tv [untitled] June 2, 2022 2:00am-2:31am EEST
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yes, unfortunately, this insight will already be in the blood of many ukrainians, and i am far from sure that one day we will be able to forgive the russians for the fact that they now support this power. unfortunately, how did they go? что мене можно можете дальше если можно, yes, yes, please respond to the military movement in russia, even if you believe putin's sociology, and that's 15-20%. well, it's 30 million people, i just want to say that it's not necessary, it's not necessary to relate to it. the magnitude of this movement when the moment comes well, do your work and it can be uh this uh this moment is spanishy some basis for
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further conversation can be because we know that minchestvo but often let's say that revolution can do it thank you for that что в поздный час k нам пришли к ефет marat gelman says from the publicist, the representative of the anti-war committee of russia, we will turn it over to those ukrainians who were forced to leave the territory of ukraine to other countries. well, of course. someone has a desire to return. waiting, but friends, there is information that ukrainians who escaped from the war in poland are currently complaining that they cannot re-enter the country because the 90 days of the visa-free period have already been used, and that is why the border guards simply turn them around at the checkpoint. so, what do you need to get to neighboring country, let's look further in our plot , i need to go to the territory
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of ukraine for 2-3 days at oksana's house, i need to pick up my eldest daughter's certificate of completion of the ninth grade, these documents are also necessary in order to enter some kind of lyceum or technical school, our dad is now in a war zone and he simply cannot do it physically. and that is why there is such a need because he will be able to return to poland . oksana does not understand, she is worried because she has already used up 90 days of visa-free visa. there are different opinions on someone's facebook uh, they allegedly let someone in, they don't let them in and tell them to go back, and i'm afraid of this moment, not only oksana is worried, because some people were unable to re-enter poland, lawyers say, 70% of the ads are probably about border crossings the influx of such inquiries about the fact that people were not allowed to cross the border without visas for those who came in the first days of the full-scale attack of russia has already ended, so according to the schengen rules, you can return to poland
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only with a visa, a temporary residence permit or after 90 days. but now it is necessary to rely on another document is explained in the ukrainian embassy, the polish special forces for ukrainians fleeing the war says those who have a passport with a ukrainian marking can stay in poland for 18 months, and at the same time have the right to leave for ukraine, but not for more than 30 days, together with this, departures for a shorter period of time, regardless of their number and duration, are not taken into account, the main condition for re-entry will be the purpose if a citizen of ukraine declares that he came to poland fleeing the war in ukraine, then in the case of a positive decision of the border guards, in most cases yes and it happens. he gets the right to enter. however, the final decision will be up to the border guards, if the citizen of ukraine is not a citizen of ukraine and you have permission to cross the border with poland, the head of the border service can give a decision
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is accepted based on individual circumstances after analyzing the documents submitted for control oksana is already planning a trip to ukraine according to the documents of iryna shcherbakka channel ukraine ukraine 24 marathon united news we will overcome the stubble news together we are strong in an instant changed the dreams of small ukrainians made them adults someone no longer wants a new toy someone dreams of finally seeing his mother
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, someone dreams of visiting kindergarten again and meeting friends for an hour, someone dreams of doing the job he loves again. more on in the world, and someone dreams that dad will come back alive and they can play football together again, this is the war changed children's dreams, but the day will come and our children will be children again, they will go to school, play games with friends and dream
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again, as before, we are not only waiting for victory, we are her we acquire each one in his own place we choose we sow we cook we buy we build we code we design we craft we transport we bring her closer we pay for her we earn for her we teach we treat we repair we create we ukrainians as a group work for victory eternal glory to all who stood up for the defense of ukraine for independence. glory to ukraine, my life has changed, i didn’t see my father at first, i had to quickly become adults, now
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volunteers act like cats and dogs, make decisions, our organization deals with them now they have different dreams, now they are different people, more the new generation of new ukrainians the new generation will definitely know how to feed our country, this experience that we are currently gaining, friends, we will all need it for the future, for sure, that resilience will still need to be learned, it will be necessary in this er world and even more so the world, which now sometimes we see indecisive, but the seventh package of sanctions by the european union against russia will be adopted, the minister of foreign affairs of ukraine, dmytro kuleba, said about this, that is, he is convinced that this package of sanctions will include, however, mr. colabo noted that it is unlikely that this
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package of restrictions there will be an embargo on russian gas , because now there is a situation in which some member states of the european union are dependent on russian gas, so in order to impose an embargo on it, it is necessary to apply certain technological solutions, well, today the european union has adopted the 6th package of sanctions against russia, which it foresees as a partial ban on the import of russian oil, it is about the ban on the delivery of black gold by sea through ports, the disconnection of the largest russian bank, namely sberbank, from the world payment system, the blocking of the broadcast of three state-owned russian broadcasters in the european union and the expansion of the list of russian sanctioned persons well, the european union also decided to allocate 9 billion euros of financial aid to ukraine with us in connection with oleksiy yakubin, a political scientist and candidate of political sciences, with whom we predict what we have
