thus, the first e-e point of the application of efforts for the russian armed forces now arises the question of what will putin do apolitically. if this occupation succeeds, this is clear according to the decree of the president of the russian federation regarding the simplified procedure for granting russian citizenship to residents of four ukrainian regions of luhansk, donetsk , kherson, zaporizhia oblast, since in russia has already had many decrees on the simplified granting of citizenship to residents of the former soviet republics, this decree is such an effort somehow to simplify the self-operation of granting citizenship, what a clear signal, and not to us and not to the west, but first of all to the russian political elites, which ukrainian regions should soon be annexed to the russian federation, these are luhansk, donetsk , zaporizhzhia, kherson regions. it is in these directions that russia will now concentrate its greatest efforts to occupy all the territories of these regions in

their administrative borders, then they will either hold a fake referendum on joining the russian federation or simply this decision will approve some kremlin puppets created there in the authorities at whose request vladimir putin will respond, well, zaporizhzhia is there stories another people's republic of the kherson region can be admitted differently to say that it has always been a part of the republic of crimea, this is already and now there is, so to speak, a sub object of the russian federation, so you can simply increase it by several districts, e-e, in which to hold such a referendum on joining crimea and not to declare any kherson people 's republics, this is a political goal, this does not mean that it it will work, but we have to understand with you what in principle putin is striving for, and this has also become realistic. now the next moment is very important. and what will happen

next? now we see that conversations have already begun in the west, and not only in the west. in the ukrainian information discourse, putin is also occupying the account. donetsk region and luhansk region, then he buys kherson region and zaporizhzhia, and he will stop at something, there will be a stop somewhere in his efforts. to be honest, i think that nothing like this can happen, i don't think, in principle, that putin is going to stop at something until that moment, as long as he has, er, some opportunities to advance, some resource. frankly speaking, i am generally surprised by people who say that putin, after reaching some goal, will talk to someone about the further course of events. it

seems to me that in general, it seems that the russian pickpocket does not have no desire to talk to anyone about anything, the situation can develop in two directions of opposite elements in accordance with how the events themselves will develop and these consequences are absolutely realistic to characterize as you you understand the first moment is quite serious, this is the moment of ukraine's occupation by russia of ukrainian territories, how do you understand this moment, we are currently observing in the donbas and this is the real intention of putin, if he succeeds in occupying some new territories, he will not agree on any peace, but will simply

try to move on and this also an absolutely obvious point about which i want to say that you will go further in your effort to occupy and annex all of ukraine, at least as much as possible. that is, this does not mean that putin invested in donetsk luhansk there kharkiv, luhansk, kherson, zaporizhzhia region, and my russian troops will begin combat operations in the kharkiv region, in the north of ukraine, will try to break through to the mykolaiv region . maybe not right away, part of it, but there will be no talks about peace at all, there will be no negotiations . the ukrainian troops did not accumulate strength in one direction or another, that is, the negotiations are often a tactical part of the preparation for a new takeover, and

as i have already said many times, putin will stop here in two cases, the first case is when he reaches the border with poland, the second is when he falls, when he does not have enough resources to continue fighting, there are no other cases, but if he does not have enough resources to continue fighting, then his troops will be entrenched in this territory, which will already be occupied at that time and they will expect there with someone from the regime of a possible ukrainian offensive yes and it will be a territory annexed to the russian federation, it will not be any ukrainian territory from the point of view of moscow, it will be just ordinary regions of russia and everything and in the first language of any talks about peace will be ukraine's recognition of the fact that this is russia, if at all, with putin, putin will have such a desire to hold talks because he will think that ukraine should not be talked to, but continue to occupy region by region. this is a salami tactic. this is one option for development. of events,

the second variant of the development of events is if, as we really hope, the ukrainian army launches a counterattack and knocks out the enemy from the occupied ukrainian lands, restores the state border of ukraine, here too there will be no victories here president zelenskyi is often said, it is already quoted many times that it would be a victory for the ukrainian army if we entered the line on february 23, 2022 , that is, before the russian attack, there is no such thing in putin’s head, this line, if ukrainian troops enter this line, the russian troops will stop to attack in order to recapture the territory occupied by the ukrainian troops, no ideas about what to do here, you stopped and we stopped and i will talk about peace, it will not be just a counterattack and with the aim of knocking out the ukrainian troops from the positions in which they are at that moment

