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tv   [untitled]    June 30, 2022 5:30pm-6:01pm EEST

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well, for sure, not only the experts somehow missed this information, we understand that the story is really extremely important because it is about the rivers and the dnipro and the ingul and i stayed like that, and we understand that on the one hand, this should somehow strengthen our mobility, i don't know river- naval forces, on the other hand, we understand that the enemy also has some missile-missile systems, what is happening with the war on the rivers according to your information. well, so far nothing is happening, although it is not wrong in the dnieper estuary. as far as i know, it has been going on and artillery duels and boat maneuvers on both sides, they shelled ochakov and the mooring wall
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of ochakov. sea, but in fact they became naval and played a positive role in the defense of the southern borders. thank you very much, mr. sergey serhiy danilov, deputy director of the center for middle eastern studies, analyzed the events in ukraine and not only if you heard our dear tv viewers sign the petition in any case, it will become easier for everyone, it will become easier for us to work and bring you true information and it will become more convenient for you to perceive it, therefore, with the help of banking of the same private person, you can do it very much , you can even say yes, and comfortably well, on the air of the tv channel espresso semi-doc 6:00 yes information and analytical marathon khrystyna yatskiv on tim berkovskiy all our guests who will be in touch with us in a few moments there is such news that
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i think today at least in our part air was undeserved for a minute of attention early today , gazprombank and sberbank decided not to pay dividends based on the results of 2021, a little later it became known that in principle the same thing happened with the distribution and uh. if we talk about gazprom, then this is actually and not only for sure led to a drop in shares of about 30%, they lost well, or the national team about 7 well, if we are talking about e-e gazprom, then let's not take wishful thinking for reality 26 not 30 26% did not lose, but nevertheless, what a crushing fall would be for me that's good to comment with our next guest if he will be in touch again well, integration in the european union still remains an important
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issue ah hmm not only in the ukrainian parliament in general but also on all platforms available to us in such interstate diplomacy between parliamentary diplomacy and in fact, ukraine is taking steps in that direction, yesterday we had a kind of transport emergency, i would like to remind you about this, the ukrainian president said, this means that the pressure or tension is significantly reduced. what do you want for ukrainian carriers? it's really a step in our country, eh, i thought about the queues there in transcarpathia, in volyn, because the last few days of summer people tried to still have time to buy cars at european prices , so, well, the queues are crazy, i'm just saying it's true, there are such moments eh, but to be honest, the way we are moving towards the european union pleases me, and what they have said even in relation to nato as
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our perspective is very disturbing because, well , without the alternative of this stage of this organization, our membership there is at least in some perspective. i'm not saying that it can be tomorrow or the day after tomorrow. well , in my opinion, the russian federation has already demonstrated and illustrated it. it's very good. well , for now, we'll stick to the statements or, as they say, behind the scenes. it's very important to watch. well, we hope that oleksiy goncharenko , vice president of the committee, will join us now. on migration and belarusians in the parliamentary assembly of the council of europe well, so far he is not there, the people's deputy is actively working well, but we are waiting well, going back to our super topic, you understand i think that this direction he it just remains free, we are talking about possible negotiations with the kremlin. i think it is not for nothing that one or another of our officials there forgets about our constitution and so on, we understand what is
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going on. what is it about, but it is impossible to finalize it until the enemy , of course, does not voluntarily show himself in quotes and does not take away his interveners and occupiers from ukraine. yes, but these trades are also related to this order. do you remember that and the neutral status of ukraine? they talked about the issue of guarantees, will the united states not provide any such guarantees? well, the question is. by the way, i recently asked scholz about what about the guarantee for ukraine. they say in ukraine there, the elephant is, so to speak, cardiology, the old man will arrive with such and such things, yes. i sometimes look at all these statements . well, now, if we are talking about stefanishina, well, it is as if a person is authorized to make such statements and
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her words should be very careful, and sometimes i understand that after all, there is an internal consumer. yes, there is. i don't know the external addressee, the consumer of information, and what is possible. in this way and with such statements, they just want to demonstrate that we are also worth something for a second look at how we fight and it makes sense, on the other hand, such familiarity with the alliance eh, in which we have an interest to find ourselves in the near future. well, i don't know if it 's a good idea, but the guys and girls in the alliance are also not cut with a finger, they understand very well what it concerns the negotiating framework of some kind, what concerns the provision of weapons to ukraine, yes, the change in pace, which really went, so to speak,
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accelerated significantly. what exactly will we have at the end of a neutral kalach or a euro-atlantic conflict, well, let's see. as khrystyna yatskiv says behind her hands. well, indeed, nato's strategy for the next 10 years has changed and it has changed since entering the postulate, which was relevant in 1997, that cooperation, cooperation and interaction with the russian federation is what the world security system rests on, now russia is recognized as a threat to the same security, but we are not only talking about the russian federation, we are also talking about and about other states that also read similar messages, and here it would probably be appropriate to mention china. china reproaches nato for declaring
