tv [untitled] July 8, 2022 4:30pm-4:56pm EEST
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i'm sorry, i'm from the verkhovna rada, we have some connection, very bad wi-fi, good evening, i asked what are the real possibilities that you and i will be allowed to use russian assets for the restoration of ukraine, have you heard, i'm sure, no, i haven't heard, then there are possibilities, mr. vitaly and the most important thing is for these real possibilities to be heard at the rammstein meetings. three meetings have already taken place. if you asked me, on the fourth rammstein held precisely at the initiative of the ukrainian side. we can create repair companies where we ask for a license where there will be service by any means, but we have to do it on our territory because until now, poland, other countries are working like our tiger, but the time has come for you to
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create your own on your own land, starting from transcarpathia and all the way to the poltava region thank you volodymyr omyvaichenko, people's deputy of ukraine thank you for your time and we will move on if we move on to serhii danylo, deputy director of the research center, now he will eat properly mr. danilov, yes, he often helps us here with middle eastern studies. and there will be more vera, ah, konstantinova, a political scientist, a genius, an internationalist, feminists, somehow it’s not easy for me , it’s not easy for me to get burned without a commission fact, congratulations, mr. sergey, congratulations, ms. vera well, let’s talk about what is happening now in the relations between russia and kazakhstan because it's really something quite strange, when on the one hand, who squeezes it out, it's a thrill - the president of kazakhstan arrives in the second capital of russia, participates together with vladimir putin in the st. petersburg
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economic forum, on the other hand, on this form, he calls the dpr, the lpr, cloud states, and kazakhstan is actually trying to do everything possible not to turn into a russian sanctions window, and russia is very unhappy with this, because it is because it is now another repair they made so that kazakhstan cannot transport oil through the territory of the russian federation for 30 days, and we know such repairs, do you remember mr. serhiy, when this gas pipeline was repaired, some kind of structural condition to ukraine was beautiful from the gas drive, too. why are they fighting? it's just a necessity to survive. i'm saying this. let's you know . i have some doubts. look at the money. in fact, the state will not lose that much. well, according to cossack experts, a monthly delay is approximately 900 million, almost a million, like a
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lot . but this year's budget, even next year's, will not lose anything from the one-month delay, the budget will be fully implemented, because most of the money that kazakhstan would receive from the pipeline from the cpc for this month goes to this special fund which saves money for the future on the other hand, both countries and kazakhstan and russia, well, especially russia, i feel that the demand for their oil is decreasing and in physical volume they export less, but thanks to the prices that have risen in them all financial indicators fully correspond to their program indicators that is it is more like a game in which they are trying to support these prices even if exporting less oil can remain with the
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same profits and besides this trip of tokaev to st. petersburg for the st. petersburg economic forum which was once a leading platform for the presentation of the economic and political interests of russia in the future, and there was a recent visit of the prime minister of kazakhstan to yekaterinburg, where quite a number of deals worth many billions were concluded by leading kazakh companies for investment in the russian economy with the transfer of many of production, in particular, under sanctions, at least that's what the opposition kazakh politicians and analysts say on the territory of kazakhstan, that is, kazakhstan, er, its political leadership, so it is in some kind of truth, some er, well some denial of russian policy in rhetoric
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also allows the refusal to recognize the so-called republics and so on, yes, but in practice both states interact quite fruitfully, have common interests and long ago learned to play with two hands . kherson mtz and then they were given a hard time, according to their words, they could not buy , as a result, a kazakh company bought it, which after a very short time resold it to russian chechen entrepreneurs, and there are enough of such stories a lot of rhetoric, one thing, but we will follow the years and the actions of mrs. vira, but look at the outside, it looks like well, i would say not very sure, i do not question what mr. serhiy said, but on the
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outside, this demarche in st. petersburg i mean the east in general, russia zinkin, who was talked about, i was analyzed, then he did not come, and all this together shows that russia, if i may be wrong, is not what is losing central asia, but somehow in central asia, not everything is okay, there are no such 32-toothed smiles towards the kremlin yes, i see the visit your talk of mr. putin and something, it also reminds me of an attempt to somehow show a good side in a bad game, or am i wrong, and on the other hand, we say that china will buy a large part of the oil and india will buy a large amount of oil , and thirdly, people say, well they will buy, but ask at what price and it will be a price three times less
