there are also enclaves in kosovo in the middle of kosovo. and really, they don't live very well. i would say that the special features of the enclaves are that they don't live a free life . in relation to the albanians, but well, let's say the situation is such that, in principle, the country will exist separately , it has no chance now for any unification with serbia, serbia will do everything, eh, it will do everything in order to somehow interfere in the environment and increase the danger in the region friends well, we have a short time for a long time, even the prospect is still clear whether this conflict will turn into a heated phase in a month, which will turn into a heated phase

, in which case, i am sure that the russians, even non-serbs, are interested in the first place. i think igor what is it in brief? well, let's briefly summarize the first point, uh, this is what uh, the president of the serbs , oleksandr uchiy, uh, can't really give a damn, as they say, because uh, the issue of kosovo is very important for internal politics in the serbia and any concessions they will go against the political positions of oleksandr's participation , first of all, secondly, in this situation, it must be recognized that the kosovo leadership is also behaving quite aggressively and, in principle, does not fulfill undertake the obligation, including within the framework of the signed bilateral agreements on normalization, which were

signed during the time of president trump, and it will go to the american administration, in particular, we are talking about the fact that the northern serb enclave of the municipalities in the north of kosovo -e have to get a certain autonomy will be united into a single such semi-autonomous association already in the composition of kosovo itself, which is provided for by these agreements. and that, in principle, the government of kosovo does not fulfill all kinds of constantly appealing to the fact that when the serbs carried out the genocide of the albanians , therefore they are to blame for them. it is the maximum, that is, and the third, if the main point, is that the main arbiter in this situation, especially the influence on whose leadership it is , remains the american side, and therefore we see that it is the intervention of the american representative

sent to kosovo, it sharply slowed down the growth of tensions that arose literally on the border, and therefore it must be said that the americans must, after all, get the kosovo leadership to somehow begin to formalize the commitment this is because only in the case of buchach will he be able to say that we watched the victory. and that's why we also made some concessions. it's understandable, mrs. marie said succinctly, but it seems that the validity of these license plates and id passports has long since expired and it should have stopped a long time ago. -e to kosovo for a very long time i waited on the contrary and already at the last moment said that everything is enough, all the times of disability have been exhausted, i’m asking to be brief, simply uh, it’s not known, only the documents

are documents of serbia, uh, consular serbs use documents issued by serbia, and the kosovar government has been waiting a long time for uh, actually to force them to switch to these documents and that was the last date when they had to do it was the first of august. at the same time, i agree with my colleague that they held consular government negotiations with representatives of the usa and the eu and they decided postpone it in order to avoid this conflict because we understand that the balkans is a hot spot and it will always be used by russia to ignite a new new conflict in europe and the eu and the usa do not want it either i think that many of the sumy authorities don't want to either because they survived this conflict and as we know and understand as we ukrainians understand that this is a very difficult situation and it is very difficult to rebuild the country afterwards and that is why such a decision was

made and i still expect that russia will be intervening in this conflict, russia will encourage the serbs so that in the future they somehow aggravate the situation, and this may apply not only to kosovo, but also to bosnia and herzegovina and macedonia, where there are also issues and which cause concern among the population of north macedonia seems to be a member nato i think they are quickly filling the teeth with russians there. yes , but there are also nato representatives in kosovo, that is, i mean about kyiv, and they can also intervene in the situation in the event of an escalation. at the same time, there was snow, we talked about it yesterday, i think i think that if there is a conflict that goes beyond the scope of such a thing that will have to be regulated. i think that they will be able to get certain weapons that will be necessary in order to stop this conflict. thank you for the professional analysis

of the situation. political commentator international expert someone a lot of conflicts the concentration per square meter is increasing and we are following nancy's visit and hair will she arrive date ivanovna i don't know if ours are already listening i will start the guests and then we will introduce them literally yesterday or the day before yesterday, no yesterday it was the russian e previous president and the previous prime minister in one bottle dmytro medvedev wrote the russian networks vkontakte, this is their facebook such an analogue yes nedolugi big post his reflections on the topic of the future of the russian federation, the post persisted to determine succinctly, succinctly well, i'm not all, but at least something , er, it hung for literally 10 minutes on the vkontakte page, after that it was removed by medvedev, but it was copied and a screenshot was taken by a kazakh agency castag wrote in this desert of bears that there will no longer

