that moscow has all its guarantees on security and territorial defense, the territorial uh-uh territories that armenia considers uh, well, how would it have nagorno-karabakh as its allies? it is cleaned, so azerbaijanis are armenians, and i don’t really see how it can change because there is a global agreement, he is talking about moscow . i'm sure that no war will come, i'm not saying that the third armed forces will not come, and dust will visit, uh, fiveism, i think they're very far from flying. to the territory of taiwan, he will fix it with fuzin, all this is how to say

battle you there, it’s called, i think that vesyt for the scenario was discussed and agreed upon, and in the conversation of biden and sydempin, and two paid hours of rubles two days before the visit, it turned out, i think that i will throw they will give something now we will see after some time beijing something will work out this is the usa so that it will pay off everything this is what they are trading well how about something now we will see that the warming of the meeting well we need some kind of khabarovsk very much tensed up because we understand her. i think they already decided it a long time ago, even without anything, that the far east and you definitely have siberia already in a bad way, and there the only question is whether they will bring the nablyuchki themselves or the stomach, eh, somehow it will happen differently because the eastern ones siberia, the far east, is like fate if you don't change the vector of development, russia is predestined, that is, it's already there. it's so bad that nothing can be changed, nothing

political. regarding the fact that taiwan should be immediately integrated as one country into two systems - this is the formula, even in the case of the remaining one, taiwan will live for a very, very long time, this will not happen tomorrow , this is the second time. of course definitely not ukraine russia is not ukraine because eh, it’s because of what it presents itself that suddenly beijing will want to support moscow in the war with ukraine, i don’t know, not mediocre weapons then i’m struggling with something else now and what do they get in return well, good here they support the brain, and moscow stands and gives khabarovsk , well, then they can talk, but what can you give them, they will throw it away. everything is exchanged even to the detriment of yourself because

you simply don’t have a second way. you have closed yourself off from all possibilities, so in fact the most defeated side can end up in moscow. tak dalehe suddenly throws moscow's embrace i'm a very stream, more and more there is expected a change of leadership there is already a choice of countries, but he didn't choose it in our time yes, they have the communist party inside and they have the prime minister, it's such a progressive economists say that we don't need this at all, our economy is more important than all these geopolitical, er, all kinds of passions, let's do it, no matter what, it's pushing it to the limit, don't forget the 750 billion trade turnover of the united states and the same with europe and 150 with russia billion , you know, not to mention technology investments, everyone else already knows why this is for us, and these voices are not so deaf as to be deaf

. brings himself to the position of moscow why for the sake of what we want to get taiwan well, it’s not worth it, that’s what they are. here’s how to do it. unfortunately, dear march, i have to end our conversation literally with heartache, and i want to remind our tv viewers that i worked on the air of the tv channel espresso mark fagin, a well-known vlogger, a member of the russian opposition, a former member of the state duma , and now on the espresso tv channel, british military expert colonel glen grant will talk, of course, about the russians' attempts to counterattack glory to ukraine second mr. colonel, get rid of the safe the queen number we understand that now the key issue is the attempt of the russians to transfer their military groups from the east of ukraine to the south in order

to advance in the direction of zaporizhzhia. on the other hand, we feel that our ukrainian counter-offensive is also heating up. the issue of two speeds and the issue of two military potentials, i would ask you to evaluate the current disposition, now is a very difficult time for ukraine, because russia has obviously decided that the seizure of the east is not happening as they would like i wish they don't know how they will defend themselves in the south or how they should go on a counteroffensive , and because of this they are afraid of trying to withdraw reserves from the east, weakening it. now it is very difficult for the ukrainian general staff to determine the intentions of the russians . as for the ukrainian counterattack, it is somewhat different from what the collective imagines west, namely, it is not exactly a breakthrough, but rather a

step-by-step jerky pace that gives the russians time to replenish their reserves, for example, a few weeks ago they attacked the bridge under kherson and then gave the russians have time to build pontoon bridges and other ways of crossing the river, the counterattack must be swift, wherever it takes place, so that the enemy does not have time for a proper response. everything goes into the format of the so-called positional war, and accordingly, in a positional war, it is much more difficult to carry out a counteroffensive, and as far as i understand, a major reformatting is currently taking place russian military plans. i

