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tv   [untitled]    August 19, 2022 8:00am-8:31am EEST

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to help understand the events and predict the consequences that on saturdays vitaliy portnikov and maria gurska will discuss the most relevant to draw appropriate conclusions, you want to know how what is happening today will affect our tomorrow see the saturday newspaper that saturdays are not with the press in the cockpits of the radar stations at the anti-aircraft control points missile systems for a thousand combat positions throughout the territory of our country, they are getting closer to victory every day. glory to the air force of the armed forces of ukraine, i congratulate andriy yanitsky espresso tv channel you are watching the news of the economy during the war if you watch us on the internet please like
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comment on this video send the link to your friends and family so more people can see us grain expert nuclear security and captured ukrainian defenders these questions were the main ones yesterday during of the talks in lviv between the president of ukraine volodymyr zelensky and the president of turkey, which was rescheduled with the participation of the secretary general of the united nations, antonio toshi, the parties discussed a possible visit of the megaten regarding the zaporizhia nuclear plant in particular, the secretary general noted that the mission is possible only with the consent of ukraine and the russian federation, and if the commission departs from kyiv, they also talked about our prisoners, well, regarding the economy, and the president gave a positive assessment of the implementation of the grain expert initiative. zelensky noted that the leading role was played by alla turkey, personally mr. erdogan in the fact that this initiative was implemented in general and continues zelenskyi and erdogan also discussed the issue of large-scale theft of grain by russia in the temporarily occupied territory of ukraine
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in particular, it was pointed out that the occupiers appropriated almost 500,000 tons of grain, the leaders agreed that any trade in stolen goods is inadmissible, the grain corridor really works during the period of operation of the greater odesa sports route, 24 ships with ukrainian grain for foreign consumers left, the spokesman of the odesa regional military administration said serhii bratchuk, this morning another ship left with ukrainian industrial products to the port of destination, and it is also a very important point that i emphasize the importance and effectiveness of this route. that the ships are coming to us. they are going specifically for loading today, four ships are due to come in, two of them are already, as far as i know, in one of the ports, they are loaded with ukrainian wheat, and after this procedure they should go
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along the specified route. well, today we will be there all day to talk about the whole issue, more precisely to talk about economic news about this grain corridor, let's try to summarize how it works, what effect it has on the economy, with us pavlo martyshev, a researcher at the agrocer of the kyiv school of economics paula good morning. in order to have such a comprehensive picture of what is happening, let's tell the audience how we exported our agricultural products before the great russian invasion of ukraine until february 24, and in what volumes and what crops were exported. and we exported, it's better to talk about monthly volumes. more clearly, approximately 6-7 million tons per month of grain and oil crops, that is, when we talk about grain
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corridors, it is not only grain, it is also oil crops and sunflower oil, in general, the main export crops - this is wheat, both for food, which is processed into flour, and fodder wheat, this is corn, that is, fodder corn, that is, fodder corn, and this is unrefined sunflower oil, that is, ukraine does not, uh, export sunflower in the form of seeds, well, that is, it exports very little of it . in general, it exports 7 million tons of processed products, and if we talk about the routes, then we mainly exported these products through ports. that is, it was the only or the main channel of export before the beginning of the new phase of the war, you can say that yes some small batches, let's say rapeseed, they
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were transported across the polish border by rail, but there the volumes were quite small, so in principle you can simplify and say that everything was exported through the ports, and we also grow vegetables and fruits, or their volume is so small that it can be disregarded do not take into account the fact that we grow fruit, in particular, we grow a lot of apples, and in recent years there was even an overproduction for apples, but these apples are basically not needed by europeans because they are not suitable in terms of quality and there is a strong producer there as far as i know, the poles are large producers of apples, they cannot compete with polish apples. well, plus berries. well, we also export, but i understand that by land transport. here are blueberries and well, other things. yes, it is more than such industries. that is, they can be ignored if we we are talking
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about a global choice of seven million tons of exports. and how much is this in money, or can you calculate it? i understand that prices change regularly, but this is how much money we received from exports . how important is this part of our economy? i looked at what seems to be 10% of gdp, in principle, the agricultural sector forms last year. and what numbers do you have that you can recall? well, about 10% of gdp, about 40% of exports, again, you need to look at it from 7, that is, if we are talking about 14-15 years there where world prices were quite low, and therefore the share of the agricultural sector there was insignificant, if we are talking about 20-21 years, then the share of agricultural exports was really significant, that is, you can conditionally multiply it. i would say $500, 100 is not such a
