they will insert a stick into a wheel, but it all depends on the power of the carriers, on the logistics, you will change the word again, and you know they also have warehouses that are stupid, they have it, people write it down and there are certain standards according to which they cannot to leave the armed forces without certain reserves , that is, if there is a need for weapons stored in warehouses, then they can give them to us. well, you can’t keep a certain amount of everything, so now they quickly established the production of certain types of weapons and we will already have them arms are supplied not from the steps of our partner countries, but directly from the production where guns are now produced for us, cartridges are produced for us, so how much has our power increased and how much will it affect any aid, it has a positive effect on our armed

forces and in such a quantity which it is coming in and is planned to come in. well, we still have another 400 billion . you know, the united states is there for certain things. they still lack defense equipment there, but according to the agreement, they should supply us with 600 tanks. that is well, and so on. that is, there are other spare parts, they are prescribed under such conditions. thank you, oleksiy, hetman , ato veteran, military expert. thank you, mr. oleksiy, time is running out, and poroshenko is up to the ideas of mr. oleksiy, in the sense that i am a little worried, this is a constant claim, give me a weapon. i have the impression that someone does not want give it, and this is logistics , you understand that. when they gave 40 billion, everyone clapped their hands, and i spoke with an expert, and he said that for logistics of 40 billion, 20 is not a joke, it is necessary to find airplanes of millet, download, fix

take her so that she will eventually reach the front . therefore, everyone wants to help, and i would stop talking about the fact that someone somewhere is to blame, that it is going slowly, looking at america, then yes. and if germany is like that, they are just dragging it out in principle, but when the west does not give this phrase it annoys me that the west does not give as its measure that the british, leading the americans do not give or the germans do not give, for example, i was surprised that the norwegians give a huge number of very, very useful weapons, er, the secretary of rainbow, all danilov told in one of the interviews that some countries u.s they give weapons, but they ask for anonymity so that it would be because it is their right, they want it so much, they do not know why they have any specific reasons for this, we will now have a short break

, just a few minutes, well, we will return very quickly, but i will remind you that and at 16:40 we will have an interactive session with mykola versen, where he traditionally answers your questions, which you ask on the official facebook page of espresso.tv, just under the post in the comments or in private messages, or write in the youtube chat, er, ours broadcasts your questions impressions comments all the most interesting voiced as always on the air stay we will be back very soon good evening we are from ukraine vasyl zima's big broadcast my name is vasyl zima two hours of air time and my colleagues are with you until 21:00 two hours of your time we will talk about the most important thing is two hours to learn about the war, our broadcast serhiy zgoretska military summaries of the day and what is the world like what is there in the world will be told by yuri the physicist two hours to be aware of the economic news of the radio operators

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real time about the most relevant events through the prism of war, every day author's projects on espresso, we are back as promised very quickly mykola september than the doctor season, we are still open until 17:00 and you can ask your questions every week we will have an interactive 4:40 p.m. i remind you that the official espresso facebook page is espresso.tv, and in the comments under this post, which you can see now or in private messages or in the youtube chat, not our live broadcast, i see that you are very active there but there are fewer questions than comments and your impressions , but this is also not bad. now we will be able to discuss quite interesting topics. lukashenko has been in power for 28 years. by the way, putin is more than a dictator. why did putin become the father of dictatorship

in the modern world, and not lukashenko, who is a good student of lukashenko? well, you see, this is also a very interesting moment. we started with elections on the same day in ukraine and how many presidents have changed in ukraine since then, and how many presidents have changed in belarus at one time. 0:0 and that is why this is a huge the difference is, but how did he manage to do it, lukashenko , it is necessary to study it specifically, it is necessary to sit and watch how he won, what happened to the country after that, how they, how he changed the constitution, well, we will talk about that later with a guest, and today we will watch a story about belarus and about the fact that lupan lukashenko came 28 years ago and since then mr. lukashenko has not left but remained

