in order for them to practically take it upon themselves somewhere well, i don't know well, of course it's good to play, he went to attack with a gun, maybe for now he still has one good book, let's add that there is information about the personal arrival of the chief of the general staff of the armed forces of the russian federation, general valery gerasimov , to the raisin for commanding the troops in donbas, ukrainian journalists from their sources reported about it, and the ukrainian publication defense express, which cooperates with the ukrainian military-industrial complex and the military, wrote about it experts, however, oleksiy really has video materials, uh, we welcome you with a raisin or his uh, his own confirmation that he is there at the moment, we will wait for more information on this topic, but nevertheless it is very interesting. well, how do you watch e-

nato secretary general and jens stoltenberg, who, i will remind you , announced the other day that the alliance will continue to support ukraine in confronting the russian aggressor. and the war in ukraine can drag on for many months and even years. after the united states of america adopted a law on lend-lease for ukraine, which, according to many experts and our ministry of defense, will be a turning point in this war, it will probably significantly shorten it and the terms of the period until our victory. what is your feeling here, your vision, i will not began to understand the words and this anatoliy product is a declaration of readiness to support ukraine too much if this conflict will drag on longer, well , in my opinion, it is possible to a large extent because i am in

ukraine because it is about our war, i am very bad forecasts when they say what those forecasts are when they talk about years and the conflict may continue eh in this case i am ready to take on a big rice there they wrote the risk of putting my reputation as an expert where it is valuable so the hot phase of the war must end for three weeks to a few months ago, there were predictions at the beginning of the war about the fact that perhaps our viewers remember the fact that during the custody of kyiv, the ukrainian government will take five days er, the vaccine is not forced to work to last er, i will be very attracted to the zelenska war. so, in principle , these were, let’s say, how many forecasts, how many estimates

, and we also saw that these were not just estimates, they were under december for the policy of this auxiliary ukraine, heavy weapons were not supplied, which in the event of the implementation of such a scenario the hands of the invaders in ukraine supplied the sacred blood that could be transferred to the same lines or propositional duties, i.e. now we can, on the one hand, perceive laginsek as a forecast because about the assessment or declarations of readiness to provide a long support, and on the other hand, i, for example, practical steps in the supply of heavy weapons, this is already another quality of the policy of foreign evaluation, which is considered the basis of this policy in the west, makes my point of view, it is nato, including that this war is not a long hand , that is, heavy weapons that are inserted into ukraine must provide less production, but they convinced victory in the shortest possible time. thank you, mr. oleksiy, i would like to

believe, it was very interesting to talk with you oleksiy melnyk, co-director of foreign policy and international security programs of the rumzkova center was in touch with us via skype right now we have the next guest of our broadcast with whom we will talk about the threat from transnistria oleksiy tolbure director of the institute of oral history of moldova and the extraordinary representative of moldova to the un and the council of europe congratulations mr. oleksiy good day good day what let's try to discuss the latest news from moldova, what is happening and how do you see these events, which today have become the object of attention of the whole world and led to the fact that a significant number of world embassies announced that

ask their citizens to leave the territory of transnistria as soon as possible. how do you look at the situation in transnistria and what to expect from the events of the next few days? how can putin use the map of transnistria in this war ? transnistria has been the site of provocations in recent days. they talked about it, the building of the local ministry of security was shelled, the radio antennas were broken, uh -huh, gunfire is heard in the area of ​​the village of kolbasniki, there are large warehouses of russian weapons that have not been removed from there since soviet times, uh- huh, we are looking at these

provocations and we talked about it as a demand from the pro-kremlin forces transnistria where to stabilize the situation create an impression eh that from transnistria transnistria can be a real attack on odessa attack from the west on odessa why is this necessary to force ukraine to hold on to it in the direction of capable units that can withstand this attack, in fact, the contingent that is located in the russian troops that is located in the territory of transnistria is about one and a half thousand people there are even more than 10 человек so-called transnistrian army where are all these soldiers, they are not very combat-ready

