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tv   [untitled]    May 7, 2022 3:00am-3:31am EEST

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-ah single news together we are strong support the ukrainian army with money scan the code we united for the sake of truth i welcome you in kyiv 11th morning on the clock 03:00 at night every minute single news the only news of the information front continues, the city of irpin, kharkiv, brovaryv, the zhytomyr highway from
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lviv, you are a microdistrict, and we risk an air gunshots alarm half an hour ago, russian the occupiers hit the kyiv tv tower with rockets, we care when you go on the air, you understand there are many people there, and everyone really needs to hear it, we unite one hundred percent, the unification at the un was thanks to ukrainian journalists, ukrainians are winning, we are cool, we are one day closer to victory, the marathon is united news united news united news together we are strong united news see next always with you congratulations friends on the air 1+1 nationwide telethon continues on the air night watch and i want to start our broadcast, friends, with this
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news, the russian bmw plant in kaliningrad allocates 10 hectares of land for gardens to employees in connection with the closure of the enterprise. thus, the management of the plant is willing to somehow support people and give them the opportunity to feed themselves. well, the sanctions are working, so we have been saying for two months that the sanctions are working, but if they are lifted statistics, the largest number of sanctions in the world have been introduced against russia, to be exact. today, 10,000,128 financial restrictions have been introduced against russia, if before the full-scale invasion, there were about two thousands, so today the number of sanctions imposed against russia exceeds iran, syria , north korea, in what way, yes, and i promised the sixth package, these shutdowns of swift by the oil bar , we still need to look at the sub-clauses in those clauses. but we will talk about it later, friends.
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i am personally concerned about what is happening in ukraine today, we have a shortage of fuel, queues at gas stations, many people have lost their jobs, what to do with them, what to do, i am interested in this for all of us, and it seems that we need to raise this issue on our air it's interesting to talk about russia, but it's much more interesting to us how to live. it's not that there are four bodies of power there . there is nothing to fill the tanks with, nothing to pay the military, nothing to give compensation, this is already possible, we are already sinking deep, let's look at the economy. let's talk today. and about collective security, whether we should join nato or not. ok, and about old soviet weapons, what could they have done with them? if it had already been found out that part of the shelling that russia is carrying out in ukraine
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today, these are the weapons that we gave them in the 90s for gas debts, this also applies to missiles and strategic bombers that's why i think that there is something to discuss here. well, let's start with the sanctions, where did we start, and i know that i have the feeling that, well, the sanctions are in the world of water, but the ways that russia finds in order to bypass it are formed by it in fact, it's kind of like that well, the stages of economic revival of the soviet union are beginning, if you look at the map of what russia is doing, and this is confirmed by the research of our intelligence, that russia is using armenia , azerbaijan, kazakhstan, and goods in order to register enterprises on the territory of these countries , to carry out strategic purchases and certain weapons and certain equipment through these countries and then supplies it to its territory, and for example, in the
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relations between russia and the armenians, to date, 113 companies have re-registered with the armenians and 85,000 russians serve this industry and others have already moved to the territory of armenia, that is, in fact, it seems to me that this is, well, you can say that sanctions help in this, but in fact, putin uses these sanctions to the world in order to a-a involve the countries that are part of the so-called odcb yes b theirs is such an unsuccessful copy of nato that what they are trying to do then he creates such a new economic space around himself. that is, you are in the warsaw pact, in essence, he is created by holding these countries in one place, he forces them to work eh and to work in this sanctions program and let's ask this question. we will start our conversation with our speaker mr. tymofiy the beloved with us, president of the
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kyiv school of economics, minister of economic development in 19-20, adviser to the head of the office of the president of ukraine. good evening, mr. tymofiy, please tell me, have you heard yes, this is my thesis that in search of an opportunity to circumvent sanctions, it creates a new economic space around itself. do you agree with this? psovereignty is when a country has the right to internal policy, but does not have the right to control its armed forces, foreign policy, and does not have the right to control its own internal law enforcement apparatus, and it imposes such a policy on the countries around it, and because of this, it controls belarus, for example, in the external the politics of belarus has long been independent of belarus, the external and internal policy of suppressing protests is not decided by
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lukashenko, it is the same whether to engage in war or er provide airports or provide, for example, some there military units in order to attack ukraine, they don’t decide it themselves either , russia decides it and it has been creating it for the past 20 years and is actually quietly building the soviet union, you know here if we’re going to talk about the impact of sanctions at all, it’s undeniable that sanctions have an economic effect on the russian state, but if you look at the situation in this way, it is as simple as possible. let's be honest . how can you make the economic life of a person worse ? it will be interesting for you to comment on the study robert pipe, he conducted a study on why sanctions do not work, he studied 115 cases of the use of sanctions in the world and you claim that only five of them were effective