. and what will happen if the ukrainian troops are able to completely defeat the russian army and completely enter the state borders of ukraine by 2014, even with the liberation of crimea and sevastopol from the invaders , nothing will happen, i do not know how it will be explained by a russian, but it is absolutely obvious that the russian troops will be ordered to prepare for the liberation of the russian territory occupied by the ukrainians and the west allied with them, there will also be no peaceful victories, there will be preparations for a new counterattack of the russian armed forces, as soon as such an opportunity appears, missile attacks on ukrainian cities and positions of the ukrainian army will continue, then when these missiles are within putin's reach, they will be high-precision, some will fire with high-precision rockets, there will be non-high-precision missiles,

they will fire not very accurately, the upper one will not be forgotten yesterday's missile attack on kharkiv reminded us that nothing has stopped and will not stop. it's just that russia may run out of high-precision missiles, then it will just indiscriminately search the terrible quarters of ukrainian cities for those to which these missiles will fly, the appearance of eskanders on the borders with belarus indicates that the russians are preparing to attack those cities that are not currently part of a direct military attack by the russian armed forces . it is not worth hoping for peace as long as vladimir putin is the president of the russian federation, ukraine will live in a military conflict as long as putin remains in the position of the head of the russian federation because putin's political idea is the restoration of the former

soviet union within the borders of 1991 and the return of the territory that he considers to have been illegitimately taken from russia, which he and most russians consider to be historical russia . can the political situation change after putin ceases to be the president of the russian federation? we don't know for sure, it could be depozitization, i.e. the refusal of the russian federation from the legacy of an aggressive regime of apologies to those countries whose territory russia buys or the transformation of the regime into a tougher one into a more radical one with increased military attacks on ukraine and other former soviet republics, the people who will succeed putin may consider that it will be necessary to restore russia's normal cooperation in civilized education and for this to give in to imperial ambitions, although from the point of view of the military component of these ambitions, or they will consider that putin was

not decisive enough, that the actions against ukraine were not decisive enough, that much was needed more actively fire, kill, shoot, and then somehow these events we are watching today will be considered only a rehearsal of the real war of russia against ukraine, then war will be declared in ukraine, then the goals of the destruction of the ukrainian state will be clearly announced, then the residents of ukraine who will advocate for the preservation of this state will be declared enemies who are a legitimate target for the russian armed forces, i.e. then the declared genocide will begin if there is a radical figure in the position of president of russia after putin's departure, we we don't know this, the development of events can be both good and much worse, and we just have to realize that. i'm not going to look for any clear parallels in history, but i will remind you that in 1914 there were german kanzikas and now wilhelm, who was

one of the supporters of the first world war and one of the instigators of the first world war could seem to contemporaries just the embodiment of evil, but the real embodiment of evil appeared in germany only 20 years after the beginning of the first world war, which led to the second world war. perhaps we are now we are with you on the threshold of the first world war of the 21st century, and the second world war is still ahead and the results will be much more pronounced by us both for the residents of ukraine and for the residents of other countries of the world. therefore, we do not know this, we are not entering a period of stability, we are entering a period instability with absolutely incomprehensible consequences of this instability for the whole world , so of course it would be better if putin were not in the position of president of russia, but it is always necessary to remember that the regime that will replace putin may be much more reactionary and harsh than putin's regime itself, if only because putin is still a hunter in the categories of special operations, his mistake in ukraine, let's say, was when he

got involved in the war, was that he was sincerely sure that he would destroy the ukrainian government in a few days that there will be a blitzkrieg, that the population of ukraine will greet his army with flowers, this is all a lack of awareness and a lack of understanding of the situation, and it is thanks to this that i do not understand the situation of mythological consciousness, he got involved in a real war which now it is trying to turn it into a series of special operations again, but if a military man comes to power in russia, he will not need any operations, he will plan wars from the very beginning in their classic version, that is, an attack on one region, the destruction of the army in another region , etc., etc., etc. and that will be it of course, it is much more difficult to deal with this renovator than now, a special operation for putin, but this is just a warning, it may not be so in order to understand that we will live with you there for another 5-10 years and let's be aware of how it will be. and maybe putin will not be there

