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tv   [untitled]    July 3, 2022 4:30am-5:00am EEST

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wars and similar things, i can say that the question is: why do you need this or that information? to what extent can you check it ? the main thing is to check it. what will you do with it as a result? that is, for me, this information is not significant. well, again. because i trust the armed forces of ukraine, i trust the weapons there in ukraine. i trust the security services of ukraine. the belarusians will not be attacked today they will be attacked tomorrow they will be attacked well that is, what do i have to do with that, that is, what am i going to do with that well, it is also possible not to know there and fall, say, some comet or something else, that is, i can influence this process well, that is i can influence that the attacks of belarus on napolesia belarus well, i think the answer is obvious because you know how to use machines to raise the
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mood of the audience that it is not cured, it is tolerated today . so we cannot cure these endless emissions that will be produced by our the enemies do it deliberately in order to sow precisely this insecurity in us here, to sow mistrust , to sow some kind of nervous excitement, frustration , aggression, things like that, that is, why is this necessary? this sand can be a productive position, well, this is the case when you know that there are those entities that guarantee your safety even in such a position. if you want to know more, you want to influence the processes more, then there are appropriate us, the ways in which we can join the military resistance to the occupiers, both real and permanent , an interesting moment, eh, the russian federation is not only on our territory, it is the european union as
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a whole, all over the world, it tried through its networks, eh, tv channels and media in which, by the way now they are actively closing down, and it can’t help but be happy, but they tried to spread their narratives and in some way even blackmail or incite this or that society against their government. what do you think, now this influence has disappeared in europe because uh we see active ukrainian diplomacy, we see that it promotes and shows what is actually happening, we see the level of support that is provided, it is growing. maybe in places, we would like more, but all the same, we see the gratitude of authorized persons from the ukrainian state and the ukrainian society as a whole to the russians already it will not be possible to get into the heads of the europeans as our neighbors, for that it has become much less, well, this is
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one point, that is, in order to exert some influence, certain tools must be used they used to have more such tools, i don’t want to say that they don’t have them at all today, but the fact that they have significantly fewer of them, or is it obviously, it is primarily those mass media that were directly financed by the russian federation, i don’t want to say that today russians are not they use and indirectly finance one or another throw-in, that is, through certain means of information, that is how they do it, and well, you can do it, even the same story with buchi, remember when they spread the word that it was a production that it did not happen allegedly there was a pathologist and they did not find by the way, quite respectable, supposedly, mass information needs to be worked on. this is for the information of those ukrainians who think that journalists in the west do not like money, which everyone loves, unfortunately
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, and very often yes. when we speak there about the standards of the bbc or the standards of some kind of journalism there, you need to understand that these problems are not only ukrainian, this is one moment, the second moment is definitely what is hitting certain politicians, there are opinion leaders, well, there are a lot of these so -called, well, digital or non-traditional means information that is controlled to a much lesser extent, but they have much less coverage, and fortunately yes. that is, to the great regret of the russians and to our great happiness, well, now in the end well, we have begun to actively oppose it. then there is a social chat bot that allows you to block to write complaints and block the relevant networks there. well, the third aspect is definitely politicians or people affiliated with them to give what the russians call agents. well, they are the same in europe , that is, but you have to understand that today public opinion in this world, in its majority, is on the side of
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ukraine, not the last role. of course, the trips and the address of zelenskyi play a role in this. states directly and not mediated, well, through their politicians or through their snakes, this is a way of forming public opinion, and in this aspect, i am inclined not to think that these records made public by the french well, this is precisely the reaction of macron and putin on the fact that macron felt the need to finally explain to the french what he talks about so often with putin because the french had certain fears or certain reasons to assume that it is possible that macron, by his inaction, encouraged or did not prevent putin's aggressive policies, that's why they did it and in fact, just like scholz, well, something was just as much how to say it half-heartedly wanted to visit ukraine, but it must be understood that a large
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part of germans did not understand the position of their own government well, that is, they sympathized with ukraine and we saw that the government was somehow not behaving like that and it is clear that this gap arose between the government and the citizens of german society. i understand that this is not an indicator, but the people with whom i spoke are germans, they confirm your words, but here the important point is not russia only tried through propaganda, but through blackmail. and by the way, it is now trying to influence different countries and influence through energy carriers, that is, oil and gas have always been a reason for blackmail and why the russians behaved so brazenly because they believed that with this, as it is customary to say, europe's oil or gas needle will never go down, but we see that it is already happening now, libra prevails on the side of those energy carriers that come from across the ocean and not from the russian federation, and many countries will
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refuse, but here is the issue of preparing for the heating season while it's warm, we understand that the hands of the russians are somewhat tied in influencing the citizens, because you can't say that now you will all freeze without russian gas, but these are exactly the theses. i am convinced because there, knowing how it works russian propaganda, it may appear in october november this year. what do you think the europeans will do then? and what should we do so that our government should do so that ukrainians also have warmth at home? well , there are two aspects. the first aspect is that it should be done now and not in october in october - well, it will be difficult to clean, i have to prepare for the heating season, as far as i know, even the relevant commission for the preparation of the heating season was created for the presidents of ukraine. well, i understand that this is, in principle, the authority of the cabinet of ministers and i think that they are working on it.
