tv [untitled] July 11, 2022 3:30pm-4:01pm EEST
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and that's how far it is an equivalent replacement eh i eh regarding the possibility of just eh this interconnector yes, it will be able to facilitate the passing of the season requirement in a certain way, but its completion well, it requires , accordingly, again the reconstruction of the necessary infrastructure on the territory of moldova, ukraine, and there we are talking about five billion cubic meters of gas in total. yes, it will be a very important volume, but this volume will not necessarily go to ukraine, because the whole of europe is facing just as many problems and azerbaijani gas. i think it will go first of all, where they will give a big goal. therefore, it is just as a spare option, it is very important, and i think that this interconnector will be
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used for the supply of gas in the future. years to start exporting on our own . it's great that we have a surplus of it under the condition that the existing livestock will be preserved at the end. andriyu, i would like to ask you about the prospects of obtaining arab soviet weapons president joseph biden is going to the east, i even wanted to sing it in some kind of recitative well, but we understand that such associations will be inappropriate, we have a lot of hope for this visit, that in reality it will be possible to bring old or some semi-old soviet weapons, i think that soviet weapons are very needed why because we still have supplies, we have, first of all, the ability to use them, but i did not expect that after the visit of the barring all these obstacles will be removed why because similar agreements
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they are taking place precisely during the negotiations at another level, yes. that is, they can only be philological steps, respectively, this will mean that the united states is ready to give. that is, it is necessary to see what exactly the united states will promise to those arab countries to which it will come if it gives to the arab countries first of all e- you won't give anything to cancer. we remember how all their soviet armored vehicles burned down, as a result of several waves, so to speak, of the intervention of european and euro-atlantic civilization in general. well, i don't know who is there what else can be given a-a, again, kafrikas, that is, a sufficiently large geography, e-e, i think that the united states will once again promise military and technical assistance during the visits, and
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ukraine will provide some guarantees regarding precisely e-e investments, that is, very important is just a visit to the saudi meeting on the saudi principle , that is, a-a let’s say it’s a comprehensive visit . to receive those extra profits, which is nice now mr. andriy, today's news is also andrzej duda, the polish president thanks president zelensky for the fact that he sent to the verkhovna rada a bill on granting poles a special status in our country a-a what do you think about the special status right now it may be that i have not yet familiarized myself with the draft of this law, but less about how it looks now, your vision, well, this is what
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i will discuss now, i also have not yet seen this bill, what was discussed is this first of all giving polish citizens the opportunity to carry out certain legal procedures, yes, it is an opportunity to hold certain positions there, but in general, the idea of the teacher is that the poles and ukrainians should receive similar preferences to those that poland created after the beginning of the full-scale aggression of the russian federation where are the ukrainians? that is, this is just a gesture of thanks so that, accordingly, the poles do not encounter any difficulties during the openings or any attempts to get a job in ukraine, and it is nice that this it is a very positive step, he is building our country and e. i think that ukraine, as a football player of
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the european union, should be as open as possible to our european neighbors. thank you very much, mr. andrii. of the analytical marathon together with khrestina yatskiv and antin borkovskii and we are taking a step further and developing the topic of energy security for europe and the risks of the russian gazprom, so to speak, completely over it the north stream gas pipeline was stopped for planned ten-day repairs, but in germany it is assumed that the gas supply may or may not be restored from the russians. you can expect anything from the russians. i would like to remind you that the day before canada agreed to hand over turbine e to germany to restore the operation of the gas pipeline, this was reported by bloomberg in the country. some questions well, but less
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so, we understand that europe and canada or even the united states of america have certain cooperation networks of their own and they solve their issues on at the appropriate level, but is it really possible that russian gas may not go to europe before winter, this is important, the expert of the center's energy programs, the intellectual process, we hope mr. maksym will tell you glory to ukraine we welcome you to the broadcast of the espresso tv channel, well , the key question is yes, that is, the russians are beginning to deliberately disrupt the filling of european storage facilities how far can they go in their blackmail, because it is not for nothing that canada starts to dance in germany by transferring a siemens turbine to the counter-echinsion policy glory
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to ukraine well, in fact, the sanctions policy clearly states that everything related to the gas equipment of machines and equipment must be blocked and inaccessible to the russian market, including gazprom, so there are no actual legislative grounds in order to transfer turbines to gazprom, there is, of course , a political factor influencing the position of our colleagues from canada, or rather from the canadian branch of the german company siemens, this is very important, but considering that the turbine itself that will be transported to the place of operation, it will take approximately two weeks. i would like to draw
