tv [untitled] June 26, 2022 5:30am-6:01am EEST
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information related to the armed forces, dear mention of the transfer of equipment in er, the placement of some posts er and photos related to the activities of the armed forces of other military formations , as of today, the information is at least for official use and cannot be distributed on the networks, i will say more from my own experience, even when i was serving in iraq, on my uniform, even with a new surname, only the first name, and this applies to everything related to military service, if we return to such a concept, which has not yet acquired meaning in us, and in the armies of civilized countries is an unconditional procedure as operational security, this also applies to the areas of deployment of armed forces and combat training measures, any movement of any units and individual servicemen, even information
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about the movement of medical equipment within the borders of the in the same city, that is, you know when we are told that our wounded sunnies have arrived in the city today in the number of so many people there, it is already a disclosure of official information and it is unacceptable until then until the general staff said about it, because with such actions i understand all the relevant all the desire of our people to help with such actions we harm the armed forces themselves, what tasks they perform in the combat zone, so i once again call on everyone and everyone to be very be careful not to reveal the location of the assignment of the armed forces, er, even dear personal information with the indication of chevrons, surnames , military ranks of servicemen, it is official and may be dangerous for us, mr. serhii, что вы что высоковый attention on the fact that the desire
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to help in the time of social networks. and this war is the first in the time of social networks. and this is the openness of everyone to everyone. this reluctance to help is a way of flirting with subscribers, but in the current conditions it simply has no place because simplicity in this case and these formulations are ours wounded suns how well you have noticed that this is worse than war looting, i thank you for this sincere conversation serhiy grabskyi, a military expert, was in touch with us thank you, the only news, together we are strong will support the ukrainian army with money, scan the code next on our broadcast, we talk about the economy, about world inflation, oleg ustenko, adviser to the president of ukraine on economic issues, contact us, oleg, i congratulate you, good evening, i wanted to quote the head of ukrposhta, mr. smilyanskyi, who said that war is not an excuse to explain why not, it is an excuse to find how
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to make it so and in which cases, after all, war is an excuse. isn't this an overly optimistic statement, in which cases and in which areas of the economy are big challenges? we can only see this in our economy, and we see that our economy the economy shows a decline, it shows a decline, because the russian aggressor is destroying our assets, you know that 650 billion dollars have already been destroyed in our economy, our assets, if you add indirect losses to that, the figure can generally reach one trillion dollars when you have destroyed assets when you don't have a part of your business, and this is exactly what you and i are seeing right now, somewhere around half of our business either cannot work or is not working at full capacity or is working with limited hours, let's say, it is clear that the economy is falling if
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the economy is falling and it is predicted that it may fall to the level of, let's say, about 40%, uh, this year, when there is a decline in the economy, additional problems arise, the problem is primarily related to revenues to the state budget, we have already seen it uh, we planned that our deficit of the state budget of public finances for this year will amount to billions of dollars for the whole year, which now in fact we have with you and from this aggression a deficit of the state budget at the level of approximately 5 billion dollars per month, this is a significant deficit and if on our allies, if it were not for our partners, it would be extremely difficult for us to cope with this. but in principle, we have already heard statements by luna just this year about the fact that we will not give ukraine to anyone, we will support it, a decision was made about the fact that we finance - that they finance our deficit of the state budget and these 5
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billion dollars that arise in the deficit and we cover it in most cases with grant resources. that is, these are not credit funds, they are funds that are given to us, for which we do not have to pay any interest and we do not need them return e-e civilized the world understands that this support is simply necessary for us, you know that when there is a problem of an economic nature, there can be problems related to inflation, too, we want it, yes, yes, now, in general, the rates of world inflation are breaking records. yes, we we can recall that in may, inflation in germany reached almost eight percent, in ireland, the mark of 7.8% was simply the highest in the last 38 years, and in general, in the eu countries, this mark reached such a figure, it reached a double-digit mark . please tell me, but hmm, the explanation is simple war
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er, russia against ukraine, are there other reasons for what is happening in the world, and does each country in the world have to face it in a different way individually, is there such a general recipe ? well, as for inflation, the foundations of inflation were laid during the period of covid and we predicted that inflation this year would be quite high, and the previous forecast was about the fact that inflation would be somewhere around the global level of 6%, and we were very worried in ukraine and were rebuilding our strategy for responding to these global inflationary challenges and they talked about the measures that will be used in our country, but in fact we have that inflation has really increased in the world now, and let's say in the united states of america it is already charging about 8%, and the latest data they show is that
