relations with the united states and it is not a fact that they will get out of these now strained relations. so far, all this is unsuccessful against the background of iran's negotiations. so russia is seizing the moment. it is looking for an ally in the person of iran, and taking into account this isolation and wound and considering the fact that the arab countries and israel are still beginning to somehow cooperate, to establish some minimal dialogue and it is anti-israel in its nature, or it is a common interest of both israel and the arab and parts of the arab countries, at least, i think so that all this strengthens, in fact, pushes this russian- iranian coalition to some practical actions turkey, turkey's role is there well, to be honest , it is as usual turkey is playing exclusively

in its own interests, trying to be both here and there, for ukraine it is an extra signal that turkey's role as a moderator is quite limited precisely in terms of neutrality and objectivity , that is, turkey can quickly agree on, let's say , some kind of deepening of cooperation with russia in addition to the fact that that is, there is already grain and there are no sanctions, even russia’s help in circumventing these sanctions ah well, the main question, more precisely, it is not the main thing for us, but it is very revealing, russia has weakened its presence in syria, it has not completely withdrawn its continent from there, but its presence has weakened, and what are the countries of the middle east afraid of now, what is this the empty conditional place will be occupied by someone to occupy it if you speak so rudely you want to increase your presence at the expense of iran and russia -

that suits you because iran is its partner, it doesn't suit israel it doesn't suit the countries of persia the gulfs who are afraid of another escalation on the territory of syria, which has been so mutilated by the war. well, by the way, maria , i'm sorry, but we have timing. maria zolkina, what is it called ? we have time discipline. of ukraine and he and i will continue this topic and bring it to its logical conclusion, so to speak, let's talk about the oil and gas market. congratulations to oleksiy, glory to you, glory to ukraine, glory to the heroes, dear viewers, let's to bring everything to a logical end, let's talk about the prospects of saudi arabia

agreeing to increase oil production, how much it needs to be increased in order to equalize prices on the market and to deprive the russian federation of profits, this is not as clear as the information provided about this visit, let's usually, such visits and agreements can be followed up, well, regarding further actions, because i have read a lot of media such as american uh, those who support me say whether trump and the democratic party they give such victory reports those who do not support and say that it was a failed visit i read in russia well there they generally hum from the baidan show how putin was met when he came from odesa arabia that he was there his limousine with horses was there to see him off and they met at the airports , they gave the butler biden was more democratic, there

was no such honor, that is, there is a lot of speculation around this visit, i want to see how the markets will evaluate how analysts will evaluate the agreements that were there assigned to him, there is still a difference in interpretation because personal saudi arabia and sources say that they are ready to increase oil production, but by the 27th year, that is, not tomorrow, and it will start . we will introduce them with an eye to the needs of the market, i.e. from everything i read, he negotiated there are certain agreements, but how they will be implemented will be shown by certain events in the near future, and it will be long-term, but it is definitely clear that russia is gradually losing its status as a state that is a gas and oil country because of the fact that their gas and oil production is decreasing, their

influence on the market of the european union of america is decreasing and that there are other states that want and can occupy this market. russia as a result of the sanctions or independent sanctions. okay, but look , mr. oleksiy. well, when we talk about the 27th year, you know it’s either shag die out, or shag will die, or ukraine or russia until then, but the ukrainians have to somehow survive. it seems to me that this one is winning, and in principle, the situation on the world markets is me, you are already being pushed to the far east from the near a can fundamentally change and i would like your analysis to be short about this, the crazy fall of china's gdp economy, i will talk about this later today already in this program shows that china does not need so much energy, that is, you don't need so much oil and you don't need

so much gas, and the chinese, after all, the chinese are 1.5 million people. that is, they are large consumers. 1.5 billion, yes, they are large consumers, and plus these semi-arrangements in the middle east with the possibility of what to plant 4 million e-e tons will be released on the market, this shows that there will be more than enough oil and the price of oil may fall. although it is a very unpleasant story to invent the price of oil for oil at if i knew , i would be a millionaire and a billionaire, and a multi-billionaire if i knew what the price would be tomorrow, but these thoughts have the right to life. i think i also agree with you, if people understood on these new balances of bohdan on the new wheelbarrows of balance, how it would be, then we would still have a lot of billionaire forecasters and not facebook analysts of moms

