it is also a very complicated procedure because there are no such free funds there, it is necessary to adopt changes to the law on the budget in germany or the french budget. and these are all different political points. and they are quite long , therefore, in principle, europe offers the option of guarantees, guarantees - it is not the allocation of funds, that is, ukraine can, for example, attract some loan funds, and the europeans will guarantee that if ukraine does not pay , then they will pay. well, in principle, the option is not very good for us, because now financial the markets are closed for us, well, of course, european guarantees will open them for us, but it will still be loan funds, and everything is in dialogue with us. based on the fact that we have, well, as a result of this movement, most likely our gross

product will decrease in dollar equivalent somewhere , well, probably by half, that is, from 200 billion to 100 billion dollars a-a and the external debt, respectively well, for the total debt of the state, that is, both domestic and foreign debt, it will most likely approach this amount, that is, it will also amount to 90,100 billion dollars, respectively, the ratio of debt to gdp is very important for us, it will already be almost 100%, and this is in principle it is an indicator of the pre- bankruptcy situation of the country. that is, we will not be able to service, well, now we have restructuring, there may be debts, there will be a postponement in time, but in principle, then we will already , well, create such a very heavy debt burden, which after the war will simply be impossible for us therefore, we need non-returnable funds for the grant to yuriy, it will be a default if , if we announce the restructuring, it will be a default. terminologically speaking, let me first

answer the question. if these money will not come to us, then i think that not only will everything become more expensive, and that it will be real for people, it will probably not. the sphere of housing and communal services, uh, well, let's talk objectively, well, one of the points that this money does not give us. these are the conditions that the european union set for us and what they demanded from our leaders, the states there to determine 2.5 years, if you remember, there was no head of the wax. thank god they appointed a-a one of the requirements there will appoint a contest for the head of the nabu

already o-o i'm sneaking around that is saying about what we're doing there is information that is literally in the near future этот вопрос будет дожат и э-э деньги етимы получим 8 billion yes yes yes well, not one tranche to me and будет сельчая трансов но деньги мы получим let's go then, the promised topic is the preparation of the heating season , it continues throughout the territory of ukraine this time in conditions partially destroyed by the occupier of the infrastructure the government allocated uah 286 million from the reserve fund for the restoration of heat supply in kremenchuk, okhtyrka and chernihiv; in general, the budget provides uah 1.4 billion for the formation of a reserve of reserve equipment and materials for provision of operational assistance to communities during the heating season in case of the destruction of critical infrastructure, the communities themselves are preparing, in particular in okhtyrka, where

five people died as a result of the destruction of the chp, residents of private houses are given grants for individual heating, but in the occupied cities the situation is much worse, in particular , the adviser to the mayor of mariupol, petro andryushchenko emphasizes that the occupiers are not doing anything to prepare for the heating season, about the impossibility of starting the heating season due to the continuation of the networks was announced by the head of the luhansk regional military administration, serhiy gaidai pavenkova. so we are talking about the extremely difficult task of preparing ukraine for the heating season, a kind of equation task with many unknowns, because the russian federation is hitting precisely on our heat networks, on our critical infrastructures, and what other areas besides those that they have already announced that the donetsk region will simply not be heated . what other regions are critical for us? well, not only

donetsk, but also luhansk and kharkiv oblast e-e kherson oblast i hope that our military will release this area soon mykolaivska zaporizhzhya odesa region also has serious destruction e-e well, it should also be taken into account that dozens of thermal power plants have been destroyed in the country today under occupation, but there are a lot of thermal power plants under shelling of the key power plants, this is first of all the uglehirskaya tpp zaporizhzhya also slavyanskaya tpp luhansk tpp and you also know that the largest nuclear power plant in europe is under occupation in energodar a station with six nuclear power units, this is the zaporizhzhia nuclear power station, that is, it was destroyed in the

south of ukraine, you know that more or less the largest capacity of the reported energy source was located in the south, this is also a wind power station and a solar power station. that is , some 80% of our wind power stations have been destroyed, and solar e- e 40-50%, that is, if we take it as a whole, for today, whether more than 10 gigabytes of liquid capacity are in a non-working state or are in the affected area, this is a lot, but for now we have some strength reserve remains and that is why it is very important not only in this season to stock up on fuel. this is absolutely normal and possible to do because, uh, because the consumption of energy resources and

coal has decreased by 40%. million tons, it is necessary to accumulate at least 2.5 million tons before the heating season, this is a task that is absolutely necessary to do it. as for gas, everything here is also as bad as it was previously thought. today, there are 12 billion in underground storages. cubic meters. i think that by the heating season we will be able to accumulate somewhere around 13.5 billion cubic meters at the expense of our own resources, and that we need to buy a billion cubic meters probably through imports. well, this task is within our power, so i think that in this - in this winter period, it is very important to repair the infrastructure destroyed in e-e, then e-e to free the occupied