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your attention to the fact that nord stream 1 actually stopped for two weeks and actually stopped for 10 days . after all, ukraine has all the chances and has to take advantage of these chances so that the sanctions policy remains inviolable, there can be no exceptions, because the return of the turbine is, well, first of all, the financing of aggression, it is a manifestation of weakness that the terrorist will definitely take advantage of help to the aggressor to reload gas weapons well, it's just interesting what situation canada is in now, which supposedly with germany even has a whole separate mechanism for bypassing the sanctions of the transfer of this turbine, and russia took it and actually turned it off turned off
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the entire gas pipeline so that you don't have to decide for yourself, but the last word will be with us let's try with you then to outline what energy opportunities in the gas sense remain in the european union well, gas supply from azerbaijan to europe through the greece interconnector is good bulgaria, we understand that liquefied gas from the usa is on the european continent, and this supply will also be carried out on a larger scale, which can also help the european union to plug the holes on its own energy board before the winter. let me make a correction. -th adjustment is actually the intensinector greece bulgaria, it is designed for approximately 1 billion cubic meters per year in terms of throughput. well, its maximum capacity can be increased to 3 billion cubic meters, this is not such a
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large volume that we can actually cover is the volume of blue fuel that came from russia , therefore, the interconnector is not particularly necessary for consumers of the european union to count on it, but ukraine can use this mentor connector to import blue fuel and pump it into gas storages, now as for the sources, yes indeed uh, you named almost all sources of natural gas, but we forgot to actually say about uh, uh, internal uh, extraction of blue fuel, which is quite successfully currently being built up in norway, which handcuffs, how is it not surprising in great britain, and most likely the one that will at least not decrease, but at least remain at a
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stable level, is the production of gas in the netherlands at the largest grodingham field. for two months, they are increasing the supply of shipments of blue fuel after repairs to the facility, there is already a terminal import, which actually suffered most likely from the terrorist attack in june in the month of 2022, there are also countries such as algeria and qatar, it is possible to consider even the sprinkler of gas from south america, that is, how do you say, how do you
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turn the hole? - 15 years, but not the worst when the periods when uh let's say yes, the state of gas reserves was much lower in the end, mr. bilyavskyi, i would like you to hold such a primitive lykbez for all those who are thirsty, because we will soon understand autumn will begin. we will not run anywhere in the russified cities. the more they become, the fewer and fewer cities, the cities are rapidly becoming ukrainized, but jokingly, the autumn promises to be cold. it is about the energy balance. so on and so on yes, the situation with the injection of russian gas into the european market is not too encouraging, what
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can we expect in our country and do you see any adequate actions in order to do this in the fall as warm as possible in that regard, actually, in general, we are observations of special problems, we shouldn’t be, this lady ’s season. of coal resources, natural gas, oil for certain enterprises, fuel oil, peat, nuclear fuel for local power plants, and for nuclear heating of nuclear power plants, 50%, and if not more power, american-made nuclear fuel is used, so here there should be no further problems, as far as coal is concerned , the excellent production is enough to
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leave on october 1 with reserves of 2 million tons . anyway, according to my calculations, the gas cells of ukraine should store at least 15 and a half billion cubic meters of natural gas, how is this volume calculated, it is calculated primitively, just the volume of gas that was er last year at the beginning of the digging season - 30%, er this is actually the percentage of the drop in consumption volumes, i.e. 15.5 billion cubic meters of blue fuel, should be included and taking into account the possible stoppage of russian gas transport to european consumers, and i congratulate
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the reduction of pressure, that is, these technological problems will have to be solved at of additional gas supply, e.e., the blood pipeline system itself, e.e., tour, yes, here, in fact, these are minimal, and we will move on to infrastructure categories by infrastructure, e.e., in fact, all that was needed to do from the point of view of not planning and regulatory support of e-e and implementation of investment programs programs of all types of repairs e-e everything is done operators of gas distribution e-e gas transport infrastructure underground gas storages of energy distribution e-e transmission system operator e-e the team of e-e these all the listed enterprises are simply heroes of the energy faculty , they are doing everything possible and it is impossible to
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reduce the number of actually disconnected subscribers of gas, it is approximately 100-110 thousand subscribers remain without connection from the distribution infrastructure for electricity, significantly more than 500,000 subscribers, this is actually due to shelling and military actions, therefore there will be no market for the infrastructure of problems, the next third classification is the same here, the biggest threat is the liquidity of the market, that is, working capital, which can arise actually due to the payment of funds for the consumption of energy resources by citizens, this payment may not be enough or the level of payment of payments may sharply decrease and understandable
