where? because we have to work. i love ukraine. i was born here and i want to live here. we work with faith in ukraine. we analyze the most relevant events simply on the air, attracting influential guests and professional experts . in june, the espresso studio tv channel will again broadcast an event with anton borkovsky every saturday at 1:00 p.m. with a repeat at 10:00 p.m. studio zahid do not miss the most important thing february 24 the date that changed us the date that changed the world and now the most interesting thing for us our victory, when we defeat the enemy, how to predict the course of the war, the saturday political club program

returns to the espresso airwaves to help understand the events and predict the consequences, that on saturdays vitaly portnikov and maria gurska will discuss the most relevant to draw appropriate conclusions, if you want to know how what is happening today will affect our tomorrow, watch saturday political club that saturdays on espresso greetings, dear viewers, so viko complete extremely important visit of macron scholz drago and yohanis took place of the president of romania to kyiv and the leading figures of the european continent stated that ukraine has the right to receive the status of a candidate for membership of the european union. this is an extremely important story, we do not know what happened in the so-called sidelines, but president macron noted that no one will demand from ukraine certain territorial concessions on the

other hand, we see how aggravated the situation is in the east of ukraine, we see that the enemy is once again trying to break through to kharkiv, and we understand that a significant part of our troops on donetsk region and luhansk region are under an extremely serious threat. we will talk about this and other things with a retired british colonel, military expert glenok grant. and about the games of russian oligarchs, we will talk with a russian opposition figure, a well-known blogger, a former member of the state duma, mark felny, and now a military expert is on the air of the espresso tv channel. retired british colonel glen grand, grand grand himself, during our conversation in january, said that the russians would advance in several directions, and it was he who gave an extremely important the advice to president zelensky, which there are fears, he did not listen to. so he said colonel landgrant in january, common sense, mr.

president zelenskyi, is that russia is preparing to attack you, prepare to repel the attack by all means. once again, thank you very much, dear mr. colonel, for this is a serious warning, but we we see what is currently happening in the theater of operations, and now i would like to give a small analysis of the scenarios of special scenarios of how the war will proceed, this is a very difficult question, it is certain the challenge of the right, i largely predicted how the attack would take place. it happened exactly as i expected it, the russians used their artillery power to simply level everything to the ground, to sweep away the ukrainian troops as much as possible before the combat clash of the infantry. the current difficulty

is that the russians have the advantage because the ukrainians have put themselves in a defensive position and battles are being fought in places where russia is attacking, choosing where to strike , now this is an area north of luhansk where a lot of troops are concentrated and there they are they are moving forward, there is no doubt about it, russia is advancing, if you look through the eyes of the russians, they really believe that they can win this war somewhere, they have an advantage in this region, also in donetsk in the southeast, they were able to occupy the kherson region and approach mykolaiv, this also gave them the ability to control the canal from kherson to crimea is one of putin’s goals to supply water to crimea, if you look at it from the position of the ukrainian army, they will also say that they are holding on well, but

i don’t know how long ukraine will be able to allow to receive such losses as now in this type of hostilities, in my opinion, the ukrainians should change their approach to hostilities, not try to defeat russia by the russian method one on one, but start maneuvering, not be afraid to retreat where necessary, try to bypass the russians, go to the rear and create for them another military situation is a big challenge and it is difficult to implement, especially if the ministry of the general staff thinks that they need to have a lot of heavy weapons before moving on to this, this is a time of challenges for ukraine and the military must hold out as long as possible i agree with you dear colonel but we see that russia

is using all available firepower all that it has well maybe with the exception of tactical nuclear weapons on the other hand we understand that our allies the united states great britain, poland, estonia , latvia, lithuania and the czech republic, even they are sending us a certain amount of heavy weapons, the french have sent them to us now, but the main question is quantitative, in your opinion, what number should be set? number out of reach, so what number of heavy weapons could ukraine need now? yes, because mykhailo podolyak voiced some absolutely cosmic numbers. it depends on what tactics to use. if you are going to fight russia one-on-one, then you will always need the same amount of artillery. the russians understand this. if you look at the battlefield from the point of view of