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, for example, under pressure from great britain, the ussr in 1933 released the suspects of espionage canada agreed not to move the embassy to tel aviv and so on, that is, not global processes, but the main conclusion of the report is that of the 115 cases of sanctions in the world until the 1990s that you analyzed, only five were successful, so the rest as such especially those regimes were not affected. why do you think that in russia we are seeing what experts say is that the situation is getting worse, and people, you know, like in that saying, we have at least stones from the sky, so what do you see as this phenomenon? you are right in one respect on the other hand, we know that the economy is suffering from sanctions, but we see that people get into tanks and go to die for 600 dollars, which means they will be for 400
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. because they are willing to kill others people because they are afraid of not carrying out the order, and here sanctions cannot affect this, but what can sanctions affect, that is, how effectively russia can rebuild its tanks, launch new missiles, repair military equipment. that is, we need sanctions in order to do it is impossible to finance new weapons or repairs, and the fact is that people will leave and they will throw them like cannon fodder. well, there is nothing new here, well, look. yes, you very aptly said that the most important thing for us is that they cannot restore their military equipment and because of the sanction and here is a message from the main intelligence agency of ukraine that the leading russian manufacturer of anti-aircraft defense equipment, the ulyanovsk mechanical plant, is engaging kazakhstan to receive german-made components for
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the buk i e-e zrk tunguska missile systems and supplies these products under the conditions of increased sanctions uh, no problem, that is, what to do with it, we understand that well , we really wanted the sanctions to be effective, the world would really like it, but these cracks they started appear on the first day after the introduction of sanctions, and russia will look for them, that's what needs to be done in order to make it impossible for you. these are the schemes that kazakhstan, georgia and armenia have actually voiced now - this is from what i know specifically from personal conversations or well, according to analysts or with intelligence officers or according to certain supplies that we see are used to circumvent sanctions and sanctions are such a constant struggle, such a race is also a war, this is an economic war, where sanctions are imposed, russia is looking for a way to bypass them additional sanctions are introduced to close the
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possibilities of circumvention, it is the same as every day at the front, there is a struggle here, there is an attack, here is a counterattack , here is a defense, this is a type of war, the one who plays, the one who conducts these combat economic actions is better, then he wins. so today we have there are very powerful groups in ukraine that don't care about how sanctions are circumvented by russia with the help of intelligence with the help of people who, well, actually contribute to the ukrainian victory with russia, there are also many people who exist and sabotage them, the military-industrial complex and they provide ukraine with specific information on how they manage these people pass information to the intelligence agency, the intelligence agency gives it to the analysts, the analysts develop new sanctions by the ministry of foreign affairs, immediately informs other countries through the embassy, ​​and to specific companies or er, to specific organizations, diplomatic means are applied or additional legislative measures are taken, it is not
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always works perfectly but such work goes on and it is conducted daily, but in the sanctions war now who wins in your opinion why is it because they really have a breakthrough with restoration well, we see it, there is even in official sources that their factories are stopped. they are really trying to fix and repair their equipment through factories through suppliers that are not in russia, but also i would like to say that the same kazakhstan. by the way, sometimes it helps and it is also not very publicly known to us and they do not want to know that russia well, they do not want to do it so that russia knows about it, that is, for example, i know about specific deliveries where the suppliers were cossacks, especially at the beginning of the war, and they were very worried that god, russia will see from the documents that something went to ukraine, so there is also a
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struggle for each specific country and for each specific organization. i know in the middle east there are officers, there are military officers, there are, well, there are ministers who can officially hold one position but in fact they are working with ukraine for victory, but they are very afraid that russia will find out about this and they will have problems , including even physical ones, that is why the struggle continues, and russia is becoming more difficult, it is becoming more isolated, and we see that it has, well, supplies is hmm it stops and the factories stop. i want to remind you a little about the nature of the sanctions. do you remember that they were introduced 8 years ago? in fact, on march 6, 2014, the first sanctions began and sanctions were introduced against the 21st politician . it resembles a kind of ice rink , that is, it accelerates for a very long time, but when
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it accelerates, it is very, very difficult to stop it and it crushes everything it can actually, but then in 2000, in 2014, sanctions were introduced against the e plant, actually the ural car plant, which already very famous which manufactures tanks and so on. i wonder if the sanctions against the ural wagon manufacturer were just now, then they could calmly produce their tanks perfectly. well, almost non-stop, well, that is, they have been without technology for 8 years now, we mention the story about france to germany almost every broadcast, yes yes that the viewers of the night watch will soon remember my words by heart that germany and france under the embargo supplied high-precision equipment to russia with which they modernized their equipment, but imagine what would have happened if there was no sanction for them we didn't have to go around as it would have been for us then, but friends, here i want to add to the stasi that the sanctions, the