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our inflation has also increased, why is inflation in the first place in turn, not because the foundations were laid back then for a long period of time. although they also played a role, there are more reasons, but now it is a consequence of the war. it is a consequence of the war because putin and his regime used, for example, energy as weapons, they used food as a weapon, when you use both food and energy as a weapon, when you block in a country that, like our country, is one of the top 5 countries, suppliers of bread and wheat to the world market, it is clear that as a result, grain prices will increase, they are already increasing now, they have increased by more than 2.5 times. if we compare now, let's say, the current price
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of grain in the world with the price that was not in the same period of time in the previous year in the past year, we see an increase in energy prices, but this is e the price that the world pays and agrees to pay, because inflation as a result of this bloody aggression on the part of the russian federation will eventually be tamed . inflation has also increased and our inflation has increased much more than in the rest of the world, but we have a war and our inflation is at the level of about 20%. and this is why our national bank is one of the first central banks the world immediately reacted to this and raised its discount rate, when you raise the discount rate , it is really a two-sided medal, on the one hand
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, you are trying to curb inflation, on the other hand, it has economic costs associated with economic growth , but not in our case this year about economic growth they raised i mean our national bank raised the discount rate to 25 percent and the market must react to this it is already reacting and there are preliminary statistics that all economic service in ukraine, which shows that the inflation of topics is decreasing, it is, but the rates are decreasing, that is exactly what the federal reserve system is doing now. they also raised the rate without precedent. ten-year-olds, too, and tell me, please, that this is the most powerful step, in your opinion
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, whether it is still possible for the state to take its steps, and it does. we say that the consumption of goods and services has fallen by 30-50%, but in fact we have to buy such a chain, the budget will be replenished directly, but in fact we have the fact that we have this consumer demand, it is not growing, except for the discount rate what should still happen because , against the background of the war, entrepreneurs still do not call the war the problem of ukraine, they talk about the fact that we have poor communication between entrepreneurs and the state, and in particular, non-tax payers should directly work on the economic politics in the state, give an answer, the reaction to this, i would say that, after all, do not forget that we are in the wartime of the military economy and the military economy of the wartime
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, it is different from the usual normal economy, and uh, you can talk about taxation, you can talk about about additional incentives for the development of entrepreneurship, you can talk about the need to maintain consumer demand, but for sure, this cannot be said for the economy of wartime, and this discussion has the right to exist, but still yes, the results of this discussion are uh, and i mean already the front measures that will have to be implemented, they will have to be implemented after peace will come to our land. and as for what you say about consumer demand, well then it is clear that consumer demand decreases, there is an economic chain that affects the military economy and the economy of a non-military state when there is a decrease in the economy, which is exactly what
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we are currently observing in the ukrainian economy, when there are problems related to financing. of the state budget and we solve it at the expense of our allies first of all when there is a problem that part of our population simply does not have a job because they or they were temporarily relocated from the territories where they were, which are now under by the strike of the russian armada or they found eh now in those territories which, let's just say, if we think about kharkiv, about the sums that are under the constant circles of mykolaiv, which are under constant bombardment from the eh russian army, it is clear that you cannot lead normally there business, if you can't do business normally, then this will also mean that you can't pay out
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and earn. what kind of money would you earn? you would be able to communicate normally in these conditions and here. i'm also reading un research about what they say and predict that 90% of ukrainians will face the problems of unemployment and poverty, 90% of ukrainians make such predictions, and if the war will be protracted, i don't know how many years the un has counted, then in 18 years we will roll back, losing about 18 years of socio-economic development, well, for me, that's scary figures, well, listen, the first thing i would say is that the united nations organization is definitely not the organization that specializes in economic analysis. these figures are for you to comment on. yes, the united nations organization is just a super- specialist in certain issues. well, definitely not in the economy and not in the development of economic policy
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regarding economic policy and regarding our fall and when we will be able to return to the level that we had before the war. i would say that if we consider that it is the economy will fall by 40% during this year, and if by the end of this year peace will come to us, and i am sure that it will come to our land, then this means that we will need well, i would say that approximately from two to three years, depending on how quickly will we be able to move forward, but still, i am inclined to think that within two years we will be able to return with you to the level from which, what was our pre-war level, if we can return to this pre-war level, then i see several such possible let's tell the sources why this is return can be, first of all, closing our eyes to the fact that, first of all, we are a very hardworking