be a parade of sovereignties, that the mistake of sovereignties will be corrected, that after the liberation of kiev and all the territories of little russia from the band of nationalists who preached the invented names of ukraine, russia will once again be united. powerful and invincible, he took up georgia, he said that in 1801 the territory of present-day georgia consisted of five hundred military and political formations of kakheti and kakheti georgia was created within the current borders only within the framework of the russian empire, and then he also took on northern kazakhstan. he said that another example of the history of the beginning of the 17th century, the russians founded the first settlement on the wild lands of the lands of northern kazakhstan, the process of russian colonization continued for three centuries these are the territories of special metals that served as the opening of the siberian

railway, and before the collapse of the soviet union, 62.5% of the population of northern kazakhstan was made up of slavic kazakhstan, an artificial state, and former russians. the territory was taken there, he took up transnistria and said that after the capture of odessa , transnistria would also join - join and then wait for all the other neighbors vitaly yermolenko and the chief consultant of the national institute of strategic studies in italy we congratulate you good day of the semiloster games with us the director of the center for middle eastern studies p we congratulate igor yesterday in russia new manuals were distributed here they are let's go let's see what new manuals were issued to putin what should be said about kyivan rus again what this is a russian foreign battle, yes, about methods and about this, are you familiar with this text by mr. medvedev,

who tamed vkontakte there for a few minutes, but the kazakhs and vigilantes managed to hide him and break the kazakh agency into quotes and will this affect russia's relations with kazakhstan where well, after medvedev says that kazakhstan and the artificial state that the russians actually created after the construction of the railway, i ask for your word yes yes you understand i think it will affect negatively i hope and in general medvedev's texts are the last sometimes the last one for at least six months, this text is the style of a person who is in such an alcoholic state due to alcohol addiction, that is, he writes that, as they say, what is in the head of a smart person is on the tongue of a drunk person, yes. this is just an effective way to see what actually is... the political elite of

russia, how does it imagine the future, sir, but the text is long enough and under the influence of alcohol. i don't know what he would have finished it with until the end, of course, it depends on how alcohol affects him somewhere. some writers wrote in general only in to alcohol intoxication so that's all yes, let 's go back to our rams and er, i think that this is such a classic idea of ​​the russians about the iridente. that is , there was where the blood was poured impe and the empire as a-a the pinnacle of the achievements of russian civilization well, the story itself if we take specific kazakhstan , the story itself is about who rabinovych, who exactly, who rabinovych between kazakhstans, russia was already posed a long time ago by nursultan nazarbayev, and this is not

the first such statement by the russians about what we what the russians taught the kazakhs there civilization yes and at one time one sultan nazarbayev talked about the fact that when russia did not exist at all, even in the project, the golden horde existed and the golden horde principalities actually existed, the moscow goldens were vassals of the golden horde and everything was the other way around , so i think that this story is exactly in line with these new instructions regarding how history should be interpreted, please can you also offer them the history of the golden horde and er and the history of how the russians, er, muscovites, er asked for labels for the principality in khan in the golden horde er, whose descendants they consider themselves

the cossacks and how they founded almaty, which, as medvedev writes, until the 24th year, was generally called volya tvirnyi so so there is russia here, mr. vitaly . is it really possible to prepare now for georgia and kazakhstan, so to speak? well, strain and prepare. i believe that based on from this text and the real motives of the russian federation , they should have been ready long before the publication of this post, we see that there is tension on the line of nursultan moscow, er, regarding various aspects that are being mitigated in one way or another, or are veiled from the other side, if i'm not mistaken, in the same post, priorities were defined, let's say such a certain priority, that is,

