can you confirm this? and what kind of road is this, well , in fact, theoretically so, because in ancient times, what is called pre-war, until 2014, even this road that passes through mariupol was called rostov don from simferopol, if my memory serves me right. it passes through the center of the city, in fact it goes through the left bank through the former so-called tagnarov highway, then crawls from austral across the bridge to the rivers and kalmius and further through the center of the city e-e exits to mangushke to e-e to mangoshi and then through berdyansky gives really to crimea, but here there is such a question that they have connected something there. first, this road must be put in order, because on the way to mariupol, the bridges are damaged, even the only bridge that connects the left bank with the right bank in mariupol is also

damaged, and for the big year they are very suitable, and while we do not see any attempts to repair it in the city, so far these are only loud statements , in fact, that is, in fact, this is a theoretical road or the one that existed before russia began to annex our territories and now considering the fact that the russian federation controls these territories , then they declare that the restoration of this road connection by land should be understood correctly. well, that is, theoretically , they renewed the land route to crimea , taking into account all the territories that are currently temporarily occupied, then such a fact can be recorded. well but at the same time, the minister of defense of the russian federation immediately announced that the necessary conditions have been created for the restoration of railway traffic to crimea through the territory of ukraine and as for the situation, that is, it is obvious that if they

have two railway roads to crimea, one through the bridge and the other through our territory, then they will certainly use it in the war that russia intensified after february 24 in relation to the railway . as far as i know, the restoration of the railway track in the direction of mariupol to volnovakha, it has already been partially restored, they even reported that there is a message from the so-called dnr that it is even possible to use the gland, starting from sports, but on small speeds, it means that they really renewed something there, but not completely regarding the passage of the railway connection with the crimea. well, to be honest, it looks very, very controversial because there is no direct connection, for example, from mariupol to the crimea, and this has to be understood some kind of track that goes

from the beginning to volnovakha and from volnovakha through the zaporizhzhia region. it should go to the crimea. i am not ready to say what is there from volnovakha and beyond, but well , to volnovakha, they can be there today and are working on it to restore the railway connection in this regard well, i am more concerned about the railway connection from mariupol to volnovakha, because given that the port has partially resumed its operation, it is possible to supply military equipment and military weapons, ammunition of this and that, through the mariupol port, and this, in principle , reduces the it can go to mariupol from mariupol further to the north of the donetsk region. of course, this situation is still behind the spill, but it has no relation to the connection with crimea, but in general, about mariupol as

the transport hub is actually such an important point that you emphasized, mr. petrenko, then i would like to talk about another threat to the townspeople and possibly to other territories, this is cholera . this was emphasized, but here it is an important point to understand the scale of the threat, how many people can be affected by cholera, is it possible to go beyond the borders of mariupol, let's start with that. apparently, cholera is the highest level that can not only cholera is enough, in fact, today from the point of view of threat assessment, even banal dysentery is enough, which can give us signs of an epidemic, and if any infectious disease of a similar class occurs in mariupol, then during the summer we will

lose even ten thousand people, yes for sure , if we do not take any urgent measures, they may come out in time, this threat can theoretically go beyond the borders of mariupol, and of course, beyond the territory of the city, if it starts, well, at any time, at any time territories where there is a normally functioning medical system, it does not pose such a big threat in fact. yes, it can be localized and it can be fought, and it doesn’t even matter if it is the territory controlled by ukraine or it is the occupied territory or you are the territory of russia in general, but for mariupol, the occurrence of such a disease means death for several thousand people in a very, very short period. and how many people in total are left in mariupol as of now so that we understand the percentage? are those who are in the risk zone at least from 100 to 150,000 people now

remains in the city and if this disease really breaks out in full fury, then it is so. it is very threatening for the number of people who work in the city, considering that the medical system is not class in mariupol, despite the statement of the occupiers. yes, and all these beautiful the video does not correspond to reality, there is no normal supply of medicines and there is no sanitary and epidemiological control at all, in fact, that is, this is a situation that can really turn into very deplorable consequences. ugh, that is , in fact, a pro-humanitarian situation. further on in the city, but the citizens do not receive medical care as such, that is, they formally disclosed four what they call hospitals , hospitals in view of the capacities required for the city even for such a number of people as there are now.