would ask you to describe them, that is, on the one hand, the russian blitzkrieg failed. on the other hand, they are starting to gather some military formations. loaded, but they i think could simply change the tactics and in general the military goals of the company and that the russians are changing the directions of their offensive after another failure, despite everything, they still managed to hold back the ukrainian forces and move forward if they change the direction of their offensive and only because they are looking for a weakness in the ukrainian positions in relation to the areas where they are at one point or another, when they

take a new position, the ukrainian general staff needs to rethink the location of its troops, and moving the military is always difficult because they can intercept aircraft with the help of satellites and they also become vulnerable, they actively use artillery, in no way should you underestimate their flexibility and inventing something what is new is what we are currently observing, i do not know their further actions, whether it will be a defense or an attack, we just have to be ready for the deployment of all possible scenarios. now we see how the russian federation is trying to use the doctrine of general giulio duo. in order

to give nightmares to the population, to destroy civilian objects and, accordingly, to make the population try to put pressure on their government, or to look for certain formulas for a possible compromise, but it is very important moment, so we understand that the doctrine of general due failed during the second world war and the barbaric bombing of london and the barbaric bombing of koveli , the destruction of hamburg, and so on. i consider the attack on ukrainian cities to be counterproductive , something similar happened during the second world war, namely when london was bombed, we lost a huge number of people, kovel germans in general

leveled to the ground in one night, but it hardened the people even more and gave them determination. i think that is the case in ukraine. you see that people throughout the country are becoming mentally stronger in the fight against russia. the attack on the cities is a strategic mistake by the russians, which only increases vigilance. attention to military actions on the territory of ukraine is not the same as it was in 2014-2015, when the war was being talked about in the west of the country. people did not even feel that there was a war going on, but now everyone knows that the taste of war is also felt in lviv, acting according to this doctrines, russia has only strengthened the ukrainian nation , i think that during august the russians will continue to do what they are doing now, namely,

they are trying to exhaust the armed forces, burn and destroy as much equipment and ammunition as possible, they are aiming to win over ukraine by number and mass. this is what all their efforts are aimed at, it is dangerous because that the energy of the west may end up not so much as the ammunition of the west, because the pace of production is not so fast, the speed of disposal of ammunition on the front line for ukraine is higher than the pace of production in partner countries there must be a certain rethinking of the plans for the fight against russia in order not to simply oppose it with numbers, because such tactics will not bring the desired result, the russians have the prospect of waging the war until the last buryat, trying to implement what

they started, trying to install a shaft of fire in order to then move somewhere maybe in october in in november, before the tactics of genghis khan, they will try to destroy civil objects of civil infrastructure, in particular, we are talking about the cities of the east so that people freeze on the other side. they have a different perspective on the conduct of the war, that is, they will try to freeze it, very well, dear colonel, that you mentioned the experience of 14-15 years, they can reach certain boundaries and try to freeze the situation, turning it into a positional war, but of course exerting fire pressure on our positions russia is limited in its actions due to insufficiently prepared infantry for waging mobile warfare, they are not capable of a breakthrough. that

is why they are only doing now that they are sending their troops to ukrainian soldiers soon in ukraine will be driven by either unprepared green youth or old or former prisoners, such a course has already been taken. therefore, now they have to rely on their artillery. in my opinion, autumn and winter will become an opportunity and not a problem for ukraine. since the enemy will have problems with the logistics of moving artillery and its combat activity, especially if it will be very cold, but this should allow the ukrainian infantry to move forward, because it is much more combat-capable than the russian infantry, they will fight with the russians forever, even in bad weather the ukrainian army will be in a much better position,

but you should move forward, if this is not the case, then there is always the possibility of falling into their artillery trap, where they will simply cover you with fire, and all of you must slip past such a trap and start pushing back their artillery, in which case they will not fire on their own until that they will not shoot, but they are capable of such a thing, and the events of the second world war are evidence of this. of russian troops because they are transferring troops to the south. but the number of armored vehicles from our side also refers to the tank inventory of bmp apcs and so on