in a year or two. i can understand the reality. it can be in a few months. who can you? and the problems that ukrainians live in the last absolute and uncertainty that does not know how it can end . so i will read the question and then we will continue to analyze whether nato can do you continue your blitzkrieg in russia why is everyone so afraid of a direct conflict if their army is weak is it impossible to suddenly strike russia in a matter of hours to end the existence of a regime that terrorizes the whole world that they did not even have time to think about a red nuclear button to be pressed why the whole world should suffer from the country of terrorists there is no possibility to attack russia in such a way that they do not have time to think about the red nuclear button does not exist the russian military command will always have the option in the event of an attack on the territory of the russian federation launch a strategic nuclear strike that can destroy most of the territory of the civilized world in a matter of minutes, and that as a result of a strategic nuclear strike by western countries, a large part of the russian federations. i do not want to appease millions of people who

will disappear from the face of the earth in a matter of hours. i think that a large honest number of citizens of ukraine will also be among these people, and i certainly think that it was pleasant for compatriots and residents of other countries of the world in any blitzkrieg, of course, nato cannot do and the main goal of nato will not be to prevent a conflict between nuclear states, even the use of tactical nuclear weapons is already considered a crime from the point of view of nato member countries - this must also be remembered and it is absolutely impossible the development of events so that there will be no human beings and this is absolutely reasonable because no one is going to destroy humanity by surprise, no one can hit anyone because satellites fly above the earth everyone can see so all the possibilities that exist in nato are trying to undermine russia's economic military potential is firstly and secondly, i cannot

understand why our compatriots do not see that she and everything is normal, this is an effective defense union, its members are under the nuclear umbrella of the united states of france great britain, we can repeat to the nato member countries that they are next in line, but until that moment, until russia really dares to strike at one of the nato member countries, this is an absolute political fantasy, and in the countries that are not yet nato, everyone knows this very well even these politicians who say that they will be next really consist in the fact that the countries that wanted real security used the time of russia's geopolitical weakening in order to become nato members, and these countries that at this time did not use that time at the right time at the moment, sonata has close cooperation and is now joining the alliance, it is sweden, finland, which drew conclusions from the war against ukraine, but they

needed such consequences, and the countries that were in the orbit of the soviet union did not need such consequences. they knew everything about the soviet union before that, all of them poland, the czech republic, slovakia, hungary, bulgaria , romania, latvia, lithuania, estonia, all the countries of the former warsaw pact and the three former soviet republics that were occupied by the soviet union all concluded what ukraine was doing at that time developed the so-called multi-vector foreign policy included in its doctrine of cooperation with nato excluded included excluded declared itself a country that wants to join nato declared itself a country with non-aligned status all this happened not as a result of some

coup d'état but as a result of free voting of ukrainian citizens in presidential and parliamentary elections elections, including the majority of those citizens who are now directly suffering from the war, not all of our territories are called now to nato did some kind of blitz to correct political mistakes and ukrainians. it seems quite infantile to me that ukrainians should correct their political mistakes themselves and thank the countries of nato members for military aid that makes it possible to correct these mistakes, create a chance and not just be completely occupied by the russian federation from a logical political point of view because a country that behaved this way from the point of view of state security, national interests, and so on, miraculously survived on the political map of the world these three decades, what do you understand, such incredible national state irresponsibility can only lead to the collapse of statehood, it is fortunate that

our people were able to go to the maidan twice, it is fortunate that the ukrainian armed forces used it and are now defending the country. always voted to destroy this state oh, it did n't work now, well, we're definitely destroying it now, let's destroy it now this is a blitzkrieg mrs. olya oles politenyuk, you once talked about how stalin laid slow-acting mines when he drew the borders of the soviet republics. karabakh is the most famous example of why stalin did not repeat this practice in the western direction in 1945. this is very good for us, of course, but it is interesting. are there any historical reasons for this? we can imagine a ukrainian karabakh in the vicinity of przemyśl or a polish one in the mostysk region, because the presence of such a karabakh would not allow the good

