in my opinion, again, the main thesis of my work is that a strike can be anywhere, after all, one of the most important aspects of any war is the ability to hide one's intentions and good eastern military military wisdom, war is a way of deception, a movorog can declare its concentration of forces openly in one direction, and to carry out a truly hidden redeployment of troops in another direction , in my opinion, at this moment, the forces in order to carry out a powerful assault on kharkiv, the enemy has not yet built up, this is precisely what explains the high artillery fire and missile impact on the city however, let's remind kharkiv again that at the very beginning of the so-called battle for donbas, the enemy clearly declared a large operational arc kharkiv

zaporizhzhia kryvyi rih mykolaiv nothing has changed for them.

it is impossible to assume that the enemy will not attack, but it is possible, it is not necessary to take into account that the enemy will attack without fail. excessive and unacceptable i confess the philosophy of hard political and in this case military realism in view of the main philosophy that ukraine is not acceptable for them, they can strike anywhere, in my opinion, the belarusian direction, despite the fact that it is not yet at the moment lukashenka also has a menacing gun near his temple, he has nowhere to run, he is illegitimate and illegal at the same time from all possible points of view, and then he will do everything possible to force him to hit him in the north. one cannot easily weigh any area, our successful

counteroffensive actions in the kherson region can become a trigger, i.e. a trigger for that, there was a strike from the north, before that we must seriously prepare for zaporizhzhia, there is information that our armed forces will be able to liberate certain territories of the zaporizhzhia region by the end of 2022 this year, what is the reason for this? what do you think, that is, what is the point? again, this is my personal opinion. victory in this war lies exclusively in the ratio of quantity and quality to the quantity of the enemy. we talked, now let's talk about our quality, we will achieve a certain advantage only when, first of all, we are saturated with serious weapons of western models , first of all, artillery barrels and a certain part of these e-e reactive systems of salvo fire, to date there are 26 of them. i hope it will be

doubled, but really, really, some serious changes along the entire demarcation line may appear when we have a serious nato aviation is and was an ardent supporter of such american machines as the f-16 f15 although let's say the swedish gripen or the french rafale are also acceptable. so when we have 40 such 24:34 machines no less than, let's say, as our western neighbors have the poles, and they will be given serious radio-electronic warfare in order to close their anti-aircraft defense, only then can we to allow myself to talk about some weighted optimism and a typical knocking out of the enemy not only from the zaporozhye direction, but also from other and from other parts and areas of the front, i believe that such parity can be established no sooner than the middle of autumn and this is very optimistic, that is, by mid-autumn, there are prospects that these planes will be provided and

our pilots will already be trained, i will explain a few weeks ago, i do not want to pray, or maybe even a month ago, from congress and offered 100 million dollars for the training of our pilots, there is such a very interesting rule precisely in military-strategic aspects of cooperation with the states, if they say that they are offering money, it means that we are actually being trained. at the same time , pilot training is an incredibly difficult thing f-16 - this is an analogue of the mig-29th - these are two completely different philosophies, it is like if a person conditionally drove a car all his life with mechanics, let's say on the nine there or on the volga, and then once switched to a ferrari, the ratio of these cars is exactly the same, it is not as if the same thing, but it is necessary to teach. this is at least 6-7 months ago, i made exactly such a forecast that in the best case it will happen in the fall, plus you have to remember that the american establishment and the

european establishment have a very specific logic of thinking , they will not be like that, what do we say, let's they took and did they weigh and buy what we need themselves and not in the mode of demand as such somewhere ago and the fact is that we do not receive such a large amount of modern weapons that we need and which we wanted , but i will say that without this help, especially at the beginning of the war, it means he and the enlavs would not have been transferred to us, and the chief yesterday from the advisor of the president's office, oleksiy rostovych, you could hear that these are only flowers, but we should expect berries within a week, especially in principle . nothing is happening now, we are facing a lull the real events will begin within a week, can you tell us a little more, do you agree with the fact that something should be expected already next week, that is, something so extraordinary must happen at the beginning of this analysis, i proposed my main

working thesis that the entire front is in a state of its own kind balance and so really really the biggest battles that we have experienced at this moment. this is the loss of lysychansk and north donets from that time. well, you can also count the ukrainian test as a tactical success against the orders of that time potentially there were no great battles. but again, let us know from the usual laws of dialectic dialectics that this battle cannot be without this battle, it cannot be without a mandatory order. the question of its tonality, the question of its duration, and the most important question of the final result boils down to who will smile military success, but in fact i said a big one, who will calculate the tactical situation better, i have one more question. while you are near the map, we will talk in the format of a discussion in the studio, so it literally appeared the day before yesterday