. rocket salvo fire such as heimers is insufficient, how to be in that situation is a problem, but if there is a defense by attack, it will significantly confuse the russians, will force them to redeploy with the arrival of new equipment, it is necessary to concentrate forces in a separate region with the maximum increase of military power, because if military equipment is placed evenly along the entire length of the front, it will only benefit the russians. they will not be able to cope with an aggressive, strong and well-equipped military cell, you get a lot of equipment. and the general staff has a great responsibility for its placement, my interpretation of the current the state of affairs

and the favorable prospects for ukraine are as follows. if you want to make a breakthrough and destroy the morale and cohesion of the enemy, some section of the front should the ukrainian armed forces have to take risks in some directions in order to win in others, in particular because a continuous thin front line is not enough, strong sorting is necessary. well, the issue is the destruction of the enemy's morale. so we understand that they are not at a very high level and are capable of combat parts of the enemy have parts that are frankly decomposed and demoralized, but despite this, they still try to keep it in the format of the mongol horde, so that is, they apply punishment and they apply a reward, even including what they will

steal, and here is probably another extremely important point: will the enemy now have the strength to try to develop a second attack on kyiv, and will we now have the strength to surround the enemy group in kherson and its surroundings ? to attack kyiv again of course they can by simply moving a lot of troops and all their equipment there and possibly involving belarus it is always possible will they have enough strength to take kyiv no it won't be enough they don't have such a coordinated potential in the command structure. it is one thing to capture and hold a village in the east, and yet how much time do they spend on it. and

it is quite another when we are talking about a population center that is 300,500 times larger, that is, about kyiv, so they can attack, but it is not crowned with success on the second question in the south they are probably afraid of a counterattack one of their problems is that the russians are not smart enough to fight back in any way other than numbers so they are shifting the infantry from the east to the south because this is their only resource their only answer at the moment is artillery and waging war in the style of the mongol horde or orcs they want to restrain the ukrainian troops in the kherson area so they think they should bring as many orcs as possible there and put them on the battlefield

the best way to defeat them is the encirclement and the creation of cauldrons with such a development of events, they will immediately surrender, there is no doubt about it, because these are not people who fight for their country, they fight for money. and those who fight for money usually do not want to to die, we must learn to stop fighting them lop-lop and bypass them in style, we really can and must do it as soon as possible. i agree, dear colonel, there are large groups of enemy forces in kherson and its surroundings, but they will be completely dependent on crossings from bridges from the railway bridge and fortunately, they have already been disabled and i am more than sure that with the help of pontoons they will not be able to feed or feed

their 20,000 soldiers. that is, it is a kind of mini stalingrad, but on the banks of the dnieper the most important thing is not to make one or another mistake on our part, i don't think that the russians will flee, but regarding your comment about the mini-stalingrad, for them this is exactly what is happening now, they lack the intelligence to retreat and counter it in another way, all they can do is stay there and this is a good opportunity for massive use of heimers in other words if we can determine where their artillery is behind kherson and where they are entrenched then our goal will be to neutralize as many personnel as possible and move to of an immediate counterattack, god, it’s nothing. time makes no

sense to attack. then, to give the enemy time to respond, everything must be coordinated. each attack card must be coordinated with the front line. if you are going to use heimers, it must be synchronized with the attack on the front line. so that such coordination causes panic in the enemy at the moment at the moment, we are only fighting physically, but we must learn to fight psychologically, since victory is achieved through psychological pressure, all wars are won by the laws of mental stability on one side or the other, the russians must be so frightened that they have no choice but to flee to the front line, completely unaware of what blows are being struck and what consequences the heimers will cause, in particular, it is about

ammunition depots, they do not even know what is happening in general, because they are not with coordinated nose artillery that reinforces them neither with ammunition depots nor with logistical support, they are just fighting there. we must stop them by delivering such powerful blows that they literally rush in the opposite direction, creating runs into which we could infiltrate as soon as they break in something, then it will start a chain reaction in the war, it is always necessary to break their spirit so that they rush to flee, then whole traffic jams from their equipment would be formed, and then give them a farewell greeting with heimers, this is the approach victory is won well, the key question is probably about the help from the collective event, why is it so slow and why is it

