this air defense that the white house has that can suddenly maybe we will agree and er and kyiv will get it theoretically it can protect us big cities, let's say such as the capital cities of millionaires in order to let's say close the sky, well, first of all, the missile of the iron dome complex is worth everything - for only 170,000 e-e, it is not so expensive, it is 5 million , the complex itself costs e-e. well, i will say that the complex is an iron dome, yes, indeed, it can protect one object , it has the characteristics of 70 km in range 4 km in height or an area of ​​150 m². that is, small it can completely close the district center. oh, and the question is, the question is that it has features and in use it is intended mainly for intercepting active projectiles, oh, it can

intercept missiles, but 4 km is a very small height for intercepting a missile if we let's talk about ballistic missiles. as for complexes such as na sam and is eh, yes, these complexes are more equal, they are purely anti-missile. and eh, they could solve our problem, but i repeat again. several hundred in order to reliably well, at least with a probability of 70-80%. to close the sky of ukraine, by the way, this question was also of interest to our viewers who write comments about it. thank you for voicing it , mr. batenko melnychuk, i have a question. please tell me , we are now seeing the movement of s-300 complexes on the territory of belarus, we are also seeing political incitement that is, we understand that the society of belarus is basically pumped up in order to somehow justify

a full-scale invasion of belarus itself let's see putin's constant meetings, obviously he is predisposing him to this situation and what is the current situation on the territory of belarus and when specifically belarus can go to the cart of belarus er to the next large-scale one and is it possible at all, i am convinced in principle that they have such plans and it is obvious that the only thing they are afraid of is the answer, but we understand that this situation can happen there. well, it may not be there for a week or two, but for a month or a half. well, i will say that the probability of an invasion by the belarusian army. the opinion is somewhere under 50 to 50. it's like a roulette, will they push lukashenka or not? everything depends on the political will of lukashenka himself

. unfortunately, as for the army itself, there is nothing special to interfere with it. 30% of the entire contract army and they there are about 17-18 thousand a-and it’s about 20 well, a maximum of 25 battalions of the tactical group uh-uh in- they will be able to achieve any operational success with them and uh-uh most likely they will be defeated right on uh-uh during the invasion on the border, but they can withdraw part of the forces it would be very profitable for putin and himself if the belarusian army attacked our border and thus weaken lukashenka. by the way, otse is also a safeguard for lukashenka so that he does not weaken his power and is not the second before. that's why i think that the probability is 50/50 and most likely lukashenka will do everything to prevent the army from interfering with the belarusian army. by the way,

i don't agree with you about the public sentiments of belarusian society against the war, it's not for ukraine, it's not right now today but they categorically against participation in the war, 70% of the armed forces are conscripted to them. and it divides public opinion, by the way, in january, russia itself created this public opinion. in january, russia created the same kind of business in belarus as we had there and rape and robbery and there were skirmishes with the locals, plus they forced the belarusian army to overload their er wounded and killed to wash equipment from steps with remains or human bodies, all this was done by belarusian soldiers , especially conscripts as labor force, so that the mood there is not the same, not the most friendly, that is, what

concerns missiles and the presence of russian troops , by the way, missile complexes and anti-aircraft iskanders are russian troops, and today they are training on belarusian planes, russian pilots on fighter jets, which can be used in a missile strike, yes, in a missile strike, yes, here i do not rule out the very high probability that russian troops can launch a missile strike on the territory of ukraine. convert to land-class missiles today mykolaiv is suffering precisely from the blue strikes. well, last night 9 s-300 missiles fell in mykolaiv like ordinary missiles from the land-to-ground class. therefore, we must be prepared that such an attack is completely unbelievable. and what is their range in replica kilometers, i would like to

clarify i mean, i understand that the public mood in belarus is, to put it mildly, not on the side of the current president, otherwise he would not have lost the election. propaganda incites belarusians to the need to allegedly defend their territories by attacking ukraine, plus, i also have a short question if possible. it is likely that they will deploy nuclear weapons on the territory of belarus, which will be aimed not only at ukraine, but at e- in some european countries, the sources of information are really being pumped. propaganda is going there, russian television is working very hard, but uh, in society, it still resists this