information about a missile hit in the lviv region, somewhere in the radekhov area, there was even such information that a missile hit the anti-aircraft missile complex of ours, which even some scribes and commentators thought somewhere. well, why did this information appear, but less with what i was interested in in that missile attack, it was said that there were eight missiles, of which seven were shot down. this is actually a high indicator, yes. that is, even with the presence of an anti-missile system, the indicators are good. what is the current state of our anti-missile defense system? how much defense has it strengthened in recent weeks? once again, we can see that the west, if it is like that, is even very rare. also, what i noticed is that i notice another question. in the last two weeks, there are a lot of cases when we have sirens all over ukraine, planes seem to fly up to the borders. and they do not fire any shots, as if they were training shots, so from

the side of belarus, what does this have to do with the strengthening of our air defense, or are they preparing for something for some kind of attack, and i understood your analysis in general in this aspect comprehensively well, of course, i don't i will reveal all the nuances about the defense, because this is untrue, very serious information, in general, i would be very attentive to all analyzes or adverse ones, he follows our every word, i personally saw this for myself, the system of our air defense system has increased exponentially, i emphasize exponentially everything that could our western partners provide us with part of the modernized old soviet systems, i mean first of all such systems as the s300 s200 cube square osa tor-m and a whole series of especially close-range ones such as the purun and the needle famous spinners star streaks and the like provided everything they could provide and i am sure that this work will be carried out in the future . you

can't, it doesn't happen, let me remind you that everything is all missile defense except for the combat part. that's what ears are and destroys this radio. it's radio physics. well, anyone who deals with physics knows that this is an incredibly complex science. the enemy also learns to break through our defenses and cannot be considered as even in israel, their famous people will lead such an example of a fool iron dome systems miss, i emphasize homemade rockets, the palestinians are unable to do anything serious, but only what they do in garages and everything is fine, they miss arrivals not often, it is some one or two percent of the total launches, but they miss in the end the missile potential of our enemy is quite large , in fact, high-class missiles dagger-class, caliber-class, iskander-class are approaching their deficit point, but according to various sources, at the

time of the beginning of the aggression, the enemy had approximately 8,000 strategic missiles of various classes for this minute ukraine survived a missile tsunami, which we really have no analogues in history, the closest case was 2003, the war of the united states of america, in fact , the coalition against the regime of saddam ho-hossein - this is 800, two rockets of the budget class, 109 tomawatts. we broke this record a long time ago, and historians will still have to study it so, if we subtract 35,000 from 8,000, they still have such missiles, half more than half, and such medium-class missiles as kh-31 and kh-59 with a firing range of 160-280 km, a warhead of 110-300 kg, respectively, this is a lot of them put on the conveyor and, unfortunately, have the capacity to realize this potential, i firmly believe that the missile terror will continue for a longer time, and the fact that

the distance has increased is also a certain good news , because all the large reserves of missile depots are located behind the urals in not everything they had in the near zone fired. so it is necessary to bring it 5-6-7 thousand km to the zone of introduction of fire, bring them to the appropriate technical condition and carry them out tomorrow, that is why somewhere there is an extension of this lagoon, which is called between between start entry petro chernyk is a military expert. thank you, in fact, all the information you said still needs to be digested, but we certainly heard a lot of interesting and important thoughts. our broadcast is on the youtube channel of the nta tv channel. at the moment, the youtube channel speaks of the great lviv. it is difficult to restore. there are some technical issues. problems obviously, svintsitsky is in italy, we want to give you a word, we know that you wanted to ask for help just for one fighter, he is your brother tell me, please, we can show the picture in just a little while, we will do something like this

a respite from this difficult information about our military operations glory to ukraine glory to the heroes for one of the moments that i responded to your invitation today and that you were invited is actually what i want to address to the tv viewers in the audience to the honorable people's deputies present here there is a problem, there is a problem with one of my comrades, and actually he was the commander of the fire support platoon of my platoon, you can already see it, they started the video, it is misha varvarych mykhailo varvarych, his call sign is wild i i think i won't take too long to describe why he has such a call sign, but actually, this brave soldier is a paratrooper, he was

blown up by a mine and lost his two legs. as you can see, he also had shoulder injuries. that is there are numerous shrapnel wounds, well, for today, i am asking you to join the fundraising , he has a big goal. i think that the ukrainian people will thank such guys and mykhailo for a very long time, but today we can really help him get back on his feet it is extraordinary it is important that you can now see a card on our screens to which you can send, you can send a few hryvnias, we always talk about this because you know the amount is not so important, it is important how many people will join this that has already collected most of the prosthetics will take place in america because you understand that well the quality and experience

of military prosthetists is already at a high level in our country, it is still weak and, unfortunately, unfortunately, since the 14th year, our country has not taught us how to properly treat soldiers and soldiers with prosthetics. unfortunately, hmm we have already collected quite a lot there, actually he is a family to everyone who is not indifferent. well, it is clear that his brothers and sisters, we constantly help there. if there is , i am not mistaken . $ so if anyone has the ability, i understand that well, if it is only a problem of a hundred people, it will take a very long time, if the problem is a million, it will be much easier if a million and 2 million people are affected, and even 10 to 100 uah will solve the problem, i also

