to support ukraine are approaching these elections, well , here you understand ukrainian-israeli relations, and unfortunately for the interests of israel in maintaining a certain level of relations with russia, because they consider russia as a certain well, as an element thanks to which it will be possible to restrain iranian expansion in the region and here you see what in my opinion well, no matter what anyone said there because they did not promise, quite a few israeli politicians are really pro-russian or sympathize with putin well, here is her example - this is the tenant lieberman, he really represents exactly in his the electorate is the diaspora that left and the jews who left the russian federation of the observation area, and it is precisely because of their pro-russian views that other politicians stand to win their favor. well, usually they are forced to cooperate with the russian federation

, and the same is not and none, and the same bennett they should take this into account among all the key figures of israeli politics, the most critical of the putin regime, mr. lakid spoke precisely about after the event in buch, then he held the position of minister of foreign affairs at the moment he just heads the government like this is the transitional israeli one before the elections therefore, we should probably watch his successes but again, i doubt even if he will retain power after the elections, again the iranian factor will force him no matter how unpleasant it may be for him personally to communicate with moscow, and still, israel will not get anywhere from this, that is, a radical revision of the position. there is an aggravation because i read that there are no refugees in israel because there is simply

nowhere to run, just like here in ukraine, what is the reaction of people. look, i understand the terrorist threat. it always exists, and that is why, in principle, we have to fight it therefore, some special protests against the operation are needed. i do not see it differently, of course, the electorate of different political forces evaluates it differently, this is the moment that this operation began in these days, i do not think that italy does not question the body to fight islamic jihad of course, because it is a threat to the backwardness of the state of israel, but the fact that the project has started, for example, supporters of the party treat critics of the current government, a supporter on cognac, they believe that in this way, lapit just wants to score certain points on the eve of the elections, to show himself as a strong politician who will be really ready to protect the security of the state this is precisely this aspect of his image, he is inferior to other politicians in this respect, because he has a reputation as a more diplomatic, moderate person, no no

security forces, let's say, on the other hand, critics of etanyag can answer that on the contrary. right now, what about the government, it is the first time in many years that it is carrying out preventive strikes and not reacting to terrorist acts against palestinians, and in this way, let's say, they are correcting the mistakes made by konyaga under during that long-term premiership, when he already reacted differently to terrorist attacks and perhaps did not resort to preventive actions, that is, here this general assessment of the operation is positive, there are different different attitudes about why it is just now that there is a negative attitude only the marginal communists, well, about them it is actually the same fifth column as ours, mr. medvedchuk, some or some muraev, where is israel? thank you, ms. mykola, for these comparisons,

a professional assessment of the israeli-palestinian conflict and an analysis by mykola zamikola senior researcher of the national institute of strategic studies, because our guest and already with us is vitaliy yarmolenko, the chief consultant of the same institute, we welcome you, have a good day good health, we will talk with you about the negotiations between putin and rodogan, according to what got into the public space with interceptions, russia asked turkey to allow and buy partially from turkish oil refineries oil terms and tanks, this may allow moscow to hide the origin of oil after the entry into force of the eu oil embargo. what do you know about these moments , were there really such negotiations ?

confidential atmosphere, moreover , negotiations were not immediately held in an extended format, that is, when representatives of all interested industries are present at the negotiations, they were called , let's say, for negotiations in a narrow format, then between the presidents, only individual representatives of certain industries and of both states, respectively, quite it is impossible to exclude such an agreement, let's say, considering what is already openly known about the partial agreement regarding the partial payment for russian gas in rubles by turkey. well, and

er, actually, in general, the desire to increase trade, er, trade turnover, er, to the point of being lazy , by 100 billion dollars, and the calculation for a year, the calculation for turnover in rubles, russian rubles , therefore, it is quite possible to allow er, actually, such an agreement with us about finances, russia has offered demanded that several state-owned turkish banks open correspondent accounts for major russian banks and that russian industrial producers be allowed to operate outside free economic zones in turkey in exchange for the offer putin seemed to offer reprimanded consent to a military operation against the kurds in the north of syria,