militant attitude and does not gather - and especially not they want to see. they are even on mobilization training after being notified by summons. lukashenko refused to mobilize. he only notified conscripts with summons and they were forced to mark themselves. the mood is not like that, no, uh, don’t go away, or uh, as for uh, once again, please, the second question is you. and nuclear weapons are actually nuclear weapons , so i’ll say yes, in my opinion, it’s more populist and political statements. why, because it will never be transferred not missile troops, as he promised, and there were statements that the iskanders would supposedly be transferred to the armed forces of belarus, not to mention that they would not transfer a nuclear warhead to

combat. and the second is to take a risk and export a nuclear warhead to belarus so that russia will be accused by all other countries in the world of the proliferation of nuclear weapons, despite the fact that the treaty is not in force today, which, in my opinion, russia will not risk to have such image losses in the nuclear weapons proliferation company. therefore, in my opinion, these are more political statements. mykola knyazhytskyi still wanted a question, uh, from your point of view, from the point of view of the combat reserves, how much, how much, will be enough for russia? were against ship missiles, but they use them because they are high-precision missiles that can be used at long distances, they say that they cannot manufacture them because of sanctions because they cannot receive

high-precision electronics, of course, instead of artillery. they make, we get artillery systems from the west, they used to say that we have 10 times less artillery than in russia, or that russia uses up to 60,000 shells of various artillery shells, while the united states of america itself produces only 180,000 per year how many of them can be enough or do they feel any limitations in their weapons? anti-aircraft and 400 and they really use them in mykolaiv for strikes on ground targets, which we can see in the white or what they are bringing in, they brought it from kandera and they brought in very large quantities of s300 with 400, what is the purpose of what they brought there is this bombing -e artillerysk well, not artillery rockets, e parts of ukraine from belarus are massive, why are there so many of them, well, here i agree with you and most likely the s-300 will also be

used as surface-to-surface missiles why because to protect the belarusian air like this by the number of missiles, because knowing that we have almost no bomber aircraft, we are unlikely to bomb, and we do not have missile forces at all, so i think that they can use it precisely for strikes on ground targets as for the volume of stocks, i would not count the russian stockpile and why. because there are still soviet stocks left and how many are there to date , there is no exact information , but the british institute for the study of war calculated that they are 28 and a half thousand tanks, including the t-55 and t-34 on today we are in storage, but how many will they be able to start, this is a big question, by the way, they do not produce artillery systems today, the ural wagon plant and the entire holding is standing today and people are

dismissed in unpaid issues, the first one is standing today, and she is the manufacturer, the main manufacturer of artillery barrels, but but they use the stocks that they have in their warehouses, yes, they can collect one cannon from 20 to date . of the private sector in the russian federation, when they want to pledge the private sector to repair military equipment, namely to restore it, which comes from storage, by the way. they are now abandoning armored personnel carriers and bmps and switching to mt-lb, as in the second chechen war . by the way, even this tracked vehicle was named one name metaliga, so they are going to start the next wave of reserves on these metaligas to

ukraine and not on armored personnel carriers, because the old armored personnel carriers on the btr-60 and 70th on the 76th gasoline and on soviet gas-51 gas-53 engines, they will be very problematic to use here, so the volumes there are very large, but there is a big question whether russia will be able to use it and bring it to a technical state that will correspond to the combat use of this weapon. we will ask, but it is so simple. i understand that it is simple to answer. it is very difficult, but this is what most of the supervisors are interested in. this is the logic of the confrontation that we are seeing now. your forecast is the phase of this. the confrontation may continue. i understand that there are many nuances, that this is a rather non-linear question that is difficult to answer immediately, but nevertheless, i would like to hear your opinion