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the next question is what tools are there? we understand that today the ukrainian industry needs much less energy carriers due to objective reasons , so i honestly tend to think that there will be no problems with this, i even tend to think that even the tariffs will be well, the restrained ones will not be raised mainly due to again international aid, that is, i am in this aspect. well, i do not have any apocalyptic expectations, except that if the infrastructure is preserved, well, that is, it is clear what, for example, if the cities there are destroyed, if it is just physically there should be heating networks or gas pipelines there, then it is clear that it is unlikely that we will be able to react quickly and we have a minute left, but one cannot help but ask, but a possible rotation in the government, which is now being talked about in the ukrainian the media can influence this process, i am sincerely glad that the ukrainian media has returned to its favorite topics. this means that
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ah , in principle. i certainly do not give time to the ukrainian media, the more free the more media, but nevertheless , it seems to me that we should pay the main attention right now to the fact that ukraine gives more aggression to the russian federation, and not to some such political aspects of who is being replaced. that is, it is all the same is essentially the president is about the presidential majority, maybe the majority in the verkhovna rada of ukraine, why did it become even bigger, because there, in essence , even the same boyka said that there can be no opposition in the conditions of war, that is, i am generally a little it is strange when someone now in the conditions of war decided to be in the opposition. if there are such people, then this is evidence of their inconsistency, and i would say even the most stubborn. that is why they change, they do not change, this is the question of what is political responsibility, well , political forces, which has the majority, everything is better if someone is
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better . candidacy, which are better able to solve problems, i honestly have nothing against it and i would not like us to engage in excessive politicization and speculation around this, there is a more important offense, that's why it's finally i decided to briefly discuss with you mr. valentin thank you for joining our conversation on our broadcast valentin glydykh political scientist was with us the adviser to the president of ukraine on economic issues oleg kostenko and we will talk with him in more detail about the economic situation in ukraine, mr. oleg, congratulations , recently the institute for the study of war suggested that the kremlin is preparing the russian economy for a protracted war in ukraine. to prepare our economy well, as far as the
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russian economy is concerned, i would say that they are preparing for this, look first of all even at the economic propaganda propaganda is becoming more active and it is already obvious to everyone as for the economy so when it comes to economic preparation moscow clearly understands that if the conflict drags on, if it drags on, it will be necessary to increase its resources in various directions and, first of all, everything related to the armed forces of the russian federation. there will be an increase in appropriations, additional increases should generally go to the military-industrial complex of such a plan, the increase does not occur without general economic consequences, general economic consequences mean that if you have a fixed budget, and in principle, the calculation and what can
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the revenues of the budget decrease potentially and they will decrease as soon as the additional sanctions start to work, first of all, i mean in 5 months the oil embargo should start working, and in this period of time from now until these five months, when the embargo will start to work , a mechanism is being developed called these new mechanisms, which will limit the oil revenues of russia, and at the same time limit it madly, this means that the income of the state budget of russia will decrease . -industrial complex so this means that you will cut them off from other directions, and because of that, they have already started talking quite actively in russia about the fact that it will be necessary to tighten the belts, you need to understand what a-ah
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military programs need additional allocations and from this point of view i would say that it definitely does not add to the standard of living of the population and potentially it will decrease and decrease and decrease for a long enough period of time in relation to all the other discussions that are held in the government in russia, let's say from the import substitution eh, we understand that it is eh in the current conditions, it is simply more july and it is expected that santa claus will simply bring and come in the summer, but this does not happen. substitution import does not work, as practice shows, it does not work.