, because in general they were mainly engaged in guard duty. eh, and they were preparing very much, the quorum is in such a relaxed state, that's why it's a real provocation, as they say, as all the experts say, and eh, the goal is to provoke a shot, eh, to create the impression that there can be an attack, eh russia cannot strengthen the contingent of its troops transnistria landing there because the landing party cannot get there in general, planes and helicopters

that can er transport paramedics or can er land at tiraspol airport, they will be shot down by the armed forces of ukraine er on land as i already said, judging by the way things are going with the russian troops in the donbass, the drought will have even less chance to break through the southern corridor to reach transnistria, so that's why we take the threat seriously, but we don't see it yet the immediate military threat from transnistria, however, this is how the diplomats of various countries have correctly noticed that their citizens are calling on their citizens to leave transnistria, and the transnistrians themselves are en masse crossing over to the right bank of the dniester to right-bank moldova and standing in a long line to obtain moldovan

citizenship. from the side of the russian federation fired rockets eh physical it is possible even from eh waters of the caspian sea a bridge in zatok was fired upon - it immediately immediately close to the borders of the republic of moldova - this is close to transnistria, so the people of sin are further elected across the dniester to the right side of moldova . violates probably he himself did not understand what he said because transnistria has been controlled by the russian federation for 30 years and they themselves probably violate the rights of russian-speaking people there well, in general, yes

how they violate the rights of their own citizens throughout the territory of the russian federation, because the other day we also heard such thoughts that russia can and is ready to use the territory of transnistria as a springboard for aggression not only against ukraine, but also for possible aggressive actions against the republic moldova may sound a bit fantastic now, but we see a report that on may 9 putin may announce a general mobilization, and this was reported by the daily mail this week with reference to the ministry of defense of great britain how do you feel about it here, are there any risks for moldova what to prepare for if the russian army by some kind of miracle as you yourself say to take to transnistria

to onystra then the crossing of the river and the capture of moldova, which are much smaller in territory than ukraine and the moldavian army is not the same as the ukrainian one our army is very capable, it is formed according to the principle of conscripting young people of conscription age, these are practically 18-year-old children who serve for one hour. it means that the army is capable, and if we resist, then probably by force a police unit of the people's militia of men aged 35 who has some kind of military combat role, but we take you seriously as a threat and understand that these risks exist because putin more than once in his speeches called the destruction of the soviet union a geopolitical catastrophe and in all likelihood

it should be understood that the restoration of the soviet union is one of the most daring things. political interests of new geopolitical interests of the imperial er-er way of the russian regime, well, i repeat er-er, and this is not only acceptable to all half-brothers to the empire in europe er-er, we are protected now er-er by the armed forces of ukraine well, this is desperate resistance, a heroic struggle , which ukraine leads its armed forces, this is the guarantee and reserve of the ira, not only for ukraine

itself, but also for the entire continent. it is necessary to speak to epirus because the other day, the foreign minister made a remarkable speech. lisa betos, of the russian federation, said that this is not our war , only ukraine is our war , meaning the whole of europe, so we see how active it is to provide weapons to ukraine, what kind of political support it has, and we hope that moldovans we will have to test the capabilities of your armed forces and the war will not go abroad, the technicians on whom it is now happening, we hope that i

think that the russian army is destined for the quality of the fighting isthmus that it leads will hardly reach, if at all, the western administrative border of the ukrainian and donetsk regions, and speaking of further offensives on the western field, no, well , oleksiy, i am carefully asking you. i know that you are dealing with this issue and have been paying attention to it for a long time. naturally, because you are a pro -european politician and a european diplomat. how do you look at the question of how moldova should solve the problem of if the territory of transnistria was actually completed, the early troops

had left in the direction of otessa and would have been defeated in the course of two or three hours by the armed forces of ukraine, because these troops, well, disabled troops, i will honestly say that they are incapable of serious combat operations. российской федерация lost all its armed forces, transnistria in general, and there would be nothing left . somehow, it would have gone to the republic of moldova very quickly, and here we would probably resorted to cooperation with ukraine. i think that in any case, together with ukraine, we will solve this problem in ukraine, and everything is fine for

its solution. to the east they use moldavian seals and export documents, certificates and so on, that is, devices in some sense integrated in the west, therefore, with any layout, the transnistrian road is not the termed integration of the republic of moldova is another matter that moldova constantly declares and repeats. the other day, sitting here, he once again emphasized that we are not ready to solve this issue militarily today, so we are not in a position to solve this issue militarily, and we insist that it needs to be resolved by conflict . they will end up through the negotiation of political parties, but eh, eh, you need to understand that he will be resolved politically, but in the context of the events taking place in ukraine, a lot depends on it, not a lot. everything practically depends on