maneuver, you need much less artillery to be able to build it in one place and create surprise, create concentration in one place now it is questionable old tactics russia can't win they can always oppose more than you have they will always have more cannon fodder they will have more artillery so the battle must be different which well it must be based on such principles of war as surprise and concentration of forces because until until you will be in a back to back position this is a guaranteed way to defeat because that way they can go on forever bringing soldiers and artillery to the front line so they can operate much longer than ukraine can afford, yes, i agree with you, mr. colonel, that a war of attrition can end extremely unpleasantly for ukraine, on the other hand, we understand that the enemy

did not achieve its goals in a direct military operation, a large part of their so-called achievements, in particular, we are talking about achievements in quotation marks of course, kherson region and mykolaiv region were connected with some such miracle, some extremely strange hybrid operation as a result of which they occupied an extremely strategically important piece of our territory in the south, but now in your opinion , what should we expect? on the one hand, the russians are starting to revive in belarus, on the other hand , we see a resumption of the offensive on kharkiv. it is very interesting . i don't think that the belarusians are ready for a

war of territorial defense, that they have already participated in the battles, they will be able to hold back the belarusians worse than the regular army, how quickly the russians occupied the southeast, this is an incredibly big question somehow what allowed them to do this, why were the passes from crimea not blocked and not received for a certain time? it didn’t take much effort to do this. and no one knows why this is something that people ask and think about. to the people to give an answer, why yes? i am sure that the general staff knows how to wage a war against the russians. i am sure that the genstadt

has the opportunity to win. they have no fear of real hostilities. the weakness is in the training of the defense forces. these forces are not sufficiently prepared. quickly to reach the standards when they could rotate on the battlefield with tired rules, a rethinking is needed here, a new approach to what we will do at the next stage of the war well, if we talk about the time frame, then we understand that the russians have an infinite number of buryats, dagestanis and other peoples of which they are being recruited for the war against ukraine from the other side, we understand that they also cannot endlessly pelt ukraine with the bodies of their soldiers. i think they also look at it from the other side, we understand. so everyone

criticize the sanctions, but we understand that the russian defense industry is currently at the bottom, that is, they are unable to update high-precision weapons because they do not have microcircuits and the chinese do not provide microcircuits. therefore, based on many different, so to speak, direct and indirect scenarios, if you try to make certain assumptions how will this war last, unfortunately, it looks like the russians have enough equipment and people to continue the war for many more months, there is a theoretical possibility that the russian army will collapse and it will just seem like they did it during the first world war, they can make this choice again, but they still have many colonels and generals who want to be promoted and are interested in continuing the

war for the sake of personal glory in russia, so i don't see it ending quickly, we are also right that rockets they have less and less high-tech weapons, they have used and lost a lot, so the quality of these weapons is really falling, but unfortunately , when you have a lot of human resources, you can continue the war for quite a long time simply by prevailing number, quantity becomes a quality unit, in my opinion, it will last at least half a year, it can drag on to a year, unfortunately, the number also has power, and this is very important for the pu. if we talk about the so-called bad scenarios, which in principle threaten us, we can see how courageously our soldiers and

officers, we see that, in principle, the general staff is now performing all the tasks assigned to it. but we understand that our general staff may need some good advice . of a certain threat, it is about one or another russian plan that they would try to apply now in ukraine, the thing is that people should understand that ukraine is on the way to victory, that more russia is being mobilized and that more of their officers are dying, the quality of their troops is decreasing and decreasing, but at the same time ukrainians are also losing good soldiers new scenario to replace the old one soldier vs soldier artillery vs artillery until we start

using ukrainian intelligence i mean using intelligence in classical dimension and not the dimension of spies and so on on the front line, the officers on the ground should be given the opportunity to lead themselves and not just give them orders. you should keep it. read it. just give them clear orders where the main thing is to go to the borders, then let it be their problem, this is the best scenario because after him soldiers and officers themselves will determine the ways to stay alive in the first place, in particular how not to fall under artillery fire, they will find ways , they can better assess how to conduct a battle , relying on their capabilities on the ground should not trying to defeat the russians by the corpse-for-dead method