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weighted average price of wheat, corn and of sunflower oil they are possible a little more well and you can count and multiply by 7 million per month , that is, we are talking about huge sums. what has changed after the russian invasion? how have our expert capabilities changed? they have changed radically. that is, it is no secret to anyone that the sea ports were blocked and we began to export grain through the western borders, but there are a lot of different obstacles , it’s low, uh, the throughput capacity on the western borders, uh, about 2 million t can be exported through the western borders, including, say, the danube river. that is, there is loading also to the river ports - these are ishmael and reni and then
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it is transported by river to romania. it is already shipped to the sea ports there for we immediately felt the difference between 7 million tons per month to 2 million then per month these 5 million had to be stored somewhere accordingly also a new there is no place to send the harvest, they faced a crisis, they should have faced a food crisis, which the united nations also talked about a lot, how did the ukrainian authorities react, how did the international authorities also react from semi-toryism, could it be possible to solve this issue without the opening of the ports, well, without the opening of the port, it was not possible to solve it. by the way, the food crisis is an interesting issue and it is more deeply than it is speculated in the news, especially in the international ones, that is, it is important to understand that prices, global prices, they change due to many of factors and the ukraine factor let's say it is not
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the most important because ukraine is such a significant player, but all the same, the role of ukraine is in ensuring occupational safety - this is such a dynamic value. and i would say that the main such critical moment was uh, at the end of spring, when uh, prices were rising very wildly due to climate risks in the states and europe, and it was at this time, uh, that putin started talking about uh, a possible blocking of the export of russian grain, and this led to such a furore in principle on the global markets and then the situation softened, then they started harvesting in the northern hemisphere, we are talking about winter grains, wheat, barley, and it became easier, but there
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was a critical moment around the month when the factors coincided, this is climatic risks around the world and the impossibility of ukraine remove grain and the manipulation of russia now we will cover up export of grain, but this did not happen, in principle, they shipped quite actively i understand that putin had his own geopolitical goals, just like he is doing with gas now and uses gas as a weapon he tried to use grain as such a political weapon against the international community, after all, it was possible to agree with him on the opening of the ports, how did these negotiations go, or can we say that russia gained something from that, because we understand what if we were allowed to export? accordingly, we
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made some kind of concessions or someone else left, perhaps redagang went where hmm, who participated in these negotiations, yes, there are absolutely clear advantages for russia from the opening of grain corridors, this is a partial solution to the syrian conflict, that is russia and turkey have agreed that turkey will, in principle, do something in syria, but not very actively, to put it simply, and we see that a few days ago turkey's special operation in syria against the syrian kurds began, but i understand that there will be a clear redistribution of the spheres of influence between turkey and russia and, accordingly, this is important for russia because it should not charge more of the syrian contingent and can, unfortunately, send more to
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ukraine well, but not much more, this is the first positive the second positive is that the launch of grain corridors reduces the costs of transporting russian grain, that is, they are also global exporters and russia is, in fact, a global exporter of wheat, this year they will have an absolutely record harvest, that is, we estimate somewhere around 92 million tons this has never happened before and they need to figure it out somehow , therefore, in principle, another plus and a third plus is that they cooperate with turkey in the field of energy, they build a nuclear power plant there in turkey and also trade together with turkey and what won turkey or turkey in
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this agreement, she made concessions in what is the benefit of serdogan, we understand our benefit that we can still export grain as before erdoğan, well, in addition to the fact that of course his status as a negotiator is now number one, many world leaders have tried to become negotiators between ukraine and russia, and so far only he has succeeded point of view, he doesn't want to show what you see. europe america, you couldn't come to an agreement there, to become such a mediator in the negotiations between ukraine and russia, and i was able to, and this strengthens the geopolitical influence. if we talk about geopolitics, if we go down to the tactical
