in the amount that they need to do, not conspiracies , sanctions are in effect, what is called a ban on the supply of fine electronics, primarily chips . it works like this in a criminal way, because it is impossible to block absolutely the entire huge world of 8 billion people and cancel the philosophy of capitalism and live 15-20% of the need due to they will complete criminal schemes, but we can no longer firmly state that the russian missile potential is on the path of degradation. at the same time, i will repeat my main thesis . it is a long way. peter, well, the 101 h101 missile was adopted in the 13th year, we have a fresh one. well, the new missile is not some old soviet one, and the last shelling of kyiv was precisely that and with these missiles. those chips that are not enough for the production of such

missiles by contraband means, well, relatively speaking, by some diplomatic mail in a diplomatic suitcase, we just did it, but it is there by criminal means, they will do it, but it is a maximum of 15-20% of the need. yes, it will still be quite a lot. yes, there is still there will be significant missile launches, in general, i have to remind you that in terms of the number of missile services, this is an unprecedented historical case as such, to date there are more than 2,700 missiles - the closest historical example is the year 2003, the war of america with the saden hussein regime, i emphasize with the annex regime, by the iraqi people in two weeks 8002 tomahawk-class missile launchers are no more. that is, it is actually a missile tornado, because even the tsunami that we are experiencing and military historians will still have to understand all this, but this is also evidence

the extent to which moscow imperialism has raised the stakes, this is an indicator of how important ukraine is to them, and we must firmly say that the main reason for this war is that without ukraine, russia's newest empire is impossible. there will be no war in any other way."

humanity, forest, naftogaz, and so on, we continue the long line. imagine that this huge territory drifted to the new hegemon , at least that's how china sees itself sees the world as a hegemon, given the fact that the consumer world, the production of a large number of goods is the foundation of our civilization, china will objectively take the first position, well, at the moment, the anglos are not ready to accept this and, unfortunately, have no concept of what to do with china, so in my opinion this is a

game of a long and final russian-ukrainian war , after which time it is inevitable that you are in the grave of moscow imperialism, there is no other way, mr. peter , returning to the missiles, i wanted to ask you. yesterday i even wrote a post about it on facebook in our ukraine has, well, it’s just brilliant, it’s super advanced , the southern design bureau, we have a legendary machine-building plant in the south, there are rocket scientists, specialists, engineers who used to make intercontinental ballistic missiles that reached the coast of the united states and canada. i don’t know australia. where could these missiles reach? we produced it all. and for 31 years of independence, it turned out that we don't have a single missile there, given that there is more than point u there, 120 km or a little more, plus minus. how did it

happen? who do you think is one of the ukrainian leaders the most guilty in this situation, why we were left , i'm sorry, without pants at the most responsible moment of our history, having in the dnipro kb the southern and and the southern mash, who used to make ballistic intercontinental missiles, please, i will not go into the analysis of our leaders, starting with the first president and ending with the acting supreme commander for i will not do this, i explained why, if this is such a difficult question, i was asked now, because it is actually a difficult question, then we must emphasize to ourselves that the government is only a reflection of the community is no different, the state is nothing but a form of organization of society in 1991 ukrainians became a deeply demilitarized nation in the mental part, we believed that there will be no more wars, unfortunately such a harsh reality and

let's put our hands on the hearts of 95% of our citizens i don't belong to them, they believed that this war would not happen in principle, and in fact, unfortunately, it did not happen, the war took place, and i argued about why there will be a next phase, when this phase ends, we will not sit down carefully, let's sort it all out it is truly our duty to model such a development, such a serious military reform so that the enemy no longer dares to attack us. i will really have to think, but only after the end of this phase of the war, i do not claim to be true - this is only my position, tell me from the point of view of european and international law, it seems that ukraine signed an agreement on

non-proliferation of medium-range missiles or not why do we now have the right to build medium-range missiles in general in accordance with our international obligations yes, we signed this document short and medium-range missiles it is from 500 km and above to 2.5 thousand ot in this range we we do not have the right to build missiles. however, up to 500 km. we have absolutely all the capabilities to manufacture such missiles. these are grom peregrine missiles, and i think that the moment will come when the state's conversation on this topic will inevitably come. in my opinion, are these missiles enough? in fact, if you make them in large quantities and the most important thing is to invest in the main warhead normal, that is, our explosives, that is, at least 500 kg of torque equivalent to tnt, and the most important thing is to develop high-quality guidance systems, both independent and linked to the satellites of the systems that

