why did an official from the united nations say something, well, his job is like this, he is responsible for the food security of the world, and the food security of the world is under threat , he has to do something, he is making a statement taras , let's get one more, i'm still going to relocate to return to business about lviv oblast, which is exactly what you said about by regions and what types of entrepreneurial activity are moving to the lviv region and somewhere is happening only in the regional center or there in the regions, please give some general situation, i mentioned that the industry metal processing, trade, food chemical industry, all these areas are the most common from the point of view of location, the largest number of entrepreneurs of enterprises are moving , yes, if we are talking about medium and medium, first of all, business, yes, if we are talking about the most sought-after challenges of location and the like, key issues which will arise in

reallocated enterprises that have already been reallocated with the help of the state, so we know that ukrzaliznytsia supports ukrposhta, that is, at the government level, all these issues are mixed and resolved, they are also solved with with the help of the prozorro sales system, which in april let's just say that the system that was previously responsible for auctions for e-e, which were used for the sale of communal state and private property, was repurposed a little bit. from what i see talking with them here in lviv oblast, it's uh supply chains and sales chains, it's a classic of the genre, in principle there 's nothing new here, but actually uh moving to a new place does not at all mean starting or continuing the work as it has been going on, that is, important communications between people are important, e-e, logistics, it is important to re-evaluate it, to understand , we see what is happening now with the m-th dollar

with the dollar exchange rate. that is how we see this a big difference, which i hope will be suppressed soon according to the latest decisions of the national bank, but when it comes to the exchange rate difference for hryvnia exporters between the real exchange rate and the bank exchange rate, then the company suffers a lot, that is, a number of all these challenges will still need to be overcome, and i believe that if it were not difficult, it is necessary to communicate as much as possible here to entrepreneurs in a relocated place in order to help each other establish work and cooperation and thus support each other in these difficult times for themselves yes, please tell me what the course of what we expected to ask you in detail. sergius was released by the nbu, so to speak, from his duties at the ukrainian level , announced a swimming or swimming course, although not quite correctly, all in ukrainian let it free float and the hryvnia has already so close to the 40 mark is your forecast regarding the exchange rate how correct are these actions and how much

will the dollar cost at the end of may and in the middle of the summer, for example, leaving it in fact, what happened was the result of poor communication because there was an interview at the beginning this week the chairman of the central bank where he said that they are considering the theoretical possibility if something ever happens there to go back to a floating exchange rate, that's just what he said, he didn't say what was planned release the hryvnias in general, but for some reason the press took this phrase out of context and began to spin that the nbu is releasing the exchange rate and this led to a speculative surge well, in fact, we saw it on the black and gray markets this week, they began to disperse this news and began to speculate on this news as a result well, we saw that for three months before that, the exchange rate stayed somewhere around 34-33. now nothing fundamental has happened, and at the same time, the exchange rate on the black market coincided with somewhere around 38-39

. well, first of all, already took place for real katya i ask you not to repeat this about the fact that he was dropped from the course, nothing is needed, we are not speculating, we are just quoting the head of the nbu yes, if the head of the nbu says that we are considering - so we are making an assumption that it is the closest sometimes it will be done. well, the assumption that something may be done in the near future and to say that he released the hryvnia are different things, so in this case the exchange rate is fixed. we are more than a national bank on friday introduced additional regulations should contribute to limiting speculation is very popular by the way, lviv region will not let you lie popular now the topic was when grandmothers went back and forth across the border why do they go there because they have cards they put hryvnias on the card to ukraine they go and withdraw dollars conditional in poland is going

back to exchange and such a circle, the national bank, as part of the fight against this innovation, led a rather strict regulation, by the way, it will be very painful for ukrainian refugees, but they very much limited such an opportunity to remove funds abroad at the official exchange rate, so what has happened now, the exchange rate is fixed, there is a certain speculative pressure, whether it will continue or not, it is difficult to say now because, again, the situation is very shaky, uh, and careless statements, they can really cause a certain shift in the exchange rate and such a difference between official and unofficial if it was preserved if it was preserved it was very dangerous 35 returned, for example, and i do not rule out that there may be another strengthening of the hryvnia, although, again, now the situation is shaky, it can go either way run and remind the ukrainians on which label it is registered at the national bank and how do you behave