which had previously irritated moscow due to its support for bashar al-assad. what was exchanged for what, conditionally speaking, and this concession was about payment for russian gas in rubles? what exactly here is possible, let's say, we can also discuss hypotheses to a certain extent, well, first of all, consider this joint statement, which was apparently not accepted according to the results of this meeting, which is actually indicative there are indeed agreements on a joint fight against, well, actually a joint fight against terrorist organizations on the territory of the series, that is, here, too, it cannot be ruled out that there is a certain mutual exchange or,

let's say, a certain work regarding, let's say, it will be, he , he, when something for something such a certain exchange and , accordingly, it should be indicated that it was on the agenda of that trust tripartite meeting in tehran about 17 days ago, most likely both sides are somewhere close to establishing, let's say, such an exchange, but it is necessary to emphasize that, in addition to the joint statement, there are actually more concrete signals regarding the results of all

the scandals . according to the results of this bilateral meeting, it actually indicates that on certain issues, negotiations will continue , and on certain issues, a final agreement was not reached, by the way, we there were no moments, no networks regarding the current escalation in karabash, this is a separate issue and it was not even mentioned in the joint statement, therefore, it is quite possible that there are certain agreements here, but again, it is not necessary to

assert that it finally, a high-ranking turkish official on condition of anonymity assured vitaliy in the media that ukraine remains committed to the independence and sovereignty of ukraine . i asked your colleague when we were talking about china about china's proposal and he said that it was about china. and what is the position of turkey, because erdanyan actively wants to be a mediator and a mediator in our russian-ukrainian war ? in relation to us, turkey is all about politics. that is, it indicates the fact that this policy that turkey has been pursuing has been unchanged for eight years.

relations or a situation of confrontation between russia and the west, when turkey wants to maintain its position as a certain mediator and at the same time win certain geopolitical, let's say, dividends. in this way, turkey does not lose contacts with russia, with which it has both a certain conflict of interests and an increase in interests in the city of regions and the middle east and the south caucasus. well, the black sea region as a whole, including in the context of the russian-ukrainian war, will not actually lose contact with the west, being in fact, to a certain extent, part of this measure, since turkey is a whole, but at the same time, taking

such an independent position, not recognizing the occupation of crimea, and here and here, by the way, is also trying to find individuals where, say, to find the east of russia regarding the zaporizhia issue, in fact and possibly special operations turkey in the north of the series and uh, looking for concessions from russia itself in karabakh. thank you, mr. vitaly vitaly yarmolenko, chief consultant of the national institute of strategic studies. greetings. did you want to add something else already? not with us, vitaliy, please, i’m at the very end,

in fact, turkey wants to finally break through the possibility of resuming these, let’s say, these istanbul negotiations, we are something of the whole of ukraine , that is, uh, these are already joint statements uh, well, in general , according to the signals that were uh -e in the context of this working meeting between e-e counters of russia and turkey regarding the possibility of e-e continuation, that is, in the context of the so-called grain agreement, the extension of this negotiation process to the possibility of a temporary cessation of hostilities in ukraine number of the engine officially invited the presidents of russia and ukraine to return to istanbul and continue customs negotiations on ending the war. this is the proposal - it sounded like a peacemaker and pretends to be a leader in the region, does

such an irodogan have an influence on putin, the big question is here. thank you to mr. vitaly yarmolenko and let's move on finance, let's talk about the exchange rate, your favorite topic is the dollar exchange rate, but i see soon we can stop worrying about the dollar exchange rate, we will worry about illegal instruments, yes, er, dollars a month ago, we won't care how much it will cost oleksandr savchenko is already with us, a financier, a banker, a doctor of economic sciences, a professor, we welcome you, oleksandr, i congratulate you, mr. professor, please calm us down, yehor says that we will receive $100 each soon. what is there with us plus 100,200, but in principle, the general temperature in the hospital will be approximately the same in ukraine if then the economy will lose its own gross domestic product at the same rate, please well, i think that we have already reached the bottom and the fall in gdp and real income is somewhere