our partners have and i think it will be possible to agree with them to build their own missile shield, a very real prospect for the ukrainian military -industrial complex, but this is time again, peter, but it seems that it goes to moscow and flies 500 km maybe i don't know geography well, ukraine can initiate a withdrawal from this agreement after this war or not and do we need all this in my opinion let's go well, i try to be a critical political realist in my opinion there is no need to do this no matter how it is it sounded strange and who will say yes, they are fighting but who are we here, the point is that we are fighting for a civilizational choice, we are actually fighting not only for our statehood, we are fighting for what we have already started to uh, let's tell the eastern despotism to call the event of democracy before this war as that is, decline, we are fighting precisely for the rules, we are fighting precisely for the validity, we are fighting precisely for the sake of

being a civilized country, in my opinion, it is more logical to work on joining nato and for the nato weapons of those models to appear on our territories that are capable of striking moscow and not only by it it is much easier, much simpler and in fact a more expedient way, in the end, nato is enshrined in our constitution, so there is nothing to discuss at all, then if you predict the end of this phase and our intelligence reports that somewhere from the end of august closer to the fall there will be a turning point. well, how can we come to negotiations, that is, what will it be, what turning point is going to happen, or we sat down at the negotiating table, reference to the demarcation line, and it is impossible to predict to what point or until 24 on february 1st, will there be a

new line of demarcation? again, we are trying to be a sober realist. i have no idea how to accumulate so many forces and means at this moment to completely knock out the enemy from our territory. completely, still, 146 million against 35 million , we no longer have 40. this military crisis has made a huge migration of ukrainians such a harsh reality , we must speak frankly about it, at least in this part, what is the line of demarcation, which is difficult to say, it is impossible to predict, because the front is a very alive and dynamic line in enemy for this minute for this minute, but not to be confused with strategic resources , the current resource of both people and equipment is running out, but at the same time, in terms of armored vehicles, they have more than 13,000 stocks of units, this is actually an incredible reserve or and in terms of

small arms, the soviet union produced more than 100 million units of kalashnikov assault rifles , let's think about this figure and there is practically endless ammunition for them, the same applies to artillery. they began to shoot, but this is quite a long time for them and it is not so filmed with conservation, how to prepare a personal contribution, so my version is that in the fall, when we do not learn how to apply large shafts of fire, they will inevitably invite truce, how it will end, well, it is impossible to guess. in principle, the strategic concept was modeled that a second war is inevitable, probably a battery, what is the personnel of the ukrainian army, different numbers are floating around now, the president says, he told a recent interview that 700,000 e-e, others there, his advisers say that it is necessary to bring to million e.e. to date, what is the amount and is this

amount sufficient, is it possible to carry out a full -scale mobilization in ukraine? at a huge pace if we wanted but let's go back to our initial starting discussion that for 31 years the ukrainians didn't prepare to learn how to use a kalashnikov assault rifle for 5-7 days, but in fact it's an artillery war 95% of the damage is inflicted by artillery and now everything will be inflicted by missile systems this is in fact is the cost of personnel training. i myself was a military personnel trained for 5 years, and gunners and air and rocket operators also train for four or five years to become specialist commanders and really serious specialists, that is, you can train them in 3-4-5 months

. well, but the quality will not be what you would like. in the range of 700,000 in all military formations at the moment are operationally engaged and performing tasks as assigned, or whether these forces are enough to knock out the enemy completely, in my opinion , not yet until it starts to collapse the economic situation in russia is an inevitability, a technical default, in fact, capital flows from oil and gas dollars will be limited, but this is once again, i am a firm supporter of the strategic concept that, unfortunately, it will all take a long time. well, unfortunately, but it is better to accept the truth as it is it is better to feed yourself than to feed yourself with illusions that everything is tomorrow tomorrow and to be tired to such a level that you simply capitulate, it is

unacceptable to capitulate. the number up to 150,000 was voiced, the advantage is six times ours in our favor why are you here why then such a negative dynamic for us on the fronts is this once again there is not such a catastrophic dynamic on the fronts the very fact that we are standing in front of this huge bridge come on soberly, this is a huge monster in terms of weapons reserves, in fact, it is not the second but the first army in the world in terms of what is in stockpiles, unfortunately, unfortunately, most of us did not believe that they had acquired what happened, unfortunately, what had to be prepared for decades now is being prepared in a matter of months, this is also true. there is still legal inertia, which is quite complex. we have a problem with the phenomenon called evasion of

military service, read the latest news tape, what is in life, corruption schemes for huge money , transportation of men of draft age across the western border, this is also a reality that does not allow you to fully deploy the large potential that will allow you to knock out the enemy, now, again, in relation to the dynamics itself, 95% - this is the artillery at the moment, they have significantly more the reserve of potential in this direction, well, this is reality , we hold on only thanks to the quality, if conditionally there are 10 of their salvos to the body reaches one, then our nine measures reach 9, but we have 10 riddles in an hour, they have 100 salvos in an hour, this is a harsh reality and with it should be considered the struggle of david and goliath, and unfortunately, once again,

