going to their own budget, that's why saudi arabia can play a serious role here, and secondly, these are rather political schedules, we see that russia is now trying to improve relations with iran again, and here there is such a certain opposition in the middle east, and saudi arabia is very important so that it remains an ally and as far as possible with the usa because we know that in recent years there have been both adlet and decline in relations, but in addition to this, as far as weapons are concerned, this is definitely not the main goal, because a has been in that region for a long time there is no longer such a quantity that we can calmly take away or buy back those soviet weapons, even though they once had a lot more, no one gives them away just like that, they have to get compensation with other weapons and realized that the united states is not ready to provide many of these countries with their own, for example, or sell weapons are also a factor that should be understood, but for certain categories of shells, we can have such negotiations during

the visit, also because it is a strategy, and according to the united states, when they decide which weapons they are trying to make it not only for them, but for example, for additional units or ammunition for these weapons to be in partner countries of the allies in order to have smells, otherwise it happens that you can get some kind of installation there, but in a week it will run out. - nobody needs shells, that's why they always tried from the very beginning when they decided to give us some kind of technology and find out who else might have them . then during use well, i will remind you that it became known that the president of the russian federation, vladimir putin, is going to teger on july 19. well, there he will meet with the presidents of iran, ebrahi, and

turkey, recep tayyip erdogan, and we will talk about the meeting of the leaders of the guarantors of the syrian settlement, but we understand that there are discussions can go far beyond the boundaries of this question, volodymyr, if we talk about the region as a whole, and we see the activity of the united states, we see the efforts of the russian president in it to maintain and strengthen his influence there after all, or am i here now taking advantage of your opinion? i think that, well , these efforts of putin, uh, you know first of all, uh, don't forget that where else can putin go as a navigator, he already skovorit will not go to kazakhstan because, well, after those statements, they call me i think that the people of kazakhstan don't really want to see him. well, except that you can get to minsk, but it

's far from pyongyang, and it's not interesting, and here in a bikini . also, i don't think so. they are waiting for him there, and here he is, and the giant is going to create a picture for you of russian society that everything is fine and everyone respects russia all over the world today, somewhere there, i stumbled upon such an interesting, some funny, interesting joke . there will also be a branch of some iranian orthodox church created there to somehow compensate for the loss of ukraine, and so on and so on, of course it's all a joke, iran is a serious country, and russia has its own interests, and you know biden's visit to saudi arabia, there are other countries too region this is exactly the er hmm well, the main er, let's say, an interesting point, because arab arabia is, well,

the biggest, let's say, adversary or some kind of balance in relation to iran in the region. and to add to this another government crisis in israel. well, i don't know there somehow, in recent years, there will be another change of government, and so on, that is, it is also interesting. trump, unlike biden, he concentrated on the israeli-palestinian issue, well, in part , the judge arabia, remember that there was already under trump . it was the third. his first foreign visit after all, some crazy agreement was signed there for $400 billion for the supply of weapons to saudi arabia, and of course i don’t know and i can’t know what problems could arise there, but i think it’s also part of the visit, i guess that we need to check something there, maybe not everything is going as we wanted under the trump administration, i wanted to be in

the village council, but plus there are still some questions, on which there are excellent, very strong , baidun's policy was, er, in relation to trump's policy, do you remember the case of cash registers, which were already introduced there -is special sanctions against some officials of saudi arabia, american sanctions, i mean, all this must be discussed, settled, and so on . well, the syrian issues are self- evident . things of the usa in the region between russia, russia still lives er here the same again in the soviet past er here somewhere to sell with 300 on duty to someone there somewhere some there er 29 or 35 to put somewhere there to sell that's all that russia maybe now, when russia tied up in ukraine

so seriously, unfortunately for us, it is clear, i would like there to be other reasons for russia 's entry into the middle east and, by the way, from africa, but i think he does not think for sure that now there are already those resources of that reserve which in russia, there were the same, the same, the same wagners, all these, all the groups in africa, the middle east, syria, it’s all very expensive. it all has to be financed with less and less money, sanctions are more and more effective, and oil prices. i think this will be the key issue . by the way, this is the op - this is this is the future of oil bank against russia, well, according to ms. anna, i think you remember our conversations before the start of the war , and we seriously talked and assumed the real prospect of war, well, unfortunately, our predictions came true to a large extent ak well, accordingly, now the issue of belarus is again on the

