in the house when the meteorite fell and it was just a matter of time when the shock wave was supposed to reach that house in the states where they lived, where

the main character lived, well and there they are all the main characters if they gathered in this house at the scientist's house and before the shock wave had already demolished the house, they would sit on their hands in my way and say: we had everything, but we had everything well, and then the shock wave sweeps the house i think that this is a hint not even about ukraine, because we will rebuild what we had, we have a future, it is more probably about russia , how everything was in which billionaires had billions of yachts , houses, chalets, chateaus, businesses, everything, planes, mistresses there . well, you had everything in it's all theirs, and they're losing it all. i think i had such a hint in russia just one quote, you spoke about this meeting at the rammstein base in germany. so, when opening this meeting, lloyd austin, the head of the pentagon , said the following words: we are here to help ukraine fight russian aggression. at the meeting, all 40 defense ministers of the countries said the world has gathered in germany, we see lloyd guest and

they will decide and consider the issue of providing aid to ukraine, and we are just moving on to one more question, maybe it will be the last one, so please, of course, yes, about this film, because i once i watched this movie, and then they tell me, did you see the end of this movie? i say, well, i watched it until the end. no, everything that comes after the credits, because you have to rewatch another 10 minutes of these credits. and i finished watching , they flew to another planet. then the credits go, and at the very end, the son of the president or the american one crawls out of this bomb shelter, takes a phone, takes a picture and says, "i'm here, curse me. that's the end of the movie. so those who didn't watch it. and i, and the majority didn't watch it, including me. climb into the very end is already after the credits, yes, that is,

curse me, because actually, when this film came out, then the associations were not so much about russia, because we did not yet know whether it was putin, yes, yes, yes, yes , this is the movie he swears and says i'm here yes that means yes yes this is the assistant of the president of this yes this is her son yes assistant and aysi well done your editors that so fast a-ah not for nothing the channels from the press so yes uh then when this film came out in we had some other analogies. yes, when they say that don't look up, it means everything will be fine nothing will happen. well, i won't decipher it any further. well, let's go on. what's up? we were just talking about the fact that the defense ministers of 40 countries are currently gathered at the rammstein base in germany , the nato base and uh are discussing the issue of how to help

ukraine uh to resist russian aggression in principle to overcome this aggression is the question of providing ukraine with weapons. well, in world war ii, the soviet union was saved in the war with nazi germany, not in principle by its allies in europe, but now it will save ukraine, but er will act against the russian federation and here is the question of a security guarantee for ukraine, can you trust such a format, i understand that some kind of work is being developed. ours are inventing something. from abroad are ready to supposedly be where some countries voice such and such intentions. i don't know how formalized these intentions are now, but this is a way out for ukraine or, well, nato - that's what we can want as much as we want, not from it depends on us who are accepted there. because, as i said , these are 30 countries, there really should be a collegial

decision. and here are the security guarantees turkey, britain, poland, germany, france, please , mr. vasyl. sweden is being accepted into nato so what is the problem with ukraine actually and it seems to me that in any case we should not close the option of joining nato for ourselves yes that is, we can now discuss some other options and security models outside nato, but to close the option of further joining nato well, it seems to me that it would be wrong, well, look at finland, if it was neutral, the swedes were neutral , the situation has changed, they decided yes, we are joining nato, unlike from the same austria where there is this international treaty on the

neutrality treaty a-a-a that is being discussed in istanbul now, what it looks like, it’s hard for me to say, frankly, we didn’t have any information a-a hmm some er-e about the details about it that is we can actually repeat the fact that when these negotiations began and when the origins of the document proposed by the ukrainian side appeared, we can only talk about what we need so that we can discuss a security model outside of nato, but we really need tough tough guarantees and those tough guarantees should obviously include not just supplies weapons and not just international sanctions, they should include something more and an unmanned zone and the possibility, including, to come to the aid of ukraine in accordance with this

