well, ukraine has always been a part of the empire of russia or the soviet union, in fact, many ukrainians participated in the creation of this empire because, well, why should ukrainians think about how this empire can work and bring some changes there? well, that's quite understandable. but look at the background of the expansion of nato . representatives of finland, sweden, putin gathered in moscow the presidents of the countries that are members of the odc, and remind that there are six countries, including russia, belarus, armenia, kazakhstan, kyrgyzstan

, etojikistan, and i understand that at this meeting, putin tried to convince his colleagues to help him in the war with ukraine, that ukraine constitutes a certain threat, by the way, alexander lukashenko himself, the self-appointed president of belarus, said that among the members of the vdcb, there are associations in this bloc that they are not united, let's listen here aleksandra lukashenko, then we will actually continue our conversation to all the laws of international life, about coming from the west, they are shielded, they are excluded from international organizations, and there is pressure , the pressure is harsh and without principle, the members are like this, even for such situations, there

is collective earthly support. economic and military ties may not exist tomorrow, the odkb works according to the principle of nato, they attack one country, all other countries must support uh, in the russian-ukrainian war, we did not attack russia, but the judge putin is still trying to convince kazakhstan as well, because belarus is the platform for the deployed day of the russian contingent and the territory from where the russian military is waging war, he tried to convince the kazakh kyrgyz and tajikistan that ukraine is a real threat, and the whole question is through ukraine because putin not only agreed that this is a proxy war, that in fact the west is

waging a war against russia on the territory of ukraine uh, how likely is it that the members of the odkb can uh , enter into this adventure, uh, the ways that are in ukraine and make certain actions, and do they have enough strength to support putin in his war against ukraine, if uh, here is the assembly that's what it would have been, let's say a month ago or two months ago , it would have been possible to allow participation in the war, the vkb service in the

bathroom of ukraine. these countries will buy the necessary ones components for weapons and also, if possible, to get, say, supplies and the country, but we will find out how successful they were in this after some time. we feel that at least russian troops entered the kyiv region and the chernihiv region from the country of belarus, and it is clear that for us lukashenko and putin are equivalent to aggressors, however lukashenko did not ask now

to tell about the fact that we are on the side of the mall, it just so happened that the russian troops were trained by us and then entered the territory of the ukrainian state, for 80 days we watched how lukashenko tried to understand that they would join him in an open war is it with ukraine or not? taking into account the rather difficult situation inside belarus, taking into account the fact that belarusians are not russian and they are much closer to the ukrainian people. is there still a possibility that belarus can support putin eh, well, let them have a small army there, but still with their contingent to attack the ukrainian state - this is eh, the northern eh front of ukraine, we entered, there is such

a geopolitical chatter of such unwinnable processes and other processes are difficult to predict and under the influence in a whole range of complexes, this is a geopolitical, political, social, economic, and military aspect, together with this story lukashenko knows that he depends on the fate of the russian federation. and if the ukrainian army enters the territory of crimea, it is inevitable will lead to foreign consequences of the russian federation itself, and this is how lukashenko will act in such a situation, his army is not difficult, there

are those who can help the russians, belarus is a small country, he would have a 15th week military officer who can be a reason for ukraine , eh, this is not такая большая проблеме well, yes, part of the force is not diverted there on the perimeter of the belarusian border, but it is not a threat to the ukrainian army. we very often during those two months asked understand and find an answer to a fairly simple question what or who can stop putin , the death of a bullet and his encirclement by the west or still

only the armed forces of ukraine are you asking me questions that are completely related to your expertise, this is related to the future of the whole world and including well, here you are asking a question that he cannot find answers to all the political, military, and analytical worlds , and i. and it is difficult for me to answer such questions. who still doesn't know the answer, it's not american, they're english intelligence, but are you talking about whom i'm following, i'm not used to it, let's talk with you how about a military monolith who knows for sure that the security system that exists now in the world is actually indestructible it is not

there because starting from february 24, 2022, we see that the mm system does not work, the system of restraints does not work, the system of counterweights does not work, and it does not work . peaceful people a-a allows themselves to be marauded er-er to rape women, that is, the security system has collapsed in general, in your opinion. what should the security system be? the world has been singing for more than 10 years, but you have clearly

indicated that after the russian-ukrainian war, we will not pass, it will lead to the creation of a new system of world security in this key in this key i see the new world security system is based on regional wars and political alliances , so to speak, the foundation for this is already being created, so to speak , the world society is already being prepared the state is one world arena, let's not name it, it will inevitably lead to the creation of at least two three regional military-political

unions, i believe that this world has more chances to be safer and to hold back between from conflicts to military conflicts, we have come to the situation when seizing this territory does not lead to the completion of the tasks set, the very necessity of the conflict is lost, and i believe that in the next decade and 20 years, this applies not only to regional wars, but also to political unions . new schemes of interaction between the states of the regional states, eh, on resolving the differences of the people of the conflict, well, in this situation, it is very important to understand what role in this will be eh