is not a tactic that will defeat the russians. we must be in their rear, we must go where they do not expect it and do it with such force that they leave the battlefield in fear, we see it now, but it is too slow it should be done stronger, faster, it should be extremely fast lightning attacks, they understood that they would lose so that they would not have a chance to hold the bridgehead 158, so there should be changes in the approach to the battle itself, without this, we get corpse after corpse again and this is not the strategy that will win russians this is a small soviet army against a large soviet army. this is not the best way to initiate hostilities. in your opinion, mr. colonel, which regional centers will be under the greatest

threat? and in general, wherever according to their strategic calculations, they intend to now try, i repeat, try to develop their offensive. at the moment, they do not have enough troops to to carry out an all-out offensive, they cannot renew the attack on kyiv, for example, without using belarusian troops. they took their forces from kharkiv."

there is a problem of supply, a problem of deterrence along the entire line, now they are concentrated in one small territory around luhansk to contain, surround and kill as many ukrainian soldiers as possible in the small area , if they achieve victory there, then after that they can move to kharkiv or sumy or even to kyiv, but for now in they have a lot of work in the north of luhansk region, so i don't see anywhere else right now

something might happen why is it taking so long to get heavy weapons this question is constantly voiced by our military for a very long time and to an inadequate number what is happening with it the same i don't know chancellor olaf scholz is playing some kind of double game yes why is it taking so long to get the weapons that we need the most it is not there is a reproach or accusation of certain countries of the west. yes, but we understand that more than 100 days of the war have already passed. so, when roosevelt opened lend-lease for stalin, i think that they moved much faster then and with larger quantities, first lend-lease in the second world war, it was like this, the whole world was at war for american manufacturers to make much more matches, it should not be forgotten that during the second

world war, production was easier because airplanes were simpler, cars were simpler then there were no such technological challenges as now, so it was quite easy for such automotive manufacturers like say ford to quickly change and produce new equipment is not so easy now there are no such opportunities anywhere else in the world these are big challenges but this is reality the following is the need for training weapons have become more complex and more time is needed for training. i know that the ukrainian military learns how to use this or that equipment very quickly, but there is still a limitation

. wasted and the equipment will no longer be used a certain number of american weapons were simply put out of order destroyed due to improper use you must know how to properly care for these weapons we have and a long delivery from america to the front line can be implemented in a few days, something can be delivered by plane, and something can only be delivered by ship, it is impossible to transfer many things at once by plane, so transportation is the main factor in the delay, time

for training and weeks fly by, you talked about scholz and maybe a double game here is one thing it is clear that something very, very bad is happening inside the german baronka, part of it is trivially broken, which is expected, and also a possible game of scholze with russia, which also seems probable to me. but these two things together they only mean that we do not receive the help from germany that we should have, the germans say that help will come, but in fact everything there moves extremely simply, extremely long and is constantly postponed, all that the russians want in this war is the certainty of predictability and you have to deprive them of that you should stop looking at the eu and nato, because you have no influence on them, just look ahead, fight and win and everything will go right, common sense will win, it is a great

pity that i have to end our conversation, thank you very much mr. colonel, i would like to remind our viewers that on the air of the espresso tv channel, a military expert, retired colonel of the great britain army, glen grant, worked. and now on the air of the espresso tv channel, mark feigin, a member of the russian opposition, a former member of the state duma, we will analyze aloud the most important things that happened. well, probably the most important event was the visit of four heads of state shultz, draghi macron and iohannis , the president of romania, also assured their support for ukraine's application for membership in the european union. this is extraordinary an important case, we understand that it is not just an application, and we understand that it involves a lot of other possibly non-public things mark,

let's try to make ends meet, so to speak, with the candidates well, i think that indeed they did not come by chance together because if i would only talk about the town in the form of m, that is, the victimized person who is being tested by ukraine in the form of an application. while there are still members, yes, for this there was no need to come . of course, we were talking about the peace plan proposed by mariudrende, and the demand will persuade zelensky to make some concessions, all the more so literally in romania the day before , macron himself said that zelensky would have to go to negotiations. after the negotiations, a statement about the territorial unity of ukraine and the support of the ukrainian people and the supply of weapons