. will be fulfilled, i mean in terms of supply volumes, yes, at the end of august, the beginning of september, we can change the situation at the front and by the end of the year, uh, finish the active phase , but this is a very optimistic forecast. that it will happen and we believe in it as you say and what will interfere in the coming months and how should we deter russia from these continuous missile strikes, the only thing that can protect us from missile strikes is if we agree on measures to obtain anti-missile systems this is the only thing that can protect us. as for the rest of the question, it all depends. you see, i will tell you that we heroically stood

for four months on our own reserves. to the front, if supplies stop, then i will say that we will not drag out this war, that's why everything will depend on the pace of the supply of weapons from our partners, if they provide them in a timely manner, then we can, as the devil said, give us weapons and we will decide the rest ourselves, oleg. thank you very much because you answered a lot of questions that people write in the comments means that they are interested in it. and this is why we are doing this here. we are gathering in this studio to look for answers to what is bothering people in order to somehow understand this situation oleg zhdanov, military expert, colonel of the reserve of the armed forces of ukraine, yaroslav makitra, i have a question for you . thoughts

about this, share your expert opinions , actually, for sure the answer to this question is not even known by the members of the state duma and the council of the federation, however, if you analyze what they say , that is, volodya, the head of the state duma of theirs, claims that there will be current certain there personnel and social issues are another third. that is why they had information in the media that the federation council will freeze. today they announce that these laws that will be adopted will not be needed by the federation . what is the matter of approval, that is, obviously the logic of the owner, which speaks for itself, indicates that there will not be any strategic decisions there or about the annexation of the occupied territories there or mobilization or other large-scale decisions there because these decisions needed the approval of the federation council but again, the way they behave shows that they are not i have information about the agenda, we will definitely hear directly tomorrow who will consider it, but here is well, without this, the story is unprecedented for me in many ways because it is a vacation. now it is in the russian parliament as well, and they have literally met there several times in their history in such

such emergency decisions were also made regarding the issues of the southern session of the time and the behavior of the troops on the territory of ukraine and so on. therefore, it is as if well , this should be taken seriously, and indeed we can expect certain eh tomorrow surprises, but i will repeat that everything will be decided after obviously there at the last minute and voiced or it will be voiced and it will be voiced just at the last minute , there can be a lot of options for the development of events and in fact the armed forces of ukraine write many of them this day, what i mean because that's really why it becomes, let's say, so difficult at the front, now the prospects are more and more difficult for them, and of course this requires all the more mobilization within their society, the search for certain reserves, and so on, the so-called hidden mobilization is already underway in russia, but this is not enough. it is not enough. well, we will wait for tomorrow and see the options for the development of events. in any case, there is probably nothing to scare the ukrainians. history that the military doctrine

of russia indicates that if an attack is carried out on the territory of russia, they have the right to use nuclear weapons, therefore there is such a logic of the development of events that is followed, if not now, then later such there will be attempts, either after the so-called referendum or after something, to secure these territories as if for themselves in order to frighten ukraine in the world with a possible nuclear strike . already then it will be possible to give more precise answers taras butenko and you see tomorrow's date, july 15, as a risky one because, again, there are different opinions of experts, on the one hand, there is something , yaroslav, or just like that they don't are going out of the ordinary, how is this their state i think so, and it is the federation council or the federation council, you and i, and on the other hand, you can hear the opinion that uh, at the time of uh, a full-scale invasion, all such expectations of uh events like that the ninth of may or

some other statements of putin's when they were very widely announced. they very often ended, but in fact there was nothing more than the result itself very often well, as far as i understand , putin needs some kind of pseudo-referendum in these territories, but there is none, they tried, tried to implement this idea there in july-august failed . now i understand that they were attached to september 11. this day is a national election in which local self-government bodies in the russian federation will be elected, and perhaps precisely on september 11. this is my opinion, after all, for one and all of september they will try what is called an illegal annexation of the territory of the kherson region and part of the zaporizhzhia region, this is the situation, and i think that our idea of ​​​​the counteroffensive and counterattacks is superimposed here, because i think that the armed forces have what the supreme commander has set the task of changing the picture of military operations on the territory of ukraine on