as a financier in general 29 and here in exchangers 30 38 well, how can this be? and that's all well, a bad margin gap of 3:30 percent 30 and what and we have a war, well, again, the national bank has a choice between bad ones, it's very bad , or to keep the rate, and such gaps can really arise and, in principle, a fixed rate - this is always a bad story black sulfur appears but this is a bad decision, a very bad decision in the opinion of the national bank. as financiers agree with him, in principle, it is to release the exchange rate and to release the exchange rate now, we could not control it against the background of these shocks in the panic mood of the war, and without any fundamental factors, the exchange rate could go anywhere this week, for example, nothing happened, no fundamental economic change took place, because even we received news

about 18 billion that in the next three months will enter ukraine from themselves, and on this climate, with this speculation, e-e allow to accelerate the exchange rate from 34 to 38 yes. and what is the problem? there is a market method . we go to the market on the stock exchange and sell dollars to the gas exchange. well, we extinguish the demand. what is the problem? well, if you have very, very many dollars more than the central bank, you can go out and extinguish it. no, i have that the central bank can deal with the reserves of the central bank will not be enough. if you release the exchange rate and extinguish it every day, that is why the national bank combines administrative methods, fixing the exchange rate and interventions are constant on the market, it constantly sells dollars on the market thank you taras, how does business respond to this exchange rate difference, how does it react to this exchange rate difference, does it suffer in general, does it suffer from this, or vice versa, does it make money from this? business suffers from

this . it is mentioned in social networks in other e-e under other circumstances it is about the fact that wages and the like are paid in e in the format of the exchange rate and tied to the bank rate which e until recently as i understand it was tied e -e hmm to 10 percent error to the nbu exchange rate, and everyone feels this speculation on themselves additionally, it worsens the situation there, the feeling of financial security is minimal, which can be at a minimum during the war, and this is clearly negative, in general, it affects ah, mr. taras well, let's conclude, please tell me what lviv region can invite and ask entrepreneurs now and maybe it will become such a hub of entrepreneurship a business hub for the whole of ukraine i believe that everyone who wants to market to the lviv region

and all the opportunities it gives them should be used, but on the other hand, i do not believe that all ukrainian business should move to lviv oblast and this should be the only panacea. i believe that business should be re-lotted according to cluster characteristics, rolled according to a certain reference to raw materials that are in different regions, different areas, try to supplement that economic certain cycle that is composed in the respective territories, e.e., great opportunities are provided for the use of space, in particular, the state property fund , i.e., state communal premises and therefore, it depends on the quality of the administration of these processes and communication, which area takes the lead and leadership, but it is also important to remember that the enterprises are relocated, they can and possibly have it all from which side to look at returning to those territories where they carried out their activities there and together with the inhabitants to rebuild the economy of those regions, it is very

important that our development is complex and harmonious. there remains one question, well, regarding the famine with which we started, we touched a little on the way russia is threatening the world now, how bad can this negative effect be for the world from russia's war on the territory of ukraine. if you remember in the 11th year there was an arab spring that swept through north africa, this happened as a result of the fact that there was a bad harvest in the southern hemisphere, this led to an increase in the cost of bread, well, first, grain shortages, then there is a change in the price of bread, and the result is all these processes that gave rise to a lot the instability of warriors and micro-emigrant crises , the same thing is happening now, it is just as bad, i was in the southern hemisphere, because of the drought, because of the same climatic anomalies, there is such a thing like it

comes there every 10-12 years and creates such bad conditions, but this year the same thing happened that on the 11th and plus there is no ukrainian grain. therefore, these can be very dangerous, socially dangerous. i am not talking about hunger there. and that people will definitely die, this would be speculation on my part, but it will definitely lead to a shortage as the result of growth is the goal and we have it now and so in us i mean the record inflation in the world for the last 45 years therefore these processes reinforce each other and this really threatens a certain social destabilization in regions where people are most sensitive to the conditional cost of products, especially the cost of bread that is why putin knows everything. putin is speculating on this and putin is blackmailing the world with this and that. but in ukraine it cannot be in a certain way and this process is profitable when the price of products increases, that is, the value of our resource increases. so we can no longer make money on this in the future. well, we