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reasons, and of course this is debt between enterprises, including between producers of electric energy from alternative sources and the operator of the transmission system, therefore it is very important that the actual level of payments, at least between industrial consumers, remains at least at the level of last year, minus 20-25% . well, actually, taking into account all these three categories, i called their readiness, i personally have optimistic expectations for the heating season, but of course, control over these target indicators in these categories it is necessary to carry out e-e even recently and this is hours, thank you, thank you, mr. maksym, we ask the attention of
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our editors to the published information because there are extremely important things in it. let's inform our tv viewers and readers together . maksym bilyavskyi, the leading expert on the energy programs of the rumzkova center, worked on the live broadcast of the tv channel espresso with extremely important information about the energy balance of ukraine about let's say our finances, we will talk further with andrii dubas, president of the association of ukrainian banks andrii i congratulate you glory to ukraine glory to the heroes well , first of all, we really live in an interesting time and the numbers that ukrainians see on the money changers where are they , of course, they are upsetting on the other hand, most ukrainians understand the naturalness of the situation and where is the war and our economic state inside the country, the financial situation does not contribute to the strengthening of our national currency. but at the same time, it is very important to note. and what is happening with
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foreign currencies, the euro and the dollar? a certain gap and well, he plus-minus was constant, what happens to the most stable on which we are used to rely and purchase in any incomprehensible situation now with sadness joy embraced as they say thank you for the question colleagues really if it wasn't so difficult that i know in this situation, we turn it a little into a joke, and indeed in ukraine, the dollarization of the economy has always had such a special importance, and frankly, in the period from the 14th year to the 19th year, when the national bank made the largest reforms of the banking system, then in this period of time, the level of commodification of the economy has significantly decreased. this is not
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possible more than once, that is, today there are thermal conditions. pay attention to the dollar-euro pair. look at this trend in fact. we started to notice it now and pay attention to it because they almost got closer to each other, but if you look at the graph, it has been glorified against the dollar since the beginning in the 21st year, that is, it has actually been going on for a year and a half, and it is a gradual trend. of course, the period of military operations in ukraine and the offensive of the russian federation in ukraine, of course, this trend accelerated and, well, they did not matter in that matter, but the issue of gas in the pension system, a possible disconnection gas, e.e., russian gas from europe, the second factor that we see is, after all, the insertion rates of the central bank of the central
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european bank and the discount rate in the e.e. united states e.e. federal reserve system, we know that just recently there was a record raising the discount rate by 0.75 percentage points. that's it for the united states - this is really a record of such jumps, and some experts believe that this may not be the last, so events in the eurozone, we can see further, the rate of the central bank remains or not. andriy just a simple question for our average tv viewers , for example, they took a pig, slaughtered it, sold it at the market, earned some amount of hryvnias, and knowing that it is possible, so to speak, to cover a little bit of inflation, and people, for example, would like that hryvnia transfer to some other no less progressive currency , euro, dollar or polish zloty, that's just a simple
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question, simple advice, where is the best place to put money . can we put money on deposits in our long-reliable ukrainian banks? well, you can't buy a lot of land for one pig. say well bucket 2 3 well look, if we speak in simple language well, there is a war going on in ukraine now and today we will talk about investments there, let's say uh, multiplying your savings of course, this is a very difficult moment, here uh, it's definitely national the bank and we, as an association of ukrainian banks, e-e banks, took phenomenal steps in the period starting from february 24 and until today, because no one believed that the banking system could stand in such conditions. usually, it is usually 3-5-7 days and beyond everything is excluded and with reference to sorry, the war is closed. but if we are talking about
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saving your savings, look at the hryvnia, e-e, it will be devalued, that's for sure, because, well, now here, most of the financial circles are inclined to the point of view of maintaining a fixed exchange rate, which the national bank recorded on february 23, 2022, and the 29:25 mark no longer makes sense, because in ukraine we live now with two currency rates, that is, there are official national bank rates and the market rate, which is, for example, uah 35-36 per us dollar. that is , we are somewhere analyzed within the association of ukrainian banks, and we predict somewhere that the hryvnia will most likely fall, the spring of foreign currencies. it may stop somewhere within the range of up to 40 . account of foreign exchange reserves but everything is the same, this is the economy, we know what it is in now, it is not in the period of any war. in any country