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level of the agrarian sector, then turkey will have a 25% discount on ukrainian grain, that is , they got this discount after all, i remember they talked about it at the very beginning of the negotiations in istanbul, and there was a lot of criticism about this, that it was looting and it was an opportunity to take advantage of the bad situation in ukraine to make money from it. but it is clear that this is a real policy that should make some profit in turkey. a discount it is fixed in the negotiations or how it is formed a-a-a yes 25% discount. and in principle they use it, but i don’t think that it will directly reduce our income, expert, let’s write the mechanics of this grain corridor, that is, the ships leave from the odessa ports. well, if we
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take such a large odessa and from our black sea ports, they go along the black sea coast of european to turkey and further to countries that buy their own grain, what happens to these cargoes, someone has to take care of them there, i remember that russia really wanted to take care of all these vessels to make sure that there are no weapons there, as they said, no, you can start there a little earlier, that is, when they go to odessa, they are constantly inspected, yes, they are inspected in istanbul, in principle, by representatives of the four parties. that is, the turkish the side is our side, the un and russia, and in principle, and then they go to the ports of odesa and are loaded and
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go back, and in principle, when they pass through these routes, then if no one has the right to approach closer than 10 nautical miles to them that's it, in principle. well, that's all. who's following this? after all, someone has to provide this power function. i remember that when the first ship was leaving, two turkish military frigates were spotted, which were supposed to protect these ships. does turkey do it with the armed forces of ukraine, who guarantees the safety of commercial ships, here is the ship uh, turkey yes, to what extent does it always accompany there, but uh, in fact, there is no information whether they directly reach the very ports of odesa, the turkish ship itself, yes. we cannot know that because military ships, unlike
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civil ones, do not have these traffic trackers included. we can not simply look at marine traffic such a service and see where they are now , but they are sometimes visible by other means of tracking, how many have already managed to export this the corridor is actually working because it has been two or three weeks since the first of august, it has been almost a month and a half because when the first court did not go, we talked either with you or with your colleagues from the agricultural center of the kyiv school of economics, and they said that, you know , this is only the first attempt, let's wait for such a beta mode. let's see how it goes, we can already say that everything is okay. yes, but not
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completely. i would say 50%. i.e. 650 were exported during this time, about 60, well, 650,000 tons of grain came out in 25 minutes and 18 were spent on loading, that is, again , 650 in three weeks is not very much. take into account that these ports, these three ports, they can er, about 3.5 million tons of grain to be shipped monthly. that is, we did not reach the capacity that was supposed to be reached, and probably the last question will be, but can it be opened in principle , er, can russia simply block the export of ukrainian grain again? well, let's suppose that tomorrow something at all levels has not worked out and russia
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has changed its mind, is there such a risk and how are we prepared for it mmm well theoretically it is possible yes that is, first of all there is no need to trust the russians at all secondly mmm it should be taken into account that the deal will continue the first stage is 120 days and when this stage ends, they will have more legal prerequisites not to continue it, but you know, there is just this big harvest in russia, you need to go somewhere and if russia blocks the export of e-e from ukraine, it will actually increase a lot the price of the freight, and the risks for the russians themselves that other countries will simply refuse their grain for political reasons. thank you. pavlo martyshev was with us, a researcher at the kyiv school of economics and
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works in such an agricultural center, researching uh, agrarian and industry, finally, i want to say that in ukraine the assets of a large network of gas stations were seized, it is probably the amiga energy network, the court seized 308 real estate objects , the corporate rights of this network on the territory of ukraine . today , it was all news of the economy during the war . watch us on weekdays at eight in the morning, live , repeat. i am also andriy yanitsky espresso together we will win on february 24 the date that changed us the date that changed the world
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and now what interests us the most is our victory when we defeat the enemy how to predict the course of the war the saturday political club program returns to the air espresso to help understand the events and predict the consequences of saturday vitaly portnikov and maria gurska will discuss the most relevant issues in order to draw appropriate conclusions. do you want to know how what is happening today will affect our tomorrow? see the saturday nespresso newsletter until the whole country chooses the future for the program and its place in it. keep the chance that comes only once it generation is a program of numbers and partners for absolutely free training in it professions, get the profession of the future and become a fighter of the digital front to ensure a strong economic backend and personal updek
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apply now it generation a chance for a great future if pain puts you in an uncomfortable position dolaren gel pain relief tolerant gel strength against pain some creatures are not able to choose something else and we in ukraine like to choose everything, even if it is insurance on hotline finance hotline finance insurance, of course, the live broadcast of the espresso tv channel continues online. thank you for following the events of this morning with us. in addition, we are trying to outline the military situation on all