can make more money if we can sell. if we can’t sell, on the contrary, we don’t make money. and in ukrainian agriculture, we got a record impressive last year, and now they can’t sell it . really, now there is the same price of wheat plus 50% last year it would be great for those who can export, but if you can't export, what's the difference, what's the price, how else can ukraine export its agricultural products? well, not only agricultural products, but also metallurgical ore in addition to the blocked ports on the black sea of ​​azov , well, leaving the western border, there remains the river port of izmail, which is a sea port at the same time as a port on the river, but the throughput there is quite low and it is currently used at 100%, there is now a crazy cork of ships standing near the constancy in romania yes there are moments of overland crossings, but there is also limited capacity, the world

is currently negotiating with the belarusians to allow ukrainian products to pass through the baltic ports, and this may increase the number of ukrainian revenues eh but at the same time, this will not replace the ports company serhiy fursa, an investment banker, and he is always very interested in the economy, all these questions. come and read serhiy fursa on facebook, and we will go to the topic of energy, which is close in principle, but we will change the focus a little. lithuania, we are already on at the beginning they talked and announced that from today it will become completely independent from russia's energy resources, the country will stop importing oil and gas from the russian federation, relevant minister danius krevis noted that lithuanians cannot afford to finance the kremlin's military machine at the same time lithuania will achieve complete energy independence after successful synchronization with other systems, and

additional needs are planned to be covered with the help of green energy and imports from other eu countries, let's talk about it now with gennady ryabtsev, he is an expert on energy issues, our ukrainian and lithuanian politician i a former member of the seimas of the republic of lithuania will also be in touch with us minister of foreign affairs of lithuania 10-12th year eh audronius ajubalis hope i named audrynyuk correctly. congratulations. good day. good day. gennady ryabtsem . good morning. uh, uh, it wasn't quite

a difficult step, because they had been preparing me for a long time and they knew that sooner or later, but with russia, uh, let's say that uh, a reliable, uh, contract is impossible, and we were convinced in this even in last century and when, uh, when russia turned off uh, uh , oil on us, uh, on the oil pipeline, friendship, and we realized that uh, we don't need to rely on russia, and in 1999, we built the sea for ourselves, not a wall, a terminal, butings that it is possible to export and import oil once, and in 2014 we built the lg terminal

, which has great potential and , let's say, its annual capacity is 4 billion cubic meters. meters that's it for lithuania. as they say, it's enough for export to other countries , too we were also preparing for gas pipelines, but only on may 1st we opened one gas pipeline from poland that can go in reverse both to poland and to lithuania at the expense of the electric side. while we are still in the brel system in the russian system but but i think in a year and a half we will turn it off now we are doing uh about making an electric port line well the sea from poland oh it is called harmony

and the other one has already been made which is also a high -voltage line that goes on dry land from poland so i think somewhere uh 2025 or at the end on the 25th or at the beginning of the 26th, as they say, we will leave and say that we are dependent on electricity now . it is true. stop any contracts any contracts e-e s e-e rao intera raos that's such a situation thank you well, i'll tell the viewers that this video is not lithuania, it's

zaporizhzhia, it's dniproges and the dnipro rapids, it's just my hometown, zaporizhia people recognize it p gennadiya how are you how you feel a similar move of the republic of lithuania and well, why aren't all the eu countries so, well, so patriotically approaching this issue of energy purchase, not votes in the russian federation, please, you need to welcome any steps aimed at supporting ukraine, and this step of lithuania is definitely one of such steps and by the way, lithuania's neighbors, in particular poland, have already agreed to the same measures, and it is expected that by the end of the year the purchase of russian energy carriers by this country will also be stopped,

so if there are more such individual steps, the fewer opportunities the russian federation will have for investing in its own military-industrial complex and in supporting military actions in ukraine and supporting the aggressive actions of the russian federation in the world in general. we are listening to our guest from lithuania, our lithuanian expert. he says that above all lithuania first of all, she was going for this independence for a long time, but mainly she did not even want to support ukraine , she primarily wanted to support her energy dependence and provide for herself, since all agreements with the russians are worth only the paper on which they are written, why is a similar position not followed there, for example, there is austria, for example, there is bulgaria, for example, hungary

