tv [untitled] July 21, 2022 4:00pm-4:31pm EEST
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andriy kovalev , press officer of the 112th kyiv brigade, was very involved with us. actually, he is a political scientist and religious expert. thank you, mr. andrii . well, our time is almost running out at this hour. we will talk about the hryvnia exchange rate. what is the situation and we will talk . on the national bank's decision to adjust the official exchange rate of the hryvnia to the dollar by 25%. let's talk about this decision of the national bank, we will also have e-e inclusions that will relate to the situation on the fronts of someone e-e nuclear blackmail of the russians and military experts from defense express - this traditionally at the end of the next hour well, right now we will pass the floor to our colleagues ani eva melnyk , we will return after the news thank you maria i will tell you about the most important thing with the news editor, in particular about the fact that russia is preparing to change the status of the kherson
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region and part of the zaporizhzhia region - this is reported by our intelligence, stay with us more about the situation in kharkiv, the number of dead as a result of the morning shelling of the city of kharkiv increased to three, and another 23 people were injured, the kharkiv regional prosecutor's office reported at 9:30 a.m. the russians had previously shelled a public transport stop near the market in the kyiv district of kharkiv with rocket salvo systems ; in addition, the russian military had carried out an art shelling of the saltiv district of the city; the occupiers had hit a residential building; earlier, the head of the kharkiv ova, oleg sinogubov, said that only civilians were affected by the russian fire and exclusively peaceful infrastructure, the police
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call on not to neglect shelters, we call on people to stay in the maximum safe places, if there is a need to reach the city, still be in these places, where there is some kind of shelter nearby, be it a subway station, be it a bomb shelter, be it some premises equipped with underground storage facilities or parking lots, for example, be insured against the fact that a rocket will fly into any area of the city of kharkiv, no one the russians hit the dnipropetrovsk region again, this time the occupiers targeted myrny village, the head of the dnipropetrovsk regional council, mykola lukashuk, reported that the rocket fell on the territory near the piggery formed torn out as a result of a hit eight by five
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meters damaged the roof of the farm previously without casualties and more about the situation in dnipropetrovsk region and the consequences of shelling by russian nazis will be told by our correspondent vitaly bakumenko he is in nikopol vitaly i congratulate you and tell about this city nikopol regularly suffers from of russian fire yesterday, in particular , the enemy fired more than 30 active projectiles from a hail of bullets into a residential quarter, we know that there is also a three-year-old child among the wounded, what is the situation in the city today and how often are the russians shelling nikopol, greetings well, today is more or less calm, although at night there were shellings in the marganetsky district, the territorial community was injured, several shells fell there, but fortunately there were no
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casualties and destruction. to the private sector. we were there today working and talking with a woman. she lost her mother and stepfather there during the shelling. they also saved their two children, these are two girls , five and 13 years old, but unfortunately her mother and stepfather died from this shelling, and about 5 days ago there was also a massive shelling, we are in this area, there are many, many five-story buildings, people live here and here, according to eyewitnesses, the locals were told that about 20 hailstones flew in, there were direct hits on the houses
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, but they managed to fix the broken windows in almost five days. and here, too, people were injured and, unfortunately, two people were killed in this area also died in general due to the situation in the last week, the shelling here is quite intense, and the city authorities have asked those who are able and willing to go to the depths of the region in order not to expose themselves and their relatives to danger, how many people heeded such a call from the authorities to leave and how are those who remain in the city living, whether they listened, we do not know, we are with those with whom they communicated, they are
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leaving. at the beginning of march, a lot of people went abroad, a lot of people still remain here in general in the city. well , we saw few people, although the humanitarian situation here, as far as we understood, is normal, there are pharmacies, shops, everything works, there are utilities, there is electricity, gas, water if there is information, we will find out and know how many people will be evacuated after this call from the local authorities. therefore, we will inform you while i do not have this information. thank you, thank you for the prompt information. be sure to take care until the next one. of the meeting, it was our correspondent vitaly bakumenko who talked about the situation in the city of nikopol, dnipropetrovsk oblast, military equipment, explosives and weapons, the russian occupiers dragged all this to the
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machine room of the first power unit of the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, it is reported in energoatom that the entire arsenal is located very close to the equipment that ensures the operation of the turbogenerator , in particular, in the immediate proximity to the main oil of baku, which contains a flammable liquid, the risk of fire is extremely high, and its extinguishing will become problems in the nuclear power plant are emphasized due to a possible accidental detonation, the scale of the disaster may be comparable to the accident at the chernobyl station, preparations are being made to change the status of the kherson and part of the zaporozhye regions, as evidenced by the latest statements of the minister of foreign affairs of the russian federation, sergey lavrov, the russians can either hold a referendum or forcibly annex these territories to of russia, the representative of the mountains of the ministry of defense