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a cold war mentality. i will remind you that it took place in spain, where they called china a challenge for the alliance, and the representative of the ministry of foreign affairs of china, zhao ale dian, stated that nato should abandon the cold war mentality of the zero-sum game and the practice of creating enemies, and also not try to excuse me, the translator, china also plays not the last role. well, what we are actually seeing now is that in our country, everyone speaks publicly about ukraine, about china, rather, they mention china, but this the story actually largely concerns the confrontation of the collective west with china and the rallying of the west takes place primarily not only in the confrontation with russia because they perceive russia, well, such a person as an urban madman
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with an ax, you understand, that is, there is a police patrol there, i don’t know if there are two patrols, they solve it, that’s the whole point but with china it is much more difficult well, but for this, in order to understand that difficult heart-breaking plot, we have yuriy poita, the appropriate expert, head of the asian pacific section of the region congratulations to mr. yuriy glory to ukraine good evening glory to the heroes well, we understand what the madrid one himself it was not only about russia , to a large extent what is happening now and about china in china is now an extremely convenient position so china is watching, i don't know how russia breaks his face, you understand about ukraine and about different economic histories, and at the same time, china is preparing to sort out some of the resources, some of the trade combinations or some of the routes, and china, in fact, as far as we understand and
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in the united states well, in general and in united europe it is perceived as a threat perhaps even more serious, but china is showing, so to speak, currently showing civilized wisdom, everything is done by the hands of the buryats and the rest of the enslaved peoples of the russian federation yes, of course, there is some sense in this, i would say so and for the people's republic of china , the strategy of such neutrality is currently chosen. it is quite often called a pro-russian authority, or in russia it is called friendly to the russian federation, not neutrality, and this china's current moment is ensured as the development of relations with the west, primarily the united states of america and the european union, including the need to stay on these global markets and acquire technologies, and this also gives
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china the opportunity not to worsen relations with the russian federation because for china in fact, in the conditions of global competition with the west, with the usa, with the european union, with respect to the russian federation, the political and diplomatic level is quite important, so china at the moment is still observes, but in fact i do not completely agree with this thesis that for china this is actually the best development of events that is taking place because for that economy of the people's republic of china for that economic model exactly peaceful development and a peaceful situation in the world would be the most beneficial because it would not worsen would complicate china's economic relations, it would not, uh, not contribute to the fact that china would be treated as an enemy, but on the contrary, it would be considered in china as one of such drivers of the development of drivers of globalization and so further, but we see that the russian-ukrainian war nevertheless
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also caused a number of challenges for the people's republic of china, and thus it turns out that the russian federation framed china as well, including because the logistics, logistics , transport routes are being destroyed, and china may also find itself under sanctions let's put it this way, the intensity of the ties between the united states of america and the alliance with the european union has increased significantly, and the influence of the united states in many regions of the world is also growing, which is quite negative for china, because audi er putin, he framed including dvinkin er by starting the russian-ukrainian war in what way. you are just some kind of district center. dear mr. yuryu, there are people sitting there and they all want to hear a phrase from you for sure, so china will soon spit and start to return the proud lake baikal, we understand that things just don't happen like that well, but you rightly noted putin framed everyone zingpin
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yes putin i don't know what he promised him china closed its beautiful eyes yes well but this has been going on for too long and china is becoming all this more expensive and more expensive. and this is so to speak. china was not caught by the hand in that it directly helps, so to speak, with the help of its various e-e systems of dual purpose goods . in fact, i think that in ukraine they would like the russian federation to open a second front i recently spoke with chinese experts from the lower leading think tanks of the people's republic of china and they er answer the same question roughly the same question they answered like this so that when two tigers fight, at least one of them will be wounded. that is, this is one of the chinese chinese proverbs, it means that they characterize their relations with the russian federation as two great powers, but they are very
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afraid of causing a conflict, and they are afraid that there will be a conflict between these states because in one way or another china will be uh-uh some kind of damage will be caused because we understand that despite the fact that the russian economy is insignificant on a world scale, russia remains a powerful nuclear power for china as well of course, it is not profitable to have any conflict with a nuclear state, so i think that china will monitor the development of the situation, and in the case of a military defeat of the russian federation, in the event of a change in the political regime, china will be one of these countries that will participate in the redistribution of the new security architecture in including in the event of the disintegration of the russian federation, if this happens, mr. yury, china increases its oil imports from the russian federation in general, this makes it possible to balance the losses there or not, experts estimate differently because we understand the price of energy, how much