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circumvention of the sanctions does not only apply to military enterprises there. for example, now in turkey , three airlines have been specially registered in order to bypass the sanctions and take russian tourists to turkey and even on holidays, they fly to relax and even president zelenskyi on this occasion said that well, you can’t do it like that, yes, either you are helping us or helping russia, but this should be quoted european truth made an investigation about the fact that with the assistance of the turkish government and a turkish company created these three airlines, they have three large e-e operators of tourist pegasus tours, anex tour and e corel travel, and under each of these tourist operators in turkey they registered an airline that certain planes will be allocated, these planes will serve russian tourists and even turkey yes even turkey
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has allocated 300 million dollars of money turkish authorities for the development of these three airlines and here i i also want to show our viewers the statistics of what tourism is for turkey, and tourism from russians is 24 and a half billion dollars, this is toure’s income from tourism in 2021, er, of this money, 20% of the main tourist flow is russians for the past year 4, 6 million tourists and tourists from russia took about 5 billion dollars to turkey, i.e. when they say, what do i mean? governments from governments that in russia 70% of the population do not have foreign passports, oh, but we all remember those
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tourists in turkey, egypt, when they rested in a hotel about circumventing sanctions, yes. that is , your example suggests that this is not what russia took and decided to bypass the sanction in this, something helped them. here and fresh, let's remember the loud news, as the headline news that from now on the ports of all european union states stopped servicing russian ships, they wrote about this when the fifth package of sanctions was introduced, but in the fifth package of sanctions of the european union, if read in this document, there is a clarification that it does not apply to ships if they transport oil products and other minerals by car, that is, formally we have prohibited the entry of seven portal short- ships into europe, but this does not apply to those who brings oil products and raw materials and what about raw materials in russia and now we look at the dry statistics according to the visualization of ukrainian forbes , for 2.5 months of the full-scale invasion of the war, the european union paid putin 52 billion euros for energy carriers
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what is 52 billion euros if last year the sum of russia's military expenditures amounted to 65 billion dollars, that is, the european union actually paid putin in 2.5 months the cost that he spends on military equipment in a year, and here, mr. timofiyu, it would be appropriate to ask you a question: what is the plan for strengthening sanctions ? was presented by your expert group , in fact, we can talk for a long time about the extent to which europe will hesitate to think about giving up oil or not giving up, there is a very interesting point, i would like you to elaborate on it about the fact that there is a proposal from ukraine to create a special account where russia will be paid for oil and then this money will be available for russia after the end of the conflict. and russia is such a signal, and
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many economists advocate it, including in this group. i think that, unfortunately or perhaps fortunately , it will not be implemented. why, because russia can use it later to discredit itself sanctions, she will say, look, you are collecting money now, you are just saving taxpayers' money, they are not going anywhere, then they will go to ukraine and in this way destroy europe and europe with us, because i already know a little about the insights, in fact, how this will be the introduction of sanctions and there will be another mechanism , most likely it is not final yet, but most likely it will be quite a tough barg, it’s just that direct, you can’t buy anything in oil, but as you correctly just said, you have to read the small print yes what exceptions are there? and when this embargo is introduced, it will not be introduced immediately, but somewhere at the end of the year, we will see. i hope, well, at least in november. and how realistic do you think this
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scenario is that russia does not buy, well , russian oil raw materials, when is this moment the main thing may come and will it come? i think it is realistic, of course russia will try to circumvent this by selling to third countries, but we are already seeing again, based on these developments, it may not be public what is already now russia has certain problems with exporting a to 30% alloy export of oil from russia still without sanctions , that is, companies do not want to buy and are looking for a replacement for russian oil, and this embargo will increase, but it is not final, we still need to push the gas , so i wanted to tell you a little about the figure . look, if last year russia exported 230 oil for 230 billion dollars, that is, a quarter of a trillion - this is a huge figure, then already now this is what mr. tymofiy is saying, the figures for e-e
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oil exports have decreased by 30%, and russia itself, in order to circumvent these problems of its own, is starting to offer discounts that is, now it actually offers oil in the eu for a third cheaper than it is sold in the world. well , that is, oil of the brand brand is sold at $ 108 per barrel, and russia is ready to sell it for $ 70-80. that is, these are crazy discounts and india is ready to buy now at these prices. actually discounts and i even want to increase it so that it is even cheaper. let’s mention putin. i would not like to do this before the arctic. yes, and the division so that the shelves are a real blow to putin and he wants to consider the possibility of imposing sanctions against alina kabaeva - she is his mistress for putin on even in the european union to mention this name. we don't want to get dirty