on which now this one does not want to turn into some i don’t know people who are predicting something there and one thing is clear there will be new market balances that are caused by changes in supply and demand that are not caused by market behavior russia is not a market because market behavior or when the price increased you pretend more products in order to earn more russia is taking non-market measures for the second year in a row and what has led to the fact that europe has identified as a media consumer and refuses to try their products to diversify others, to find suppliers of energy saving, green development, etc. this is important to the point that countries such as china and india, seeing the predicament of the russian energy industry as a reminder of the fact that they cannot put their usual traditional european products on the market, take it away from with a huge discount and

are already getting fed up little by little, the fact that oil can still be transported there in a certain way, but we are looking at secondary sanctions and those that are still trying to be introduced. that they will limit a certain price corridor of this oil there and will allow it to be transported by tankers to be insured only if they correspond to this price category corridor, but it is very difficult and it is also as difficult as arranging an audit if this is done, so these flows will also to try to do, that is, a lot of things are happening now that can affect electricity at this price level , one thing is clear . year, that is, russia now tactically has certain surplus profits in the gas and oil sector, although it is

compensated by a decrease in e-e in other sectors of the automotive industry, etc., i.e. they have dollars that they can spend inside the country, buy matches, they can finance with these dollars and sealed printed rubles a military company, however from next year, all income will no longer be in china, it is also not necessary and we do not forget that you and i are waiting for everyone from the county, it will be a natural sleep of the economy and cities in china will be closed just for the last question, mr. oleksiy, it's just an important question, but you said that russia was counted among unreliable partners. but you and i perfectly understand and remember how the soviet union was an unreliable partner, then suddenly in 1991 he said that it was a reliable partner. the new russia has been renewed, it is beautiful, it does not threaten anyone, the days of the cold war have passed hurray hurray and now

they say again that they are not reliable tomorrow, the government in russia will change and the day after tomorrow some new person will come. she said no, he is also good, we will be good to him . to sell and after the day after tomorrow, the new good will become bad again, will attack ukraine or poland or there, i don’t know, estonia, someone, that is, how reliable are the words of the europeans about the unreliable partner of the russians? what i don't agree with is that russia considered the soviet union to be a reliable partner even during the cold war, even after they managed czechoslovakia, etc., even when they threatened the polish mercenary gas is the same for the states, they never stopped the supply there to germany or european

countries, that's why they got hooked on this branch, there was a program and pipes in exchange for gas, that is, you know, this is how mutual dependence was like in the west, they believed that it was unchanged that so that nothing happens, nothing will happen, but they were shocked that putin violated it, and that is why it is an insult for many, many years, and this, well, if a change of supplier means that there will be an insurance contract on the video, there will be new suppliers, there will be new streams for energy saving, that is even when russia can be considered a reliable supplier and the conditions are known, fail from ukraine, return the territory, restore and pay compensation . we know perfectly well that there will be some populist politicians financed by russia who will call for us to need cheap resources , that will be all. that is, these are still new stages and i

will be happy to talk about them with you. when territories will be occupied, russia will return to itself and we will further analyze how they are trying to establish certain contacts with europeans by paying us drugs, but now we have to go through a very difficult winter, this is not only for us in ukraine , but in europe closer to this question, mr. oleksiy i would like to see how we will pass, can we make any predictions, or after all, we have to wait until autumn, how will we measure the tariffs. let 's say so. ukraine, the ukrainian authorities are doing everything possible to make this season as helpful as difficult, the ukrainian opposition controls these issues, there is a law in the parliament next week on the stabilization of tariffs, on their mono-moratorium, on the allocation of funds so that prices do not change, on the creation of a certain international fund, we have been working on filling this fund for six months from various sources in america,

europe, foreign partners, this is all a process that does what we cannot control, neither the government, nor the opposition, nor our partners, this is what russia will be talking about, it has already destroyed our oil refining and oil storage facilities, and we saw how they attacked the north donetsk shopping center and the kremenchug teosi okhtyrska five, leaving these cities without heating, we do not know how it will go in the ukrainian mariupol, this is the heating season, and what they can continue to put out in order to we don't know how to make this foreign exchange more difficult, but they can also do it in a different way with an infrastructural object, just as they are currently filling europe with a cold winter and a stoppage of the economy, i.e. i am sure that in europe and in ukraine and in america they are doing everything they can to ensure that not only the difficult heating season passes, but also that the influence of russia is reduced. what remains, well, military factors are difficult