want to say in he now has one goal, one goal - it's to get on your feet. well, we are constantly talking in the group . mykhailo is in the group and he says that he constantly emphasizes that he will return to us . i hope that it will be very soon. we hope and once again we ask you to join . uh, let's show together that we are strong, and these are specific stories that really should have a happy ending. and now we will see photos on our screens, and this is the stepanenko family from kramatorsk, if you remember, a mother with two children was on this at the station where the explosion took place, the mother lost one leg, the girl lost two and they were sent to america just in time for prosthetics, they passed the first stage and they are already here, we will see this photo again, they are already standing on these prostheses and this is actually a story

about the fact that life goes on even in such conditions it's scary, it's painful, but it's good that such stories end in this way, they will get used to these prostheses and will at least be able to move and live normally. well, to what extent is it possible in such terrible conditions, here is a tangential question, you know it is relevant now, it is the correct reward or what is the name of the combatants for the military ? the money paid to the combatants there is 100,000 each. many people try to work there. and so on, but i want to say that of those combatants there, probably half of it actually goes to the boys. with the injury and the families of our comrades who have already died, this is

for the audience to understand and not always count. yes unfortunately, during the last few days, when i was in the city, i heard such things several times, well, it’s unpleasant and who wants to count. that’s how i explained it to the workers. to be honest, the earnings are doubtful . and they will understand where the guys are spending this war money. mykhailo tsimbalyuk , please give me a word about the analysis of the situation. during this week, what is most important for you, in fact, the week was not easy. i would like to focus on the events of the people of volyn because i am 2005 or the sixth year i don't remember anymore, i was in this colony on duty when i worked for the central office of the ministry of internal affairs of ukraine, and in fact, like most of those who observed these events, i was surprised why, a few

days before this tragedy, the boys from azov were taken away and this very room was moved, why only the security guards were in this column were not injured and now it is important that we in the verkhovna rada are preparing an appeal to all international structures with the demand to immediately create international experts and a commission to govern by will and the commissioner of the verkhovna rada on human rights, mr. gryvinets has already appealed to the russian federation, unfortunately, the answer was cynical, so that we will return the bodies of the dead prisoners of war after the inspection is completed, i am also surprised how international organizations have lost their legitimacy, because we see yesterday and today the statement of the leadership of the united nations organization of the

red international cross, which says that they did not guarantee anything at all, as cynically as possible. by the way, representatives of the red cross were also not allowed to visit the deer, and we will demand that between of the international community to recognize the russian federation as a terrorist state, because this is really a terrorist act, because what they say is that the satellite was shot down so that the explosion took place from the middle of this room, and the sooner international experts are allowed in, the sooner we will not allow this case to be falsified, and it is probably not by chance that after a day, the thoughts of the russian federation admits azov of the terrorist organization, they are doing this specifically in order not to return the guys who are still prisoners of war alive there in the territory of the russian federation, because you know that

prisoners of war are one thing, legal protection when it is already sorry, recognized as terrorists is a completely different story and completely different legal them it is very important that in ukraine we immediately raise a wave at the state level to demand a reaction from the russian federation from the international community the international community must finally understand what what else it is necessary to recognize russia that terrorism is really a terrorist act and i am sometimes surprised, or as they say, our way happens, how some of our international partners still refuse after this situation and in fact, it is critical, according to various calculations , now there are almost 9,000 people in the prisons of the russian federation, these are not only prisoners of war, they are civilians without any status, who are held at the same level as criminals and do not even confirm

that such people exist. i am not talking about forced passporting on unfortunately, our international partners are also silent on this topic, that is why we are preparing such a statement for the verkhovna rada, we hope to vote on it in the near future and will demand from the newly appointed and authorized human rights representative to vote on it and we will demand a new plebiscite appointed as a human rights representative with more active activities in this direction. i want to clarify, you said that you were in er-e deer park when it is an area under the control of ukraine, the territory is still a lot of different opinions about where exactly where there was an explosion, and many azov residents were transferred there in a few days. was it a room? well, what do you know, was it adapted for receiving prisoners? well, we will say so. well, many

experts say that this room itself almost very shaky, so to speak, the roof, if a missile had hit there, there would have been no roof left, it almost completely held up, that is, hinting at the fact that it was just an explosion from the middle , but what if we talk about the premises itself. as you know, it is difficult for me to restore in i remember what kind of building it was, but what the experts say is that in every colony there is a production facility, that it was a production facility a few days before that, as they say, it was adapted for keeping prisoners of war. although there are international geneva other conventions that require humane treatment of prisoners of war. by the way, ukraine fulfills all international agreements concerning the detention of prisoners of war. russia, in this case, there are a lot of questions about the placement of bodies