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of ukraine, serhiy skibytskyi, said that one of the instruments of the violent occupation is forced passporting, obtaining a russian passport has now become very simple, one of the elements, for example, there is a very active issue of passports of citizens of the russian federation, if in donetsk, in luhansk, this procedure first required obtaining passports of the so-called lpr, then in kherson oblast, zaporizhzhia oblast, in the occupied territories, this procedure is much simpler write an application and get a passport, this is exactly one of these options that the russian federation can use. great britain is preparing new batches of weapons for ukraine. about this the minister of defense of the country, ben wallace, said this , according to the reuters agency. wallace assured that , together with other partners, they continue to
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provide ukraine with tools to protect against russian aggression. among the new supplies will be dozens of artillery installations and more than 1,600 anti-tank weapons. britain will also provide ukrainian defenders with counter-battery radar systems and hundreds of drones . and more than 50,000 cartridges, i note that the intensification of military support took place after the british prime minister boris johnson, who has already resigned, promised ukraine another 1-2 billion dollars of defense aid , here he is on the border of the palace of the young romchik oleksiv, who was injured in vinnytsia, was evacuated to a hospital in germany from a rocket attack, the boy received severe external and internal burns, the child's body was burned face, arms, legs, and respiratory tract, in addition, roma has a closed fracture of the left
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arm and several clavicles from a projectile. the skull of the small patient was first transported to lviv and is now being evacuated to germany further on the child is waiting for a skin transplant and plastic surgery, they said that on the head only one part of the shell was pierced to the very organs, we bent his head, we did not get the wax, they washed it . that there was an open fracture in the hand thank god the head began to heal also everything is normal the worst is now inside when they arrived he was conscious again he said what was his name he said who is he together with our colleagues from germany, who are involved in the transportation of such difficult patients, prepared the child for transportation to the dresden university clinic. they specialize in severe thermal
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, chemical, and electrical burns. they also have a powerful department of reconstructive surgery, so that in the future it will definitely be necessary for this patient to have a trident that works the voting on the symbols on the monuments of the motherland in kyiv has ended. 85% of respondents are in favor of replacing the soviet coat of arms with a trident on the shield, others nine percent voted for the removal of soviet symbols and holding a contest after the victory in the war, another six percent chose the option to leave the hammer and sickle in total, almost 800,000 ukrainians took part in the survey. my colleagues will continue the broadcast. well, always read about important things on the espresso website, as well as search, find and subscribe to our channels in
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social networks on youtube, telegram, instagram, twitter, be sure to like and be next to us and the ukrainian view of the world of our espresso news channel and euro espresso programs for ukrainian refugees in europe joint broadcast with the atp channel radio svoboda programs time-time programs of the voice of america inclusion of journalists from public television news broadcasts bbc news ukraine and franz 24 as well as air of the information marathon, the only news, together we are the force, glory to ukraine , the battle of poltava in sweden, while our defenders defend their homeland, football players will represent ukraine at the international arena poltava vorskla will hold the first match of the uefa conference league in stockholm on july 21 against the 12-time champion of
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war in ukraine is the main topic for ukrainians victories and losses analysis and forecasts politics and geopolitics serhii rudenko and the guests of his program will talk about all this people who have information and shape public opinion people who defend ukraine and creating the future is already the main and interesting thing in the program verdict by serhiy rudenko from monday to thursday at 1:00 p.m. repeat at 9:30 p.m. well, the marathon continues on the espresso channel and thank you to everyone who watches us andriy maria gurska zaichuk is with you today for the next two hours, we will start a little bit today with the cook about the economy, there is a reason for this, if you went out for two today or just opened some economic sites where there is an exchange rate, then in
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general you already know what it is about to the hryvnia, the hryvnia exchange rate has fallen sharply, will this fall stop there, what caused it and how to save your savings, if anyone still has them, at least yes , we will definitely talk about it now vasyl suforman, deputy chairman of the board of the national bank of ukraine from we should be in touch er there will be a guest we will connect this connection er well, what else will we have next and other interesting guests a very busy hour we will talk about intelligence and er the war about the situation at the front we will see what "there is a fresh forecast of e-e analysts quoted by bloomberg that russia is going to annex the occupied
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ukrainian lands in mid-september, and at this time the invaders are preparing so-called referendums on joining russia by september 15. they plan to hold such pseudo-referendums in donetsk, luhansk, kherson, zaporizhzhia regions and so on the goal is to annex the fifth part of ukraine in september , uh, these forecasts uh, the american institute for the study of war looks at them very critically, they say that they are so limited now, even uh, such are known, their successes are also absent. a well-known american expert i also think that he doesn't see any special prospects for taking slavyansk, and even more so kramatorsk is in russian, and the army doesn't understand where to get these resources, but as mykhailo himself said today, it's the soviet army there,