between 40 and 30 percent, respectively, devaluation inflation also took place at a very significant level, and therefore if the government and the national bank, together with our western partners, will act adequately, then we will not fall further, of course, if the status quo is maintained , that is, there will not be any sharp defeats, and i would like there to be gains. but then the situation will be better well , in general, the world will somehow lose a trillion dollars this year due to russia's invasion of ukraine . everything is shown by the calculations of the edition of economists , with the data of the intellectual yuning and i.ua,

russia will suffer the most among the countries g20 so far, its economy has withstood western sanctions surprisingly well, but by the end of this year the status of two will lead to a reduction of the economy by only 10% compared to the initial estimate of growth of 2.6 p oleksandr and why is the russian economy and the russian currency holding well it seems there at the beginning of the war, the dollar was worth somewhere around 80 plus or minus rubles; now , on the contrary, it has strengthened, that is, the ruble has strengthened, it seems to be 60 there with a penny for the dollar, that is, the national unit of russia, on the contrary, it has strengthened, please well, i'll tell you what the sanctions are, what are the consequences, what's the course, actually, what happened that the sanctions are just starting to work now, and on the fifth, the ban on the export of twigs will be only 5, well, at

the very end of the month, there will be a stretched ban at the very end of the year on the export of oil to the countries of the european union, and that’s not all. on gas, so far, the horse has not been lying. and at the same time, the trail was scared by those sanctions, that is, the ban on the export of oil and gas, and the prices jumped and russia won and from this in the second quarter tarasa received more income from oil and gas exports, that is, the income did not decrease, but increased. but i think this was the last quarter where rasha feels more or less normal. already from september, the russian

economy will start to fall at least a little, it has already fallen by 4.5% over the last month, but it is very little, but there will be an acceleration, let's say, and a fundamental mistake . he himself is happy to reduce, and he is also helped by the sanctioners of oil, gas, coal, gold. and what is absolutely wrong. it is not necessary to reduce the prices of these products. the talks about oil have been going on for more than a month . . now it is 95, and it was

120 for a long time, but further conversations are still not going on, and here are the consequences at the same time. let 's say that in the last year fascists began to consume goods by 10% less than 17% - this is not food goods and about two percent, they already eat less, even by 2% over the last year, well, for the good guys, this is very little. but they are ready to eat by the foot in order to fight there to destroy ukraine. that is, well, now with regard to this study. yes, so that about a billion will fall on the dpr of all countries of the world per trillion per 1 billion per trillion is absolutely correct somewhere the gdp of all the countries of the world is a little more than 100 trillion er

who will suffer the most really raschy gdp was 1.5 trillion i.e. they will lose 150 billion from the drop in gdp in second place is china in china there were about 12 trillion, they will also fall by a percentage, it will be one of 120 billion, and on the third, unfortunately, it is ukraine . germany is in fourth place. and germany will also lose about two percent of its gdp and suffer quite a lot, but less than

ukraine, and that is why, in my opinion, it is completely illogical and wrong. well, such sanctions must be applied so that the most the race was losing. what if it lost 1 billion trillion? well, the whole war ended in two weeks. and here there are a lot of people on our television, uh, speaking. well, i call them rashitsky economists. and they say that if they don't order the functions of the garash, she will still have unlimited opportunities to finance the war against ukraine. this is a very false narrative . it is wrong.

people, and that's why we need to understand, understand, as soon as the gdp of rashti is reduced, not by 10%, but on na hai by 40, well, better by 50, the war will end quite quickly, and not because rashists will eat and drink less , but because i simply will not have enough money to finance this machine, because at the moment they are spending about 12% of their gdp on the war on the war with ukraine, that is, if everything falls by 50, the war will end quite quickly and our victory is obvious, so here are the economic components. let's talk about ukraine 30-40% until the end year we quoted here cult and volker of the former special representative

of the united states department of state for ukrainian affairs, he says that the war can drag on at least until the summer of next year, the 23rd, or will there be enough economic potential for ukraine, primarily economic, because there is military and human potential, i thought we would have there is enough economic potential to launch a protracted war, what can be done now, it is possible, it is necessary to develop some kind of strategy, i don’t know, to conduct some negotiations regarding further borrowing there. well, if minus 40 by the end of the year so what will we earn and eat excuse me and what will we buy weapons for next year at least until the summer, as volker predicts, it is possible and even longer, please well, first of all, such narratives of thoughts are quite wrong, although the needles are already a very smart person. i have several times i spoke with him, but he reflects the opinions of american experts, maybe