agenda how serious is the entry? and this is not even a question about the belarusian people, who will rather move inertly, but about the creation of a powerful strike group in belarus, which can be used either to strike in the direction of rivne nuclear plant or in the direction of kyiv, you know how far these forecasts can go, on the one hand, of course, we should not underestimate the potential of the belarusian army and the irrationality of the actions of the belarusian leadership, but on the other hand , we should also underestimate people, because the last sociology that was conducted in ukraine by various institutions showed that, in contrast to the russian federation, only about 3-5% only support the war, and on the one hand, we see a certain passivity, well, because of all these repressions that were

in the last two years, it should be very clearly understood that the active youth, for example, the active intelligentsia, they are now outside belarus for the most part or are very afraid of those who remained in belarus because the arrests continue almost every day, but still oleksandr lukashenka draws attention to how does not support the people, because it is not just the mass of the people, it also says that a lot of officials also do not support such actions, that is why we see such a policy of his on the one hand, from winning with putin, everyone these completely idiotic statements are sometimes even made during bilateral meetings, but in practice the maximum so far is five months. he does not allow the armed forces to be involved, he gives his territory there, he helps with information, we have already heard that certain weapons are transferred there, but not directly to the armed forces therefore, it seems to me that if something so

critical does not happen, what exactly will force him, it may be internal politics, it may be certain actions of the russian federation, but still lukashenko will try to balance until the end home, russia will receive dear lukashenko will balance as much as he wants, but they can use the territory of belarus, well, in a similar way as they used it to launch air missile strikes on our territory, and so it is possible that they would start from the wheels, so to speak, this or that contingent in i don't know the number of 20,000. well, they would start the actual russian aggression using, of course, the belarusian territory, and they could be taken by the belarusian army , well, on the one hand, of course they can use the news and they continue to use it all these months and we know very well where the planes are coming from and many other examples, and the other

question is whether the russian federation is able to open another front at the moment, we see that and military experts emphasize that in principle they are not able at the same time in some directions and introduce serious combat operations in addition to shelling well, because in this case it is not dependent on the number of personnel they have and if now when in a sufficiently complex situation in the east, we see a certain contour of action in the south, that is, the two main regions on which they now need to concentrate, then open the northern one, and without certainty that they have full logistical support there and some kind of support in places where they may be afraid of partisans, and i think that it was it would be so risky and there is not enough manpower to master in order to transfer a serious contingent there to polissia. well, at least there for the next month, i would not exceed this threat.

zheleznyak, a people's deputy of ukraine, reports that it looks like today belarus will be declared a technical default and a technical default will be declared precisely for external a-a payments. i don't know how this can affect the economic state of the country, what is the economic state there at all, because the information semi-secret, as far as i'm concerned, and in the end, the total fixation of the belarusian economy on the russian one, it is now becoming apparent, but at the same time, mr. volodymyr, i can't help but ask one more question. i am sure that you can comment on this story and the attempt to use this country and its regime on the part of the russian federation. will this culminate in a full-scale invasion of that country on

our territory, although de facto it is still an accomplice to this aggression right now yes yes yes yes i am i wouldn't start nurturing such optimistic hopes that this will never happen because the belarusians love us there and it's not the russians because the vibychanka will maneuver there endlessly. i tend to agree with ms. hanna that this it can continue for a certain time there until the fall, i don’t know, maybe less, maybe more, but sooner or later, depending on the development of events in the east and the south of ukraine, it may end with the fact that from the regular army to liza in this story no, i would like you to those of our experts who say from the first day that this is impossible, this is unreal, belarus will never leave. i would like to remind them to translate more, to read this in its entirety, it seems to be article 2 of the treaty on the creation of a union state between russia and belarus is even me

they are called the teacher of the match. we have many people who comment on things without ever having read the basic things , but when uh, it seems like yesterday, lutsenko said such a phrase somewhere in one of his uh partial tests of uh delusional performances uh what uh like that belarus and russia have the same army and we have the same defense policy. this is exactly what is said in article 2 of this treaty. it is a union state. belarus does not have its own foreign defense policy. it is a common one. it will be done strongly, and no amount of cajoling lukashenko will help, another matter is that the forces in russia are really scattered now. crazy problems

with logistics are already happening in the south and east of ukraine as a result of the fact that the latest american weaponry is the destruction of their bases with supplies, what do you need and so on, what if you add more here and the same chaos will be in the north, i don't think it will help. but it can have a certain prerogandist effect. our military experts say that hmm, well, you know, in the end, the main purpose of this, as well as those exercises that began long before february 24, is to divert the attention of our armed forces, that is, we are forced to keep serious contingents there and this interferes. well, maybe now these contingents were extremely necessary for the release of the same kherson or for the defense of some parts of the territory in the east