российский федерация or some part of the российской федерации because you don't live near a neighbor who at any moment can press a button and send you ballistic missiles at your house, well, it's quite difficult and dangerous. it's clear that for 80 days, the ukrainian army showed that we we are not going to surrender that we will fight for our freedom for our independence. well, the presence of such an abnormal neighbor who can at any moment break into your apartment or house, break everything and kill you is quite dangerous for the future of our children and our future generations, do you somehow predict what might happen to the russian federation

? to build your life, uh, to what extent is the situation in the world today, and within the russian state, that the current war may lead to the end of the russian empire, and not to the gathering of mines by the soviet union for its centenary formations that will be celebrated in december 2022 means that there are analogies in history when the state, let's say it was the mass extermination of people, the seizure of territory, i'm talking

about germany. and even for more years they could not pose a threat to neighboring states, i believe that the result of the capitulation of things should be such a beauty, this dish is known to lose its nuclear weapons, this country must receive a quota for its armed forces, the number of me is more than 100,200,000 people, this is a minimum program. as for the collapse of the russian federation into various subjects , this is for the entire time of many factors. electrychek back to the questions and how the

russian society will conduct itself, this is polite, too, there are questions, so there is one step - that's what i marked step 2 called the russian federation well, will it reach шага well, will it be possible to step 2? the authorities, how did they try to intimidate, uh, the whole, uh, soviet union at that time, well, part of ukraine is already there, uh, the baltic countries, the beams left, uh, how did they try to intimidate everyone, and the tanks were brought to moscow,

it turned out that, well, people came now, they will be very they are leading the soviet union for a long time they will hold back democracy now they will transplant all the democrats completely to the soviet union then we this state of emergency blew up very quickly and then after 4 or five days the verkhovna rada of ukraine adopted an act on the proclamation of the independence of ukraine is there a scenario i understand that you are a military analyst , that's all can the consequences of the current war or the scenario of the current war between russia and ukraine be exactly the same situation when the power of the russian machine is trying to be demonstrated in ukraine? it will blow up and also quickly collapse. how was it during the time of the soviet union, because in the 91st

year, the leaders of the ussr also felt the same way, or not. how long can this machine go and what can it do? i know another such country that has relaxed so much. and you stood up to us, you mean such a second side. i don’t know what it is, and every 50-60 years it manages to fall, then get up again. in that or in a new way, it can exist autonomously like north korea for a long time at the moment, the russian federation has no desire or, let’s say

, any prospects. it is losing in the coupe due to economic problems. well, when, when, when, and when, these two tools will shake the russian federation in parallel. the russian federation is a threat to other countries, and let's say this time, i notice the wishes of the

political elite that this time it is necessary to make a concrete peace with this country, because every 50-60 years this country throws something out, it falls to the bottom of it they are pulled out with the help of a master. by any financial and economic influences, and after two years of stress, this country is threatened by the words, so what you are saying is that the russian federation’s plow will put on this work. but how long will it last, it is difficult to lose this live on the espresso tv channel and also on social networks if you watch us on youtube or on facebook please like this video subscribe to our channel on

our pages now you have seen the link to our pages on social networks today we are talking to military analyst of azerbaijan gillam rustam zade, we talk about the situation in ukraine, and of course we talk about the future or uh, it is very important for us to know the opinion of not only domestic analysts and experts, but also uh, military analysts from other countries including from azerbaijan, mr. rustam zade, in ukraine, ukrainians often ask the question of how long the russian-ukrainian war can last, that is, what to expect from putin in the near future, and in what kind of future did you ask? with predicting the situation for how long it can last for an hour for two there

for three you have already said that it can be uh not the hot phase of this war that it can go into the second phase of the war well actually how was it starting from 2014 year when it did not begin to pay off donbass, the annexation of crimea, and the hot phase of the war has moved into such a position. what do you think about it? i think that this will be an active phase in august and mid-september. even if we say so, the russian side will not want it. the ukrainian army will conduct an active phase. have indicated their goals , that they want athletes, we have long-range athletes, the situation in february automatically pushes the active