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now in the sense of european union sanctions. of the european union, because you know, for me, the fact that the sanctions will be extended is already a certain discovery, because we heard from certain european politicians that we need to take a little such a pause, in particular, if i'm not mistaken, the minister if i'm wrong , correct me, i said that the pressure on russia needs to be reduced. are you surprised or, on the contrary, inspired by the fact that there will be a continuation of the sanctions pressure? look, if we talk about the sanctions, it seems to me that the key point is that after all, this story is medium-term and long-term, i.e. the strategic course is chosen. and if you and i are talking, for example, about the sixth show of sanctions, yes, we understand that, for example
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, not everything was adopted that we would like. i mean, yes , or even about oil cargo for oil and so on, we see that there are still exceptions, hungary, the time frame is six to eight months, and so on, but it seems to me a very important point that, for the first time, the european union has clearly defined the strategic goal that they want to abandon russian energy carriers, that is, the sixth package of sanctions a showed us that this strategy was chosen so for several weeks, you and i waited in general, while the european union will get to it, but they got to it, i think that here is the key factor a played, of course, first, the moment that active ukraine did not let the european union forget about this, yes, because i will remind you that from many platforms, for example, volodymyr zelensky spoke and appealed to the governments of the countries of the european
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union and to the peoples of western europe about the fact that energy carriers are the moment that this a faucet , let's call it that, which allows you to constantly finance the russian military machine and, accordingly, the decrease in the use of russian energy carriers potentially means that there will be less resources in russia for two days of war in ukraine actually saying, i think that the most important thing is that the sixth package of sanctions showed that the european union will be strategically determined. yes, they will refuse russian negatives regarding gas. to be honest, i did not expect that this would be a quick story . i will honestly tell you what is there, for example, in this package. and we will see. why? because the european countries, some of them said before that they are unlikely
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to be able to find an alternative very quickly in a year and a half, at least some countries, but here is an important point that still still, it seems to me that the e-e direction is formed because you will notice that a number of european countries are gradually adding to the list of countries that refuse to e-e russian gas due to the fact that they are not ready, for example, to implement this scheme that was proposed in the russian federation in relation to the so-called payment in rubles, in fact e well, we understand that the same key idea in this scheme is simply that russia is afraid of losing these funds, as happened with part of them, and the types that turned out to be frozen in western banks, yes, that is, but i have already noticed this and the netherlands and the same in finland, that is, the list of countries that stop using e.e., even if there are sanctions. that is what i think is very important. yes, for now, without the introduction of
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sanctions, that stop using e.e. russian gas, their list is increasing, that is, i think it can be so. leave what and here's the seventh or eighth package there, it's simply related to sanctions, most countries are already unilaterally. they will reach such a package themselves to a situation where in fact they will not use it because they choose those the russian energy carriers themselves, we still remember that the united states also wanted to take advantage of this story because they also wanted to supply liquefied gas. well, this was in fact and until february 24 there was such an initiative, you knew mr. oleksiy . can influence biden to try to deny these countries or in some way block hmm this
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gas tap well, we see that and the nord stream is most likely buried so here is the night nord stream-2 that is, this is one moment and if we talk about the increase in exports from the united states of america is yes, the increase is taking place, but again, there is a moment related to technological aspects, that is, you can't know, would you like it in a month so that you can build the appropriate terminals or increase the number of those the very ships that could deliver liquefied gas to europe, but this is a much longer process, but to make it sour, i think that the moment is important that, after all , this course, with the sixth package of sanctions, the european union has shown and what it chooses this course uhu, then let's talk about the sixth such sanctions , there is such an opinion that a partial oil embargo, at least
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on the sea on cars, is already the collapse of russia in the long-term and medium-term perspective, and if you outlined these numbers, maybe what we mean when we talk about the collapse of russia or maybe you don't do you agree with this opinion, well, this is 100%, er, a decrease in the presence of russia in highly capable and er, highly profitable markets, because in reality it is clear that there will be countries that will er, in a different way, buy er, russian oil, in the end, we see that some asian countries are doing this, but it is not absolutely possible to find the prices that the bars could get if it continued to sell or hold these markets in europe that it has. that is, it is absolutely different prices. so, russia, here, russia has to dump for