of ukraine, unfortunately, we are forced to keep a large part of our army and weapons there, it is possible that it is the main part of russia. well, lukashenko, in fact, yes, he has already surrendered the country to russia and what the hell all those shellings were done, and the number of people killed in ukraine, the inhabitants of ukraine, for this lukashenko and his minister of defense and other data will have to answer in the court in the hague. well, if of course they live near him, thank you very much , masad. i thank you very much, ms. nice volodymyr yelchenko, ukrainian diplomat, former permanent representative of ukraine to the un in 15-19 years, also extraordinary plenipotentiary ambassador of ukraine to the united states in 20-21 years, as well as hanna shelest, director of security studies programs of the council of foreign policy, ukrainian prism analyzed the most important thing in our difficult international situation, for which we thank them. well, summing up

the topic of belarus, i noted that oleksandr lukashenko , a person who calls himself the president of this country, dismissed major general oleksandr shkirenka from the position of head of the main organizational and mobilization department of the general staff. it is about the fact that lukashenko may not be satisfied with the progress of e-e mobilization or covert mobilization in belarus , so he does not know who among the belarusian army he can count on a good decision, let 's say, on the march across the border of ukraine. it was a decision of the russian general staff, which directly affects lukashenko's personnel policy, in particular , in matters of the army and personnel appointments. well, even more so, because of unofficial information, a purge took place in belarus officers with ukrainian ethnic roots, well, let's not push it, so to speak , but the information is to amuse you, the first 16 merchant

ships that follow ukrainian e-e grain passed the estuary quickly, just a few days ago, more than 90 ships waiting for the raid, they continue to arrive, and as of 20:00 yesterday evening, well, this is the latest that i found, there are several dozen ships in the queue, many of them are going to ismail, but there is a need for ukrainian grain, an opportunity has arisen, although b somehow on a small scale, but all the same, it can be exported, and everyone who can use this opportunity is now also for our good, and the main thing is that they say that the island of zmiiny life-giving does , that is, yes. yes, there are such important ones, so to speak navigation of the danube is about the export of our grain, it was to talk about energy at

dyryavtsev, an expert on energy issues, there is an analytical history of ours, mr. gennadiy, we congratulate you , glory to ukraine, well, the main problem. yes, we talked about it yesterday in khrestyna with various experts. this is what germany is starting to harass the russian gas ultimatum, and the main problem is not even that it will be done in a specific, single case, but what it can entail in general, the influence of the russian federation in a hidden way for one or another major moments of european politics, well, let's start with energy policy. so, in your opinion, if, for example, the european commission had stood up, canada would not have allocated this siemens turbine. in what situation would gazprom and europe find themselves, well, you understand right away who is the first blinks in fact and no us

in fact, as far as i'm concerned, it doesn't matter, this turbine doesn't solve anything at all, it didn't solve anything why so? because uh, this turbine was a reserve, it wasn't involved in gas supply of russian to europe, that is why gazprom referred to the delay in its return. well, what were just words? we had nothing to do with the real possibilities of the nord stream, and that is why the only thing that canada did was to pull gazprom from under its feet. a reference to the fact that the absence of this turbine prevents the pumping of russian gas and the supply of this gas to the member states of the european union, so i do not see

in this any kind of betrayal or the fact that germany or canada turned their backs on ukraine and crawled on our knees to putin, we turned away and didn't crawl, but aren't we creating a dangerous precedent of circumventing sanctions because this turbine does not belong to me, canada, siemens, or germany, it belongs to a business entity, and it is not the supply of new turbos, it is the performance of repair work which are not subject to the same sanctions package that is currently in place, if siemens would supply a new turbine and sell a new turbine for the gazprom compressor station now, then i would be the first to shout about violation of the norms of the rules about the violation of this

very sanctions regime and now just gazprom , after being exposed to this incident, um, stop or say that it cannot pump something, now it is pumping now, at least for the next few days, and this is actually interesting to the analysts in our studio, literally yesterday they noted that most likely the russian federation and gazprom started the game. it makes sense and we need to launch some uh-uh new arm to supply you with gas about the ukrainian gas transportation system in this context, it is clear that uh-uh it is not at all and i do not quite understand