, not all eu countries feel this threat of instability of the mood of russian sellers of energy carriers who today sold you gas or oil and tomorrow they will say and now give us some political if you make concessions, go for political concessions, then you will receive some cheap energy from us , that is, gas and oil in russia - it is always politics, not economics. it was so because it was political. the political course in the european union is aimed at the widest possible involvement of russian companies in joint projects in hmm and hopes that the more russian companies cooperate with european ones, the less aggressive sentiments will be in the russian federation and the weaker the

geopolitics of the russian federation will be, however such hmm hmm such steps they led to the opposite, the european economy became too dependent on the supply of russian resources, and therefore what has been happening for many years is very difficult to change in one year and precisely what the europeans have already realized this fact and it was stated by the first persons of the european union that such an approach to the russian federation was wrong where is the evidence that those plans that were also developed in particular to reduce dependence on russian energy carriers to their this dependence to a

minimum, these plans will not only be developed, but also implemented by this, for the implementation of these plans , time is needed, money is needed, therefore, this dependence will be fully removed only after 27 in the best case, most likely after the 28th year. thank you, in fact, the advertisement was also called for a similar question. that's why not all countries of the european union are so patriotic in their energy policies like lithuania. many still count on cheap russian oil and cheap russian gas. well, i i already mentioned hungary there too, austria right there, bulgaria there, there is the southern stream through which they go to the balkans, russian gas - that's it. well, it's such an infantilism as if it were politically economic, or it's something the interest may be political in some kind of controversy, that's why i'm asking for a similar process. well, i

think for the first time, it's money, of course, because the most important thing is export, er, export, er, let's say, er, export goods of russia to western europe, this is corruption of austria, austria, as they say i have always strived to become a gambo or an energy brat of the russian gaza and the russian no and we don’t make any money. well, now we see the consequences, eh, this is what we will say to the future. the future state, because it sometimes seems to me that western europe is not led

by politicians, but by businessmen, and that ideology and worldviews take a back seat, and profit is put forward on the first plan, and i think that this is the weakest part of the country. let's say yes, euroline and the euro-atlantic community, and here we are as long -term neighbors of russia. other countries, they probably forgot their experience , it's just as bad as austria, and even half of it was occupied, and as you know, it also

suffered, but on the other hand, when i remember i went with official visits to austria and asked why are you not joining in nato, but the answer was discouraging, they said, listen, and why are we spending money on new armaments? and it comes to the fact that we now have in europe and er and the fact that russia is still very firmly holding its own, how are you er holding the energy complex, as well as politicians, your forecast

regarding the sixth package of sanctions, in the end, this is a long procedure will bring politicians from brussels and will there be an embargo on russian oil for ukraine, is it important and in what time frame can this happen? well, i think this is not going anywhere, this is my final opinion and we need to give some kind of long transition for hungary. and let them there as they say, uh, they are trying to reconstruct their own infrastructure, it’s for their property, and it’s not an hour or two from this oil embargo of the european union , one thing will not suffer much, but russia will suffer. and go

further with sanctions, because if we impose sanctions on russian oil, it will be about 20%, er, reduce its production in russia. what does it mean to reduce the production of russia by 20%? it means that then the roses become not only er pipes but also oil deposits because russia has no place to store them, they don't have a storage facility and that's it, whether you want it or not, you have to do something, and there will already be a choice, so our russia will have a problem because it's not mine the oil system is rusting, it is getting old, it is failing , also with deposits, especially if

they are in the north, so i think it is necessary. hungary and further to go proceed with this barrage of sanctions, of course i support it. i really liked the comments of the professional er, er, of his colleagues, because er, well, it is extremely um, extremely nice to hear. when diplomats and er know not only how to properly conduct negotiations but in all its spheres that need to be negotiated, that's why i can only support this position, the only thing to say is that most likely there will be not only hungary there, there will also be an existence that

depends on oil supplies by 90%. most likely there will also be greece with 60% of its tankers transport russian oil, but a decision must be made and, most likely, it will be made, because it will really deal a significant blow to the economy of the russian federation and its ability to continue to be the world's gas station. what reaction can russia expect in this situation ? the so -called anti-sanctions or counter-sanctions are being introduced. that is, it will most likely be pressure. it is because of the food exporters of which russia is also one of the largest

exporters. well, these will be internal processes which will consist in the period of orientation of export flows, it has already been stated several times that energy carriers will be transported, i have to be transported more precisely, to the south and to the east , but for that, a lot of money will be needed for this, and there is no money in russia, the mistress of the project, your advice, in short, for of ukraine so that more countries will join just as lithuania did not really hear the question of the council of ukraine so what can we do, it can be diplomacy, we can somehow influence the positions of the countries of the european union, i think you already i think this is how i would say it, every day is a struggle