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tv   [untitled]    August 14, 2022 1:00pm-1:30pm EEST

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people who have information and shape public opinion, people who defend ukraine and create the future, right now the main and interesting thing in the program is the verdict by serhiy rudenko from monday to thursday at 1:00 p.m., repeat at 9:30 p.m. complexes at thousands of combat positions throughout the territory of our country, they bring victory closer every day. kudos to the air force of the armed forces of ukraine, some creatures hunt washing machines, and we from ukraine insure our machines online on hotline finance hotline finance insurance of course online well, let's go back and
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continue talking and now in more detail, but everything we brought to you before the first hour andriy siychuk is traditionally next to me lesya vakulyuk and with us serhiy marchenko, founder of the borsch recruiting agency and an expert on the labor market and actually with him, we congratulate mr. serhiy, er, we will talk with you about where ukrainians who have lost their jobs are currently looking for, in which industries they are looking, where they find themselves and in which regions, because we understand that not in all regions it is possible to find that job and it is even possible to work in front of you, but for a second i will say that i mentioned this t- avtovaz, where 40,000 workers actually sit for six months on a very small minimum wage. by the way, i looked at
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how much they offer 160 $ salaries of 6,500 uah for our money, because there is a maximum of up to 16,000 uah. this is the type of highly qualified employees. we also have such a problem now, and do you know if this is widespread in large enterprises? good day, studio. good day, dear viewers. interesting the topic you just mentioned about avtovaz is that, in addition to autolaz, there are also a bunch of foreign companies in russia that, with the beginning of russian aggression against ukraine , began to leave russia, and this process has been stretched for several months, and the employees of the auto base, who have at least $160, they are still somewhat lucky because the transitional periods have passed, the two months during which the employers paid the wages of the laid-off workers, they have already passed and the workers of foreign companies who
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worked in russia with the most let's say this the privileged quality of employees of foreign companies with high salaries and high standards of social protection became, of course, non -russian unemployed who can only count on some minimal money that they receive on the labor exchange, and this position in russia has only worsened over time unfortunately , not everything is pleasant in ukraine either, unfortunately, there is a war in our country and a war on our territory, and even our economy has suffered much more than the russian one, and unemployment, a decrease in wages we also have but there is also good news. after all, in our country it will improve over time, and in russia it will deteriorate over time. that is, it is now completely different vectors of development. how much has our earnings on average decreased due to the fact that the russians
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decided bring trouble to us in very different ways, in fact, there are sectors that were almost not affected by the war, for example, the it industry or those people who can work remotely, their earnings remained at the same level as they were. this happened because their clients abroad for there is no war on the border, their clients pay money, and that is why the ukrainian it sector, if you know , there was even very interesting news that it seems that in the first half of the year, the revenues of the ukrainian it market increased by 27% compared to last year , that is, it is also very significant growth is much worse in industrial enterprises, because industrial enterprises have become the target of russian missile attacks, and if we are talking about kharkiv , a large industrial region, if we are talking about the occupied luhansk region, about shelling in
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industrial of the donetsk oblast, mykolaiv well, of course, a lot of companies were affected by drones. if so, if you are unlucky to work in a company that lost production, then of course you will also lose your job, and this is a very big deal , and at the beginning of the year there were forecasts that the economy of ukraine would collapse, now these forecasts decreased to 33%, but this is still a lot, it means that in fact we will produce 33% less products, and this means that in 33% of the labor market, there will be fewer people who produce this gdp, unfortunately, with the labor market in general not very good in ukraine, although the western regions, the western regions, they are now leading in terms of the number of posted vacancies, this is the lviv region, the ternopil region, the ivano-frankivsk region, the
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chernivtsi region, that is, there are such things as the flow of human resources and business from the eastern regions to the western regions, so this is a temporary process. by the way, in your opinion as well as the ratio. by the way, for those employed in large enterprises, will the very structure of employment of the population change after the war? you know, you asked a very good question, because if it would seem that you now the war, everyone moved to the west, then returned to the east, but practice shows that some people remain there later . of post-war development because able-bodied and active people have come there, and they will improve the economic potential of
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western ukrainian lands now and in the future , just yesterday i was in the town where i come from in lviv oblast, in khodorov and khodoriv, ​​it is now such a palette of those cities and regions from which people had to escape in the currents or regions that are either occupied or being shelled, e.e. mariupoli-severodonetsk, kharkiv, well, that is, bakhmut, and so on, and so on, and what is interesting is that some people they came from kherson and opened a small shop with vegetables and fruits. they had some kind of business in the kherson region. somehow, other people from north-donetsk or wherever sewed clothes for dogs and will continue to sew them , so it’s interesting that they recruit the same ones. of internally displaced persons for work, even those