even generals. unfortunately, even for them, this war looks somewhat abstract, they see it on television, even though volker is present here and i am sure that this is not his position, we need to break it this position and to prove that it will be beneficial for everyone to end this war somewhere, well, at least in october , with a victory for ukraine, why, first of all, in the united states, you know, there are midterm elections in november, and if we do not win, then the democratic party will not win in these midterm elections either. they are getting screwed and there will be a new situation favorable for ukraine, because you know we use bipartisan support, but this is the first political factor. unfortunately, we live in a

political world and politics play the main role. let's move on if the war ends in october. i ask the question whether europe will freeze, whether europe is frozen , whether the loser will be able to freeze europe - no, no, it is possible to adjust the supply of gas and through our gas transport system. there will be no chaos in the world, that is, the fall due to the war in ukraine will stop, it will stop quite quickly, and ukraine will play the role of a driver of economic growth, at least in europe, because we claim large investments, including because of the frozen assets of the rashish rashish federation. so it is beneficial to everyone. most of all,

it is the europeans, the americans. well, of course, we. but i will even tell you the russian people, well, not the peoples of the population, since there is the status of a people. i am not sure what territorial unit has the status of a people. why are peoples behaving like beasts? some population will win. then let's not talk about whether europe will freeze or whether ukraine will freeze. this winter , ukraine is ready for the upcoming heating season in sredny by 60%, only storage replenishment with coal and gas is carried out according to the schedule and will allow the country to survive the winter stably , prime minister denys shmyhal said this, according to the politician, the head of the government, together with regional local authorities and communities, the government is preparing for all possible scenarios during the heating season of 22-23 on what surprises are you waiting for this

heating season, because some representatives of the authorities are already calling, well, not the authorities, but experts close to the authorities there are calling, well, they are offering let's say this to the residents of apartment buildings to put small pots and drill holes in the walls in order to lead the chimneys to the street. how do you feel about this idea ? well, at least you need to stock up on candles, and by the way, this is a task for the government with the help of glass ones, you can also make a little tea, warm your hands, that's the first thing secondly , we need to prepare our systems so that the water is drained so that there is no freezing. well, because it can be, but what would i want to talk about like this, see, the question is if the war will continue until next summer, so in my opinion it is not necessary and it's not desirable, then i'm not

i am sure that all ukrainians will survive this war, because the prices of products are rising. well, at first the national bank forecast was 20-25%, now it is 30%. before a third of ukrainians do not work and almost half of those who do not work do not receive any help. that means that millions of ukrainians may not survive this winter even if others will be warm, and therefore my proposal to give us all the opportunity to survive, well , first of all, with the doomed pepper of the population of pensioners in whose pension is 2,000, i would recommend such a program so that all ukrainians are 100% children pensioners received, as i would say, 100 dollars, somewhere around 3,000 uah 3,000 uah every month and those

ukrainians who have enough money just offer them to transfer this money to arming the forces and, believe me, they will transfer 10 million and one and a half but such an action will allow ukrainians to survive, believe me , we are talking about millions people whose incomes were at a minimum and now they will fall by two times and who have more due to rising prices, unemployment and lower wages, loss of homes, property and everything else, in order to join you have to do as i do i miscalculated and it will be a lot, 3 billion dollars from our western partners, that is, to finance people without the budget, they understood the idea because when the money gets into the hands of officials, you know, not much

reaches the people, but here directly to everyone, because they can somewhere there to delay if we do it through our officials oleksandr savchenko financier banker doctor of economics professor we didn't have a long pause then we will return to stay behind the spear the bells are melting holes from bullets and debris the need for equipment is always strengthening the body, the base of the iron type, so that it can be restrained by bullets with military equipment, we need a car and we will not stop as long as there are needs, we will work and do 24 hours a day. ukraine