independence for belarus began, as for most post-soviet republics, with the popularly elected president stanislav shushkevich, a new flag and coat of arms, however, belarus gradually and confidently turned from an independent republic into a dictatorship. oleksandr lukashenko destroyed freedom of speech and opponents for 28 years. and it all started in 1994. before the presidency, lukashenko was known as an uncompromising fighter against corruption. and a few months after his election as the head of state, the parliament listened to a report on corruption surrounded by the president himself, at the same time censorship reigned in the republic because there were no live broadcasts or articles from the event, lukashenko subordinated everyone in 1995, the media returned belarus to the path of

russification, held a referendum on integration with russia and granting the russian language state status, this required the consent of the parliament, the majority did not object, but those who disagreed were persuaded by force, however, in belarus they swallowed it . alone and in different, as we used to say, national apartments. we will not get out of this mire in any way, and then lukashenko decided to rewrite the constitution under his regime, which is quite convenient for him, the politicization of the top-ton court is still tied to the mothers of symbicny after the referendum in 1996, the countdown to the five-year term of

lukashenko's presidency began from scratch, new elections led by the public took place in 2001, the truth is that none of the other candidates could compete with lukashenko by a huge margin he defeated his opponent, volodymyr honcharik, the results of the elections were not recognized by the belarusian opposition, the usa, or the eu. however, this did not bother the dictator lukashenka. subsequently, he began to purge political opponents in general among them, yuriy zakharenko, viktor gonchar, anatoliy krasovskyi and dmytro zavadskyi, the pseudo-elections of the president in 2020 turned into an outright farce, the patient belarusians finally dared to hold a civil protest, a wave of peaceful demonstrations against the parents swept through the republic, lukashenko did not change his tried-and-true strategy of removing

opposition presidential candidates from the path of already after the cec registered the candidacy of svitlana tikhanovskaya, rallies became more active in various cities of the republic, they gathered several thousands of protesters, of course, the authorities prevented them, however, it has not yet been possible to overthrow the dictatorship regime, today there are hundreds of belarusian political prisoners in prisons, and thousands of people have left the country altogether, the opposition is convinced that lukashenka's regime is holding on and only with the support of the kremlin. thank you for the material, our colleagues remembered those times who remember yataye who was still small and used to walk under the table, but i had the impression that i was in belarus in 1991, when the belovezhsky agreements were signed in minsk, and

i was struck by the fact that in kyiv, well, in moscow, even more so there there was already gorbachev's perestroika, democracy, freedom of speech, some such things, but in belarus i didn't see it, i didn't notice it in kyiv, there was some kind of civic activity, something, people walked, some were already there, they were already on the maidan, already the students, uh, everyone stood there in places, and i came to belarus i did n't notice anything, no, it's as if the soviet union was like that, and it stayed like that. well, i was there a long, long time ago. i think the last time was in the late 90s. or maybe at the beginning of the zeros, but somewhere i thought how much in the late 90s because in belarusians were often held some international negotiations within the framework of the former ussr, and i went there to see what it means , let's talk with our speaker, yaroslav romanchuk, belarusian economist, scientific director of the institute of economic leadership, head of

economic reforms of the office of simple solutions, contact us , mr. yaroslav, greetings, good day, glory to ukraine glory to the heroes, mr. yaroslav. look at it. well, if you are an economist, why are people interested in the fact that belarus constantly has problems in the economy and lives despite the fact that inflation is literally tomorrow? it's been a month already, only russia is left and so on and so on, in a month the economy will die well, i'm not saying that it will die or that the economy of any country in the world cannot die, this is for those optimists who think that the russian economy will die, the economy does not die never. she can be bad, terrible, but she lives. but is it possible to somehow influence belarus economically, or will she

continue to sit like this ? 95th year in 1996, i worked in the parliament in belarus, i saw all this with my own eyes from the inside, and i myself am a candidate for the presidency in belarus in 2010, so this is all close to me. what about the economy? year had 7,400 a-a ukraine 4,700 even if the economy of belarus shrinks by 20%. hell, anyway, it will be higher than the ukrainian level in 2021, and subsidies from russia amounted to 12% of gdp there every year, this is a very serious amount, which certainly did not

allow lukashenko and the regime to fall as they say below the plinth, and on the 22nd of the year, belarus received a very serious three blows. 10 billion dollars and the third blocked trade with ukraine is about $4 billion. and now the biggest question is whether lukashenko, with the help of his business partners in the kremlin, in oligarchic structures and smuggling structures, will be able to organize the supply of these goods through russia, china, brazil, and india will be able to partially but unconditionally drop the economy under this 10 there by 9-15%. plus smuggling, plus here is the scheme that