we will repeat it for a long time if there is a long break. well, what kind of interval, you say, can be prolonged from months to years? then russia can increase its military potential and say more with a larger military hegemon, it will not increase in quality, they will not increase in quality, they have already talked about it, they have closed all qualitative technical aspects. for example, there is such a modernized t-72 in there in the b3 version, all the thermal imaging systems were french, uh-uh , their well-known uav orlan- 10 it consists of 50% foreign components , the engine, japanese radio electronics and video equipment, german, american, all of this will no longer be fully built by ourselves. they will only be able to build a very small part, and so we can to go through absolutely all clusters of their weapons,

these taps have been closed to them, but it is really long. well, to be honest, you have to hear it. it is long, it is months and years, this is how it works, and this is the system of building up military potential, but for us there will be an opportunity , there will be an opportunity, in fact, finally to rethink everything and - it is our duty to really rebuild our military system thank you very much petro chernyk very professional comments military expert thank you for joining our broadcast on the military topic we will continue further serhiy zgurets the director of the information consulting company defense express should join, as he does every day , the military also explains all these points to us as simply as possible because we are now all of you military experts should understand absolutely everyone, mr. serhiy, congratulations good morning, when we were still thinking about what we were going to talk about well, there i am, for example

, to understand the calibers of missiles and strategic aviation, well, to at least try to serhiy well, we have already started talking and petro chernyk has explained this to us quite a bit, he has been saying this for a long time he predicts that there should be a turning point closer to the autumn, at some point, maybe there will be a negotiation, maybe there will be a pause, but the war will last for a long time. mykhailo, we are talking about an architet news issue in that these shellings during the past two years were extremely massive and once again reminded us that we need to think about air defense and look for ways to quickly strengthen our portrait and anti-aircraft shield, and this direction

remains extremely important. it is quite interesting that almost this morning cinem reported that the united states had already made an internal decision to transfer the complexes to sounds to us, this complex is quite effective. they have a range of up to 40 km there and in that number of covered missiles can also work effectively enough, this is what is directly attributed to primary support in view of the naturalness that today consists when we directly talk about war as such, we are really entering the phase of the so -called war of attrition, when none of the sides has a sufficient advantage to achieve its goals by military means in the short term, and here we see that the front line there reaches somewhere over a thousand kilometers, the personnel of the russian federation is not enough for carrying out such offensive actions, and that is why we are really going to play with time, the enemy uses this

time primarily to use all the artillery and aviation in the time frame for something to advance and at this time we want to use e-e in order to receive additional military aid from the west and increase the number of our reserves, which from the point of view of personnel is sufficient . is not happening, and mr. serhiy, i wanted to ask you personally about medium- and short- range missiles and about the treaties that ukraine signed . the signatory of the agreement on the proliferation of such missiles, but we, but up to 500 km, we can make these missiles , but i, well, there, well, i promoted different positions that there was an agreement from some year there, i don't

remember anymore, between the union and the united states, and it was concluded in 1995 the ukrainian-american treaty on the legal succession of kyiv in a number of soviet international treaties but this list did not mention the rsnd, is ukraine now a signatory of this treaty on limiting the construction of these missiles or not can we now build missiles on e-e with a range of one and a half thousand there up to 5,000 km or not, i am asking for literally let's say this before the war to develop e-e missiles for the same iskander complex that have a range of more than 500 km negotiations between the americans and russians regarding e-e restrictions of such developments are of no use led to the fact that today it can be considered that the treaty on medium-range missiles that i have that limits

the use of missiles with a range of 500 km does not work, and this really gives the ukrainian side the opportunity to develop its projects, which in principle are within of the missile program, which was approved just before the war, in this only one program there are indeed missile samples with a range of up to 1,500 km, but now we are entering a different zone of challenges directly in front of the defense industry when to the south there is another enterprise, they are exposed to attacks by throwing missiles enemy, and therefore it is necessary to build cooperation with other countries on the creation of such samples, and here we will be able to have certain, let's say, military-technical features of working with these or other countries on the creation of missiles with a range there for 1000 km, that is, after i understand now the situation is a critical war and the enemy can strike our strategic enterprises after the end of the war or the active phase. in your opinion, nothing

