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tv   [untitled]    July 9, 2022 3:00am-3:31am EEST

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in fact, the movement, say kind words, arrange a standing ovation, honor the heroes on guard of the country's food security, it works even despite the hostilities in the field, in the garden, in the barn, a javelin was born in our house, the owners work from the dawn of the sun, people work anyway, i wonder where the front is in the rear, we will be able to close this food crisis in our region, in our community, a battalion of farmers. here is our front . watch the project to find your own kateryna osadchai from the search for the missing every monday at 21:30
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is our weapon here in the studio and in every corner of ukraine, where our correspondents are currently working, around the clock we will fight with the help of this as many weapons as it will take for ukraine to win over the russian invaders, but in the meantime, the institute for the study of war, an american institution, talked about the fact that now russia has taken such a lull, but later at the same time, a general mobilization in russia is unlikely, in particular because the russian state is afraid of arming a large number of citizens, it could threaten the putin regime. the ukrainian war is a war of attrition but while russia is depleting its available
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resources and will likely have problems replenishing them, ukraine can turn the situation around my colleague olena romovska spoke about her benefit to oleksandr bogomolov, listen to me, the return to russia of armed people, embittered after the war, who have experienced various risks of suffering, wounded, evil people with weapons, can tear russia apart from the inside, mr. bogomolov, i congratulate you, thank you for your time, we are meeting with you in such a period when not only is there a difficult situation on the eastern front, but there are also such massive missile strikes throughout the territory of ukraine, in your opinion, as of
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now, where are we with you now, what is putin's goal what does he want in this war, how does it best formulate the method of this war, this is the document that was adopted at the nato summit in principle, that is, it is quite clearly formulated that russia is correct to expand its spheres of influence by any means and by coercion, by occupation, by annexation by means of aggressive measures in principle from the very beginning, russia formulated several goals at different levels of its war actions at the level of communication with western countries from nato, there were certain texts of the same type, but in fact they always had in mind something completely different, using the words of the late iryn kirillovich marchuk of the military-political operation that russia has been conducting since the 12th year, the goal was always
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motivated by ideas that prevailed in principle and were increasingly rooted in russian political thought in the russian political culture , with ideas about the collapse due to the cold war, about the loss of the empire, the loss of position in the world, that is, they felt that they were losing the status of a superpower , which is and has long been a part of the russian of political identity, that is, the restoration of this state, it is clear that the war made its corrections and it turned out that their reading of the socio-political reality of ukraine, on which the strategy was built, was all built on a false foundation, and when faced with reality, they began to adapt and proclaim and try to achieve some
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intermediate results of fringe goals one of which is to capture the full perimeter of donbass , including the territories that have come under the control of russia. their opinion, what is the capture of the whole of ukraine, or in the proper hypothetical case, they were satisfied with the donbass and southern ukraine, it remains the same, taking into account some corrections made simply by the circumstances, that is, i am convinced that their key idea is to capture the whole of ukraine and put it under control, it remains in force , they cannot give up it, the political leadership of russia, but looking at their real potential, it is unrealistic to achieve this or that result in this short time
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they adjust and announce some intermediate tasks, that is, for example, to establish a control donbas in the form of, that is, not in a direct way , like these sovereign, quasi -state entities, ah, just the same, not so much as if officially speaking about it everywhere, but everything one thing is clear, it can be read from their actions and, in principle, from the texts to build the same er -e southern corridor to crimea and er-e transnistria to crimea were announced. at this stage, it looks like and this was announced some time ago it seems like a couple of months ago. if i'm not mistaken, uh, or a little more, it was announced in the mode of provocation. i think at the time when at that time it was clear that what did not enter and at this time does not come out, so that they are able to do it potentially if they could that is in principle, every thing that they announce
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for provocative purposes is simply used, well , including the use of tactical nuclear weapons, there are many different threats that they announce in the direction of some nato and other future members, all these things are not implemented at this stage yes, but they are quite real, in the presence of such a mobilization of such a potential, now from the point of view of human power, they do not have enough potential, the mobilization resource is limited in this particular format of time in the short-term perspective, but it is absolutely one hundred percent, they will try to mobilize more potential in a different way, what are you talking about that they will try to mobilize more resources, according to your opinion, putin will go on a general mobilization uhu my opinion, which i adhere to all the time and so far there is no reasons to abandon it and consists in the following
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, all these actions, they are clearly aware of everything that it does, they have two sides, which means the possibility of realizing the next step in the direction of their great strategic goal of capturing ukraine by village , but it is also always accompanied by certain risks of various political obstacles in this case, i think that they are afraid of wide mobilization. that's why, first of all, this is what everyone writes about, in principle, this mobilization must be long-term, the preparation of a high-quality reserve requires and the investments of time and material investments are high, that is, in order for this process to achieve some kind of result, so that these people can be introduced and that they become part of the war that is happening in our country right now, for this it takes time, well