prerequisites . first of all, the plot about ukrainian grain and its fate, because we know that because our defenders expelled the changing occupiers from the island, it opened a certain path through the estuary so that ships could pass and the possibility of doing all this grain export, but this is exactly what they were talking about in turkey, and we will discuss with the expert what forecasts and prospects for the export of our grain will be. now we will see more details from our colleagues in the material in the story about ukrainian grain and then we will discuss it immediately after a short pause, that's

why you stay with us stay stay stay that at the beginning of the week in turkey announced the quick start of export of ukrainian grain not by sea this statement was made by the minister of defense of the country according to him, the negotiations that lasted for more than a month still gave results, we are close to a decision , as neighbors on the black sea with ukraine and with russia, we have established very warm relations with mr. putin and mr. zelensky and held very thorough negotiations. kyiv demands firm guarantees that in case of demining of sea approaches to odessa, the russian army will not take advantage of this, that is why the un was involved in the negotiations . such a service can cost up to 25% of the market value of grain, at least such figures were announced in the turkish media, however, kyiv has no choice , about 20 million tons of last year's

harvest are still stored in warehouses, the harvest has already begun and there will be no place for new grain to be placed in the country. currency income is also needed for stabilization exchange rate, and in addition, ukrainian grain should mitigate the world food crisis , which is already raging in some countries, in particular, it was the sharp rise in food prices that caused mass protests in sri lanka, which led to a change of government and we see how the influence of this russian aggression manifests itself everywhere, it probably affected the situation in sri lanka, we are worried about the consequences throughout the world, only the beginning, because without our food, it will not be possible to stabilize the world market, save the countries of africa and asia from hunger. if there is a famine, then you will see it on the territory of the european union of new migrants millions of new migrants since the beginning of the invasion russia blocks ukrainian ports and makes it impossible to export grain from

25 million tons to date managed to export only five, mainly by rail and road transport, after the deblication of the snake, another route was opened, the danube black sea channel. however, according to experts, without unblocking the port of odessa, the problem cannot be solved in principle. the western press discussed various options. fleet, however, in the end, this option was rejected, fearing a direct conflict between the alliance and russia, no matter what the ukrainians thought, no matter what they talked about in the first place everything war, war, and our victory, seven days a week, from monday to sunday, seven different spheres of human activity, sports, culture, politics, eight express hosts, journalists, experts, opinion leaders in real time about the most current events

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. we are really us and who are we angelica returned to the espresso tv channel broadcast we will talk about grain thank you for the materials about war and grain and now it has become somewhere in one paragraph i would say in the world

ukrainian grain and the ukrainian war, more precisely , the russian-ukrainian war is indisputable well, i don't know, i'm smart, i'm just waiting for our expert to explain what he explained on the one hand, remember we said for a long time that you can't open these passages to ship grain because the russians will take advantage and attack to odesa, well, they say very simply now . we agreed that it was not possible to open. it is possible to demine. now there are several questions, whether the bosford of the dardanelles or the danube, because yes, by what route , or whether it is necessary to go to europe first, then before to transship somewhere this plays into the price increase of the grain itself, because it is along the danube, let's say somewhere to budapest, and from budapest transshipment is already on it and then transshipment

somewhere in croatia anyway, the logistics of glass is very complicated and it affects the final price because if grabs, for example they bought there for 100 dollars , now they will have to pay 150. do they have that kind of money? it is a very important moment so that this arab spring does not happen again, because oda, the reasons for the appearance of the arab spring in e-e, at least in egypt, is because there was a shortage of bread and people started don't go out only for political reasons, but also for economic reasons and that's all, this area is considered by economists to be one of the factors, too, russia started to disturb something, i don't know how true it is, uh, and that's how all the low revolutions began , that is, that's why the whole world i am not interested in living without ukrainian grain. i can repeat there for the 157th time that without ukraine, ukraine supplied