territories where the critical structure is located - this primarily concerns the city of energodar, where the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant is located the zaporizhzhia power plant is one of the country's key energy facilities. and if it is not possible to release energodar before the start of the heating season, well, if it is not possible, but i believe that it will be possible. to export as we are currently doing, yes, but to import electricity from the european union, and the prices there today are three times higher than in ukraine, this will be an extremely large and powerful blow to the ukrainian budget for ukrainian economy therefore, it is necessary to consider the option of liberating the territories where the key energy facilities of ukraine are located, firstly and secondly, it is necessary not to allow and do

everything possible to destroy the key power plants that are located in another territory, legally and on the territory that is not occupied, it is necessary for this ukraine should demand from our international partners an anti-air defense system in order to strengthen the protection of the air of critical e-e critical infrastructure, first of all, this applies to thermal power plants, tpp a, in others, even nuclear plants, because you know that there have already been recorded about five cases when rockets flew in the immediate vicinity of nuclear plants. thank you, mr. volodymyr, volodymyr, omelchenko, director of

of the center's programs, razumkova was with us via skype . we are now taking a short break in our discussion and returning to the already er analysis of preparations for the heating season with the guests in the studio, i will remind him that he tells dyrkadze and oleksiy kush that in the studio and the tv channel , we will intercept the council, we will outplay, we will win the news together, we are strong racists who are deliberately hitting unpopulated areas in broad daylight, laying mines with deadly iron mines on the holy ukrainian land, but instead of fear and despair, they will see in our eyes , only their death, ukrainian soldiers will pay for every tear of our mothers, they will take the enemy to hell, and our comrades from the state emergency service, rescuers, fire fighters , pyrotechnics, will help day and night demining dismantle the rubble bring

cities and towns back to life regardless of shelling or fatigue and the darkness will die, we will win and fast in the middle of the free world new prosperous happy and invincible ukraine you are warriors not lazy ridiculous our work is righteous holy because who is for what and we are for independence so it's hard for us because of that this is a story about steel nails steel will and character hardened in sacred fire this is my story

cool sweat and hot tears about a heart that stays alive about a soul that is born free the history of my earth where the new destiny of an unbreakable country is being forged metal in my hands and in the bodies of my enemies in the voice that promises us victory together we make this world stronger ukrainians a nation of steel people bells patch holes from bullets and debris there is always a need for equipment they strengthen the hull additionally gave an iron-type foundation so that it can be restrained by bullets with military equipment, the car needs to be higher. here we are raising it and putting it on wheels and we will not stop as long as there are needs, we will work and do it 24 hours a day, we pumped up our sleeves

automakers are making their contribution, now this is fire, this is pumped into our joint victory, because the car for the boys needs ukraine, it works , we will prevail, we will win, the news together, we are strong , the live broadcast of the general national marathon continues, the only news in the studio of the tv channel, i am happy to work, olga nimtseva, i, maksym zbrovsky, are with us in the studio georgy berkadze, an expert on legal and political issues, and oleksiy kushchik, an economist and financial analyst, once again congratulations to you and our viewers, we continue the heating season on mykolaiv oblast should start without changes, there is a threat that russia will shell critical infrastructure objects, but the authorities are preparing for these provocations, the head of the mykolaiv regional military administration, vitalik, said exclusively on our air, there are problems with the

contact line because there is a possibility because there are villages there there is no electricity, no gas, there are problems, but there are very few people, we evacuated them, that is, the season, we are planning everything for this, gentlemen, let's give you your expectations, share with us about of the future heating season, father of the game, let's say thank you. at 8:00 p.m., we mixed and built 2,174 buildings that provide heat, electricity, and gas, water, therefore, every day there is shelling, and we see it. unfortunately, in a big way, i think that when we win the war, there will be a few, probably 1,000 of them, and i know that today we must

begin to restore it without fail. the purchase of gaza is not less than 19 billion cubic meters, we consume eh myrnoe vremya 26.8 billion cubic meters of gas, we are producing 8 18 billion cubic meters of gas in the 1960s, and i think that mr. vytrenko proposed that 15 billion is due, that is what will take 8.6 billion cubic meters of gaza, it is for the population of 9 and 4 billion for the heat pyre, who produces heat and 11.9 billion - this is gas needed for industrialists, but we understand that today we have such a need that there are many factories, they do not consume

such gas. хватит 15 ml что там when there are less than two and a half billion cubes in the warehouses it is impossible to pump the gas, so i think that here is the help that the prime minister asked for . i hope that they will help us. yury vytryanka gave the order to pump the gas in the near future , and at half past 11 minutes of cubes in our time and put on that these 15 billion will be enough for us and we are going through this winter peacefully, only you know . there are unique people who are included in the guests that of course it will be problematic and it is also necessary not to forget that this is the restoration that i am talking about, maksym olga, so that you understand, it is not planned to build as before, but