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at least it takes time in addition to many different other resources in order to implement it, in principle, they need a truce. you need an official cessation of the conflict, yes, more or less, a freeze in some kind, at least temporarily, but the key factor for me is what they say about political risks about the loss of popularity draw attention to the fact that the russians themselves are burning their military commissars there, even many have already burned almost 20 and er, that is, there is opposition in principle er in russia to participate at least if politically there er we we know that public opinion there is quite a high percentage that seems to support all these zahartov ideas, but but but somehow it was done at someone else's expense, if i hadn't done it, that is, the position is like this, but the key here is that i think that the russian authorities are afraid of arming a large number of their own
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the armed population of an ever-increasing number, which does not necessarily die in ukraine, and also returns, that is, the return of armed people to russia, embittered in principle, after the war, who have experienced various risks of suffering, wounded, evil people with weapons, can tear russia apart from the inside, because now russia russia, in principle, is dynamite, in principle, that is, a broad mobilization with dynamite is delayed in time by explosives of such a kind if a noticeable percentage of this population is already such that they are veterans of the war with weapons in it was all in the hands, there will be a different situation and this whole pyramid, which rests on the so-called security forces, the
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pyramid of russian attention. war is a high risk, of course, and for us here in kyiv, first of all, but there are different points, there is a big question regarding the opposition, yes, the president of belarus, yes, is he really in charge of the situation, or can he be considered a puppet president like that? in fact, the power is largely in the hands of the russians , primarily in the military dimension, but i think there is, um , hardly. ukrainians also take part in this conflict in this confrontation, but well, not so directly and not quite as obvious as there are belarusians in the russian units, they involve and who is
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watching? it's a little different is already an option and i think that this situation means that we have to consider it as a probability, but there are limiting factors. that is, i do not think that we see that the morale of the russian army itself is not too high and it remains so all the time. well, they are not stupid, they understand that in this case they will be used simply as cannon fodder, that they have absolutely no connection with this war , and we have all heard that all communications with belarusian officers or former military personnel are made up impression that mood not at all, not military, not combative. let's say,
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when lukashenko met with putin recently, one of the statements that was made and was quoted in the media was that russia would transfer iskander missile complexes to belarus, which can, in particular , use missiles with nuclear warheads, how do you perceive this rattling of russia's nuclear weapons, can russia go for it, of course i perceive this escalation negatively, let's say it is exceptional and it is considered very negative, it in itself has already raised the threshold of danger in the world as a whole after all, whether it will go or not, its probability exists again in some such apocalyptic option , which is quite possible, and in principle improbable. i know the apocalyptic option you are
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talking about. there will be some other country, well, tactically, nuclear weapons simply with their characteristics are more likely and they talk about them more and it looks more realistic actions and, in principle, what it is used for specifically on the bodies of ukraine, yes, is there a likely scenario of its use against nato countries, is it at all or a critical scenario, is it a scenario reminiscent of the may days of 1945? the more threatening the national
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, the less likely, of course, is it possible to say that the probability of such an event is zero, if it were possible to confidently say so, then we would see a slightly different behavior of our nato partners, including from the point of view of providing us with certain types of weapons that is, in such an indirect way, i can say that people are more authoritative than your not-yet-servant believe that this is probably what you mentioned at the beginning about nato itself and with what statements it ended and in particular yes, russia was recognized as a threat to the bloc in your opinion or is it is really a risk that russia may attack nato countries, and is there such an attack, let's imagine that it will be a gas attack. we can assume that it could be some country on the eastern flank of the bloc. could it
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develop into the third world war ? because this is part of their propaganda and part of their hybrid technology, which is used all the time, this whole discourse about the third world war . well, i still prefer more conservative definitions , we have seen what it is, we know from history, we have not seen it ourselves. of course, what is a world war? it is a war in many theaters between different participants . it is all about the measures in principle of our
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nato partners aimed at ensuring that this war remains within the perimeter of ukraine. this is not entirely good for us, but this is the reality in which we are now and while it remains within the perimeter. although i first say that this is a regional conflict in it at least three states participate directly, and if you read carefully the latest strategic concept of nato, it is practically recognized there, that is, diplomatic efforts, military efforts , military-technical assistance, which is all formatted in this way, in order to avoid this threat, you yourself say that the international community has conditionally agreed, so cynically let's say that the war would take place on our territory and at our expense , so far there is no such moment in sight for us to
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say that the war can stop at least for a while, you see the circumstances no, there are absolutely none as long as the strategic goal of the enemy is the destruction of the state, that is, what can be said in your opinion, this goal depends very much on the figure of vladimir putin, it depends on the nature authoritarian regimes, if it was not putin ivanov or patrubshe or someone else, nothing would have changed if it was gaddafi, for example, and the same was the case in libya, for example, that is, when we listen to the speech of dafi during the lviv revolution, they became increasingly harsh more and more threatening, until he climbed the stream and ended his life there. host regimes cannot. authoritarian regimes are inflexible by their very nature. everything about it is sinified in the image of the leader as such an unshakable