well, this is about 25% of the need, and this mostly concerns of outpatient treatment. we analyzed even published their data. that is, all four hospitals receive less per day than there was a banal outpatient clinic in the city of mariupol . one in one day, that is, of this catastrophic it is not enough, especially given the state of the people, the state in which they live even today, this is the region, it is not enough to open four occupier pharmacies in the city, again, there is no money. by philanthropists from russia and in quotes they transport in boxes what medicines they give out in a mass order to people sometimes there are one and the same medicine for headaches but i don’t know arbitrarily joints that is,

you keep what is that’s why the medical system it paralyzed in the city, in fact, in front of the humanitarian aid, there was information in the media about the fact that the current self-proclaimed city government indicated that only 300 people received humanitarian aid, and in fact, this is 25 hundredths of percent of this number of citizens who remained in the city if hmm to push back from the numbers you say so, that is, it is even less than a percentage, mr. peter, but an important point is that you called on russians to learn from khamenutsia or ukrainian or international specialists to the point of preventing the spread of cholera in the city . and why can't they cope with this on their own ? well, here is a trivial question. who are the specialists who can cope with you? in fact, the collaborationist occupation authority is the public authority. civilian

authority . from the side, but knowing who is currently running the city there, well, there is no one to even understand what needs to be done, first of all, and secondly, all the facilities that could help and which have been destroyed in the city are able to at least record those data, that is, the former sanitary and pedagogical station was destroyed, but they did with the laboratory in general very, very interestingly, they showed propaganda videos that this is a biolaboratory in what kind of cholera? and grew it, so the investigative bodies of russia or the bodies of the so-called dnr seized all the laboratory equipment, took it to donetsk and joined the criminal case.

specialists uh, uh, uh, that's why at least they don't allow the ukrainian authorities to take any actions in the city, that's why at least the international authorities were allowed ah, but at least well, at least they brought some influential russians or specialists from russia to even understand what's going on there but the actions of the occupying power are happening. they are very interested in all the appeals that come from the ukrainian side, regardless of how well-founded they are. a warning from the ukrainian side, they are starting to say that these are all fakes, that this is all untrue, and that is why we will not do anything, that is, well, this is a very strange behavior that is incomprehensible to us, although looking at how the kupana government behaves, how it treats the people of mariupol, in particular, everything becomes

logical in principle because people who change are worthless and not interesting at all, and if today there are 100,000 people, tomorrow there will be 10,000 people. well, that's how it happened. this is their policy, mr. peter. if i'm not mistaken, you also repeatedly said in the media about the fact that the russian and local and russian authorities in every possible way are calling to return to mariupol, as if showing that the city is a liberated city. the green city is being restored, although at the same time they are sorting out the rubble with corpses . mariupol is being dismantled with electricity in order to hide their crimes like this. and why do they need the return of mariupol residents to their homes even if these homes are bombed? well, this is a question that we are trying to find an answer to in the entire municipality as an analytical component . well, we

have two hypotheses about this. well, first of all, that in this way they are forming a new human shield. we are not very sure and with whom and for how long they came to mariupol. this is one hypothesis of ours and another hypothesis - it is more related to the future of mariupol today, mariupol and those who remain are mostly hmmm, let's say a category of the population that is not very able to work. of course , first of all, it is people of retirement age, it is elderly people, it is people with disabilities who could not leave the city that is, they need working hands, they need specialists in addition to all that. in such a cunning way, they are trying to get people who can work, that is, to artificially increase the able-bodied population on the spot and then proceed with the scenario of separating the able-bodied population from the unable-to -work population. for this, of course, they will use first deportation and second resettlement elderly people separately in the so

-called e-e dormitory in a kind of occupying hospice and form a military-industrial base about what we talked about in the beginning, yes using the port using some of the facilities and the ilyich plant a-a azov in general that azov elektrostali that remained in order to repair the equipment to fix it in the city is not so difficult to use the port as a transshipment , including military equipment, military weapons for that they actually need it there well somewhere i i don’t know 30,000 people able to work, all the rest are not needed today for such a reserve of conditional labor mobilization. they don’t have such a reserve. they, er, overlap with each other somewhere and both have the right to life, and in principle, those actions of the occupiers that exist today rather confirm both

hypotheses and previously refute one clarification because you said, that is, they want to replace those who cannot work with young people who are able to work. i am correct i understand, yes, that is, well, look. yes, if we talk about it in a little more detail, it looks as follows. well, for example, they even registered themselves that in the city they have 48 thousand pensioners who will actually receive a pension there are many more of these people because there is a large number of elderly people who are formally entitled to receive a russian pension or a conditional dnr pension there, but due to their own opposition, they did not go for this registration. that is, it is almost twice as many people only of retirement age, but well, not even twice. let it be no 48, it will be 70,000 pensioners. we have 70,000 pensioners in the city today. we say that there are up to 150,000. well, let it be somewhere around 130,000 people. yes, this is the number that i am more