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who do not know how to live, but say come, we will teach you, the main thing is that you are busy there, people are somehow trying to afford to rent accommodation, what is now valued when hiring, e.e., in such a time as the military, what are the character traits what skills do you need, see, employers have always valued the ability to solve problems, and now, when there is a war in ukraine, this skill has come to fruition. and those people who know how to solve problems are at a completely different level. they saved their business, they helped their for employers to stay for a legal reason, first of all employers are looking for independent people who know how to solve problems and not wait for someone to solve them . they do not stay to work in one profession all their lives but
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retrain and now i think such a problem is faced by many of those people who came to khodoryv and other cities of western ukraine that their the company does not work, they need to find themselves again, re-enter the labor market and possibly master some new specialty that is more interesting to the market than what they were engaged in before , because now there are a lot of courses where you can acquire a new specialty, there are a lot of these courses free and ukrainians and these opportunities can be used in any case those people who are listening to us now who are looking for work i would advise you to be active in knocking on as many doors as possible don't stop at one but knock on the other thirds fourths tenths twenties the more hmm there are attempts to get a job somewhere, the more chances that you will actually be hired for this job, i am looking at by the way, the research of ruslan and
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the head of the expert analysis center of the personnel quarter grci.ua in bereziv, and she here is an interesting point that in fact, what has changed in such a e-e letter of software skills, in fact, such skills , such unprofessional and actually human skills, and it is important that in the last place was tact before war and now tact is in the first trinity, that is, e that is, tact has become very important, as well as attentiveness, in particular, and teamwork skills have even gone a little lower, but it is interesting that everyone now wants to be tactful. it is probably related to our stress. accordingly, the person who is not so active she will simply drop out of work or maybe it is some
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research error because we do not know what the sample was and how exactly people were chosen so completely because it seems to me personally a little it's strange that the timing is the first three, but okay, well, in any case, look at soft skills, they are pumped much harder than hatskills, that's why employers pay attention to them in the first place, and here you should not worry that you have any soft skills, bad or good. the truth is that each company has its own set of desirable soft skills, some want tactful ones, and some companies, on the contrary, want to see more aggressive people, for example, in sales , they need not tactful, but persistent, so if i would advise you not to bother too much with soft skills drops the so-called software and so on, think more about your mission, your role in the company, about what you can give where your unique value is, how
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to sell your unique value as best as possible. except for the fact that companies are in a state of such a severe crisis, accordingly, crisis management is now included everywhere as it happens. yes, most companies are in crises for you. look at industrial chains on industrial chains chains, for example, if a company produces a complex product, it may have dozens or even hundreds of suppliers, and imagine that one supplier has been broken somewhere in kharkiv, and what happens next , and without this one detail, the final product will not be ready, so many companies have suffered those who even they are not at the front but are far in the rear due to the fact that the economy is very interconnected and when one suffers throughout the chain, others suffer. that is why the majority of
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ukrainian businesses were very badly affected let me remind you that at the beginning of the war, about 30% of ukrainian enterprises, 30% of a third of all ukrainian enterprises, did not work at all; now , according to the data of the national bank of ukraine, this indicator has decreased to 11%, but 11% of enterprises are not working, this is also a lot, this is every tenth enterprise, but people work there and they are connected with other companies that also cannot work normally due to the fact that the company fell out of production from the production process . they have a huge problem due to the fact that the suppliers of raw materials are actually thinking very hard, they want to
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breed pigs. will change their opinion, and their specificity is that it must be something very fresh and something local . that's it. this whole business is under threat. it's small but important. it's such a creative business . according to the international labor organization of the united nations, more than 5 million ukrainians have lost their jobs, but even more of them actually went abroad. what actually happened to those ukrainians who went abroad, how strong a blow is this to the economy, what are the chances that they will return, and i see reports that many of them, a third or a quarter, i don't remember, have already found a permanent job abroad it's a pity, not everyone will return, they won't
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all i think that we will lose half a million to a million people and those programs offered by european countries for ukrainian immigrants and subsidies and programs for resettlement from adaptation eh. this is not exactly charity, it is actually birches, counting on the fact that young able-bodied people with children who will also grow up and there will be a percentage of young people who will stay in these countries because they will like it there and we must understand these risks that they exist and that not all ukrainians will return to ukraine, on the other hand there is such a large ukrainian diaspora in europe that will after the war is over and part of our citizens will remain there, they will also help ukraine, you have seen successful examples of all countries, like italy, germany, poland, and we