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if they give the order to nano, they will attack like this pla already built and we are successfully destroying them, this is our task, let's talk about it with the military, and now vasyl furman, deputy chairman of the nbu council, is in touch with us. we congratulate mr. vasyl. good day. thank you for joining our broadcast. let 's try to comment on this situation with the hryvnia exchange rate. let us remind you that on the black market today the hryvnia exchange rate collapsed by almost a hryvnia compared to the market quotations and currently fluctuates between 27-56 37 56 37 90 6 hryvnias per dollar well, actually, this was a consequence of the fact that the national bank of ukraine from today adjusted the official exchange rate of the hryvnia to the dollar by 25% to 36 points 56.86 hryvnias per dollar what can you say about this decision of the national bank, how to
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explain it, what is the logic and what will this step be? ukraine introduced a number of restrictions on the foreign exchange market, including fixing the non-cash exchange rate at the level of 29-25 , it has been almost 5 months, that is, that decision is historic and, in my opinion, one hundred percent correct, it gave us the opportunity to preserve currency stability, macroeconomic stability further, we simply saw that imbalances are growing in the economy, uh, there is a big difference between the cash and non-cash exchange rates. by the way, again, in the first months of the war, the difference between the fixed exchange rate of 29:25 and the cash exchange rate. if it was on the black market, if it was somewhere was almost 10%. i.e. now we have already observed a completely different situation er plus a significant imbalance fixed exchange rate
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which with importers, importers imported at a rate of 29-25 , for example, i.e., products before plus er. exchange rate, which is why the decision was made today by the board of the national bank to increase the exchange rate to 36 , there are whole numbers, there are almost 60%, the interest will be as close as possible to cash, non-cash exchange rates, what you said at the beginning that there are fluctuations of the cash rate, well, this is about fluctuations, that is, i
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am sure of that and later i will again express my point of view that the hryvnia cash rate against the dollar will strengthen, well, in your opinion, it is actually obvious that this will lead to an increase in prices, how serious will this increase be of prices and where will it stop? really, the price increase is such a big global problem, including the ukrainian one, that is, if we are talking about the world, there is a significant increase in prices in turkey . in poland, 17% increase in inflation. poland, which is not at war , in the baltic countries, 20% inflation. well, it is possible there, in the eurozone or the usa, they are also hit with inflation . the maximum that concerns ukraine. the bank that inflation will still
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be a big thing in our country today it is 21.5%, but as far as i understand according to the forecast what we heard they will be more, that is, by the end of this year, december of this year until december of last year maybe it will be somewhere around 30%. will today's increase in the exchange rate of the hryvnia to the dollar and once again fix it at this level affect inflation, according to the information of the national bank, well, look at us if you look at the consumer basket . 400 goods on the basis of which inflation is calculated . well, about one third of this consumer basket is imports. it is clear that by increasing imports, er, by increasing the exchange rate by 25%. i.e. import e-e price also increases on imported goods by how much it will be reflected on according to the research of the national bank, the level of inflation is about 2-3%. there is an interesting opinion here: yuliya
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samayeva, the editor of the economics department of the mirror of the week, wrote a recent article in which she emphasizes that if the government continues to refuse sequestration of the state budget and the main source of filling the state budget will remain the friend of the hryvnia , by the end of the year, ukraine will face velankiv inflation of 85% . if the nbu releases the exchange rate as promised by this time, it will definitely be higher than uah 45 per dollar, writes the publication, the main reason for the flow the volume of the issue, if they are preserved, then the foreign currency reserves of ukraine may be halved by the end of the year, this, as the editor writes and emphasizes, will cause importers to panic and throw us into a new inflation circle, in which the current 21.5% will be a good indicator, but in the government and think not they want to sequester the state budget, even though
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the need for it is obvious optimization, the state administrator, reducing benefits and benefits or at least saving on millions of bonuses is a taboo, but the thought of raising taxes makes everyone in the government sick, notes publication, what do you think about such a forecast, mr. vasyl, and how can we avoid this er, inflation of 75% by the end of the year of the sri lankan so-called inflation, please see the first well, really big inflation this country declared default and i also told you turkey where 80% inflation in relation to ukraine, we are on the board of the national bank, even today there was a working meeting before this, it was sunday, we had a meeting, we are really discussing together with the lord's government, and the board of the national bank is ready to make proposals to the cabinet of ministers on how, in our opinion, to act in these conditions. just what yulia samaeva writes, with all