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nation, a very hardworking people, and peace will simply completely change the economic system here, we will rebuild this country, and this is the desire for reconstruction , it will instill it, of course, but also it is true that during the reconstruction of our economy, large, multi-billion, e.e. programs will be launched regarding the reconstruction of the economy, you know that the task set by the president of the country is that the aggressor must pay for the corn for each the hryvnias of our destroyed assets must be returned from his pocket, we will have a fund for this recovery, we will have institutional changes, which consist primarily of rebuilding a high -quality business climate in the country, and the guarantee of this is ours , including candidacy for the european union , members of the european of the union, we will open
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many international programs related to investing in the development of our economy and raising our economy to a new technical and technological level, that is, a completely new and different technological system and which is not from well, it is simply not related to the old legacy of the soviet union in any way, is it your faith to speak like that? this is what should be said. i would say that everything related to reconstruction funds has grounds to say so er, the fund is already being filled for the reconstruction of ukraine. you know that the first step is already active, such a practical step has already been taken by the government of canada, er, after a decision was made this week regarding not just the freezing of russian assets, but their seizure and the possibility of selling them on the market and listing these
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of funds and the fund for the reconstruction of ukraine, uh, we expect that exactly such decisions will be made in all those countries where at least the assets of the central bank of the russian federation are located, those that are currently frozen. and we are talking about 350 billion dollars there , that is, funds there will be additional funds because there are several working groups that are working on the tracking of assets that have been taken out of russia, which are now, or have already been arrested, or those that will be arrested, simply short in the future we will discuss when we received the candidacy based on the results ourselves and also the eu approved the european council specifically approved the allocation of macro-financial assistance in ukraine for 9 billion you as
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an adviser to the president of ukraine on economic issues can say from february 24 how many billions of aid we received i understand that this is different types of aid some just irreversible some has certain percentages in between we have the united 24 fund we have concerts of stars we have been paying since the first days of the war and there were several billions of bitcoins there is a single center the calculation of aid to ukraine since february 24, everything is calculated now by the ministry of economy of ukraine, because they are responsible for the entire movement of funds, because it is necessary to understand that the funds do not go only in cash, which, let's say, funds that are allocated in the form of macro-financial assistance, these funds go to cover the deficit of our state budget a there are funds that are allocated to us, let's say, for short-term, short-term tasks, let's say, those tasks that are related to
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the defense capability of our country, they do not always go in cash, or in most cases they do not go in cash, they go in military equipment. funds allocated for the purchase of medical equipment are already going to the country, not again, not funds, but medical equipment is humanitarian aid that we will receive, and this is also to be transferred in funds, it is also worth a certain amount of money, this applies to everything, and if we talk about that, how much did you and i receive, let's say direct funds from the state budget, then this is one thing, let's say in the previous month, we received about 5 billion dollars is the direct financing of the deficit of our state budget, this month we are predicted to receive approximately this amount that will go into the state budget, why do we
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need it, we need to fulfill our social obligations and we need to finance our armed forces, but there are funds and in another direction, when we are talking with you now about european funds of about 9 billion, they will go to cover the deficit of the state budget. but if we are talking with you about our candidacy for the european union, then let's say poland which was in the status of a candidate for the european union , she received more than 100 euros during this period, when she was a candidate country, and members of the european union, when we talk to you about the funds that we need, not for the reconstruction of the country, but these are other amounts and other funds and there that is, we are not even talking about one, two, three or 10 billion dollars, we are talking about hundreds of billions of dollars that we need and about which there is now an open discussion, including in the european union,
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we will have a big one next week meeting the big seven and it is clear that the issue of ukraine is the main issue at this meeting. just in case, i will remind you that when chancellor scholz and germany chaired the big seven when chancellor scholz spoke at the previous meeting of the big seven and when he opened this session of the big seven in the spring, he very clearly articulated the idea that ukraine needs not only our help from the big seven, he said not only our help in the future, but also now, and we must do everything possible so that ukraine persevered including financially in this fight against the aggressor, this is what was announced during his speech about the direct direct support from the big seven in relation to ukraine.