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all remember how at the beginning of the 20th century they actively immigrated to ireland but then the migrant , the migrants returned partly home, partly simply maintained relations with their homeland and they gave their homeland new technologies and new principles of work that were very helpful for building their economy, so i think that those people who will remain in europe from ukraine. they will still not be completely cut off. they will remain native to ukraine. they will be in contact with ukraine . it is possible to do business with ukraine. about which so far there is less talk. but if you think about it, the loss at the front is on the order of less than the loss of people who will not
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return to ukraine. and in the end, we also have from the second time from the soviets and it does a lot for of ukraine in order to bring some new meaning here ulyana suprun there is no need to even tell you what she is doing for ukraine, i am convinced that kvitka tsysyk if she were alive, if the disease had not taken her life, she would have done a lot more, but even those there are two albums that she recorded, they made to popularize ukrainian songs, the ukrainian language is also a lot. although she was born in the united states and was only once in ukraine, it is possible to say that the first thing that ukraine did was probably there in 1989-90-1991, blocks were actually put in place so that there would be some kind of patriation processors, so that people with experience born or trained in e in the west could not come, for example, in conditions of
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competition, to win for themselves there, i don't know, the positions of general directors, all of them could become there i don't know , the deputies, the president, and so on, this was simply the opposite of what was done. well, for example , there in the former nd, the people of the german democratic republic where, in fact, the exit from the federal republic of germany actually became the new elite, liked the sacred and here i am, what about what is possible, this will also be an example for us to find the possibility of new laws on repatriation, and on the other hand, there will probably be some laws on the replacement of e-e actually at the expense of migrant workers. this will also probably be the story with which ukraine will collide after the victory, our main story now is to win. i have to
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defeat the enemy, we have to break the russian empire. finish here and now, and then i think we will solve all the other problems after all. we ukrainians have already shown the whole world that we can solve the problem, mr. serhiy . than i am two times older than lesya well, almost like that, i am an elephant, i am talking about the fact that, on the one hand, we are now hearing that in the conditions of uh, martial law, the employer has very loose hands and the employees are not well protected, and on the other hand, is it time even during the war to prepare something there is some change to this labor law to what extent it slows down the situation in particular with the ss on the labor market and warned, if i'm not mistaken, in the
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16th or 17th years that it was brought into line with what seems to have happened in the 16th on whether even on the 15th he was brought into line with the association agreement with the european community, so it can be said that he was there in the 70s, probably, i would not say that the changes that have been made to the labor legislation after the war are essentially they simply record the state that exists, because employers don't have it now either solovka and you can't say that they are just getting fat now at the expense of hired workers, after all, many enterprises have stopped and do not work at all, and thank god that there are those people who find the opportunity to pay people a salary so that they can feed their families, that's why i'm considering it now as some kind of temporary stage that will certainly end with our victory, therefore we should not worry too much about this law and in general, of course, it would be better to
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modernize it . in this direction. thank you mr. serhiy for the conversation. serhiy marchenko, the founder of the borscht recruiting agency and an expert on the labor market, was with us. go study on e-mail. well, if you are already trained for someone , take courses and just be... that it was possible to get a job that is not completely related to your profession but you could find yourself in that job, what is it actually but really, we can see the 28% growth of the it sector this is amazing, of course, well but everything is easy it is easy to understand why this is happening at this time . by the way, fitch and standardyn purse lowered the ratings of ukraine to default due to the fact that we have
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deferred payments on foreign debt. we know that we have been actively accumulating foreign debt for the last couple of years before the war, so what is it? there is us uh what eats there is already the next one there is that simple speaker valery baker entrepreneur public figure co-founder of the civic platform nova kraina and teacher of the kyiv-mohyla business school mr. valery, we are glad to see you good day analytics kyiv school of economics are convinced that without additional sanctions, the consequences of those laws and measures that have already been approved will be seen no earlier than the end of 2023, this is about russia, so that's why we're all waiting for them to get worse, but it turns out that we'll get worse sooner and we'll feel it more than they
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, er, if this is a question, then i will try to answer it with an er, ancient proverb, er, until the fat dries up, the thin will die, but in fact, they have already become sick if we look at the results of the russian economy for the er, second quarter er and in general especially for the month of july, when these results were recently compiled, we will see that for the first time the russian budget was really on fire, and all the revenues of all taxes fell . because the war still needs money, ah, that is, we will actually see now that the russian budget is collapsing, that all taxes, such as vat, russian duties, excises, have all fallen. and to date, we see that since july, the budget deficit is 33%, that is, a third. they have a real deficit budget, a very deficit budget