phase to the end of august and wednesday at 75. the transfer of actions to the territory of crimea through the territory of crimea is considered by the russian federation as its own territory, and in order for the ukrainian army to begin the implementation of the de- occupation of crimea, the assembly will meet certain conditions because, as we all know, the russian army speaks tactical language and i and i think that yes, the questions are where the occupation of crimea is. let us be as careful

as possible. this will already start processes that will shake the russian federation from within, most likely there will be a positional war somewhere in the course of, say, 3-4 months, i believe that by the summer of 2023, the russian federation will produce changes and variables that , let's say, will begin, a new story will begin in which a temporary or forever the russian federation settles with the opportunity to threaten ukraine. this is not only military, this is not only a military process. the economic situation is purely

military why ukraine is not that ukraine is sharp any country in the world can defeat russia you must accept that you will come to a military political victory over russia thanks to a whole set of measures together with western partners here are factors and the political situation in russia in which it is predicted, but it is possible to state that during this year, most likely, the tension between russia and ukraine will be tired. thank you very much, mr. rustam zade, for participating in our program this was rustam zade gil rustam zade, military analyst of azerbaijan, we are friends with you, we will say goodbye. until tomorrow, until 1:00 p.m., this was a program, the verdict was brought by serhiy rudenko. please don't

forget to subscribe to our social networks. we are on almost all social networks uh, if you are watching this stream on youtube or on facebook, please like it, share this stream on your social networks, we need your support, besides, you can read our news on the espresso tv website, we we work for you 24/7 well, our telethon continues, watch espresso tv, support the tv channel that has a ukrainian view of the world, i say goodbye to you, take care of your loved ones , goodbye from the roots of the city of ukraine, berdyansk, the pearl of the azov region, the gentle sea of ​​azov and kilometers

of picturesque coastline in 16 century settlement of berditsa, a reliable shelter for fishermen and cossacks, near it in 1827 the construction of piers began, and in less than 15 years the settlement was declared a city and renamed berdyansk in during the second world war, nazi troops entered berdyansk and mercilessly destroyed its inhabitants and infrastructure. but we know that ukrainians cannot conquer berdyansk. unconquered. greetings to all. i am yuriy andruhovych and i do not know. this is a mistake or

a crime. it is strangely criminal. and there was no decision to remove it. it looks like there are very worthy journalists working on these channels because they are very worthy people. i respect many of them very much when ukrainians fight for people for territory for the way for the future for identity for one's values ​​for democracy it became an unacceptable thing to turn off 3 television channels that were always oppositional and always showed the ukrainian view of the world this is a video appeal in support of the espresso tv channel which i love and respect thank you for your good work for what you always truthfully cover the events and always kept it right about the ukrainian position, in my opinion, to turn off patriotic television channels during the war, well, this is actually very the last thing, what are they for

have already done it another question, but this is another evidence that our armed forces do their job well and give a feeling of safety , security and reliability, and because of that some people in the offices of power begin to feel so carefree that they have time for intrigues and i appeal to sir or madam under whom it depends i am asking you very much not to be silly and return the digital broadcasting system tv channels espresso direct and fifth turn on these channels we want to see turn back full information field the fifth espresso tv and direct because this file also has written every combat unit that will

approach the victory of ukraine as soon as possible, let's not take any actions during the war that would cause destructiveness inside us i want to express my support for the espresso channel and insists that to return this channel to the usual information space espresso unites all points of view i call to return a from the press to the air and return all disconnected channels to the air because these channels work for ukraine glory to ukraine president zelenskyi return espresso to the air let's protect the information front together glory to ukraine on april 4, the rrt concert illegally turned off the digital air ukrainian independent tv channels espresso the fifth and direct a petition has been registered on the website of the cabinet of ministers of ukraine, which demands that ukrainian tv channels be

returned to digital air in order to sign the petition first you need to register, it's very simple go to website petition kmu.gov.ua there go to the registration tab and enter all your data, tell your phone number and email confirm all your data enter the code that will be sent to your mobile create a password that will certify that you are not a robot give consent to the processing of personal data check all your data again and click the register button to complete the registration go to your specified email address where the site letter will come click on the link in the letter that will return you expedition enter your e-mail password enter we return to the main page of the petition site open the petition about the return to the digital air