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than the world price, and it is also not in favor of russia, in short, am i right that i suspect that something is in this principality, as my friend les podervyansky wrote, and the main word is not me i will say they say that it is forbidden by ukrainian legislation to carry out the reshuffle of the heads, we call central asia the third of asia, so, well, a little bit of soviet rhetoric. i apologize to everyone . mr. serhiy said several remarks at the same time. the first remark is about well, we are such mature people, we always talk about geopolitics, and on the other hand, still thinking about national interests and the national interests of kazakhstan, i think, do not consist in the fact that fall under secondary factions or any sanctions
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that are possible in connection with cooperation with the russian federation. at the same time, it seems to me that the national interest of kazakhstan is stability in the region , there is cooperation with other countries, regions, and an important element. it seems to me that because in addition to russia and the influence of the objective influence of the russians on the region, there are other actors who, under the conditions of the period of turbulence and the fact that russia is stuck in ukraine, they are taking appropriate foreign policy measures in order to let's say to redistribute the spheres of influence in the region, so you know, this phrase is not all that clear-cut, but at the same time , to talk about some uh, real soup from the side uh, in the opposite direction from russia. it seems to me that it is also too early, although uh, objectively, we have a strong player in in the region, this is china, we have a strong player in the region, this is turkey, and i am definitely convinced that these
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countries know and understand how, in what situation, first of all, the economic geopolitical situation is now in the russian federation, mr. serhiy, but you still think that the kazakh elite does not have fears that sooner or later a russian tank will go somewhere to a border guard almost at a rally protests were all over the country kazakhstani society has actually demonstrated a sufficiently large maturity and for the presence of er national consciousness civic consciousness yes we and kazakhstan well then er and this is the thesis that and nazarbayev and others are trying in every possible way to oppress, i.e. they are trying to work to model and moderate the identity, in particular, of citizens of kazakhstan who are not of kazakh origin in such a way as not to create conflicts on the one hand with the other they, er, counterintelligence is working and they plant er,
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those who could be leaders of russian parties in kazakhstan, thirdly, and in the foreign policy arena, they are quite careful with russia precisely because they are afraid of er, provocations and invasion as a result, and deputies er, the state duma and many examples of what it can be. so you see the statement is quite sharp and unambiguous from many notable figures in russian politics. there you can say that a state duma deputy. therefore, it is nobody in the russian hierarchy of power in real power. but because at least in kazakhstan it is perceived as a full-fledged statement of a real deputy, which is modeled by some decision-making center, as they say. in the administration of president putin,
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it is beneficial for china. and some other way to find another way there, i don’t know because of the wounds , in short, here you have to look at the map and think on the map already there, but this is all for the benefit of the central asian countries, which could trade well certainly in favor of china, otherwise he will be on it , he did not offer it yes, but a central asian country could also join for trade directly, in fact, directly, well, through the caucasus from europe through turkey, and here it is hindered, and the latest events are hindering it, the russians are repairing it once again. they are repairing something there tomorrow they will start to repair something by bribing some turkmen or some other manager. that is, it turns out that the
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interests of central asia are not from the great economic interests get together and build this one train, one way , contrary to the internet, russia can do it like that, but he says, you and i have been talking for the past few minutes about the objective restrictions for these republics now, because yes, indeed, i have seen the news that, for example, the state of the republic's success is conducting negotiations with the european union. and the fact that there are active communications between the representatives in kazakhstan and the american european partners indicates that the country is still trying to somehow diversify its external politics, taking into account the negative economic impact that they already have due to the sanctions imposed on the russian federation in connection with the full-scale creation of ukraine, they are already feeling it, and moreover, the analyst, experts from the region are talking