the outcome of the war in ukraine is not only about transnistria, it is also about luhansk and donetsk southern network and abkhazia and other separatist conflicts of this kind that were emptied by the imperial policy of russia and the regimes that rule in these separatist enclaves, they enjoyed the full support of the russian federation support will disappear now russia will not be able to support this regime and naturally these territories will be returned to eh in eh will be integrated into the country from where they asked go thank you for this interesting conversation oleksiy tolbure , director of the institute of oral history of moldova and the former permanent representative of moldova at the un and the council of europe was in touch with us, we wish moldova

to regain its territorial integrity as soon as possible, we see that the war that russia unleashed against ukraine can end for her and will definitely end in defeat for her on all fronts. and actually, we can see how those puppet republics are working now, why were they needed by putin and the russian empire not only as a factor of influence on the internal politics of many e-e countries in which e some faced this problem with this contagion. i would say ay as such a center from which attacks can be launched in the event that the empire decides to expand, this is exactly what is happening now and we see it as it is today, minister of foreign affairs of russia lavrov threatens moldova, saying that they are trying to drag it into nato, and we actually remember how

they said this before the war about ukraine, so the russian threat is what not only ukraine is facing now, but also what they should and should feel all our neighbors feel it, and the poles and the baltic countries feel it in moldova too, and they should feel it more acutely in georgia and join our struggle more actively, at least we expect it, so contact us right now viktor chumak , deputy prosecutor general of ukraine in 2019 congratulations mr. viktor good day good day nice to see you and let's start with the analysis of the latest news, we see that new, new and new factors of destabilization are being observed inside russia itself and we can see that these days

how a fire broke out at a power plant on sakhalin, this is the news of the day in the far east, there was a fire at a power plant on sakhalin , the russian media reported on it, the fire broke out a few minutes ago, and the fire spread from the turbine compartment to the roof, the technological process was stopped, so far there are no data on the victims. the sakhalin energy company said that it was not a sabotage or an attack, but simply that a turbine generator had shut down, and earlier a day ago in the russian city of kurgan, it happened at a production site pharmaceutical plant before that we saw and saw how an oil depot caught fire in bryansk in the belgorod region near the border with ukraine , a warehouse with ammunition caught fire and so on and so on and we also saw how something

exploded there in russian voronezh yes, yes, let's try, viktor, to figure out what what is happening with these explosions and fires in russia at strategic objects in particular, and why is putin resorting to such actions inside his own state, what is he trying to lead his own population to, uh, well , before we talk to you now in substance i would like to know what to do. i would like to congratulate all the border guards on the day of the border guard. these are the people who are the first to meet the war and with the first to meet the war in the 14th year and this uh and the 22nd year ago, i just want to wish them you all know that they should take care of themselves and everyone stay alive and healthy and these my brothers border guards . we join in these greetings of all the ukrainian

border guards and you personally, viktor, we congratulate you on this holiday, thank you. now let's go back to what we started, what you started. see what the situation is in my opinion now. accidents well, we can discuss that some accidents - these are really accidents there is such a nature that occurs due to the fact that today russia loses the opportunity to receive new spare parts for enough technological enterprises when you talk about the accident of progress, it simply shut down there and starts something is burning there, then this indicates that. i just don't want viktor chumak to hang up, that's why i'm silent and waiting for the connection to be connected somehow magically, although, of course, sometimes we can't influence the equipment and it sometimes fails eh. now we will restore the connection the connection with viktor chumak is a connection. i simply

influenced the system with my magical magical desire for viktor chumak to speak further, viktor. continue, er, look at the situation here, as we know today that russia does not receive er currently technological spare parts for, well, let's say, enterprises that use electronic chips and others, which participate in the management of large productions, including this production, which are related to the energy production, which are related precisely to automated control systems and the like of course that they can lead to such failures, well, what is it that leads to failures , so far our our skype connection let's try again, viktor, i can already hear you again and no, no , no, but fine, and let's then while we restore