the creation of this so-called slavic state, the so -called core, which he mentions, for example , in his work, how to build russia is formed in this pseudo-glory since the beginning of the 90s. by the way, in addition to the trinity of the so-called slavic state of ukraine, russia and belarus, northern kazakhstan is also mentioned, but how already emphasized eh respected colleague eh of course this is a rather old narrative that probably dates back to the early 90s and was started by rather marginal marginal representatives of the

russian politician hm actually nothing new here except that it was actually stated by a person unknown in what condition really maybe there was alcohol intoxication, but the person who formally holds the position of deputy head of the national security council and the russian federation, we must also emphasize the recent visits of mr. medvedev himself and to the rostov region and to the regions bordering finland, actually, all this indicates that the russian federation will continue to expand its armed forces in the future, but it is counting on certain successes in the best possible ukrainian direction, which now looks

rather doubtful thank you. please tell me what the prospects are, what will happen next here, what to expect, uh, vitaly, in my opinion, everything depends , of course, on the success of the actions of, say, the russian forces , uh, in the aggression against ukraine, we see that they minimal, i.e. strategies, strategic russia will lose this company uh, everything of course depends on the possible success of the announced pseudo administrations of the occupied regions, the so-called referendums, the success of which

is also quite doubtful russia does not have the strength and normal capabilities to act in accordance with the scenario that it unleashed in ukraine in february 22, of course, the events of january of this year in kazakhstan. this is quite one of the scenarios how russia could advance in this direction , that is, the creation of destabilization within the state, which is quite likely to happen in the future, probably in georgia to a certain extent, probably in kazakhstan, and actually to intervene there as such a third force in the quality of a peacemaker, although again the capabilities of the russian federation now it is much less than before february

22, ukraine has no illusions that russia will not try to disrupt the export of ukrainian grain , president volodymyr zelenskyi said this, and it is not yet time to draw any conclusions and make predictions further actions, the president emphasized that russia has consistently provoked famine in the countries of africa and asia. and now, in conditions of extreme heat, the shortage may affect parts of european countries. igor, what can be said now about the beginning of the unblocking of the ports and the first ship that left the odesa port yesterday well, obviously we can say that this process has started and we can see that the first ship a-a already on today should be in the area of ​​istanbul, that is, if this route will be

safe, that is, the ship will pass this route clearly will fix all uh-uh, let's say points uh-uh in security points, that's within the framework of this grain agreement and the route will be safe, then obviously in the near future a caravan is expected a-a a grain caravan that will already go constantly a-a from the ports of ukrainian ports , well, in general, eh -e expectations are cautiously positive too many in the eyes and look at this on this situation it is obvious that uh ukraine is in every way interested in the export of grain and other agricultural products from ukraine to continue uh so that uh it was possible and to avoid we

avoided uh -threats of famine for the south and ours planets, well, in other words, there are um certain prospects here, and it is beneficial, of course, for ukraine, because it is money - what kind of money do we need? of interests, what some experts who work closely there and communicate with grain traders explain to us that this is grain that has already been bought before and now some kind of economic effect is not expected from it. which was in information space regarding the cancellation of the contract with egypt,

which existed some time ago and according to which ukraine had to deliver 240,000 tons to this country, and recently, it seems that this contract was terminated, but this is the trade - er, the chamber of commerce and industry of ukraine has already denied, as it were, that they made clarifications around this agreement about what it was actually about. hmm, it was about the fact that this was my agreement , the possibility of force majeure was not fixed. and the invasion of the russian federation into ukraine, but egypt already confirmed that in fact it could be about that, it

will be about the renewal of the agreement itself for the supply of the entire batch of grain. this is quite large, a large volume . will press for the possibility of a so-called package agreement, i.e. to link the further supply of grain from ukrainian ports with the possibility of resuming negotiations on a cease-fire or, let's say, a possible truce . the transfer of additional forces to the kherson direction and the creation of tension in the black sea, that is, the