polish-ukrainian relations that exist now would slow down the development of poland, which was similar to yugoslavia. even more so, ukraine, which was completely surrounded and isolated from the western world, it is easy to imagine how easy it would be for putin to subjugate ukraine and maybe other countries too, had such mines not been laid on polish instead, the german population was deported to the german-czech-german borders. in 345, stalin was guided by the logic of the second world war, which for the first time provided for the deportation of the german population from those territories that stalin considered his zone of influence at the time of the deportation of the german population, it was not at all clear that stalin would succeed in bringing the territory of east germany under his control, it was absolutely real that germany would become a kind of neutral state in its territorial full moon, which was decided at the yalta conference, and stalin absolutely did not he wanted to

have a german population in the territories that were in his zone of influence, and these territories belonged to ordinary poland, he believed that for this population is better, let it move to this neutral germany and not create any revanchist sentiments in the eastern bloc. troops, because they were on the territory of a complete crime, this must also be understood now, the level of abuse of the civilian population exceeded all limits, of course, now everyone will say that it was revenge for the crimes of the german troops on the territory occupied by the wehrmacht, and it is also absolutely obvious that the crimes there were terrible, but this does not mean that the civilian population did not suffer from the crimes of the soviet troops, plus deportation, of course, plus another

important point, that when the territories there were handed over in poland to the polish communists, they also demanded to be relocated population so that because they were poles deported from western ukraine who had to be resettled somewhere why did stalin deport poles from the western lands of ukraine because he again did not consider reliable population and believed that they could create a crisis situation in those territories that he was going to include in the soviet union, in addition to officially as you know, the inclusion of part of the territory of pre-war poland in the soviet union meant the liberation of the ukrainian belarusian people from polish oppression and in a situation when poland was socialist and ukraine was soviet, it was simply necessary to demarcate these peoples, besides, an important point was that the soviet forces then

were not forced to reckon with their own logic of the new communist governments, which on the one hand were, of course, pro-soviet, but on the other hand, had certain opportunities for independent actions, and that is why operation vistula could take place there, which destroyed the ukrainian population in the region of przemyśląk, you say, in general, in the east of poland that is why president chekhov of slovakia, bennej expelled the german population from the odesa region with his decrees. this was absolutely not a decision and at the will of stalin, it was the decision and desire of bennej himself, if you are talking about the czech republic, the german the border, that is, then it was such a transition period, i just think that the big mistake of stalin was not at all the preservation of the polish or the preservation of the polish population on the territory of galicia. i think that the big mistake of stalin was the annexation of the territory of western ukraine to the territory of central of eastern ukraine,

because the diffusion of people who did not experience the famine, who did not experience the kind of national exhaustion experienced by the population of central -eastern ukraine, from the point of view of this in general, began the introduction of more untouchable national and human values. what to take into account the experience of the austro-hungarian empire, values ​​that did not exist either in the russian empire or in the soviet union, this is what i said is the main mistake of stalin from the point of view of the ukrainian question , if the annexation of the eastern regions to ukraine why did stalin and lenin also insist under the pretext that it was necessary to dilute the peasant population of ukraine with the proletariat? it was absolutely exactly the solution from the point of view of creating traps for the future, which worked in 2014.

the accession of the western ukrainian regions was an uncorrected mistake. in fact, it was such a slow-acting change under the soviet union as the accession of latvia , lithuania and estonia. first of all, i don't think that anyone is dealing with russia as if it were a written-off bag. there has been a strategy of political energy cooperation with russia since the 1990s. it is obvious that most western politicians did not expect that russia will turn into such a monster that they turned into. the idea was that it would be possible to draw russia into mutually beneficial energy economic cooperation from the west, primarily with european countries, that the conditions for this would be the economic growth of russia and the economic growth of western countries, and this is absolutely obvious if you

