i.e. um 142 may it be fully capable of destroying these objects, it is only a matter of time, i.e. the management and security system is exactly on the right bank. well, it is not perfect, it is ineffective , especially when this number increases. today, it can be said that almost 28 are already concentrated in the kherson region battalion of tactical groups of the russian occupations from in general this entire offensive group of the russian and you have a number of thousands so that if, for example, try to understand how many forces they have there as a percentage of the south, how many? well, somewhere in other directions , let’s say yes, and to say that in general, 98 battalions of tactical groups are currently present on the territory of ukraine, and 28 of them are located precisely in the kherson region, the rest are currently in a situation before dislocation and

displacement, that is, how exactly they are spreading this whole mass at the end well, we will see in probably a week or even two weeks, and because there are 28 battalions of tactical groups - this is not yet final, but the number of those forces and means that they will concentrate in the kherson region its number will increase, i am sure of that, and besides, we now see how uh-uh , this logistical hell exists in general with the russian occupying forces, and they carry out all this movement of this biomass and also equipment, and for example in in the temporarily occupied crimea, there are generally railway traffic jams in the dzhankoy area. i would say yes, the railway echelons are standing in traffic jams here, because they do not have the opportunity to use this resource effectively enough to transfer these forces and means to what we see in the south, and

our partisans are constantly practicing very well, and they are destroying railway tracks , and that, again, significantly inhibits the possibility of their transfer of forces and means to the kherson region, and that is why the situation is like this 28 in the kherson bridgehead, the total number is 98. it is known that 18 battalions of tactical groups in them are currently recovering their combat capability, and it is interesting that over the last week the number of battalions of tactical groups of russian occupation troops increased precisely in ukraine at the expense of uh those batagars who did not have time to completely restore their uh their fighting capacity. that is, they still need to replenish a-ah personnel they still lack equipment they lack technical equipment human human resources

but they have already been returned, moreover, a very important point from these 98 battalions of tactical groups, a large number of which need to be withdrawn in order to restore their fighting capacity as well as rotation , but they do not do this because they understand that this is it is impossible now to do according to this with three plans that they are trying to implement in the kherson region, especially when we say that they have such a well, in my opinion, it is a little paranoid, but the goal is to resume offensive actions in the direction of kryvyi rih and in the mykolaiv direction, they can really do it quantitatively, but how will it all end? that's the point, and it will be the complete destruction, in my opinion, of the airborne component of their occupation units, or don't they understand that? well, that's the main question.

they just have some other plans of their own, but today, for example, ok, so the south informed us that the russians are creating a strike by a non-group in the kryvyi rih direction and the probable preparation of an enemy contract offensive with plans to enter the administrative borders of the kherson region at the same time. for example, i have already read such expert opinions that it is possible, we should talk not about the offensive in the direction of nikolaev, but we should talk about the fact that it is possible that the russians have plans to attack zaporozhye in order to advance there, so let's go. think about how likely it is, what kind of offensives you can expect, what kind of movements, which sides , in fact, the command of the russian occupying forces is completely and completely not foreseen, it is

illogical, it is irrational, so i don’t, well, even when the armed forces of ukraine began to use their high-accurate long-range artillery . jet e along the antoniv bridge, both by road and by rail, it was already clear that you have no possibility, in the near future, effective logistics will be carried out the supply of forces and means to the right bank of the kherson region. that is, it is already threatening a disaster for this group of units, which is concentrated on the right bank, while you still have this opportunity to make this your ee listen to the gesture of goodwill and withdraw these troops while you still have this opportunity, they do n't do it, they do it as they say, out of spite for my mother , i will freeze my ears. this is what they do. this is what they do. and how did you understand? why do they do this? they aim to hold a referendum. how can they hold

a referendum in the kherson region, if they did not control kherson, well, we all understand that this is simply impossible, but what will it cost, what will the cost of this referendum be, how many battalions of tactical groups of the russian occupation forces, which, well, still have at least some combat capability, will they be destroyed a large number, in fact, so i do not even rule out that they may have such a scenario of the development of events that after the concentration of these forces and means, they can immediately start offensive actions in the direction of kryvyi rih, as well as mykolayivskyi. i don’t rule this out at all. and now we can observe the concentration of their units in the northern and northeastern direction from kherson. and that’s true, but what’s really interesting is exactly these locations in them, and all-on- only one large