about heat, modernization, we will build everything in a new way, and the country and consumption will be arranged in a new way gas, i am sure that it will be much less than what is happening today, so i think that this winter we are going through it calmly, this is not a comment, if we definitely had enough of the 15 billion cubic meters that you are talking about, we would not have applied to the united states of america with a proposal to include a certain amount of gas supplies, the so -called gas landlias, to the lend-lease that we will start receiving from october. first glance well, it's not that we're insuring ourselves, but in principle there is an effort on the part of naftogaz to increase the problem accordingly, if the problem increases, then it can be capitalized in the form of budget subsidies

, that is, from the side of the pelvis, this is such a suitable game as much as possible, right now, the eyes of barvy, yes, to submit in such a negative background, and, accordingly, to receive from the state several hundred billion hryvnias. well, we know that recently in the parliament, a bill was not voted on the allocation of an order of 2006 billion hryvnias, respectively if this were done, it could lead to a repetition of the situation in 14th year, who remembers then, the devaluation of the hryvnia began with the infamous resolution of the cabinet of ministers when naftogaz was capitalized at 114 billion uah and what happened to the national currency then? we all remember very well, in principle, now, uh, this situation with oil and gas, it too, uh, could have become, let's say , a remake of the 14th year, but the deputies did not vote. and uh, really, these 266 billion uah - this is

such an astronomical amount, in fact, the whole amount, but you said about 8 billion euros that the european union was supposed to pay us, that is actually 266 billion, that is almost 20% of the aid that came there from the european union, it was supposed to go to naftogaz. well, there is 2006 billion of this. they would like to miss about uah 80 billion in kind offsets, but they planned to spend about 180 billion on the purchase of gas, well, the performance of the so -called pso functions for the population and for compensating the tariff for the utility type, why we do not have such a critical situation because well, first of all, we lost approximately 5 million individual consumers. that is, this people who went to europe and, accordingly, the consumption of a-a gas by private households in ukraine will decrease, secondly, industry, the drop in consumption by industry is already at the level of 60%. i.e. the industry consumes practically no gas well, we see what happened to two metallurgical plants in mariupol, unfortunately, we lost the

petrochemical cluster of lysychansk in north donetsk and these losses are still continuing, so industrial consumption actually fell there by well, by 60%. moreover, several regions are deprived of gas supply, for example, there are already statements that in the donetsk region a state of emergency is introduced, well, conditionally speaking, there will be no gas and there will be no heating in the winter, that is why the mobile e-e is announced the evacuation of people and people only under a personal receipt, they can stay there, that is, in our country, the consumption of natural gas is excluded , for example, kramatorsk mariupol, well , that is, it will not be called a lot, so as they say not to jinx, and therefore, compared to europe, in europe, by the way, there is almost no gas of its own, well in addition to the production of norway, but it is not enough. we have our own gas. that is, in principle, we can

balance this heating season on domestic gas production, balancing with coal generation with electricity generation, and accordingly we have for the reserve, in order to simply insure there, it is necessary from one to three billion, that is , we have a total consumption. it is predicted that if we take a year, it is 20 billion cubic meters. and we will have somewhere around 17 billion. that is, we need somewhere from one to three billion . we need to purchase a-a gas in order for this, let 's say, to have this insurance as an insurance factor. well, accordingly, the very terminology of this gas vondlease. for gas, this terminology is completely incorrect, but in the form of a commodity credit, we could ask the united states to provide us with a commodity credit in the form of natural gas somewhere at the level of this deficit that we

are creating. that is, somewhere from one to three billion cubic meters, we could receive in the form of a commodity loan and that this gas was in our storages and in order to be able to pass the heating season, yes, in short, because you have time, and you know, i think that we will calmly survive the winter, and that i would recommend to the managers of naftogaz not write out millions of premiums and don't renew the park for several hundred million hryvnias and i think that we will calmly survive the winter. believe me , this is what continues during the war. they don’t have them, er, we have a war in the country that still spends such money that they somehow live their lives, they announce defaults at the same time er, well, there is a question, it seemed that it would be possible to come to an agreement with investors and those who added these

euro bonds, then it will be interesting to watch lviv oblast is preparing for the heating season, taking into account the fact that the occupiers are attacking critical infrastructure objects, winter can be especially difficult, in order to reduce risks in the region , solid fuel is being procured, at the same time, it is currently necessary to check more than one and a half thousand boiler houses and replace 11 km of heating networks, officials stress how they are preparing for winter utility workers and residents of the region were interested in our correspondent oksana yasnytska, there is also a word my greetings, colleagues , the heating season will really start soon and lviv residents are already thinking about how they will to insulate your home in winter, someone is planning to switch to individual heating, someone is planning to move to a country house for this period, or to insulate their home with firewood well, i will start by saying that the city has already started its preparations for the heating season, namely the inspection of equipment and indoor heating systems and now they are