allowed lukashenko to become famous for the whole world, the so- called belorussian greetings of belarusians, kyiv, all this was russian schemes on which lukashenko earns 15-20% of his money, that's why we still have a crown industry in us есть темаски тракторные belaz и ноги другие заводы lukashenko today this is how the program of 15 projects that putin invited for financing is about 10 billion dollars, but we do not know how much money there will be, but nevertheless, there will be some kind of support. belarus is not in danger of default because russia is the main creditor. in advance, i completely agree with you. even if the budget in

belarus will be zero, the belarusians themselves will produce somewhere around 15-20 billion dollars of gdp, that's what it will be. well, even at the highest level of 91 i asked you. oh, i can i'm wrong. i don't know. maybe it's a mistake. the people who told me about minsk and compared minsk or belarus should say minsk, probably kyiv too. well, they say that people live much better in kyiv than in minsk. there are more goods, more shops, more restaurants, more cars, and even worse roads, for example . roads in belarus are better than in ukraine, but there are more cars in ukraine than in belarus. when belarusians feel that they have problems, they

will feel it someday. yes, it has become worse here. were there really large-scale rallies after the falsification of the elections and the falsification against lukashenko, and then when there were half a million people on minskaya street literally two years ago, this was not because of economics, the economy was in the positive and belarusians had matured to speak out against the dictatorship. it ended. well , as we know, mass arrests and the departure of hundreds of thousands of people abroad are being fought over the last 20 years. the inflation rate in ukraine and belarus is approximately the same there, 12% wages in kyiv are definitely higher because

kyiv is a country with a population of 40 million, and in belarus there are nine as many as two -tenths of a million people, and the amount of money and capital , including if you count the series economy, of course , ukraine has more, and i am absolutely objective and they reliably confirm that kiev is a better place to live in. there are more rich people and expensive cars in kiev. benefit of ukraine and many belarusians, this is the 35% who are not interested in politics and the west and even the war, for them there is a glass of beer, there is cold, they never pay their salaries on time, that's all, that's why they will react to

what is happening - through the pocket through the salary from the end of the 21st year, the average salary was 670 $ in minsk it was 850,900 $. even if it will be less than 500, it will be 400 dollars, but it will hit the middle class, it will be eroded, but for those people who make up the basis of the belarusian regime there are 25-30% of the so-called belarusian orcs, they receive $200-250. these are power structures - these are pensioners, these are people with a shovel in their heads. and for them, uh, there are beds , there are cottages, uh, there are slippers, there are ways to tinker, and they don't eat foie gras, good meat for them, dumplings, homemade dumplings there there are a couple

of coins, that’s all and uh variables in belarus, or the pressure on the regime will not be because of what is happening there, because the sanctions are three and we see that russia and china and the turks and georgia and kazakhstan are helping these sanctions were chosen and the fact that in belarus at the end of the ending they realize one thing. here is the basis. if we all together allow the largest possible number of belarusians to realize that russia is a nazi aggressor who is leading a war against the peaceful ukrainian people. propaganda - it is not obvious, and this

is the rule, yes, yes, it will strengthen much more formal sanctions, which, unfortunately, need to be implemented as a result, first of all, it is about liberation, mr. yaroslav, yes, i would like to ask one more question, but please keep it short answer i hope that i will ask a short question. although it will be difficult, but when i look at the belarusian economy, which actually has not changed in any way since 1994, and still stands on socialism, what i hear from lukashenka is that he loves socialism the farm is planned there everything that happened during socialism, pantsev loves and lukashenko loves. i sit and think. and how will they be ? sorry, i'm scratching my head, but lukashenka is not enough.