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of asian countries and the price of oil. that is, it turns out that profits will actually decrease in the medium-term and long-term perspectives in the context of russia's oil, yes, even in europe, but we know that we have an assessment of the european union itself that by the end of the year, russia will receive 12 billion. and there is a lot less here. is it a little, in fact, it is not a small amount, that is, it is clear that uh, well, what is the nuance here that we see that even these decisions are selective , which decisions to make affect uh the price, for example, for the same one is too out there on the world markets, and the price is really there for some time, a certain shock occurs, of course. it can increase . why the key problem is that it loses these high-profit, high-margin markets. and yes, russian oil
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will be sold. but it will not be the prices that are on the world exchanges, that is, the increase in prices. in fact, it will not bring russia much profit in this case, and moreover, it will notice what, for example, the european union after they agreed, for example , offshore oil is prohibited, they really went here, even contradicting their own interests in many ways . russia and there, for example, there will be job losses and so on, but they agreed, after all, strategically, this decision now became known a few days ago that the united states is actually helping russia to declare default even earlier than what other countries planned to do and what did the russian economists predict, because
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now we are talking about the end of june. it is precisely because the united states has blocked the very system of payment of foreign debts. please tell me how important it is or what problem it can be. solve it now russia, that is. as far as i understand, please explain this blocking of that system that even if there is money , it is no longer possible to transfer it and pay it correctly. how does it work? well , the point is that ah, look, there is just such a discussion from the side of what do they say about the fact that a number of their accounts are frozen in western banks and because of that they, for example, cannot make payments, and moreover they say that they can make payments, for example, in rubles and not in those currencies for example, there were yes they took
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some certain debt obligations and again really. this tells us that the potential introduction of the so-called technical default is getting closer, and in the context of the russian federation, that is, i do not rule out that in the end the financial sector is also the 11th sector which to be able to. he very strongly feels independent moments because sberbank, for example, with the sixth package is disconnected in europe. but the united states of america or great britain are so much better. they asked this question before, that is, the russian financial sectors, again also forced to reorient or to asian markets but in fact or well, that is, to look for an alternative somewhere there a a but in fact from super profitable er and those opportunities that they had before so they are losing opportunities again and that is why there in the country will agree to be partners of a country
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in which such an economic situation is theoretically possible, then it can be, or even a related question arises. does the announcement of a technical or real default in russia have any significance now, and if this country is recognized by the civilized world how the aggressor country, and everyone has seen what that is, is it already isolated, or does anyone else invest in russia at all, and about the announcement, for example, of a default, or what kind of flaw is it, the boy’s mind prevailed, what will it matter if this defoe does happen, see - and here it is such a political and economic issue, in fact, ah, because ah, the announcement of default, and this will simply mean that russia, for example, is probably a stage eh, there can say that we will be there for the time being, discussions about how we will pay eh what debts do we have to the westerners? countries, but the nuance is that some non-western countries, well, they do not refuse contacts with the russian federation, that is, these
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contacts are economic, including continuing, another matter, and what about these countries and the strength of this can be said of victory and our diplomacy and they are not ready to provide, for example, russia with the opportunity to get around, i mean, for example, the situation with the people's republic of china, yes. that is, it turns out that it is possible in russia, there were hopes that it would make it very easy to bypass the selection mechanism, but that is not so, that is, the fact that non-countries will have economic contacts with the russian federation. well, it seems to me that this is an obvious point. i have already said, for example, even in the context of oil, that there will be countries that will buy oil from russia at dumping prices, but the nuance is that if russia comes out, it will still be limited from highly profitable western e-e, i.e. it will have to look for some analogues
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and so on. well, once again it is clear that for investors these points about technical default, they are unlikely to add advantages to investing e in russia the federation, that is, investors from all over the world iphone is like this in the eastern countries you are talking about, will it have any effect on their willingness to cooperate with russia or will they take it into account 100%. look just as it already is, for example, on a number of high-tech productions that, for example, you operate in the asian eastern countries, but at the same time, taking into account the sanctions, they try to avoid the rate of individual supplies , for example, to the same russian federation, so the nuance here is that of course, the world economy let's talk like this globally, of course she also feels all these things. but russia yes. she is moving somewhere in the direction of a crisis that has probably not been seen there since
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the beginning of the 90s, and because even the most conservative forecasts say that russia will lose more than 10% of its own paper, and in the near future sometimes yes, that is, you understand that this is actually a huge percentage and in the context of jobs and so on, it will affect and compensators, for example , in the same asian countries or the countries of the entrepreneurial region, well, russia cannot find that is, we are seeing this already, it seems to me that the kremlin is gradually beginning to realize this reality to a greater degree. but it is clear that it will take time to feel it, but we are waiting. as mr. kuleba said, the seventh package of sanctions is also not far away, thank you very much for comments oleksiy , who was with us in communication, a political scientist and a candidate of political sciences. thank you and good night to you. and