actually finishing repairing the emergency sections of the heating networks, and also the repairs on the boiler houses , and they are checking. their heating networks are in proper condition. and actually, whether the basements are insulated or under the insulated mountains, so that everything is almost ready and that all these engineering networks are in working order before the start of the actual heating season , i also want to say that the city is actively working on that to prepare schools and universities for the heating season, because at the moment it is not known whether there will be face-to-face learning and whether it will be online, so they are still trying to do everything to be ready before the students and pupils come to the training institutions well, at the moment, there are internally displaced persons who are also planned to be resettled in dormitories, and there they will also be

provided with all communications so that they are also warm in the winter. we talked with lviv residents to find out how they feel about the situation in the country what can happen so that there will be no heat, how will they cope and do they have any alternative methods of how to keep warm in winter, let's hear more, put on more clothes , keep warm and everything will be fine, it will still be somewhere 10 degrees, i'm in the village of the stomach, we have gas for the wood. also, i think we'll stay. well, we're going to live. by the way, according to the actions of the neighbors, everyone signed up for firewood, so it's unknown how i'll be in lviv. my heating has gone out. i don't know. i hope that there will be gas. we bought an electric stove just in case to cook food for the children, in total there are 1,600 boilers in the region, 500 of them are on alternative fuel, this is coal or firewood and actually, every year in the lviv region, unfortunately, there was such a

difficult situation because of two things in novoy rozdol and novoyavorivska, which were often torn down this the heating season ah and yet today they say in the department of the fuel and energy complex that it is still going. now the preparation is also put forward certain ah r- eliminate certain such shortcomings and repairs are made in order to start on time and the city itself, the region is ready for the heating season of the heating season by 60-70% right now, they promise not to raise the tariffs and leave them as they were last year and the year before last colleagues . on august 1, the european union ban on the import of coal from russia came into force. it was provided for by the fifth package of eu sanctions. it is prohibited to buy, import and transport coal of other types of fossil fuels originating from russia. until now, the share of

russian coal in the structure of eu consumption was 45%. and in 2021, the countries of the union spent four billion euros on the import of russian coal, we have very little time left, but some analysts say that the oil bank will lead to a reduction in oil production the russian federation by 40-50%. do you agree with these numbers? well, i think that , in my opinion, the full embargo will stop on the fifth of december - it is on coal and on the fifth of february, it will be forced to use oil. to go only worse and worse well, they now have a more tense situation with gas production, that is, they have, for example, if the latest figures of gazprom, which i saw for the month of july, their gas production fell by 30%, and exports fell in somewhere

by 40%, and in general, during these months at the beginning of the war, they already lost exports, e.e., gas production, they lost 12% of gas production, and by the end of the year, they will have a 20-30% drop in gas production, this is a very serious indicator, e. mines they also continue to close the program, so it will be a little more difficult with oil, let's say so, to do, well, push russia out of the oil markets because they have a multivariate sale of oil, they can sell it to other countries that buy with natural gas, they actually lost the european market, well, they are losing it. well, china, by the way, i looked at the numbers. last year, china bought only 10 billion cubic meters of russian gas , that is, in any case, china will not be able to replace the european market for the consumption of russian gas, that is, it would not be able to become an alternative. uses the fact that even prices have fallen and at reduced prices russia is forced to sell it all, increased

russian gas consumption there by 60%, but i will say that the figure of 10 billion is very insignificant. well, they are out of 10 there they increased it to 16, they say how many billions, but on the european market, it sold 220 billion kopecks of gas, that is, in 10, ten times more , that is, china, for technical reasons, you will not be able to become an alternative to the european market. thank you, gentlemen . berkadze expert on economic and political issues oleksiy kush economist financial analyst thank you thank you and finally for our viewers to our crimea we are returning our lands and correcting the mistakes of the soviet union as follows narratives have been used by russian paganism for more than one decade, but history proves otherwise. in fact, the historical rubric from olesya nitsevich continues crimea has always been a vikram, it was never the origin of russian

territory, in general, the annexation of the crimean khanate was preceded by 300 years of tatar ottoman rule, and only in the spring of 1783, the territory was forcibly annexed to the russia well, it lasted for 134 years already with the beginning of the 1917 revolution crimea was under the control of the soviet government returning crimea russia corrects the mistakes of the soviet union a widespread myth that after the collapse the president of the soviet union, boris yeltsin, seems to have made a mistake by deciding to preserve the status of crimea as a ukrainian territory. well, in fact, in 1990 , that is, before the declaration of ukraine's independence, leonid kravchuk and boris yeltsin signed an agreement that showed respect for already