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that is, there are different amounts. tell me what is the cumulative amount. i think it is now no one will be able to clearly because there are many such sources of funding when uh when it comes to especially not about live funds about live funds this is understood the ministry of finance can fully uh tell how much lies because this question is always needs an answer, i want to grow accents oleg ustenko the adviser to the president of ukraine on economic issues was in direct contact with us, they talked about inflation , they talked about the sums that ukraine receives for reconstruction, and also about the billions of money that we will still need, the only news, together we are strong, we will support the ukrainian army with money, scan the code , ukraine must decide for itself what is acceptable for her in negotiations with russia, and nato should provide us with the strongest possible position in the
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negotiations on the end of the war . stoltenberg in an interview with el-pais, we will not only talk about this with oleksiy, he is a political scientist , he is with us now directly. maxim, we congratulate you. good morning. i also congratulate you. good morning . stoutenberg that in the end any war ends in negotiations, but here it is important from which position. of course, ukraine has to negotiate these negotiations with a strong position. the theses of johnson's selection as the prime minister of great britain were announced, which in europe is increasingly inclined to encourage ukraine to the so-called bad for ukraine peace how to comment on these theses well, in fact, you and i at least heard that some european features leaders uh, they tried
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let 's say so influence or think that it is possible to return to ukraine in this matter and push ukraine to negotiations, and you know, including these discussions about keeping putin's face in the bench and so on and so on. yes, but there is a moment here if we talk about the position of ukraine, it is in principle open. volodymyr zelenskyi has repeatedly said that ukraine is ready for negotiations with the russian federation, but it is necessary to return the troops to at least the level of february 23 and speak without an ultimatum, that is, this phrase another thing was publicly heard that it seems to me that the position of a number of western leaders is partially changing, even those who supported this idea of saving face and so on, remember how the rhetoric began to sound in the same macron or schultz after visiting ukraine, after they saw irpin, that is, one
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thing, you know from other cities in other countries to talk about it, if the rhetoric changed after the visit to kyiv, schultz gave macron a drag. and why then, what is johnson talking about more precisely then ? that europe is tired. europe sees what is happening on the territory of ukraine as a war in europe already, and they do not want it to spread, so they will encourage the bad peace, what he had in mind, and johnson is talking about the fact that the longer the war drags on the more consequences, including for the world, we see. in fact, i think that it is possible that this is one of the strategies that the kremlin has - the maximum prolongation of the war, they understand that it really has consequences. food prices in the world, and in turn, this can give rise to migration
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waves, that is, a migration crisis, and ultimately to the key consumers of ukrainian food and ukrainian grain - these were the countries of north africa and the middle east, and any price fluctuations are already affecting there, yes, that is, and this, in turn, can generate, we understand, certain migration waves that will go towards europe, part of the european countries at least fear this, the situation with fuel and energy resources, that is, russia is counting on the fact that the longer the war drags on, the more let's say that there will be a strong impact of all these effects, including on a western country , including one of the elements that russia is already counting on. that is, it has changed its strategy and the war will be protracted and exhausting absolutely for first of all, it was a story about three days and three hours, that is, about the absolutely short-term perspective of the
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capture of ukraine. that it would be worthwhile to close the sky, and here i want to cite the opinion of andrii zagorodnyak, head of the center for defense strategies . an unrealistic strategy is not a realistic desire for ukraine, then should we return to this issue? i am not criticizing the first lady, but just your opinion on this matter. well, it actually seems to me that when zelenska talks about it, it is still a topic that needs to be raised, why. what do i tell you? by the way, i don't agree that it was a completely unrealistic strategy because you can close the sky and look at it from different angles, for example, it was at least to close the sky with an overhead view of key objects, for example, atomic objects, yes or facilities that are there by large chemical enterprises. that is, it could be, let's say, a partial closure by them. and secondly, even in the political circles of western
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countries, e.g., for example, our neighbors poland or romania, it was discussed, and technically there is a possibility that they, for example, on part of the territory of ukraine, which is close to the border with these countries. and we see that the missiles are flying almost to the border of the same poland. for example, for example, they closed the sky, and that is, they officially informed russia about it, and i think that russia took this into account in in the context of those missiles that they drop, that is, maybe we wouldn't have seen it with you then. how, yesterday , yes, at night, 50 missiles were fired over the territory of ukraine, well, that is, we saw a completely different reaction, so the point here is that in this regard well, it seems to me that in this context, nato has shown its unwillingness to act, no matter how they can act like this and more. please
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tell me. become a member of the alliance or we again now we are postponing this moment as unrealistic, well , look, this is the first and never before in the history of the european union that a country that was in a state of war received the status of a candidate scientist of the european union . indeed, in many ways, not automatically, i.e., ukraine obtained this status, that is, yes, this is . the situation related to the occupation of the territory there is an example of cyprus. and what 30% of its territory is occupied and cyprus became a member of the european union despite 30%, we literally have a minute
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left. thank you. i would just like to remind our viewers that today in ukraine they celebrate the day of the crimean tatars. the flag, the national symbol of the peninsula, is a sky -blue cloth. in fact, which are an integral part of our society, our state. well, i really congratulate the crimean tatar, who wants to say that ah, in the current situation of war, we see that all the peoples who inhabit our country have united around the protection of our country, yes, that is we are really forming a political nation, and it seems to me that it is a very strong political nation, and this is actually a colossal guarantee for the successful development of the country . flag
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