the contact line and repelling the territory as much as possible, including kherson, melitopol, with an energy donation, and with regard to the energy donation with regard to the zaporizhzhia atom ugu, what is the question of the time of disconnection, in fact disconnection from the power grids of ukraine and connection to the power grid of the russian federation is already taking place, that is, here, too, the question of a week has already remained here for us in its time this is what it tells the administrator to change the picture of hostilities in the direction of the southern direction of ukraine, that is, and then and then this is already, well, we are getting into this nuclear, if you say, well, hmm, i think that this is some kind of link, the next message that president putin will deliver tomorrow in front of the two chambers of the rural federation well, it can be addressed both to ukraine and to the outside world, the president of serbia, by the way, literally today drew attention to the fact that he fears the expansion of the war in ukraine

more global and this is what is called another hello that can convey to the outside world in other words, we are actually entering the eve of the beginning of the third world war, today he said about what will be proposed by the russian federation and a cease-fire on the terms of the annexation of 25% of the territory of ukraine, of course the president of serbia fantasized that the west will refuse and then there will be hell well, but he meant hell and including hm connected with uh he said that there should be a message from putin to the western world by some western states we we'll see. maybe he's preparing something like this. you know, it seems to me that the rest of us should be ukrainian-centric and look at the world and everything that's happening through ukrainian eyes. please tell me what else the terrorist who is trying to rule our house today can declare war on us. he is already at war, he can scare

us with attacks on our peaceful civilian homes, yes, he is already attacking them, he can scare us with a nuclear weapon, so he is already frightening, everything he will do , he will build up his image inside muscovy yes and no, he is doing everything he will do , he will try to frighten the west. yes, he is already doing all this, so expect something special from putin tomorrow, it will be another show of a dictator for his subjects, no more than that. and we need to hold our own line, and our line is the buildup of weapons, our line is the strengthening of our army, and our line is work with those people who remained in the occupied territories, you cannot give any chance for putin to work on the bridges of these people, because from those people who today remained in the occupied territories, a lot

depends on the more information they will provide, the more they will support ukrainian partisans, the more they will wait for the armed forces of ukraine, the faster we will achieve our final result - this is victory and this is the restoration of the territorial integrity of ukraine with the proposal to immediately leave the territory of our countries also suggest to us citizens to avoid mass gatherings of people at public events, as they can become military targets for the russians, but the americans usually do not warn just like that, batenko melnychuk and everyone else who wants to, we are already literally summarizing until 8:30 p.m. today we are working , there will be another escalation in the near future and it is obvious that what we said today in the studio recorded larger rocket attacks. therefore, they obviously can not ignore any air alarms that are announced and wait for their completion in places

where you can hide, but i want to say that putin, one way or another, must pay attention to the borders, well, the inner picture, everything will go home, and the inner picture and sociology, which well, we know what we see heard and so on. which is still being held in russia and says that the number of russian citizens who support the cessation of hostilities and would rather not budge until the start of peace talks is a third more today than they were last month. back on three, then more brothers who support the cessation of hostilities and the beginning of negotiations. hmm, the share of those who today support the continuation of hostilities is 70%, but 50% are for the cessation of hostilities and the beginning of negotiations. therefore, it is obvious that later he understands that something is happening in society, so what -e may cause it to solution before the end of this war, but how to end it if he got involved so much that it is

no longer the liberation of donbas, which he wanted to sell this picture to the russians - to his citizens, he has already moved on. he dreams of an anti-russian province and that is why he wants that means temporarily annexed part of kherson region and zaporizhzhia region, therefore the point of no return for putin. well, for himself, he cannot imagine the point of no return. therefore, it is obvious that i believe that we need to look for a mechanism for solving this situation on the battlefield and the tasks that president zelensky set today olga solodukha and knyazhytsky have completed well, in fact, if my door is open, they will not and can not accept anything good for ukraine tomorrow. he is leading the victory, he is actually trying in every way. i don't know how to shout that someone is not at the negotiating table with him, where he planned to