confident about. today, of the 130,000 people, we have that's about 70,000, he increases as much as half, these are people who can't work, we'll add about 10 thousand, these will be people who can't work due to health "i can't work. it's already somewhere around 60-70% of people who are unable to work. let's add children to our homes, teenagers, and we have a working-age population in the city today. well, there are approximately 40,000 people, and then, let's see, girls, let's see . on the social e-e composition of these people on their the state of health in mariupol today is reflected in the state of the person and the number of people who should be involved in the management of the city - these are

collaborators and the provision of social infrastructure in some inherent condition, we have that in the city there are 10-20 thousand people who are able to work, and so on it starts with able-bodied people. why is it not just unskilled labor? yes, sometimes it is necessary, mostly there are specialists and utility workers, and there are engineers and all kinds of things. i don’t know there, turners and repairmen. that is, the catastrophic overlay of these people with the occupiers will understand who can respond to this call to return, what is the social stature of these people and who are the specialists among these people , so they may not be able to work with it powerfully. so when if and not when we will consider if they will recruit there from 30 to 50,000 people they need to provide the military-industrial base of the

occupation, the process will begin, it must begin now, that is, the process of such a soft replacement will begin, it will be deportation, of course, and dispersion people in the donetsk region and in the economically depressed regions of russia, because there they have money for this, there is minimal social support, yes, it is easier than feeding here and so on . 000 able-bodied people who will be compactly settled somewhere, you can feed them, you can, in principle, give them water, you can warm them and keep them at some social minimum of needs, because mariupol is now at the social minimum of needs, even well, it’s not even not a minimum yes there is no beyond the border yes and in principle they have such a kind of service yes such a

new form of slavery let’s name it by our names for you to provide for your own needs mr. petro thank you for sharing these prospects that i am working on is your team analyzing the actions of the occupier in mariupol thank you for joining our broadcast petro andryushchenko adviser to the mayor of mariupol or together with us we are moving forward the only news together we are strong will support the ukrainian army with money scan the code and tymofiy mylovanov president of the kyiv school of the economy minister of economic development 2019-2020 adviser to the head of the office of the president of ukraine is now joining our broadcast p timofiya i congratulate you so let's talk about the current economic situation in the country well, we have a forecast that the fall in gdp this year will be 45%, and the daily colossal losses of the state budget inflation, a huge decrease in the level of exports and imports, the suspension of the activity of a third of ukrainian enterprises, i.e. this is the picture, and

it is clear that the financial support of our foreign partners saves us a lot now, but whether can we count on it in the future and in what volumes do we need it to keep our economy afloat? about 5 billion dollars a month will be needed, this will be enough to fulfill the budget. now the question is whether this money will be provided or will it be provided constantly. they look like they will be what will happen to us with the hryvnia exchange rate, what are the forecasts, it is difficult to say , moreover, everyone is taught this rule on the spot. which is completely unregulated. this cryptocurrency market

and there crypto hryvnia is closed, the dollar is going there today. it is about 35 hryvnias ago. it is like this on such an unlimited market. the official exchange rate of the national bank is 29.25, but we also see the exchange rate . well, what happens next depends on how much income will come if financial income will come to ukraine exactly as promised, i think there will be no problems and if they don't come, well, it's a war here, it's difficult to plan for the recovery of ukraine let's talk about it in more detail, what should be the main focus now and what areas of development the state will bet on for the fastest recovery of the economy. in my opinion, we need two tools, or we need to focus on two things, firstly, that there should be

savings, that people, that the economy, and somehow before invested, it was an investment policy, and at the same time, it is necessary that it be possible, wherever possible, a combination through the military and civil administrations, but that there should be more definition for business, exactly which goods and products will be needed and these two effects, together with the encouragement of savings, a little, well, such a macroeconomic conditional and the encouragement of government spending to support the economy, together they must lead the economy through wartime, and already after wartime it is necessary to return to the market economy and provide the opportunity for business to develop as freely as possible if we are talking about investment in the restoration of ukraine, who is already promising us help and with which countries we

plan to work on this issue in the most practical, strongest size and speed the partner is now the united states of america, they provide money and without return, it is important for us , the european union also helps, but there the money goes more like loans, well, in the european union , it is like that. as a matter of fact , quite often this is almost irreversible aid, but aid is more than aid if we are approximately like trivalences there, these are the two main sources of funding now, to what extent do we generally feel the willingness of investors to invest in a country in which hostilities are being waged in order for investors to invest in countries in which hostilities are being waged , they need protection against