. the planned repair on the northern stream was announced last year, so it cannot be said that it was some kind of surprise, it is quite clear that during this repair a lot can happen, for example, during repair work, it may turn out that the work of the northern stream will threaten the ecological systems of the baltic sea, or there will be some kind of starfish floating around somewhere and russian environmental monitoring will find that something needs to be done to pump out this starfish. well, for example, what happened with the caspian sea e hm, the transport consortium e-e when kazakhstan blocked the possibility of exporting its own oil from novorossiysk e

with reference to some inspections of the environmental services of the environmental inspection of the russian federation, which there something revealed some pollution. well, it’s actually funny because we all know how the environmental services work there in the russian federation. the main thing is to bring the required amount of money to the right cabinet, but there are exactly the same opportunities now on the russian side during in order to use them during or after the repair of the northern stream, in view of this, it is necessary to understand, first of all , the europeans that, well, actually, i don't think that they do not understand that even if the introduction of any embargo, be it oil or gas the russian federation at any moment can cut off the supply of all

energy resources without exception on the european continent, and i think that we need to be prepared for this. this cannot happen for a long period of time, but during peak periods of consumption of the same of the natural gas or oil raw materials itself, it is quite probable and e therefore, it is necessary to foresee all the necessary response measures in order to secure our own national economy from such a sudden interruption we come to the most interesting thing people are already asking because many people watched our broadcasts. well, they heard your serious warning about a possibly cool autumn and winter. it is not about the weather forecast. it is about the

temperature regime in the houses, so to speak. we understand that it is necessary to prepare seriously, because the enemy is now counting not only on the military scenario, but also on the energy scenario for sure, so definitely and here it is very important that, unfortunately , the ukrainian government, in my opinion, believes that scenarios, the most likely scenario will be the continuation of pumping natural gas in transit through the territory of ukraine throughout the entire heating season eh hmm and eh no problems with the supply of other energy resources from the european continent after the introduction of the oil barg in december of this year, that is, the

status quo scenario is considered the most likely now everything is happening and pumping and e-transit and supply, so it will be, but no measures are being developed aimed at providing ukrainian consumers with e-e energy and fuel in the event of a complete stoppage of transit. this means a decrease in the pressure in the transit pipe and the impossibility of supplying e-e natural gas to low consumers on the territory of ukraine and e-e a complete cessation of the supply of petroleum raw materials and oil to the unilateral order of the russian federation, which will significantly reduce the load of oil refining enterprises on the e first of all, in

eastern europe, and therefore the possibility of purchasing oil products by ukraine in the period of time when the so-called mobile boiler houses will be used, which they are powered primarily by gas oil, diesel fuel , and er, here are er, response measures to yes, and the scenario, as far as i know, is not currently being developed. and what needs to be done, it is necessary to determine what the needs of the critical infrastructure will be in the corresponding er energy resources, it is necessary to determine who will then be able receive natural gas and those who will not be able to receive natural gas need to create appropriate reserves for reserving fuel, let it not be on the territory of ukraine, but do it near the western border of ukraine within the framework of reserving such products, for example, according to the schemes of oil tickets

, that is, e-e tickets for oil, if fully translated and e-e can transfer to local self- government bodies as many resources and authorizations as possible so that they manage to use local energy sources on their own, starting from there the e-e pilot from some there is straw , eh, in the power coal, if we are talking about the lviv-volyn basin or eh, peat berkets, or there are sunflower husks, yes, anything, the main word is a little medieval but i understand that but i understand that it may be necessary the system has a special period, and even in normal times,

that 's all. of electricity to the european union from ukraine to what extent is it a promising export story for us in a monetary sense, taking into account that gas transit through us will probably soon be covered with a copper basin well, of course will be covered and you can even say when it will be covered, if we talk about the export of electrical energy, we should not forget that the import of electrical energy is also possible, especially during peak hours, in peak periods, this is a mutually beneficial exchange, mutually beneficial contracts, but at the moment the volumes are still

insufficient to somehow to count on the replenishment of the state budget there, it is rather a prospect when the normal operation of the unified energy system of ukraine will be restored to its full extent when there will be the de-occupied ukrainian territories, when the zaporizhia nuclear power plant will be liberated, in particular, and when the consumption of electric energy, in particular by ukrainian industrial enterprises, will be restored, then it will be possible to estimate how much we can export electric energy, but this is a large enough volume and a sufficiently large volume of income to the state budget, however, this is not a matter of the current heating season, it is rather a matter of the medium-term long-term perspective, well, the main thing is to reach this medium-term perspective and unfrozen thank you very much mr. gennady