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strong figure, and in principle everything is held together. the construction of power, if he starts to discuss some options, will they appear, then alternatives will immediately appear, the bearer of alternative opinions, respectively, the power is starting to crumble a little, the pyramid is authoritarian in this regard, it has a weakness, in your opinion, the west is making a mistake when it does not formulate the goal of ending this war in particular, that he would no longer be in power in russia. i think they are not formulated. but i think that in principle it is read well. we are somehow preparing for the fact that the government may change in russia. will we be able to take advantage of the opportunities that the change of power in russia would open up to ukraine, i
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think we will say i think we will be able to under any conditions, only a larger-scale war could be worse let's say it with more excavation with more power let's say it in principle we are still like this in such circumstances that the change is so drastic, any change, in principle, provides us with new perspectives for us, ultimately, for russia to change, because russia, which is now in a different situation, looks more realistically like this a situation when they are basically just slowing down time and then there will be some wobbles and certain peace for sure time yes uh this is the situation in principle perhaps the worst for us is the situation of the frozen conflict as it is not surprising but it is like peace but it is very bad peace here there are many different
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risks but on the other hand the alternative for us it is only a total victory and it is very difficult this is difficult but it is not impossible not a total victory for sure victory let's say this well everything will happen and it happens in this way quite gradually slow, it is very important for us to achieve certain successes, i do not particularly want to focus in such detail on how i see which are the most important, but they are an opportunity to implement and we, for example, need to ensure an exit and without a safer situation e.e. with ports with the sea with an exit with exports and with with various such things, some things need our attention right now, well, i would prefer to sound more careful. let's say so without any such
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, but the scenarios to sell over large, some kind of guarantees, it will not take long. now we will talk in in the regime of a war of attrition, it must be clearly understood that this is a war of resources. whoever has more resources here ultimately gets a better position. yes, it is not necessarily an immediate victory, but just a strong position. on the surface, it looks like russia has more resources. we can talk the situation in our favor. there is a very good chance to do this, but it depends on the fact that many of our important resources are not directly at our disposal. this is a bit of a risk. that is, we are first of all, but russia has a resource, it is clear that the resource is nominally there are many people who are actually less and less
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suitable for use as soldiers, that is, the human resource deteriorates further, it gets worse and worse, more and more resembles clean literate meat, and then they start to use more and more archaic systems weapons, soviet missiles, this is now a legacy of the cold war, and these x-22s, which are unbelievably dniester, they are not accurate, they are poisonous, they have bad fuel there , that is, they choke a little, but this old resource of the cold war is actually a lot, that is there is a lot of resource for such a dirty war, it is probably a separate threat, of course and we need more accurate and better types of weapons, well, that is, in russia, the resource is running out, we already have hope that
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our resource will be captured if it is updated, and it would be good if it was updated faster, there are various limiting factors what is happening is not only political, it is also the result of some long -term miscalculations, hmm, which, in turn, is also the result of an overestimated situation after the end of the cold war, the power of culture, and what one could say that in the west, among the nations, the end of the cold war was followed by this excessive conviction that this is actually the end of history, almost like that. but it turned out not to be the end of history at all, and this cold shower that everyone has now received, in principle, we are observing its consequences, but the system yanuchka, it is corrected and here on, if the question is formulated, it is possible and formulated in such terms
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: who owns the time, does it belong to us, or does it belong to russia ? some time and we may already have some clearer and denominators to solve this difficult problem, thank you very much, mr. bogomolov, for this conversation, thank you, let's rebuild taras, let's launch, we'll win and it 's not your fault, together we are strong, the leader of the legendary band druga rika, the war has learned to live faster and everyone day, however, what have we become and how has it changed each of us feels guilty, he spends the night there in the cemetery, and yesterday i was sitting drinking beer and talking about my colleagues who are in no hurry to change, it is difficult to judge a muscovite because it is difficult and how cannons, what about bulgakov, there is no war, everything is cool, send an interview with valery kharchyshyn, we must not lose our minds,
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we must live, watch this sunday at 21:00 and the concert of the band druga rika, the subway station, the heroes return from the war, tired, but nezlamni maxim provided cover for the combat equipment and received a serious injury, but the spirit of a ukrainian officer is not so easy to subjugate maxim in the future, he wants to stay at the cost of peace and peace in ukraine, so let's celebrate the feat of our heroes with a smile and sincere thanks, we join the all-ukrainian flash mob honor the hero because of the war in ukraine all the stadiums
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fell silent the silence was broken by russian shelling explosions of russian rockets and russian phosphorus bombs what broke the screams of ukrainian women and the tears of ukrainian children most of the russian athletes fell silent this silence continues to kill ukrainians ukrainian stadiums fell silent however, we sportsmen of the whole world do not have to remain silent calls on everyone to support the boycott of russian athletes of national teams and teams while the war in ukraine continues, support ukraine for sports

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