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therefore, in the short-term and medium-term prospects, it will be enough . it is difficult to do. incomes are decreasing. works there, there will be quite serious problems, i am not talking about the problems of promoting inflation, if the seventh package of sanctions starts working, and we expect that it will start working soon enough, then this means additional pressure on ruble to ruble exchange rate and all this bravado about that, look at what is happening to the exchange rate now, the exchange rate is now even better than it was before, this is mostly the case. in the event of a protracted war between russia and ukraine, the entire world economy will suffer, and thus they are calling for 200 federations to avoid a global crisis in the
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world. how do you assess this situation? i believe that this is indeed the case. russia is hitting in several directions at once on the one hand, russia conducts its ground operation on our territory, on the other hand, russia uses er all available non-military artillery . it uses , well, the guns that we use in this military period of time and tries to influence the situation. the civilized world understands quite clearly that there is a price and a price is paid, including the financial price of which is the whole world, inflation,
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which is currently being promoted quite actively . -e in in the world, these are also the consequences of this aggressive policy that russia is conducting towards ukraine and trying to simply worsen its own condition every day and, accordingly, partly negatively affecting the state of the world economy. can the crisis be prevented? yes, the crisis can be prevented. as for ukraine, ukraine will continue to receive primarily financial support , since we are talking about the economy, financial support from our allies, this was more than clearly stated during the last meetings of the big seven, let's say the deficit of the state budget that we have now is completely covered by our budget, which we said that they
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will cover it as long as it is necessary, that is, until the complete victory of ukraine in this war regarding grain , issues are being resolved little by little, because this is also a serious enough problem, and when ukraine, when we say that ukraine is an important supplier of food to world markets, it means not just that it is just a supply of food this means that the lives of 100 to 200 million people on our planet depend on it, depending on whether we can or will not be able to deliver our products, there are certain serious problems here, and this certain and serious problem is another kind of war that we are waging now e-e against aggressive russia as regards e-e the possibility e-e development of this
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food crisis, it is quite significant. do not forget that when we say that ukraine is one of the top-5 suppliers of e-e wheat to the world markets e- e controls from 10 to 15% the supply of other cereals and 50% of the supply of oil to the world markets of sunflowers and lilies , this is not just statistics and not just numbers, and if this year we were able to cultivate only three quarters of our land, it means that it will potentially decrease by a quarter even in next year, not in this year, but in the next year, in the 23rd year, the supply from our year to the world
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food markets will decrease, and this means that millions of lives on the planet are at risk, and again, world leaders when discussing this the topic, including on the big seven, they talk about the fact that the immediate stop of the war is not the unblocking of food corridors, yes, all the stories are another dangerous moment, because it seems that the world has started to get used to the war in ukraine, i mean even ordinary people can look at the column and the world press that ukraine is no longer a top topic. that is, this is also the moment when it is already habituation and this is the minus that adds to the story with the world crisis that can affect the lives of millions people, i wouldn't say that it is an addiction to a certain
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extent, it is, let's say, it is in the world, yes, everyone knows that we are waging a war with russia, russia attacked ukraine, russia is waging its war of aggression against us, but that does not mean that it's just not the first topic of discussion at the level of politicians, ordinary citizens may have some kind of fatigue, but if we're talking about leaders, i would n't say that, plus it's increasingly clear that the war goes for eh for civilizational values ​​eh not only eh from the point of view there let’s just say food or energy security, we are talking about values ​​in relation to democracy, possibly in the area of ​​exercising
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one's own conscious choice, we are talking about the values ​​of living decently in normal conditions, and from this point of view, how would it be here, not very much there uh, i discussed this matter, and don’t forget that uh, the more, the longer the war goes on, the stronger are the sanctions from the side of the civilized world against russia, they are getting stronger. and i would say that the economic situation in russia, uh, it’s not just getting worse and it will get worse, it will be like this that within 10-20 years, or better to say several decades, russia will not be able to get out of this, from this work, into which it has driven itself