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, it will be in the first state. how can people save money? i think that now is the best time to save it in different baskets. that is, it can be if the sums are small, that is, it also keeps the hryvnias, for example , in order to use e-e for their needs, also from euros and dollars. thus, we are universities, risks . millions of dollars, we are talking about amounts, for example , for an average citizen a $300-400, i don't know how much a pig costs well, but these are practical things because well, people are most interested in this, i.e. is it the hryvnia, oh, whose euro or dollar, well it is best to put your eggs in different baskets, please keep in different currencies approximately the same proportional amount of your savings 30% hryvnias 30 euros 30 dollars then you will definitely diversify well, you are all here
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, after all, our national currency is coming back is to its problems, what to do with it. would it be right now, in your opinion, to let it go or still resort to regulating the fixed exchange rate or not? how do you see it? we have analyzed this situation within the association of ukrainian banks and many experts are inclined to the point of view that e- the ukrainian hryvnia should be gradually released so that it finds its place in what is now called the weighted average exchange rate, because everything that is fixed has negative consequences, but in the conditions of war, of course, these steps were balanced and absolutely justified which were carried out to the national bank, but today, when 4-5 months of hostilities have already passed and a large part of the territory is returning to normal life, i think that the main task now for the economic bloc of ukraine is to pay
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attention to the comedian giving up because we understand how much we are now in difficult conditions, and even if the hryvnia weakens relative to foreign currencies to 40, according to some experts, everything will be the same. we rule out the fact that ukraine then, that the ukrainian hryvnia can then roll back and offer itself to er previous values because there are already big big er let's say the expectation of how much ukraine can become an attractive investment center yes p andrii i agree it can become but but to us for many, it would be easier to live to victory, we understand that people took out loans before the war without knowing what awaits them and, in general, what awaits the ukrainian economy, the position of the national bank plus or minus is clear, we all understand i want to solve the case, but what are the realities, so to
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speak, of returning loans and obtaining new loans, because we understand that new situations require new solutions, see how it happened, i will start with that in the first days of the war in ukraine, the full-scale aggression of the russian federation, and the chamber of commerce and industry accepted and recognized martial law force majeure is a time and we all always pay attention to the fact that in the contract there is always a clause about force majeure at the very end, usually it is up to him to read it no one is used to the point because, well, who could have predicted that in europe, on the territory of europe, there could be a war like this, which is being waged by our er . i am very pleased to note that, during the period of martial law, they
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treated the situation with full understanding, that is, they did not count. the charging of fines, then no fines for overdue credit and banks - this is withheld , banks adhere to this, thus expressing their so-called social position, but let's pay attention again to the key point, what is a loan and where does it come from in the bank, to the same natural persons, clients they bring money to the bank and put it on deposit and receive interest for it, so then the bank, receiving this money, gives it to borrowers who buy cars, houses or invest in their business. in this way, they also pay interest to the bank and on the difference between these and as a rule, these are small, uh, they are of great importance, the bank earns this margin , and therefore, for example, if we say, on the one hand , mitigation for the borrower, we must remember that if we mitigate the situation for the borrower, it
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can to ask difficulties for the depositor today, the situation is as follows: e-e banks treat customers with full understanding, they do not charge fines, penalties, other penalties for those customers who found themselves in a bad financial situation due to these actions, but there is a large group of customers who have kept their source of income, for example, i don’t know, there are civil servants or, for example, employees of the ip sphere, which even in which scum was affected by the fact that when they receive income from foreign politicians , they can continue to pay their loans in relation to the bank, therefore, today the banking system is generally highly stable , e.e. clients who found themselves in a tinder situation regarding the received in advance are now in contact with their own and the banks are making concessions to these clients, but it must be understood, that is, if we take it by the brackets, the
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loan must be repaid, since this loan was issued at the expense of junk funds, it turns out so-so, and we understand that, after all, there are obligations, they must be fulfilled and we must try to do it despite any circumstances, even military ones andrii dubas, president of the association of ukrainian banks, was in touch with us. thank you for this analysis. and i would like to summarize this part of our broadcast with data from the national bank of ukraine. in may, remittances to ukraine reached the military level and on average in five months in 2022 exceeded the level of 2020 in the previous year, in general, in may, remittances in the amount of more than 1 billion dollars were received in ukraine, that is, ukrainians who are currently abroad began to actively send money home to their relatives and families, which is understandable because
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