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maybe we are studying in the conversation mykhailo sheltfilm on also a political technologist and writer. hello mykhailo hello good night vot we only heard from our ukrainian colleague from your ukrainian colleague. and the technologist also heard the phrase that he wrote himself. the kremlin began to understand reality. how do you think it is? but with your own eyes, how do you think creams already feel the reality of what is happening in the world. and in ukraine, this set of people is quite a large set, it is dozens of people, so what we call the word creams, among them there are only a few who understand it, but they understand it from the first i didn't understand today, i didn't understand yesterday, but there are all these soldiers there, deaf, patrushevy, and so on,
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who live by a simple slogan, yes. then we 'll figure it all out. they believe that it is fair enough that the winners of this war get everything, let's admit it to ourselves that if we, ukraine, cannot win the war, then russia will get everything, it will return successfully to the international arena, and so on, and only our victory can to guarantee that russia, that's all, that's all, all these sanctions from work - that's all, and that's all, measures against russia will work, and that's how to ensure our security. well, we talked about what you just said, that not only putin is in the kremlin's corner, that there are other people who understandably take part in this, but now there is information that putin is seriously ill, he is waiting for him, or he is already being operated on, and what do you think, who are the people who now, during putin's absence
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, have taken over the leadership of the country, or are they ready to do it in the near future, if necessary , the first point is the people who are ready to take on themselves in such a group, i see two and one group - this is understandable, the security forces, in particular, patrushev, but who will not be in my opinion, i am absolutely sure that he will not personally fuse the russian federation this is a man with negative charisma. that is, if you look at it, you probably never looked at his dynamics, because he almost does not perform in public, that is, a person at a performance. but if you look at his video, it is obviously not very a thin voice is so wooden , they talk enough, but they are not able to reach the old putin . the people will not accept him. it is obvious, and i am sure that he knows this about himself, so he will definitely be a new player to a great extent. - the second thing is that bortnikov can be uh, put the director of the fsb and it can be by mouth, for example, the current prime
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minister, because according to the constitution of russia, in the case of putin being useful there, here you go become an example of a minister, but we will definitely be puppets absolutely in the hands of a patrushego, they are a fool, this is one group, the second group, what is the second oligarchic group , there is a game in the hands of abramovich and derbasky . lavrov, who they have on their payroll, that's deribaska, the abramovych group, these are people who will soon put someone a little more intellectual, someone who can negotiate with the west in someone's language a little more independently, that is, he was not alone run russia together there, and these are friends, the spirits of the two korpovichs, that is, people who were close to putin, but were either arrested by the authorities or possibly in prison, now there are two former putin ministers in prison, and here is one of them, for example , there is such a challenge here he slept, unsuitable candidate, he speaks english well, in general, such a western-oriented person
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. this is who the oligarchs will choose. the vision is to change, i explain in what sense it will change, it is clear that if the people do not change, we cannot count on it a-a but there is eh why do we need putin to change in ukraine why do we why do we want him dead let's be honest a-a no because tomorrow someone softer will come, maybe then he will appear more harsh and with much more guilt, he will continue military actions, this is quite realistic , but no one except putin will be able to hold on to the chair of the head of russia in these positions, here are his new ones with all the dictatorship for a long time all of them will quickly fly out of that chair because there is no money in russia to create a new putin, the creation of putin , putin is the most expensive brand in the world, it is not apple, there is no coca-cola, namely putin, because
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two trillion have been invested in the name of putin dollars in 22 years, the russian federation, all its propaganda channels, all its channels, bribes handed out around the world, a huge number of world officials, all the olympics, the world football championship, on the surface, we know the world football championship, they brought a hundred champions to the world on skis on santa why, and another million formulas, two trillion dollars were spent on putin's name and personal brand, which will convert any new person inside and outside of russia. he is not 22 years old, not two trillion dollars, so it is impossible to create such a god and king from him, and the russian people well, you can pray to the divine priest, which you will not be able to make out of the little one, you understand, if the idea is the same, we understand that. well, at least people are satisfied with what is happening now
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because, well, how was it actually who didn't have money and doesn't have any. who hasn't traveled abroad. he still doesn't travel now. that is, the idea must change. or the person who will say the same words. why should they change their opinion because of russia? he lives for the sake of three things, as we know god, the tsar, and the ethical school until the 17th year, and there is no god in russia, that is, instead of ne mogundyaev, well , no one believes it, even the russian fatherland itself, too, somehow, the tsar remains lost somewhere they believe in all these ideas as long as the king speaks them there is putin, who says all this on tv, they are talking about it. well, as soon as there is bortnikov instead of putin, they will not even understand who he is, no one will remember his last name, no one will believe him. очень продержится это мы всё названия в 1917 год феврале когда очая
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