and what it says that it could not have been a shell explosion, that there are no more e-e confirmations that the projectile could have fallen somewhere and there is a special hole or hole, that is, everything goes to the fact that it was a release from the middle, which also says the scattering and placement of the bodies of the victims themselves, but i once again i emphasize, we remember how difficult it was to get the boys out, what were the statements of the rashists and what were the guarantees, here we should understand that he guaranteed, and because the boys surrendered under some guarantees, someone recommended it to them because of that, this should be a closed topic. but of course, now the question is worth discussing investigation with the help of international experts, the next thing is to bring the culprits to justice,

and the culprits will be unequivocally established, and the third thing is to fight for every serviceman, because nowadays , in fact, not only the azov people are in danger. and all those who are now behind the walls, we can see, uh, there was information today that mrs. vereshchuk no longer deals with this topic, the topic of exchange has been transferred to the gur , it is their responsibility. but there are things that require a more professional approach, because we understand that russia simply does not see our servicemen today, as they say, every life of our brother who is there is at risk, when the books are the next word for you, that's literally how information appears online well, it's still not 100% sure what could have gotten into it today projectile and into the colony located on the territory of donetsk, and here you know if this is really so and where

our prisoners were. unfortunately, we can talk about some such, you know, bloodthirsty and new tactics of the russians, as you know, without a trial, there are investigations, but these sentences are wasteful, to put them into practice. well they are already all built on manipulation in pr for themselves, no one was actually going to give these azov people to us , uh. we can't and don't need to go into why now. how did this happen? in fact, we should all unite in order to save their lives, but it is necessary to understand that it will not be very easy to do , the only way to save the lives of these people is to really unite with the west, we followed the visit of the speaker of the american parliament to taiwan, everyone looked at this plane, after that , an interview with volodymyr zelenskyi appears today chinese communist newspaper and well , i understand volodymyr zelenskyi's motives, i don't

want to condemn him, but i want to say that from my point of view, in foreign policy, we should clearly focus on democratic countries and to understand that there is a war going on in the world right now, a war of democracy with totalitarianism and authoritarianism, and that is why they went there and talked about it. the same thing is happening now in kosovo and we need to say it clearly, and it seems to me that we, as a democratic country, should have recognized taiwan and kosovo a long time ago to admit, because they often drew parallels with ukraine, they say that our territory is also partially controlled by dynamo, but our territory was occupied by a totalitarian state. there are no others now. i noticed that recently a lot of different speakers have started to appear again who are starting to talk about peace, starting with shredder who went to putin and said that putin is ready to agree to everything, only the crooked

remnant and you will not join us have appeared a lot such speakers of ours who are in one way or another close to the authorities and who say that there is a war party in putin's circle that does not allow us to negotiate, we need to communicate with the peace party, with which we will be able to come to an agreement, so it seems to me that the only way which we can save a part of our people because unfortunately we will not save and save a part, we also need to understand everything clearly, this is the building of a strong democracy in the union of the united states and our other allies, there is no other way , these calls will not help us because there is no it is in his interests to help us, the real negotiations of putin and the ukrainian authorities will not sit down with us - they also understand this very well and speak about it perfectly, no matter how hard they try, and inside and outside us, only serious and large supplies can tell us about it weapons and as the esteemed expert said, this is a war of exaggeration and in it either we will win or

we will be defeated, who are we, this is part of the civilized democratic world, what we must prove to our closest allies, this is our most important task, we should not deceive ourselves, you know when we work in journalism especially now when the war is going on, and i am also a former journalist. i understand this and follow it, er, very often we want to give very high hopes that tomorrow the war will end and the authorities naturally want this because when the rating of the government falls, you always want to give people hope, and then the raid supposedly rises again, but then, unfortunately, there is a very big disappointment. and a big disappointment for the people who are fighting is a great danger, and we must be able to, on the one hand, not threaten our security, speak carefully, but we must be able to to tell people the truth it is very important skype fighter of the freedom legion from donetsk region andriy illenko, we congratulate you glory to ukraine mr. andriy glory to the heroes from the

experts well, in particular, the president's comforter, mr. arrestovych, you could hear about what is now nothing like that. well, nothing fundamentally important is happening on the fronts, but there will be those little flowers ahead, as he said, it's obvious. bearing in mind that something more serious will happen during the next week, how do you feel about it from the inside? what what? now in those positions where are you is there anything you can tell me ? can you share about those positions and also for the battle, in principle, they last almost 24 hours a day, the shelling continues almost 24 hours a day because, let’s say it here, in this particular area, the lines of our positions, the lines of the enemy’s positions, they are at a distance of several meters 200