contact, i will tell you the latest news, we see that in the european union, sanctions against russia's nuclear sector are being discussed. this proposal is supported in germany, and the police publication writes about it. when we will talk about it in less than half an hour, we will talk about it in less than half an hour with e-expert olena snir, associate expert of the center of global studies and a candidate of political sciences , we are now contacting viktor chumak, we have re-established contact and ask you to continue p viktor, i'm sorry , please, here, trading is done only by phone, i got disconnected, so i would like to say that this is one part of the answer, and the second part of the answer, what are you , well, the accidents that happen, the accidents that happen, i would say so in quotes that happen closer to our borders, i do not exclude here the hand of god , which leads our special forces of special operations that take i would like to take part in this, because in the grand scheme of things, i believe that

russia should feel the war in the same way as our population feels, if our e-e specialists take part there, that is very good, we do not bomb the civilian population there, but strategic objects objects it airfields are, in principle, oil bases, and if you don't play and burn, including burning with our help, with the help of our troops, i think it's absolutely normal and absolutely logical , that's how it should be, it can't be any other way , so let's break up one part there, i think that ours have not reached yet and our drones and our sexual ones have reached sakhalin. although i do not rule it out, but on the other hand, here are the ones that are here from the border. i think that there are in principle and most likely and our work of our normal military well, to what extent do you think that putin himself leads his own

population to a heightened sense of danger inside the country and can use this as an excuse to announce the mobilization of the population for the purpose of a decisive strike on ukraine writes about this publication from ideas e-mail and says that such a decision can be adopted and announced by putin on may 9 at this victory parade in moscow, he does not need to let anyone down, you understand, the situation here is such that when he supports the war with ukraine there are more than 70 percent of the citizens, so for him this is enough to announce a mobilization, but there is another question. when you announce a mobilization, it is one thing to support it, and another thing when a mobilization is announced, and you, who sat on the sofa, have not visited any nuts or seeds half and watched the war in ukraine on tv, you get a summons and you have to leave, this is already a completely different situation for russians , and here is the situation, i think that it is not for

him, not in the best way, he can return to that what is the fear of the very mobilization from the tractor before the war is a completely different question than the fact that you support this war as you like it as it does not apply, it is very interesting and interesting how russian society reacts, by the way, we will talk about this with sociologists later we will have one and a half children, oleksiy antipovich, the head of the sociological group, his rating, and we will ask how much you can trust levada's ratings, which are formed under the influence of criminal cases against any dissent in russia, well, levada yes, i don't know how much you can trust levada there , probably a little more than in general, because they only have levada, and in general, the director conducts such sociological research. i know personally and in principle, er. when i talked to him, he immediately said that we are in in principle, we do what the government orders and i didn’t even think about anything else, that

’s why the situation is such that putin himself does not need any, let’s say, special devices for mobilization, yes, devialization devices can be there and that’s why there are nationalists in ukraine again they are terrorizing donbas, they are terrorizing ours too, they can attack us and so on. that is, all the pretexts have already been created, the problem is that he can announce mobilization because of the military defeat, and the military defeat is already slowly coming because the military defeat - it's not just there, i don't know, they broke up and ran back to russia. a military defeat is the failure to fulfill the tasks set before the military machine that entered the territory of ukraine and this machine does not fulfill its tasks at all. uh, they didn't do anything with kiev, they lost the battle for kiev, they didn't do anything with northern ukraine, they can't do anything with the east now. so,

although there is a large enough mass of people and equipment there, you and i absolutely understand that the pace of advancement that today is in russia, they absolutely do not allow it to talk about what you don't want to achieve there, pay for the boiler there, seize the grouping of ukrainian troops in the east, develop it, beat it, then go to kyiv again, it will not be possible and all the more so after we saw the creation of a military-political coalition of anti-putin military-political coalition of 40 countries, even more so when we saw that we have a law on the good news of the american e-e in and we will receive the weapons we need in those i am in those numbers, too, which we will need , but we also have enough people, yes. of course, putin and all the cliques there do not enter because,

in principle, it is now clear that this war will not end well for them. was it has been clear to us for a long time, and it is becoming clear to them. today, if you look at how they are changing, the tones of all their speeches are changing, the narratives of all their speeches are changing. now they are already talking about a tactical nuclear strike or the third world war or a war with nato and so on, that is, in principle, it is clear that they are in a dead end in a big way and there is an easy way out of the corner, here is the story about a nuclear strike, well, it is not agony . on the mode of fear of inducing fear they always worked for the intimidated regime they always promoted their ratives precisely because europe was afraid and practically because