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and talk about it if alina kabaeva was not the head of all propagandists in russia, she is in charge of all of them, she is the head of a national media group that owns shares in almost of all major media outlets, and by the way, the americans, as we know, changed their mind at the last moment to introduce sanctions against her , mr. tymofiy is a bit surprised by this, and they say that the americans have won over to introduce sanctions against her, what stopped them, do you think ? they are afraid that putin will launch a missile or start a war, what is this? that is why they are so afraid and did not want to introduce sanctions against her, we are not talking about the fact that she is a lover and the mother of his children, and they did not want to get into the personal, but about the fact that she is also an influential person in russia. i think that the dressed is also constantly
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increasing, but it is beneficial for us as ukraine to press for this escalation to be as fast as possible and it was now, well, we need to constantly talk about it, and we must prove it through public channels and diplomatically to the people, the information that there are people who, uh, conduct all the propaganda and they are not authorized at all , it is desirable to authorize all the officials who are at the level of the head of the department or uh, i don’t even know the platoon commander, and preferably yes even if this platoon is located somewhere in kaliningrad and is a policeman and does not fight so that everyone who works with the russian state machine knows that they will have problems all over the world whenever we remember the beginning of a full-scale invasion, then country after country massively seized the assets of russian oligarchs of russia, the state and then everything was
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at the level of such impossible headlines, you know, that all this can be confiscated and handed over to ukraine , today country after country they are starting to talk about it in full seriousness . you could explain this because today there are no mechanisms at all how to do it, in fact, there is no as you see how it can work you are right and we remember how it was during the time of yanukovych and revolution of dignity when many assets were seized and then many of them were returned or cases were stuck in the courts well forever for years and some of them last quite a long time so if it is done legally within the framework of existing laws today it will be necessary to prove something for many years and it will be very difficult therefore it should be a political decision that is supported by legislation that the assets of such specific people or
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such specific enterprises are confiscated and transferred politically - it is relatively easy to do because the logic here is that ukraine will have to help under any conditions it is better to do it not with the money of taxpayers, but with the assets of russian companies and people, and now how much will they be able to pass these and such laws through their parliaments. it depends on the fact that russia will try to defeat it inside the parliament, introduce about grant work, lobbying , explain something, use these e -e useful idiots, so that such laws are not adopted , there will also be many of our diplomats here. and for timofey , please tell us that on the last broadcast, andriy deshitsa was the ambassador of ukraine to poland, and we are with him discussed the issue of the fact that in fact it is already quite difficult for the polish economy to withstand the presence of four million ukrainians on their territory, this is a crazy expenditure for their budget, and
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the problem is that there is money for the poles, that is, in the context of the sanctions, the last questions for you are how long will the world endure this unprecedented sanctions against russia because everyone understands the country 140 million is a huge sales market - this is huge money this is an opportunity to earn in conditions when the world has a corona crisis when the world is in an economic downturn when when when when when there are a huge number of problems and here everyone says that and let's give up on this. the first weeks - it was really a shock of the great war, but we know that and today we have already discussed this too, that europeans and americans are pragmatic people yes, they are anyway think about earnings, how much will the world endure at this rate in this sanctions war? well, in reality, they are not as big as they pretend, the level of gdp is approximately
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the level of italy, yes, it is the european union, that is, the european union is much more powerful economically than the whole russia's economy does indeed supply energy carriers , and here they are used as a strategic economic weapon. how long this can last depends on whether the european economy is restructured and as soon as it is restructured, it will abandon russian oil and gas and find a replacement, either technologically, or reduce consumption, or other suppliers. it will be difficult to go back, so we have a really crisis period between when these sanctions are adopted and when they are implemented if the sanctions last until, for example, february next year, the economy of the european union itself will adapt so that russia will not be part of it , and after that, the companies themselves will not want to change because new lawns
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will be built, the connectors will be changed, the pressure will be new companies will enter it, it is already fixed, you know, it is cemented . months of political e-e essentially the autumn season thank you very much for an interesting conversation for interesting information on with us was tymofiy melovanov , president of the kyiv school of economics, adviser to the chairman of the president's office, friends, well, we have a short break of three minutes and we will return to the air and we will talk, a very interesting guest will be our president, the owner of the investment company concord capital on igor mazepa in a few minutes . no news together we are strong hello mom i don't know how you are

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