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our fronts, and in the meantime, we will remind you that yesterday night was crowned with unrest in the temporarily occupied crimea in the belgorod region. likewise and on the territory of the occupied kherson region well, in the meantime, there are a few more important announcements: the administration of us president joseph biden is preparing additional military aid to ukraine in the amount of about 800 million dollars, according to roytochs with reference to own sources, and such a decision can be announced already in saturday, august 19. we are waiting for confirmation of information. well, within a day, the armed forces of ukraine destroyed four warehouses with ammunition and two bases of the occupiers. bull warehouses were destroyed in amvrosiivka, donetsk region, belgorod oblasts in the fertile kherson oblast, the berislav district, the base of the occupiers was destroyed in
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nova kakhovka, kherson oblast, the kadiyevets of luhansk oblast, and the destruction in the crimea mentioned by me, in kerch, in stary oskol , belgorod oblast, and again in crimea, in belbek, near sevastopol, is being specified. we have really good ones extremely good news came from one of our prisoners of war, this is dmytro cossack pseudo-orest, you know him well about those incredible photos from azovstalia that have already flew all over the world he is the author of stunning from the germans alive he spoke with his sister darya and yurchenko she told about it to the ukrainian media hello this is dima and i am so he again this is dima i was in shock asks dimochka how are you where are you alive healthy
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dmytro told that he is healthy and now he is in occupied donetsk when he spoke there was an investigator nearby now we will find out if kateryna the bird from azovstal made herself heard this girl with incredible eyes and an incredible voice is a paramedic who saved our boys and the local population to the extent of all his capabilities, at the limit of human capabilities in general, we are in touch now, mrs. svitlana, kateryna's mother, the birds from azovstali, mrs. svitlana, i congratulate you glory to ukraine glory to the heroes, because we are very happy that orest has called and i can't help but ask if you know something about our katya, about her place of residence and about the last custody, at the moment we have confirmation that my daughter is in
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captivity in the deer pen, we are in contact with her, there is no custody at the moment, well, what kind of receipt is also what the exchanged ones tell those who were exchanged prisoner of war volunteers are also what they are saying, we know that at the moment, but we don't know anything more, and which volunteers are we talking about now ? this is someone who has access to the deer park , uh, no, it was just there. well, there were volunteers in captivity , those who were in captivity and they were exchanged or what ? i won’t say for sure, but what they were in captivity and in the deer pen. and from their words, we know something about the rental at the moment, information about how how how they are received there and
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how it relates to our prisoners has reached us and i i want to remind our tv viewers that in in olenivtsi there are two colonies in which, in total, about 10,000 residents of mariupol can be kept, including doctors and our prisoners of war and civilians who did not go through the terrible tortures and through filtering , petro andryushchenko, adviser to the mayor of mariupol , informed us about this on the air repeatedly so, we are following the events in the deer park, unfortunately, unfortunately, we also know about the tragedy that happened there a few weeks ago , a large number of our boys died, whom we tried so hard to get out of there, svetlana, i
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i am really positive and would like to support you with this, after all, the fact that the world is so closely monitoring the situation with our mariupol is good. we with the paramedics and volunteers give hope that the russians will not be able to act on everyone by our people there, what they have already done with the boys in one of the colonies, but less, but in your opinion, is the attention of the world and the relevant organizations, the international committee of the red cross and maybe the united nations, enough now? could do more in your opinion well, i can't answer in the affirmative that they are doing enough there or not doing enough, it's not in my competence to give such an assessment, but as far as i
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know, the relevant authorities are working on this issue to free our e-e prisoners, they are doing everything it is possible and we are waiting, we hope that soon we will meet our relatives well, the main intelligence agency yesterday reported in particular that in ukraine there is a sufficient amount of exchange fund in order to liberate our people from captivity is only a problem of the russian federation, they are not very interested in extracting their own, they do not value the lives of their people and regularly disrupt exchanges . that this is a person with very bright eyes about the fact that this person is self-sacrificing because actually
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being a medic in the war is quite brave and you can hear the love for your country and your people tell us a little about katya uh what is she like engaged in life in civilian life and how war appeared in her life, well, katya is a very bright, kind girl. she is brave and positive. well, she will always come to the rescue in any situation. as i sang to her

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