so dosed, why are there 20 himers systems and not 120? certain countries, in particular, poland, are helping us with armored vehicles. and in spain, leopards, as it turned out not sufficiently technically prepared. yes, we understand that this dosage raises certain doubts and certain suspicions. the problem of logistics and equipment is multifaceted. if we first look at the general picture, namely in relation to the supply of equipment and the west, then we must understand that previously the collective west did not have coordinated defense support as such . there are such countries as spain or germany, which , being members of nato for the past 20 years, really did not properly fulfill their military obligations to the alliance, the actions of the heads of the defense

departments led to the deterioration of the state of military equipment, as we saw in the example of spain, where the state of reserve equipment was improperly maintained. i am afraid that there are many such countries where the reserve is not equipment that is simply unusable, in particular due to the lack or absence of allocated finances, this war revealed the unwillingness of many countries to wage war in in a certain sense, this is good because nato will learn its lessons and in the future will only become stronger, another point is that the border is so far away and a lot of equipment has to be transported to transport by train, so the danger is here, above all, you can simply overrun the trains according to the schedule, exposing them to missile attacks, it is very important how you deliver to the

front lines, which routes, how you go, and who goes, because there is a limited number of soldiers who are well-versed, in particular, in routes, it's not just a matter of getting on the main road and moving forward, all this takes time, and after arriving, these people must be integrated into the units there, you can't just show up and immediately open fire if you are part of the artillery, there must be someone who will tell you what to do, who will feed you and provide you with fuel, such integration takes from three to five days and without it you will run out of fuel on the second day only because you will not know where to take it, in turn, your comrades will not know your location, for

the correct use of equipment, many military points must be taken into account. therefore, it is necessary to understand that all this will be a slow process. this is always the case before major battles in the second world war during the war, two or three months were set aside for preparation, not days, ammunition was purchased in advance because it needed time to deliver it to the soldiers before you went into battle, they actively trained, they were taken from the front lines not only so that they could rest, but also in order to learn to practice their actions in the next battles in ukraine, you really need to understand this, you can’t just take people out and give them 5-6 days of rest, two or three days are enough, and therefore before training, to learn new techniques and

ways of fighting, as well as learn important lessons from previous battles and all this takes time, well, unfortunately, the time of our program has run out. i am sincerely grateful to you, dear mr. colonel, for this honest analysis on the air of the espresso tv channel for this the queen slava of ukraine, and i would like to remind our tv viewers that a military expert worked on the air of the espresso tv channel from great britain, colonel glen grand well, for today i have everything, but dear tv viewers, do not switch my colleagues work for you non-stop, watch over yourself and your loved ones see you on the air of the defender well, listen, the defender ukraine can see in the dark as if it were daytime, what are my brothers for kilometers around you can

move quickly in any terrain, the body is reliably protected, which makes it less sensitive and more confident and looks at the enemies, i was on trades from the height of neck flight for 8 years in a row, you and i provide our defenders that keeps their lives on the front lines our priorities are day night and thermal imaging optics communication off-road personal protection and technical means of intelligence join the fundraiser and let the next night it will be calm for everyone except the occupiers, they say that you can't understand what freedom is until you lose it 6 it reminds me a lot of a movie about hostages, they just cut the door

of the castle with a bulgarian because it was stolen once and for all. i don't know what's better. when a rocket flies into your house, or when you are put against the walls in some basement, what is happening in kherson is very difficult to show with footage, because all the horrors and all that silent terror all happen in basements ukraine is gradually transitioning to western weapons , according to the ukrainian authorities, it already gives a certain parity to the confrontation with russian invasion forces, this is the reality of donbas, this time we decided to understand why ukraine has to rearm during the war, how long will soviet weapons live in the ukrainian army and

how long will it take for full abandoning it several kilometers from the front line, the masked gun, having received the coordinates, repeatedly opens fire with a 100-mm rapier gun, the fighters are now leading the fire from a closed position on the enemy's armored vehicles x works and now, in principle, we do not know now because the superstation of the machine is far away, now they shot at 5-600 for the gun, this is almost the maximum , the maximum is eight with this type of projectile, this is 6400 meters , this will be the maximum number of targets, judging by the factory mark 50 years, although the power of projectiles to penetrate too