military risks . there are no such risks, that is why the role of the state and the european union and the united states of america and britain and canada is needed here in order to establish or provide such a commerce of insurance of commercial enterprises against the city risk then investments will be if we are talking about sanctions sanctions against the aggressor russia has already repeatedly predicted a default how long do we have to wait for it ? it is adapting, all economies are adapting to the crisis, the ukrainian one is also being attacked, the adaptation period is from three to six

months, after that a certain stability will come, maybe it will be stagnation, but stability if the russian economy did, despite american sanctions well, the european chances of america's leadership were significant in terms of, for example, the seizure of their assets, the russian economy still has a budget surplus, which means that they receive more money than they spend. thus, if the financial situation is relatively good, it will worsen over time, therefore, sanctions on them because sanctions will work, but they will still be at the expense of the sale of gas and oil, and they earn more than e-e, so their situation is relative, well , it has become worse, but not critical, they are falling in gdp 11 maybe 10-11%, which in absolute terms is two to two and a half times more than ours, but they have money.

well, based on what you said, what does this mean that the sanctions pressure on russia is still not enough, so it is necessary to continue the pressure the pressure on two levels of people at the level of export or financing is what we see in the news quite often it is about embargoing oil and partly an innovator, that is, over time it is necessary to switch to a full tank, the same with gas, it is necessary to fill up and barge because of the time barva is such you know. imagine the situation where you are are you trying to block the river? yes, and you blocked only half of it, or 2/3 of the people there, then all the same water will flow through that part just faster, more with greater pressure, and where it is open, it is not quite like that, this analogy works in reality i.e., russia suffers from this, but they are still the same export mechanisms, therefore, exports must be limited, payments must be limited, and also imports

, especially critical imports needed for their urban vocal complex, must be limited, and here in more. but russia is constantly finding ways evasion of sanctions and ukraine, together with the whole world , is constantly working to close such avenues. that is, you know it correctly , every day there is an economic front, and here are the victories of someone and losses, and this constant daily work is what we are talking about if we are talking about the food crisis due to problems with exports in ukraine, some food products began to become cheaper, and this is of course good for consumers, but we understand that this is disappointing for the economy, the export of which groups of products in our country is currently suffering the most and what consequences will this have the export of 70 economic products grain suffers the most, you see everything says a lot, also about 20-25 million tons of grain castle

are either in snags or a in warehouses and cannot be exported, this is money, this is concrete live money for our private individuals, ana, this money will be lost if we are not able to expertize, moreover, in the future, the next prize winners will also be a loss, otherwise we will not be able to export, russia will use this mechanism as a pressure on us and the whole world because we lose money and the whole world does not receive grain, but grain is then needed for food security in the region, that is why russia is now using food security as a weapon strategically, just as it has always done with an energy weapon economically, now it is also doing it with food. well, this is the world of understanding. we have some real mechanisms to stop it now, block the ports, there are such examples in history, for example

, recently there was a mirror times column where the commander of the ship told, in fact, they flew, er, in their time, when iran blocked the oil there, asterisk there will be a raptor, and nato gave a convoy and escorted it from a ship from iraq, and iran was afraid to attack such a convoy, this is exactly what can be done in ukraine, there can be either nato convoys or international clubs or youth groups of others, well, that is, the organization of the united nations, convoys that are humanitarian which are related to food security and this convoy, russia will not attack if there are enough of them, remember, and the european union has abolished customs duties on ukrainian exports to eu countries. we already see some quick benefits for the ukrainian economy from this. there is a certain benefit almost instantly, two mechanisms,

one direct, one indirect, direct mechanism - this is when more profits remain with ukrainian companies and, accordingly, then its profits of ukraine, and the second mechanism, because the registration is faster, there is no regulation, fewer papers, less money. that is, what is the order of money? it's hundreds of millions of dollars, but not tens of billions , timofey. i thank you very much for the conversation, for your forecasts and explanations, and timofey mylovanov , president of the kyiv school of economics, minister of economic development, 2019-2020, advisor to the manager the office of the president of ukraine was in touch with us, he is the only news, together we are strong, he will support the ukrainian army with money, scan the code, what's up, then it's time to move on to the news, our information team has prepared them, and olena morozova is ready to

present olena, please, colleagues, a fresh selection of news already ready and we are ready to start, we have united for the sake of truth i welcome you to kyiv 11:00 at night every day every minute the only news continues the only news the only news on the front line of the information front irpin kharkiv brovaryv zhytomyr highway from lviv okhtyrky a new neighborhood of the capital from the sounds of air raids, gunshots, we risk the occupiers, they hit the kyiv tv tower with rockets, we care when you go on the air, you understand there are many people there , and everyone really needs to hear it, we unite