ammunition depot destroy one large ammunition depot, well, for today, uh, i think that some uh, situational moments, we can really destroy it, we can destroy almost every warehouse that is currently on the right bank, but it still depends after all, from some well, let's say so, er situation, so that, for example, there were minimal risks, first of all, for the m-142 haimas for the calculations of these rzv, and therefore i am sure that this one, i will not say in which settlement it is, well, it is still so-so information that should not be provided by open sources, but when it explodes, well, we will hear everything, it exploded, it definitely exploded. well, actually, it 's not about what it will be when it is destroyed. the fact is that in this area they only have one

large warehouse with ammunition, but to provide offensive actions, for example, in the kryvyi rih direction , it is necessary not only to concentrate there, for example , 10-15 battalions of tactical groups of some kind of landing force and to provide their equipment, a large number of some warehouses with ammunition and fuel and lubricants and other technical support is necessary to carry out these offensive actions, that is, that is the point they can concentrate these forces and means, they have such an opportunity, but they do not have the opportunity to ensure this, they can start offensive actions, but these offensive actions need to be constantly support well, for example, with the same tactics of a barrage of fire. they will not be able to support it if they do not have front-line units and a 24/7 supply of ammunition, if there is no ammunition, there will be no offensive, if there is no ammunition, there will not

even be a defense moreover, if there is no constant supply of fuel and lubricants, as well as all the equipment that they have accumulated, it will not be combat-ready at all, all this, the more they accumulate, the more they need this supply of these warehouses, and they cannot do it to do because this is what it says it says that these warehouses will need to be located as close as possible to the front line well then not only m 142 haimas then even barrel artillery will be able to destroy them ours well in the end look now as far as we know they are very actively raising troops it is in kherson, in the city of kherson, that the use of ukrainian weapons to destroy them will obviously be limited. well , because there are residential buildings and everything else, that is, this is the case here, and when we constantly talk about the possibility of a russian offensive, and about

their use of this tactic of uh, a wave of fire and to what extent can it be successful and effective, that is, uh, in the south, because , after all, the south, the southern region, uh, logistically and topographically, is very different from what we have er, in it near donetsk and in luhansk, where it was very successful, and here, how do you evaluate it, the effectiveness is much less, well, donetsk and luhansk region, i will start with the fact that they also have a common border with russia the federation, that is, the columns of ammunition, fuel and lubricants, and everything necessary almost 24/7, both by road and by rail, since 2014, during the occupation of the territory of luhansk and donetsk

regions, a large number of them were formed there, not just dozens, but in fact there are hundreds, which can be used precisely and as well as being used as warehouses for ammunition, e-e, fuel and lubricants , military units, repair bases, control points, command posts, a large number of them. the number of them is yes, it is beyond the range of the m-142 himash, i.e. 70 km - this is very good, but there is still a large number of objects that need to be destroyed within the radius, there are both within the radius and beyond the radius actions, therefore, we can reduce their offensive actions precisely on the donbas bridgehead, we can at some uh-uh moment even uh-uh block them and force them to conduct defensive actions well, for example, how can we observe this after the capture of

lysychansk? to do something in this direction because they don't have any the opportunities in this direction are quite effective now to use their potential and move in the direction of seversk, that's why they were really there, they had full support even during the fire pressure, they got out of the situation, they started supplying from wheels, etc., on the southern bridgehead, the situation is completely different there is no common border with the russian federation to ensure 24/7 a-a transfer of ammunition supply of ammunition almost to the e-e front line almost to the advanced units there are no such logistics arteries, that is, provision will be what i keep saying, they can accumulate this amount, a rather threatening amount of forces and means, they will even be able to start offensive

actions and even advance in some directions in a certain time, but this will all happen very quickly due to the involuntary shortage of ammunition the emergence of precisely this shortage of famine, artillery famine, fuel and lubricant famine , and other problems will also arise, in addition, a really significant number of strategically important warehouses located in this area , they are precisely in the area of ​​action of our air defenses and barrel artillery, and therefore even if they will equip some new facilities, which are warehouses with ammunition and others, then they will be destroyed here, there will be many problems for them more and the effectiveness of this barrage of fire will be significantly less, and look, uh, well, if possible, let's look at the map of the south uh, because i'm interested in this. well, we already talked about what, for

example, uh, in the area of ​​lysychansk they attacked like that, you know. well, we spread out, as if they were trying to attack in different directions. could it be here? well, you already said that it could be mykolaiv and kryvyi rih at the same time. but still, could it be zaporizhzhia at the same time, also the direction of the attack, how do you think it is? do you still assess, that is, to what extent zaporizhzhia can be, well, such a desirable direction for them. and the fact is that if zaporizhzhia towards zaporizhzhia they will try to advance precisely from the zaporizhzhia region of the temporarily occupied part, then what will they bump into the problem is that today we have a rather serious line of defense, and the line of defense prepared by the armed forces of ukraine, which is necessary if we are talking about offensive actions in particular, requires