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about the economic choice and more. of course , now let's talk about how they will still be able to achieve the ultimate goal of one belt, one path, eh. it seems to me that it is important to understand that china is a country with, let's say, that knows how to forecast and knows how to squeeze the maximum out of eh geopolitical events that are taking place around it. i think that this idea is important now. but we must not forget that european partners and american partners, because a number of visits to the region by high-ranking officials and the united states of america, which are so expertly possible they add to the idea that the region is interesting not only for regional players, but also for players who are outside the region, so it seems to me that it is important now. as they say, follow the years, yes, it really is a threat, not just a
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repetition of ukrainian, which the cossacks say kazakh analysts of the ukrainian scenario in kazakhstan there are points, let's say, in the same uzbekistan or tajikistan, which can also explode in connection with regional events, this question remains open, at the same time, experts say that the region it is quite promising, not only from the point of view of the economy, but it is also a matter for turkey, because a number of agreements were signed with kazakhstan, which can have a very significant impact in the future on, let's say, the deepening of bilateral relations between turkey and kazakhstan, so it seems to me that a very interesting situation is unfolding here, but it is important for ukraine now to understand how this region can contribute, firstly, to the stabilization of the situation and the end of a full-scale invasion, and the second point is how ukraine can involve these
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countries in further reconstruction and it seems to me more, well, now is the time. and tell mr. serhiy, if we talk about expansion plans in the region, they are not only russian, there are chinese plans, there are also afghan plans, because i it seems that recently the taliban movement that seized power in afghanistan does not hold anything back, especially near the tajik borders, it turned out that the question of whether they want to or not is even more considered . in ukraine , i don't know how true this is, and that's why putin meets the leader of tajikistan very often, because the leader is allegedly afraid that the prize is poured into the soft underbelly, as they say, the 201st golitsyn base is called most of them fought in the kharkiv direction, then i suspect the remnants there well, but they did not
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completely take out something left there, well, look around afghanistan, it seems that the taliban does not want to be involved in the confrontation with anyone else, and well, they are sitting inside, although individual units are under control to a lesser extent not under full control will easily do their work as they see it as necessary on the uzbek or tajik border for the taliban in principle to increase the number of tajiks due to expansion tajikistan is not a good option. well, what if they were ready to tolerate those tajiks who live in tajikistan, even share power a little, and involve them in their laws, even make them commanders , as you know. not everyone is interested in drug transportation routes, but due
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to the fact that russia exchanges in isolation in the western direction, well, this is a drug transportation route, as experts say, it is also under threat and they are forced to reorient karasya, thirdly, there are now many problems with pakistan, with pakistanis, with pashtun tribesmen, and with talman in pakistan, and these problems are much more important than expansion to 3 central asia, instead, the islamic state in kherson operates there, which periodically fires at uzbekistan e- what can they do, for some reason , their homemade rockets don’t explode, and the videos are so weak in general? well
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, they wanted to, and there is a part of the batershan position . i don’t sign all of it, which focuses on teleban and i would be ready to join joint actions, it counts on the fact that the afghan taliban supports them. ot administrative thanks to the only one thanks to the political scientists yes, we have oleg kadkov peredakhom katkov elena the editor of defense-express i would say to the tailor that i did not think such a turn of events that i just heard that drug trafficking is under threat because of the sanctions of western countries against russia, that is, regarding the arkotrazhka, because there he actually meant a lot if the brother even regionalized the last statement
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, there again it is about the fact that they are not there yet and have not started there well, in fact, the situation and what the general talked about what the ministry of defense talked about the fact that the offensive which they knew that everything they had was a report to protect or reduce any offensive capabilities and not only in the direction of all production a in general throughout the fund, that is, if we now look at the summary of the general headquarters, the activity and direction of the enemy's attacks, they are significantly less than, for example, they were a few weeks ago, that is, the fact is that now there are some offensive counteroffensive actions of the ukrainian army, or i was not mistaken, and the second question of the war. well, we talked about this a few weeks ago, that there should be an operational pause and it can mean that the ukrainians can't counterattack yet, but the russians