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due respect to yulia, is only her personal point of view , that is, her personal forecast. as far as i know, that is, in the government, they know all these mechanisms for filling the budget with regard to taxes and sequestration, that is, a decrease in relation to an increase in the rate of return external sources of income, i.e. all these things are known, they are working out how quickly they will be able to be implemented, well, i guess this question is already the same for the government, i am still more, well, i am optimistic, well, i am optimistic restrained because we are these five months. i think it was one of the most difficult in the history of our country's statehood. thank god, we pushed the enemy away from the capital, that is, now here are heavy battles in the east. but at the same time, for the economy, we we especially remember the first month , again, according to the research of the national bank, the first month of the war did not work, 40% of businesses
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throughout ukraine today are not working there, less than 14% of businesses are working, the other is working, the question is only according to which power the second is significant financial resource we will receive today from our international partners, this is also something we need to talk about because until now, well, we have a state budget deficit minus five billion dollars in e-e, in previous months, we received there, well, at the level there, two a little more billions a little less less than the period, but it was all the same, it was almost twice less. i hope that in july we will receive significant financial assistance, because it will be very important for us. money that mrs. yuliya is talking about, yes, in general, yes, the more the central bank prints money, the worse it will be in the future. as for the economy. in the 19th, perhaps even the 20th year, such strong
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quantitative easing programs were launched by the central banks of the world, they printed trillions of dollars or euros, or by investing these funds in the economy itself, then we see through two years of a huge infection in these countries of the world. therefore, it negatively affects the national bank - even today and whenever we print money, when we help the budget. that is, we understood that in the first months it was very important to finance public expenditures because the economy there. well, no. worked cases there were canceled today the situation has fundamentally changed and we believe that uh well there the government needs to look for other sources of financing the budget and there is a lot of work to be done on this issue, that's why i'm so optimistic about it more optimistic, not that it is very optimistic, that is, but more optimistic than yuliya samayeva. so, please tell me exactly the gap that existed all these months between the official exchange rate and the actually market and cash exchange rate, or did it have certain corruption risks if
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so, where exactly do you look at the word corruption and the national bank - they are two different things. well, how do we fight corruption? in general, and the reforms that were carried out for 8 years, they made it possible for the banking system to function, well , in essence, those citizens where there were no active hostilities, they did not even feel the changes in the work of the banking system, simply, first of all, this is the result of the reforms that we are now carrying out regarding the currency market there, i would say that it is not yet corruption, simply where it is possible, where there was speculation , that is, you understand when there is a fixed exchange rate, that is, in conditions of war - this is a 200% correct decision . again, compare the 22nd year, compare the 14-15th the year is just as far as we go, it is more confident without any bank failures there, even failures, well, this year, despite the fact that the war was a much stronger shock than it was then, and
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primarily thanks to those reforms, so where was the potential speculation, that is, the national bank, after all, there was a large-scale reform from cleaning the banks of vacuum cleaners well, let's do it already, let's not belittle the merits of the predecessors well, i want to say about the reforms that took place in the banking market and about the reliability of the banking system and in the fight against corruption, including that's why i just what am i doing now? that is, where was it possible to earn money before, well, the national bank kept talking about card tourism, for example, that is, yes, we are constantly struggling with this, and even today i think that it is almost impossible to make money on this, and even now, when the national bank is already introducing what you can withdraw in cash there, but no more there on monday. well, you remember, that is, until now, even before that, at first it was 100,000 uah, you could withdraw, then they reduced this system by 50,000 uah, now this amount is not being reduced, but they are what can be removed on monday because there are a lot of individuals there, for example, especially in the border
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areas, they have several pictures of different banks, they transferred cash there, uh, they sound like a hryvnia film, they went to withdraw a dollar in cash conditionally there in poland, they brought here and here they earned their money there, well , the route is quite a big route by the way, this was one of the reasons when we had restrictions when there some large banks brought their cards, currency dollars, e.e., the exchange rate of the card to the market rate, that is, it was one of the reasons why the hryvnia loosened up literally a few weeks ago , but this mechanism for earning money is already minimized. i would like to ask more about the actual restructuring of our debt. ukraine proposed conditions. by resolution 85, the cabinet of ministers instructed the ministry of finance to start negotiations with the owners of ukraine's euro bonds regarding the postponement of payments. the idea is to freeze payments. for 2 years after that, additional and
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detailed negotiations should be held regarding the restructuring of our foreign debt. it won't hurt the image of ukraine and the attraction of investors to our recovery after the war, please, and i 100% support this decision. work. well, literally yesterday, today we already see the solution to this difficult and difficult work, and it is important that foreign investors, well, as far as i understand, the vast majority also support ukraine, that is, ukraine does not default if the olenka you are talking about, or like russia there recently, or there are many other countries that have allowed defaults in their history. that is, we have agreed with investors on
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