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it has jumped and even for a smaller volume . let's put it this way, the russian federation still trades almost the same if the biggest money now, but china is increasing its imports, it needs it so large-scale ecodomics, large-scale needs and why not actually, do not use the opportunity in your opinion as this argument or a fragment of this picture how do you want it affects the overall situation and the increasing polarization of the context china and the united states or the civilized world as you want me i think that he has the usual influence and china is trying to get a profit from the situation that is happening with the russian federation and this is absolutely normal and this is how a number of countries of the world are acting, most of the countries of the world and so on, but we also have to understand that china, how
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can it increase its oil supplies from the russian federation, as you absolutely rightly observed, first of all, by increasing global oil prices. thus, without increasing the volume of oil, china is actually increasing the volume of oil in the the dollar equivalent of the supply, but on the other hand , the volumes in millions of tons can also be increased, for example, for oil, and china is also interested in this, because it needs the energy resources of the chinese, one of the countries that is for its own, for the development of its economy, and it is extremely requires the import of energy resources from other countries, and the russian federation currently ranks first when it comes to oil. it ranks first in the supply of oil to the people's republic of china. but in order to significantly increase import of oil from the russian federation to china of course, it is necessary to build the appropriate infrastructure, this applies to oil pipelines and this
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applies to those tankers that will provide er delivery of this oil to the people's republic of china at the moment this infrastructure is quite limited and therefore er volumes of e-e oil , it is quite difficult and it will not be easy for china to implement it within e-e near near time , therefore it is necessary for the russian federation of china to build new oil pipelines of course to carry out the construction and purchase of oil tankers and so on, therefore, we will observe a gradual increase in the volume of oil, including energy, all other products with the russian federation to china, china will replace the european market and russia's dependence on china of course, it will increase, but it will not happen instantly, it will take place over a long period of time and will also require
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significant efforts, both technological and temporal , financial, etc. well, the russians did not want learn english they will soon switch to chinese yes, there are medium-term prospects, well , there is a certain trend, but the word taiwan is the key word that best describes all the tension in relations between china, the united states and the western world in general. they listen with their feet and somewhere there they dial some secret phones and say well, let's do it, you want to, you can, the chinese are currently pumping, but they do not cross the red lines from the other side, we we understand that the taiwan crisis and the taiwan war can largely be something similar, well, a similar scheme used by the kremlin and putin
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in order to strengthen their internal verticals , horizontals, and in general internal political processes , that is, it is not known, or rather, we hope that this will end very badly for russia, but in china everything is also not as stable as it seems to us, and it is possible that this is the factor - a small victorious war only in the chinese form. well, it may soon begin through taiwan or no, yuri. i think that in the near future, in the short term, the probability of such a takeover operation remains quite low, because despite the fact that china, let 's say, in its program documents, it constantly says that the sacred goal of the let's say so great chinese the nation is restoring the restoration of taiwan, and we can see this in the military doctrines of china's national defense, the national defense of china is the white paper, but still
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, technologically, china is not ready for this, that's why that despite the military construction that is being carried out, including in relation to the marine forces of the missile forces and in relation to the nuclear deterrent forces and the naval forces, according to a number of estimates , china is not yet ready to conduct such a military operation technologically, it will be ready in about 5 years and in 5 years this means that if we evaluate his readiness for a military operation by such indicators, then in 5 years he will be ready for this from a military point of view, and china currently also understands the use of nuclear weapons, he looks at how the russian federation is trying to blackmail the west with the use of nuclear weapons, and china sees that a number of those statements that were made, for example, by the russian leadership in the russian media, regarding the fact that if the west supplies ukraine with long-range weapons and so on, this will cross red lines -e and you will force
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the russian federation to use the nuclear component of the chinese is watching very carefully and he is adopting it, he concludes that nuclear blackmail in relation to the west can be effective therefore at the moment he has already started and this is a number of evidences er-e development of his nuclear program to increase the nuclear component so that in the event of such an operation in relation to taiwan so that he so in the same way that china er-e demonstrated by the united states of america its readiness to use a nuclear component in order to prevent the usa from providing any assistance to taiwan, and we must understand that taiwan is still an island and therefore cut off from sea communications communications e-e, this is one of the main tasks e-e of the people's republic of china in the future, if such an operation begins and the supply of
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military equipment, for example, in ukraine, we see an intensive supply by nato from the countries of the european union, it will be difficult for the taiwanese because this is an island and the people 's republic of china with the help of its naval forces will be able to block such supplies, therefore, within the next five years, such a military operation is not yet predicted but china is intensively preparing for this. he is studying the experience of the russian federation and he is studying exactly what not to do. and he sees that double disasters and losses among the civilian population are still a rather serious problem and contribute to a negative, very negative international international point of view in relation to such an operation, therefore, china is revising. i think that it is revising its military approaches in order to carry out such an operation quickly, without repeating the mistakes of russia and as bloodlessly as possible, but taiwan