concentration . we do not see the concentration of such capabilities in the zaporizhzhia bridgehead, they do not have such capabilities, they can carry out some situational maneuvers primarily in order to distract the attention of the armed forces of ukraine and to reduce their concentration in other directions, that is, so that this group of troops is constantly located in this zone so that it is not used to reinforce other directions, well, again, the same kherson bridgehead, the very maneuvers are distractions. is it possible? a beautiful road leading directly to zaporozhye is along this road, for example, here, why not, it’s really possible on the road, but we saw how it ends when they line up in such a beautiful

column and go to take some city, and also times i want to give an example of the northern bridgehead chernihiv region sumy region kyiv region and we also saw how the potential of the fortieth battalion of the most combat-ready and most professional and best-equipped tactical groups in the russian army was used when they entered the territory of the belarusians and into the territory of ukraine, how many of them they held out on this bridgehead for a little over a month, almost at the end of march, they were already fleeing from there. and besides, they were never able to launch a full-fledged assault on kyiv because they did not have enough of this resource. that is, we will now say exactly about the resource of 40 battalions of tactical groups that were forced to flee, and despite this, this is such a

breakthrough all the way to kyiv in a few weeks. and now we are talking about a completely different number . whether or not there is a battalion of tactical groups that are concentrated in the zaporizhia region that need where, how many of them need rotation, now they are trying at the expense of chechnya, the chechen battalion in the rear guard to support their combat capability but this is not the same breakthrough potential that can guarantee the capture of a-a, for example, by some march from vasylivka to zaporizhzhia, and this large number of assault units, and even to the point of gaining a foothold in zaporizhzhia and starting its occupation, and well, when without losing more than 50% of their combat-ready advanced units, they do not have such an opportunity now

, and they can primarily divert attention to themselves, no more than that. and besides, let's not forget that even if we talk about uh, it's the 105th the route from vasylivka to zaporizhzhia, and today it is under the full control of the armed forces of ukraine of almost all the forces and means that we have in these possible defeat systems, both creating and reactive artillery, and therefore such a breakthrough will be a meat grinder for them - and look there. we already talked about it. there is such an interesting thing that, er, just to the south, the airborne forces are falling over, but the airborne forces, in principle. well, their main purpose is not just infantry that goes somewhere in the offensive, er, they are assigned in order to land somewhere just right that gostomel is now also thrown to the south, and let's think about it. and where can you not

want to land on this, all the southern arcs, for example, mykolaiv, they can develop such a scenario for the occupation of mykolaiv through the airport as an option, i do not rule out this option at all because they they tried to do it at the very beginning now uh they can do it again but i'm not sure if they'll go for it uh why uh uh why the point is that actually the landing design was used quite often by the russian occupiers during february and march. we saw a large number of amphibious operations, but the most interesting thing is that during the entire time of the full-scale invasion of ukraine, more than 30 airborne assaults were carried out by the

russian occupying forces, and among these more than 30 airborne assaults, the only successful gostomel and anyway it is quite doubtful because the losses were very big they have other families but at some point where they can make some very significant diversion what could it be for example, it could be some kind of critical infrastructure, again, it could be the capture of some energy facility, for example , well, let's not just call ourselves but but , yes, of course, it could be some kind of critical infrastructure, it could even be some kind of, probably i do not rule out a logistics object, and again, an airport, airfields, everything else. and that is why there is really a choice of such objects where they can do it. but again, they understand very well

how our air defense is working very well now. although on february 27 they hydroported to the general staff of the russian federation about the fact that our anti-aircraft defense was allegedly completely destroyed. no, it was not completely destroyed, so to ensure such a really effective dissonance , several dozen helicopters are needed again. er, multi-functional and impact, that is, a large number of er, helicopters, the means of which stage you already know , each helicopter in them is worth its weight in gold today, because well, in five months , a large number of this equipment was which is destroyed they have accumulated over not only the last 10 years, since the 2000s. they have started accumulating this very fleet of means, and therefore today they can say that they can use it. okay, well, but when

it ends, our anti-aircraft defense will destroy a significant amount of this very equipment that will be exhausted also our er calculations of manpads, because we know that today we have a rather large number of manpads calculations of all regions that control the airspace except for our air defense. and well, er penetration let's say so inconspicuously, for today it is impossible, it ca n't be some kind of landing, inconspicuous, they will prepare for it when the concentration and er collection begins, it's actually a landing, or landings at some airfield . and this will be known, we will record it immediately, and this large group of helicopters will be controlled, but it is impossible to make it invisible now, well, the