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since february 24 of this year, in the results of may, the russian economy shrank by 4-3% year-on-year after a decline and 2 .8% in april, our colleagues from interfax stated this with reference to this ministry of economic development of the russian federation , that is, the sanctions pressure itself is already felt, the flywheel has already started. we hope that it will only intensify on the part of our western partners o olezhe if we talk about our internal economy , namely about the support of citizens during the war, we understand that what kind of support is necessary for the country's defense capability, nevertheless, with the beginning of a full-scale war, support was provided, and for people who lost their homes, they can currently act a- and to use this through the application, help to internally displaced persons, because help to those who lost their jobs due to the war, are currently being
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considered any similar legislative initiatives regarding the support of citizens and whether it is possible to afford it economically now. i would say that if we consider these conditions in which we are now, and we are in conditions where we have a rather significant deficit of the state budget, it is about 5 billion dollars per month. with those seven billion dollars that we should have had during this year instead of families for the whole year we have 5 billion e-e every month now and as i said it is all subsidized now in the form of most cases of grants from our allies and in us there are only two global expenses, we have expenses related to our security and defense, and the second group of expenses is everything related to the social sphere, if we
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keep the current glass status, i would say that we have very limited opportunities from the point of view of additional only, but this does not mean that there will not be eh, the possibility of opening additional programs for the social support of our population is being considered quite actively, eh, various m-m, various different possibilities financial involvement resource, even from those countries where our temporary migrants are located, the possibility of even introducing an unconditional income base is being considered and discussed, but here, too, the possibility of using funds that have been arrested by the international community from those that belonged to to the central bank of the russian
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federation as compensation for the losses they have caused us, and when we talk about this, we mean that it is one thing to simply seize the funds and another thing to give us the opportunity already to use these funds for our citizens and our population, and let's say the first step has already been taken in this russia, and canada has made appropriate changes to its own legislation, which makes it possible to use that part of the assets of the central bank of the russian federation that were in them, and they are scattered over the majority cases in the g7 countries, these funds will be able to be used already for the benefit of ukraine, and depending on how quickly this fund will be filled, it will be possible to talk about the restoration and support of ukraine
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regarding what additional social programs can be used in ukraine, but it is clear that everyone understands that this is simply necessary, and the citizens and the government and the leadership of the country, this is clear, but there is a very important limitation, this is the funds, where to get the funds under the conditions when there is a war and we are in the conditions of the so-called military economy. we rebuilt everything on military lines starting from february 24 of this year. still, the priority is, first of all, our armed forces, our security and defense, but this is not means that all the rest of the programs are not considered, the discussion goes in each separate direction, i already understood that the issue is a painful issue, a debatable issue
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, but necessary . he was in touch with us on economic issues, we will overcome it, we will overcome it, we will overcome it, we will win the news , together we are strong unconquered cities of ukraine, this is a cozy and comfortable kharkiv city of students of science and industry, the city, which since ancient times was repeatedly attacked by the tatars , passed both into the hands of the bolshevik invaders and would have given to the german fascists, but kharkiv persevered and
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kept ukraine in its heart then and now. phosphorus bombs are what broke the screams of ukrainian women and the tears of ukrainian children. the majority of russian athletes fell silent. this silence continues to kill ukrainians. ukrainian stadiums fell silent . however, we athletes around the world should not remain silent, calls on everyone to support boyko of russian athletes, a collection of teams and while the war in
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ukraine continues, support ukraine at the sports fund, silence kills with the support of the ministry of youth and sports of ukraine, those who are on duty 24/7 know the value of human life, the guys are left they save the living, sometimes doing the impossible, the best for the defense of our state, you are our medical angels , undertakers, a battalion of doctors. here, our front is almost 5:00, there are less hours left on the clock, and this means that anton is already ready to share the new news release, antony, we congratulate you and you
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have a word about what you will talk about first, while there is a moment before the news release, i will tell you about the situation at the moment, the air alarms that are sounding right now in the south and in the central part of ukraine, odesa cherkasy, kirovohrad region, mykolaiv region , dnipropetrovsk region and zaporizhzhia, residents of these regions, please go to the shelters, as is traditional, at 5 a.m. russia sends congratulations to ukraine, our military, on the contrary, will give a worthy response to this within moments of the news release, we united for the sake of truth

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