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in the same way he prepares, he understands that the people's republic of china conducts military preparations, conducts training maneuvers and so on , therefore, the armed forces of taiwan also study the ukrainian experience of how to defeat a much stronger opponent, mr. after all, i do not know the defensive and offensive capabilities of the chinese army, what is the chinese army, because at the beginning, in the first weeks of the war, many people feared that now china would intervene and almost there will drag the russian federation with the quantitative amount of its equipment and uh actually it will be for us well , not at all transfers, this did not happen, and secondly, when we talk about the chinese army, what are we talking about a large number of people and iron or are we talking about everything - yes, technology is somehow very briefly, very difficult to evaluate very briefly
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. i will try to say that the people's liberation army of china is the largest army in the world, it consists of three types of three types of armed forces - these are ground forces , air forces and naval forces it also has a nuclear component in its arsenal, the so-called nuclear triad is an air, sea, and land component, but the nuclear component of the people's republic of china is third world and it is approximately 20 times less than, for example, the russian or e or the american e are usually armed forces they also have their advantages in terms of quantity and technology, but still the people's republic of china does not have military experience, this is a rather significant disadvantage of the armed forces secondly, technologically, it still lags behind the leading armies of the world, and it does, after all, have soviet models in its weapons, in terms of its combat
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readiness and readiness to conduct high-speed maneuver operations, including such a complex naval operation that on the landing of the sea shores , there are still very big questions about whether china can really do it, the head of the section of the asia pacific region, newgeopology express network was with us thank you for this brilliant analysis, we have little time left and many questions, let's hope to be in time igor chalenko, politician and expert already with us igor, we welcome you glory to ukraine, but we can't do without e-e, in particular, an outline of the situation that is happening with the shares of large russian companies, the shareholders of the set group joined gazprom and sberbank decided not to pay dividends based on the results of the 21st year, the shareholders of the gas group decided to do the same. if we talk about gazprom, then we already see
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a -26 in the value of mozbourz shares there, about 7%. about what is this whole story as an economic expert ? decipher, please, well, very briefly, they do not have free funds today that can be used for dividends due to the fact that the price of shares is falling, plus the opportunity for further investments inside is falling. russia despite the strong ruble, which is actually killing the economy very much today, plus we see more than 10.5 thousand e-e sanctions against the russian federation applied. and once again, please note that it is not only the issue of actions for non-payment, this is also the tip of the iceberg, the most important thing is that today they are already starting to not
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pay wages at factories, including the military-industrial complex, this is where the biggest problem is today, that is, they already have resources today in order to pay for the work of their own employees and in order to replace the types of weapons and ammunition that are going to war today, that is, we see on the one hand how, for example, in 100 days of war, they they earn 93 billion dollars there on the energy carrier, but due to sanctions, they cannot spend it anywhere, and accordingly, today this house of cards is really starting to come together, and when they say that there is nothing wrong with the technical default that occurred, there are no problems, there are no problems, and they are what it will get worse in the future, and despite the fact that the central bank said today, it slightly corrects its own forecasts and makes them more optimistic, both from the point of view of inflation and from the point
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of view of the business environment in general, but not business the real one is leaving the russian federation today, the real business today does not want anything to do with the aggressor therefore, this is just a clear example for you of how the sanctions really work when they are finally felt, it is meant well, in a month, two, three , four, we understand how they live. they are like that but for the russians don't get used to that process . russians already feel it. russians feel it. i'm sorry when an ordinary russian asks an absolutely logical question . compared to last year, the same hotels are 2.5 times more, that's an absolutely correct question today, that's for russians, and they count, and this equipment is recreation, it's food. yes, of course, they burned fuel there, there is a
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low cost, but i'm sorry, when the production of automobile transport has dropped by 97% in a year, then you know that a bad idea is creeping in that maybe there are some problems somewhere and this situation really continues to worsen as this snowdrift begins to fall from the mountains, so you obviously know that there will be to try to get as much as possible before the beginning of september before the single day of voting, but then it will be almost impossible to get it, especially in the fourth quarter, so russia remains a major exporter of energy carriers, but russian society does not feel this in any way today, and this is exactly the trigger today, the tool for which we we have to grasp which we have to use in order to break the putin regime from inside their country thank you very much mr. chalenko very clearly concisely and concretely we understand that in september in a few months, the russians will start to move the hair on their heads,
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rather just as ihor pulled them, they will be forced to somehow speed up their aggression against ukraine. thank you, ihor chalenko, political economic expert. thank you for this inclusion, it was really impromptu. antin berkovskyi tv channel espresso will continue to work for you , the army liberated the island of zmiiny in the russian ministry of defense, you confirmed it from your troops from the island and called it a gesture of goodwill, the biggest from the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the exchange of prisoners

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