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, and of course, unlike ukraine, no one will close either international financial organizations or partner governments, and this means that russia is gradually approaching its budget collapse, and in principle, any collapse of any country begins with a budget collapse collapse, we know it simply from history, and here it should also be noted that, for example, the value added tax is due to the fact that it is falling very much because of mothers-in-law and simply did not have russia, exporters continue it to compensate, experts say that this creates such an imbalance that they put a lot of pressure on the russian-speaking people, of course, i agree with the kyiv school of economics that they would like to take more sanctions, but we understand that the main sanctions will be imposed from the end of the year, eh, what concerns the bank on the russian fuel oil products well, in general, the russian situation is not very good, because
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it cannot be considered in a purely economic dimension, we must also consider the political set, what is russia holding on, russia is holding nothing special as we know, there are no spiritual scraps there. russia relies on the fact that moscow takes money from the donor regions of those regions that actually provide income to the russian budget and redistributes them to the don region as a recipient , including those regions that receive large enough, disproportionately large amounts of money. we know, for example, that ramzanka dirov will essentially receive a tribute to moscow, who pays whom and who is under putin? we still have to think about it, so it’s still different, when money becomes less and money becomes less, we see a budget deficit of one third, as i already said, and this means that the ability of the federal center of the so-called
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kremlin to take money from donor regions to transfer it to to the regions, but it is decreasing very much and the regional elites are somehow starting to revolt, but they will somehow express their disagreement with the fact that the donor is taking more from them than he needs in order to develop and to live, the recipients will not receive as much as they strive to maintain, it turns out that the only social group that has any influence in russia, namely the current administrative elite , officials, deputies, security forces, etc. and so on , they are now under the main attack, this is very important because we understand that a large part of the so-called people of the so-called deep russian people, maybe 85% of the population, they actually do not suffer much from the sanction because they did not live very well anyway and as mykhailo said zhvanyansky didn't live well, then there's no need to start and they don't take part in the formation of
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russian politics, only the current management elite, of whom there are relatively few upper-class letters, already have personal sanctions, but they will somehow cope with them, ah, relatively speaking, 1 million of people who controls 140 million people, i am now a little bit aside from the hypothesis that the russians are actually much less, and this fact is being hidden from the russians from the world, they say that there are less than 100 million of them. but let's assume that the numbers true and in 140 million, that 1 million kind is managing it 440 he is getting much much worse and this is the main result. by the way, your words are probably confirmed by such an almost hypertrophied reaction to this idea, er, to close the entry to europe for a russian tourist. me it seems that she simply united everyone in russia in such angry speeches from piskov to there, i don't know any celebrities. i would say that the only honest position of the current russian is to wish
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for the military defeat of his regime and the establishment of some kind of more democratic order in russia, although to be honest, i don't believe in the democratic system and i do n't see any special democratic e-e in russia, the following a-a rulers a-a, i think this is already a little outside the scope of your judgment on the economic issue of russian budgets, sanctions are believed to be the only way for russia this is its gradual reconstruction , the reconstruction of the post-russian space with the creation of new independent states there. a significant part of which will have pretty good relations with ukraine for a long time. why is it so from the point of view of ukrainian and european interests ? the authorities, conditionally speaking, putin 2:0 in the kremlin, despite the fact that russia remains an aggressive empire with nuclear weapons, this is just a truce, as the truce was between the first and second parts of the wars on there is no need for a truce and we need a situation we in ukraine need a situation about which russia will never again pose as a threat to ukraine and europe is interested in the same - this means that our old
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slogan for our your freedom, which was so typical of ukrainian times at the end of the 80s, i remember it, is about enslaved peoples of russia the same must be applied now, but if we go back to the budget, we actually see that more is pumped out from the same national republics and less is pumped in there, with the exception of literally the examples i have already mentioned, valery by the way, in continuation of the political parts of what you said to henry kissenger, who a couple of months ago made everyone terribly angry and outraged when he said that there was nothing to help in ukraine, it still won't win, it is necessary to somehow help and negotiate and sacrifice its territories in exchange for some the armistice now he said that it is necessary to admit that the lot has been cast, but as they say, let 's assume that ukraine is in nato. what does this
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mean ? what does this indicate? to say officially, but there are many things that are said with words such as these, standing up, such as representatives, but i would like to see a little wider picture. er, a little more even a yes, a little more already means er how has the position of the er united states of america and the western democratic world in general changed?

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