mean the worn -out turbo and the reluctance of the west to fight with a nuclear state strategic nuclear weapons what can destroy the west hmmm we like it or is it not, it seems to me again that it is an absolutely infantile view of myself, but i absolutely convince you, i hope that no one before us will live to see this, that for the first time, the moment of the use of tactical nuclear weapons by any side on any territory, i am not talking about strategic ones , because we simply will not see it the consequences will immediately force us to abandon such an infantile view of ourselves, but in order to think rationally, it is not necessary to experience some kind of catastrophe, you understand, in order to understand that you will die in a concentration camp in a gas station the camera does not need to get there, you just need to have a developed imagination, i sincerely encourage you to be in politics, people with a developed imagination, it is not necessary to bring the matter to the point of war in order to understand,

for the war to be there, let's say if the russian-ukrainian war was not avoided and it was talked about since 2014 2019 and 2019, ukrainian citizens explained that we would not be together with putin and that there was no chance to reach an agreement with dictators and so on, you just needed to have a good political imagination for this to understand and not to prove the case in order to check with one's own life experience those people who will survive during this war, because they will remain unharmed or will remain with their housing, there will not be as many of them as it seems. in nato, the eu because in order to be in nato, the eu needs to meet certain criteria . it happened faster, but for this we need to carry out all the necessary reforms, let's hope that in june there will still be an opportunity to grant ukraine the status of a candidate for eu members, i am not sure that

it will happen, but i sincerely want it and hope that with this status ukraine will not survive 20-25 years ago what did you tell us, and the status of a candidate for an eu member simply opens the way to the possibility of making a decision on negotiations that can continue for years, and they can continue for years precisely because it is necessary at this time to carry out reforms regarding accession to nato, accession to nato is possible only when the country, first of all, meets certain standards, i hope that ukraine will meet these standards, and secondly, when the majority of the population of ukraine wants the country to have such a foothold until 2014. the majority of the population of ukraine was against joining nato this figure began to change only after 2014, go for a very decisive third. when ukraine is ready for reform - this applies not only to the military sphere, but also to the legal , political, economic, etc., etc. we can say for whatever reason that we protect

the entire civilization of the entire western world from russia, but this does not mean that it is a corporation of a country that does not meet the criteria of the civilized world, does not destroy the western world from the inside, and that this can be so is shown by the example of turkey, which is currently blocking the entry of finland or sweden into nato and hungary, which is currently blocking oil dyes, i believe that the civilized world should not repeat this mistake , and on the other hand, i really want ukraine to join 11 where are the eggs, i hope that this will happen again i will make a living here in the coming decade, i want us to first vote for responsible professional authorities, secondly, not to live in illusions , and thirdly, not to be against the implementation of such serious economic and political reforms that may lead to lawsuits in fact, already in the first period at the standard of living, without the rather poor population, which will become even poorer as a

result of this war, and there are definitely russian factors. western countries will be counted, let's hope that at the time when ukraine matures to join the eu, this factor will not affect the decisions of our western partners, this is just a hope that we have a difficult fate, i will tell you right away that ukraine will not have an easy fate for the next decade and it is absolutely clear how you see an opportunity to counteract certain absurd and illegal decisions of our authorities in modern retar-realities, because they have a negative impact on our support for the world, connecting channels, let’s say there and etc. you have become a medvedchuk i i believe that it is necessary to talk about it. we are there. we invite you to sign a petition that should call on the authorities to abandon illegal actions

in relation to tv channels. i think that this should be discussed at the international level. i think that aid to ukraine. the exchange for reforms in the conditions of compliance by the government with the norms of behavior in a civilized time hopes that it will be easier because already now the money from the ukrainian state budget is running out ukraine will soon enough live at the expense of western aid. i really hope that the people who will help us will clearly say that they want to help a democratic state, and we have to say that democracy is the priority of law, because the fight against authoritarian arbitrariness, the fight against populism, all this should be the task of ukrainian society if we want to survive at all. в или dear mr. vitaly, please comment on the actions of mr. mrs. bezugliy, probably in relation to mr. yuriy butusov, what was it and what kind of law are you proposing to us regarding the shooting of our soldiers, thank you very much for an answer because i can't sleep peacefully with only one thought where are we going for now we are going to wait for the end of the war sha