grain to 470 million of the world's population. if you take ukraine and add another 40 million, you get more than half a billion people who ate ukrainian grain. we have to understand that russia also holds on to everything that russia has. it always uses it as a weapon, yes. what, as one russian prime minister said. but what do you do with us? it still turns out a kalashnikov assault rifle. in order for the grain to shoot, you can somehow see if anything shoots there, gasoline, oil, gas, everything that is in russia, uh, you can use it so that it shoots later on ukraine now and then it is not known where. that is why it is such a complicated story, complicated logistics, complicated all this it is difficult, but the main thing is that even if

russia also agrees, are there any guarantees? yes, it will not be shelled, it will not use this moment when the ships will transport food exports, can we trust russia and there have guarantees, i don’t think that our leadership there on led by the president, they are idiots, they understand that it is necessary to have reliable guarantees, that is why i think that when these negotiations are held, where are they not held, the ukrainians say ok , we can continue, then we lose odesa or what , whether they are standing or accompanying with, let's say, i don't know there are turkish boats, here goes a ukrainian boat or any grain around it, turkish boats and they bring it to the bosphorus and then it wants to go somewhere. it wants to go there and moves. in short, we got confused here, and without pavlo lekiychuk, head of security programs of the center for global studies, stra 21, we are

nothing we won't be able to understand, mr. pavly. today we have solid pavlovs, all of us make a wish as one, we only have pavlov that everything will come true, mr. pavlovy. good health. thank you for finding time for us on sunday. so, good evening if you haven't heard, i have to repeat it in 40 seconds. we are confused with angelika, so this idea was originally that we will not ship grain because russia will use it to strike odesa and capture it. and now they say no, we can do it because the snake ukrainian can be unlocked there something else can be done there, now a new question arises, thanks to which, what is the role of turkey, are there guarantees that they will not attack, and what roads can it be?

transshipment and then again transshipment and then again on land transshipment from the river transshipment then to the sea and so on and maybe it was agreed through bosfordanella, that is, the whole picture is explained here we have to talk about several ways at once but the main point is that the russian in the federation as a pirate state, as a terrorist state, it decided to blackmail not only ukraine with shortages, famine, food shortages, but also the whole world , thus indirectly forcing ukraine to capitulate of course, we will not go for it, and ukraine, together with the united nations and our partners, is trying to find ways out of this

situation. among them, the first option that is already in effect is overloading to redirect our grain exports through european countries to the ports of the baltic sea and from there to the consumer, such a route already operates through poland. there is already work on routes through the baltic states and through a number of european countries. the problem is that it definitely increases the cost. of our food, because here we have to transship from our railway to the european railway, which has a different track width, and then only deliver to the ports of the baltic sea another way, which appeared in our country during the liberation of the snake, not even the liberation of

i will tell you that the destruction of the enemy's e-e garrison on the serpentine is actually the unblocking of our ports on the danube, because ukraine used to have a very extensive port system, about 15% of the ports there, this means that our trade flowed to the azov ports about we don’t even mention them. unfortunately, for the long term, then the kherson-mykolayiv odesa ports and immediately the odesa agglomeration of kherson mykolayiv accounted for about 80% of the turnover, and only uh, at all, small numbers from two to three percent gave our small ports located in the mouth dunagi

after all, we have ishmael over there, here is the danube wolf, which , at the beginning of the war, they began to work with maximum load, practically trying to compensate for the loss of other port infrastructure. unfortunately, they cope with this task well, as much as they can. after all, their infrastructure does not provide for such guys and transshipment, and with the release of the snake, there was an opportunity to send this grain from the mouth of the danube to the ports of romania in small bulkers talk about the fact that turkey, under the guarantee of the united

nations, will try to create a corridor from ukrainian ports in the odesa agglomeration from our main ports that carried cargo, including grain, to the black sea straits and so on in a way to restore, well, to restore our export of grain for the world is to save the world in this situation there are a number of problematic issues, so to speak, which are completely unclear, in particular, according to the latest negotiations in and there it is said that the russians want to control the smuggling of weapons on these ships with their own hands, it is clear that no smuggling

can be carried out by bulk carriers, but this is not even the main issue, in principle, the only issue remains is the unblocking of ukrainian sports and demining, because by demining the ports, we actually we are opening for the enemy fox, so our partners have provided us with harpoons, we still have our neptunes and, in principle, are ready to fry rashitsky landing ships, but the probability of an enemy attack with the robbery of ports is significant, are our turkish partners ready to act as mediators? if they are so mediocre, we will say that they guarantee us protection from the sea