other option is in the principle of an offensive well, nothing else well, any option of an offensive still involves the use of some armored forces, because the main thing is the offensive force, this is it, well, first the artillery, then this is classic, then the armored vehicles go, and already under the protection of the armored vehicles, the infantry advances, what if we have let's look at the ratio of russian armored vehicles in different regions. you already said that you are very skeptical about the fact that the slavic song will be removed, because there is just such a group there. are these groups in the area in the southern region and first of all, this very accumulation is in the kherson region a tank component, but it is a tank component. it is quite secondary, er, secondary quality. let's say that because it is, well, in the majority of its own, it is t-62 tanks, if you use the types of words,

but in fact, they are now trying to deconserve and redefine precisely at the kherson bridgehead tanki t80 but again, well, to understand the t-80 well, that’s how much they use fuel itself, it’s necessary to provide them with all this and this amount of fuel in order for them to fully carry out their actions before they still need to somehow be deployed in exactly the necessary amount to the southern bridgehead on the right bank of the kherson region. that is, it is also a very problematic task, and besides that, first of all, we are talking about the fact that the vbm will be used, that is, well we are talking about bmp - this is a rejection of armored personnel carriers and other armored vehicles, as well as lightly armored vehicles that will be

used by airborne units. how many tanks, exactly, armored personnel carriers, armored cars, etc., to say that it can have an effect. well, really. well, how for? units in chernihiv, kyiv and sumy oblasts and this is exactly how they will stop in kryvyi rih and mykolayiv oblasts if they go there . that is, it is primarily about the use of a-a anti-tank e-e units. in fact, these are the guys from enlau and jeweling of course, this is quite a wide use of the so -called intellectual munitions that

use this caesar panzagalbes 2000, which can be used exactly on these bridgeheads in these locations in order to more effectively stop the russian offensive. why exactly? well, because they work also according to the principle of how javelin a fired and forgot he fired a shot and forgot everything and we missed it by himself er he is looking well not that he is looking for targets for him and the targets are set immediately he simply when he reaches them he destroys them with almost 100% guarantee from this whole picture that she drew, if we are not talking about a realistic prospect of an offensive, then at least we are talking about a realistic prospect of stopping the ukrainian contrast, because such a great force is good. it cannot attack, but it can defend itself sufficiently . effectively, yes

, they will be able to hold the defense for quite a long time, this is true , and counteroffensive actions in the kherson region can slow down quite seriously , but this does not mean that they are not counteroffensive actions will begin in other directions, which weakens the defense of the russian occupying units, this may be a completely different bridgehead - it may be a completely different location where the braking itself will be compensated, and in the kherson region, moreover, it must be understood that even the accumulation of a very large number of forces and the influence in the kherson region. it does not give any long-term opportunity to maintain its positions in the russian occupier. why? because, again, even in defense, even in defense, it is necessary to constantly supply ammunition and fuel and lubricants, it is necessary to constantly provide the units. yes, indeed, not at

such a pace as it would be, for example, if it were in an offensive , but it is still necessary to provide. - political columnist er informational resistance and very we really carefully considered all possibilities a week, and in the program of the collaborators, a list of miklushkas, who surrendered mariupol and how to grow up, they celebrated may 9

on the bones of the killed people. 5:50 p.m. collaborators' program list of miklushki on espresso tv channel viktor derevyanko he 31 senior lieutenant of the state border guard service of ukraine was wounded on february 24 in chernihiv oblast his and more seven employees were fired upon by the enemy at dawn and a shrapnel entered my heart. i am lucky that i survived after this. first, the border guard was operated on in the chernihiv hospital, and then they were sent to kyiv to remove the shrapnel from the man's heart. the doctors wondered how viktor managed to survive . to serve , the story of a man with an indomitable fighting spirit, the war

in ukraine, the main topic for ukrainians, victories and losses, analysis and forecasts, politics and geopolitics , serhiy rudenko and his guests will talk about all this programs people who have information and shape public opinion people who defend ukraine and create the future right now the main and interesting thing in the program is the verdict by serhiy rudenko from monday to thursday at 1:00 p.m. repeat at 9:30 p.m. february 24, the date that changed us, the date that changed the world and now what interests us the most is our victory, when we will defeat the enemy, so predict the course of the war, the saturday political club program returns to the air espresso