guarantee agreement, so there is a question here a big question, and i already said the question is , uh, and from which starting positions we start. and this is to a large extent. by the way, the situation on the battlefield is also determined and to keep an eye on who you are, who and how they conduct negotiations. i have already said that the composition of this delegation well, to put it mildly, like many others, he is not very good, he raises questions and the presence of the wrong guy san sanych chaly, and i don't understand why the head of the delegation should be arkhamia. excuse me, who is arkhamia? what state position does he have, people's deputy of ukraine, correct position opened shares, you know, you can somehow understand there, uh, he participates in the network, he is also a

servant of the people, but he is the head of the committee. it would be possible to understand there if there are deputies in front of the speakers. that there is no archamia the main one yes, but why appoint him as the head of the faction, why put him in charge above the minister of defense who is a member of the delegation above the deputy minister of foreign affairs why? well , i have an answer that it is necessary again. someone thinks about the future, uh, future ratings, that's why well, since we've already talked about it, we can probably mention the situation with the channels from the press , so again, have we heard any answers from the management, no, we didn't hear, we only heard that, well, this someone there, some clerks from this e-er rrt concern, it means that he made a wrong decision, that

it will take a long time to correct it, this decision is not a-a p vasyl , if we have already talked with you about the world, let's maybe remember a little about e-e macron, about the results of the elections in our country there are literally 5 minutes left let me give you this time, yes, please, it is enough, yes, because macron won, in principle, this is an expected victory, although we kept our fingers crossed, we know that in the elections, when the elections take place, you cannot be sure of anything. yes, they predicted that there would be no brexit, that trump would not win. and trump sent 3 million less than clinton's dealers, but he won the features of the american system. we can evaluate the electorate by how much was recruited in the first round in the first round - it is 23%. this is the first moment the second moment in june there will

be parliamentary elections and it is obvious that both the national front and the leftists led by melenchon are counting on something, but with the electoral system in france it is not a flag but a majoritarian widow round and this leads to the fact that the far right and the far left they do not get into the second round. and if they get into the second round, then all the others unite against them. for example, the national front on in the last parliamentary elections, he won about 14% of the votes out of 600 members of the parliament, the national front has 20 minutes of time there in russia just to count yes and three tenths - 0.3%, i counted correctly yes 10% - it will be 60 yes no no sorry 3% 3% lied and 3% of the votes, so they

got 14%. received 3%, 3% of seats ago and the one who won is the presidential party, since the elections take place immediately after the presidential elections , the presidential party definitely has an advantage here , so yes, this is a threat. a lot, but i think that the results will be generally positive for the democratic forces of ukraine, the kyiv-mohyla academy was with us. thank you very much , alexey, vasyl's outlook is winter. i myself am from irpen, and when the war started, it was on february 24. i went outside and already in the sky above the guest house there were russian ground-

flying planes and there was a battle. will become the epicenter of world events together with my family i left the town of irpinets, a suburb of kyiv, on the fourth day of the war, on february 27, when the advanced units of the russian invaders were already entering the city, machine-gun fire could be heard. i am a displaced person, i am a refugee, my city was completely destroyed by the russian occupiers, i truly survived by a miracle and i am definitely glad about it. together with antin burkovsky, i have been in this studio for two hours every week since autumn. we tried to devote the airwaves to the topic of war . when western intelligence began to tell us about the detailed city, but i had hope that i would return

at least one of my previous lives, this is my favorite job, she was lucky, my family is now safe and i continued to work where i i am needed on the espresso tv channel, but unfortunately on april 4 this year, the state concert of the rtd disconnected the espresso tv channel from the t2 digital broadcast, now i came to lviv in order to continue working as the host of the espresso tv channel, but you destroyed my current dream, one small one , not even to return home, but at least to have the normality of working, first the russian authorities took away my house and the opportunity to live in my hometown, now the ukrainian authorities are trying to take away from me the opportunity to work in the profession of informing ukrainian viewers, we refute the russian fakes, we

explain to people where the truth is and where the lies are, we record the crimes of the russian occupiers so that the karabakh does not pass them by, we must stand up because we we are fighting for the country of our children, we simply do not have these options, we will stand for so long , we must return our broadcasting to the ukrainians, please, i am sure that they need us presidents zelenskyi, return expresso to the air let's protect the information front together glory to ukraine glory to ukraine this is a verdict program my name is serhiy rudenko good day and good health to all