divide the world with the countries of europe or the united states of america there according to new rules, but nobody wants to sit at the table with a terrorist and he constantly raises the stakes, you know what we should do, we should actually do our own thing, we should build an independent country with the awareness that we have an eternal enemy, the personification of evil, on our borders, you know , i'm looking at it now, that is, i relate to freedom , everything what we have been shouting about for 30 years is actually happening now, about the fact that russia is an enemy, about the fact that the ukrainian language is essentially the basis of the preservation of our state, about the fact that we need to prepare to realize that no friendly there can be no relationship with these beasts, and now we finally had to

realize such a terrible price. i think that this realization is precisely the key and guarantee of the construction of ukrainian ukraine . cooperation with strong countries, civilized countries of europe, the usa, others are our greatest allies, we must demonstrate unity, we must demonstrate cohesion, we must demonstrate that we are principles we demonstrate and have demonstrated until today and we hope to continue to demonstrate - this is unity, readiness to fight and, in fact, the cessation of any political toys, in fact, the time has not yet come. so, after the victory over russia, then it will be possible to engage in

major global domestic politics, now domestic politics - this is the defense of our state and the victory over russia, thousands of things are in the head of this dwarf, and when he climbs out of his bunker, no one knows what will happen to him tomorrow, but we see a warning, a warning to the states, we see warning of the military that there may be tomorrow and shelling and that there may be danger writes today was in vinnytsia and i want to appeal to all ukrainians that there is no need to delay the sirens, we must be vigilant , we must go to the bomb shelters, we must save our lives , i fully support you that we must unite, we must rally and we must go to victory together well, tomorrow is really such a day when no one knows what will happen, but when the state duma will meet either to restore the soviet union, as some write, or to annex it to itself some of our occupied territories cause concern and warn the united states - this is serious. we used to not listen to them and

made a mistake. from the allies and at least where to occupy the south as quickly as possible, er, this is extremely important, because it is what can push putin to negotiations about which exit from the territory of ukraine, we need to show strength. therefore, we need to be courageous it is necessary to understand that the russians will do everything in the coming days to demoralize us and that we did not succeed. you know that kind of thing, i just now started checking. i think many of our viewers go to the website of the embassy of the united states of america in ukraine and if you go to the ukrainian-language version then there is no such disclaimer, go to the english-language version, it is already there. well, i think that these are just translation problems. but again, there is a certain trend in the fact that it is precisely for english-speaking readers that the website of the embassy of the united states of america has this a warning because they appeal to their citizens here on the territory of ukraine, but this is not

the first warning with which the united states of america appeals to its citizens, they often remind the citizens of the united states that it is dangerous in ukraine and i would not draw too much attention, but i would not exaggerate this appeal too much, the only thing i want to remind once again is that on july 16, saturday, the 31st anniversary of the declaration on state sovereignty of ukraine, the 32nd anniversary of the declaration on state sovereignty of ukraine began from this very moment the countdown to the restoration of ukrainian independence. by the way, july 16 is the date of entry into force of the law about the state ukrainian language, the army, the language of faith - this is what ukraine is reborn and will be reborn from, and i am convinced that these are the basic things that every ukrainian

and we should know how to share and believe today we will definitely win. i say well, when the day comes when the new norms of the law on terms and conditions come into force, the next norms that apply in particular to consumers of mass media, websites and many others. today i want to say that today the taking of the bastille therefore any tyranny must be a cook we really thank all those who were with us now and on our youtube channels and wrote comments we say like this video you sometimes write that it is inappropriate now about likes but the content requires it more people will be able to see it if there will be this like well, such and such a system requires such and such on youtube, and on saturday we will have a saturday stream , i hope everything will be fine. and we will see each other and analyze the week from the point of view of what events have become so special this week and which ones we can react we will also invite interesting guests for you and we will collect funds for the soldiers of the armed forces of ukraine