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can't attack anymore. is this the moment to say? because if well, if we have under e-e, we're talking about a counteroffensive as big ones are coming and that's it for now such opportunities of the armed forces of ukraine are expected to be ordered, they take place, for example , on the cross on a straight line and where hmm the fortress remains to stand where it will happen no no i don't know no one knows maybe he is involved god give him health today i already congratulated him on his birthday but is it correct i i understand that first you have to stop completely, then there will be a pause and then you can talk about something else, i won't say the word "counter us" in order not to inconvenience you. in fact, this is what you described. that is, such a photo fortress is the so-called static defense is not used or
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involves huge costs, for example, static defense was during the second world war in stalingrad one step back, the foreign troops are behind and as such, the meat grinder is repeatedly written on the fact that it is maneuvered, neural defense consists in the fact that during its own enemy carries significantly greater costs than the defending side at the same time uh the defending side always has certain losses withdraws to new lines of defense attacks counterattacks in other directions that is uh in the modern concept of the introduction of defensive actions which accordingly, for example, nato is the only way to defend yourself, because if you just stand, the enemy fires and brings up even more forces, and for example, such a situation can be repeated, for example, all the production when the enemy is already monkeys around the positions, and thanks to this, he could simply triple the number artillerymen
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, that is, due to simply a longer front, we could not drive anything to this patch, well, the required number, and the enemy was standing on three sides, he could fire at our positions from any angle that is, our defenders were in situations where there was nothing to cover even from shelling. okay, so i'm wrong. i apologize, it means, after all, zluzhno is smarter and the ice skating rink is smarter than me. it's nice that there is a smarter person in military affairs. thank you, do you have any questions or this is what i want to ask in principle will happen in your opinion. in the south, in the south, what is happening now is that we are trying, thanks to long-range systems like himars, to destroy a close and operative. this is an absolutely simple task that is now facing by the armed forces, because we use weapons of the date of
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corridosect parity in number, this is in general, nato never intended to fight in numbers and it understood that it would fight precisely for such a russian moscow horde and it is impossible to compete with it in the number of tanks and guns, therefore, one of them is just what does not command the advantage of the enemy in manpower in equipment, in guns, it is the destruction of stocks . such as warehouses of passports, fuel warehouses that were destroyed there at a depth of up to 670 km from its front , then an extremely important process takes place, because we understand that even the general staff of the russian federation does not have all the clinical individual forces there, and they will begin to withdraw their, god forbid, far away,
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and here comes their huge logistical collapse , which is connected with the fact that the rear service of the russian federation is always the historical weakest link of their army machine, this is the transfer of the warehouse 70 km , for example, there by 150 means that it increases there are twice the shoulders of logistics, this means twice as many motor vehicles, twice as powerful warehouses , even returns, twice as much fuel consumption of personnel, i.e. these strikes, first of all, it is to complicate logistics as much as possible, because as soon as there is fuel for the enemy, there will be a project of objects, i do not see its advantage in these invented weapons that is, we come out as a minimum, for example, as best as possible . we must come out, of course, to our advantage, because if the enemy does not have fuel, it has shells, it doesn’t matter how many tanks and pockets he has. okay, well, i just i just want from literature, i
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don’t understand anything in military affairs, but what you called the phrase rear service, and in literature even before the revolutionary until the 17th year, it is always thieves in the russian army, in the soviet army, in the post of the soviet army, for some reason i think that there too thieves , that is, generals steal everything everywhere, but in the rear service they are somehow more beautiful, more reliable, and they are , in that sense, great people. so we then begin to understand that you confirm mr. zelenskyi’s thesis that really powerful support began to enter ukraine, and we can see it in the south, we can see here, er, already a dozen or so different formations, which are, well, wounded, and the one killed in the temporary territory. that is, we can say
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that the forest began in october . i'll just remind you that we asked for high-mars levels in april, we received them relatively recently, and now we have already announced in the morning that there are already 9 units of such high-mars systems plus m270. and in general, if i'm not mistaken, 17 or even more are expected more it depends from the following possibilities, first of all, the usa for understanding, for example, in france, their 13 armed forces are only 13m270 ukraine already
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