constant rotation of ships with missile weapons , and accordingly, the recent adoption of the naval e-e doctrine e-e of the new edition of the naval doctrine e-e of russia also plays a role here -e where we are talking about e-e strengthening of geopolitical positions in the black and azov seas e-e that is e-e in fact here russia has really shown such. say as if this decision was from the great barsky shoulder and about what she will expect in the future some e- e certain e-e concessions concessions, otherwise in the future we can expect further provocations from her side. well, here it is also worth mentioning that the un security council did not

adopt this joint statement, where the security council welcomes the signing of this agreement, the so-called grain agreement, which was actually blocked by the russian federation itself in connection with the fact that the text itself also mentioned the statement of the secretary general of the united nations otelisha in which he condemns the missile shelling of the odesa post if it took place immediately after the actual signing of this grain agreement thank you well, for now, ruslan pashaevna, a colleague reports that together and this is the first ship, it is a dry cargo under the flag of sierra leone. yesterday morning , 26,000 tons of ukrainian grain was exported from odesa in the direction of the lebanese tripoli. the last geolocation in the marinetraffic

application writes to each other. osman shows the coordinates that was in this dry cargo almost eight hours ago, where it is now, probably the stewards know that in connection with the captain, today the ship is to be inspected by the inspectors of the istanbul security service, a quartet of ukrainians, russians, turks, and ukrainians under through the ministry of defense of turkey, they tried to get accredited yesterday. through email, journalists were not accredited through the ministry of defense of turkey. among other things , the latest information about yury, the russians in kherson stole a barge carrying watermelons to kyiv. if you are serious , this is also i seriously wanted to politely bring it to one topic about the situation in taiwan, by the way, i did not know that. well, what taiwan was called was called the republic of china, i even knew it before it was the only recognized chinese state after the

second world war, but i did not know what china was, the republic of china, in fact, taiwan was a member of both organizations and a permanent member of the un security council . it was a wonder for me . year, the republic of china fully ceded its seat in the un to the people's republic of china well, the prc, according to mr. igor, what is the probability that a heated conflict between china and taiwan may start now against the background of the probable arrival, is this possible nancy-stripes will happen today. even the airport was mined. and i have already seen a video of chinese heavy equipment. there, a column of self-propelled vehicles is moving towards the coast of china , which seems to be 180 km from the coast of china to

taiwan . the possibility of seizing taiwan, and in the 50s , when instead of taiwan, they started an operation in korea, i think that this is nothing. nancy pilosya still flies there and she will not be able to cancel because that is what the level of authority is china threatened will he be able to abandon his threats and everyone is writing about the fact that the third world war may start because of this visit, why the result i am not i am not i believe that the third world war will start first, and between countries where one is dependent

on the other by 70%. and that one is more. well, the second one. to be honest, i don’t see any such catastrophe in the fact that official american representatives will fly to taiwan and will to meet, of course, i understand the chinese reaction, but the same situation did not happen yesterday and not the day before yesterday. that is, it happened in the late 1940s . thank you. a significant armed conflict is currently not on the other side

tension tension there is quite a period periodically occurs but during a certain period of the recent period well a few years um really if the parties especially mainland china that is communist china they have been steadily building up their military and economic capabilities, introducing a rather significant regional conflict. well, for example, china has increased its food purchases over the past 2-3 years and has

also increased its production of, say, metal. and the purchase of er metal on world markets. well, that indirectly indicates that china was really preparing for a significant conflict, well, besides, if you don’t mention it about the er increase of the military budget, accordingly, and er, china also records own rhetoric, in addition to that, and before that, and until february, there were also thoughts that china could actually take advantage of the geopolitical situation in eastern europe, in particular, in connection with the large-scale economic

, single-scale repetition of the russian federation in ukraine. er, the organizer of a certain operation to restore, let’s say, its sovereignty over taiwan. and what is another way? well, the last thing worth noting is rather questionable is what the consequences will really be for china er after any probable military er action against taiwan for television, but i will tell you that, nevertheless, the un secretary general, antonio otelish, who was already mentioned, stated that only one misunderstanding or miscalculation separates humanity from nuclear annihilation. i will find it now