, including the french, announced additional nuclear installations and so on что определённо president zelenskyi didn't go to any compromises, i think so , it's possible that something remained non-public, it's possible, it's possible that something is for sure, mark, for sure, i have such a feeling that something remained non-public, only why, only because yohaniz appeared for example, not andrzej duda, and we understand that england duda, the president of poland, would not get involved in these conversations, i don't know in the context of this and macrons, who have their own vision for the regulation of continental security, rather, some issues were discussed, something was proposed certainly something was discussed, was it achieved, you say, we don’t know about that, they are not public negotiations and not public decisions, and i tend to think that zelensky can introduce the game in such

a way that let’s have some reliable ones on potentially agreeing after the decision on candidacy in eesa was founded literally just a few days ago . still, it seems to me that he will definitely not make concessions on a part of territorial integrity, and there in the raspberry of sovereignty to unilaterally assume obligations, he will not go on one simple the reason is that it is not accepted by the ukrainian public opinion well, he himself does not want to, but he always has the strongest argument. well, he recognized the status quo of the territories occupied by the russian occupiers after february 24. solution with fertilizer there parliament with fertilizer m-m

eh well, in the general public opinion of ukraine , he can only promise any compromises that allow conditions moscow is from what we can see directly now. later it will become clear what moscow was waiting for hysterically. it will be clear if they end smoothly , but it failed, that is, the village will also be lavrovoi street, and i think even putin will comment on it. bears, i’m also not so weakly aroused, it’s so easy to openly insult them and be rude. let it be in the worthless twitter. well, all the same, representatives of the most powerful states of the european union call them lovers of frogs, liver, and what, and pasta, well, it’s just primitive, but rude and very fast, well, you know how he is the figure is not very serious, in fact, he was just put on rudeness from the estate quietly, you understand this, the former president of

russia, it’s easier, for a minute, in a similar way, the whole video is about this again and again what is he? because it condemns them to the continuation of the war. and we don't know. this is where it follows. this is a mysterious story. how much does moscow have in reserve? people don't go to it. european leaders there, an american linguist does not come. how did they happen to moscow in order to protect the achieved result? they will continue to lead the offensive there in the northeast of ukraine, and in the beginning they will protect kherson, eh, the zaporizhia direction, we do not know, but the buryat autonomous district will soon

become deserted . it's just like that and here they will charge the contract fee, i tell you, maybe conscripts from st. petersburg, from moscow, from some larger cities, and there i think the public is not happy. that is, it is not 200-300 military bucks for the buryat family, which perceives this as manna from heaven. well, i agree. yes, because there is enough rubber, purely human, they are enough for mobilization. putin obviously does not want to go, but the point is that the absence of negotiations in the absence of a peace plan, it is necessary to somehow identify natural efforts in order to continue the war, because russia has to strain harder, despite the countless endless jurisprudence from the point of view of people and the military, the production of such elementary things is not going anywhere the problem lies in the fact that you are opposed to it by very modern western weapons, which clearly do not provide parity and give advantages to the ukrainian side, and this is where

you understand, as in the case of the general staff, this is all they consider. how many howitzers have arrived. we call us little russian yes, how many armored vehicles will be used, or the germans will usually put the lion's share of these weapons in ukraine, what then, what then this leaves more questions for moscow, purely military operative ones, and it does not solve political problems. moscow wanted to compromise with ukraine, but ukraine does not agree with us because it seemed that negotiations were coming, but the same body proposed a meeting at the highest level between zelensky and putin. it doesn’t suit you, please crush him yourself and bring his head to zelenskyi’s blues, well, it also sounds like what lavrov peskov said, and putin himself, one way or another, it makes no sense to meet with zelensky because it was not reached yet, they agreed on the lower levels, because such a meeting should

fix the already reached burnout. but it is interesting that medinsky came to life again and began to babble about the 75% on which they agreed. medinskyi has already calculated that 75% has already been agreed upon, we don't know. so what exactly it is about, maybe only medinskyi knows about it. well, in general, if medinskyi voices something like that, it means that he was instructed to voice it. could it be his self-activity, and in general, who is he in this hierarchical system? i have regular contacts with putin and all these questions are discussed internally between departments . i think that he just has to