prevents ukraine from building missiles with a range of more than 500 km. to us, the transfer of missiles to the heimers with a range of up to 300 km, if this happens, it means that, in principle, the united states recognizes the need for our defense system based on the missile component of this for now does not exist yet, because we are talking about other models for these farmers, and the potential for creating missiles is 500-1500, so it exists in documents in projects and opportunities, and i think this will be, well, another direction of creating a new defense industry after the end of the war, we probably said yesterday, after the broadcast, we talked with you about the situation surrounding the russia-lithuania conflict over the transportation of russian goods there in the collecting region and russia's threats to create difficulties and difficulties for e-e citizens

of the republic of lithuania, the initiative of the european commission regarding regarding the unblocking of the transport corridor and the response of the president of lithuania that lithuania will not make concessions today how do you assess the threat of the threat of a military start of the conflict in the so-called suva corridor, please, here, first of all, i will say that we should fly today and look for some options there from the point of view of e-e pom "the strengthening of these sanctions against the russian federation, which says something to me, is very surprising, as for the use of force to break through the dance hall, it is really practiced repeatedly in the russian exercises, but today the lion's share of all associated groups is concentrated directly

in ukraine, this is more than 80 percent and the use of the opening of a second front. i think that russia itself fears this. will allow putin to package this strategy, you see, i said that we are already at war directly with the whole world, i knew that and they are attacking us. so i think that for now russia will use diplomatic pressure options for intimidation of the baltic countries, but it will be very telling that nato itself next week should fall in principle, it is worth the entire defense of the alliance in terms of increasing the units and building a strategy not for repelling and then attacking russia, creating the conditions for such an attack it will simply be impossible, i will be interested in how it will be implemented, how the european countries will be able to demonstrate unity, the implementation of the new defense strategy of the alliance and the panstrov i just wrote about it yesterday in a row, i don't know if you

i read where i researched this fifth point of the nato charter, which everyone refers to. yes, an attack on one country is an attack on all the countries of the alliance, so i will simply quote it, and you will then comment on it . so the parties agree that the fifth point says that an armed attack on one or more of them in europe or north america is considered an attack on all of them and accordingly they agree that in the event of an attack each of them will render assistance to the party or parties that have been attacked and immediately carry out individual or joint by the parties, such actions that are considered necessary will be considered necessary, including the use of armed force for the purpose of restoring and maintaining security in the north atlantic region. well, from here i have three questions. so, the actions that are considered necessary will be considered necessary by this clause - what exactly will be considered by all 20 nato countries together with hungary and austria german action will be considered necessary only after unanimous approval or

a simple majority vote of the members of the option of question two, which means including the use of weapons, i.e. first of all, nato will not consider options for influencing the situation without the use of force through peaceful negotiations with the aggressor , the signing of peace agreements, and only then if it does not work , then with the help of weapons and question three, what does that mean in order to restore and maintain security in the atlantic-atlantic region? and where here it is about the territorial integrity of the country that was attacked, that occupied part of its territory, or the primary task is the restoration of security in the region, and the integrity of a specific country is already a question secondary if not individual for each member , i would like to remind you that during the annexation of crimea there was no breach of security, he was taken without a single shot and in fact the issue of security was guaranteed for crimea and for the residents of crimea. question, when you read it, look, uh, nato intervenes in 30 countries that are

democratic, that have their own principles of decision -making, and it is precisely this democratic decision -making uh, that was considered one of nato's focus on what in fact, putin expected that european countries would not be able to quickly orientate themselves in the format of new threats, this risk was minimized due to the fact that the united states was actually the main player that provided assistance and the solution of certain political difficulties that exist in the format of the work of the alliance as democratic structure, but within the framework of the navy there is also a military committee that has worked out action plans within the framework of what is directly related to countering the military threat, these military plans also, let's have some questions because we will remember about estonia, which says that the guys don't like me, or other

countries don't like me. i don't like the option when we will be under enemy occupation there for six months and then you will release us. what's going on? now with ukraine, what will happen to our small state in six months , that is, these military plans will now be reworked, just like germany, by the way, germany had to defend against the attack of the russian federation according to the plan - for three weeks, and that is, these plans look absolutely inadequate for the current situation, and these plans are now being superimposed on these additional questions about which you are now asking me, these diplomatic nuances or, er, formalities, they can really create additional questions about the effectiveness of the work of alisa and i that's why i 'll mention again about the meeting in madrid next week where the alliance has to work more efficiently because

it's not yet really a machine that can really uh work fast and that restructuring for today is important, the approaches may be revised and they will show new activity, new effectiveness, or, well, it should not be stressful, there should be, well, a new strategy, which was previously a pillar. industry, new orders for the placement of new forces on the front line or its impossible at all, and the attacks of the russian federation, but this should all depend on the ideology and the ability of european countries to understand that the war in ukraine - this is not only our war. if suddenly something goes wrong, then in fact this russian military machine is old and rusted, but it is enough. let's say so by the number of troops