there is no putin. reforms must be made. i have the impression that reforms will be made. i have the impression that reforms will be easier in russia because there are some capitalism was in the 90s at the beginning of the zero years in lukashenko there was never any capitalism and i think that this will be a huge problem for all belarusians because the fall during the transition from e socialism to capitalism will be maddening for belarusians will be lukashenko they will die at the same time, not at the same time, but i hope that it is something. physiologically, it has to happen someday. well, two cool guys in one another, okay, on the same side, and there were capitalist forms, in fact, it was a parody, it was an imitation, and those people who talked about the market, democracy, and freedom

actually the clique and the kgb and putin were preparing to seize power, even the same leader who is associated with the early reforms was an imperialist who was very doubtfully related to the independence of ukraine and belarus in the north, therefore, here in russia and belarus has never lived in a regime of economic freedom. as for lukashenko , it is not paradoxical that you are an absolutely correct person . he always said that i am soviet, i am in trouble. i am for lenin . i am for the soviet union. in the average nomenclature of directors, even in business, there are many people with progressive people, so what kind of reforms can i do? when i was in belarus, we prepared whole packages of reforms, including the constitution, including the law.

the budget, all the taxes, privatization, we learned from the mistakes of the countries of central eastern europe, and as soon as the political will appears, reforms in belarus can be carried out much faster even than in ukraine, so here i am much more sympathetic to the possibility of making reforms in russia, which i think will spread. but belarus god willing, it will fall under the positive stream of intellectuals, including ukraine, and it will already be completed. a new geopolitical reality will be created in belarus. ukraine will be in one european network. we still have i have a different question for you, which does not directly concern belarus . eu sanctions on samantha's transit of alcohol and luxury goods through the territory of lithuania in the kaliningrad region come into force today, and of course russia has repeatedly threatened to resort to harsh measures against lithuania and the european union as a whole if transit is not resumed, what is to be done in mind. what do you think,

will they use any military means in relation to the countries of the european union and nato directly? is it only threats and fate? expensive nature. luxury, eh, lukashenko, putin, definitely not will use the armed forces against the forces of zlata, lithuania, poland - nato forces are the guts of a tank, and putin and lukashenko are cowards when they collide with serious force, so this is all from the series, we only start, as putin says. of the aggressors who were involved in the war against ukraine and who, uh, are already running such a publicity campaign against their population, and moreover, that's why i think that the nesuvaltsky corridor is not another object станту местами агрессии россии белоруссии против

страна nato thank you this is the end of our conversation with you, mr. yaroslav, thank you very much for your professional comments romanchuk, belarusian economist , scientific director of the institute of economic leadership, head of economic reforms of the office of simple solutions thank you, mr. yaroslav well, there is no next speaker i understand if not, let's talk talk and look you just mentioned kuchma i would like us to compare kuchma lukashenko putin at about the same time we came to authorities, please tell me why, first of all, lukashenko did not actually become a father, but more like synka, putin is more like putin in his behavior. do you think

he has moved to the side of such a pro- ukrainian position? he had a ukrainian-ukrainian position. i think that literally already. well, maybe in 1995, maybe not in 1994, but he is absolutely one hundred percent ukrainian president who undoubtedly made some mistakes but there are a lot of these crimes, so to speak, and related, for example, to the actions of gongadze. i don't blame the second president, because i imagine to myself that there was no reason to talk about it now, and i won't talk about it. and you know who i am i will tell you one story, but in fact lukashenko killed

people and political competitors in the late 90s, and in ukraine, if there were such cases, they have not been proven, firstly, secondly, i am personally not convinced that it was kuchma's hand. well, as a customer, as a customer. yes, but example even putin started killing boryunitsov there 15 years after he came to power, and lukashenko is literally there 5 years later 3 years later two years later and so on because people are people meaning well, it takes a long time to say, i won’t say it quickly , i will say yes he he simply you understand putin really wants to become stalin but in order to be stalin you have to have the courage to kill opponents en masse not one two not one or two houses somewhere he

set fire to ukrainians in these elections this now repels ukrainians because he was allowed to do what he is doing. he is also cunning. he didn't immediately start taking ukrainians. he is the first oligarch adrekhovskyi is bad. all of them are yes, yes, of course, he is already an oligarch, damn ntv, there is something wrong with ort, don't respect me. i even have a television, once they took it away, what are we, we, the government, we have the right to say that the president is speaking and he is not shown. by the way, the same thing happened in ukraine. kuchma was very offended that he was not shown . what is there it was planned for him in his office, what steps should be taken, something more rigid, and then he got up in the process